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Newbie Mini Mafia VIII - Page 49

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KharadBanar
Profile Joined February 2011
Austria463 Posts
April 19 2012 21:23 GMT
#961
The main reason why I don't think of willz as that likely scum anymore is that he actively helped me defend myself and get out of Dittert's fake accusation when he could have easily switched his vote over to me and more or less assured a scum victory if any townie had taken the bait and voted for me.
No scum would have ever done that. Not even Dittert. They would have thrown their victory away.
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 19 2012 21:24 GMT
#962
EBWOB. It's still a Mafia that dies and lets town continue the game, but it doesn't defend you, prove anything, or increase your towncred since you still have to explain your behavior today. Should be the correct sentence.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:32 GMT
#963
On April 20 2012 06:23 KharadBanar wrote:
The main reason why I don't think of willz as that likely scum anymore is that he actively helped me defend myself and get out of Dittert's fake accusation when he could have easily switched his vote over to me and more or less assured a scum victory if any townie had taken the bait and voted for me.
No scum would have ever done that. Not even Dittert. They would have thrown their victory away.


That logic is so horrible it hurts. I was the first to mention why Dittert's claim wasn't genuine, and I didn't definitely vote for you or even think about doing that. Willz not voting for you either makes me Mafia exactly how?

Willz, let me quote this as to why I am town, since time is running short:

On April 17 2012 04:30 Xatalos wrote:
Why Am I Town?

I'm the first to admit I have had many faults, the greatest of which are these:

- Tunnel Vision: ignoring a lot of stuff, especially alternative explanations for events (such as yomi voting for Willz to save himself not being a Mafia-specific action)
- Confirmation Bias: focusing on proving myself right more than on finding the truth (I had a pretty hard time letting go off my ArcticFox suspicions, although my reasons for suspecting him weren't very good to begin with)
- Paranoia: mentioning every little suspicious detail from pretty much every player so far (I even mentioned specifically Acrofales for lurking the Day 1 lynch, although he was far from the only lurker in that situation and wasn't even otherwise suspicious at all)
- Stupidity: misunderstanding rules, posts and even pronouns (my greatest moment of stupidity was thinking yomi claimed doctor while he was just talking in general)

Through these faults I have caused anti-town atmosphere, which is an understandable reason to believe I would be Mafia. But I want you to take a moment and consider: is that the only explanation?

- Tunnel Vision is not really a Mafia trait, since Mafia would be happy to lynch any townie, not a specific townie
- Confirmation Bias is plausibly a Mafia trait, since Mafia know the roles of everyone and thus want to prove themselves right instead of finding the truth
- Paranoia is not really a Mafia trait, since Mafia don't have any need to be suspicious of their fellow players or to gather too much attention
- Stupidity is neither a town or Mafia trait

In conclusion, only one of the reasons for my sometimes anti-town play is a Mafia trait. Even so, it's not exclusively a Mafia trait, but rather a trait of a person emotional about something (in this case, lynching Mafia).

Now, what pro-town have I done to redeem these faults?

- Activity: I have posted a lot, more than anyone else - perhaps not as much useful content as Acrofales or KharadBanar, but definitely among the most even in that category
- Transparency: I have been like an open book, giving my opinion on everything without hesitation, never being afraid of suspicious slips or being proved wrong in the end
- Focus on Mafia Hunting: most of my posts consist of accusing a player, noticing suspicious behaviour, giving my Mafia reads, demanding explanations, demanding activity or analyzing possible Mafia&Mafia / town & Mafia / town & town interactions between two players

All of my anti-town plays are (at least somewhat) explainable from a town perspective, but are these pro-town plays explainable from a Mafia perspective?

- Activity is definitely not a Mafia trait: Mafia would prefer to fly under the radar and plan inside their own chat, not to be on the spotlight of the discussion all the time
- Transparency is the opposite of a Mafia trait: Mafia would never want to give more information and thoughts to the discussion than necessary
- Focus on Mafia Hunting is again the opposite of a Mafia trait: Mafia want to delay and distract Mafia hunting, not to focus on it in their own posting

So none of these pro-town plays are really explainable from a Mafia perspective. Of course Mafia would love to look as pro-town as possible, but not at the cost of losing the game because of it. Willingness to establish your innocence at the cost of advancing town agenda and probably having to bus your teammates along the way is not strong Mafia play - it's ineffective Mafia play.


And okay, I'm ready to vote for Willz as well. It just seemed more likely to get Dittert lynched since imallinson and yomi also voted for him (and we'd need 4 votes anyway, and Dittert is 100% Mafia). So... Here goes.

##Unvote
##Vote: Willz22912
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:34 GMT
#964
yomi, it looks like you agree with me. Since apparently this is back to me/Willz (although Dittert is 100% Mafia), you need to vote for him. Also, vonKlaust, are you even there? And KharadBanar, please reconsider.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
KharadBanar
Profile Joined February 2011
Austria463 Posts
April 19 2012 21:36 GMT
#965
On April 20 2012 06:32 Xatalos wrote:
That logic is so horrible it hurts. I was the first to mention why Dittert's claim wasn't genuine, and I didn't definitely vote for you or even think about doing that. Willz not voting for you either makes me Mafia exactly how?

I have this to say about that:
On April 20 2012 04:14 willz22912 wrote:
I am calling for all the real town to vote Xatalos instead now, including KB, to show that Dittert was being bussed by his teammates Xatalos and imallinson. The game is going to go on regardless if Dittert gets bussed by his teammates, the only information we will get is who gets shot N3, but gleaning information based on who Mafia shoot is completely WIFOM for town.

On April 20 2012 04:27 willz22912 wrote:
@ KB if you agree with my reasoning, please change your vote off Dittert and give town a chance to lynch Xatalos instead.

He actively gave me a chance to prove that I was not the scum in that situation by being willing to actually scumhunt. That's what I was referring to.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:36 GMT
#966
On April 20 2012 06:23 KharadBanar wrote:
The main reason why I don't think of willz as that likely scum anymore is that he actively helped me defend myself and get out of Dittert's fake accusation when he could have easily switched his vote over to me and more or less assured a scum victory if any townie had taken the bait and voted for me.
No scum would have ever done that. Not even Dittert. They would have thrown their victory away.


Besides, if you say no scum would have ever done that, then it means I can't be scum either. Your logic makes my head explode.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:39 GMT
#967
On April 20 2012 06:36 KharadBanar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2012 06:32 Xatalos wrote:
That logic is so horrible it hurts. I was the first to mention why Dittert's claim wasn't genuine, and I didn't definitely vote for you or even think about doing that. Willz not voting for you either makes me Mafia exactly how?

I have this to say about that:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2012 04:14 willz22912 wrote:
I am calling for all the real town to vote Xatalos instead now, including KB, to show that Dittert was being bussed by his teammates Xatalos and imallinson. The game is going to go on regardless if Dittert gets bussed by his teammates, the only information we will get is who gets shot N3, but gleaning information based on who Mafia shoot is completely WIFOM for town.

Show nested quote +
On April 20 2012 04:27 willz22912 wrote:
@ KB if you agree with my reasoning, please change your vote off Dittert and give town a chance to lynch Xatalos instead.

He actively gave me a chance to prove that I was not the scum in that situation by being willing to actually scumhunt. That's what I was referring to.


WTF...... Really. THAT'S why you think he is town? I did much more by saying Dittert was fake claiming and that you were town. All Willz did was to direct you into lynching a townie.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 19 2012 21:42 GMT
#968
On April 20 2012 05:31 willz22912 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2012 05:05 imallinson wrote:
@Willz

The problem I'm having with voting for Xatalos is that Dittert is my # 1 scum read due to what I think is a fake DT claim. You are my # 2 and Xatalos is # 3. While I agree that info tomorrow would be nice, actually getting there is better.


Show nested quote +
On April 20 2012 05:17 imallinson wrote:
I guess it's down to who hits 4 votes first. Seeing as the Dittert thing has lost all steam, I'm going to trust you because your judgement seems sound.

##Unvote
##Vote: Xatalos


Just some forwarning. I'm not going to be around if you decide to change. I've taken some strong painkillers and am now going to pass out. Sorry if this post is a bit short and incoherent.


So basically, he says Dittert is his #1 scumread for his fake-claim and Dittert is also the leading lynch candidate with 3 votes, but now he's willing to switch and support me because my judgement seems sound, except for the fact that imallinson says himself that he thinks I'm more scummier than Xatalos in his mind. I have put imallinson as the 3rd scummiest/member of the scum team in mind (after Xatalos at #1 and Dittert at #2 now for his DT case) Anyone else want to make sense of this, I would like an objective opinion on how this looks to all of you.


Since Xatalos likes posting old posts to defend himself, I'm re-quoting this so I can start a discussion, can someone take a look at what I posted here please.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:42 GMT
#969
At this point, I'm even ready to consider the possibility that Dittert's claim was actually genuine, but you abused his going AFK and turned it somehow into lynching me. Why do I think it might have been genuine?

A) KharadBanar was praised a lot from his previous game.
B) In this game, KharadBanar has been mostly sheeping and using horrible logic, not actively pushing much of anything.

In that case, the only good option now would be to lynch Willz (since Dittert wouldn't be Mafia after all).
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 19 2012 21:45 GMT
#970
@Xatalos, if you believe Dittert's DT claim to be real, why not vote KharadBanar since a DT check is also "100% confirmed Mafia" and Dittert also voted him as well, giving you +1 vote, making it more likely to save yourself?

Why vote me instead if you believe Dittert's claim (and do you think I'm also town considering Dittert is not willing to vote me anymore and he's a DT?)

KharadBanar
Profile Joined February 2011
Austria463 Posts
April 19 2012 21:46 GMT
#971
I need to rethink this.

So it appears the votes now stand 3-1-1-1 for you over Dittert, me and willz.
If I voted for willz it would make the votes 2-2-1-1... and again give Mafia the chance to sway the vote in exactly the direction they want to. I'm sorry but if nobody else agrees with you I have to stay on you for the time being in order to avoid an unwinnable situation. The chance that you are scum is still much higher than scum not being able to get what they want in the 2-2-1-1 situation.

THAT SAID, does anyone i consider to be likely town agree with Xatalos? If so, we could make something happen together.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:46 GMT
#972
The only thing in that situation I don't understand: why not let the Dittert lynch go through? It would have been an easy victory. But with these recent posts from KharadBanar, he must be Mafia. Which means the Mafia team is:

- Willz
- KharadBanar
- funcmode/imallinson/yomi?
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 19 2012 21:47 GMT
#973
You voted Dittert because a fakeclaim = 100% Mafia, but a real DT check is also 100% Mafia so why not vote KB?

It's not fun trying to make a case while under pressure isn't it? Considering I felt the same way D1 and the beginning of D3, I sympathize, but now you can't really use that argument too huh?
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:48 GMT
#974
Or even vonKlaust. I don't even know anymore for sure. But I'm 100% certain Willz is Mafia, so that's the only reasonable lynch right now. After that, it's Dittert or KharadBanar.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
KharadBanar
Profile Joined February 2011
Austria463 Posts
April 19 2012 21:48 GMT
#975
On April 20 2012 06:45 willz22912 wrote:
@Xatalos, if you believe Dittert's DT claim to be real, why not vote KharadBanar since a DT check is also "100% confirmed Mafia" and Dittert also voted him as well, giving you +1 vote, making it more likely to save yourself?

Why vote me instead if you believe Dittert's claim (and do you think I'm also town considering Dittert is not willing to vote me anymore and he's a DT?)


He isn't considering Dittert's check to be real, he considers it to be very likely fake but you even more likely mafia. Even though I don't agree with him as much as he'd probably like, my opinion has since swung again in favour of him because you haven't been quite as active in saving me as I originally thought.
funcmode
Profile Joined June 2010
Australia720 Posts
April 19 2012 21:51 GMT
#976
If there's one thing I've come as close as possible to convincing myself of tonight, it's that Dittert can't have been telling the truth with his DT claim.

If Dittert was telling the truth and he was town, and if Willz is scum would have known Dittert was town, and would have been happy for Dittert to be lynched (especially so if he was DT). The fact that he didn't, and went to all this effort to instead get people to switch to vote you instead (citing he'd still be happy for a Dittert lynch) suggests to me that Dittert can't possibly be telling the truth.

I might even vote for Dittert right now but I'm unsure of any implications this might have in regards to other people switching votes and what might result.
@funcmode - TPW Mapmaking Team - theplanetaryworkshop.com
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:53 GMT
#977
On April 20 2012 06:48 KharadBanar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2012 06:45 willz22912 wrote:
@Xatalos, if you believe Dittert's DT claim to be real, why not vote KharadBanar since a DT check is also "100% confirmed Mafia" and Dittert also voted him as well, giving you +1 vote, making it more likely to save yourself?

Why vote me instead if you believe Dittert's claim (and do you think I'm also town considering Dittert is not willing to vote me anymore and he's a DT?)


He isn't considering Dittert's check to be real, he considers it to be very likely fake but you even more likely mafia. Even though I don't agree with him as much as he'd probably like, my opinion has since swung again in favour of him because you haven't been quite as active in saving me as I originally thought.


In that case... Will you vote for Willz or not? There's only an hour left, and your opinion carries weight. I can't be 100% sure which of you and Dittert is Mafia, but I can be 100% sure which of me and Willz is Mafia, so I'm going to vote for him now. Otherwise it might be a loss for town in just one hour.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
willz22912
Profile Joined November 2010
United States255 Posts
April 19 2012 21:53 GMT
#978
On April 20 2012 06:48 KharadBanar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2012 06:45 willz22912 wrote:
@Xatalos, if you believe Dittert's DT claim to be real, why not vote KharadBanar since a DT check is also "100% confirmed Mafia" and Dittert also voted him as well, giving you +1 vote, making it more likely to save yourself?

Why vote me instead if you believe Dittert's claim (and do you think I'm also town considering Dittert is not willing to vote me anymore and he's a DT?)


He isn't considering Dittert's check to be real, he considers it to be very likely fake but you even more likely mafia. Even though I don't agree with him as much as he'd probably like, my opinion has since swung again in favour of him because you haven't been quite as active in saving me as I originally thought.


I was responding to Xatalos' point here:
On April 20 2012 06:42 Xatalos wrote:
At this point, I'm even ready to consider the possibility that Dittert's claim was actually genuine, but you abused his going AFK and turned it somehow into lynching me. Why do I think it might have been genuine?

A) KharadBanar was praised a lot from his previous game.
B) In this game, KharadBanar has been mostly sheeping and using horrible logic, not actively pushing much of anything.

In that case, the only good option now would be to lynch Willz (since Dittert wouldn't be Mafia after all).


He possibly believes in Dittert's DT claim, which would mean KB is Mafia, however instead of going with that, he continues to vote me? Whats the point of citing a DT claim then?

As for not defending you nearly as much as you thought I did, sure since you never really were in danger of being lynched, but Dittert was just creating confusion. You're entitled to your own thoughts, but I think I have been clear in my points while Xatalos has been spamming, but if that's enough to convince you, vote Dittert then and convince everyone else if you think his claim is fake.
KharadBanar
Profile Joined February 2011
Austria463 Posts
April 19 2012 21:54 GMT
#979
Okay funcmode. If you are ready voting for Dittert, and Xatalos is ready voting for Dittert, then I'm ready too because Dittert is still my #1 scum (I know the DT claim can't be true). It's pretty unlikely that vote doesn't go through then, yomi is already on it.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
April 19 2012 21:54 GMT
#980
On April 20 2012 06:51 funcmode wrote:
If there's one thing I've come as close as possible to convincing myself of tonight, it's that Dittert can't have been telling the truth with his DT claim.

If Dittert was telling the truth and he was town, and if Willz is scum would have known Dittert was town, and would have been happy for Dittert to be lynched (especially so if he was DT). The fact that he didn't, and went to all this effort to instead get people to switch to vote you instead (citing he'd still be happy for a Dittert lynch) suggests to me that Dittert can't possibly be telling the truth.

I might even vote for Dittert right now but I'm unsure of any implications this might have in regards to other people switching votes and what might result.


If Dittert was lying, then Willz and Dittert are Mafia. If Dittert was telling the truth, then Willz and KharadBanar are Mafia. The only logical conclusion is to vote for Willz right now.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
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