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United States44382 Posts
On November 04 2020 08:52 PhoenixVoid wrote:
I'm being cautioned to not read too much into these leads, even if most of the vote is counted. There's the early vote advantage that might shrink once the in-person Republican votes start pouring in.
It’s the inverse of the impact I was mentioning earlier re: exit polls. The votes aren’t counted in a random order so the first votes counted aren’t representative of the population as a whole.
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United States10569 Posts
7pm EST is right around the corner. Get ready for the flood gates.
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North Carolina results to be delayed.
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Hyrule19260 Posts
On November 04 2020 08:51 FlaShFTW wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2020 08:51 Cricketer12 wrote:On November 04 2020 08:49 FlaShFTW wrote:
Another 10% reporting came in from Boone, up to 80% reporting now. still holding at 57-41. If this translates around the country, Florida and NC are definitely going to the Biden camp. Florida would be huge...I'm still not sure if he's got Penn though and that has me worried If anything this shows more correlation with Penn since the rural penn counties are more close to Indiana than Florida. Good opportunity for Biden to shut the door on Trump in PA.
we call the middle Pennsyltucky for a reason...
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Kentucky went back to red kinda figured that was going to happen myself. Regarding the increase for Biden in certain counties seems to be an encouraging signs at least for right now but that all it is at the moment.
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Northern Ireland27464 Posts
On November 04 2020 08:47 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Yea, if Kentucky turned blue, it would be a loss so catastrophic that the Republican party might legitimately cease to exist. It would be a sign that several other red states would turn blue, and Biden might approach 500 EC votes in that scenario.
It just ain't gonna happen. Kentucky is a deep red state nationally.
The kind of ominous, truly unnatural phenomenon that might have one worrying some kind of plague may be coming to blight us all.
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United States10569 Posts
Dully noted Kwark. Most of the results I've been reporting are still only at about 50-60% reporting, but some of them are now hitting 80% reporting without much movement in the numbers I just said.
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I really want to see Texas go blue just so we can see PG's reaction.
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your Country52798 Posts
On November 04 2020 08:59 Stratos_speAr wrote:
I really want to see Texas go blue just so we can see PG's reaction.
I have a gut feeling that Texas goes blue but Florida goes red.
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On November 04 2020 09:00 The_Templar wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2020 08:59 Stratos_speAr wrote:
I really want to see Texas go blue just so we can see PG's reaction. I have a gut feeling that Texas goes blue but Florida goes red.
Same here, the Cuban community being the difference maker
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NYT just called Kentucky for Trump and Indiana's governor race for the GOP incumbent.
And NBC called Indiana for Trump.
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On November 04 2020 09:01 Stratos_speAr wrote:
NYT just called Kentucky for Trump and Indiana's governor race for the GOP incumbent.
With 12% reporting in? I don't get it.
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On November 04 2020 09:01 farvacola wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2020 09:00 The_Templar wrote:On November 04 2020 08:59 Stratos_speAr wrote:
I really want to see Texas go blue just so we can see PG's reaction. I have a gut feeling that Texas goes blue but Florida goes red. Same here, the Cuban community being the difference maker
If that's the difference maker, a lot of cubans I know are for trump.
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Biden takes Vermont per NPR.
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On November 04 2020 09:00 The_Templar wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2020 08:59 Stratos_speAr wrote:
I really want to see Texas go blue just so we can see PG's reaction. I have a gut feeling that Texas goes blue but Florida goes red.
That would be a net win for Dems in two different ways: more electoral votes than the reverse + setting a precedent that a modern Texas could actually continue to flip blue in the future, thus validating liberal Texans and motivating them to continue showing up to future elections.
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On November 04 2020 09:02 ShoCkeyy wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2020 09:01 Stratos_speAr wrote:
NYT just called Kentucky for Trump and Indiana's governor race for the GOP incumbent. With 12% reporting in? I don't get it.
I got surprised by that too.
16% counted and called? That's.. weird. Maybe it's normal or something, but to me as a non-american, that's weird.
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Hmm, I've heard Indiana being called immediately for Trump is a bad sign for Biden. It would mean he didn't do as well in the suburbs and rural areas as thought.
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On November 04 2020 09:03 m4ini wrote:Show nested quote +On November 04 2020 09:02 ShoCkeyy wrote:On November 04 2020 09:01 Stratos_speAr wrote:
NYT just called Kentucky for Trump and Indiana's governor race for the GOP incumbent. With 12% reporting in? I don't get it. I got surprised by that too. 16% counted and called? That's.. weird. Maybe it's normal or something, but to me as a non-american, that's weird.
It's normal.
It's based on which vote totals have been reported (their demographics, which areas are left to tally still, etc.).
There's an actual method to it, but I'm not that good at explaining it.
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EPT
