Coronavirus and You - Page 403

On July 15 2021 14:58 JimmiC wrote:

Please grace us with this solid working hypothesis.

In sum, we show that an increase in absolute latitude by 1° is associated with a 4.3% increase in COVID-19 cases per million inhabitants. Increasing temperatures and longer sunlight exposure during summer may boost the impact of public health policies and actions to control the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Conversely, the threat of epidemic resurgence may increase during winter. However, our results do not indicate that the disease will vanish in summer, nor that countries located close to the equator will contain the disease without effective public health measures.

Results:

To date, Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by SARS-CoV-2, has established significant community spread in cities and regions along a narrow east west distribution roughly along the 30–50° N’ corridor at consistently similar weather patterns consisting of average temperatures of 5–11°C, combined with low specific (3–6 g/kg) and absolute humidity (4–7 g/m3). There has been a lack of significant community establishment in expected locations that are based only on population proximity and extensive population interaction through travel.
Conclusions and Relevance:

The distribution of significant community outbreaks along restricted latitude, temperature, and humidity are consistent with the behavior of a seasonal respiratory virus. Additionally, we have proposed a simplified model that shows a zone at increased risk for COVID-19 spread. Using weather modeling, it may be possible to predict the regions most likely to be at higher risk of significant community spread of COVID-19 in the upcoming weeks, allowing for concentration of public health efforts on surveillance and containment.

Because vaccination is so political in the US and dems tend to dominate the cities and reps the rural. You will have 70% vaccinated city that is densely populated next to sparsely populated place with 20%

On July 14 2021 02:46 RKC wrote:


Meanwhile, somewhere near the equator, some of my dear friends are suffering in a country which just hit peak infection after weeks of lockdown and vaccination program in overdrive (mostly AZ).

If such weird trend continues, no surprise people starts questioning about the logic of everything...

On July 16 2021 07:37 JimmiC wrote:

I think you are missing the point. People are not saying environment is not a factor, they are saying it is not the biggest.

Take the US right now. You have new Mexico right between Texas and Arizona, but either side has much faster rising cases. And even more gradually than that you can look at counties that are right next door with different patterns.

Because vaccination is so political in the US and dems tend to dominate the cities and reps the rural. You will have 70% vaccinated city that is densely populated next to sparsely populated place with 20%.

If weather was the main factor they would be similar, heck the densely populated would be worse but instead the densely populated area has much lower cases and even lower hospitalization rates.

If weather was a bigger factor places with the same latitude or whatever would be similar regardless of vaccination rates but places with different weather would be acting different. That is why all the data from both your studies are taken from before vaccination because now those patterns do not hold true.

I'm not sure why people are working so hard to find other reasons when vaccines have been shown to work in this case and historically.

If it looks like a duck, quacks like a duck, smells like a duck it is a duck.

On July 16 2021 15:53 GreenHorizons wrote:
This whole "unvaccinated people are encouraged to wear masks" sign phase going on now locally for me seems asinine.

Also feels weird how "over" it is starting to feel (or businesses/people are acting like) in the US despite cases and deaths globally being worse than pretty much all last year (save Nov/Dec) and starting to rise in the US.

I've never been very worried about dying from covid, and less so since I've been vaccinated, but variants and long-term symptoms/effects still give me pause about this openness (maybe carelessness?) carrying on past when everything is open-air/outside.

On July 16 2021 14:11 JimmiC wrote:


So the real creepy part about your post is where did you get the 74% black from it is not in your article. What were you googling that found you that? It is quite concerning that you came across it and even more so that you then found a less offensive one to post but kept the old info in there. It also appears out of date because 2021 it says 69% black.

https://worldpopulationreview.com/us-cities/chester-pa-population