US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1230
Forum Index > General Forum |
Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting! NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets. Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source. If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread | ||
ZerOCoolSC2
8939 Posts
| ||
Gorgonoth
United States468 Posts
| ||
Gorgonoth
United States468 Posts
| ||
Gahlo
United States35094 Posts
On March 21 2019 21:44 Gorgonoth wrote: I think you guys severely underestimate that such a big factor with why trump won is because people had a deep seated hatred for Hillary. It’s far more common among conservatives for people to say “I wasn’t crazy about him, but I sure as hell wasnt going to let Hillary in and that’s what will happen if I don’t vote for him.” Also the idea that he has accomplished nothing is ridiculous. Sure he’s failed on some big issues, but he got conservative judges in, pulled out of TPP, Syria. Cut taxes. Those aren’t small things to a lot of people I talk to about this on a regular basis. I'm sorry, but that's in all likelyhood is an excuse. Those same people will be saying "but X is a socialist" or "but I'm not voting for a democrat" in 2020. People that dislike Hillary enough to not vote for her either voted 3rd party as protest or didn't vote at all. | ||
Gorgonoth
United States468 Posts
On March 21 2019 21:53 Gahlo wrote: I'm sorry, but that's in all likelyhood is an excuse. Those same people will be saying "but X is a socialist" or "but I'm not voting for a democrat" in 2020. People that dislike Hillary enough to not vote for her either voted 3rd party as protest or didn't vote at all. Completely false. The amount of conservative media which hated trump during the primaries decided to push for him citing things like the Supreme Court and pro life issues is staggering. People really hated Hillary and put aside their dislike for trump and chose what they thought of as the lesser of two evils. | ||
Acrofales
Spain17852 Posts
On March 21 2019 21:44 Gorgonoth wrote: I think you guys severely underestimate that such a big factor with why trump won is because people had a deep seated hatred for Hillary. It’s far more common among conservatives for people to say “I wasn’t crazy about him, but I sure as hell wasnt going to let Hillary in and that’s what will happen if I don’t vote for him.” Also the idea that he has accomplished nothing is ridiculous. Sure he’s failed on some big issues, but he got conservative judges in, pulled out of TPP, Syria. Cut taxes. Those aren’t small things to a lot of people I talk to about this on a regular basis. When did he pull out of Syria? I must have missed that he actually did that with all the backpedalling he's been doing on that issue. I said judges. But that wasn't really up to him anyway: not something he pushed, just something any republican candidate would get done. If you want conservative judges, vote republican. It's kinda obvious. You could put deez nuts on the ticket and he'd get votes from people who just blindly vote republican to put conservative judges in the courts. Pulling out of TPP is almost certainly a blunder, because then he went on to wanting to mess with China's economy (tariffs and trade war), which was the entire point of TPP in the first place: to tie all of China's most obvious partners into a trade deal with the US. But we can argue about that until we're blue in the face. He promised it and he did it. | ||
On_Slaught
United States12190 Posts
On March 21 2019 16:27 oBlade wrote: That wouldn't be advisable, as far as I know that guy still had no visible disability so this is a negative ad that people have turned into an urban truth just by endless repetition. Kind of weak to stake the outcome of an election on petty old chestnuts like that. Debate time especially is very limited and it's important to make the right impression. If you remember the VP debate in 2016 people weighed it in favor of Pence after Kaine tried an incessant nagging strategy similar to yours (although part of that may have been wanting to give a consolation prize because the media in general weighed all 3 presidential debates against Trump and right or wrong it looks better to throw them a bone in the VP debate). If that didn't work before he was president imagine how desperate it would look now. "Mr President, I know you've created some jobs, and lost some other jobs, and cut some taxes and also now proposing cuts to entitlements, defeated ISIS but not gotten us out of Syria or Afghanistan, but what I want to talk about is you were mean to a guy in a public feud 5 years ago. The American people's choice is clear." Voters don't actually want to be talked down to or like beating dead horses. People need substance to motivate them especially moving uphill against incumbent advantage. They want issues. The problem is people who have the best chances against Trump are not the same group that's likely to win the primary, because they tend not to be DNC favorites, it's the problem Bernie had and probably now Yang will have. As I don't see Bernie doing as well as last time in a less bipolar field with more progressives close to him, thanks to the effect he had on moving people on the issues already. There is another strategic conundrum, which is that if you wanted to alienate Trump's base from him, like for example asking where the wall is and so on and blahblah he failed his core voters, that would make moderates realize his appeal because he didn't do all the terrible hated things it was claimed would be so awful. The guy has no visible disability? Really? Now of course there is plausible deniability on Trumps side since he claims he was just mocking the person like they were groveling. Plus he has done similar hand motions for for other people who he wanted to imply were basically retarded (in the stereotypical sense). However there are a few problems with that defense. First and foremost he has KNOWN THE REPORTER FOR YEARS. As a reporter at the Daily News back in the 80s and 90s, he was on a first name basis with Trump covering his real estate. Trump obsessed over the media and would know who he was working with. Further, his disability makes him even more memorable. On top of that, I suppose it's just a coincidence that right before he launched into the "mocking" part that Trump said: "Now the poor guy... you've got to see this guy." Just a coincidence, sure. This shit is so right wing. Just like the white supremacist ok sign, it's all about plausible deniability and dog whistling. Trump knew he would discuss the man before hand (he brought an article) so I wouldn't put it past him to have planned this. I suppose the final question is does anybody really put it past Trump to do something like this? Is it in his character to mock someone's disability? We all know the answer is "duh." And past all that, even if he wasnt mocking the disability of someone he knows, then instead he is just using the stereotypical "durr im retarded" act. Much better. So presidential. Overall Trump is a low character individual. I sent see nothing wrong with using that line of attack, especially given how easy it is (just look at the McCain stuff - it plays horribly). That kind of stuff has worked well with turning off independents in particular I feel. | ||
brian
United States9610 Posts
lol at ‘petty old chestnuts’ like mocking the disabled, gold star dead veterans and his family, or POWs while both alive or dead. the bar only gets lower. whatever it takes to rationalize blind hatred ignorance and stupidity. we’re talking about the president of the united states btw, in current year. hopefully that’s still easy to forget after reading all that. | ||
On_Slaught
United States12190 Posts
On March 21 2019 22:21 brian wrote: all oblade is telling you is what you already knew, it doesn’t matter to his supporters because the facts are whatever trump and fox news says they are. the man has no obvious disability. Ah, so this is the whole dont believe what you see or hear part Trump spoke of. Fair enough. Regardless, while obviously it isnt the only thing you address, calling him out for the low character person he is should play well with independents who arent bound by some blood pact to accept everything he says as true or acceptable. | ||
Gahlo
United States35094 Posts
On March 21 2019 21:56 Gorgonoth wrote: Completely false. The amount of conservative media which hated trump during the primaries decided to push for him citing things like the Supreme Court and pro life issues is staggering. People really hated Hillary and put aside their dislike for trump and chose what they thought of as the lesser of two evils. The SC and pro-life stances doesn't change regardless of who (realistically) Democrats put up. Even a centrist judge will be labeled as too "left" and nobody is going to get the nomination at the national level without being pro-choice. It has nothing to do with Trump and nothing to do with Hillary. | ||
brian
United States9610 Posts
On March 21 2019 22:27 On_Slaught wrote: Ah, so this is the whole dont believe what you see or hear part Trump spoke of. Fair enough. Regardless, while obviously it isnt the only thing you address, calling him out for the low character person he is should play well with independents who arent bound by some blood pact to accept everything he says as true or acceptable. yea i agree for sure. a wet blanket would compare nicely against that. unfortunately it seems a large portion of the population hate democrats more than Trump hates the less fortunate, so somehow this’ll still be a tight race. someone recently (if it was you my bad) reminded the thread that Trump himself has expressed that his words carry no weight at all and have no relationship with the truth, that he only says what he thinks is most well received. but his supporters still eat it up and repeat it. at that point it really is only independents you can try to court, because clearly there’s just nothing you can say to reach anyone that is only listening for what they want to hear. | ||
Stratos_speAr
United States6959 Posts
On March 21 2019 21:44 Gorgonoth wrote: I think you guys severely underestimate that such a big factor with why trump won is because people had a deep seated hatred for Hillary. It’s far more common among conservatives for people to say “I wasn’t crazy about him, but I sure as hell wasnt going to let Hillary in and that’s what will happen if I don’t vote for him.” Also the idea that he has accomplished nothing is ridiculous. Sure he’s failed on some big issues, but he got conservative judges in, pulled out of TPP, Syria. Cut taxes. Those aren’t small things to a lot of people I talk to about this on a regular basis. 1) Pulling out of TPP isn't necessarily a win. 2) He didn't pull out of Syria. 3) Pulling out of the Iran deal wasn't a good thing. 4) His tax cuts were terrible. The vast majority of people didn't even notice them in their pay check and had to pay significantly more this tax season. 5) He hasn't done anything for the economy that didn't start with Obama, and he's hurt several sectors of the economy with his ridiculous trade war (e.g. agriculture). Trump really hasn't accomplished much of anything positive for the American people overall. | ||
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
| ||
Doodsmack
United States7224 Posts
On March 21 2019 21:59 On_Slaught wrote: The guy has no visible disability? Really? https://twitter.com/NegarMortazavi/status/670069853399752704 Now of course there is plausible deniability on Trumps side since he claims he was just mocking the person like they were groveling. Plus he has done similar hand motions for for other people who he wanted to imply were basically retarded (in the stereotypical sense). However there are a few problems with that defense. First and foremost he has KNOWN THE REPORTER FOR YEARS. As a reporter at the Daily News back in the 80s and 90s, he was on a first name basis with Trump covering his real estate. Trump obsessed over the media and would know who he was working with. Further, his disability makes him even more memorable. On top of that, I suppose it's just a coincidence that right before he launched into the "mocking" part that Trump said: "Now the poor guy... you've got to see this guy." Just a coincidence, sure. This shit is so right wing. Just like the white supremacist ok sign, it's all about plausible deniability and dog whistling. Trump knew he would discuss the man before hand (he brought an article) so I wouldn't put it past him to have planned this. I suppose the final question is does anybody really put it past Trump to do something like this? Is it in his character to mock someone's disability? We all know the answer is "duh." And past all that, even if he wasnt mocking the disability of someone he knows, then instead he is just using the stereotypical "durr im retarded" act. Much better. So presidential. Overall Trump is a low character individual. I sent see nothing wrong with using that line of attack, especially given how easy it is (just look at the McCain stuff - it plays horribly). That kind of stuff has worked well with turning off independents in particular I feel. Yeah that picture says it all. That slight level of plausible denial ability is trumps way of speaking in a slightly veiled manner. Denial of this is simple partisanship. | ||
Nebuchad
Switzerland11933 Posts
On March 21 2019 21:56 Gorgonoth wrote: Completely false. The amount of conservative media which hated trump during the primaries decided to push for him citing things like the Supreme Court and pro life issues is staggering. People really hated Hillary and put aside their dislike for trump and chose what they thought of as the lesser of two evils. Gahlo is most likely right. A large majority of these people will just happen to have something else that will force them to vote for Trump in 2020, even though they really really wanted to vote for the democrat. Rationalizing bad opinions has been part of the conservative playbook for a while now, that's how you get stuff like "I'm not a homophobe I'm a traditionalist". | ||
Gorgonoth
United States468 Posts
On March 21 2019 22:52 Stratos_speAr wrote: 1) Pulling out of TPP isn't necessarily a win. 2) He didn't pull out of Syria. 3) Pulling out of the Iran deal wasn't a good thing. 4) His tax cuts were terrible. The vast majority of people didn't even notice them in their pay check and had to pay significantly more this tax season. 5) He hasn't done anything for the economy that didn't start with Obama, and he's hurt several sectors of the economy with his ridiculous trade war (e.g. agriculture). Trump really hasn't accomplished much of anything positive for the American people overall. On essentially all of those issues I know that you think they are losses, but his supporters don’t. They view the fact that he pulled out of those deals and did cut taxes(regardless of how effective they were) as promised made and kept. I was misinformed on Syria I admit, he just reduced troop totals instead of the withdrawal I expected. And with point 5, it doesn’t really matter to people why the economy is doing well, the fact that it is somehow makes it very hard to best trump IMO. I am just tired of the conception that people that will back trump in 2020 are brainwashed racists. To them Trump has accomplished allot, and the fact that he has no manners or sense of decency on twitter isn’t viewed the same way as you view it. No one thought he was going to be an eloquent orator and a noble guy. He’s a slime ball sure. But he has accomplished things that many conservatives and republicans are happy about. I think he has a very high chance of getting re-elected unless the economy ranks hard. Sorry for rambling posts I can’t keep up with your guys posting frequency. ![]() | ||
brian
United States9610 Posts
On March 21 2019 23:31 Gorgonoth wrote: On essentially all of those issues I know that you think they are losses, but his supporters don’t. They view the fact that he pulled out of those deals and did cut taxes(regardless of how effective they were) as promised made and kept. I was misinformed on Syria I admit, he just reduced troop totals instead of the withdrawal I expected. And with point 5, it doesn’t really matter to people why the economy is doing well, the fact that it is somehow makes it very hard to best trump IMO. I am just tired of the conception that people that will back trump in 2020 are brainwashed racists. To them Trump has accomplished allot, and the fact that he has no manners or sense of decency on twitter isn’t viewed the same way as you view it. No one thought he was going to be an eloquent orator and a noble guy. He’s a slime ball sure. But he has accomplished things that many conservatives and republicans are happy about. I think he has a very high chance of getting re-elected unless the economy ranks hard. Sorry for rambling posts I can’t keep up with your guys posting frequency. ![]() with respect, hopefully you can appreciate an argument against being brainwashed that is essentially ‘we just believe different things on these set of facts(TPP excepted, that’s not a fact)’ is a uniquely poor argument against being brainwashed. i am specifically not addressing whether or not people assume racism in this, i don’t think racism really enters the discussion at this point. and for the sake of clarity, brainwashed certainly isn’t a word of my choosing. but you are essentially building the case against yourself. | ||
Dangermousecatdog
United Kingdom7084 Posts
| ||
oBlade
United States5294 Posts
On March 21 2019 20:02 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote: If moderates vote for trump in the coming election, they weren't moderates to begin with. There is no policy he has achieved while in office, to warrant them giving him another go. This next election should be a landslide for the den candidate I don't mind being the only Machiavellian to note this but your enemies aren't sitting in the White House and Senate waiting to be landslid. Sticking to the same hubris of it's finally the end for Trump, he's not serious, he won't get nominated, he won't win, he'll get impeached, he won't get reelected, this election is your last opportunity so it might be worth trying something new. | ||
Doodsmack
United States7224 Posts
| ||
| ||