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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 410

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Banaora
Profile Joined May 2013
Germany234 Posts
January 30 2016 11:42 GMT
#8181
But we were told by our media that there are so many engineers and doctors coming from Syria... Makes me wonder why they told us these lies. I think, to grow support to have them. But why? Does anyone really believe the story about humanism and compassion?

Where was this compassion when dealing with our European neighbours then? Greece anyone... The billions the refugee crisis will cost Europe could have been put to use to boost the economy in the south. What is going on?
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
January 30 2016 12:01 GMT
#8182
i went with conspiracy theories on this a while ago; shit hasn't been making sense for some time now.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
silynxer
Profile Joined April 2006
Germany439 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-30 12:41:20
January 30 2016 12:24 GMT
#8183
You are looking for coherence where there is none.

[EDIT]: m4ini, can you link to the comparable numbers from former years? Would be interesting.
GoTuNk!
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Chile4591 Posts
January 30 2016 12:47 GMT
#8184
On January 30 2016 20:12 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2016 17:05 FuzzyJAM wrote:
On January 29 2016 23:38 trulojucreathrma.com wrote:
Btw, Palestine is already occupying Israel. Ever heard of the west bank?

In a thread of "WTF? statements", this has to take the cake.


That seemed sarcastic, like the rest of his posting.


In other news, for germany we have now solid numbers on how amazing refugees and immigrants are for the economy. Remember? One of the big arguments, talking about how they will be a motor and whatnot?

You form your opinion.

[image loading]

Unemployment quota, top left is germany overall, top right is foreigner general. Rest is selfexplanatory.

And before people jump the gun: these numbers are not just "the recent months". It has been like this since 2010.

Experts are saying that this trend won't change, and that for the forseeable future refugees/immigrants will be a burden on the german welfare system.


People who don't speak the language properly, don't share western values and have no education at all have problems integrating into the workforce. Who would have thought?
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-30 12:55:37
January 30 2016 12:52 GMT
#8185
On January 30 2016 21:24 silynxer wrote:
You are looking for coherence where there is none.

[EDIT]: m4ini, can you link to the comparable numbers from former years? Would be interesting.


http://www.welt.de/wirtschaft/article151637452/Die-Wahrheit-ueber-das-Fluechtlings-Jobwunder.html

Not other graphs, but they explain the trend.

So war die Arbeitslosenquote nach den Zahlen des IAB, dem Forschungsinstitut der Bundesagentur für Arbeit, unter Syrern, Irakern und Afghanen schon Ende 2010 mit jeweils rund 32 Prozent deutlich höher als bei anderen Herkunftsländern. Bei den Libanesen betrug sie auch damals schon fast 50 Prozent.


"The unemployment-quota according to numbers of the IAB, the research institute of the Bundesagentur fuer Arbeit (jobcenter, basically), for syrians, iraqis and afghans already was considerably higher at the end of 2010 compared to other countries of origin. For lebanese, back then it already was almost 50%". (it's now in the 70s, sidenote).

People who don't speak the language properly, don't share western values and have no education at all have problems integrating into the workforce. Who would have thought?


I never questioned that. It's a common argument of "no upper limit!!!12" folks to argue that they totally will boost economy and stuff. Which obviously is not working that way, especially not in a country like germany, where qualified/specialized personnel is wanted the most. It's dumb to assume that we somehow "make" millions of jobs for people who struggle with basic math and can't speak german.

On track to MA1950A.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8750 Posts
January 30 2016 12:54 GMT
#8186
On January 30 2016 20:41 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2016 20:20 Doublemint wrote:
yeah well... syria was not that much of an economic powerhouse to begin with, add to that the repercussions of the GFC + an upcoming war in 2011 lol.

like, I get what you are trying to say, but apples and oranges.


The war prevents people from working in germany?

I'd say your argument is "apples and oranges". Maybe i didn't explain the graph well, that's not unemployment rate in syria (which your argument would work with), but it's syrians being unemployed in germany. Which has nothing to do with what's going on in syria.

edit: screw me not explaining stuff, you're able to read german. Read the title of the graph.


ah I misunderstood your point, my bad. you are saying there won't be any jobs for them in germany .

I would agree with that, though the way things are going with industry 4.0 - there won't be that many jobs left for generations to come. for all of us.
we better start thinking about that problem soon, even people at the WEF in davos were pretty concerned about it. lesser hours for everybody to spread the workload, less profit motif, basic income, machine tax. I don't know, fucking experts with many PhDs that studied this shit for years don't know.

but yes, there is some moral hazard involved. you don't have enough jobs for your people, but invite others in to participate. although, about half of the people won't be eligible for asylum anyway. people getting asylum and staying legally cannot work for years to come, the laws are that way in austria, I guess in germany as well.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-30 13:09:15
January 30 2016 13:00 GMT
#8187
On January 30 2016 21:54 Doublemint wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2016 20:41 m4ini wrote:
On January 30 2016 20:20 Doublemint wrote:
yeah well... syria was not that much of an economic powerhouse to begin with, add to that the repercussions of the GFC + an upcoming war in 2011 lol.

like, I get what you are trying to say, but apples and oranges.


The war prevents people from working in germany?

I'd say your argument is "apples and oranges". Maybe i didn't explain the graph well, that's not unemployment rate in syria (which your argument would work with), but it's syrians being unemployed in germany. Which has nothing to do with what's going on in syria.

edit: screw me not explaining stuff, you're able to read german. Read the title of the graph.


ah I misunderstood your point, my bad. you are saying there won't be any jobs for them in germany .

I would agree with that, though the way things are going with industry 4.0 - there won't be that many jobs left for generations to come. for all of us.
we better start thinking about that problem soon, even people at the WEF in davos were pretty concerned about it. lesser hours for everybody to spread the workload, less profit motif, basic income, machine tax. I don't know, fucking experts with many PhDs that studied this shit for years don't know.

but yes, there is some moral hazard involved. you don't have enough jobs for your people, but invite others in to participate. although, about half of the people won't be eligible for asylum anyway. people getting asylum and staying legally cannot work for years to come, the laws are that way in austria, I guess in germany as well.


I actually don't think there's a moral problem. And yes, it's the same in germany. But that's missing the point: even the people that COULD work, legally, don't. At least half of them (it's a ridiculous number). Now i'm not saying that employers don't play a role in that, if you have two equally skilled people for a construction-job, working for the same money, i take the one i expect the least trouble with. Starting from extra-pauses for praying, to the simple matter of me being able to explain shit in german, other than trying to talk with hands and feet, pointing at stuff and hoping it gets done (i almost had a nervous breakdown when the moving company-boss dude went for coffee and had his staff alone in my appartment because they didn't get what i was saying).

There's no shortage of undereducated people in germany, regardless of what others say. Do they want to do certain ("shit") jobs? Hell no. But neither do immigrants for the most part, so there's no argument to be made either.

edit: another big problem, that pretty much makes the "boost for economy though!!12" impossible, is that 60% of the balkan-immigrants of the 90s already went back because their home country improved. Now, that's absolutely legit, i love my country (for the most part anyway), and i would totally do the same. BUT. That makes it pretty much impossible to put decent programs into action, like qualifications. No employer/company looks at that number and goes "well, lets roll a dice and train that dude". They'll go with the underqualified german, which stays there.
On track to MA1950A.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-30 14:18:38
January 30 2016 14:17 GMT
#8188
anecdotal evidence but from what i know, the people coming back here (from Germany of w/e) are not qualified in anything.
the majority of the qualified(either left already qualified or qualified there) migrants remain there.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
trulojucreathrma.com
Profile Blog Joined December 2015
United States327 Posts
January 30 2016 14:53 GMT
#8189
Every European country needs more workers. It is an issue of supply and demand. A demand in skilled workers needs to be avoided at all cost.

There always needs to be a shortage of jobs so there is a surplus of skilled workers. A certain number of unemployed skilled workers are needed. This keeps wages down. Once supply and demand become balanced, as there are less unemployed skilled workers, wages will go up and many companies in Europe suddenly can't compete with the US or Asia any more, meaning a collapse of the manufacturing industry in Europe and more unemployed people than before.

It is a race to the bottom. Europe has to balance on a knife edge here as labour unions aren't crippled like they are in the US.
Elizar
Profile Joined February 2010
Germany431 Posts
January 30 2016 15:12 GMT
#8190
On January 30 2016 23:53 trulojucreathrma.com wrote:
Every European country needs more workers. It is an issue of supply and demand. A demand in skilled workers needs to be avoided at all cost.

There always needs to be a shortage of jobs so there is a surplus of skilled workers. A certain number of unemployed skilled workers are needed. This keeps wages down. Once supply and demand become balanced, as there are less unemployed skilled workers, wages will go up and many companies in Europe suddenly can't compete with the US or Asia any more, meaning a collapse of the manufacturing industry in Europe and more unemployed people than before.

It is a race to the bottom. Europe has to balance on a knife edge here as labour unions aren't crippled like they are in the US.


Meanwhile the rich get richer while the poor get poorer. Maybe we fix that contribution-of-money problem and we wouldnt have that problem with the downwards spiral. So raise the wages, but that has to be done everywhere simultaneously and therefore wont happen.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9299 Posts
January 30 2016 15:34 GMT
#8191
On January 30 2016 20:12 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2016 17:05 FuzzyJAM wrote:
On January 29 2016 23:38 trulojucreathrma.com wrote:
Btw, Palestine is already occupying Israel. Ever heard of the west bank?

In a thread of "WTF? statements", this has to take the cake.


That seemed sarcastic, like the rest of his posting.


In other news, for germany we have now solid numbers on how amazing refugees and immigrants are for the economy. Remember? One of the big arguments, talking about how they will be a motor and whatnot?

You form your opinion.

[image loading]

Unemployment quota, top left is germany overall, top right is foreigner general. Rest is selfexplanatory.

And before people jump the gun: these numbers are not just "the recent months". It has been like this since 2010.

Experts are saying that this trend won't change, and that for the forseeable future refugees/immigrants will be a burden on the german welfare system.


The only thing that surprises me about this graph is that there is more unemployment among Syrians than among people from Afghanistan. I would expect Syrians to have much better education and culture closer to European than Afghanis. However I don't believe all those people who said they're Syrian are actually from that country so maybe it's different in reality.
You're now breathing manually
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 30 2016 16:45 GMT
#8192
Tens of thousands of people have gathered in Rome to protest against legislation that would allow civil unions for same-sex couples in Italy.

It is the only major western nation yet to grant gay couples the power to make a legal commitment or adopt children.

The Italian senate began examining the bill on Thursday. Its supporters argue that it must be voted in following repeated complaints from the European court of human rights about the country’s failure to change the law.

However, opponents hope their protest on Saturday, backed by the Catholic church, will prevent that happening. A similar “family day” protest in 2007 forced Romano Prodi’s government to abandon a much less ambitious civil union proposal.

The senate is expected to vote on the bill in mid-February before it goes to the lower house of parliament.

The Italian Bishops Conference (CEI) said on Friday it was concerned about the “process under way of putting marriage and civil unions on the same level – with the introduction of an alternative to the family”. Last week, Pope Francis reiterated the Catholic church’s opposition to gay marriage, saying that the traditional family was “the family God wants”.

Rally organiser Massimo Gandolfini called on as many people as possible to take part in “the only weapon we have”. Simone Pillon, another organiser, said: “We want the whole law to be withdrawn, no ifs and no buts. Children need to have a father and a mother.”

The prime minister, Matteo Renzi, has said he is confident the bill will pass, although his coalition partners oppose the adoption of children by a gay spouse. The Catholic fringe of Renzi’s Democratic party has similar objections.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9299 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-30 17:02:38
January 30 2016 17:01 GMT
#8193
The Italian senate began examining the bill on Thursday. Its supporters argue that it must be voted in following repeated complaints from the European court of human rights about the country’s failure to change the law.


More than a half of signatories to the European Convention of Human Rights don't allow same-sex marriage, what's the basis for demanding from Italy to change to it's laws?
You're now breathing manually
hfglgg
Profile Joined December 2012
Germany5372 Posts
January 30 2016 17:01 GMT
#8194
On January 31 2016 00:34 Sent. wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2016 20:12 m4ini wrote:
On January 30 2016 17:05 FuzzyJAM wrote:
On January 29 2016 23:38 trulojucreathrma.com wrote:
Btw, Palestine is already occupying Israel. Ever heard of the west bank?

In a thread of "WTF? statements", this has to take the cake.


That seemed sarcastic, like the rest of his posting.


In other news, for germany we have now solid numbers on how amazing refugees and immigrants are for the economy. Remember? One of the big arguments, talking about how they will be a motor and whatnot?

You form your opinion.

[image loading]

Unemployment quota, top left is germany overall, top right is foreigner general. Rest is selfexplanatory.

And before people jump the gun: these numbers are not just "the recent months". It has been like this since 2010.

Experts are saying that this trend won't change, and that for the forseeable future refugees/immigrants will be a burden on the german welfare system.


The only thing that surprises me about this graph is that there is more unemployment among Syrians than among people from Afghanistan. I would expect Syrians to have much better education and culture closer to European than Afghanis. However I don't believe all those people who said they're Syrian are actually from that country so maybe it's different in reality.


a lot of syrians have recently come to germany while iraqis might have been here for a couple of years more. time is relevant to get anywhere in a new environment. additionally refugees, or foreign people in general tend to clump together, syrians are heading for berlin while iraqis trying to get to hamburg. the thing here is that there is nothing in berlin that is even remotely similar to work while hamburg does better economically.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-30 21:38:19
January 30 2016 17:24 GMT
#8195
Refugees aren't allowed to work for up to 16 months legally , are they included in these numbers?
SoSexy
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Italy3725 Posts
January 30 2016 23:18 GMT
#8196
On January 29 2016 22:20 nitram wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2016 22:14 RvB wrote:
Yes war on your doorstep is fantastic. Especially when it spawns factions who want to conquer your country.

Are you serious? As if some factions are more dangerous than unified arabic countries that want to conquer you.


Nitram your ignorance on this argument is mind boggling. Please stop embarassing yourself.
Dating thread on TL LUL
Saumure
Profile Joined February 2012
France404 Posts
January 31 2016 00:21 GMT
#8197
This
Analysis of 5704 original tweets containing #RefugeesWelcome” hashtag and a country name lead to even larger gap between Germany and the rest of Europe:
[image loading]
The next step is to study the source twitter accounts where the hashtag #RefugeesWelcome + Germany originate. Next diagram shows the countries of origin of the relevant twitter accounts (where they could be idenfitied):
[image loading]
As you see, only 6,4% of all tweets with “#RefugeesWelcome”+Germany came from Germany itself. Almost half of them were originated from UK, USA and Australia! Looks like your remote planetmates are blushlessly inviting guests to visit your home without inquiring your opinion beforehand!
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
January 31 2016 00:43 GMT
#8198
[image loading]
dismiss
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United Kingdom3341 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-31 00:58:03
January 31 2016 00:56 GMT
#8199
til the uk has more inhabitants than germany, and india has fewer
Failure to improve posting standards will result in a lengthy ban. I <crms_> !dumb <GeoffAnderson> crmsdota <crms_> damnit
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-31 01:35:14
January 31 2016 01:30 GMT
#8200
*in the twitterverse
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