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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 263

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6304 Posts
September 07 2015 13:21 GMT
#5241
Those numbers really don't seem that big at all. It's like 20k for NL in total on a population of 16m.This doesn't seem anywhere close to the mass numbers they're portrayed as.
Faust852
Profile Joined February 2012
Luxembourg4004 Posts
September 07 2015 13:25 GMT
#5242
On September 07 2015 22:21 RvB wrote:
Those numbers really don't seem that big at all. It's like 20k for NL in total on a population of 16m.This doesn't seem anywhere close to the mass numbers they're portrayed as.

Yep, seems really low to what we usually hear. I guess those are the "accepted" refugees and not the applicants.
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9326 Posts
September 07 2015 13:31 GMT
#5243
Whatever, they can even tell us to take 40k refugees and it wont change anything because they will migrate to Germany instantly. They have no reason to stay in Poland and keeping them here by force would be just dumb. I hope EU wont try to make us pay for supporting immigrants in Western Europe because that would be extremely unfair to poor people in Poland.
You're now breathing manually
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22492 Posts
September 07 2015 13:38 GMT
#5244
Good point. the EU has open borders after all. We distribute them around to spread the load, fine (not going to comment on how fair the numbers are) but what keeps them there after? What stops half of them running to country X the first chance they get?
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Faust852
Profile Joined February 2012
Luxembourg4004 Posts
September 07 2015 13:44 GMT
#5245
Actually, to be fair, once they are processed (ID, fingerprints, etc...) they would be logged into a database. This make it impossible for them to find a job or ask for healthcare in another country, and if they get arrested, they will be moved back to their host country.
OFC everything of that cost money
lord_nibbler
Profile Joined March 2004
Germany591 Posts
September 07 2015 14:06 GMT
#5246
On September 07 2015 22:38 Gorsameth wrote:
Good point. the EU has open borders after all. We distribute them around to spread the load, fine (not going to comment on how fair the numbers are) but what keeps them there after? What stops half of them running to country X the first chance they get?
What is stopping you from moving to Spain and applying for benefits?
Once refugees have been granted a residence permit they are bound to a country just like you are to your's.
Faust852
Profile Joined February 2012
Luxembourg4004 Posts
September 07 2015 14:15 GMT
#5247
On September 07 2015 23:06 lord_nibbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2015 22:38 Gorsameth wrote:
Good point. the EU has open borders after all. We distribute them around to spread the load, fine (not going to comment on how fair the numbers are) but what keeps them there after? What stops half of them running to country X the first chance they get?
What is stopping you from moving to Spain and applying for benefits?
Once refugees have been granted a residence permit they are bound to a country just like you are to your's.

You technically can, lot of people do. But people have bonds, cultures, that prevent them to leave that easily.
It might be cool to move to Luxembourg right ? But how will you do it if you don't speak at least one of the 3 languages requested, and don't have the qualification requiered to find employment ? Yeah healthcare in Luxembourg in probably the best in the world but the reason you only got 550k inhabitants is because you have to find a job in a very high technical service industry.
If you are from say Poland, nothing prevent you to leave and go in Spain, but good luck finding employment there too, especially if you don't speak the language, you have to leave your family and friends, etc...
Refugees don't have this issue at all since anyway they'll start from 0.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-07 14:35:53
September 07 2015 14:34 GMT
#5248
On September 07 2015 23:15 Faust852 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2015 23:06 lord_nibbler wrote:
On September 07 2015 22:38 Gorsameth wrote:
Good point. the EU has open borders after all. We distribute them around to spread the load, fine (not going to comment on how fair the numbers are) but what keeps them there after? What stops half of them running to country X the first chance they get?
What is stopping you from moving to Spain and applying for benefits?
Once refugees have been granted a residence permit they are bound to a country just like you are to your's.

You technically can, lot of people do. But people have bonds, cultures, that prevent them to leave that easily.
It might be cool to move to Luxembourg right ? But how will you do it if you don't speak at least one of the 3 languages requested, and don't have the qualification requiered to find employment ? Yeah healthcare in Luxembourg in probably the best in the world but the reason you only got 550k inhabitants is because you have to find a job in a very high technical service industry.
If you are from say Poland, nothing prevent you to leave and go in Spain, but good luck finding employment there too, especially if you don't speak the language, you have to leave your family and friends, etc...
Refugees don't have this issue at all since anyway they'll start from 0.

Why would you go to luxemburg is what I'm asking myself ? Aside for rich dudes who want less taxes that is.



If I had the choice I'd go to south america, somewhere like Brazil or Argentina. The girls out there are just beautiful... ho and the landscape of course.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
GoTuNk!
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Chile4591 Posts
September 07 2015 14:49 GMT
#5249
Yeah, Argentina is a great place to work and thrive. lol.

Venezuelan woman are also beautiful, maybe try your luck there.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-07 14:50:17
September 07 2015 14:49 GMT
#5250
overall, we have to take in 6,351(of 160,000) and we're legally obliged to join the Schengen Area someday(in theory at least).
we didn't ask to get 4k since we only have room in our refugee centers for 1500 and ~250 of those are already taken.

the thing is, there are organized human trafficking networks here that could easily smuggle them outside.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Faust852
Profile Joined February 2012
Luxembourg4004 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-09-07 14:53:17
September 07 2015 14:50 GMT
#5251
On September 07 2015 23:34 WhiteDog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2015 23:15 Faust852 wrote:
On September 07 2015 23:06 lord_nibbler wrote:
On September 07 2015 22:38 Gorsameth wrote:
Good point. the EU has open borders after all. We distribute them around to spread the load, fine (not going to comment on how fair the numbers are) but what keeps them there after? What stops half of them running to country X the first chance they get?
What is stopping you from moving to Spain and applying for benefits?
Once refugees have been granted a residence permit they are bound to a country just like you are to your's.

You technically can, lot of people do. But people have bonds, cultures, that prevent them to leave that easily.
It might be cool to move to Luxembourg right ? But how will you do it if you don't speak at least one of the 3 languages requested, and don't have the qualification requiered to find employment ? Yeah healthcare in Luxembourg in probably the best in the world but the reason you only got 550k inhabitants is because you have to find a job in a very high technical service industry.
If you are from say Poland, nothing prevent you to leave and go in Spain, but good luck finding employment there too, especially if you don't speak the language, you have to leave your family and friends, etc...
Refugees don't have this issue at all since anyway they'll start from 0.

Why would you go to luxemburg is what I'm asking myself ? Aside for rich dudes who want less taxes that is.



If I had the choice I'd go to south america, somewhere like Brazil or Argentina. The girls out there are just beautiful... ho and the landscape of course.


Well, why'd you think there are over 1M commutees every day in Luxembourg ? Salary is quite huge compared to the rest of EU, on par with Switzerland but without the insane cost of living since you can live in a neighbor country.
One of the big plus of getting LUX citizenship though is the 0% taxe in direct succession. In Belgium, especially in the Wallonia side, you get taxed at 40% in direct lineage, that's absurde.
But heh, Luxembourg is a beautiful country too ^^, it's the cleanest country I ever visited, landscape are nice, healthcare too. It's also an economic pole so you can get to work for Fortune 500 companies that aren't always in every big city.
And the meteo is just fitting for me I don't like hotter climate and really don't mind the rain or the snow :p
Anyway, if the socio-economy world stay the same for 50 years, I'll definitly move to a country like Estonia, Romania or whatever once I retire
Beautiful women are everywhere too !
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 07 2015 15:01 GMT
#5252
On September 07 2015 17:53 Faust852 wrote:
Sanctions weighed for nations that refuse refugees
Show nested quote +
LUXEMBOURG — The EU is considering imposing sanctions on countries that do not want to take part in a proposed new relocation scheme for 120,000 refugees, a senior diplomat told POLITICO, though the idea is being floated mainly to put pressure on reluctant countries.

The source refused to say whether the proposal was discussed in the informal meeting of foreign affairs ministers that took place in Luxembourg Saturday morning.

According to several media reports, an option under consideration is that countries that do not want to take in refugees would be offered an opt-out clause, but they would have to pay to use it. This sanction fund would then be used to support countries that do take part in the new relocation.

But a diplomat from Slovakia, one of the countries that opposes mandatory relocation schemes, said, “We do not want any payment, nor mandatory quotas… We need to prevent people from coming.” He said that Slovakia will not oppose decisions taken by the majority of EU countries.

The Slovak diplomat stressed that his country did not see the situation in the same way as Hungary, whose prime minister Viktor Orbán has been critical of Berlin’s decision to open the door to Syrian refugees.

Germany, for its part, stressed the need to quickly find solutions.

The German Foreign Affairs minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, told reporters that the European Council scheduled for October 15 would be “too late” and that Europe should have a summit at an earlier date.

Ministers spent the informal meeting ministers “brainstorming” on possible ideas to find a solution for the humanitarian crisis, said another EU diplomat. “Ministers agree that they have to do something — the problem is what,” the source said.

Federica Mogherini, the EU foreign affairs chief, confirmed a lack of consensus.

“Discussion today was difficult, I admit that,” she said at a press conference wrapping up the summit.

One point of contention was the creation of hot-spots to identify refugees in countries outside the European Union, said Mogherini. The issue is complicated by three main factors, she added: the location, the resources and the guarantee that those who are entitled to be asylum seekers are then in fact accepted in Europe. And the funding for these hot-spots, she argued, “would require enormous resources from our side.”

The EU foreign affairs chief also stressed that “this is partially a migrant flow but it is mainly a refugee flow,” meaning the majority of those who arrive to Europe are entitled to stay. And now “we have started seeing also Palestinians in the flow” of refugees arriving.

She also repeated that the naval mission, Eunavfor Med, launched in May by Europe to cope with people smugglers, is ready to move from phase one (intelligence gathering) to the first part of phase two (operating in international waters).

For this, at least, she said: “I have found a large consensus.”

The Italian Foreign minister, Paolo Gentiloni, echoed that sentiment, when leaving the summit, telling reporters that “it is possible to launch phase two by the end of the month.”

Yet some are skeptical.

“So far I have seen no results and the evidence is that people keep on coming,” said a diplomat from Eastern Europe.

As another diplomat from Britain said a few days ago: “the fear is that we can get stuck in the international water whereas this mission will be effective only if and when it will have the chance to get into Libyan waters.”

The ministers also discussed the future of the Dublin agreement, a key element of EU migration policy that requires asylum-seekers to be identified and stay in the country where they first arrive.

Said another EU diplomat, “Anyway, after the German decision and with the relocation system in place, [Dublin] is already a dead agreement.”


That doesn't look good for the EU.

Hooray, let's use sanctions to push a political agenda.
Sooner or later this is going to backfire. Immigration is a serious issue for some countries, and they will not be so willing to comply.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5857 Posts
September 07 2015 15:57 GMT
#5253
On September 07 2015 08:51 Faust852 wrote:
The netherlands has already a far-right PM, Hungary too. Poland might elect one too.


Poland is not going to have a far-right PM anytime soon. Law and Justice (PiS) is not a far-right party, it is rather center-right. It is milder than Hungary's Fidesz, which I wouldn't consider far-right either. Jobbik is far-right.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22492 Posts
September 07 2015 16:13 GMT
#5254
On September 08 2015 00:57 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2015 08:51 Faust852 wrote:
The netherlands has already a far-right PM, Hungary too. Poland might elect one too.


Poland is not going to have a far-right PM anytime soon. Law and Justice (PiS) is not a far-right party, it is rather center-right. It is milder than Hungary's Fidesz, which I wouldn't consider far-right either. Jobbik is far-right.

Dont worry, his post is wrong in multiple counts. Netherlands hasn't had a far-right PM either.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 07 2015 16:36 GMT
#5255
Personally, I'd be surprised if extreme candidates actually won, because by virtue of being extreme they don't really represent the majority opinion on most issues. But the first time I heard of FN many years ago, it was a small, irrelevant party and I thought it would stay that way forever - same with the rest of the far-right EU groups. It was surprising when I found how much it has grown in recent years. But they are making a point that too many mainstream parties are ignoring, so it makes sense.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Faust852
Profile Joined February 2012
Luxembourg4004 Posts
September 07 2015 16:39 GMT
#5256
On September 08 2015 01:13 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 08 2015 00:57 maybenexttime wrote:
On September 07 2015 08:51 Faust852 wrote:
The netherlands has already a far-right PM, Hungary too. Poland might elect one too.


Poland is not going to have a far-right PM anytime soon. Law and Justice (PiS) is not a far-right party, it is rather center-right. It is milder than Hungary's Fidesz, which I wouldn't consider far-right either. Jobbik is far-right.

Dont worry, his post is wrong in multiple counts. Netherlands hasn't had a far-right PM either.

I corrected myself about the NL PM, I misread wikipedia.
And wasn't PiS taken over by nationalist ? I might by out of date but I'm fairly sure I read about that somewhere.
Faust852
Profile Joined February 2012
Luxembourg4004 Posts
September 07 2015 16:42 GMT
#5257
On September 08 2015 01:39 Faust852 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 08 2015 01:13 Gorsameth wrote:
On September 08 2015 00:57 maybenexttime wrote:
On September 07 2015 08:51 Faust852 wrote:
The netherlands has already a far-right PM, Hungary too. Poland might elect one too.


Poland is not going to have a far-right PM anytime soon. Law and Justice (PiS) is not a far-right party, it is rather center-right. It is milder than Hungary's Fidesz, which I wouldn't consider far-right either. Jobbik is far-right.

Dont worry, his post is wrong in multiple counts. Netherlands hasn't had a far-right PM either.

I corrected myself about the NL PM, I misread wikipedia.
And wasn't PiS taken over by nationalist ? I might by out of date but I'm fairly sure I read about that somewhere.

Following every country's politic is hard man
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4768 Posts
September 07 2015 16:46 GMT
#5258
PiS isnt far right, but they arent exactly pro european or pro imigration either. They are very conservative, at least on paper and if they win election they will liekly support Orban.
Pathetic Greta hater.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22492 Posts
September 07 2015 16:51 GMT
#5259
On September 08 2015 01:36 LegalLord wrote:
Personally, I'd be surprised if extreme candidates actually won, because by virtue of being extreme they don't really represent the majority opinion on most issues. But the first time I heard of FN many years ago, it was a small, irrelevant party and I thought it would stay that way forever - same with the rest of the far-right EU groups. It was surprising when I found how much it has grown in recent years. But they are making a point that too many mainstream parties are ignoring, so it makes sense.

I don't know about other countries but in the Netherlands part of their support is ofcourse then anti immigration stance but a part is also a rebellion against the 'established' parties. People who feel like their voice is not being heard and so reach towards extremes to make a statement.
It muddies the lines a lot about how many people actually support the anti foreigner stance.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 07 2015 17:02 GMT
#5260
On September 08 2015 01:51 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 08 2015 01:36 LegalLord wrote:
Personally, I'd be surprised if extreme candidates actually won, because by virtue of being extreme they don't really represent the majority opinion on most issues. But the first time I heard of FN many years ago, it was a small, irrelevant party and I thought it would stay that way forever - same with the rest of the far-right EU groups. It was surprising when I found how much it has grown in recent years. But they are making a point that too many mainstream parties are ignoring, so it makes sense.

I don't know about other countries but in the Netherlands part of their support is ofcourse then anti immigration stance but a part is also a rebellion against the 'established' parties. People who feel like their voice is not being heard and so reach towards extremes to make a statement.
It muddies the lines a lot about how many people actually support the anti foreigner stance.

Similarly, I'm sure there are a lot of anti-immigration voters who don't vote for the radicals simply because they think that those radicals wouldn't actually be good leaders.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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