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IPCC: Humans are primary cause of Climate Change - Page 5

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Yorbon
Profile Joined December 2011
Netherlands4272 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-27 21:29:02
September 27 2013 21:25 GMT
#81
I feel somewhat troubled by an action-demanding report, which can't be falsified until 'years later'. (regardless of truth)
GhastlyUprising
Profile Joined August 2013
198 Posts
September 27 2013 21:28 GMT
#82
On September 28 2013 06:14 Sefer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 28 2013 06:05 GhastlyUprising wrote:
On September 28 2013 05:46 Sefer wrote:
So there you go, we are much heavier polluters now days, but like I mentioned in parenthesis above, and which is something I didn't know before today, we aren experiencing a pause in global warming. Someone correct me on that if I read it wrong in the publication.
There hasn't been a "pause" in global warming; it's just that the rate has been unusually slow the last 15 years compared with the trend since 1951. The average temperature of the Earth always fluctuates. The important question is what is the "secular", non-varying, long-term contribution to global warming?


Well the article I read used the term "pause", but even if it was a decrease in the rate of warming in the last 15 years, that would seem counterintuitive if we are to buy in the the theory that green-house gases are the cause, right? I wouldn't be surprised if we produce more pollution in 1 year now than in 10-20 years in 1951 and decades following.
It's not counter-intuitive in the least. The average temperature of the Earth fluctuates wildly. There's many factors other than global warming, such as the solar cycle and volcanic ash blocking out sunlight.

It's an utterly trivial, basic scientific concept. A function with lots of periodic terms, and a secular term which will eventually dominate the periodic terms.
GhastlyUprising
Profile Joined August 2013
198 Posts
September 27 2013 21:32 GMT
#83
On September 28 2013 06:23 TheOneWhoKnocks wrote:
I love how you narrow the entire argument down to reproduction. Obviously that wasn't the only thing I was referring to, and obviously when you talk about "stupid humans" you are referring to more than our propensity to reproduce a lot. If the choice is authoritarian statism or a damaged environment, I'll take a damaged environment.
Who cares what YOU would take? Nobody cares about your opinion. The vast majority of people would take life over death. The vast majority of people are quite aware that living in China would be preferable to living on Venus.
Squat
Profile Joined September 2013
Sweden7978 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-27 21:35:21
September 27 2013 21:33 GMT
#84
On September 28 2013 06:23 TheOneWhoKnocks wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 28 2013 05:19 GhastlyUprising wrote:
On September 28 2013 04:20 TheOneWhoKnocks wrote:
I'm just saying, if the options are "sorry kids, we ruined your environment" or "sorry kids, you are slaves to overlords because we decided you would be too stupid to make your own decisions," I'd lean heavily toward the former.
When you cut through the sentimental hyperbole, what you're really saying is that you'd rather everyone on the planet dies than we introduce a Chinese-style one-child policy.

Show nested quote +
On September 28 2013 04:31 Squat wrote:
On September 28 2013 04:20 TheOneWhoKnocks wrote:
On September 28 2013 04:09 Squat wrote:
On September 28 2013 04:01 TheOneWhoKnocks wrote:
It has to start somewhere, and if humans in general are too stupid and self-centered to set aside their own impulsive desires then someone will have to make that decision for them.

Honestly, I wouldn't want to live or bring children into a world like that. I guess that makes your plan effective.

So what's your magical solution then? If there is no miracle technology to provide us with an abundance of clean energy, if people don't want to give up things like cars, running water, the internet, cheap food in the grocery store etc, if we continue to reproduce at breakneck pace, what then?
Crash and burn, leave a post it note for our great grandchildren that says "sorry guys, we kinda messed up, I think there are some snickers bars buried under the rubble of Buckingham Palace, good luck"?

Every time I make this point, I'm met by the same objection, essentially "you're mean!". I just like looking at reality the way it is. If anyone has any alternative solutions they would be more than welcome. Apparently having less children to try to ensure that the ones we actually do produce have something to eat and clean air to breathe is absolutely inhumane and horrific.

I'm just saying, if the options are "sorry kids, we ruined your environment" or "sorry kids, you are slaves to overlords because we decided you would be too stupid to make your own decisions," I'd lean heavily toward the former.

Yes, because the government would not support your excessive production of offspring you would be a slave. An incomprehensible comparison.

We have rules about what you can dump in the water because of the common good, because sensible people realise that clean water is kind of essential. I don't see how having rules about how many children you can churn out and still expect to receive support would be so much worse. We are riddled with rules about our children save for how many of them we can have, the most important part.

I love how you narrow the entire argument down to reproduction. Obviously that wasn't the only thing I was referring to, and obviously when you talk about "stupid humans" you are referring to more than our propensity to reproduce a lot. If the choice is authoritarian statism or a damaged environment, I'll take a damaged environment.

You do understand you are quoting two different people, right?

But still, we'll give it a go.
Problem: Rate of resource consumption and environmental destruction unsustainable.
Solution: Reduce resource consumption by limiting the use of modern appliances and technology.
Projection: Not good, odds of convincing enough people to give up fossil fuel, industrialized agriculture, invest heavily into alternative energy sources, make personal sacrifices for the sake of the planet? Rather low.
Alternative solution: Reduce number of consumers, i.e. humans, thereby reducing overall rate of resource consumption.

The person who said that we would have to basically to back to the stone ages was right, we have gotten too used to modern comforts and tools, and most people lack the perspective to put the species before themselves. As long as there is money to be made by raping our planet and as long as no personal repercussions result from living the way we are, zero fucks will be given. If individual humans simply cannot be trusted to have the foresight and self-control needed, we need fewer individual humans. It's not exactly rocket science.
"Digital. They have digital. What is digital?" - Donald J Trump
Rassy
Profile Joined August 2010
Netherlands2308 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-27 21:43:14
September 27 2013 21:37 GMT
#85
Find this whole climate thing a bit hypocrite tbh.
The biggest contributers to global warming (the usa and the west in general) are also the ones who make the biggest problem out of it. We get these reports over and over from mostly western scientists yet the usa still has not signed kyoto threaty, let alone actually started with lowering their greenhouse gas output.
Tons of people here on the forum also say how bad it is and that something must be done, though my guess is less then 5% of them actually votes for a "green" party, or a guy like ralph nadar in the states, and i think noone here drives a prius lol.
Yorbon
Profile Joined December 2011
Netherlands4272 Posts
September 27 2013 21:41 GMT
#86
On September 28 2013 06:28 GhastlyUprising wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 28 2013 06:14 Sefer wrote:
On September 28 2013 06:05 GhastlyUprising wrote:
On September 28 2013 05:46 Sefer wrote:
So there you go, we are much heavier polluters now days, but like I mentioned in parenthesis above, and which is something I didn't know before today, we aren experiencing a pause in global warming. Someone correct me on that if I read it wrong in the publication.
There hasn't been a "pause" in global warming; it's just that the rate has been unusually slow the last 15 years compared with the trend since 1951. The average temperature of the Earth always fluctuates. The important question is what is the "secular", non-varying, long-term contribution to global warming?


Well the article I read used the term "pause", but even if it was a decrease in the rate of warming in the last 15 years, that would seem counterintuitive if we are to buy in the the theory that green-house gases are the cause, right? I wouldn't be surprised if we produce more pollution in 1 year now than in 10-20 years in 1951 and decades following.
It's not counter-intuitive in the least. The average temperature of the Earth fluctuates wildly. There's many factors other than global warming, such as the solar cycle and volcanic ash blocking out sunlight.

It's an utterly trivial, basic scientific concept. A function with lots of periodic terms, and a secular term which will eventually dominate the periodic terms.
Trivial? For someone who keeps hearing that human activity is the cause (without further nuance, so 1-dimensional) of global warming, the addition of extra influences isn't trivial at all. Especially not if they apparently are in the same order of magnitude.

I would get annoyed as well.
LaNague
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Germany9118 Posts
September 27 2013 21:41 GMT
#87
On September 28 2013 04:26 9heart wrote:
Just wanted to point out that during the Mesozoic the globe was essentially a swamp. Average temperatures were higher than today by about 10°C. By the middle Cretaceous, equatorial ocean waters were as warm as 20°C in the deep ocean. Ocean waters were displaced by as much as 200 m (656 ft).

The Mesozoic era began in the wake of the Permian–Triassic extinction event, the largest well-documented mass extinction in Earth's history (approx. 99.6% of all species went extinct).

Those who claim the small flux in our current environment to be destructive seem to forget that during the Mesozoic, the first non-avian dinosaurs, birds, and mammals all flourished.

News flash: the climate is has always been, and will always be, in flux.

"On a long enough time line, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero." --Chuck Palahnuik, Fight Club



yes, it has been in flux at all times.
This "flux" also cause millions and billions of species to go extinct.


I guess that is what people do not get.
"Protecting the enviroment" is not about saving Earth or saving nature. Because Earth and nature dont give a fuck and will always be there until the sun swallows them.

It is actually about saving the humans. We are dependend on specific living conditions, which we are currently apparently changing.
Squat
Profile Joined September 2013
Sweden7978 Posts
September 27 2013 21:42 GMT
#88
On September 28 2013 06:37 Rassy wrote:
FInd this whole climate thing a bit hypocrite tbh.
The biggest contributers to global warming (the usa and the west in general) are also the ones who make the biggest problem out of it lol. We get these reports over and over yet the usa still has not even signed kyoto threaty, let alone actually started with lowering their greenhouse gas output.

This is not quite correct, China is very quickly becoming the largest polluter in the world, and has shot down every attempt to get them to rein in their industrial expansion. They have more or less said straight out that they don't care. India is poised to follow in their steps before long.

And even if it were the case that the EU countries and NA were solely responsible, it actually does not matter at this point. We are beyond pointing fingers and playing the blame game. This is about survival. Do we want our great-great grandchildren to have an inhabitable planet or not? That is the only relevant concern.
"Digital. They have digital. What is digital?" - Donald J Trump
Rassy
Profile Joined August 2010
Netherlands2308 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-27 21:51:57
September 27 2013 21:48 GMT
#89
The hypocrisy is that we complain about it alot but dont do annything to prevent it.
We dont vote for green partys,we drive our fuel inefficient cars, and then we come here on forum to say how bad global warming is. It just doesnt make sense to me somehow.
Off course there are exceptions to this and some people do vote for green partys and use public transpost, but i think this goes only for a small minority of the people posting on this thread.
Maybe some people use public transport because they still at college, but as soon as they can buy a fuel inefficient car they will, and as soon as they get a decent job they vote for the conservative and traditional partys, and then we all start pointing towards china and india when global warming pops up.
Sry,but am quiet cynical regarding this.
meh.

ps: pls dont be offended if you are actually one of thoose people who does vote for green partys and drives a prius or uses public transpost out of free will.
Hier
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
2391 Posts
September 27 2013 21:50 GMT
#90
So shouldn't the title read "IPCC" instead of "IPPC"?
"But on a more serious note..." -everyone on this forum at some point.
Yorbon
Profile Joined December 2011
Netherlands4272 Posts
September 27 2013 21:54 GMT
#91
On September 28 2013 06:48 Rassy wrote:
The hypocrisy is that we complain about it alot but dont do annything to prevent it.
We dont vote for green partys,we drive our fuel inefficient cars, and then we come here on forum to say how bad global warming is. It just doesnt make sense to me somehow.
Off course there are exceptions to this and some people do vote for green partys and use public transpost, but i think this goes only for a small minority of the people posting on this thread.
Maybe some people use public transport because they still at college, but as soon as they can buy a fuel inefficient car they will, and as soon as they get a decent job they vote for the conservative and traditional partys, and then we all start pointing towards china and india when global warming pops up.
Sry,but am quiet cynical regarding this.
meh.

ps: pls dont be offended if you are actually one of thoose people who does vote for green partys and drives a prius or uses public transpost out of free will.
I laughed at the 'out of free will' part. :')
koreasilver
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
9109 Posts
September 27 2013 21:55 GMT
#92
On September 28 2013 06:48 Rassy wrote:
The hypocrisy is that we complain about it alot but dont do annything to prevent it.
We dont vote for green partys,we drive our fuel inefficient cars, and then we come here on forum to say how bad global warming is. It just doesnt make sense to me somehow.
Off course there are exceptions to this and some people do vote for green partys and use public transpost, but i think this goes only for a small minority of the people posting on this thread.
Maybe some people use public transport because they still at college, but as soon as they can buy a fuel inefficient car they will, and as soon as they get a decent job they vote for the conservative and traditional partys, and then we all start pointing towards china and india when global warming pops up.
Sry,but am quiet cynical regarding this.
meh.

ps: pls dont be offended if you are actually one of thoose people who does vote for green partys and drives a prius or uses public transpost out of free will.

It's only hypocritical if you somehow, by whatever logical fault, say that it's these scientists that are also in power of the political structure and the state. It would be hypocritical if it was the central legislative body that put out this report.
Yorbon
Profile Joined December 2011
Netherlands4272 Posts
September 27 2013 22:00 GMT
#93
On September 28 2013 06:55 koreasilver wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 28 2013 06:48 Rassy wrote:
The hypocrisy is that we complain about it alot but dont do annything to prevent it.
We dont vote for green partys,we drive our fuel inefficient cars, and then we come here on forum to say how bad global warming is. It just doesnt make sense to me somehow.
Off course there are exceptions to this and some people do vote for green partys and use public transpost, but i think this goes only for a small minority of the people posting on this thread.
Maybe some people use public transport because they still at college, but as soon as they can buy a fuel inefficient car they will, and as soon as they get a decent job they vote for the conservative and traditional partys, and then we all start pointing towards china and india when global warming pops up.
Sry,but am quiet cynical regarding this.
meh.

ps: pls dont be offended if you are actually one of thoose people who does vote for green partys and drives a prius or uses public transpost out of free will.

It's only hypocritical if you somehow, by whatever logical fault, say that it's these scientists that are also in power of the political structure and the state. It would be hypocritical if it was the central legislative body that put out this report.
I think he means people are hypocritical for thinking global warming is bad, but not acting like they do. It's not directly connected to the report.
iTzSnypah
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States1738 Posts
September 27 2013 22:03 GMT
#94
On September 28 2013 06:50 Hier wrote:
So shouldn't the title read "IPCC" instead of "IPPC"?

No because IPCC doesn't make you laugh when you read it out loud.


Truthfully I don't understand all the doomsaying about climate change. People act as if it's a nuke that will go off if we don't do anything about it TODAY.
Team Liquid needs more Terrans.
Subject011
Profile Joined April 2013
Sweden32 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-28 16:24:43
September 27 2013 22:05 GMT
#95
Enough with the teenage angst and foolish hyperbole (looking at you Squat). It is well documented - utterly indisputable - that the average temperature on an annual basis hasn't risen anywhere on planet Earth during the last 15 years, this coincides with the greatest release of CO2 into the atmosphere since the dawn of human civilization. And you people dream of state-enforced population-control and god knows what other draconian and horrific measures?

Enough with the pretentions aswell. You lot disregard all relevant reports/papers that doesn't fit the dogma and support your cause. In Orwellian fashion they go poof. You're far more priests and acolytes than scholars. Every five years since the seventies you've predicted the apocalypse. Even after all this time, all this failure - you still hold your heads so high...


"Millions for defense. For tribute, not a penny."
TheOneWhoKnocks
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
160 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-27 22:07:17
September 27 2013 22:05 GMT
#96
On September 28 2013 06:32 GhastlyUprising wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 28 2013 06:23 TheOneWhoKnocks wrote:
I love how you narrow the entire argument down to reproduction. Obviously that wasn't the only thing I was referring to, and obviously when you talk about "stupid humans" you are referring to more than our propensity to reproduce a lot. If the choice is authoritarian statism or a damaged environment, I'll take a damaged environment.
Who cares what YOU would take? Nobody cares about your opinion. The vast majority of people would take life over death. The vast majority of people are quite aware that living in China would be preferable to living on Venus.

Eh, I can post whether you care or not. Sucks for you I guess, since you take it so personally. Not much you can do except continue whining and offering false dilemma fallacies, like saying we either get statism or Venus. (lol?)

On September 28 2013 06:33 Squat wrote:
The person who said that we would have to basically go back to the stone ages was right

That person was me, by the way

I just prefer natural selection to artificial selection. I don't think humans are as brilliant as they like to fancy themselves.
I did it for myself.
Squat
Profile Joined September 2013
Sweden7978 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-27 22:11:33
September 27 2013 22:05 GMT
#97
On September 28 2013 06:48 Rassy wrote:
The hypocrisy is that we complain about it alot but dont do annything to prevent it.
We dont vote for green partys,we drive our fuel inefficient cars, and then we come here on forum to say how bad global warming is. It just doesnt make sense to me somehow.
Off course there are exceptions to this and some people do vote for green partys and use public transpost, but i think this goes only for a small minority of the people posting on this thread.
Maybe some people use public transport because they still at college, but as soon as they can buy a fuel inefficient car they will, and as soon as they get a decent job they vote for the conservative and traditional partys, and then we all start pointing towards china and india when global warming pops up.
Sry,but am quiet cynical regarding this.
meh.

ps: pls dont be offended if you are actually one of thoose people who does vote for green partys and drives a prius or uses public transpost out of free will.

I vote green, I don't drive, I avoid having children, I look for eco-friendly products in the store. Basically all I can do on a personal level without completely giving up my education and future career. It's not much, but as previously stated, it has to start somewhere.

But as long as we cannot expect everyone to conform to a non self-centered life-style(or perhaps rather a non-family/tribe centered lifestyle), we cannot rely on humans to solve the problems that humans created by their most basic nature to begin with. All we can do is try to limit the amount of humans available to destroy things.

Enough with the teenage angst and foolish hyperbole (looking at you Squat). It is well documented - utterly indisputable - that the average temperature on an annual basis hasn't risen anywhere on planet Earth during the last 15 years, this coicides with the greatest release of CO2 into the atmosphere since the dawn of human civilization. And you people dream of state-enforced population-control and god knows what other draconian and horrific measures?

Enough with the pretentions aswell. You lot disregard all relevant reports/papers that doesn't fit your dogma and support your cause. In Orwellian fashion they go poof. You're far more priests and acolytes than scholars. Every five years since the seventies you've predicted the apocalypse. Even after all this time, all this failure - you still hold you're heads so high...


The 15 year argument again, really? You don't even understand the science involved. There is no debate about global warming about serious scientists, keep spouting your ad hominems and weak attempts to get under my skin all you like. Show me any credible report or paper that would not get laughed at by any serious group of experts.

No one is predicting a 2012 style apocalypse, and if you think that is what is being said, you again don't really understand anything. Enough indeed, enough with your nonsensical, incoherent, scientifically illiterate rambling, it is tiresome.
"Digital. They have digital. What is digital?" - Donald J Trump
Millitron
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States2611 Posts
September 27 2013 22:07 GMT
#98
On September 28 2013 02:56 Squat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 28 2013 02:04 Millitron wrote:
I believe global warming is real, and I believe humans are probably a major factor, but I don't think the IPPC is all that trustworthy. They've been caught before blatantly making shit up, and using papers from Greenpeace and the WWF as their own in the past. I think we need to take what they say with a grain of salt.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/7111525/UN-climate-change-panel-based-claims-on-student-dissertation-and-magazine-article.html

http://www.foxnews.com/science/2013/01/23/leaked-un-climate-report-slammed-for-citing-wwf-greenpeace/

You try to make a case that IPPC, a very well respected organisation, is somehow untrustworthy, and to support this assertion you link to something from Fox News?

It's like saying NASA is full of stupid people because Krusty the Clown said so.

I linked the Telegraph too. It DID happen. The IPPC shouldn't be taken at face value. No organization should.
Who called in the fleet?
TheRealArtemis
Profile Joined October 2011
687 Posts
September 27 2013 22:08 GMT
#99
Hasn't earth undergone more dramatic changes and survived? And has been undergoing changes for millions of years? I honestly never understood the real issue with Climate changes. I thought it were completely natural for the earth to drop and rise in temperatures.

Or is this just a matter of "saving humans" because if that's the case, then how can we change what has been going on for millions of years.
religion is like a prison for the seekers of wisdom
Leeto
Profile Joined August 2007
United States1320 Posts
September 27 2013 22:14 GMT
#100
Yes, the earth has natural climate changes, but it's pretty obvious that after the industrial revolution humans have been adding a lot more pressure than mother nature would have by herself.

The sad thing is that there isn't much we can do about it. Even if the entire USA goes completely green, other industrial nations like China or India who don't really care all that much will keep on doing what they're doing. Things have to get REALLY BAD before people collectively start doing something about it.
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