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Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
April 01 2019 12:20 GMT
#10201
On April 01 2019 20:34 Harris1st wrote:
Why is immigration even a problem in the UK?

Because the main aim of most brexiteers appears to be reduced immigration for whatever reason. However it is likely that since most British people don't want to pick crops, or work in the health service, or the required skills needed for higher level health service, immigration will continue.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22081 Posts
April 01 2019 12:28 GMT
#10202
On April 01 2019 20:34 Harris1st wrote:
Why is immigration even a problem in the UK?

Customs union means only goods, no capital , services or labour right?
Seems awfully complicated, specially when EU regulates the trade for UK with them having no say in it
Its the same 'others' stick used throughout history to get people riled up. Them guys coming here and taking our jobs, breaking the law, ect ect.

It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
April 01 2019 12:32 GMT
#10203
On April 01 2019 20:31 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 01 2019 19:59 m4ini wrote:
On April 01 2019 19:45 Jockmcplop wrote:
Immigration is not going to be greatly affected by Brexit.
That's probably going to upset some people but I can't even see how they would cut down on immigration.



.. eh? You can't see how they would cut down on immigration if europeans (especially dem pesky polish and romas etc) aren't allowed to just get onto a train and move to the UK?


Genuinely? Yeah.
The fact is Eastern Europeans are a huge part of the UK labour market, and are pretty much needed to keep things going, especially when we shit our economy down the drain with Brexit.
It may have some small effect on immigration numbers, and policy will be different but our government has already cut immigration down to just about the lowest possible amount. The NHS is already struggling to find staff due to our ridiculous immigration policies, too much further movement on that will cause huge, permanent issues.


You're pointing out the obvious flaws that it would bring with it, nonetheless that's what people want, and what this is all about. Businesses and the NHS instantly pointed out that this would lead to problems down the line, but this isn't about rational arguments.

It's mildly disingenuous to suggest so.
On track to MA1950A.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9768 Posts
April 01 2019 12:34 GMT
#10204
On April 01 2019 21:32 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 01 2019 20:31 Jockmcplop wrote:
On April 01 2019 19:59 m4ini wrote:
On April 01 2019 19:45 Jockmcplop wrote:
Immigration is not going to be greatly affected by Brexit.
That's probably going to upset some people but I can't even see how they would cut down on immigration.



.. eh? You can't see how they would cut down on immigration if europeans (especially dem pesky polish and romas etc) aren't allowed to just get onto a train and move to the UK?


Genuinely? Yeah.
The fact is Eastern Europeans are a huge part of the UK labour market, and are pretty much needed to keep things going, especially when we shit our economy down the drain with Brexit.
It may have some small effect on immigration numbers, and policy will be different but our government has already cut immigration down to just about the lowest possible amount. The NHS is already struggling to find staff due to our ridiculous immigration policies, too much further movement on that will cause huge, permanent issues.


You're pointing out the obvious flaws that it would bring with it, nonetheless that's what people want, and what this is all about. Businesses and the NHS instantly pointed out that this would lead to problems down the line, but this isn't about rational arguments.

It's mildly disingenuous to suggest so.


I'm not talking about the arguments that are being had, I'm talking about the real world effects of Brexit on immigration.
I could be wrong, but I really dont see how its possible to reduce immigration further than has already been done.
RIP Meatloaf <3
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-01 12:41:21
April 01 2019 12:39 GMT
#10205
On April 01 2019 21:34 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 01 2019 21:32 m4ini wrote:
On April 01 2019 20:31 Jockmcplop wrote:
On April 01 2019 19:59 m4ini wrote:
On April 01 2019 19:45 Jockmcplop wrote:
Immigration is not going to be greatly affected by Brexit.
That's probably going to upset some people but I can't even see how they would cut down on immigration.



.. eh? You can't see how they would cut down on immigration if europeans (especially dem pesky polish and romas etc) aren't allowed to just get onto a train and move to the UK?


Genuinely? Yeah.
The fact is Eastern Europeans are a huge part of the UK labour market, and are pretty much needed to keep things going, especially when we shit our economy down the drain with Brexit.
It may have some small effect on immigration numbers, and policy will be different but our government has already cut immigration down to just about the lowest possible amount. The NHS is already struggling to find staff due to our ridiculous immigration policies, too much further movement on that will cause huge, permanent issues.


You're pointing out the obvious flaws that it would bring with it, nonetheless that's what people want, and what this is all about. Businesses and the NHS instantly pointed out that this would lead to problems down the line, but this isn't about rational arguments.

It's mildly disingenuous to suggest so.


I'm not talking about the arguments that are being had, I'm talking about the real world effects of Brexit on immigration.
I could be wrong, but I really dont see how its possible to reduce immigration further than has already been done.


Nothing has been done though. EU immigration is down because nobody wants to move into a clusterfuck. Not because "something was done". On top, immigration from other areas like India and Africa skyrocketed.

There's a difference between "people not coming" and "preventing people from coming". You're also assuming that the government takes a sensible stance, something that i'd call "a stretch" by any measurement. There's no disagreement that the UK needs immigration (apart from morons), that fields need to be picked and the NHS needs to be staffed.

The government and the majority of brexiters simply disagree with the notion that you need immigrants for that. Regardless of what facts state. So to assume "nothing can be reasonably done" is in fact an assumption based on a wrong statement. You're trying to be reasonable/sensible; but that's not the premise.
On track to MA1950A.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22081 Posts
April 01 2019 12:42 GMT
#10206
On April 01 2019 21:34 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 01 2019 21:32 m4ini wrote:
On April 01 2019 20:31 Jockmcplop wrote:
On April 01 2019 19:59 m4ini wrote:
On April 01 2019 19:45 Jockmcplop wrote:
Immigration is not going to be greatly affected by Brexit.
That's probably going to upset some people but I can't even see how they would cut down on immigration.



.. eh? You can't see how they would cut down on immigration if europeans (especially dem pesky polish and romas etc) aren't allowed to just get onto a train and move to the UK?


Genuinely? Yeah.
The fact is Eastern Europeans are a huge part of the UK labour market, and are pretty much needed to keep things going, especially when we shit our economy down the drain with Brexit.
It may have some small effect on immigration numbers, and policy will be different but our government has already cut immigration down to just about the lowest possible amount. The NHS is already struggling to find staff due to our ridiculous immigration policies, too much further movement on that will cause huge, permanent issues.


You're pointing out the obvious flaws that it would bring with it, nonetheless that's what people want, and what this is all about. Businesses and the NHS instantly pointed out that this would lead to problems down the line, but this isn't about rational arguments.

It's mildly disingenuous to suggest so.


I'm not talking about the arguments that are being had, I'm talking about the real world effects of Brexit on immigration.
I could be wrong, but I really dont see how its possible to reduce immigration further than has already been done.
Because people don't care about reality.
You see the same thing in America with people wanting to close the southern border and drive out all illegals, something that would destroy the agricultural sector overnight as it heavily relies on cheap (illegal) labour from Mexico, because no American wants to pick carrots out of the ground in the scorching sun for 5 cents an hour.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5298 Posts
April 01 2019 15:42 GMT
#10207
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/0401/1039964-eu-budget-uk/
The European Union is expected to seek more than €10bn in UK contributions for this year even in the event of a no-deal scenario on 12 April, RTÉ News understands.

In exchange, UK beneficiaries of EU funding – including farmers in Northern Ireland – would continue to receive grants for the rest of the year.
A senior EU source told RTÉ News: "We hope to have it wrapped up this week."
...
The official said there had been "informal" signals from the UK Treasury that Britain would be willing to consider paying the remainder of its budget obligations until the end of the year ... however, on 13 March the House of Commons European Scrutiny Committee raised serious concerns about the idea, and sharply criticised what it called "ambiguous" responses from the Treasury on the issue.

The UK’s gross budget contribution to the EU for 2019 is €17.49bn.
Of that sum, Britain has already contributed €7.2bn, meaning that in a No Deal situation the EU would face a shortfall of €10.2bn this financial year.
The EU now expects that amount to be paid.

In 2017 the UK received back an estimated €4.6bn in EU funding, as well as the rebate of €6.5bn.
money aside, the article presents different ideas (no)deal related:
- create a legal basis for a non-member state to keep receiving EU funds in the event of a hard crash out.
- there's a separate regulation for the PEACE IV funding for Northern Ireland and the border area, as well as INTERREG funding; both funding streams will continue in a No Deal scenario until the end of 2020.
- reiterates EUs hard lines: the Irish border, citizens’ rights, and the exit bill.
- some negotiating happening between the House of Commons and EU.

more interesting than i think this or i feel that going on over here.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
April 01 2019 16:34 GMT
#10208
That's not a problem? Even the ERG has accepted that UK will have to pay their agreed contributions where appropriate; that is if they want to be able to negotiate anything with other countries in the future.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-01 17:17:33
April 01 2019 16:44 GMT
#10209
On April 02 2019 01:34 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
That's not a problem? Even the ERG has accepted that UK will have to pay their agreed contributions where appropriate; that is if they want to be able to negotiate anything with other countries in the future.


That's not entirely true. They were forced to accept, but still argue very much against it.

As a sidenote, since admittedly i don't know much about Kenneth Clarkes past, what's "the left" view on him? I very much had my own opinion for a while now, i just wonder if that is common or if i'm an outlier there.

edit: half naked people running through public galleries currently, protesting.. something, interrupting/disturbing the debate. Climate stuff afaict.

Only the grandest, greatest and noblest parliament, to cite JRM.

Not fully naked, so technically safe for work.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


edit2: lolz, apparently they glued themselves to the glass.
On track to MA1950A.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
April 01 2019 21:15 GMT
#10210
Everything failed again, Nick Boles quits the conservatives completely blaming conservatives for not compromising.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
April 01 2019 21:36 GMT
#10211
Rightfully so.

Not that Labour did a grand job today either (surprise), but his point is entirely and perfectly valid.
On track to MA1950A.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22081 Posts
April 01 2019 21:36 GMT
#10212
This soap called Brexit is amazing. Again nothing is not even unexpected tho a Customs Union came very close.

Lets have a 3e vote and fail again :D
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
April 01 2019 21:39 GMT
#10213
Looked petulant to me but I guess im a brexiteer so I would see it that way. I like Nick I agree with him on a lot of issues and he is a very good MP but hes got it wrong on Brexit.

Apparantly 200 conservative MPs have signed a letter to the PM asking her to push through a managed no deal, Cabinet meets tomorrow to discuss this and I expect she might go for it.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
April 01 2019 21:41 GMT
#10214
While voting on the PMs deal for the fourth time.

This shitshow, and i'm sorry here, claims to be "supreme" to all the others. In fact, just today Moggele went on it, while defending him endorsing, sorry agreeing, sorry also not correct, well.. Just "mentioning", according to him, the AfD, establishing the fact that "the german parliament certainly isn't as great or noble as the british one".

Which really rubs me the wrong way after watching this clownshow for so long now.

I think it would be important for people like Mogg, and indeed every single Tory, to realise that the UK parliament is the laughing stock of the world. Nothing else. Regardless of what it once was, but that would lead down the rabbit hole again in which i'd argue that the majority of brexiters live in a deluded world, with visions of grandeur, not understanding that the great britain went down the drain a while ago.
On track to MA1950A.
Longshank
Profile Joined March 2010
1648 Posts
April 01 2019 21:43 GMT
#10215
On April 02 2019 06:15 Zaros wrote:
Everything failed again, Nick Boles quits the conservatives completely blaming conservatives for not compromising.

Is he wrong? The conservatives haven't moved an inch. Apart from ERG ironically so kudos to them.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-01 21:45:58
April 01 2019 21:45 GMT
#10216
Humility, that's the word i was looking for.

Something eerily absent from Tories and Labours alike (edit: apart from the very rare exceptions, one of which resigned today). Something desperately needed in a minority government.
On track to MA1950A.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
April 01 2019 21:50 GMT
#10217
They are all fighting for what they believe in, the main problem is lack of leadership creating this massive vacuum for people like Mogg, Baker, Boles, Benn, Cooper etc. If we had a functioning PM or leader of the opposition who didnt come from the 1970s then this wouldn't be happening, can blame Letwin too and his stupid fixed term parliaments act without which we would have had a new parliament by now which could probably agree on something (just.)
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-01 22:11:41
April 01 2019 21:57 GMT
#10218
On April 02 2019 06:50 Zaros wrote:
They are all fighting for what they believe in, the main problem is lack of leadership creating this massive vacuum for people like Mogg, Baker, Boles, Benn, Cooper etc. If we had a functioning PM or leader of the opposition who didnt come from the 1970s then this wouldn't be happening, can blame Letwin too and his stupid fixed term parliaments act without which we would have had a new parliament by now which could probably agree on something (just.)


That doesn't matter. They're supposed to be fighting what's best for the country, i don't care what someone like Mogg is fighting for/believing in (and i certainly haven't forgotten his background or the books his father has written).

And no, the main problem is that the UK is utterly incapable of governing itself if there's no vast majority to push stuff through. The second people are expected to work together, something that dozens of other countries do on a daily basis and is absolutely not a unique situation, everything falls apart.

Why? Because everyone thinks that his opinion is the hot shit instead of understanding that his "view" or "belief" doesn't mean jack shit if they can't get it passed.

I don't disagree on Corbyn, he's worthless and indeed a hindrance to Labour, even though he's for some undefinable reason assumed to be the second coming or something.

It's not "lack of leadership" (well, to be fair, that's true too, but wouldn't matter) preventing progress, it's precisely what you described. No politician currently hushed about as next PM would've done a better job in these circumstances. You don't have a majority, so you need to unite the house behind you, at least the majority of it. This isn't happening. Both Labour and Tories "fight for what they believe for" instead of indeed finding a compromise. It's ridiculous. And on top of that, the Tories are split in like seventytwelve fringe groups, everyone pushing for something else.

Many MPs seem to have forgotten that the first and most severe duty of his is to advance and protect the country (and by extention it's unity, since that's threatened too). Not "getting" what they want.

edit: Nick Boles is gonna sit as an Independent Progressive Conservative. Something i indeed would myself describe as, coming to think of it.
On track to MA1950A.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
April 01 2019 22:14 GMT
#10219
On April 02 2019 06:57 m4ini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 02 2019 06:50 Zaros wrote:
They are all fighting for what they believe in, the main problem is lack of leadership creating this massive vacuum for people like Mogg, Baker, Boles, Benn, Cooper etc. If we had a functioning PM or leader of the opposition who didnt come from the 1970s then this wouldn't be happening, can blame Letwin too and his stupid fixed term parliaments act without which we would have had a new parliament by now which could probably agree on something (just.)


That doesn't matter. They're supposed to be fighting what's best for the country, i don't give a shit what someone like Mogg is fighting for/believing in (and i certainly haven't forgotten his background or the books his father has written).

And no, the main problem is that the UK is utterly incapable or governing itself if there's no vast majority to push shit through. The second people are expected to work together, something that dozens of other countries do on a daily basis and is absolutely not a unique situation, everything falls apart.

Why? Because everyone thinks that his opinion is the hot shit instead of understanding that his "view" or "belief" doesn't mean jack shit if they can't get it passed.

I don't disagree on Corbyn, he's worthless and indeed a hindrance to Labour, even though he's for some undefinable reason assumed to be the second coming or something.

It's not "lack of leadership" (well, to be fair, that's true too, but wouldn't matter) preventing progress, it's precisely what you described. No politician currently hushed about as next PM would've done a better job in these circumstances. You don't have a majority, so you need to unite the house behind you, at least the majority of it. This isn't happening. Both Labour and Tories "fight for what they believe for" instead of indeed finding a compromise. It's ridiculous. And on top of that, the Tories are split in like seventytwelve fringe groups, everyone pushing for something else.

Many MPs seem to have forgotten that the first and most severe duty of his is to advance and protect the country (and by extention it's unity, since that's threatened too). Not "getting" what they want.

edit: Nick Boles is gonna sit as an Independent Progressive Conservative. Something i indeed would myself describe as, coming to think of it.


You seem not to understand that they believe they are doing what is right for the country they just think that is a different thing to everyone else. ERG think No deal is right for the country and if they can't get that then most of them voted for May's Deal but they wont go for anything else not when May's deal is coming back a 4th time.

Most conservatives agree with the ERG but the other way round Mays Deal first but then No deal, 30 or 40 want a softer brexit, and you have the awkward squad of less than 10 that want to cancel brexit. If you think No Deal is the best outcome for the country then you don't need a majority, you need to stop there being a majority for anything else or convince the PM to prorogue parliament until the 12th/13th April.

Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10843 Posts
April 01 2019 22:18 GMT
#10220
I will just quote that one random drunk guy i met in dublin 5 years ago:

"Burn everything British except their coal".

Just get out, and suffer. Seriously, my country isn't even in the EU and there are actually important matters to take care of for the EU. You voted these guys in, eat it. Just fuck off.
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