North Korea says/does surprising and alarming thing - Page…
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Simberto
Germany11507 Posts
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Deleted User 183001
2939 Posts
North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un has made his first public appearance in 40 days, the nation's state-run news agency reported. The appearance, posted on the Korean Central News Agency's website and dated Oct. 14, said that Kim, 31, showed up at a newly built housing development and toured the grounds. There were no pictures included in the report. Kim hadn't been seen in public since attending a state concert with his wife on Sept. 3, walking with a limp, leading to questions about his health and the country's future leadership. But KCNA made no mention of that. It reported that on the same day as the tour of the residential complex, Kim also visited another new state project, the Natural Energy Institute of the State Academy of Sciences. The Obama administration told NBC News it was still trying to determine the report's authenticity. "The reports are certainly plausible," a senior administration official said. "Our assessment throughout this period has been that the government has been and continues to function as normal." http://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/north-koreas-kim-jong-un-ends-long-public-absence-n224901 | ||
FFW_Rude
France10201 Posts
On October 11 2014 18:44 CaucasianAsian wrote: people have been flying balloons across the border with food / books / entertainment / etc... for a very long time. this is nothing new... w Yeah i know for the ballon but does NK shoots on them everytime ? | ||
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CaucasianAsian
Korea (South)11579 Posts
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ahswtini
Northern Ireland22208 Posts
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Serejai
6007 Posts
On October 14 2014 11:42 JudicatorHammurabi wrote: Kim Jong Un has finally made a public appearance, his first in over a month. http://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/north-koreas-kim-jong-un-ends-long-public-absence-n224901 Allegedly. The only source for this story and the picture is the NK media, and oddly enough it didn't mention his absence at all. | ||
AutoEngineer
United States97 Posts
![]() ![]() ![]() If someone could translate that would be great. The article apparently says that North Korea could have the world's 3rd largest oil and gas reserves. When the Japanese occupied Korea in the 1900s, they established many mines to take advantage of Korean workers. However they did not have technology to drill oil and extract gas from North Korea's abundant oil and gas reserves. If this is true then North Korea would be one of the most mineral rich countries in the world. Goldman Sachs even states that North Korea has rare earth metal deposits worth $6 trillion USD. This is estimated to be two thirds of the world's total rare earth deposits. That's just rare earth deposits. North Korea is also rich in gold, zinc, magnesite, etc. If North Korea reunited with South Korea, it would have a population of 80 million, more young people and a huge boost to Korea's birth rate. The North Korean fertility rate is 2.0 births per woman, nearly twice that of South Korea and the highest birth rate in East Asia. United Korea would crush Japan economically. Japan has very little mineral/gas/oil wealth and only relies on exports and domestic demand. And, by the way, they don't even export most of their cars and electronics anymore, their manufacturing facilities are all based overseas like Thailand. Japan has the world's most aged population, more than a quarter of Japan's population is aged 65+. And Japan imports more energy than they ever did, especially with most nuclear reactors offline (although they are slowly restarting them, it will take time as Japan's safety standards were found to be low). I think South Korea needs to time reunification with North Korea right. Right now is not optimal as North Korea's population hasn't peaked yet. Also there is news out that Samsung only contributes to 4% of South Korea's economy. This is very different to Finland's relationship with Nokia, since a much larger percentage of Finland's economy is reliant on Nokia's success. When Samsung takes a hit, Korea's economy barely notices. Also the bulk of Samsung's contribution to Korea's economy come from semiconductors, not so much smartphones. So really, Korea's economy is mainly based on domestic consumption and exports in the big picture. There are many other exporters than Samsung. This includes Hyundai-KIA which owns the world's biggest car manufacturing facility in Ulsan, South Korea. They are larger than Toyota when it comes to manufacturing in their home countries. Toyota manufactures many cars in overseas countries like Thailand. If Unified Korea does happen by 2030 as most analysts predict, Hyundai-KIA will become massive, as factories would boom in North Korea and North Koreans will be very happy to work for less than half the wage of the average South Korean, possibly bringing one of the world's lowest wages and moderate-high productivity. A Unified Korea could possibly become the world's No.1 car maker and consolidate Korea's current position as the world's No.1 semiconductor manufacturer, the world's No.1 shipbuilder and the home to the world's largest tech company (Samsung). All these No.1 titles may look great, however even South Korea has much room for improvement. The Sewol disaster earlier this year is indicative that safety standards need huge improvement and corruption needs to be eliminated. South Korea also needs a plan to increase the birth rate as its population will become as aged as Japan's by 2050 if current trends continue. Korea must not follow Japan's mistakes, nor Europe's. The perfect example to follow would be Germany's, however even Germany isn't doing well as of Q3 2014. However Germany would be the socioeconomic model to follow. | ||
Conti
Germany2516 Posts
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Simberto
Germany11507 Posts
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Salazarz
Korea (South)2591 Posts
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heliusx
United States2306 Posts
On October 16 2014 21:42 Conti wrote: Welp, looks like it's finally time for the US to bring some democracy to North Korea, then. Yeah 'cept we've got more oil than we know what to do with in North America. | ||
sgtnoobkilla
Australia249 Posts
S. Korea fires warning shots against N. Korean soldiers approaching MDL: Seoul SEOUL, Oct. 18 (Yonhap) -- South Korean border guards fired warning shots as about 10 North Korean soldiers approached the military demarcation line (MDL) inside the demilitaized zone (DMZ), Seoul's military officials said, adding that there was no exchange of fire. An official at Seoul's Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) said the North Korean soldiers stayed around their side of the MDL in Cheorwon, Gangwon Province, about 88 kilometers north of the capital city, from 8:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. Saturday. The North Koreans neither crossed the MDL nor responded to the warning shots, he said. South Korean guards fired warning shots after broadcasting warning messages in accordance with their military's standing operating manuals, the official said. "The soldiers came down to read the MDL markers on the northern side of the border," the official said. "Our military acted in accordance with guidelines on how to respond when North Koreans come toward the MDL, and fired warning shots and aired warning messages on three occasions." The official said North Korean soldiers occasionally approach the MDL without actually crossing it, and this has happened "a few times" this year. ..... Source Original article from Chosun Ilbo here (not in English though). | ||
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zatic
Zurich15328 Posts
On October 16 2014 21:38 AutoEngineer wrote: Korea must not follow Japan's mistakes, nor Europe's. The perfect example to follow would be Germany's, however even Germany isn't doing well as of Q3 2014. However Germany would be the socioeconomic model to follow. Huh did I miss something? | ||
Bill Murray
United States9292 Posts
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AutoEngineer
United States97 Posts
On October 17 2014 01:23 Salazarz wrote: Yeah just look at South America or Africa, all them natural resources sure did them much good Except the whole of Africa has less oil reserves than North Korea if the Korean article is correct. The entire continent of Africa only has 132 billion barrels of oil reserves, mostly held by 2 countries: Libya and Nigeria. Africa has 1.1 billion people. Africa also has the least natural resources out of all the continents in the world according to some sources. Yet a tiny country like North Korea has more than the entire continent of Africa. North Korea has 25 million people. You do the math. Well Germany recently slashed both their 2014 and 2015 economic growth forecasts. http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21625784-german-government-should-invest-money-infrastructure-not-worry-about-balancing-its Even though Germany is doing much better than most other European countries, their exports also fell unexpectedly in September. | ||
Salazarz
Korea (South)2591 Posts
On October 19 2014 19:30 AutoEngineer wrote: Except the whole of Africa has less oil reserves than North Korea if the Korean article is correct. The entire continent of Africa only has 132 billion barrels of oil reserves, mostly held by 2 countries: Libya and Nigeria. Africa has 1.1 billion people. Africa also has the least natural resources out of all the continents in the world according to some sources. Yet a tiny country like North Korea has more than the entire continent of Africa. North Korea has 25 million people. You do the math. First of all, both Africa and South America have a lot of things going for them outside of oil; they are major exporters of precious and semi-precious metals and gemstones, 'working' metals (dunno if that's the right term in English? - iron, copper, bauxites etc), plus many parts of both Africa and South America have an excellent climate allowing them to export things like fruits, cocoa / coffee beans, natural rubber etc. And it's not like they are having trouble keeping up with global oil demand because their resources are somehow close to running out or whatever, either. Secondly, having a low population sitting on top of massive natural resource deposits is absolutely not an advantage. IF you do have proper infrastructure and social systems built up (one of very few of such examples is Norway), you can certainly run a very successful country off your resource stockpiles. But if you're starting out with a clusterfuck of power squabbles and corruption (ie, all of Africa, South America, and certainly any kind of 'modernizing' North Korea would follow suit), you're not going to have a prosperous country out of it. The resources will simply be shipped out of the country for others to exploit while your own people will be slaving away in the mines for scraps. There are examples of that all over the world, and the transition from a resource farm for the big boys to a truly independent, developing state is extremely long and painful, nevermind that more likely than not the power holders of the world would do their best to stop it as it's simply not in anyone's interest to have a prosperous country rather than a resource farm to exploit. Last but not least, it doesn't even matter whether you have 100 billion barrels of oil or 1 billion, at least in the relatively 'short' term of the next 50 years. They are not going to be reached any time soon, there is no infrastructure or trained manpower to use those reserves. Which leads us to my previous point - such a country would have to import the technology and know-how to exploit those reserves, they would also have to carve a niche in the global market to sell them or build up even more infrastructure to put it to use for themselves, all the while being under intense pressure from other oil exporters such as the neighbouring Russia, and 'investors' who would stop at nothing to halt your own development so they can get lower rates such as yet again neighbouring China. Then you should consider the possibility of China deciding that all that land (nothing to do with oil under it of course!) has historically been a part of China as Manchuria or whatever crap anyway so maybe they should get a slice of it, or Putin decides that the borders of Siberia aren't quite right, or America decides the light of democracy isn't shining bright enough in the East, and the clusterfuck gets even worse. Oh and don't forget that it would bring another bargaining chip into already stupid debate of potential Korean reunification into NK's hands (but we have all dem oils, so you should put up with our demands!) Even if those estimates are real (which is possible, after all there are a lot of oil reserves in nearby regions and past conditions may have been good for formation of oil reserves etc), I'd be very surprised if anything actually positive for Korea came out of it in our lifetimes. Long-term potential is there, maybe - but in the next 50 years? Eh. Literally the only way it could work out to a happy ending is if North Korea basically dissolved itself allowing SK to absorb it unconditionally (not likely, people in power like their power), AND external forces stayed out of it (maybe possible, certainly not guaranteed), AND internal corruption of SK didn't interfere too much with proper development of those resources (also a big question mark considering the way big corporations are run in - or run - South Korea). | ||
AutoEngineer
United States97 Posts
On October 19 2014 20:13 Salazarz wrote: First of all, both Africa and South America have a lot of things going for them outside of oil; they are major exporters of precious and semi-precious metals and gemstones, 'working' metals (dunno if that's the right term in English? - iron, copper, bauxites etc), plus many parts of both Africa and South America have an excellent climate allowing them to export things like fruits, cocoa / coffee beans, natural rubber etc. And it's not like they are having trouble keeping up with global oil demand because their resources are somehow close to running out or whatever, either. Secondly, having a low population sitting on top of massive natural resource deposits is absolutely not an advantage. IF you do have proper infrastructure and social systems built up (one of very few of such examples is Norway), you can certainly run a very successful country off your resource stockpiles. But if you're starting out with a clusterfuck of power squabbles and corruption (ie, all of Africa, South America, and certainly any kind of 'modernizing' North Korea would follow suit), you're not going to have a prosperous country out of it. The resources will simply be shipped out of the country for others to exploit while your own people will be slaving away in the mines for scraps. There are examples of that all over the world, and the transition from a resource farm for the big boys to a truly independent, developing state is extremely long and painful, nevermind that more likely than not the power holders of the world would do their best to stop it as it's simply not in anyone's interest to have a prosperous country rather than a resource farm to exploit. Last but not least, it doesn't even matter whether you have 100 billion barrels of oil or 1 billion, at least in the relatively 'short' term of the next 50 years. They are not going to be reached any time soon, there is no infrastructure or trained manpower to use those reserves. Which leads us to my previous point - such a country would have to import the technology and know-how to exploit those reserves, they would also have to carve a niche in the global market to sell them or build up even more infrastructure to put it to use for themselves, all the while being under intense pressure from other oil exporters such as the neighbouring Russia, and 'investors' who would stop at nothing to halt your own development so they can get lower rates such as yet again neighbouring China. Then you should consider the possibility of China deciding that all that land (nothing to do with oil under it of course!) has historically been a part of China as Manchuria or whatever crap anyway so maybe they should get a slice of it, or Putin decides that the borders of Siberia aren't quite right, or America decides the light of democracy isn't shining bright enough in the East, and the clusterfuck gets even worse. Oh and don't forget that it would bring another bargaining chip into already stupid debate of potential Korean reunification into NK's hands (but we have all dem oils, so you should put up with our demands!) Even if those estimates are real (which is possible, after all there are a lot of oil reserves in nearby regions and past conditions may have been good for formation of oil reserves etc), I'd be very surprised if anything actually positive for Korea came out of it in our lifetimes. Long-term potential is there, maybe - but in the next 50 years? Eh. Literally the only way it could work out to a happy ending is if North Korea basically dissolved itself allowing SK to absorb it unconditionally (not likely, people in power like their power), AND external forces stayed out of it (maybe possible, certainly not guaranteed), AND internal corruption of SK didn't interfere too much with proper development of those resources (also a big question mark considering the way big corporations are run in - or run - South Korea). You're forgetting that South Korea is one of the most technologically advanced countries in the world. Oil drills? Samsung Heavy Industries is a world leading oil rig manufacturing company, which even builds oil rigs for the very nation you mentioned, Norway. http://www.samsungvillage.com/blog/2013/06/12/samsung-heavy-industries-wins-order-for-worlds-largest-jack-up-rigs/ Hyundai Heavy Industries is also a world leading oil rig manufacturing company. So is Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering. South Korea already has the technological capacity and know-how on how to utilize oil reserves effectively. You are correct in saying that political corruption in South Korea may be a hindrance on how well these natural resources are used. However, if North and South Korea reunify, it wont take decades to drill the oil from the oil reserves. More like months to years going by South Korea's current technological capacity. Most analysts predict that reunification of North and South Korea will happen by 2030. And recent news of increasing market activity in North Korea suggest that an eventual collapse of the North Korean regime is inevitable. Also Africa exporting fruits and other agricultural products? The amount of economic profit they make from that is negligible. The biggest element of success in countries with large populations like Nigeria is domestic demand. However there are no advanced tech companies in Africa (except maybe South Africa) that can build advanced infrastructure without the help of non-African nations, and even then, they lack the economic fundamentals to fund such large-scale projects. Goldman Sachs predicts that if North and South Korea reunify, then the economy of Unified Korea will surpass that of France, Germany and Japan by 2045. This isn't even counting on the $6 trillion USD (actually $9.7 trillion USD according to a newer report) worth of mineral resources in North Korea and North Korea's potential global ranking of being No.3 in oil reserves. Also China/Russia annexing North Korea? Sorry but I don't think China has any interest in annexing North Korea. If anything, China considers North Korea as a hindrance to its own economic growth. after all there are a lot of oil reserves in nearby regions Which nearby regions are you talking about? | ||
Incognoto
France10239 Posts
]Also China/Russia annexing North Korea? Sorry but I don't think China has any interest in annexing North Korea. If anything, China considers North Korea as a hindrance to its own economic growth. Why? They apparently have so many natural resources. | ||
AutoEngineer
United States97 Posts
On October 19 2014 20:46 Incognoto wrote: Why? They apparently have so many natural resources. Annexation of North Korea by China would be unlikely due to these reasons: 1. North Koreans do not consider the Chinese as their "brothers". According to my Korean friend and some articles I've read, the North Korean public do not have favorable views on China. 2. Even if China used force to annex North Korea, the USA will of course intervene. The USA is the world's most technologically advanced nation. The USA is estimated to be 50 years ahead of China in terms of military technology. China would not stand a chance. 3. China does not want to have to feed 25 million more people, face constant war and international pressure. China's economy is booming as it is and with the world's largest economy by PPP terms, I don't think it thinks $9.7 trillion USD in natural resources is worth the huge risk. China's economy would collapse and the "liberation" of East Turkistan, Manchuria and Tibet would become possible due to intervention by the USA, South Korea, Europe, Japan, etc. China most likely will lose much more than it could gain if they do decide to take the risk. They could also lose a large chunk of their population due to large technological setbacks, famines that usually follow war, etc. It would be an economic and geopolitical disaster for the Chinese. | ||
m4ini
4215 Posts
The USA is the world's most technologically advanced nation. Don't know where that comes from, i guess the usual patriotism, but it's still wrong. In military terms, that might be - but the general term "most technologically advanced country" is not true. China would not stand a chance Yet. In 2030? I wouldn't be too sure. | ||
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