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Observers have blamed the US for standing behind the Japanese on their claim, and suggested that the US is attempting to foment unrest in the region as a pretext for "pivoting" its naval forces back to the Pacific.
That, on top of some politicians' comments about the US debt to China and a bunch of other nonsense like "Down with US Imperialism".
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Thanks for the links.
Just a note- the amount of money the US owes to China is overstated. It's a shitload of money- about 1.2 trillion- but not that much in the grand scheme of things.
It will be...interesting.. to see how this plays out.
Everyone's putting their blinders on with China and assuming that it will all be smooth sailing from here economically and politically (domestically) but I don't like the odds.
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On September 19 2012 20:30 Xpace wrote:Show nested quote +Observers have blamed the US for standing behind the Japanese on their claim, and suggested that the US is attempting to foment unrest in the region as a pretext for "pivoting" its naval forces back to the Pacific. That, on top of some politicians' comments about the US debt to China and a bunch of other nonsense like "Down with US Imperialism".
US foreign debt in billions:
Debt to China: 1,149.6 Debt to Japan: 1,117.1
It's a hard call for US.
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On September 19 2012 20:43 Manit0u wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 20:30 Xpace wrote:Observers have blamed the US for standing behind the Japanese on their claim, and suggested that the US is attempting to foment unrest in the region as a pretext for "pivoting" its naval forces back to the Pacific. That, on top of some politicians' comments about the US debt to China and a bunch of other nonsense like "Down with US Imperialism". US foreign debt in billions: Debt to China: 1,149.6 Debt to Japan: 1,117.1 It's a hard call for US.
Source please?
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On September 19 2012 21:15 Buubble wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 20:43 Manit0u wrote:On September 19 2012 20:30 Xpace wrote:Observers have blamed the US for standing behind the Japanese on their claim, and suggested that the US is attempting to foment unrest in the region as a pretext for "pivoting" its naval forces back to the Pacific. That, on top of some politicians' comments about the US debt to China and a bunch of other nonsense like "Down with US Imperialism". US foreign debt in billions: Debt to China: 1,149.6 Debt to Japan: 1,117.1 It's a hard call for US. Source please?
The Department of the Treasury...
http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt
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On September 19 2012 20:23 Shardz wrote: I can't believe the chinese are this stupid and irrational =/. I'm chinese and these actions are just a disgrace to the country in my opinion. Of course, I have not read up too much on the situation, but this can't be justified. Just as stupid and irrational as your comment on the Chinese was. I really dislike how people classify entire nations based on a group of individuals, I doubt all the chinese support this violent rioting.
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On September 19 2012 21:19 WTFZerg wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 21:15 Buubble wrote:On September 19 2012 20:43 Manit0u wrote:On September 19 2012 20:30 Xpace wrote:Observers have blamed the US for standing behind the Japanese on their claim, and suggested that the US is attempting to foment unrest in the region as a pretext for "pivoting" its naval forces back to the Pacific. That, on top of some politicians' comments about the US debt to China and a bunch of other nonsense like "Down with US Imperialism". US foreign debt in billions: Debt to China: 1,149.6 Debt to Japan: 1,117.1 It's a hard call for US. Source please? The Department of the Treasury... http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt
That's really interesting stuff. Thanks
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On September 19 2012 20:13 Caphe wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 18:41 Caihead wrote:On September 19 2012 18:12 Xpace wrote:On September 19 2012 18:01 x2fst wrote: what's with the porn star thing, is sora aoi a huge celebrity or something? I haven't met a single Chinese person (personal experience) who hasn't been intimate with her, yanawwwmeean? horribly misleading, maybe 2% of the population actually know about her by name (like a minority of the population from 14-20). The majority of China's population don't keep track of porn stars. Mainstream culture is still extremely skeptical of the legitimacy of pornography / prostitution as an occupation, younger populations may view pornography much more often yes, but even then they don't see it as a legitimate or integral part of life, there's a certain sense of shame and reservedness that goes with it. I don't know about the 2%, but I can guarantee you, every single male classmate of mine at SJTU(one of the most prestigious university in China) know about her. So I guess, people with higher education knows about Sora Aoi. Also, shes something like 27-28 years old, but still she has nothing to do nor can impact anything on this matter. On topic, the trend of protesting against Japan has died down a bit. I just had a chat with a Shanghainese taxi driver today, he told me protesting is pointless, and some just take this as a chance to loot goods from shops/malls. There is a restaurant at my area has but on a sign that say " Japanese and dogs are not allowed", I heard that there are alot of places that put in signs like this. But if I learnt anything from the 2005 Chinese protest against Japan, this will die down as the power transfer from Hu Jin Tao to Xi Jin Ping draws near.
>_> Really? What major in 上海交大 would that be exactly. Let's just put it this way. 15-24 year old males in China is ~ 100 million (IMF / US census board / Chinese census board 2010), the population has actually shifted to be older in the last 2 years but let's just use the 2010 total population figures which is about 1.34 billion people. Assuming that every single male in that demographic knows about this person it's still only 7%... Saying that 1/3 males in this demographic know about this specific person in China is already a really far stretch, the real figures are lower than that.
The CNNIC also recorded in 2011 that only 38.3% of the population (513 million) have internet access, so... Yea...
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On September 19 2012 17:00 Caihead wrote:News updates: http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/20120919_23.htmlProtests abate amid government control over the media and riot police. http://news.cntv.cn/china/20120919/102058.shtmlQing'Dao police detain 6 suspects who participated in destruction of property / looting / setting fire to a 4S Japanese Car store. http://news.cntv.cn/world/20120919/104732.shtmlJapanese prime minster demands reparations from the Chinese government for the damages. However, identical riots are occuring in Japan by ultranationalists including makeshift smoke grenades chucked into the Chinese embassy at Fukuoka on the 17th. And a Chinese school in Kobe was set on fire in the early morning of the 19th. http://news.cntv.cn/china/20120919/103464.shtmlFinancial ministry replies to the request of damages saying that lawful reparations will be given and recommends that damages must be reported to authorities for the lawful process to work. http://news.cntv.cn/china/20120919/102165.shtmlEconomical impact of the riots, some stores are still closed and have been for 3 days since the 17th, partial re-opening have also occurred. Most stores report loss in profits for the short term, Japan-China airlines have also taken a hit in the number of passengers in the short term, (however, China-Japan tourism is at an all time high prior to the events, hitting 3.65 million for Japanese tourists and 960 thousand for Chinese tourists which is 72% increase from last year). Noticeably however is that the statistics do not support that wide spread profits damage were caused by the riots, profit margins were already low and most of the plants which closed down may have done so at an existing profit standpoint rather than safety concerns. Stocks for Japanese car manufacturers and electronics / retailers report drops in the range of ~2 to 0.5%, however other stocks reported raises such as Sony which rose by 4.48% in one day, Mazda with a 1.02% raise, and Canon with a 1.04% raise. A list of legitimate damages are listed as below: Dongfeng Motor (Japanese branch) Guangzhou Factory closed down on the 17th and re-opened on the 19th. Nissan subsidiary in Zhengzhou closed down a factory for one day on the 18th. Chongan Ford China closed down its Nanking factory for one day on the 18th. FAW group Toyota Closed down its Tianjing factory on the 18th, re-opening date indeterminant. Guangqi Honda closed down its factory on the 18th and 19th. Dongfeng Honda closed down its factory on the 18th and 19th. Sony closed 2 out of 8 factories on the 18th for one day. Panasonic's Qingdao factory does not have a re-opening date yet. Lion's Qingdao factory does not have a re-opening date yet. AEON's 36 retailers in China only have 2 which are operating normally. KOMATSU's 6 factories in China have 3 which are in non-production status. Fujita airlines have had 18800 group tickets cancelled which were expected to depart between september and november. Juneyao Airlines have delayed a flight from Shanghai to Okinawa on the 20th. Spring Airlines canceled 10 group planes from Shanghai to Tottori. http://news.cntv.cn/china/20120919/104693.shtmlBeijing closes its subway station near the Japanese embassy. http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/A/AS_JAPAN_RISING_RIGHT?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2012-09-19-03-31-30Japan's opposition candidates vow to protect islands. http://www.aljazeera.com/news/asia-pacific/2012/09/20129185557600905.htmlFurther information on the amount of stores that closed, additional information include: Uniqlo will close 19 retailer outlets in China after closing down 7 retailer stores on monday.
http://news.cntv.cn/world/20120919/106063.shtml Japan is going to treat lightly the illegal (under international as well as Japanese domestic law I believe) boarding of the islands by ultra-nationalists. Under the old law the two offenders wont be detained or put on trial, simply questioned by the police and released, so no real end will come out of reporting them to the police.
http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/world.html Protests are being suppressed and clean up is beginning.
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On September 19 2012 21:19 WTFZerg wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 21:15 Buubble wrote:On September 19 2012 20:43 Manit0u wrote:On September 19 2012 20:30 Xpace wrote:Observers have blamed the US for standing behind the Japanese on their claim, and suggested that the US is attempting to foment unrest in the region as a pretext for "pivoting" its naval forces back to the Pacific. That, on top of some politicians' comments about the US debt to China and a bunch of other nonsense like "Down with US Imperialism". US foreign debt in billions: Debt to China: 1,149.6 Debt to Japan: 1,117.1 It's a hard call for US. Source please? The Department of the Treasury... http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt
So the US owes 246 billion to the Caribbean islands?
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On September 19 2012 22:16 Svetz wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 21:19 WTFZerg wrote:On September 19 2012 21:15 Buubble wrote:On September 19 2012 20:43 Manit0u wrote:On September 19 2012 20:30 Xpace wrote:Observers have blamed the US for standing behind the Japanese on their claim, and suggested that the US is attempting to foment unrest in the region as a pretext for "pivoting" its naval forces back to the Pacific. That, on top of some politicians' comments about the US debt to China and a bunch of other nonsense like "Down with US Imperialism". US foreign debt in billions: Debt to China: 1,149.6 Debt to Japan: 1,117.1 It's a hard call for US. Source please? The Department of the Treasury... http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt So the US owes 246 billion to the Caribbean islands?
If they purchased US Treasury bonds, then yes.
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On September 19 2012 22:18 WTFZerg wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 22:16 Svetz wrote:On September 19 2012 21:19 WTFZerg wrote:On September 19 2012 21:15 Buubble wrote:On September 19 2012 20:43 Manit0u wrote:On September 19 2012 20:30 Xpace wrote:Observers have blamed the US for standing behind the Japanese on their claim, and suggested that the US is attempting to foment unrest in the region as a pretext for "pivoting" its naval forces back to the Pacific. That, on top of some politicians' comments about the US debt to China and a bunch of other nonsense like "Down with US Imperialism". US foreign debt in billions: Debt to China: 1,149.6 Debt to Japan: 1,117.1 It's a hard call for US. Source please? The Department of the Treasury... http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt So the US owes 246 billion to the Caribbean islands? If they purchased US Treasury bonds, then yes. That's mostly to banks/hedge funds based out in the Cayman Islands and other offshore tax havens.
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On September 19 2012 21:52 Caihead wrote:http://news.cntv.cn/world/20120919/106063.shtmlJapan is going to treat lightly the illegal (under international as well as Japanese domestic law I believe) boarding of the islands by ultra-nationalists. Under the old law the two offenders wont be detained or put on trial, simply questioned by the police and released, so no real end will come out of reporting them to the police.
From Japanese perspective, they only violated domestic law. No international law is broken when Japanese citizens "travel" from one Japanese territory into another Japanese territory. Technically speaking, it is the same as travelling from Tokyo to Osaka. They violated domestic law in that Japanese government prohibits any Japanese citizens from entering Senkaku Islands without government's prior approval.
From Chinese perspective, it is the violation of territorial sovereignty. Detention of the guys and full trial under Chinese law would have broken no international law whatsoever.
Another topic: Chinese ships enter territorial water http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2012/09/19/2012091900446.html
From Japanese perspective, it is the violation of "Japanese" territorial water by Chinese ships. Detention of all crews would have been entirely within the right of Japanese authorities in accordance with international law.
From Chinese perspective, it is simply entering into "Chinese" territorial water by Chinese ships. Technically speaking, it is the same as Chinese oil tanker from the middle east entering Chinese territorial water around Shanghai.
Thankfully, both authorities were no stupids trying to enforce the full extent of the law in their own perspective. Situation would have been catastrophic if they had done so.
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On September 19 2012 23:15 Orek wrote:Show nested quote +On September 19 2012 21:52 Caihead wrote:http://news.cntv.cn/world/20120919/106063.shtmlJapan is going to treat lightly the illegal (under international as well as Japanese domestic law I believe) boarding of the islands by ultra-nationalists. Under the old law the two offenders wont be detained or put on trial, simply questioned by the police and released, so no real end will come out of reporting them to the police. From Japanese perspective, they only violated domestic law. No international law is broken when Japanese citizens "travel" from one Japanese territory into another Japanese territory. Technically speaking, it is the same as travelling from Tokyo to Osaka. They violated domestic law in that Japanese government prohibits any Japanese citizens from entering Senkaku Islands without government's prior approval. From Chinese perspective, it is the violation of territorial sovereignty. Detention of the guys and full trial under Chinese law would have broken no international law whatsoever. Another topic: Chinese ships enter territorial water http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2012/09/19/2012091900446.htmlFrom Japanese perspective, it is the violation of "Japanese" territorial water by Chinese ships. Detention of all crews would have been entirely within the right of Japanese authorities in accordance with international law. From Chinese perspective, it is simply entering into "Chinese" territorial water by Chinese ships. Technically speaking, it is the same as Chinese oil tanker from the middle east entering Chinese territorial water around Shanghai. Thankfully, both authorities were no stupids trying to enforce the full extent of the law in their own perspective. Situation would have been catastrophic if they had done so. Considering that Japanese authorities arrested Chinese activists for boarding the islands, the Japanese are already enforcing the full extent of the law from their own perspective. It is only Chinese forbearance that has kept the situation from spiraling out of control so far.
The 1000-ship fishing armada, however, could change things by forcing Japan to adopt a lethal response, as its non-lethal capabilities (boarding/arrest) will be simply overwhelmed
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once this all blows over and cooler heads prevail, I wonder if Japanese companies will react to these protests by shifting some of its manufacturing out of China
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On September 20 2012 00:59 udgnim wrote: once this all blows over and cooler heads prevail, I wonder if Japanese companies will react to these protests by shifting some of its manufacturing out of China
Well think about it, the Japanese cars are already bought out by the consumers and they have already receive monetary gains from them. So it is safe to say `that they don`t give rat`s ass about what the buyer do with it.
Its like you drawing on some Nike shoes, the CEO won`t go batshit insane.
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On September 20 2012 01:06 Xiphos wrote:Show nested quote +On September 20 2012 00:59 udgnim wrote: once this all blows over and cooler heads prevail, I wonder if Japanese companies will react to these protests by shifting some of its manufacturing out of China Well think about it, the Japanese cars are already bought out by the consumers and they have already receive monetary gains from them. So it is safe to say `that they don`t give rat`s ass about what the buyer do with it. Its like you drawing on some Nike shoes, the CEO won`t go batshit insane. No but future sales forecast might take a dive. And CEO just might go batshit insane.
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On September 20 2012 01:14 ddrddrddrddr wrote:Show nested quote +On September 20 2012 01:06 Xiphos wrote:On September 20 2012 00:59 udgnim wrote: once this all blows over and cooler heads prevail, I wonder if Japanese companies will react to these protests by shifting some of its manufacturing out of China Well think about it, the Japanese cars are already bought out by the consumers and they have already receive monetary gains from them. So it is safe to say `that they don`t give rat`s ass about what the buyer do with it. Its like you drawing on some Nike shoes, the CEO won`t go batshit insane. No but future sales forecast might take a dive. And CEO just might go batshit insane.
So in order to safe sales because of bad diplomatic relationship, they are going to exacerbate their foreign relation even further...
Sounds legit.
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On September 20 2012 01:17 Xiphos wrote:Show nested quote +On September 20 2012 01:14 ddrddrddrddr wrote:On September 20 2012 01:06 Xiphos wrote:On September 20 2012 00:59 udgnim wrote: once this all blows over and cooler heads prevail, I wonder if Japanese companies will react to these protests by shifting some of its manufacturing out of China Well think about it, the Japanese cars are already bought out by the consumers and they have already receive monetary gains from them. So it is safe to say `that they don`t give rat`s ass about what the buyer do with it. Its like you drawing on some Nike shoes, the CEO won`t go batshit insane. No but future sales forecast might take a dive. And CEO just might go batshit insane. So in order to safe sales because of bad diplomatic relationship, they are going to exacerbate their foreign relation even further... Sounds legit. Sino-Japanese economy definitely will not be growing very well this year with the remaining resentment even if this matter is settled. Many will boycott Japanese items and the market will be conservative. Future investment will always come with a question of whether something like this can happen again. And the answer is yes.
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On September 20 2012 01:20 ddrddrddrddr wrote:Show nested quote +On September 20 2012 01:17 Xiphos wrote:On September 20 2012 01:14 ddrddrddrddr wrote:On September 20 2012 01:06 Xiphos wrote:On September 20 2012 00:59 udgnim wrote: once this all blows over and cooler heads prevail, I wonder if Japanese companies will react to these protests by shifting some of its manufacturing out of China Well think about it, the Japanese cars are already bought out by the consumers and they have already receive monetary gains from them. So it is safe to say `that they don`t give rat`s ass about what the buyer do with it. Its like you drawing on some Nike shoes, the CEO won`t go batshit insane. No but future sales forecast might take a dive. And CEO just might go batshit insane. So in order to safe sales because of bad diplomatic relationship, they are going to exacerbate their foreign relation even further... Sounds legit. Sino-Japanese economy definitely will not be growing very well this year with the remaining resentment even if this matter is settled. Many will boycott Japanese items and the market will be conservative. Future investment will always come with a question of whether something like this can happen again. And the answer is yes. What's more is that many Japanese firms have substantial investments into the Chinese market that will be jeopardized if insurers percieve the risk of these actions as having irrevocably shifted in a more likely direction. From an economic perspective, that (and loss of the China market) may be the biggest effect buying the Diaoyu Islands has on Japan.
Japan spent 25 million on the islands; the Chinese people are now ensuring that it will pay billions more in direct and indirect economic damages. A smart move.
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