EPTPresident Obama Re-Elected - Page 1253
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Hey guys! We'll be closing this thread shortly, but we will make an American politics megathread where we can continue the discussions in here. The new thread can be found here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383301 | ||
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Kasto
473 Posts
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Deathmanbob
United States2356 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:57 SoulTakerz wrote: Is is safe to say that if Rommey loses Florida he have no chance? yes | ||
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farvacola
United States18857 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:57 SoulTakerz wrote: Is is safe to say that if Rommey loses Florida he have no chance? Nope, he still has a path through Ohio, along with pretty much every other swing state. This is incredibly unlikely, so I guess it depends on your own personal feel for the word "safe". | ||
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oneofthem
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
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ragz_gt
9172 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:57 SoulTakerz wrote: Is is safe to say that if Rommey loses Florida he have no chance? Yes | ||
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TheTenthDoc
United States9561 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:57 SoulTakerz wrote: Is is safe to say that if Rommey loses Florida he have no chance? I'd say so. His only hope was to have the polls systematically biased against him, and in FL they gave him a narrow edge to tie situation. If he loses by .5% of the vote, it's possible...maybe...if he dramatically overperforms in PA and a couple other key places (maybe NV, though given Obama's early voting edge it may be insurmountable there). It's just unlikely that only the FL polls would have been accurate and the others would have been off by so much. | ||
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Deathmanbob
United States2356 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:58 farvacola wrote: Nope, he still has a path through Ohio and pretty much every other state. This is incredibly unlikely, so I guess it depends on your own personal feel for the word "safe". if he loses Florida, where he is polling ahead, he will not win Ohio where he is polling behind plus he would need PA, hes not going to win PA | ||
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TyrantPotato
Australia1541 Posts
Go Go Go Obama! | ||
p4NDemik
United States13896 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:56 ey215 wrote: What state? And I wouldn't think you'd need a stamp. Have to be very careful. There was so much fuss in Florida 12 years ago over whether absentee ballots had the proper postage and what should be done with them. But yeah, as ey215 says, pretty much everything surrounding voting laws and regulations varies by state so there can't be any catch-all answer to this question. | ||
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ey215
United States546 Posts
I wonder how they're estimating it. | ||
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Zealotdriver
United States1557 Posts
You heard it here first. | ||
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Veldril
Thailand1817 Posts
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TheTenthDoc
United States9561 Posts
On November 07 2012 10:00 ey215 wrote: I'm not sure what this "Est. 35% Vote In" thing is on CNN and NBC's maps. Politico and ABC aren't using it, but there's no way that 35% of the vote in Florida is reported already. I wonder how they're estimating it. I think they estimate it relative to the number of votes from previous years. Probably using the '08 numbers or tweaking them for voter enthusiasm. | ||
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oneofthem
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
On November 07 2012 10:00 ey215 wrote: I'm not sure what this "Est. 35% Vote In" thing is on CNN and NBC's maps. Politico and ABC aren't using it, but there's no way that 35% of the vote in Florida is reported already. I wonder how they're estimating it. is this the earliest conservative panic turned skepticism on record? | ||
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farvacola
United States18857 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:59 Deathmanbob wrote: if he loses Florida, where he is polling ahead, he will not win Ohio where he is polling behind plus he would need PA, hes not going to win PA I'm just always gonna warn away from phrases like "no chance". Technically that is not true  | ||
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ticklishmusic
United States15977 Posts
i really disagree with what he said. its essentially the reverse of what republican said about medicare reform-- kicking the can down the road. besides, aren't the people we elect supposed to represent our better selves and do what we need rather than what we want and drag us into the future whether we want it or not? | ||
Falling
Canada11509 Posts
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Mastermyth
Netherlands207 Posts
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TheTenthDoc
United States9561 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:59 Deathmanbob wrote: if he loses Florida, where he is polling ahead, he will not win Ohio where he is polling behind plus he would need PA, hes not going to win PA The county map for Romney in Ohio isn't looking too great right now, either. He's not yet overperforming Obama enough in the rural counties, just from eyeballing it. Only 7% in though, so it's not that meaningful. | ||
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heliusx
United States2306 Posts
On November 07 2012 09:57 SoulTakerz wrote: Is is safe to say that if Rommey loses Florida he have no chance? I think so. It would be very hard to win without florida and I don't see it really being possible. | ||
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