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IBM Watson Computer Beats Jeopardy Pros

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SpoR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1542 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-02-19 05:13:16
January 20 2011 05:52 GMT
#1
In preliminary testing rounds.

                              [image loading]

http://www.tgdaily.com/sustainability-brief/53584-ibms-watson-computer-beats-human-players-in-jeopardy

After years of planning, IBM's learning, human-aware computer Watson was put to a competition like no other - a match of Jeopardy against quiz show heavyweights Ken Jennings and Brad Rutter. The result - Watson won. Barely.

The match, which Watson has been training for since 2009, was officially announced last year. At the end of last week, the multi-episode feature where Watson faces off against Jennings and Rutter was filmed.

But right before that, all three competed in a trial run at IBM's headquarters in New York State. The trial lasted as long as a normal game of Jeopardy would before its first commercial break - in other words, about enough time for the contestants to get through half of a round.

Right before the last clue of the round, Jennings and Watson were tied at $3,400. However, Watson chimed in to answer the final question and correctly identified the children's book Harold and the Purple Crayon. That set him ahead to $4,400. Rutter trailed at $1,200.

The full-length Jeopardy matches have been filmed, but no one is allowed to discuss the results. They'll be aired on TV next month, and at that time we'll really know who wins in the battle of man versus machine.

Should be interesting. I'm sure everyone is aware of the Deep Blue Project (also by IBM) which beat chess pro Kasparov decades ago.




IBM and the producers of quiz show Jeopardy announced Tuesday that an IBM computer known as "Watson" will compete against two of the show's most successful contestants in February 2011.

Watson, named after IBM founder Thomas J. Watson, will go up against Ken Jennings and Brad Rutter (left) on February 14, 15, and 16 in two matches over three days. Jennings won 74 games in a row during the 2004-2005 season, taking home more than $2.5 million. Rutter is Jeopardy's highest-earning player, winning more than $3.25 million during several appearances in 2002 and 2005.

The grand prize for the Watson-Jennings-Rutter matchup will be $1 million, with second place winnings of $300,000 and a $200,000 third prize. Jennings and Rutter will donate 50 percent of their winnings to charity, while IBM will donate 100 percent of Watson's cash.

Getting Watson to the Jeopardy stage has taken several years. Many clues in Jeopardy rely on subtle word play, irony, and riddles, something at which humans excel but that computers have difficulty understanding. Essentially, IBM had to figure out how to get Watson to think.

"After four years, our scientific team believes that Watson is ready for this challenge based on its ability to rapidly comprehend what the Jeopardy clue is asking, analyze the information it has access to, come up with precise answers, and develop an accurate confidence in its response," Dr. David Ferrucci, head of the Watson research team, said in a statement. "Beyond our excitement for the match itself, our team is very motivated by the possibilities that Watson's breakthrough computing capabilities hold for building a smarter planet and helping people in their business tasks and personal lives."

In a video about Watson's journey (below), Ferrucci said said the nature of Jeopardy is "going to drive the technology in the right direction."

"It's got the broad domain aspect, asks all kinds of things, which was one of the challenges we really wanted to take on," he said. "It had the confidence aspect; don't answer unless you think you're right. You also had to do it really quickly."

IBM said the technology used by Watson could be helpful in areas like healthcare, to help accurately diagnose patients, to improve online self-service help desks, to provide tourists and citizens with specific information regarding cities, or prompt customer support via phone.

To prepare, Watson played more than 50 "sparring games" against former Jeopardy champions. Watson also took and passed the same Jeopardy test administered to all potential contestants.

In the video, Harry Friedman, executive producer of Jeopardy, said when IBM first approached the show, producers were intrigued but were also concerned about it being viewed as a stunt or gimmick.

"But this was different. This was the notion of knowledge acquired by a computer against knowledge acquired and displayed by the best Jeopardy players," Friedman said. "This could be something important, and we want to be a part of it."

Friedman and other producers first watched Watson in action in December 2009, when it sparred against two other human contestants.

Watson is powered by an IBM POWER7 server, which is optimized to handle the massive number of tasks that Watson must perform at rapid speeds, IBM said. The machine also has a number of proprietary technologies that handle concurrent tasks and data while analyzing information in real time.


http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2374331,00.asp



There are also a ton more videos about Watson on YT

This is the most indepth video I found so far. It describes the algorithm and abilities of the computer.


UPDATE 2/15/11

+ Show Spoiler [Day 1 Episode] +





+ Show Spoiler [Day 2 Episode] +






+ Show Spoiler [Day 3 Episode] +





Nova special

dunno if a full upload to YT is up yet but you can watch on NOVA site here
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/tech/smartest-machine-on-earth.html

+ Show Spoiler [Tues Feb 14th] +
Watson $5,000 , Ken $2,000, Brad $5,000
WOW

+ Show Spoiler [Tues Feb 15th] +
Watson $35,734 , Ken $4,800, Brad $10,400
OMG!


+ Show Spoiler [Tues Feb 16th] +
Watson $41,413 , Ken $19,200, Brad $11,200
RAPE

http://www.jeopardy.com/showguide/whentowatch/
A man is what he thinks about all day long.
eLiE
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada1039 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-20 06:06:36
January 20 2011 05:59 GMT
#2
I'm not exactly sure how a human is supposed to beat the reflexes of a computer, unless it's forced to solve the question before answering. Even then, that's no time at all. This is shifty to me, that computer must be the heart of google or something (or this is set up, idk).

EDIT: I wonder how it solves actual puzzle questions, not just fill in the blank stuff.

Found another article. no interwebz allowed. Apparently what this thing does could take a normal computer 2 hours. I wanna play video games on that.

http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2375791,00.asp

Guys don't worry, I bet that AI can't answer a bullet (in the form of a question is the tricky part)!
How's the weather down there?
lyAsakura
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States1414 Posts
January 20 2011 06:01 GMT
#3
Doesn't even look like Watson tried, even if it is a computer. The entire video, it felt like Watson was giggling to himself and letting the other guys catch up.
WeMade FOX would be a deadly SC2 team.
Blisse
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Canada3710 Posts
January 20 2011 06:01 GMT
#4
I think the question needs to be processed in the computer, then searched and confirmed. Which will take some time to do.

A.I. is getting scarier guys.
There is no one like you in the universe.
Torte de Lini
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Germany38463 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-20 06:04:25
January 20 2011 06:03 GMT
#5
Man will always beat machine because man created machine and its lengths of knowledge, capabilities and boundaries.

Somewhere... there's a movie with the exact same statement above.

To be honest, first the Chess-Playing computer, then the Micro-Beast AI, now this?
I'm scared ): Hold me.
https://twitter.com/#!/TorteDeLini (@TorteDeLini)
Roman
Profile Joined November 2002
United States2595 Posts
January 20 2011 06:04 GMT
#6
didnt deep blue have a grandmaster controlling it?
SpoR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1542 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-20 06:08:31
January 20 2011 06:05 GMT
#7
On January 20 2011 15:03 Torte de Lini wrote:
Man will always beat machine because man created machine and its lengths of knowledge, capabilities and boundaries.

Somewhere... there's a movie with the exact same statement above.

To be honest, first the Chess-Playing computer, then the Micro-Beast AI, now this?
I'm scared ): Hold me.


Last time some Israeli dudes made a computer called Deep Junior vs Kasparov which tied him 3-3, Kasparov offered a draw and the computer accepted and he said he didn't want to fuck up so he decided to offer.

On January 20 2011 15:01 whitelynx wrote:
Doesn't even look like Watson tried, even if it is a computer. The entire video, it felt like Watson was giggling to himself and letting the other guys catch up.


I got the feeling that the machine was more programmed with useful facts rather than children's storybook titles, etc.
Also kinda curious how the thing rings the buzzer. There has to be some inherent delay a human can actually squeeze the button that a computer can beat 100% of the time if they both think the answer and the exact same second. Also, can the computer buzz in before the question is over?
A man is what he thinks about all day long.
tomatriedes
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
New Zealand5356 Posts
January 20 2011 06:05 GMT
#8
One step closer to Skynet.
semantics
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
10040 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-20 06:12:04
January 20 2011 06:07 GMT
#9
Ken Jennings!!!!!!! NOOOOO
I love when IBM does something not so business oriented, although it does have underlying business reason that sort of AI can prove very useful in things like analysis.

Although one can't beat this machine in the style of an epic yarn like John Henry dieing in the end always makes it more legend worthy
sob3k
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States7572 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-20 06:13:07
January 20 2011 06:08 GMT
#10
On January 20 2011 15:04 Roman wrote:
didnt deep blue have a grandmaster controlling it?


No. What on earth would be the point of that?

This is actually EXTREMELY cool.

What Watson is doing is actually receiving the regular jeopard questions, interpreting what information is requested, and then finding it in realtime. Technology like this is what will lead to next level search technology where you can just load up google and say "gimme a restream of the GSL" and it'll just do it for you.
In Hungry Hungry Hippos there are no such constraints—one can constantly attempt to collect marbles with one’s hippo, limited only by one’s hippo-levering capabilities.
sob3k
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States7572 Posts
January 20 2011 06:10 GMT
#11
On January 20 2011 15:03 Torte de Lini wrote:
Man will always beat machine because man created machine and its lengths of knowledge, capabilities and boundaries.

Somewhere... there's a movie with the exact same statement above.

To be honest, first the Chess-Playing computer, then the Micro-Beast AI, now this?
I'm scared ): Hold me.



what? That makes no sense at all.

So a can outrun an airplane just because it was made by humans? I can win a fight with a robotic forklift?
In Hungry Hungry Hippos there are no such constraints—one can constantly attempt to collect marbles with one’s hippo, limited only by one’s hippo-levering capabilities.
hp.Shell
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2527 Posts
January 20 2011 06:13 GMT
#12
On January 20 2011 15:05 SpoR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2011 15:03 Torte de Lini wrote:
Man will always beat machine because man created machine and its lengths of knowledge, capabilities and boundaries.

Somewhere... there's a movie with the exact same statement above.

To be honest, first the Chess-Playing computer, then the Micro-Beast AI, now this?
I'm scared ): Hold me.


Last time some Israeli dudes made a computer called Deep Junior vs Kasparov which tied him 3-3, Kasparov offered a draw and the computer accepted and he said he didn't want to fuck up so he decided to offer.

That's pretty cool, sounds like the computer was overjoyed that Kasparov acknowledged it as an equal.
Please PM me with any songs you like that you think I haven't heard before!
SpoR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1542 Posts
January 20 2011 06:15 GMT
#13
On January 20 2011 15:13 hp.Shell wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2011 15:05 SpoR wrote:
On January 20 2011 15:03 Torte de Lini wrote:
Man will always beat machine because man created machine and its lengths of knowledge, capabilities and boundaries.

Somewhere... there's a movie with the exact same statement above.

To be honest, first the Chess-Playing computer, then the Micro-Beast AI, now this?
I'm scared ): Hold me.


Last time some Israeli dudes made a computer called Deep Junior vs Kasparov which tied him 3-3, Kasparov offered a draw and the computer accepted and he said he didn't want to fuck up so he decided to offer.

That's pretty cool, sounds like the computer was overjoyed that Kasparov acknowledged it as an equal.


This is a funny way to put it. I mean the computer doesn't have any emotions.
A man is what he thinks about all day long.
Ferrose
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States11378 Posts
January 20 2011 06:16 GMT
#14
Hopefully this isn't the future of AI/computers:

[image loading]
@113candlemagic Office lady by day, lonely woman at night. | Official lolicon of thread 94273
Lefnui
Profile Joined November 2008
United States753 Posts
January 20 2011 06:19 GMT
#15
On January 20 2011 15:08 sob3k wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2011 15:04 Roman wrote:
didnt deep blue have a grandmaster controlling it?


No. What on earth would be the point of that?

He's referring to an allegation that Kasparov made after the match. And actually, there would be a very meaningful point to it. Computers, especially at that time, were a bit too greedy with material. A GM controlling what lines the computer considers would be extremely useful.
Spazer
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada8031 Posts
January 20 2011 06:23 GMT
#16
On January 20 2011 15:05 SpoR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2011 15:03 Torte de Lini wrote:
Man will always beat machine because man created machine and its lengths of knowledge, capabilities and boundaries.

Somewhere... there's a movie with the exact same statement above.

To be honest, first the Chess-Playing computer, then the Micro-Beast AI, now this?
I'm scared ): Hold me.


Last time some Israeli dudes made a computer called Deep Junior vs Kasparov which tied him 3-3, Kasparov offered a draw and the computer accepted and he said he didn't want to fuck up so he decided to offer.

Show nested quote +
On January 20 2011 15:01 whitelynx wrote:
Doesn't even look like Watson tried, even if it is a computer. The entire video, it felt like Watson was giggling to himself and letting the other guys catch up.


I got the feeling that the machine was more programmed with useful facts rather than children's storybook titles, etc.
Also kinda curious how the thing rings the buzzer. There has to be some inherent delay a human can actually squeeze the button that a computer can beat 100% of the time if they both think the answer and the exact same second. Also, can the computer buzz in before the question is over?

Your reflexes are not as fast as the computer's, guaranteed. Once the computer knows the answer, it can spam the signal line. All the computer needs to do is know is the length of time the signal line must be high for in order for it to be detected. Since this is probably in the microseconds range, this means the computer could probably manage several thousand button pushes per second. You can't beat that.
Liquipedia
SpoR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1542 Posts
January 20 2011 06:25 GMT
#17
On January 20 2011 15:23 Spazer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 20 2011 15:05 SpoR wrote:
On January 20 2011 15:03 Torte de Lini wrote:
Man will always beat machine because man created machine and its lengths of knowledge, capabilities and boundaries.

Somewhere... there's a movie with the exact same statement above.

To be honest, first the Chess-Playing computer, then the Micro-Beast AI, now this?
I'm scared ): Hold me.


Last time some Israeli dudes made a computer called Deep Junior vs Kasparov which tied him 3-3, Kasparov offered a draw and the computer accepted and he said he didn't want to fuck up so he decided to offer.

On January 20 2011 15:01 whitelynx wrote:
Doesn't even look like Watson tried, even if it is a computer. The entire video, it felt like Watson was giggling to himself and letting the other guys catch up.


I got the feeling that the machine was more programmed with useful facts rather than children's storybook titles, etc.
Also kinda curious how the thing rings the buzzer. There has to be some inherent delay a human can actually squeeze the button that a computer can beat 100% of the time if they both think the answer and the exact same second. Also, can the computer buzz in before the question is over?

Your reflexes are not as fast as the computer's, guaranteed. Once the computer knows the answer, it can spam the signal line. All the computer needs to do is know is the length of time the signal line must be high for in order for it to be detected. Since this is probably in the microseconds range, this means the computer could probably manage several thousand button pushes per second. You can't beat that.

Thanks for reaffirming what I said? I read in another article that it has some mechanism that mimics a human pressing a button to not be imba in this way.
A man is what he thinks about all day long.
mikeymoo
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
Canada7170 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-20 06:49:13
January 20 2011 06:27 GMT
#18
Very smart move by IBM.
If it was head to head vs Jennings, Watson would be less favoured than in a three-way format because when it can't answer a question, there wouldn't be two contestants to split the responses.
Also, I'm wondering what the algorithm is for Daily Doubles and Final Jeopardy. Should be interesting.
Edited out a typo.
o_x | Ow. | 1003 ESPORTS dollars | If you have any questions about bans please PM Kennigit
SpoR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1542 Posts
January 20 2011 06:28 GMT
#19
ok this is kind of chilling

A man is what he thinks about all day long.
SpoR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1542 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-20 06:39:58
January 20 2011 06:32 GMT
#20
On January 20 2011 15:08 sob3k wrote:


This is actually EXTREMELY cool.

What Watson is doing is actually receiving the regular jeopard questions, interpreting what information is requested, and then finding it in realtime. Technology like this is what will lead to next level search technology where you can just load up google and say "gimme a restream of the GSL" and it'll just do it for you.



yup


A man is what he thinks about all day long.
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