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[HoN/DotA] Let's Play~!! - Page 582

Forum Index > General Games
Post a Reply
Prev 1 580 581 582 583 584 1664 Next
Shikyo
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Finland33997 Posts
October 21 2009 17:11 GMT
#11621
Hey would anyone like to play dota? I'd like to try a proper game for once, I have a mic etc... I guess I'm all right although I'm quite lost at some points of the game after the laning phase, but I'd say I'm better than the average noob(I can control lanes decently well, know most item builds for the heroes I use, can lasthit and deny pretty well, can animation cancel) so I think that playing with people whose actions actually have a purpose and who I could communicate with instead of some pubs might really help me improve and enjoy the game more.

PM me please, also if I can join the garena clan or whatevers.
League of Legends EU West, Platinum III | Yousei Teikoku is the best thing that has ever happened to music.
paper
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
13197 Posts
October 21 2009 20:06 GMT
#11622
testie needs to relinquish his clan lord status on garena lol
Hates Fun🤔
SK.Testie
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada11084 Posts
October 21 2009 21:00 GMT
#11623
People still use that thing?!
Social Justice is a fools errand. May all the adherents at its church be thwarted. Of all the religions I have come across, it is by far the most detestable.
Dark.Carnival
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States5095 Posts
October 21 2009 21:05 GMT
#11624
garena? wuts dat
@QxGDarkCell ._.
JeeJee
Profile Blog Joined July 2003
Canada5652 Posts
October 21 2009 21:08 GMT
#11625
http://www.smh.com.au/drive/motor-news/the-4wd-with-seats-made-of-whale-penis-20091016-gzsq.html
(\o/)  If you want it, you find a way. Otherwise you find excuses. No exceptions.
 /_\   aka Shinbi (requesting a name change since 27/05/09 ☺)
Tadzio
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
3340 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-10-21 21:48:51
October 21 2009 21:36 GMT
#11626
Just went through the hero stats for HoN available here and compared all of their winning and losing percentages. When I noticed they had the winning percentages for all heroes over the courses of 10s of thousands of samples (otherwise known as games) it struck me most error and bias would be removed from these stats. They didn't care about the skill of the player wielding the character, nor did they care whether the hero was a teamfighter, pusher, or a 1v1 hero. The only thing that mattered was whether the team they were on had won. Also, S2 had kindly ignored EM games when tallying the stats.

"What better way to figure out which heroes are truly overpowered," I thought to myself. Sure, it might be more important to know which heroes were being used in high PSR games, but fuck it, this'll satisfy the idle stats nerd dwelling within me

The Duds! (Heroes with less than 45% wins)

Nighthound | 44.1% | 5.9 / 4.7 / 5.5
Dark Lady | 43.7% | 4.9 / 5.4 / 6.1
Warbeast | 43.6% | 4.1 / 4.6 / 4.3
Ophelia | 43.3% | 3.6 / 4.9 / 5.4
Wretched Hag | 42.1% | 5.1 / 5.2 / 7.1
Pandemonium | 41.7% | 3.9 / 5.9 / 6.3

The Dudliest!

+ Show Spoiler +
Devourer | 40.7% | 4.4 / 5.3 / 6.3


The Ubers! (Heroes with more than 52% wins)

PuppetMaster | 52.0% | 6.4 / 5.2 / 6.8
Andromeda | 52.3% | 4.5 / 5.3 / 7.6
Maliken | 52.6% | 5.6 / 5.6 / 7.7
Demented Shaman | 53.3% | 4.6 / 5.2 / 8.4
Jeraziah | 54.3% | 3.1 / 4.7 / 6.6
Tempest | 54.9% | 3.8 / 5.2 / 9.9
Sand Wraith | 57.7% | 5.9 / 4.5 / 10.7
Pestilence | 57.8% | 4.3 / 4.5 / 8.7

The Ublierest!

+ Show Spoiler +
Plague Rider | 58.1% | 6.7 / 4.9 / 8.5


Anyway, I thought it was a fun collection of stats. For those that are curious, only 3 Agi carries had better than a 50% win rate. Sand Wraith is already on the Ubers list, and the other two were Arachna with 51.x% and Magebane with 50.x%.

Flex your nerd powers and discuss. :D
jpopidol
Profile Joined November 2008
108 Posts
October 21 2009 21:48 GMT
#11627
It would be pretty interesting to see how they decide to balance the game as time progresses. Do you balance for the majority of players or the top 1%?
SK.Testie
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada11084 Posts
October 21 2009 21:55 GMT
#11628
What do you mean?
Social Justice is a fools errand. May all the adherents at its church be thwarted. Of all the religions I have come across, it is by far the most detestable.
Tadzio
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
3340 Posts
October 21 2009 22:02 GMT
#11629
I guess it depends on what they think will make them more money... I'd probably balance it for the top 15-25% of players so that it remains a viable e-sports vehicle while still appealing to those that're willing to put the time in to learn how to play.
Renderer
Profile Joined May 2009
United States30 Posts
October 21 2009 22:03 GMT
#11630
+ Show Spoiler +
On October 22 2009 06:36 Tadzio wrote:
Just went through the hero stats for HoN available here and compared all of their winning and losing percentages. When I noticed they had the winning percentages for all heroes over the courses of 10s of thousands of samples (otherwise known as games) it struck me most error and bias would be removed from these stats. They didn't care about the skill of the player wielding the character, nor did they care whether the hero was a teamfighter, pusher, or a 1v1 hero. The only thing that mattered was whether the team they were on had won. Also, S2 had kindly ignored EM games when tallying the stats.

"What better way to figure out which heroes are truly overpowered," I thought to myself. Sure, it might be more important to know which heroes were being used in high PSR games, but fuck it, this'll satisfy the idle stats nerd dwelling within me

The Duds! (Heroes with less than 45% wins)

Nighthound | 44.1% | 5.9 / 4.7 / 5.5
Dark Lady | 43.7% | 4.9 / 5.4 / 6.1
Warbeast | 43.6% | 4.1 / 4.6 / 4.3
Ophelia | 43.3% | 3.6 / 4.9 / 5.4
Wretched Hag | 42.1% | 5.1 / 5.2 / 7.1
Pandemonium | 41.7% | 3.9 / 5.9 / 6.3

The Dudliest!

+ Show Spoiler +
Devourer | 40.7% | 4.4 / 5.3 / 6.3


The Ubers! (Heroes with more than 52% wins)

PuppetMaster | 52.0% | 6.4 / 5.2 / 6.8
Andromeda | 52.3% | 4.5 / 5.3 / 7.6
Maliken | 52.6% | 5.6 / 5.6 / 7.7
Demented Shaman | 53.3% | 4.6 / 5.2 / 8.4
Jeraziah | 54.3% | 3.1 / 4.7 / 6.6
Tempest | 54.9% | 3.8 / 5.2 / 9.9
Sand Wraith | 57.7% | 5.9 / 4.5 / 10.7
Pestilence | 57.8% | 4.3 / 4.5 / 8.7

The Ublierest!

+ Show Spoiler +
Plague Rider | 58.1% | 6.7 / 4.9 / 8.5


Anyway, I thought it was a fun collection of stats. For those that are curious, only 3 Agi carries had better than a 50% win rate. Sand Wraith is already on the Ubers list, and the other two were Arachna with 51.x% and Magebane with 50.x%.

Flex your nerd powers and discuss. :D


Well, unless you are running an actual multiple regression on the population data, you cannot know if there are hidden bias on these heroes. What this means is that you need econometrics and common sense to figure out whether hero preference by low-skilled players or popularity of a hero can affect these numbers and quantize the effect on the effectiveness of the hero ceteris paribus. Coming from an economics major, the data you have provided does not show the complete picture, and it does not answer the question completely: What heroes are uber (higher probability of win independent of the player's skill level)? However your data is interesting, and makes for a good thought exercise.
Information is power. Free the internet from ACTA.
Renderer
Profile Joined May 2009
United States30 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-10-21 22:26:51
October 21 2009 22:20 GMT
#11631
If they released the longitudinal data for analysis, things like which heroes are more noob friendly or which heroes typically do better in high-skill games can be determined or proven not to exist. For example, we could test whether the argument that scout is a hard hero to play effectively is true on the average since less people are skilled than not, which is consistent with his low win percentage. Or maybe we could say that Jeraziah is an easy hero or a highly synergetic hero since because of his magic immunity spell and maybe conclude that he's just a better hero overall independent of skill level. Or even take a step further and include regressors like kdr or preference of players by different skill levels, or evolution/learning curves for each hero played multiple times by the same player or even player's age (might not be conclusive because ppl can lie about their age when registering). The beauty of econometrics is that it relies on reasoning reasons first, then hypothesis testing those ideas.

TL;DR: I need the spreadsheet with all the data for every game to run my nerdy formulas on.
Information is power. Free the internet from ACTA.
Dark.Carnival
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States5095 Posts
October 21 2009 22:23 GMT
#11632
go away ren, you're not welcome in our home.
@QxGDarkCell ._.
Renderer
Profile Joined May 2009
United States30 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-10-21 22:30:27
October 21 2009 22:25 GMT
#11633
no u.
u can't beat my logic.
have some fish. http://mdn.mainichi.jp/mdnnews/odd/news/20091014p2g00m0in012000c.html
Information is power. Free the internet from ACTA.
Tadzio
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
3340 Posts
October 21 2009 22:35 GMT
#11634
Meh, I don't see how we can be more accurate with our answer without access to data collected by S2's servers. There's probably hidden bias. Pesti's 57.8%, for example, is based on data collected from 116,622 games. We can safely say that it's accurate (margin for error is very small). If we were able to compare how he does in games with and without invisible enemies in them, we might discover that his winning percentage plummets if he's not countering an invis hero. Then again, we may not...

Unfortunately, we can't know if Pesti is always a good pick. We can be pretty sure, though, that he's a better pick than Pandemonium most of the time.
paper
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
13197 Posts
October 21 2009 23:38 GMT
#11635
that data is nearly meaningless

does not really say anything other than what your average competent player already knows
Hates Fun🤔
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17872 Posts
October 21 2009 23:48 GMT
#11636
Pandamonium, not Pandemonium!

And Pesti is a good pick in most cases because he's very versatile. He can tank, he can dish damage, he can stun, he can reveal enemies + armor reduction and finally, he can run really fast.
There's nothing wrong with this hero.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Shikyo
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Finland33997 Posts
October 22 2009 00:34 GMT
#11637
Would have expected someone in this thread to want to play DoTA O_o

HoN is a joke btw.
League of Legends EU West, Platinum III | Yousei Teikoku is the best thing that has ever happened to music.
Shade692003
Profile Joined August 2005
Canada702 Posts
October 22 2009 00:49 GMT
#11638
you're a joke
I hate the post below mine because it feels War3-ish.
Dark.Carnival
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States5095 Posts
October 22 2009 01:49 GMT
#11639
LoL is the joke imo
just look at its name. LoL. LoL. L O L. WHO WOULD DO THAT TO THEIR GAME? only jokesters.
@QxGDarkCell ._.
Shikyo
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Finland33997 Posts
October 22 2009 02:17 GMT
#11640
On October 22 2009 09:49 Shade692003 wrote:
you're a joke

?

It is super imbalanced and has only 3% of the heroes, its own heroes are terrible and its otherwise just a copy with some terrible names in there.

LoL is of course a lot worse but there can be bad jokes and less bad jokes.
League of Legends EU West, Platinum III | Yousei Teikoku is the best thing that has ever happened to music.
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