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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. |
On November 09 2016 16:10 xDaunt wrote: I just wish that I could be a fly on the wall for Obama's first transition meeting with Trump this week.
Will the letter that Obama writes Trump be longer than 140 characters?
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On November 09 2016 16:11 TheYango wrote: So if Gingrich gets to be a part of the Trump administration, does that mean the moonbase dream is still alive?
I swear, just convince Trump to put his name on Mars. It could work. We could be there in his second term, easily.
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Podesta: We didnt lose, but go home.
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On November 09 2016 16:11 Leporello wrote: So the guy who started the "birther" movement is going to take the Presidency after the first black President.
Nothing racist there at all. Idk how I'm going to sleep.
America's best hope is that something can be done over the next couple months that will disqualify Donald's presidency. The voters have put the world at real risk, imo.
Fuck the DNC, too. They took it all for granted.
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On November 09 2016 16:07 ChristianS wrote:Show nested quote +On November 09 2016 15:43 LegalLord wrote:On November 09 2016 15:35 ChristianS wrote: Boy, there's gonna be a lot of self-righteous Bernie supporters in the next few weeks. And they're gonna be completely wrong, because we have zero reason to think Bernie would have done better, and they're going to refuse to listen to that. So that'll be obnoxious. On November 09 2016 15:13 LegalLord wrote: If Bernie won, there would be no FBI investigation, no "my enemy belongs in prison," no DNC rigging, and probably no leaks. He would have been hammered for socialism and for being a hippie who supported dictators, but in contrast to Hillary fewer people would have such a strong visceral reaction to voting against him. I am quite sure he would have won. My argument to the contrary. I think it would have been enough. An under-appreciated subthread of this electoral cycle: how hard it is to predict a presidential election. We had about as much information as you could possibly ask for to predict an election, short of seeing the results. Hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of interviews with voters going right up to the eve of the election, and still even 538, by far one of the more conservative models in this regard, gave Clinton 70%. To think that you could predict with any accuracy a hypothetical alternate timeline purely based on a brief knowledge of each individual and their strengths and weaknesses is bordering on absurd.
Perhaps no one want's to publicly admit they are voting for Trump? Perhaps the media is eschewing interview videos where the person is in favor of Trump?
All in all, I rest easy knowing that Trump, in practicality and on paper, should not be able to single handedly ruin the country. Even with a Republican Congress, I believe that many of his reforms won't make it through, considering he has made so many enemies.
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On November 09 2016 15:57 opisska wrote: Naively taken, for me as an outsider, this result is absolutely absurd. The whole "two bad options" melodrama has been completely fabricated - maybe Hillary wasn't the most loveable candidate, but in any normal place or time, her "terrible flaws" would have been seen as normal features of a career politician. Yet, millions of people got somehow convinced that she is the same "evil" as a guy who boasts about touching women, spits hate about anyone he feels like the given week and generally doesn't seem to be able to run a bicycle, not to mention a country. This is just some enormous feat of marketing, it will be studied for centuries, I am sure of that.
But then I started to learn details about how does America work. For example the whole talk about voter IDs, election availablity etc.. this level of difficulty so many people have voting is totally unreal. I am not sure that americans even realize it, because they are used to it, but there is something terribly wrong with the whole country, if people "can't afford to vote" for this or that reason. I mean, in Czech Republic, you just casually drop by after work to a polling place, of which there are so many everywhere and vote - if there are queues for more than a couple of minute, someone is gonna get yelled at very, very hard.
But the rabbit hole really goes deeper - how come that in one of the most developed, richest and powerful country, there are so many people who struggle to go by every day? Even more interestingly, who managed to convince those people that more of free market capitalism is the solution? How can a right-wing candidate take decisive support from the working class? It does not make any fucking sense. The solution to most of american issue is obviously modern moderate socialism - but nobody sees that! HOW?
I should not really surprised that you guys elected a muppet, after all, we (Czech Rep.) have one as president (luckily, without much of actual power) and several other nearby countries have some elected representatives highly questionable personalities (and the brits voted bloody yes on the most stupid question ever), I am just genuinely surprised that you voted this particular muppet - a rich billionaire who never did anything useful in his life and has no interest in any real social politics. First off, this was a major wakeup call, perhaps the last one you'll hear in a while, that This campaign was always about the lesser of two evils.
For you particularly, but not for the rest of the country, it's also about It is insanely easy for people to vote. Trump was an easy choice for the white working class. The Democratic party had empty promises for years, the Republican party mostly the same, and here comes the outsider candidate promising hope and change. + Show Spoiler +On October 30 2016 05:18 Danglars wrote:![[image loading]](http://assets.amuniversal.com/da7a82807d980134e3a7005056a9545d) Easy choice. Hate the choices, accept the choice.
But I promised myself to not go full ham on a naive take. Half the country is waking up to modern journalism and the people they've left behind while saying minorities have been left behind. The reality check is just hitting and they'll STILL claim Clinton was great but America wasn't ready to accept her. So go read the hillbilly elegy, polling on immigration & Syrian refugees & obamacare and grasp why Trump was the better choice of two bad choices.
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On November 09 2016 16:10 xDaunt wrote: I just wish that I could be a fly on the wall for Obama's first transition meeting with Trump this week. Twitter account @POTUS gets given to trump tomorrow.
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Didn't some polls assume voters turnout would be similar to 2012 in terms of party affiliation? If true, that may be a huge red flag as to why the polls were 'wrong'.
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On November 09 2016 16:10 FiWiFaKi wrote:Show nested quote +On November 09 2016 16:09 Dante08 wrote: Wow didn't most polls sure Clinton leading? How were they so inaccurate? Or maybe it was rigged as Trump said? A likely explanation is that people are ashamed of telling other people they support Trump, and hence he was underrepresented in the polls. From the looks of it in popular vote, the polls were 3-4 points off.
I was thinking the same. All this cases of people at work being shuned for openely suporting Trump..
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Trump already got 269 according to german TV.
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On November 09 2016 16:09 WhiteDog wrote: Can one of you give me approx of the abstention rate ? For my class. Just can say record turnout in the weirdest areas, assuming you mean people that didn't show up to vote given the choices.
Florida up 4.7% etc.
One source for when it comes in: Elect Project
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TLADT24920 Posts
On November 09 2016 16:17 HolydaKing wrote: Trump already got 269 according to german TV. still stuck to 244-210 for trump on cbc.
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On November 09 2016 16:14 Danglars wrote:Show nested quote +On November 09 2016 15:57 opisska wrote: Naively taken, for me as an outsider, this result is absolutely absurd. The whole "two bad options" melodrama has been completely fabricated - maybe Hillary wasn't the most loveable candidate, but in any normal place or time, her "terrible flaws" would have been seen as normal features of a career politician. Yet, millions of people got somehow convinced that she is the same "evil" as a guy who boasts about touching women, spits hate about anyone he feels like the given week and generally doesn't seem to be able to run a bicycle, not to mention a country. This is just some enormous feat of marketing, it will be studied for centuries, I am sure of that.
But then I started to learn details about how does America work. For example the whole talk about voter IDs, election availablity etc.. this level of difficulty so many people have voting is totally unreal. I am not sure that americans even realize it, because they are used to it, but there is something terribly wrong with the whole country, if people "can't afford to vote" for this or that reason. I mean, in Czech Republic, you just casually drop by after work to a polling place, of which there are so many everywhere and vote - if there are queues for more than a couple of minute, someone is gonna get yelled at very, very hard.
But the rabbit hole really goes deeper - how come that in one of the most developed, richest and powerful country, there are so many people who struggle to go by every day? Even more interestingly, who managed to convince those people that more of free market capitalism is the solution? How can a right-wing candidate take decisive support from the working class? It does not make any fucking sense. The solution to most of american issue is obviously modern moderate socialism - but nobody sees that! HOW?
I should not really surprised that you guys elected a muppet, after all, we (Czech Rep.) have one as president (luckily, without much of actual power) and several other nearby countries have some elected representatives highly questionable personalities (and the brits voted bloody yes on the most stupid question ever), I am just genuinely surprised that you voted this particular muppet - a rich billionaire who never did anything useful in his life and has no interest in any real social politics. First off, this was a major wakeup call, perhaps the last one you'll hear in a while, that This campaign was always about the lesser of two evils.For you particularly, but not for the rest of the country, it's also about It is insanely easy for people to vote.Trump was an easy choice for the white working class. The Democratic party had empty promises for years, the Republican party mostly the same, and here comes the outsider candidate promising hope and change. + Show Spoiler +On October 30 2016 05:18 Danglars wrote:![[image loading]](http://assets.amuniversal.com/da7a82807d980134e3a7005056a9545d) Easy choice. Hate the choices, accept the choice. But I promised myself to not go full ham on a naive take. Half the country is waking up to modern journalism and the people they've left behind while saying minorities have been left behind. The reality check is just hitting and they'll STILL claim Clinton was great but America wasn't ready to accept her. So go read the hillbilly elegy, polling on immigration & Syrian refugees & obamacare and grasp why Trump was the better choice of two bad choices.
But these final point they just serve to reinforce my confusion: why are Syrian refugees even a topic in the US, when the whole of Syria has about as many inhabitants as a big congressional district? US can just take the whole country in and not much changes. And more interestingly, obamacare: isn't that supposed to be good for the poor people? That's just what I have been saying: if people are not making enough money to afford proper healthcare, they should be in the streets, but they should be there with pictures of Lenin, not Trump!
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They're being dumb.
Why is Alaska not called, that's a given, Wisconsin is a done deal, Arizona is a done deal.
Maybe they're just trying to wait until morning to call the election, idk.
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Going to sleep, have fun guys, stay safe out there. This will be one hell of a postmortem.
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On November 09 2016 16:16 Silvanel wrote:Show nested quote +On November 09 2016 16:10 FiWiFaKi wrote:On November 09 2016 16:09 Dante08 wrote: Wow didn't most polls sure Clinton leading? How were they so inaccurate? Or maybe it was rigged as Trump said? A likely explanation is that people are ashamed of telling other people they support Trump, and hence he was underrepresented in the polls. From the looks of it in popular vote, the polls were 3-4 points off. I was thinking the same. All this cases of people at work being shuned for openely suporting Trump..
"the silent majority"
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It's about 300 for Trump as far as I'm concerned.
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On November 09 2016 16:17 HolydaKing wrote: Trump already got 269 according to german TV. If all of the American outlets called the same states, Trump would be over 270. For example, some outlets have called Wisconsin, but not Pennsylvania, and others have called Pennsylvannia, but not Wisconsin. I don't really understand what the hang up is. The media outlets are being way too conservative. This is a done deal.
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