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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4611

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4783 Posts
August 01 2016 22:38 GMT
#92201
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15732 Posts
August 01 2016 22:42 GMT
#92202
On August 02 2016 07:24 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:

I am going to assume this is more of Johnson's strength rather than Clinton's strength.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 01 2016 22:53 GMT
#92203
Federal investigators said on Monday they have opened a criminal probe into the 2015 spill of some 3 million gallons (11 million liters) of toxic wastewater from a defunct Colorado gold mine that was triggered by a contractor with the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

At the urging of congressional leaders, the EPA’s Office of Inspector General is investigating the rupture from the Gold King Mine above Silverton, Colorado, that fouled waterways in three states and Native American lands, the agency said in a statement.

“Based on requests from several members of the House and Senate, the OIG is conducting both a program evaluation and a criminal investigation of the Gold King Mine spill,” the EPA said in a statement.

The OIG is an independent office that audits, investigates and evaluates the agency’s activities, the EPA statement said.

Last August, a contractor hired by the EPA to slow seepage from the century-old stake breached a tunnel wall, unleashing a torrent of wastewater that had backed up behind the mountainside.

The orange-colored sludge, containing nearly 900,000 pounds (408, 233 kg) of heavy metals, poured into a creek that feeds the Animas and San Juan rivers and traversed into New Mexico, ultimately emptying into Lake Powell in Utah.

Two Republican members of the U.S. Senate’s Committee on Indian Affairs, John McCain of Arizona and Chairman John Barrasso of Wyoming, sent a letter in May to Attorney General Loretta Lynch, urging her to launch a criminal probe into the spill.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 01 2016 22:53 GMT
#92204
On August 02 2016 07:42 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 07:24 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/samsteinhp/status/760220640246915072

I am going to assume this is more of Johnson's strength rather than Clinton's strength.

It is the weakness of Trump. McCain and Romney carried that state by 8 points ez pz.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 01 2016 23:10 GMT
#92205
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 01 2016 23:11 GMT
#92206
On August 02 2016 07:18 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I think any time a news story lasts two days and clearly illustrates Trump's lack of foresight, people will falsely think it sounds a death knell for his campaign. These stories are unlikely to have a meaningful effect alone, but at least in a rhetoric sense it builds a really nice line of attack for Clinton (though I doubt she'd even bother with it).

I mean, this one is such a crystal clear illustration that he needed to listen to whoever told him if you don't have anything nice to say don't say anything at all or, failing that, at least ask some of his "best people" for help before embarking on a stupid course of action.

The message that Trump is a petty name-caller has been heard and acknowledged. The messenger, however, is one of the least popular nominees in history.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 01 2016 23:18 GMT
#92207
On August 02 2016 08:10 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.

These days there's tons of international travel anyways; so I wouldn't expect the Rio olympics to dramatically change the spread pattern of Zika. It's not going to be a full global epidemic because there's areas those mosquitoes just don't live.

The rio olympics in general are looking to be rather of a mess certainly.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 01 2016 23:18 GMT
#92208
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4783 Posts
August 01 2016 23:20 GMT
#92209
On August 02 2016 08:10 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.


Now I'm curious. Can you provide any examples of such prior underestimations? I'm here assuming we are talking legitimately full-blown underestimations of a similar magnitude as a Zika pandemic would be.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 01 2016 23:21 GMT
#92210
On August 02 2016 08:11 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 07:18 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I think any time a news story lasts two days and clearly illustrates Trump's lack of foresight, people will falsely think it sounds a death knell for his campaign. These stories are unlikely to have a meaningful effect alone, but at least in a rhetoric sense it builds a really nice line of attack for Clinton (though I doubt she'd even bother with it).

I mean, this one is such a crystal clear illustration that he needed to listen to whoever told him if you don't have anything nice to say don't say anything at all or, failing that, at least ask some of his "best people" for help before embarking on a stupid course of action.

The message that Trump is a petty name-caller has been heard and acknowledged. The messenger, however, is one of the least popular nominees in history.

The best part about Trump is that he has created this myth that nothing he does can hurt him. Except this isn't the primary any more and he needs to win over more than the fraction of 9% of the voting population.



I love the myth because it gives Clinton and the DNC all this space to work with voters who don't like their options. While Trump is calling people names, Clinton is courting votes.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9164 Posts
August 01 2016 23:30 GMT
#92211
On August 02 2016 08:10 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.

Remember bird flu? Swine flu? SARS? Ebola? Looks to me like we're not wiped out yet, so I'll continue to not err on the side of the hysterical ones and not worry about this part of the news cycle.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 23:36:26
August 01 2016 23:35 GMT
#92212
the "dangerous epidemic x is around the corner" despite medical professionals telling you that this isn't the case is a reactionary staple because it ties well into the "foreigners are bringing in dangerous germs" stuff. Orban used this a lot when talking about refugees.

I'll guarantee that it comes up in this election cycle in regards to Syrian refugees again
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 23:45:22
August 01 2016 23:41 GMT
#92213
On August 02 2016 08:20 Ghostcom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 08:10 LegalLord wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.


Now I'm curious. Can you provide any examples of such prior underestimations? I'm here assuming we are talking legitimately full-blown underestimations of a similar magnitude as a Zika pandemic would be.

I'll just give you the results from a quick Google search on WHO mistakes.
Ebola: http://dailysignal.com/2015/08/15/what-world-health-organization-did-wrong-on-ebola-response/
Structure and financing: http://www.nature.com/nm/journal/v18/n5/full/nm0512-646.html?WT.ec_id=NM-201205
Humanitarian aid: http://www.oneillinstituteblog.org/what-the-world-health-organization-executive-board-resolution-got-wrong-on-humanitarian-assistance/
UN panel on epidemics: http://wordpress.utoledo.edu/disastermedicine/2016/02/10/un-panel-the-world-underestimates-the-risk-of-a-health-threat-worse-than-ebola/
Zika: http://nypost.com/2016/06/11/super-bacteria-found-in-brazils-olympic-venues-top-beaches/

I don't really have the time to really properly make the case that the WHO is wrong here but hopefully those are enough to at least offer something to look at. Long story short, some credible sources say Zika might be worse than expected.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 01 2016 23:43 GMT
#92214
On August 02 2016 08:30 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 08:10 LegalLord wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.

Remember bird flu? Swine flu? SARS? Ebola? Looks to me like we're not wiped out yet, so I'll continue to not err on the side of the hysterical ones and not worry about this part of the news cycle.

No one is saying it's the next Black Plague but just that it's an important health concern. Which bird flu, swine flu, SARS, and Ebola all were. Quite a few people suffered from those diseases and it doesn't take a world-killing disease to be worried about possible risk.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 01 2016 23:44 GMT
#92215
might be worse than expected, but still not horrific pandemic material; and like I said, the olympics arne't really gonna change it notably, ther'es plenty of international travel already.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 01 2016 23:50 GMT
#92216
On August 02 2016 08:44 zlefin wrote:
might be worse than expected, but still not horrific pandemic material; and like I said, the olympics arne't really gonna change it notably, ther'es plenty of international travel already.

Thousands of people close in proximity to the disease returning home all at once is certainly going to have the risk of widespread Zika cases. Almost certainly not a Black Plague level pandemic but not a negligible risk and not negligible potential for real damage. Especially for nations with underdeveloped health care.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9164 Posts
August 01 2016 23:53 GMT
#92217
On August 02 2016 08:43 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 08:30 Dan HH wrote:
On August 02 2016 08:10 LegalLord wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.

Remember bird flu? Swine flu? SARS? Ebola? Looks to me like we're not wiped out yet, so I'll continue to not err on the side of the hysterical ones and not worry about this part of the news cycle.

No one is saying it's the next Black Plague but just that it's an important health concern. Which bird flu, swine flu, SARS, and Ebola all were. Quite a few people suffered from those diseases and it doesn't take a world-killing disease to be worried about possible risk.

Have you slept thorugh all of those? They were treated exactly like an imminent black plague.

http://harvardpolitics.com/covers/afraid-media-failed-coverage-ebola/

Now Zika doesn't kill so the zombie apocalypse tone of the media is somewhat lower but I still find its coverage heavily overdone on the fear aspect.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15732 Posts
August 01 2016 23:53 GMT
#92218
On August 02 2016 08:30 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 08:10 LegalLord wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.

Remember bird flu? Swine flu? SARS? Ebola? Looks to me like we're not wiped out yet, so I'll continue to not err on the side of the hysterical ones and not worry about this part of the news cycle.


A lot of people worked very hard to make sure you feel as safe as you do. It's not like the things you listed naturally fizzled out.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 23:54:59
August 01 2016 23:54 GMT
#92219
On August 02 2016 08:50 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 08:44 zlefin wrote:
might be worse than expected, but still not horrific pandemic material; and like I said, the olympics arne't really gonna change it notably, ther'es plenty of international travel already.

Thousands of people close in proximity to the disease returning home all at once is certainly going to have the risk of widespread Zika cases. Almost certainly not a Black Plague level pandemic but not a negligible risk and not negligible potential for real damage. Especially for nations with underdeveloped health care.

Are you aware that there's about 8000 daily passengers on the US-Brazil airplane flights? (maybe even more)
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 23:57:07
August 01 2016 23:54 GMT
#92220
On August 02 2016 08:30 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 08:10 LegalLord wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:38 Ghostcom wrote:
On August 02 2016 07:01 LegalLord wrote:
Pretty worried about the Rio Olympics. It has the potential to be the spark of a global Zika epidemic and the local government has proven to be quite incapable of successfully addressing the issue.


A Zika epidemic isn't exactly on the horizon according to WHO:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2016/zika-third-ec/en/

A substantial enough contingency of doctors around the world say that the WHO is full of shit and has a history of understating risk when it would be politically dangerous to acknowledge it.

Remember bird flu? Swine flu? SARS? Ebola? Looks to me like we're not wiped out yet, so I'll continue to not err on the side of the hysterical ones and not worry about this part of the news cycle.

Zika's also not as virulent as any of those, nor as contagious. Most symptoms are fairly mild and the primary concern is for to pregnant women since it's been linked to GBS.
Moderator
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