EPTUS Politics Mega-thread - Page 3236
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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please. In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. | ||
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oneofthem
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
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Deleted User 137586
7859 Posts
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GreenHorizons
United States24448 Posts
On March 09 2016 12:43 oneofthem wrote: why would a black dude fromthe hood support sanders? he isnt getting a union job anyway and sanders would just make the price of goods jump. hilarious to think they should be voting for the guy who is actually bad for them. Lol the salt goes well with these fries. | ||
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Danglars
United States12133 Posts
On March 09 2016 12:37 Jibba wrote: Where are ya'll getting this? Dearborn isn't even majority muslim, afaik. They're Christian Arabs. I wanna see Trump win yuge with Arab Americans of every stripe. Also seeing how many Dems vote for Roque Rocky de la Fuente! | ||
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ticklishmusic
United States15977 Posts
oh shit boys its not over yet lel | ||
Jibba
United States22883 Posts
On March 09 2016 12:52 ticklishmusic wrote: https://twitter.com/AlGiordano/status/707413242574843904 oh shit boys its not over yet lel What % of primary votes are absentee? | ||
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darthfoley
United States8004 Posts
god damn | ||
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ErectedZenith
325 Posts
On March 09 2016 12:57 darthfoley wrote: I don't want to call it until it's called. But if this 4% win holds... this is the biggest upset in primary history. god damn What's the upset? | ||
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The_Templar
your Country52798 Posts
Sanders is winning Michigan at this rate. | ||
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Jibba
United States22883 Posts
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GreenHorizons
United States24448 Posts
Go back and check the Nate Silver tweet. | ||
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Slaughter
United States20255 Posts
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darthfoley
United States8004 Posts
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ZeaL.
United States5955 Posts
Edit: Tweet from 538 earlier today:+ Show Spoiler + | ||
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darthfoley
United States8004 Posts
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GreenHorizons
United States24448 Posts
On March 09 2016 13:05 ZeaL. wrote: Why is Gladwin County 780-74 for Sanders with 17/18 precincts reporting? Edit: Tweet from 538 earlier today:+ Show Spoiler + 538 totally air-balled MI, no if ands or buts about it. They didn't even skim the net let alone touch the rim. | ||
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darthfoley
United States8004 Posts
I said in our Slack chat today that I had a “gut feeling” that Sanders could beat his polling in Michigan. I also said, for the record, that you should mostly ignore that gut feeling. But it wasn’t a total shot in the dark. There were a few things that made me think a closer-than-expected result was possible: Basically, I’m not sure that Michigan was ever really a 20-point race, as polls had it. Based on the demographics of the state, it probably narrowly favored Clinton. But then, perhaps some of her voters didn’t show up, or voted in the GOP primary instead, because it didn’t look like Clinton needed their vote. That might potentially be enough to push Sanders over the top, although it will be very close. By the way, this is part of why we try to approach the primaries from multiple perspectives. Our polling averages are a useful tool, but not the only one we look at. | ||
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IgnE
United States7684 Posts
On March 09 2016 12:43 oneofthem wrote: why would a black dude fromthe hood support sanders? he isnt getting a union job anyway and sanders would just make the price of goods jump. hilarious to think they should be voting for the guy who is actually bad for them. If only price of goods were all that mattered in the world. | ||
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ZeaL.
United States5955 Posts
On March 09 2016 13:12 GreenHorizons wrote: 538 totally air-balled MI, no if ands or buts about it. They didn't even skim the net let alone touch the rim. I mean they were totally off but it's not completely their fault. Polling for MI has consistently had Sanders down by 10-20% within the last week even. They can't do anything without accurate polls. Even if Hillary pulls it back and somehow wins, this result still shows the polling was way off. | ||
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Jibba
United States22883 Posts
On March 09 2016 13:15 darthfoley wrote: Lol, see Nate Silver back track on everything 538 stands for http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-primaries-presidential-election-2016/ I've always had an issue with Silver and transparency of his methods. | ||
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