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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2966

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
jcarlsoniv
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States27922 Posts
February 19 2016 18:18 GMT
#59301
On February 20 2016 03:15 xDaunt wrote:
Looks like Salon has finally caught on:


Salon has been incredibly biased towards Sanders for the majority of the race.
Soniv ||| Soniv#1962 ||| @jcarlsoniv ||| The Big Golem ||| Join the Glorious Evolution. What's your favorite aminal, a bear? ||| Joe "Don't call me Daniel" "Soniv" "Daniel" Carlsberg LXIX ||| Paging Dr. John Shadow
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
February 19 2016 18:19 GMT
#59302
On February 20 2016 03:18 jcarlsoniv wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 03:15 xDaunt wrote:
Looks like Salon has finally caught on:


Salon has been incredibly biased towards Sanders for the majority of the race.

It's one thing to have a preferred nominee. It's another to say that the alternative has no chance at winning -- particularly when you're talking about Hillary Clinton.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
February 19 2016 18:27 GMT
#59303
On February 20 2016 03:19 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 03:18 jcarlsoniv wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:15 xDaunt wrote:
Looks like Salon has finally caught on:


Salon has been incredibly biased towards Sanders for the majority of the race.

It's one thing to have a preferred nominee. It's another to say that the alternative has no chance at winning -- particularly when you're talking about Hillary Clinton.


Every single Bernie nut I know is convinced Bernie is going to win by at least triple the votes. From a societal standpoint, it's interesting to see how people can feel so strongly about a candidate. People really like the idea of getting caught up in a movement. I think it is empowering to feel apart of something big of transformation or something. People associate themselves with it or some shit.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 19 2016 18:37 GMT
#59304
On February 20 2016 03:27 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 03:19 xDaunt wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:18 jcarlsoniv wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:15 xDaunt wrote:
Looks like Salon has finally caught on:


Salon has been incredibly biased towards Sanders for the majority of the race.

It's one thing to have a preferred nominee. It's another to say that the alternative has no chance at winning -- particularly when you're talking about Hillary Clinton.


Every single Bernie nut I know is convinced Bernie is going to win by at least triple the votes. From a societal standpoint, it's interesting to see how people can feel so strongly about a candidate. People really like the idea of getting caught up in a movement. I think it is empowering to feel apart of something big of transformation or something. People associate themselves with it or some shit.

That is exactly what got Obama nominated and elected the first time. The parties have leaned into these "anointed" candidates and it back fires most of the time. They seem to forget that if people think the choice is made for them, they gravitate to anyone else. And with the perceived influence of super PACs, people seem to have no patience for it. PACs seem to ratchet up the volume on elections, while accomplishing very little when it comes to changing minds
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
February 19 2016 18:49 GMT
#59305
On February 20 2016 03:37 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 03:27 Mohdoo wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:19 xDaunt wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:18 jcarlsoniv wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:15 xDaunt wrote:
Looks like Salon has finally caught on:


Salon has been incredibly biased towards Sanders for the majority of the race.

It's one thing to have a preferred nominee. It's another to say that the alternative has no chance at winning -- particularly when you're talking about Hillary Clinton.


Every single Bernie nut I know is convinced Bernie is going to win by at least triple the votes. From a societal standpoint, it's interesting to see how people can feel so strongly about a candidate. People really like the idea of getting caught up in a movement. I think it is empowering to feel apart of something big of transformation or something. People associate themselves with it or some shit.

That is exactly what got Obama nominated and elected the first time. The parties have leaned into these "anointed" candidates and it back fires most of the time. They seem to forget that if people think the choice is made for them, they gravitate to anyone else. And with the perceived influence of super PACs, people seem to have no patience for it. PACs seem to ratchet up the volume on elections, while accomplishing very little when it comes to changing minds


Imagine a high profile campaign manager reading this 20 years ago. They'd laugh, think that's impossible. Welcome to the information age.
Seuss
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States10536 Posts
February 19 2016 18:50 GMT
#59306
Sanders' best shot at winning is to close the gap in SC to 10 points or less while sweeping the other states voting that day. If he manages that he'll simultaneously get another huge wave of fundraising and cause Clinton to panic. She'll invest heavily in Super Tuesday to counter Sanders' momentum, but if he can narrow her lead in those states enough to claim a majority of delegates (excluding superdelegates) on March 2nd or 3rd then we'll probably see a repeat of 2008. Clinton will limp along but the mandate will clearly be Sanders.

If Sanders can't close the gap in SC he'll probably fall significantly behind Clinton on Super Tuesday, and while he won't necessarily have lost completely his chances will be slim.
"I am not able to carry all this people alone, for they are too heavy for me." -Moses (Numbers 11:14)
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-19 18:55:07
February 19 2016 18:54 GMT
#59307
On February 20 2016 03:49 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 03:37 Plansix wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:27 Mohdoo wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:19 xDaunt wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:18 jcarlsoniv wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:15 xDaunt wrote:
Looks like Salon has finally caught on:


Salon has been incredibly biased towards Sanders for the majority of the race.

It's one thing to have a preferred nominee. It's another to say that the alternative has no chance at winning -- particularly when you're talking about Hillary Clinton.


Every single Bernie nut I know is convinced Bernie is going to win by at least triple the votes. From a societal standpoint, it's interesting to see how people can feel so strongly about a candidate. People really like the idea of getting caught up in a movement. I think it is empowering to feel apart of something big of transformation or something. People associate themselves with it or some shit.

That is exactly what got Obama nominated and elected the first time. The parties have leaned into these "anointed" candidates and it back fires most of the time. They seem to forget that if people think the choice is made for them, they gravitate to anyone else. And with the perceived influence of super PACs, people seem to have no patience for it. PACs seem to ratchet up the volume on elections, while accomplishing very little when it comes to changing minds


Imagine a high profile campaign manager reading this 20 years ago. They'd laugh, think that's impossible. Welcome to the information age.

Just think 20 years ago they wanted unlimited money into elections. Now they got it, it worked for a hot minute and then the voters caught on and hate it even more. But I am sure TV networks and other interests think it’s the best thing ever, which only shows how garbage it is. They want the race to be as mutli-sided, crazy and reality show like to keep ratings up and ads flowing it.

“Money isn’t speech” shouldn’t be the argument any more. “Unlimited money makes elections shit shows while most voters tune them out,” is the way more compelling argument.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 19 2016 18:56 GMT
#59308
I'm honestly not seeing a victory for Sanders right now. He's doing well compared to where he was a few months ago, but he evidently isn't polling strongly enough to surpass Clinton's wide base of support throughout the Democratic Party. Which is a shame because I don't particularly like Hillary.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
February 19 2016 19:08 GMT
#59309
I'm currently more concerned about a surprise Republican victory. I know Sanders and Clinton have to fight to win but remember how badly Gingrich fucked over Romney with his vulture capitalism ad? I hope things don't get too bad on the Democratic side.
rip passion
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
February 19 2016 19:21 GMT
#59310
On February 20 2016 04:08 Deathstar wrote:
I'm currently more concerned about a surprise Republican victory. I know Sanders and Clinton have to fight to win but remember how badly Gingrich fucked over Romney with his vulture capitalism ad? I hope things don't get too bad on the Democratic side.


It's gonna happen. Hilary is gonna be such a mess after people like GH trying to spur a revolution that we're gonna get steamrolled by Rubio.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22373 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-19 19:23:48
February 19 2016 19:22 GMT
#59311
On February 20 2016 04:08 Deathstar wrote:
I'm currently more concerned about a surprise Republican victory. I know Sanders and Clinton have to fight to win but remember how badly Gingrich fucked over Romney with his vulture capitalism ad? I hope things don't get too bad on the Democratic side.

Fortunately for Hillary it is unlikely that Bernie will take his gloves off.

On February 20 2016 04:21 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 04:08 Deathstar wrote:
I'm currently more concerned about a surprise Republican victory. I know Sanders and Clinton have to fight to win but remember how badly Gingrich fucked over Romney with his vulture capitalism ad? I hope things don't get too bad on the Democratic side.


It's gonna happen. Hilary is gonna be such a mess after people like GH trying to spur a revolution that we're gonna get steamrolled by Rubio.

This is indeed a much bigger threat. If Bernie loses a large portion of Democrats may not turn out to vote for Hillary, not so much because of herself but because of their own disappointment.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
February 19 2016 19:26 GMT
#59312
I hate to break it you, but Hillary is not going to inspire large democrat turnout numbers in the general election regardless of how she wins the nomination.
Seuss
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States10536 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-19 19:27:54
February 19 2016 19:27 GMT
#59313
On February 20 2016 03:56 LegalLord wrote:
I'm honestly not seeing a victory for Sanders right now. He's doing well compared to where he was a few months ago, but he evidently isn't polling strongly enough to surpass Clinton's wide base of support throughout the Democratic Party. Which is a shame because I don't particularly like Hillary.


Which is why it mostly comes down to his performance in South Carolina, and whether he can repeat a strong showing there in similar states. If he can (on both counts) he probably wins, and otherwise he probably loses.
"I am not able to carry all this people alone, for they are too heavy for me." -Moses (Numbers 11:14)
strongwind
Profile Joined July 2007
United States862 Posts
February 19 2016 19:34 GMT
#59314
On February 20 2016 03:27 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 03:19 xDaunt wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:18 jcarlsoniv wrote:
On February 20 2016 03:15 xDaunt wrote:
Looks like Salon has finally caught on:


Salon has been incredibly biased towards Sanders for the majority of the race.

It's one thing to have a preferred nominee. It's another to say that the alternative has no chance at winning -- particularly when you're talking about Hillary Clinton.


Every single Bernie nut I know is convinced Bernie is going to win by at least triple the votes. From a societal standpoint, it's interesting to see how people can feel so strongly about a candidate. People really like the idea of getting caught up in a movement. I think it is empowering to feel apart of something big of transformation or something. People associate themselves with it or some shit.

I'm a Bernie supporter and I've never felt he was going to win by much, if at all.

And what is wrong with associating yourself with a movement exactly? Should we all sit on our hands and watch the horse race from afar? That's what we've been doing for years. I'm a big Obama fan, but even he wasn't great at mobilizing us during his time in office. We need someone that can energize the base to compete with the ideologues that have dominated (and mobilized) the republican base for quite some time.
Taek Bang Fighting!
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 19 2016 19:35 GMT
#59315
On February 20 2016 04:22 Gorsameth wrote:
If Bernie loses a large portion of Democrats may not turn out to vote for Hillary, not so much because of herself but because of their own disappointment.

I think that it has a lot to do with Hillary that many people don't want to vote for Hillary.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
February 19 2016 19:41 GMT
#59316
On February 20 2016 04:35 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 04:22 Gorsameth wrote:
If Bernie loses a large portion of Democrats may not turn out to vote for Hillary, not so much because of herself but because of their own disappointment.

I think that it has a lot to do with Hillary that many people don't want to vote for Hillary.


How many Trump supporters want to vote for Rubio? I think a big problem is that democrats are less likely to vote against someone than republicans.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
February 19 2016 19:42 GMT
#59317
just gonna lol when sanders loses to a republican and all the revolutionaries cry
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
strongwind
Profile Joined July 2007
United States862 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-19 19:44:31
February 19 2016 19:42 GMT
#59318
On February 20 2016 04:35 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 04:22 Gorsameth wrote:
If Bernie loses a large portion of Democrats may not turn out to vote for Hillary, not so much because of herself but because of their own disappointment.

I think that it has a lot to do with Hillary that many people don't want to vote for Hillary.

I mean I'm personally someone that wasn't against voting for Hillary before this whole race started, but as time has gone on I've been questioning whether I would support her in the general if Bernie loses. And I'm someone that can't stand the thought of seeing any of the current Republican candidates in the White House.

If someone like me is doubtful, that does not bode well for Hillary at all.
Taek Bang Fighting!
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
February 19 2016 19:43 GMT
#59319
On February 20 2016 04:41 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 04:35 LegalLord wrote:
On February 20 2016 04:22 Gorsameth wrote:
If Bernie loses a large portion of Democrats may not turn out to vote for Hillary, not so much because of herself but because of their own disappointment.

I think that it has a lot to do with Hillary that many people don't want to vote for Hillary.


How many Trump supporters want to vote for Rubio? I think a big problem is that democrats are less likely to vote against someone than republicans.

Currently, there are only two candidates who legitimately inspire their supporters: Trump and Bernie. Hillary is never going to do it. On the republican side, Cruz and Rubio might be able to do it, but I don't see it happening.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
February 19 2016 19:43 GMT
#59320
On February 20 2016 04:42 strongwind wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2016 04:35 LegalLord wrote:
On February 20 2016 04:22 Gorsameth wrote:
If Bernie loses a large portion of Democrats may not turn out to vote for Hillary, not so much because of herself but because of their own disappointment.

I think that it has a lot to do with Hillary that many people don't want to vote for Hillary.

I mean I'm personally someone that wasn't against voting for Hillary before this whole race started, but as time has gone on I've been questioning whether I would support her in the general if Bernie loses. And I'm someone that can't stand seeing any of the current Republican candidates in the White House.

If someone like me is doubtful, that does not bode well for Hillary at all.


Why have you become more skeptical of supporting Hillary?
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