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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
January 29 2015 05:44 GMT
#32001


xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 29 2015 05:49 GMT
#32002
On January 29 2015 14:41 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2015 13:56 xDaunt wrote:
On January 29 2015 13:25 Mohdoo wrote:
On January 29 2015 11:38 xDaunt wrote:
On January 29 2015 11:12 Mohdoo wrote:
On January 29 2015 08:20 xDaunt wrote:
On January 29 2015 07:48 Mohdoo wrote:
On January 29 2015 06:55 xDaunt wrote:
On January 28 2015 16:17 oneofthem wrote:
can't wait for months of foreign policy derping as republicans attack hillary on that front.

She's an incredibly soft target on that point. The sad thing is that I'm not even sure how responsible she is for American foreign policy bungling during that time because my impression is that Obama was the one really calling the shots.


Which republican hopefuls do you see as having a foreign policy advantage over Clinton?

Probably all of them. The difference is that Hillary has actual liabilities from experience. The only exception might be Rand Paul, whose more libertarian message on foreign policy may not play well.


Are you actually saying you'd rank Sarah Palin over Clinton in foreign policy?

Hey, at least Palin got Russia right! That said, I do not consider Palin a serious candidate. I doubt she runs.


It feels like your argument is essentially "zero is more than negative!", but I don't think that is a very realistic interpretation and I don't think most moderates would classify Clinton's foreign policy experience as negative. Benghazi ended up being viewed as trying too hard to blame it on her for most people. I think you are ignoring the fact that independents are what make an election, not republican or democrat bases. In the end, Clinton will be able to cite her resume and make a good impression. Republicans will point out that things went wrong under her watch, but I don't think many people will see that as worse than someone with absolutely zero experience. Perry, Paul, Santorum, Romney, etc all are at absolute zero experience regarding foreign policy. My view/understanding is that independents tend to base their vote both on "resume" and status quo blame. Things are looking good for Obama right now statistically and independents don't have much reason to say "fuck this shit, we need something new".

I understand that in your position, it is easy to rail on Clinton as dropping the ball, but I don't think independents will view her in that light when she's making statements and the like. I think that even if people see some blunders as her mistake, they will ultimately assume her experience has to be a huge upgrade over downright zero. Can you elaborate on why you don't think that's the case?


Who cares about Benghazi when there are so many other foreign policy failures to point at? Russia, Syria, Egypt, Libya (and this one is getting worse).... the list goes on. All republicans have to do is give their usual "USA! USA! USA!" foreign policy platform to look favorable when compared to Hillary.

EDIT: How many reset button commercials and jokes do you think will be made about Hillary alone?


I don't think any of the Republican candidates will be able to bundle non-Benghazi foreign policy failures into either commercial soundbites or two minute debate answers which are the only things that matter.

Their campaign managers are just too crappy and/or drink way too much of the party Kool-Aid.

Edit: This doesn't speak to the new candidates, though. Just the stable that couldn't beat McCain or Romney.

What's so hard about making short clips showing Russia and ISIS running amok? Nothing. If a candidate really wants style points, he'll parody Hillary's stupid 3:00 am commercial from 2008 just as an additional kick in the nuts.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23514 Posts
January 29 2015 05:50 GMT
#32003
On January 29 2015 14:16 Sub40APM wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2015 13:56 xDaunt wrote:
On January 29 2015 13:25 Mohdoo wrote:
On January 29 2015 11:38 xDaunt wrote:
On January 29 2015 11:12 Mohdoo wrote:
On January 29 2015 08:20 xDaunt wrote:
On January 29 2015 07:48 Mohdoo wrote:
On January 29 2015 06:55 xDaunt wrote:
On January 28 2015 16:17 oneofthem wrote:
can't wait for months of foreign policy derping as republicans attack hillary on that front.

She's an incredibly soft target on that point. The sad thing is that I'm not even sure how responsible she is for American foreign policy bungling during that time because my impression is that Obama was the one really calling the shots.


Which republican hopefuls do you see as having a foreign policy advantage over Clinton?

Probably all of them. The difference is that Hillary has actual liabilities from experience. The only exception might be Rand Paul, whose more libertarian message on foreign policy may not play well.


Are you actually saying you'd rank Sarah Palin over Clinton in foreign policy?

Hey, at least Palin got Russia right! That said, I do not consider Palin a serious candidate. I doubt she runs.


It feels like your argument is essentially "zero is more than negative!", but I don't think that is a very realistic interpretation and I don't think most moderates would classify Clinton's foreign policy experience as negative. Benghazi ended up being viewed as trying too hard to blame it on her for most people. I think you are ignoring the fact that independents are what make an election, not republican or democrat bases. In the end, Clinton will be able to cite her resume and make a good impression. Republicans will point out that things went wrong under her watch, but I don't think many people will see that as worse than someone with absolutely zero experience. Perry, Paul, Santorum, Romney, etc all are at absolute zero experience regarding foreign policy. My view/understanding is that independents tend to base their vote both on "resume" and status quo blame. Things are looking good for Obama right now statistically and independents don't have much reason to say "fuck this shit, we need something new".

I understand that in your position, it is easy to rail on Clinton as dropping the ball, but I don't think independents will view her in that light when she's making statements and the like. I think that even if people see some blunders as her mistake, they will ultimately assume her experience has to be a huge upgrade over downright zero. Can you elaborate on why you don't think that's the case?


Who cares about Benghazi when there are so many other foreign policy failures to point at? Russia, Syria, Egypt, Libya (and this one is getting worse).... the list goes on. All republicans have to do is give their usual "USA! USA! USA!" foreign policy platform to look favorable when compared to Hillary.

EDIT: How many reset button commercials and jokes do you think will be made about Hillary alone?

Yes, I hope the GOP runs on a 'we should have fought 4 more middle eastern wars!' platform.


I think some on the right underestimate how tired the American people are of Republicans knowing what they are against but not having real proposals of their own.

If candidates are planning on running on what other people did wrong, without having substantive alternatives they are going to fall flat.

It's going to be half a decade with Republicans saying they want to repeal the ACA but still having no solution that covers kids with cancer type pre-existing conditions and many of the other almost universally desired aspects of the ACA.

While running on anti-immigration, anti-abortion, anti-ACA (with no alternative), anti-gay-rights, anti-union, anti-common core, anti-climate science, anti-regulation, anti-Clinton, anti-_____, may be effective at the state level. There is no way you can run on being anti-everything on the national level in 2016.

Republican solutions are going to need to be more than the same platitudes we're used to also. Any rhetoric that can be found on a dug up reel from GW is going to get played in conjunction with the current nominee. Asking people.... "Don't you remember what happened the last time they said the exact same stuff"?

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
January 29 2015 05:53 GMT
#32004
lol how is russia running amok. they getting rekt
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 29 2015 05:54 GMT
#32005
On January 29 2015 14:53 oneofthem wrote:
lol how is russia running amok. they getting rekt

That doesn't matter. All that matters is showing Russia invading Ukraine in conjunction with the reset button photo op.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
January 29 2015 06:10 GMT
#32006
i lack the imagination to commit the sort of leaps of logic used in gop campaign design
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
January 29 2015 06:12 GMT
#32007
On January 29 2015 14:54 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2015 14:53 oneofthem wrote:
lol how is russia running amok. they getting rekt

That doesn't matter. All that matters is showing Russia invading Ukraine in conjunction with the reset button photo op.


I really feel like we're simply past those types of utterly dishonest attacks being effective anymore. 2008 proved it and then 2012 proved it again. The republican party simply needs more than that to get the job done. People wise up a bit more each time and I think it would be even less effective in 2016.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 29 2015 06:18 GMT
#32008
On January 29 2015 15:12 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2015 14:54 xDaunt wrote:
On January 29 2015 14:53 oneofthem wrote:
lol how is russia running amok. they getting rekt

That doesn't matter. All that matters is showing Russia invading Ukraine in conjunction with the reset button photo op.


I really feel like we're simply past those types of utterly dishonest attacks being effective anymore. 2008 proved it and then 2012 proved it again. The republican party simply needs more than that to get the job done. People wise up a bit more each time and I think it would be even less effective in 2016.

What is there to wise up about? Obama's foreign policy was a disaster the entire time that Hillary was secretary of state. The reset button is so ridiculous in hindsight that I am sure that Hillary would love for nothing more than for the world to forget about it. There is an ample foreign policy record to attack her on. The knives will come out soon enough.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
January 29 2015 06:20 GMT
#32009
On January 29 2015 15:18 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2015 15:12 Mohdoo wrote:
On January 29 2015 14:54 xDaunt wrote:
On January 29 2015 14:53 oneofthem wrote:
lol how is russia running amok. they getting rekt

That doesn't matter. All that matters is showing Russia invading Ukraine in conjunction with the reset button photo op.


I really feel like we're simply past those types of utterly dishonest attacks being effective anymore. 2008 proved it and then 2012 proved it again. The republican party simply needs more than that to get the job done. People wise up a bit more each time and I think it would be even less effective in 2016.

What is there to wise up about? Obama's foreign policy was a disaster the entire time that Hillary was secretary of state. The reset button is so ridiculous in hindsight that I am sure that Hillary would love for nothing more than for the world to forget about it. There is an ample foreign policy record to attack her on. The knives will come out soon enough.


Wising up to the idea of "this person who has never done a single thing remotely relating to foreign policy is attacking a former secretary of state. lol."
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18840 Posts
January 29 2015 13:12 GMT
#32010
If Republicans focus on foreign policy as their campaign rallying cry, they will lose the election before the polls even open. Cheers!
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
January 29 2015 14:10 GMT
#32011
On January 29 2015 22:12 farvacola wrote:
If Republicans focus on foreign policy as their campaign rallying cry, they will lose the election before the polls even open. Cheers!

Lol. If you believed this forum, Republicans have lost every election ever.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18840 Posts
January 29 2015 14:15 GMT
#32012
That foreign policy will not figure into the 2016 elections as strongly as domestic issues is one point relative to one election. Where you decide to run with that is up to you.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 29 2015 15:46 GMT
#32013
On January 29 2015 22:12 farvacola wrote:
If Republicans focus on foreign policy as their campaign rallying cry, they will lose the election before the polls even open. Cheers!

Who says that the republican nominee is going to run a foreign policy-centric campaign? I think that it will be quite the opposite. However, I fully expect Hillary to be bludgeoned repeatedly with her bad foreign policy record. It is too easy to do.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-29 16:18:09
January 29 2015 16:15 GMT
#32014
with republicans foreign policy isn't really an issue with a lot of upside for so called independents. the mood of the country is already one of withdraw from the world police role back to a focus on domestic policy. benghazi and the various 'scandals' are republican base issues that do not have wide appeal. they make republicans look partisan and not sincere about advancing good policy. there's no way the country will buy some sort of hawk position on foreign policy and as long as hillary isn't running on global warming or something i can see her building a narrative of success with how russia has been handled, and the no land troops in iraq position.

hillary has historically rated high on likeability and "she cares for me???" stuff. should be decent for domestic policy focus.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 29 2015 16:31 GMT
#32015
Many Republicans would view it as a dream come true if the Supreme Court were to slash a centerpiece of Obamacare by the end of June. But that dream could fade into a nightmare as the spotlight turns to the Republican Congress to fix the mayhem that could ensue.

"It's an opportunity that we've failed at for two decades. We've not been particularly close to being on the same page on this subject for two decades," said a congressional Republican health policy aide who was granted anonymity to speak candidly. "So this idea — we're ready to go? Actually no, we're not."

Republican leaders recognize the dilemma. In King v. Burwell, they roundly claim the court ought to invalidate insurance subsidies in some three-dozen states, and that Congress must be ready with a response once they do. But conversations with more than a dozen GOP lawmakers and aides indicate that the party is nowhere close to a solution. Outside health policy experts consulted by the Republicans are also at odds on how the party should respond.

The party that has failed to unify behind an alternative to Obamacare for many years now has five months to reach an agreement. It's an unenviable predicament, especially for the congressional Republicans leading the effort to devise a response — all of whom hail from states that could lose their subsidies.

"There are a lot of ideas," Senate Finance Committee Chair Orrin Hatch (UT) told TPM on Tuesday. "If the case goes the way I think it should go ... then we've gotta come up with a way of resolving the problems we're in. We're quietly looking at all that and trying to do that."

For now, the GOP's goal is to "make the world safe for [Chief Justice John] Roberts to overturn" the Obamacare subsidies, said one prominent outside conservative close to Republican lawmakers and the case, who requested anonymity to speak candidly. "What I worry about is — the goal is to not let our guys look like they're going crazy and letting the world spin into chaos." In other words, Republicans must show they're willing and able to deal with the issue.

House Republicans held a strategy meeting on Jan. 15 at a retreat in Hershey, Pennsylvania, about contingency plans for the King v. Burwell ruling, led by House Ways & Means Chair Paul Ryan (R-WI) and House Energy & Commerce Chair Fred Upton (R-MI).

Senate Republicans have set up a working group to hash out a plan, led by Hatch, Health Committee Chair Lamar Alexander (R-TN) and Policy Committee Chair John Barrasso (R-WY), a doctor. TPM spoke to the three senators about what the party's plan should be, but none of them offered any details.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 29 2015 16:31 GMT
#32016
I love how you guys keep saying Benghazi when I explicitly omit Benghazi. Gotta keep that strawman propped up.

And I don't see Hillary cruising on domestic issues. There are already significant Obama/democrat-fatigue headwinds that she's going to have to deal with. That's only going to worsen if the economy takes a shit in the next 20 months (unfortunately, this is fairly likely).
Jormundr
Profile Joined July 2011
United States1678 Posts
January 29 2015 16:34 GMT
#32017
On January 30 2015 01:31 xDaunt wrote:
I love how you guys keep saying Benghazi when I explicitly omit Benghazi. Gotta keep that strawman propped up.

And I don't see Hillary cruising on domestic issues. There are already significant Obama/democrat-fatigue headwinds that she's going to have to deal with. That's only going to worsen if the economy takes a shit in the next 20 months (unfortunately, this is fairly likely).

Yes. Liberals are historically known for propping up the benghazi strawman.
Capitalism is beneficial for people who work harder than other people. Under capitalism the only way to make more money is to work harder then your competitors whether they be other companies or workers. ~ Vegetarian
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 29 2015 16:48 GMT
#32018
Up to 1,000 people, including almost 200 children, may have been exposed to measles after a woman — who caught the disease from a family that traveled to California's Disneyland amusement park where an outbreak originated last month — walked into a Phoenix children’s hospital.

The Arizona woman, whose case was confirmed Tuesday in Maricopa County, came into contact with a Pinal County family that traveled to Disneyland, but did not have telltale signs of measles when she visited Phoenix Children's East Valley Center last week. There are currently seven confirmed cases of measles in Arizona.

“Unfortunately, she came down with the disease and by the time it was recognized had already exposed a large number of children at the facility,” said Maricopa County health director Bob England.

Those who haven't been vaccinated are being asked to stay home for 21 days, a standard health practice, or wear masks if they have to go out in public. Health officials will check in with the families of at-risk children following the incubation period, which ends Feb. 11-12.

Most parents understand the importance of keeping their children home, England said.

Local father Tim Jacks was livid when he received a call from the hospital shortly after taking his three-year-old daughter Maggie there for lab work after her last chemotherapy session, local news website CBS 5 reported.

"There's the father in me that's just pissed off and angry and wanting to protect my family," Jacks said. It was not possible to have Maggie vaccinated because of her battle with leukemia, and her weak immune system puts her at risk to many diseases. Jack's 10-month-old son, who was too young to be vaccinated, was also possibly exposed to measles at the hospital. Jacks said both of his children would be kept at home for the next three weeks.

"The last thing I want to do as a father and as a pediatrician is to spread something like this to anyone else," Jacks told CBS 5.

Measles is so contagious that if one person has it, 90 percent of the people close to that person who are not vaccinated will also become infected, according to the Centers for Disease Control.

State Health Services director Will Humble said it’s possible but unlikely that the number of cases in Arizona will be contained at seven.

“To stay in your house for 21 days is hard,” he said. “But we need people to follow those recommendations, because all it takes is a quick trip to the Costco before you’re ill and, ‘bam,’ you’ve just exposed a few hundred people. We’re at a real critical juncture with the outbreak.”

Health officials don’t yet know how many of the children at the hospital were vaccinated or their age ranges. Children under a year old cannot receive the vaccination for measles, mumps and rubella but can get an immunity booster. While the measles vaccine isn’t 100 percent effective in stemming the spread of the disease, it does lower the likelihood of transmission.

Health officials were working to notify the families of children who visited the Phoenix Children’s East Valley Center from Jan. 20-21.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11686 Posts
January 29 2015 16:59 GMT
#32019
How is that a big problem?

Isn't pretty much everyone vaccinated against Measles?
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
January 29 2015 17:00 GMT
#32020
Anti-Vaxxers.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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