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[Spoilers] Effort's record - Page 5

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Racenilatr
Profile Blog Joined August 2008
United States2756 Posts
June 12 2009 01:07 GMT
#81
Effort really is a good player. I remember watching half an hour of effort vs bisu nonstop harassment. I was suprised how well effort fended off bisu's attacks although bisu won
HooHa!
Profile Blog Joined February 2006
United States688 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-12 01:14:50
June 12 2009 01:07 GMT
#82
On June 12 2009 09:17 Gustav_Wind wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2009 07:59 HooHa! wrote:
I think people who choose random variance or evenly split variance and practice is not looking at all and doesn't know what they are talking about. Sure you look at results but do you watch the game!? Come back till you do.


I could watch his games and see absolutely stunning play and still claim fully within reason that variance is a factor. I think it's ridiculous to say that it's not.

If you say that variance is not a factor then you are saying that you expect Effort to continue this 90+% win rate. You are saying that 90% win against the general field is an accurate representation of his true skill level relative to the rest of the proleague players.

Bisu currently says in interviews that he doesn't think he can maintain 80% win rate. The most dominant pro sc players in history didn't have anything approaching 90% win rate. I'm not the most knowledgeable person about sports but as far as I know in professional sports such as NBA or MLB which have large sample sizes nobody maintains a 90% win rate.

So yes, Effort is amazing. But "variance is involved" is a very reasonable answer to the poll.

Sure variance is involved, it has to be, thats why the game has survived many incarnations and 11 years of competitive play. But RANDOM is the key word, go watch his game and rot with your reason. I double dare you to watch the games. he's gonna be a killer for sure. One that is under the radar.

Edit: ok sorry, I don't mean rot and die, but I think this guy should be watched because there is a real reason why he got so many wins like this, and it shouldn't be dismissed too quickly.
Hoo Ra!
eshlow
Profile Joined June 2008
United States5210 Posts
June 12 2009 01:16 GMT
#83
His playing is extremely impressive, but there is some amount of random variance obviously...
Overcoming Gravity: A Systematic Approach to Gymnastics and Bodyweight Strength
Gustav_Wind
Profile Joined July 2008
United States646 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-12 01:22:21
June 12 2009 01:21 GMT
#84
On June 12 2009 10:07 HooHa! wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2009 09:17 Gustav_Wind wrote:
On June 12 2009 07:59 HooHa! wrote:
I think people who choose random variance or evenly split variance and practice is not looking at all and doesn't know what they are talking about. Sure you look at results but do you watch the game!? Come back till you do.


I could watch his games and see absolutely stunning play and still claim fully within reason that variance is a factor. I think it's ridiculous to say that it's not.

If you say that variance is not a factor then you are saying that you expect Effort to continue this 90+% win rate. You are saying that 90% win against the general field is an accurate representation of his true skill level relative to the rest of the proleague players.

Bisu currently says in interviews that he doesn't think he can maintain 80% win rate. The most dominant pro sc players in history didn't have anything approaching 90% win rate. I'm not the most knowledgeable person about sports but as far as I know in professional sports such as NBA or MLB which have large sample sizes nobody maintains a 90% win rate.

So yes, Effort is amazing. But "variance is involved" is a very reasonable answer to the poll.

Sure variance is involved, it has to be, thats why the game has survived many incarnations and 11 years of competitive play. But RANDOM is the key word, go watch his game and rot with your reason. I double dare you to watch the games. he's gonna be a killer for sure. One that is under the radar.

Edit: ok sorry, I don't mean rot and die, but I think this guy should be watched because there is a real reason why he got so many wins like this, and it shouldn't be dismissed too quickly.


Yes, I am seriously not denying any of this. I've watched him outclass Flash in the endgame and dismantle Stork. I know he's playing unreal well. I'm not trying to argue against that -___-

I'm just trying to argue against all the people (which includes you) that are like "if you say that variance is partially responsible then you are an idiot"
Spanxxx
Profile Joined February 2009
United States408 Posts
June 12 2009 01:22 GMT
#85
there are good players in there that he beat, but there are quite a few random shitty players in there too
If people arent trying to pull you down, you arent climbing high enough.
anch
Profile Blog Joined June 2006
United States5457 Posts
June 12 2009 01:27 GMT
#86
win a title or go home.
future zerg Leta maybe.
HooHa!
Profile Blog Joined February 2006
United States688 Posts
June 12 2009 01:30 GMT
#87
On June 12 2009 10:21 Gustav_Wind wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2009 10:07 HooHa! wrote:
On June 12 2009 09:17 Gustav_Wind wrote:
On June 12 2009 07:59 HooHa! wrote:
I think people who choose random variance or evenly split variance and practice is not looking at all and doesn't know what they are talking about. Sure you look at results but do you watch the game!? Come back till you do.


I could watch his games and see absolutely stunning play and still claim fully within reason that variance is a factor. I think it's ridiculous to say that it's not.

If you say that variance is not a factor then you are saying that you expect Effort to continue this 90+% win rate. You are saying that 90% win against the general field is an accurate representation of his true skill level relative to the rest of the proleague players.

Bisu currently says in interviews that he doesn't think he can maintain 80% win rate. The most dominant pro sc players in history didn't have anything approaching 90% win rate. I'm not the most knowledgeable person about sports but as far as I know in professional sports such as NBA or MLB which have large sample sizes nobody maintains a 90% win rate.

So yes, Effort is amazing. But "variance is involved" is a very reasonable answer to the poll.

Sure variance is involved, it has to be, thats why the game has survived many incarnations and 11 years of competitive play. But RANDOM is the key word, go watch his game and rot with your reason. I double dare you to watch the games. he's gonna be a killer for sure. One that is under the radar.

Edit: ok sorry, I don't mean rot and die, but I think this guy should be watched because there is a real reason why he got so many wins like this, and it shouldn't be dismissed too quickly.


Yes, I am seriously not denying any of this. I've watched him outclass Flash in the endgame and dismantle Stork. I know he's playing unreal well. I'm not trying to argue against that -___-

I'm just trying to argue against all the people (which includes you) that are like "if you say that variance is partially responsible then you are an idiot"

That's not even the point, plus I didn't say whoever thought it was responsible was an idiot. I said they didn't know what they are talking about. Doesn't mean they are an idiot. Good you watched him kick trash. Thats good.

I don't think he is on the lucky side of the die though. I mean, that game versus Hiya was just brutal. Hiya played fine, his reactions were very, but he just got destroyed, he couldn't get a solid attack out because he lost his army twice to hold lurks.

Eh whatever.
Hoo Ra!
TwoToneTerran
Profile Joined March 2009
United States8841 Posts
June 12 2009 01:43 GMT
#88
The back end of his record is pretty much powder puff, but I'm definitely impressed with his more recent matches.
Remember Violet.
KnightOfNi
Profile Joined December 2007
United States1508 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-12 01:48:12
June 12 2009 01:47 GMT
#89
I haven't read through the entire thread, but Leta had a streak of 23-3/25-4 at one point, as well as another streak of 22-3 (including prelims, and 2 of those losses were to Jaedong... IN THE PRELIMS... what shitty luck lol) between 11-30-08 and 1-22-09 (including 23-3), with wins against overall more impressive players. It is also worth noting that Leta was never considered to be anyone's protege, in fact he was initially a Savior sniper (if I recall my SC history correctly). He was also thought to be SHIT (I know I thought so lol) before he went on a 9 game winning streak with wins against Kal, Bisu, Best, Forgg (when he remembered how to play), Hiya, and Kal again to pretty much shock the SC world.

Personally, looking at who Effort is supposed to be modeled after, and looking at the team he is on (and the zergs of that team especially), I'm not as impressed with Effort's win streak as I am with Leta's, coming out of NOWHERE on a team with absolute SHIT terrans (lol Justin and go.go) and leading his team to the finals of the proleague out of NOWHERE. Leta's streak is better than Effort's, in my eyes, considering that it wasn't some one time thing. Leta plays quite literally every single match for hite, and keeps a record rivaling that of Flash Jaedong and Bisu. Where was this thread when Leta was rolling?
RIP eSTRO :(
KnightOfNi
Profile Joined December 2007
United States1508 Posts
June 12 2009 01:49 GMT
#90
On June 12 2009 07:46 Guybrush wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2009 07:16 Fontong wrote:
On June 12 2009 06:55 FabledIntegral wrote:
Personally, if you look at WHO he has beaten, it isn't a highly impressive array of victims. No doubt he's absolutely tearing it up, but at the same time, I think there's little question that Jaedong and Bisu are still better.

+ Show Spoiler +
Jaedong dropping one game doesn't mean shittt


I voted an equal mix of random + effort improving. He's prob a top 5 player now though, underneath Flash, Jaedong, Bisu, and one other random player I'm not thinking about.

Yeah, beating Jaedong, Luxury, Stork, free, Mind, Hiya, July, fOrGG, and Flash means NOTHING. Seriously, anyone could do this. Even fucking tester could go on a 10 game streak playing scrubs like the ones Effort has played. God, may as well get some random BGHer on East to play these people - no doubt he would at least go 50/50.

qft man, qft


Dont mess with (P)Tester, he has 100% wins against (Z)Jaedong AND (T)Flash.

^^ This. ESTRO HWAITING!!!
RIP eSTRO :(
koreasilver
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
9109 Posts
June 12 2009 01:54 GMT
#91
Did you miss all the Leta love and hype or something? He was given the appropriate appreciation when he started to emerge and after he emerged.
IdrA
Profile Blog Joined July 2004
United States11541 Posts
June 12 2009 01:54 GMT
#92
On June 12 2009 10:47 KnightOfNi wrote:
hurrhurrhurridontknowanythingaboutbroodwar

letas good, but alot of his wins were off of his gimmicky/nonstandard playstyle, he cooled down significantly as soon as he started hitting starleague competition and people got to analyze him more.
you cant really find a game where effort makes a bad decision. his play is so ridiculously smart, and his mechanics so good, that hes not gonna drop off just cuz people start figuring him out. theres nothing to figure out. hes just playing better than everyone else.
http://www.splitreason.com/product/1152 release the gracken tshirt now available
Vasoline73
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
United States7801 Posts
June 12 2009 01:55 GMT
#93
His game against Hiya in MSL was pretty sick, I'm not gonna lie. He needs to advance further into a league to prove himself imo. Flash v. Effort BO5 would be better than Flash v. Jaedong BO5 imo because both have macro styles.
Magic84
Profile Joined October 2008
Russian Federation1381 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-12 02:12:55
June 12 2009 02:07 GMT
#94
On June 12 2009 10:55 Vasoline73 wrote:
His game against Hiya in MSL was pretty sick, I'm not gonna lie. He needs to advance further into a league to prove himself imo. Flash v. Effort BO5 would be better than Flash v. Jaedong BO5 imo because both have macro styles.

Nah, nothing beats Flash v. Jaedong BOx. But i would like Effort to do something is SLs and to actually develop a rivalry with someone good, preferably terran, maybe teammate skyhigh :p. Though it's hard, nobody is playing on his level other than the big 3.
KnightOfNi
Profile Joined December 2007
United States1508 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-12 02:12:59
June 12 2009 02:11 GMT
#95
On June 12 2009 10:54 IdrA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2009 10:47 KnightOfNi wrote:
Idra edit.

letas good, but alot of his wins were off of his gimmicky/nonstandard playstyle, he cooled down significantly as soon as he started hitting starleague competition and people got to analyze him more.
you cant really find a game where effort makes a bad decision. his play is so ridiculously smart, and his mechanics so good, that hes not gonna drop off just cuz people start figuring him out. theres nothing to figure out. hes just playing better than everyone else.


I wouldn't go as far as saying "cooled down significantly". He still maintains a record of WELL over 60%, including the 2nd highest record vs terran, the 2nd highest record vs zerg (with over 30 games), and has righted his TvP (which started 2-8, is above 50% now only 25ish games later). It also shouldn't matter that he has a gimmicky playstyle, wasn't that how Boxer was? Nal_ra? It is a style that WINS GAMES, and that is all that matters. True, Effort has looked strong in his games recently, I'm not discounting that, I'm just saying that Leta's rise to me was more impressive. I may have a different opinion if Effort and Leta play a Bo5 in the MSL/OSL (they are both in both... SWEET) and Effort assrapes Leta and goes on to win both startleagues, but as of now, with the current games to go by, I'm still just more impressed with Leta's streak, more because of who Effort is and who he is supposed to be compared to Leta coming from nowhere to rock the shit outta pretty much everything lol.

I hope you realize that I'm not criticizing or even questioning that Effort is playing ridiculously well right now, I'm just setting idea the point that Leta's streak is better in hindsight, atm.
RIP eSTRO :(
Origami
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States266 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-12 02:17:17
June 12 2009 02:17 GMT
#96
On June 12 2009 10:47 KnightOfNi wrote:
Where was this thread when Leta was rolling?


He got his own TLFE instead.
JitNik
Profile Joined May 2009
Russian Federation134 Posts
June 12 2009 02:21 GMT
#97
i love effort
TwoToneTerran
Profile Joined March 2009
United States8841 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-12 03:13:52
June 12 2009 02:54 GMT
#98
The only thing close to this I can think of was Flash's 27-4 (which is 87%, two-ish percent less over 3 more games -- but more importantly it's a streak that breaks the 30 game threshold). So basically Effort just has to win two of his next three games to convincingly shatter Flash's best run, seeing as he already beat Jaedong's 24-3. Dude's amazing.

And breaking that record shouldn't be hard considering one of his next match ups is ZvZ versus, heh, 815. :3


Edit-- Woops, nevermind, I think the OP got it wrong thusfar. Oov's got a 26-3 (3-10-02 to 4-01-08), that could obviously be shortened down to 25-3, record that goes onto 32-4(3-10-02 to 04-02-03). I wasn't watching SC back in 03 so I didn't remember that, but as far as TLPD is concerned, Oov seems to still have the best streak

But hell, Effort's a shoe in for the next match so he's prone to break Oov's best 30 game record in the modern, much more competitive scene. That, in and of itself, is a bigger feat.
Remember Violet.
lazz
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Australia3119 Posts
June 12 2009 03:22 GMT
#99
wow the effort fanboyism in here is astounding.
rushz0rz
Profile Blog Joined February 2006
Canada5300 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-12 03:27:36
June 12 2009 03:26 GMT
#100
On June 12 2009 07:47 OneOther wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2009 07:41 rushz0rz wrote:
When you look at the opponent list, it isn't that special.

What the fuck? I am by no means a fan of EffOrt or CJ but I don't understand how you can say this. He beat Flash, Stork, Jaedong, Mind, and several other good players. The three losses come from Bisu at his best PvZ ,Yellow's ZvZ, and Mind in which EffOrt won the series anyway. What he's doing right now is very special and impressive. I honestly don't know what you guys expect to see. Consecutive BO3 victories against Jaedong, Bisu, and Flash? Of course he still has lots to prove, at least until he wins or comes close to winning an individual title. Still, it's pretty amazing.


Sorry.

I guess I am biased because I hate every single Zerg and hope they all do the worst possible. Also, for the record, I never intended to call him a bad player at all, he is a good player.
IntoTheRainBOw fan~
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