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Flash 14cc Stats - Page 2

Forum Index > BW General
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flamewheel
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
FREEAGLELAND26781 Posts
June 20 2010 18:28 GMT
#21
Lolsup heyoka o/
Writerdamn, i was two days from retirement
Purind
Profile Blog Joined April 2004
Canada3562 Posts
June 20 2010 18:40 GMT
#22
On June 20 2010 17:38 Sadistx wrote:
Show nested quote +
At 14 wins and 8 loses, he has a pretty solid history with the opener.


That's ~64% which is worse than his average (including 14CC), so it's a slightly worse history overall.

It's still a good winrate though, much better than any non-S-class player can hope to achieve in a lifetime on the scene.


That's how good Flash is
Even that's considered bad
What a great player
Trucy Wright is hot
Reborn8u
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States1761 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-06-20 19:02:21
June 20 2010 19:01 GMT
#23
Great read, love the charts. You should do more articles like this, it's nice to see someone choose a specific niche in the game and analyze it so deeply. Most people (including me) focus to much on general things in the game and make assumptions instead of doing research.

Front page worthy IMO
:)
Qwertify
Profile Joined September 2008
United States2531 Posts
June 20 2010 19:13 GMT
#24
On June 20 2010 17:54 Carnivorous Sheep wrote:
You watched like a minute of 173 TvZs haha...props to you, did you do it all in one go or did you have to do it in chunks?

I'd imagine I'd've died of boredom doing that


Awesome - puts to rest a lot of theorizing.
CJ Entusman #24
Jugan
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States1566 Posts
June 20 2010 19:51 GMT
#25
On June 20 2010 17:38 Sadistx wrote:
Show nested quote +
At 14 wins and 8 loses, he has a pretty solid history with the opener.


That's ~64% which is worse than his average (including 14CC), so it's a slightly worse history overall.

It's still a good winrate though, much better than any non-S-class player can hope to achieve in a lifetime on the scene.


But let's not forget, some of these games are "old", so it might not be reflective of his current skills with a 14 CC build.
Even a Savior couldn't fix all problems. www.twitch.tv/xJugan
kemoryan
Profile Blog Joined December 2007
Spain1506 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-06-20 20:20:48
June 20 2010 20:19 GMT
#26
On June 20 2010 17:38 Sadistx wrote:
Show nested quote +
At 14 wins and 8 loses, he has a pretty solid history with the opener.


That's ~64% which is worse than his average (including 14CC), so it's a slightly worse history overall.

It's still a good winrate though, much better than any non-S-class player can hope to achieve in a lifetime on the scene.


I dare his 14cc stats, despite being below his average, have in fact pushed his other stats higher. What I'm trying to say is that having this strat in his reportoire makes it tougher for his opponents to prepare against him, so it's not as easy as saying he'd have higher overall % if he never went 14cc.
Freedom is a stranger
Piste
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
6180 Posts
June 20 2010 20:28 GMT
#27
On June 20 2010 17:38 Sadistx wrote:
Show nested quote +
At 14 wins and 8 loses, he has a pretty solid history with the opener.


That's ~64% which is worse than his average (including 14CC), so it's a slightly worse history overall.

It's still a good winrate though, much better than any non-S-class player can hope to achieve in a lifetime on the scene.

take a look at his last ten 14cc games. 9-1. he doesn't just blindly try 14cc like he used to when he lost many times becouse of it.
MangoTango
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States3670 Posts
June 20 2010 20:36 GMT
#28
<3 Pacman. There has to be a reason why LYH continually uses 14CC. I wonder what his stats are with 1rax expo.
"One fish, two fish, red fish, BLUE TANK!" - Artosis
eshlow
Profile Joined June 2008
United States5210 Posts
June 20 2010 20:50 GMT
#29
Considering that his overall winrate is (or rather was if it's dropped now after all of the proleague ace losses) above 70% then a 64% winrate is obviously detracting from his overall ability to win the game.

Although he has much better results now with it since the fact that he's been switching up his builds more as noted by the 9-1 in past 10 games. So strategic use is a good thing it looks like.
Overcoming Gravity: A Systematic Approach to Gymnastics and Bodyweight Strength
shalafi
Profile Joined July 2008
394 Posts
June 20 2010 21:14 GMT
#30
On June 21 2010 05:50 eshlow wrote:
Considering that his overall winrate is (or rather was if it's dropped now after all of the proleague ace losses) above 70% then a 64% winrate is obviously detracting from his overall ability to win the game.

Although he has much better results now with it since the fact that he's been switching up his builds more as noted by the 9-1 in past 10 games. So strategic use is a good thing it looks like.


Wait what?

Did you check vs what players he used it?

64% is way more than the expected winrate vs most of those players.
Armathai
Profile Joined October 2007
1023 Posts
June 20 2010 21:19 GMT
#31
<3 Charts!

I really think 14CC is a good opening, tobad it failed so much vs Effort, but awesome anyhow!
Looking for ArcticCerebrate formerly from @USEast
NeCroPoTeNce
Profile Joined July 2009
United States513 Posts
June 20 2010 21:29 GMT
#32
Thanks for the pie charts!! Makes everything better!
zerg all the way! Lee Jaedong hwaiting
bearbuddy
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
3442 Posts
June 20 2010 21:32 GMT
#33
On June 21 2010 06:14 shalafi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 21 2010 05:50 eshlow wrote:
Considering that his overall winrate is (or rather was if it's dropped now after all of the proleague ace losses) above 70% then a 64% winrate is obviously detracting from his overall ability to win the game.

Although he has much better results now with it since the fact that he's been switching up his builds more as noted by the 9-1 in past 10 games. So strategic use is a good thing it looks like.


Wait what?

Did you check vs what players he used it?

64% is way more than the expected winrate vs most of those players.


Was about to say this.

He doesn't just randomly do a 14cc build at random intervals between all leagues.
3FFA
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States3931 Posts
June 20 2010 21:32 GMT
#34
On June 20 2010 22:47 LosingID8 wrote:
lol nice writeup

i'm a fan of pie charts too!

Who isn't a fan of pie charts? Although then again whenever I look at one I see an actually pie...

Anyways, nice writeup! Now if someone could tell me why this isn't in the News section, I would be thankful.

I like pie,
3FFA(who else?!?)
"As long as it comes from a pure place and from a honest place, you know, you can write whatever you want."
eshlow
Profile Joined June 2008
United States5210 Posts
June 20 2010 22:00 GMT
#35
On June 21 2010 06:14 shalafi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 21 2010 05:50 eshlow wrote:
Considering that his overall winrate is (or rather was if it's dropped now after all of the proleague ace losses) above 70% then a 64% winrate is obviously detracting from his overall ability to win the game.

Although he has much better results now with it since the fact that he's been switching up his builds more as noted by the 9-1 in past 10 games. So strategic use is a good thing it looks like.


Wait what?

Did you check vs what players he used it?

64% is way more than the expected winrate vs most of those players.


I didn't see any analysis of expected wins vs those players.

I do agree with that the player list is harder though, but that doesn't necessarily mean much in some cases.

Conversely, it's over such a long period of time that it's going to be really hard to compare expect win rates vs those certain players.

Basically, it is what it is. Flash tends to use it more when he is less confident he can win. Sometimes it backfires against early pressure (such as against Effort in OSL..., and protoss in general for a while there), and sometimes it works magnificently.

I wonder how many times he actually wins in management games when he goes 14cc. That may be an interesting stat to look at.
Overcoming Gravity: A Systematic Approach to Gymnastics and Bodyweight Strength
tedster
Profile Joined May 2009
984 Posts
June 21 2010 00:00 GMT
#36
On June 21 2010 05:19 kemoryan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2010 17:38 Sadistx wrote:
At 14 wins and 8 loses, he has a pretty solid history with the opener.


That's ~64% which is worse than his average (including 14CC), so it's a slightly worse history overall.

It's still a good winrate though, much better than any non-S-class player can hope to achieve in a lifetime on the scene.


I dare his 14cc stats, despite being below his average, have in fact pushed his other stats higher. What I'm trying to say is that having this strat in his reportoire makes it tougher for his opponents to prepare against him, so it's not as easy as saying he'd have higher overall % if he never went 14cc.


Please don't forget this. If you don't work unconventional strats and rushes into your general gameplay, your opponents get to cut corners and run optimal builds against you 100% of the time. Conversely, if you are known for enjoying unconventional/risky builds, your opponents will often run less optimal builds to compensate, giving you an advantage the rest of the time when you play standard.
the last wcs commissioner
Black Gun
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Germany4482 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-06-21 00:22:01
June 21 2010 00:21 GMT
#37
great read, thumbs up!

but the 9-1 stats in his last 10 14cc games are kinda deluding as this one loss has cost him the osl title and the golden mouse.

but with flashs monster macro, if he can pull off a 14cc and his opponent fails to successfully counter it with either an early attack or some kind of eco cheese on his own, then its basically a won game for flash. does any1 know a game where flash went 14 cc and his opponent did not go 14cc, 3 hatch or 12nex on his own and still won?
"What am I supposed to do against this?" - "Lose!" :-]
DemiSe
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
883 Posts
June 21 2010 01:06 GMT
#38
Really nice writeup, thanks for puttin your time and effort to do this.
Love the Pie charts <3.
Thanks a lot for doing this.
Let's See Who's Stronger, Your Tricks, Or My Skills.
koreasilver
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
9109 Posts
June 21 2010 01:11 GMT
#39
On June 21 2010 09:21 Black Gun wrote:
great read, thumbs up!

but the 9-1 stats in his last 10 14cc games are kinda deluding as this one loss has cost him the osl title and the golden mouse.

but with flashs monster macro, if he can pull off a 14cc and his opponent fails to successfully counter it with either an early attack or some kind of eco cheese on his own, then its basically a won game for flash. does any1 know a game where flash went 14 cc and his opponent did not go 14cc, 3 hatch or 12nex on his own and still won?

I'm assuming you're saying 3hatch no pool because 12hatch 11pool 13hatch starts gets pretty behind 14cc. Jaedong won against Flash on Loki 2 with a normal 3hatch build.
yes9111
Profile Joined May 2009
United States420 Posts
June 21 2010 01:26 GMT
#40
Very entertaining intro & writeup haha.
But gotta give you props for watching every. single. one. of Flash's TvZs holy smokes. I would have died of boredom. Thank you for the work - so apparently Flash is pretty good with 14cc?
STORK WHAT ARE YOU DOING?
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