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On January 21 2010 13:07 blue_arrow wrote: this is getting pretty funny, especially from my perspective and I am still unsure as to who to vote for;
however, i'm in support of the future mayor lynching hobbes; as DH said, he's our best guess right now
why is it "especially" from your perspective?
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On January 21 2010 13:09 Bill Murray wrote: hobbes voted for meeple after it was clear that t_co wasn't going to win, yes. what's your point?
Just because stimilant might fit a clue doesn't incriminate t_co imo since more suspicious people have voted for other candidates
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people who we believe are suspicious
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On January 20 2010 16:00 Zona wrote: To be honest I think mayor/sheriff should be people who are active, but also with the emptiest/most unambiguous profiles, so that if any clues are given linking that person to the mafia, hopefully they would be more obvious. Ugh, I'm still thinking along these lines. All the serious candidates so far have multiple pieces of information in their profiles and thus clues relating to them might be harder to figure out (while mine only has a quote). But I really wouldn't know what to do with a triple vote, and I don't consider the incarceration power that strong.
I am a little worried that it's possible that meeple/DrH are both mafia, and would be happier if only one of them was elected to either position. I'm wary of t_co, too, though.
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On January 21 2010 13:06 DoctorHelvetica wrote: I'm reluctant to take too risky a move on the first day. if t_co is a townie or a blue, he is clearly very aggressive and active and that is the kind of person I want on the towns side, even if he suspects me. I think we should play it safe until we get some more information from the second day. Okay, I think that makes sense. But if all three of you, meeple, and t_co is townie (as you seem to be assuming), then he's prime material for a night 1 kill, since that would throw suspicion on you two.
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On January 21 2010 13:16 Zona wrote:Show nested quote +On January 21 2010 13:06 DoctorHelvetica wrote: I'm reluctant to take too risky a move on the first day. if t_co is a townie or a blue, he is clearly very aggressive and active and that is the kind of person I want on the towns side, even if he suspects me. I think we should play it safe until we get some more information from the second day. Okay, I think that makes sense. But if all three of you, meeple, and t_co is townie (as you seem to be assuming), then he's prime material for a night 1 kill, since that would throw suspicion on you two.
The mafia can create almost any situation they want based on who they kill. The mafia are getting a lot of information about how they could play with our heads during the night phase right now. the more objective we are, the less room we give the mafia to fuck with the town psychologically
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at the rate things are going right now, it looks like DH and meeple are garuanteed the sheriff/mayor positions 80% of the town has voted already btw by now, either the mafia should be giving up on trying to get into office or they've already succeeded
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On January 21 2010 12:31 DoctorHelvetica wrote:Show nested quote +On January 21 2010 12:29 citi.zen wrote:On January 21 2010 12:23 Abenson wrote: I'm so confused right now.... The clues don't seem to tell anything in the Day 1 post... D; Anyways.... I think that we should stick with hard facts for now, and I really think T_co is extremely suspicious like most of you, but I think we should observe before doing anything rash.
The fact is we must lynch someone, these are the rules. It is simply a matter of who is the best candidate. Exactly. Also, when does the day end? 9pm est tomorrow?
The vote ends at 9pm EST tomorrow.
On January 21 2010 12:36 Abenson wrote: So we don't vote anytime soon right? I'm just kinda worried about getting kicked because of inactivity or not voting
Voting is open throughout the whole day. You may vote whenever you wish, as long as its in before 9PM EST tomorrow night.
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I think if t_co turns out red we have a great chance to end this very fast. If not, we still get a number of clues, a new list of suspects (I will gladly put myself at the top of that list), and a long-ish one with likely innocent people. That is a lot of info, well worth the risk in my view.
Lynching Hobbes on the other hand... not so useful, even if he is guilty/red. Same KP for the mob, no new info.
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Time for rest. Its been fun and oddly addictive, I look forward to many additional pages to read by tomorrow morning!
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^i don't understand your logic
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he's saying that if hobbes is lynched, no matter what he flips we can't really go anywhere from there.
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On January 21 2010 13:30 citi.zen wrote: I think if t_co turns out red we have a great chance to end this very fast. If not, we still get a number of clues, a new list of suspects (I will gladly put myself at the top of that list), and a long-ish one with likely innocent people. That is a lot of info, well worth the risk in my view.
Lynching Hobbes on the other hand... not so useful, even if he is guilty/red. Same KP for the mob, no new info. Why would we end it very fast if t_co is red? And by lynching Hobbes or t_co, if one of them flips reds its the same KP anyway...
Anyway, I'm still thinking Hobbes should be the mayor's lynch. Clues are much better than all this speculation right now
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^basically, this is sort of what i meant when i said that i didn't understand his logic
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Well, I'm agreeing here that we shouldn't take any big risk moves until the second day. I'd say lynching hobbes is probably the best choice.
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and also yes, clues are more solid of a reason to lynch than speculation as of now
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On January 21 2010 13:07 blue_arrow wrote: this is getting pretty funny, especially from my perspective and I am still unsure as to who to vote for;
however, i'm in support of the future mayor lynching hobbes; as DH said, he's our best guess right now
Do you mind explaining this part of what you said here? It kind of stood out and bothered me a little bit.
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FREEAGLELAND26780 Posts
I think he's saying that if t_co is red, those implicated with t_co (people who verbally supported him, voted for him) would also be more likely to be red, and that's as good of a starting point as any to work from.
However, since Hobbes hasn't posted much, and the main reason we suspect him is because of clues, even if he DOES turn out red it will not let us uncover any new leads.
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On January 21 2010 13:49 flamewheel91 wrote: However, since Hobbes hasn't posted much, and the main reason we suspect him is because of clues, even if he DOES turn out red it will not let us uncover any new leads. I think that if we lynch Hobbes and he turns out red we'll know that we are doing pretty well with the clue analysis and those first we got the clues on Hobbes are not mafia.
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Mystlord
United States10264 Posts
I'm still not exactly sold on the Hobbes connection. It seems flaky at best, but I suppose if we have nothing else to go on...
citi.zen does raise a good point about the clues that would arise from the lynching of t_co though. We're at a dead end if we lynch Hobbes. If we lynch t_co, we at least get some clues, regardless of whether he's red or not.
Hm decisions decisions...
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