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[GG] Red Army Mafia

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 28 2009 23:33 GMT
#99
Got my role PM
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 01:07 GMT
#107
yay! an hour to go
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-29 02:59:07
July 29 2009 02:57 GMT
#117
Now I remember why I don't like big games, too many profiles to cross-reference

Anyways, after looking through the post I think the clues (if there are any) are as follows...
  • Somebody had blown up one of our tanks on the bridge.
  • We also discovered the body of redtooth lying in the mud today.
  • Attempted to go to a local tavern for a shot of vodka.
  • Some Ukrainians had other ideas and blew out his brains, as well as stripping him naked.
  • All that was left on him were a pair of pennies on top of his eyelids.


So I'm just going to start looking through the list of profiles and see if anything makes a decent match. I don't know how Caller constructs his clues, so if you think I missed something feel free to add. Also I'm pretty certain that the pennies in the eyes are a reference to the movie Boondock Saints (there are a few other things it could reference to, but as I can't recall it off the top of my head I'll leave it at that for now). So keep a look out for anyone with any allusions to vigilante justice, religious themes, or anything relating to the movie connected to them.

Edited because I'm noob with bullet points.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 03:38 GMT
#120
Well, anyone who played with me in any mafia games (last one doesn't count since I was blue and lying low) should know my style of clue analysis revolves around me just making wild connections and hoping I find something that sticks so...here it goes!

+ Show Spoiler +
All of this based off things I found in their profiles.

Incredibly Weak Leads
Elemenope
+ Show Spoiler +
Has a picture of a Crystal Maiden from DotA and some other hero that I'm not familiar with (I don't play dota) however, according to dotastrategy.com the crystal maiden was "Trained by a renegade wizard deep in the heart of Winterspring." Which vaguely relates to the vigilantism that I noted may be a clue in my earlier post.

Plexa
+ Show Spoiler +
His quote "Spirit will set you free" when googled returns a either Christian scriptures, lyrics to a gospel song, or...Plexa's posts. Either way, this relates a bit to the point I made about the pennies in the eyes in my previous post.

Shikyo
+ Show Spoiler +
His profile seems to focus a lot on metal (music), which can vaguely relate to the mass of scrap metal (tanks on bridge) left behind.

Chezinu
+ Show Spoiler +
His profile has a small blurb about a "Brown state". Mud=Brown?

Coltrane
+ Show Spoiler +
Quote in profile says "Why is the rum gone" which could reference the vodka/tavern.


Very doubtful lead
Scamp
+ Show Spoiler +
Picture of a cat lying in a gutter, which can collect mud. Maybe relates to the redtooth's corpse in the mud.


Well, I hope that's enough to get the ball rolling.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 04:03 GMT
#123
On July 29 2009 13:01 Foolishness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 29 2009 12:48 Ver wrote:
All people who clue analyze off the gate are always innocent.

Lucas, Opz, and Falcynn are innocent. Yay!


Anyone who calls other people innocent right off the bat is clearly mafia
Anyone who calls someone mafia for calling people innocent off the bat is clearly Ukrainian.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 04:08 GMT
#126
On July 29 2009 13:06 Foolishness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 29 2009 13:03 Falcynn wrote:
On July 29 2009 13:01 Foolishness wrote:
On July 29 2009 12:48 Ver wrote:
All people who clue analyze off the gate are always innocent.

Lucas, Opz, and Falcynn are innocent. Yay!


Anyone who calls other people innocent right off the bat is clearly mafia
Anyone who calls someone mafia for calling people innocent off the bat is clearly Ukrainian.


Anyone who makes their own topic about their opinions is clearly an attention whore.
Anyone who criticizes someone for trying to neatly organize information is clearly trying to bury the truth! Which makes them mafia.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 16:06 GMT
#184
On July 30 2009 01:02 clazziquai wrote:
If so, shouldn't the rebels be Red? Meh, the colors confused me for a sec haha
This is MOTHER RUSSIA! RED IS GOOD! Blues are sniveling capitalist pigs.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 16:11 GMT
#187
I'm not sure if he's actually running. I mean his first post here shows his intention to run, but I interpreted his later post as him dropping out for whatever reason and throwing his support towards MountainDew. This is all under the assumption that you can vote for yourself. If you can't and Ace is just casting his vote towards the person he would have in case he loses, then I'll change my vote back to him.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-29 16:30:38
July 29 2009 16:29 GMT
#193
So can you tell us what they did? Or would that affect the game too much?

Edit: Ah, two accounts, I see.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 19:53 GMT
#227
On July 30 2009 04:49 Zato-1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 30 2009 04:47 Shikyo wrote:
On July 30 2009 04:44 Zato-1 wrote:
Well, I've put forth my case. If you like it, fine, if you don't, that's fine too. At any rate, I'm not going to be Field Marshall (while you might) so I'm just trying to present the upsides of the other approach.

At any rate, the worst we can do is have everyone going off and trying their thing- I say, let the elected Field Marshall decide whether all the agents will disguise themselves as rebels, or whether none of them will.

I'll just say that normally it is a terrible idea to have the elected officer decide for things like that, simply because if he's ukrainian, he'll just do everything to hurt the town.

Wait what? The elected officer can be ukranian? O.o

I thought his role would change to Field Marshall if a Ukranian was chosen to begin with...
He shows up as field marshall if he's checked, but he retains whatever role he started off with originally.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 20:49 GMT
#248
I wish I could say something here to help argue why having NKVD agents pose as Ukrainians is a bad idea...but I think Ace has pretty much covered all of the reasons. Probably the only advantage I can see is that the threat of the detectives doing this will cause the Ukrainians to hesitate in contacting each other after a successful role check. Considering the fact that the town already has a pretty big advantage, doing this can arguably be worth the detectives time as it stalls any form of organization between the Ukrainians.

However, I think anyone who thinks that the detectives can easily infiltrate a decently sized portion of the network are seriously underestimating how smart these guys can be. Just the threat of DTs posing as Ukrainians is going to make them a hell of a lot more cautious in terms of who they trust. Verifying someone as Ukrainian is, as Ace mentioned, as easy as asking them who they killed the previous night or who they'll kill the next night. The detective would have to be incredibly lucky to get either of these questions correct, and if he doesn't he'll be killed. Basically he'll go through all of this work to get just a single Ukrainian, which can easily be done without all of this pretending.

In short, I'm in favor of NKVD posing as Ukrainian, but I'm heavily against this idea of them trying to infiltrate the network as it'll just be a waste of time and effort on their part imo.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 20:50 GMT
#249
hmmm...so it seem I kind of changed my mind mid-post. Anyways, the last sentence in that post is where I stand right now in regards to this issue.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-29 21:01:56
July 29 2009 21:01 GMT
#256
Yeah, since I'm not sure if I was clear enough, I'm going to try to detail this better.

NKVD should disguise themselves as Ukrainians
This is good because it'll force the Ukrainians to be more careful about who they trust, stalling any form of organization between them for at least a few days. The only drawback to this is if an NKVD targets another NKVD, which is fairly unlikely, but if it does happen it shouldn't be too disastrous because...

NKVD should not try to infiltrate the network
This is a waste of time, because the Ukrainians have enough methods at their disposal to verify Ukrainians within a day. If an NKVD agent comes out to a Ukrainian, then they have roughly 1 day left to live. If they're that suicidal, they may as well just open up to the town and pray for medic protection. They should simply disguise as Ukrainian, then continue playing as if this was any other mafia game by subtly trying to sway the towns opinion with what they find out rather than trying to come out in the open.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 21:09 GMT
#261
On July 30 2009 06:05 Zato-1 wrote:
On a completely unrelated issue- can a 'dead' player still post after he got killed, such as saying "oh guys, before I died I got a PM from player X, it said such and such"?
No. This is why in some previous mafia games you have people post absolutely everything they know when they believe they're going to die. After you're dead you can't post anything that has any affect on the game.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 21:12 GMT
#268
Wait, so are you saying that NKVD shouldn't disguise themselves as rebels?

Because while I perfectly agree that trying to infiltrate the rebel network is a horrible idea, I don't see any other role that NKVD can disguise as. If they disguise themselves as red, they'll get killed off quickly. If they disguise themselves as green, then they'll probably be killed off as well. By disguising themselves as blue, then that throws a wrench into whatever plans the rebels have to organize stalling them for a few days at least.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 21:15 GMT
#271
Wow, ninja'd, repeatedly =/

Well, I guess this is where we have a disagreement. I really really believe that NKVD should pose as rebels. The chances of them of being RC'd by the rebels are slim enough that they won't have to worry about having to BS their way out, and the confusion of having them undercover will, as I mentioned repeatedly, stall any organization efforts for a few days. Which IMO is a huge asset to us.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 22:19 GMT
#302
On July 30 2009 07:05 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 30 2009 07:02 L wrote:
Basically, if NKVD do not contact their targets as a rule, rebels finding rebels cannot safely talk to each other upon fear of being confirmed blue, while our NKVD are free to check for town aligned players. This also prevents ukranians from mass pming people with "lol i checked you".


yes they can. Rebels will always talk to any blue they find. Hence, any NKVD dressed as blue will be contacted whether they want to or not. At this point if you assume everyone followed your rule SURE it confirms the Rebel as guilty BUT the Rebel always has the defense that he is also an undercover NKVD Agent and was contacted first.

How do you find out who is the liar?

Come on, THINK the entire scenario through and stop assuming everyone is dumb to the point they can't realize they have a simple alibi that fucks the town over.
Bit wired right now so I'm having trouble organizing my thoughts, but I'm gonna give it a shot.

That excuse wouldn't make sense. If we go by the way you have it thought out it'd go like this (Falcynn=NKVD Ace=Rebel, not implying anything, just realizing that this is hard to keep track of if I dn't do this). Again, this is all completely hypothetical.

Ace: Hey I just role check you and you're rebel apparently, I'm gonna need to figure out if I can trust you though, so who are you going to kill tonight/who did you kill last night.

I then post in the thread that Ace is a rebel. Ace then posts in the thread that he's actually NKVD and that I'm the one who contacted him first.

TBH that seems like a BS excuse because even if for whatever reason we entertain the possibility that Ace is NKVD and I'm a rebel, why the hell would I blow my identity like that? As a rebel I'd want to stay hidden as long as possible and only attempt to come out when my cover is blown.

Alternatively, the way I actually see this happening though is...

Ace: Hey, saw you're a rebel, just to make sure, who did you kill last night/who are you going to kill tomorrow?
Falcynn: I used a role check last night and found out that (person that I really did role check since I'm NKVD) is green. Tomorrow I'm gonna kill L.

*tomorrow comes and goes*

Ace: dude, you said you were gonna kill L.
Falcynn: fuck man, fucking medic blocked me. You know what, I think I'll role check this next turn blah blah blah.

while my life is considerably shorter, I can stall like this for at least a few days while I gather more information and pass it on to confirmed greens.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 22:20 GMT
#303
Also if NKVD follows the advice here and does NOT contact anybody. They can assume that anyone who contacts them is a rebel.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
July 29 2009 22:38 GMT
#307
Alright, the second part is understandable, but I'm still having trouble understanding why a rebel would ever come out to the town and claim that they're NKVD and the other person is a rebel.

Trying to think in the mindset of a rebel, to do that I would have to rolecheck someone, find out they're a rebel, and then immediately come out to the town with this without even knowing if my suspicions of them being NKVD are true. If someone comes out to the town claiming that they're NKVD and so-and-so is a rebel, then unless they're just trying to troll the game, they're probably telling the truth. Because what reason would a rebel have to expose themselves like that. If it's a rebel false-claiming then the only reasonable options are.

A) The rebel was wrong and the other blue really is a rebel, then he just outted a fellow rebel.
B) The rebel was right and the other blue is actually NKVD, then he just outted himself because after the town lynches the NKVD, they'll go straight for him.

Considering that I hope the NKVD aren't stupid enough to tell the rebels what their role is before they report it to the town, then I don't see any reason for the rebel to false-claim to the town, meaning that anyone claiming the NKVD role while condemning someone else is most likely telling the truth as long as all NKVD make sure NOT to contact anyone.

Again, I'm a bit wired so I'm having trouble trying to set my thoughts straight, but I hope I'm making sense.
Falcynn
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3597 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-30 04:53:00
July 30 2009 04:51 GMT
#350
Yay! Gone 6 hours and the only thing news worthy after coming back is this new Veteran plan, makes my job with the paper easier at least =/

Anyways, as for my input. I feel pretty stupid now for not thinking of disguising as a Veteran. I was thinking that disguising as a Red would make them an instant target to the rebels, but Veterans are, in terms of their direct effect on the game, about as useful as greens, with the added benefit of being too tedious to kill. Our main priority for the NKVD should be to avoid detection at all costs, while gathering information as with any normal mafia game.

The only argument for them to roleclaim as Conscripts is so that they appear useless and not worth killing. However as has been noted already, due to the Ukrainians disadvantage of not knowing each other and having a time limit (supposedly) they'll probably just kill people as soon as they see that it's a safe kill. We've discussed the advantages and disadvantages of them disguising as rebels over and over, and I think after 6 pages it's safe to say that despite the advantages, there are way too many variables in making sure that the NKVD is safe and that their information stays reliable.

Disguising as veterans is the best of both worlds. The rebels will avoid killing them as it's too much of a hassle to waste a kill on someone who probably won't die right away, and they won't contact them as there's no point in revealing themselves to a Russian. Meaning the NKVD will be safe, and there's no risk of their information getting caught up in some huge clusterfuck.

Edited some glaring grammatical errors that made this too hard to read.
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