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WCS Global Finals spots and groups finalized - Page 4

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Kitai
Profile Joined June 2012
United States880 Posts
October 01 2017 20:50 GMT
#61
Man, it's looking tough for our foreigner hopes this year. I wouldn't be terribly surprised if the Ro8 is all Korean (though I'm obviously hoping otherwise)
"You know, I don't care if soO got 100 second places in a row. Anyone who doesn't think that he's going to win blizzcon watching this series is a fool" - Artosis, Blizzcon 2014 soO vs TaeJa
DSh1
Profile Joined April 2017
292 Posts
October 01 2017 20:54 GMT
#62
Personally I don't see Gumiho advancing. Though I hope he does. For foreigners not in group D I also assess Neeb and Elazer realistic chances.
pvsnp
Profile Joined January 2017
7676 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-10-01 21:10:07
October 01 2017 20:57 GMT
#63
On October 02 2017 04:59 Fango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 02 2017 04:36 pvsnp wrote:
On October 02 2017 04:14 Fango wrote:
On October 02 2017 04:03 pvsnp wrote:
Stats (1st) and TY (2nd) advance, high probability.

Rogue and soO advance (any order), high probability.

Dark and herO advance (any order), virtually guaranteed.

Inno (1st), virtually guaranteed. Gumiho (2nd), mildly likely--Serral (2nd), mildly unlikely.


I disagree with a few of these. Snute can beat TY, Neeb can beat soO, Elazer can beat herO, Serral can beat Inno and Gumiho, and Gumiho can beat Inno

Not saying they will 100% beat them, but they definitely have good shots

edit: btw I'm not trolling when I predicted Serral over Gumi and Inno. I 100% believe that mech sucks and Serral can beat it.

You saw the bio TvZ that Inno played yesterday, right? And you remember the bio TvZ that Inno beat Serral with at GSL vs the World, despite throwing away 30 supply for free? I'm really not sure how you (or anyone) can conclude that Serral can defeat Inno when Inno has both beaten Serral and players far more skilled than Serral (Rogue, Dark).

Regarding mech, I'm far from convinced that SH are the be-all-end-all that avilo raves about. Certainly they are strong, and certainly Rogue won with them but I think that has more to do with Rogue's skill than SH themselves. Macro was the deciding factor in both of the mech games. Also, Inno never tried battle mech, which I intuitively think would counter SH.


If Inno plays bio, he can beat Serral any day. But I don't trust him to, every terran seems to think mech is the way. Now I'm not an avilo fan by any means, but SW-viper just destroys it. I haven't seen mech work anywhere since Inno beat Dark with it, so I can easily credit that to Inno suprising him, and Dark not preparing for mech

As far as gumiho goes, his TvZ isn't even that good. I've been saying this for a while and he hasn't been able to sway my opinion, he won GSL of the back of TvT. Serral stomped him in the map test tournament the other day as well. I think Serral will beat Gumiho in the first round, whether he beats Inno or not is up for debate

Oh I see. Well, Serral > Inno's mech is a much more reasonable conclusion than Serral > Inno's bio given the evidence we have to work with. But we saw yesterday that Inno realized mech wouldn't work and switched to bio. I don't see how he wouldn't make the same choice at Blizzcon. That's assuming that he even bothers to try mech at Blizzcon; after what happened yesterday I guarantee Inno is giving some serious thought as to whether he should practice bio or mech in TvZ, and which styles to practice them in. I cannot possibly imagine that the Korean Zergs don't try SH against mech on ladder in the next month, nor can I imagine that Inno (and the other Terrans) will not find either a counter or an alternative way to approach TvZ given that they have a month to prepare.

And like I said before, I think you give too much credit to SH and not enough to Rogue. They aren't some magical freewin panacea, and raw macro strength goes a long way in TvZ. Rogue and Inno have that kind of strength in spades, but Serral? Rogue defeated Inno's mech by soft-containing him and slowly wearing him down with SH+Vipers until Inno was forced to either attack or die a slow death. Suiciding one army to get rid of Inno's screen, followed by a crackling remax to clean up the tanks was how he finished. All of that requires a lot of mechanical skill, expanding all over the map while keeping up the pressure on Terran and deflecting any hellion/banshee/thor drop harass, and protecting the SH on cooldown. Rogue has the necessary skill, Dark probably does as well, but I'm not sure Serral does.

Regarding Gumiho, I think you do have a point in that his TvZ is not amazing. But to claim that Serral is guaranteed to defeat him is pushing that a bit too far imo. Gumiho is virtually guaranteed to mech against Serral, since that's what he does, but similar to what I already said, I cannot imagine that Gumiho is not aware of how Rogue defeated Inno's mech, and he will try his utmost to find some kind of counter/workaround for that.

At Blizzcon, Gumiho will play Serral in the first round. Inno will most certainly be watching that match, and can easily decide to go bio or mech based on how Gumiho does in that match. If he sees Serral stomp all over Gumiho, I don't see why you would think Inno would stick to mech.
^Hell, in 2015 when Inno's mech actually was basically unbeatable, he chose to go bio against Life. He made that choice in a far more favorable meta against a far stronger opponent. If he can make a choice like that, I don't see any reason he wouldn't go bio against Serral.


TL;DR: I can't see Inno losing to Serral. Gumiho might lose. Gumiho might be able to take Inno out in a TvT as well. But Inno losing to a Zerg not named Dark/Rogue? I just can't see it happening.
Denominator of the Universe
TL+ Member
FFW_Rude
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France10201 Posts
October 01 2017 21:00 GMT
#64
Stats to win it all
#1 KT Rolster fanboy. KT BEST KT ! Hail to KT playoffs Zergs ! Unofficial french translator for SlayerS_`Boxer` biography "Crazy as me".
Makro
Profile Joined March 2011
France16890 Posts
October 01 2017 21:24 GMT
#65
hard times ahead for foreignland but i believe
Matthew 5:10 "Blessed are those who are persecuted because of shitposting, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven".
TL+ Member
dragoon
Profile Joined December 2010
United States695 Posts
October 01 2017 23:01 GMT
#66
neeb gonna be practicing the hell out of zvp
i love you
stevemachine17
Profile Joined April 2017
45 Posts
October 01 2017 23:56 GMT
#67
I think perhaps 2 foreigners can make it to ro8, I like elazer and been, though I also have some hope for kelazhur too! Rogue is really hot after that awesome win at super tournament so I could see him or innovation going all the way
seemsgood
Profile Joined January 2016
5527 Posts
October 02 2017 00:05 GMT
#68
ONLY 3 PROTOSSES ???????????? Literally unwatchable.
ParksonVN
Profile Joined October 2015
Australia370 Posts
October 02 2017 01:37 GMT
#69
On October 02 2017 04:59 Fango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 02 2017 04:36 pvsnp wrote:
On October 02 2017 04:14 Fango wrote:
On October 02 2017 04:03 pvsnp wrote:
Stats (1st) and TY (2nd) advance, high probability.

Rogue and soO advance (any order), high probability.

Dark and herO advance (any order), virtually guaranteed.

Inno (1st), virtually guaranteed. Gumiho (2nd), mildly likely--Serral (2nd), mildly unlikely.


I disagree with a few of these. Snute can beat TY, Neeb can beat soO, Elazer can beat herO, Serral can beat Inno and Gumiho, and Gumiho can beat Inno

Not saying they will 100% beat them, but they definitely have good shots

edit: btw I'm not trolling when I predicted Serral over Gumi and Inno. I 100% believe that mech sucks and Serral can beat it.

You saw the bio TvZ that Inno played yesterday, right? And you remember the bio TvZ that Inno beat Serral with at GSL vs the World, despite throwing away 30 supply for free? I'm really not sure how you (or anyone) can conclude that Serral can defeat Inno when Inno has both beaten Serral and players far more skilled than Serral (Rogue, Dark).

Regarding mech, I'm far from convinced that SH are the be-all-end-all that avilo raves about. Certainly they are strong, and certainly Rogue won with them but I think that has more to do with Rogue's skill than SH themselves. Macro was the deciding factor in both of the mech games. Also, Inno never tried battle mech, which I intuitively think would counter SH.


If Inno plays bio, he can beat Serral any day. But I don't trust him to, every terran seems to think mech is the way. Now I'm not an avilo fan by any means, but SW-viper just destroys it. I haven't seen mech work anywhere since Inno beat Dark with it, so I can easily credit that to Inno suprising him, and Dark not preparing for mech

As far as gumiho goes, his TvZ isn't even that good. I've been saying this for a while and he hasn't been able to sway my opinion, he won GSL of the back of TvT. Serral stomped him in the map test tournament the other day as well. I think Serral will beat Gumiho in the first round, whether he beats Inno or not is up for debate


it's ridiculous that somehow people think Zerg is favor against mech just because Rogue can do it .
AzAlexZ
Profile Joined September 2016
Australia3303 Posts
October 02 2017 04:36 GMT
#70
On October 02 2017 10:37 ParksonVN wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 02 2017 04:59 Fango wrote:
On October 02 2017 04:36 pvsnp wrote:
On October 02 2017 04:14 Fango wrote:
On October 02 2017 04:03 pvsnp wrote:
Stats (1st) and TY (2nd) advance, high probability.

Rogue and soO advance (any order), high probability.

Dark and herO advance (any order), virtually guaranteed.

Inno (1st), virtually guaranteed. Gumiho (2nd), mildly likely--Serral (2nd), mildly unlikely.


I disagree with a few of these. Snute can beat TY, Neeb can beat soO, Elazer can beat herO, Serral can beat Inno and Gumiho, and Gumiho can beat Inno

Not saying they will 100% beat them, but they definitely have good shots

edit: btw I'm not trolling when I predicted Serral over Gumi and Inno. I 100% believe that mech sucks and Serral can beat it.

You saw the bio TvZ that Inno played yesterday, right? And you remember the bio TvZ that Inno beat Serral with at GSL vs the World, despite throwing away 30 supply for free? I'm really not sure how you (or anyone) can conclude that Serral can defeat Inno when Inno has both beaten Serral and players far more skilled than Serral (Rogue, Dark).

Regarding mech, I'm far from convinced that SH are the be-all-end-all that avilo raves about. Certainly they are strong, and certainly Rogue won with them but I think that has more to do with Rogue's skill than SH themselves. Macro was the deciding factor in both of the mech games. Also, Inno never tried battle mech, which I intuitively think would counter SH.


If Inno plays bio, he can beat Serral any day. But I don't trust him to, every terran seems to think mech is the way. Now I'm not an avilo fan by any means, but SW-viper just destroys it. I haven't seen mech work anywhere since Inno beat Dark with it, so I can easily credit that to Inno suprising him, and Dark not preparing for mech

As far as gumiho goes, his TvZ isn't even that good. I've been saying this for a while and he hasn't been able to sway my opinion, he won GSL of the back of TvT. Serral stomped him in the map test tournament the other day as well. I think Serral will beat Gumiho in the first round, whether he beats Inno or not is up for debate


it's ridiculous that somehow people think Zerg is favor against mech just because Rogue can do it .

Snute can also do it, even if it was only once
Faker is the GOAT!
Azhrak
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland1198 Posts
October 02 2017 07:30 GMT
#71
I really hope at least one of the foreigners will go through to play at BlizzCon. I think Neeb, Serral or Snute will make it.
starcraft2.fi
rotta
Profile Joined December 2011
5605 Posts
October 02 2017 07:49 GMT
#72
On October 02 2017 16:30 Azhrak wrote:
I really hope at least one of the foreigners will go through to play at BlizzCon. I think Neeb, Serral or Snute will make it.

Barcraft if Serral makes it?
don't wall off against random
Azhrak
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland1198 Posts
October 02 2017 08:01 GMT
#73
On October 02 2017 16:49 rotta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 02 2017 16:30 Azhrak wrote:
I really hope at least one of the foreigners will go through to play at BlizzCon. I think Neeb, Serral or Snute will make it.

Barcraft if Serral makes it?

Too bad there's no Buza anymore, those guys would let us stay past regular hours and watch BlizzCon until 7 AM.
This is the problem with barcrafts for BlizzCon in Finland when we're 10 hours ahead of the local time. No public bar will be open for the whole thing so at best we'd see 2 matches (from 10 PM to 2 AM) and with bad luck those would not be Serral's matches. I've organized a private "office-craft" too for this reason in the past. At least I can ask around. Would be dope.
starcraft2.fi
Azhrak
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland1198 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-10-02 09:12:02
October 02 2017 09:10 GMT
#74
The assassins are here:

[image loading]

Sorry Kelazhur, run out of room.
starcraft2.fi
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16121 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-10-02 09:15:19
October 02 2017 09:12 GMT
#75
Snute is so fucked lol but at least he only has to practice one match up.

The only foreigner that looks like they might have a chance of advancing is Neeb, only one match up and soO hasn't looked as sharp lately. Rogue however looked fantastic, I'd be very surprised if Neeb got past him.

Serral is probably equally fucked as Snute, two of the best TvZ's in Korea in his group. Although if Gumiho comes in with some oddball shit like he did in the last GSL season that doesn't work Serral MIGHT have a chance.

aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
AzAlexZ
Profile Joined September 2016
Australia3303 Posts
October 02 2017 09:14 GMT
#76
On October 02 2017 18:12 Vindicare605 wrote:
Snute is so fucked lol but at least he only has to practice one match up.

The only foreigner that looks like they might have a chance of advancing is Neeb, only one match up and soO hasn't looked as sharp lately. Rogue however looked fantastic, I'd be very surprised if Neeb got past him.

Elazer is probably equally fucked as Snute, two of the best TvZ's in Korea in his group. Although if Gumiho comes in with some oddball shit like he did in the last GSL season that doesn't work Elazer MIGHT have a chance.


I think you mean Serral, Elazer is in Group C with Dark, herO and Kelazhur
Faker is the GOAT!
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16121 Posts
October 02 2017 09:14 GMT
#77
On October 02 2017 18:14 AzAlexZ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 02 2017 18:12 Vindicare605 wrote:
Snute is so fucked lol but at least he only has to practice one match up.

The only foreigner that looks like they might have a chance of advancing is Neeb, only one match up and soO hasn't looked as sharp lately. Rogue however looked fantastic, I'd be very surprised if Neeb got past him.

Elazer is probably equally fucked as Snute, two of the best TvZ's in Korea in his group. Although if Gumiho comes in with some oddball shit like he did in the last GSL season that doesn't work Elazer MIGHT have a chance.


I think you mean Serral, Elazer is in Group C with Dark, herO and Kelazhur


Yea just realized that, editing now.
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
October 02 2017 09:49 GMT
#78
I am really happy about the format, glad they didn't go with single elimination and that they didn't put all foreigners to one side of the bracket. This way we get some really great foreigner vs. korean action!
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
Corvuuss
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
Austria354 Posts
October 02 2017 10:09 GMT
#79
On October 02 2017 18:49 opisska wrote:
I am really happy about the format, glad they didn't go with single elimination and that they didn't put all foreigners to one side of the bracket. This way we get some really great foreigner vs. korean action!


Why would they ever do that, that would be even more stupid than anything blizzard has done before with WCS.
I am a slave of Golden from now on. Obey a supreme leader of StarCraft 2 or you get banned. I am really glad to be citizen of Democratic republic of Golden.
fLyiNgDroNe
Profile Joined September 2005
Belgium4058 Posts
October 02 2017 10:20 GMT
#80
Looking forward to:
Neeb vs Zergs
Stats vs TY rematch (http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/IEM_Season_XI_-_World_Championship)
Polish Dark vs Real Dark
Serral vs Innovation rematch
Perfect groups!
Drone is a way of living
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