EPTWCS Predictor 2015 - Page 6
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SetGuitarsToKill
Canada28396 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
On December 27 2014 05:26 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: Lol at Ourk sitting at 49th, one spot ahead of Flash his aligulac rating is so good, maybe he'll qualify for WCS | ||
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SetGuitarsToKill
Canada28396 Posts
On December 27 2014 05:34 Die4Ever wrote: his aligulac rating is so good, maybe he'll qualify for WCS I mean, he has a good of a shot as any, just look at these players he's comparable too. Major - 1858 Targa - 1837 Ourk - 1834 Scarlett - 1806 Bunny - 1787 Also interesting to not, when you go to look at the overall list, his name doesn't appear anymore. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
On December 27 2014 05:43 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: I mean, he has a good of a shot as any, just look at these players he's comparable too. Major - 1858 Targa - 1837 Ourk - 1834 Scarlett - 1806 Bunny - 1787 Also interesting to not, when you go to look at the overall list, his name doesn't appear anymore. huh? I see him at #49 | ||
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SetGuitarsToKill
Canada28396 Posts
I'm seeing this, what do you see? + Show Spoiler + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/9skX8Q0.png?1) | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
oh I thought you were talking about WCS Predictor yea on Aligulac he doesn't show up on the current list cause his last match was oct 5th, lost to First in zotac | ||
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Yonnua
United Kingdom2331 Posts
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Dodgin
Canada39254 Posts
On December 27 2014 06:01 Yonnua wrote: How does herO already have a 90% chance to make Blizzcon? Surely that's whack? I think it assumes he will keep a certain level of performance throughout the entire year, otherwise making predictions this early is impossible. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
On December 27 2014 06:01 Yonnua wrote: How does herO already have a 90% chance to make Blizzcon? Surely that's whack? well he won IEM, already has 1325 WCS Points, his aligulac rating is 2188, he's in SSL and GSL which both give tons of points and give seedings into next season if he makes it far enough 90% is only 9 out of 10, it's not like a guarantee last year almost all of the WCS Partner champions made it to Blizzcon and some of the others were really close, and herO is still in SSL and GSL, even if he fails his next matches in those he still can do well in the next seasons and other tournaments On December 27 2014 06:10 Dodgin wrote: I think it assumes he will keep a certain level of performance throughout the entire year, otherwise making predictions this early is impossible. I wouldn't say it assumes, it just uses his aligulac rating to come up with his chances in future matches, but yea it doesn't try to predict hot streaks or slumps, although it predicts closer to 50/50 matches than aligulac does to give more of a chance for changing form, 50/50 is better for these long term predictions because of the chance of players changing in skill | ||
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KillerDucky
United States498 Posts
On December 27 2014 06:01 Yonnua wrote: How does herO already have a 90% chance to make Blizzcon? Surely that's whack? Wanna make a bet?  | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
what would the odds be if he doesn't believe it's 90%? 1:1 odds? lol | ||
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Yonnua
United Kingdom2331 Posts
On December 27 2014 08:52 Die4Ever wrote: what would the odds be if he doesn't believe it's 90%? 1:1 odds? lol Oh, I think he'll make it to Blizzcon (he's awesome), but I think it's odd that a player can have a 90% chance before 2015 even begins. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
The website was completely rewritten, check it out NEW WEBSITE! Here is the FAQ. Aside from the full redesign there are some new features. Here are the big ones. AFK Chances - This shows what their Blizzcon Chances are if you assume they earn no more points, this would be helpful in looking at the situations we saw with sOs and Jaedong last year for example. Everyone is currently at 0% AFK Chances because they all need more points in order to make it. Branched Simulations (coming soon) - This allows for the possibility of looking at really specific theoretical scenarios, read the FAQ on the website for more info about this. WCS Wars - WCS Wars is a fantasy league based on the median WCS points as determined by WCS Predictor. You currently start the game with 8,000 WCS Points to buy players with (this starting number will need to be adjusted depending on the season). Each player's cost = median_wcs_points + base_cost - (minimum_wcs_points / 2), where the base_cost is currently 200. Build a team of 5 players, hope that your players win to boost their Median WCS Points, and you can sell them to buy different players. Selling currently gives you 95% of their worth. Check the Leaderboard section at the bottom of the WCS Wars page! Graphs in the Biggest Winners/Losers sections, and WCS Points Cutoffs graphs. Tournaments in Upcoming section, with countdowns and stream links. Events tables have default filters for "simple" and "is-likely", with buttons to change filters easily, and you can still type custom filters. The "i" icon next to the events shows their keywords. You can also filter by < (less than) and > (greater than) percentages, every whole number percent from 0 to 100 works. Examples of filtering by percentages are: "B<10%" for events that result in Blizzcon Chances worse than 10%, or "P>20%" for events that have a probability over 20%. Also make sure to check the "More" dropdown on the top menu to see more pages, like the Tournaments page. Make sure you make your WCS Wars team! Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Full Player List ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
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iMrising
United States1099 Posts
i <3 you die4ever | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
IEM Taipei was added, replacing Placeholder #25. Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers from adding IEM Taipei (Sim ID #1143 vs Sim ID #1144) Biggest Winners   Maru went up by 12.05%, going from 61.32% to 73.37% INnoVation went up by 11.44%, going from 46.38% to 57.82%  San went up by 10.71%, going from 21.61% to 32.32% ForGG went up by 9.74%, going from 35.31% to 45.04%  Hydra went up by 6.61%, going from 16.55% to 23.16% Polt went up by 3.9%, going from 23.93% to 27.83% Kas went up by 0.87%, going from 2.84% to 3.71%Biggest Losers PartinG went down by 3.79%, going from 59.5% to 55.71% Dark went down by 3.5%, going from 50.01% to 46.5% MMA went down by 3.21%, going from 26.1% to 22.89% TY went down by 1.87%, going from 68.48% to 66.61% Solar went down by 1.59%, going from 33.34% to 31.75% Rogue went down by 1.52%, going from 57.68% to 56.16% Cure went down by 1.39%, going from 8.64% to 7.25%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Dream went down by 1.37%, going from 38.71% to 37.34% Super went down by 1.37%, going from 47.13% to 45.76% Bomber went down by 1.31%, going from 38.55% to 37.24% Terminator went down by 1.28%, going from 37.93% to 36.64% Stats went down by 1.23%, going from 31.9% to 30.66% YoDa went down by 1.16%, going from 20.99% to 19.83% FanTaSy went down by 1.15%, going from 27.46% to 26.31% Snute went down by 1.14%, going from 11.66% to 10.52% Soulkey went down by 1.13%, going from 19.31% to 18.18% Rain went down by 1.08%, going from 65.24% to 64.16% TaeJa went down by 1.07%, going from 47.66% to 46.6% Dear went down by 1.01%, going from 59.95% to 58.95% EnDerr went down by 0.99%, going from 2.25% to 1.26% GuMiho went down by 0.96%, going from 75.35% to 74.39% MarineKing went down by 0.88%, going from 14.36% to 13.48% sOs went down by 0.84%, going from 24.25% to 23.41% Happy went down by 0.81%, going from 9.85% to 9.05% Leenock went down by 0.77%, going from 13.76% to 12.99% Zest went down by 0.67%, going from 15.21% to 14.53% First went down by 0.66%, going from 21.32% to 20.66% Bbyong went down by 0.66%, going from 9.67% to 9.01% MajOr went down by 0.66%, going from 20.35% to 19.69% MaNa went down by 0.63%, going from 4.02% to 3.39% Dayshi went down by 0.53%, going from 2.25% to 1.72% Jaedong went down by 0.53%, going from 6.5% to 5.97% VortiX went down by 0.47%, going from 11.57% to 11.1% Flash went down by 0.42%, going from 5.71% to 5.29% viOLet went down by 0.41%, going from 9.93% to 9.52% soO went down by 0.39%, going from 4.74% to 4.34% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.39%, going from 7.6% to 7.2% MC went down by 0.39%, going from 7.3% to 6.92% Nerchio went down by 0.35%, going from 8.23% to 7.88% Lilbow went down by 0.35%, going from 9.08% to 8.73% Impact went down by 0.33%, going from 1.16% to 0.83% Scarlett went down by 0.33%, going from 7.49% to 7.16% Jim went down by 0.31%, going from 6.98% to 6.67% Sacsri went down by 0.3%, going from 3.8% to 3.49% Curious went down by 0.3%, going from 3.16% to 2.86% TargA went down by 0.29%, going from 6.05% to 5.75% Heart went down by 0.28%, going from 3.21% to 2.93% herO went down by 0.28%, going from 91.66% to 91.38% jjakji went down by 0.27%, going from 4.26% to 3.99%  Ourk went down by 0.27%, going from 6.26% to 5.99%WCS China Qualifiers Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ (this is with randomized player selection) Jim has a 28.12% chance to win----going from 6.67% to 17.9% if they get 1st, or 2.28% if they don't. Top has a 26.31% chance to win----going from 3.86% to 11.36% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. XiGua has a 24.63% chance to win----going from 1.93% to 6.27% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. XY has a 23.57% chance to win----going from 1.55% to 5.26% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. iAsonu has a 23.06% chance to win----going from 1.09% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + TooDming has a 22.63% chance to win----going from 0.94% to 3.38% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. MacSed has a 22.17% chance to win----going from 0.86% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Mystery has a 9.84% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. XluoS has a 9.18% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shana has a 8.79% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ein has a 8.04% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Mayuki has a 7.76% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Courage has a 7.56% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. 老北京五开哥 has a 5.14% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. xxxxxxxxxx has a 4.94% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Clavie has a 4.9% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. 迷茫听雨 has a 4.77% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Banquet has a 4.65% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. rikka has a 4.45% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. 费施迪 has a 4.45% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. F91 has a 4.4% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. zazu has a 4.38% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DouDou has a 4.35% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. forGG has a 4.32% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 城之内 has a 4.16% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Knight has a 4.12% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Homura has a 4.08% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Angrybird has a 4.04% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 安南秀 has a 4.03% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NucleaR has a 4.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. VeritaS has a 3.88% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Karl has a 3.85% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Szxy has a 3.82% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. BlueWater has a 3.62% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 庭哥 has a 3.61% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. QiYeeeeeee has a 3.55% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Random has a 3.55% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 妻妻菇凉 has a 3.42% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Andrew has a 3.41% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Cloudy has a 3.38% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. pylonLY has a 3.37% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SCgoodman has a 3.34% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Elenry has a 3.28% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gemini has a 3.24% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Manta has a 3.22% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. JoCeLyN has a 3.17% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Flower has a 3.11% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. wanted has a 3.11% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CarsickZerg has a 3.11% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 上海人形 has a 3.08% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. DyyS has a 3.08% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CaptainAM has a 2.97% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. MiCkey has a 2.96% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Coffee has a 2.96% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CharAznable has a 2.84% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ezrc has a 2.67% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. HunteR has a 2.56% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. YDForever has a 2.29% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NeverSteam has a 2.21% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sliky has a 2.21% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sakya has a 2.18% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Zycart has a 1.93% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Lanfeng has a 1.76% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. ZKO has a 1.28% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Rushcrazy has a 1.13% chance to win----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. IEM Taipei Winning Chances in ~ ForGG has a 22.14% chance to win----going from 45.04% to 52.99% if they get 1st, or 47.35% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 13.99% chance to win----going from 57.83% to 70.78% if they get 1st, or 55.72% if they don't. Maru has a 12.38% chance to win----going from 73.4% to 83.6% if they get 1st, or 71.96% if they don't. San has a 10.1% chance to win----going from 32.33% to 46.33% if they get 1st, or 30.75% if they don't. Hydra has a 8.5% chance to win----going from 23.16% to 31.27% if they get 1st, or 26.47% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Polt has a 7.51% chance to win----going from 27.84% to 37.01% if they get 1st, or 31.62% if they get 2nd. Kas has a 2.3% chance to win----going from 3.71% to 6.72% if they get 1st, or 3.64% if they don't. Rain has a 0.74% chance to win----going from 64.18% to 84.05% if they get 1st, or 64.04% if they don't. PartinG has a 0.72% chance to win----going from 55.72% to 76.16% if they get 1st, or 55.57% if they don't. herO has a 0.72% chance to win----going from 91.38% to 98.59% if they get 1st, or 91.32% if they don't. TaeJa has a 0.63% chance to win----going from 46.59% to 66.96% if they get 1st, or 46.46% if they don't. Life has a 0.58% chance to win----going from 71.46% to 87.14% if they get 1st, or 71.37% if they don't. GuMiho has a 0.46% chance to win----going from 74.37% to 89.92% if they get 1st, or 74.3% if they don't. TY has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 66.64% to 84.48% if they get 1st, or 66.56% if they don't. sOs has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 23.41% to 49.81% if they get 1st, or 23.29% if they don't. Dear has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 58.95% to 79.1% if they get 1st, or 58.86% if they don't. Solar has a 0.42% chance to win----going from 31.78% to 53.66% if they get 1st, or 31.68% if they don't. Rogue has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 56.16% to 77.6% if they get 1st, or 56.08% if they don't. Bomber has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 37.24% to 62.97% if they get 1st, or 37.14% if they don't. HyuN has a 0.33% chance to win----going from 6.3% to 17.44% if they get 1st, or 6.26% if they don't. MMA has a 0.33% chance to win----going from 22.9% to 44.12% if they get 1st, or 22.82% if they don't. Super has a 0.33% chance to win----going from 45.72% to 70.47% if they get 1st, or 45.64% if they don't. Dark has a 0.33% chance to win----going from 46.5% to 69.92% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they don't. Zest has a 0.32% chance to win----going from 14.52% to 32.32% if they get 1st, or 14.46% if they don't. VortiX has a 0.32% chance to win----going from 11.1% to 19.6% if they get 1st, or 11.07% if they don't. Stats has a 0.32% chance to win----going from 30.67% to 54.1% if they get 1st, or 30.6% if they don't. Cure has a 0.31% chance to win----going from 7.24% to 19.06% if they get 1st, or 7.21% if they don't. First has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 20.64% to 42.77% if they get 1st, or 20.58% if they don't. YoDa has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 19.83% to 41.2% if they get 1st, or 19.77% if they don't. Flash has a 0.28% chance to win----going from 5.3% to 14.91% if they get 1st, or 5.27% if they don't. Terminator has a 0.27% chance to win----going from 36.65% to 63.07% if they get 1st, or 36.57% if they don't. soO has a 0.26% chance to win----going from 4.33% to 12.56% if they get 1st, or 4.31% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.25% chance to win----going from 3.49% to 10.46% if they get 1st, or 3.47% if they don't. Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 92.76% Chances of 2+ foreigners 62.74% Chances of 3+ foreigners 23.71% Chances of 4+ foreigners 4.27% MajOr 3.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 19.69% chance overall. VortiX 1.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.1% chance overall. Snute 1.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.52% chance overall. Happy 1.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.05% chance overall. Lilbow 1.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.73% chance overall. MaSa 1.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.33% chance overall. Nerchio 1.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.88% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + Scarlett 1.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.16% chance overall. Jim 1.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.67% chance overall. Ourk 0.98% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.99% chance overall. TargA 0.96% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.75% chance overall. Bunny 0.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.46% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.84% chance overall. Top 0.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.85% chance overall. ShoWTimE 0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.66% chance overall. Kas 0.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.71% chance overall. MaNa 0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.39% chance overall. HuK 0.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.25% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.9% chance overall. Kane 0.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.68% chance overall. uThermal 0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.43% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.42% chance overall. Starbuck 0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.99% chance overall. XiGua 0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall. qxc 0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.89% chance overall. Hitman 0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.86% chance overall. Dayshi 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.72% chance overall. TLO 0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.56% chance overall. XY 0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. Welmu 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.46% chance overall. Stephano 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.43% chance overall. Harstem 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.43% chance overall.Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!+ Show Spoiler [Defense History] + Terminator won the #3 from TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1 sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at WCS Global Finals 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014 ----------------------- | ||
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LimeNade
United States2125 Posts
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felisconcolori
United States6168 Posts
On January 05 2015 09:48 LimeNade wrote: Flash not even on the list anymore and Jaedong in 48-49th This early in the year, I wouldn't worry too much. There's plenty of time for comebacks, if they can just qualify and get deep runs in. A lot can happen over the year. (That's also why I'm excited that MarineKing is even on the list, but not getting my hopes high enough to take three bases before planting a bunker or to defend banelings using two overstimmed marines and an SCV.) | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17588 Posts
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers since Dec 31st (Sim ID #1142 vs Sim ID #1146) Biggest Winners Maru went up by 18.68%, going from 54.66% to 73.34% INnoVation went up by 12.47%, going from 46.62% to 59.08% San went up by 10.35%, going from 21.92% to 32.26% ForGG went up by 9.6%, going from 35.39% to 44.99% Dark went up by 7.04%, going from 39.56% to 46.6% Hydra went up by 6.31%, going from 16.73% to 23.04% Polt went up by 3.61%, going from 24.15% to 27.76%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Terminator went up by 1.29%, going from 35.34% to 36.63% Kas went up by 1.24%, going from 2.81% to 4.05% Soulkey went up by 1.04%, going from 17.1% to 18.14% Zest went up by 0.94%, going from 15.48% to 16.42% Bunny went up by 0.24%, going from 5.64% to 5.88% HerO went up by 0.23%, going from 0.6% to 0.84% sLivko went up by 0.23%, going from 0.55% to 0.78% TooDming went up by 0.15%, going from 0.79% to 0.94% Sora went up by 0.13%, going from 2.53% to 2.66% GoOdy went up by 0.11%, going from 0.25% to 0.36% Trap went up by 0.1%, going from 1.28% to 1.38%Biggest Losers Dear went down by 5.12%, going from 64.09% to 58.97% MMA went down by 3.88%, going from 26.68% to 22.8% YoDa went down by 3.6%, going from 22.61% to 19.01% Leenock went down by 3.26%, going from 16.19% to 12.93% MyuNgSiK went down by 3.05%, going from 9.08% to 6.03% GuMiho went down by 2.56%, going from 76.91% to 74.35% TY went down by 2.34%, going from 68.87% to 66.53%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + PartinG went down by 2.33%, going from 58.05% to 55.72% Solar went down by 2.19%, going from 33.88% to 31.69% Rain went down by 2.17%, going from 66.35% to 64.18% First went down by 2.1%, going from 22.76% to 20.66% Bbyong went down by 2.06%, going from 10.55% to 8.49% TaeJa went down by 1.86%, going from 48.35% to 46.49% HyuN went down by 1.84%, going from 8.08% to 6.24% Bomber went down by 1.75%, going from 38.99% to 37.24% sOs went down by 1.51%, going from 24.86% to 23.35% Snute went down by 1.22%, going from 11.69% to 10.47% Super went down by 1.19%, going from 46.97% to 45.78% ByuL went down by 1.13%, going from 2.75% to 1.62% MC went down by 1.09%, going from 7.96% to 6.87% Hack went down by 1.08%, going from 3.51% to 2.43% Jaedong went down by 1.05%, going from 6.99% to 5.94% Flash went down by 1.05%, going from 5.81% to 4.75% EnDerr went down by 1.03%, going from 2.28% to 1.25% FanTaSy went down by 0.99%, going from 27.31% to 26.31% soO went down by 0.96%, going from 5.2% to 4.24% Dream went down by 0.81%, going from 38.13% to 37.32% Happy went down by 0.77%, going from 9.82% to 9.05% MajOr went down by 0.76%, going from 20.43% to 19.67% ShoWTimE went down by 0.75%, going from 4.39% to 3.64% Cure went down by 0.72%, going from 7.89% to 7.17% Classic went down by 0.7%, going from 16.27% to 15.56% MaNa went down by 0.65%, going from 4.03% to 3.38% DongRaeGu went down by 0.63%, going from 2.39% to 1.75% Stats went down by 0.61%, going from 33.21% to 32.6% Jim went down by 0.61%, going from 7.27% to 6.66% Life went down by 0.6%, going from 71.42% to 70.82% TargA went down by 0.56%, going from 6.12% to 5.57% Dayshi went down by 0.54%, going from 2.25% to 1.72% Rogue went down by 0.51%, going from 56.62% to 56.11% XiGua went down by 0.5%, going from 2.42% to 1.92% Losira went down by 0.49%, going from 2.84% to 2.35% viOLet went down by 0.49%, going from 9.96% to 9.47% VortiX went down by 0.47%, going from 11.56% to 11.09% jjakji went down by 0.41%, going from 4.38% to 3.97% Patience went down by 0.39%, going from 1.95% to 1.57% Lilbow went down by 0.39%, going from 9.1% to 8.71% Heart went down by 0.38%, going from 3.28% to 2.9% uThermal went down by 0.36%, going from 2.77% to 2.41% Scarlett went down by 0.35%, going from 7.51% to 7.16%WCS Qualifiers Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ (this is with randomized player selection) MajOr has a 32.73% chance to win----going from 19.67% to 42.33% if they get 1st, or 8.64% if they don't. Jim has a 28.1% chance to win----going from 6.66% to 17.89% if they get 1st, or 2.27% if they don't. Top has a 26.34% chance to win----going from 3.84% to 11.29% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. XiGua has a 24.63% chance to win----going from 1.92% to 6.22% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. XY has a 23.57% chance to win----going from 1.53% to 5.21% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + iAsonu has a 23.06% chance to win----going from 1.09% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.27% if they don't. Cham has a 22.83% chance to win----going from 0.25% to 0.91% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. TooDming has a 22.61% chance to win----going from 0.94% to 3.38% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't.  CatZ has a 22.12% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 0.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MacSed has a 22.11% chance to win----going from 0.85% to 3.13% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Polt has a 21.52% chance to win----going from 27.76% to 67.18% if they get 1st, or 16.95% if they don't. Hydra has a 21.17% chance to win----going from 23.04% to 59.63% if they get 1st, or 13.21% if they don't.  KiLLeR has a 20.74% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JimRising has a 20.44% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. viOLet has a 19.77% chance to win----going from 9.47% to 31.77% if they get 1st, or 3.98% if they don't. MaSa has a 19.66% chance to win----going from 8.32% to 29.57% if they get 1st, or 3.11% if they don't. Scarlett has a 19.41% chance to win----going from 7.16% to 25.98% if they get 1st, or 2.63% if they don't. Darkness has a 19.17% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LsEbA has a 18.89% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.  Kelazhur has a 18.79% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. OdiN has a 17.62% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kane has a 17.44% chance to win----going from 2.68% to 11.62% if they get 1st, or 0.79% if they don't. HuK has a 17.27% chance to win----going from 3.22% to 13.7% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't. Hitman has a 16.52% chance to win----going from 1.86% to 8.6% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. Jarppi has a 16.42% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. qxc has a 16.17% chance to win----going from 1.89% to 8.89% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. ForGG has a 15.01% chance to win----going from 44.99% to 90.54% if they get 1st, or 36.95% if they don't. puCK has a 14.64% chance to win----going from 0.65% to 3.57% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. Suppy has a 14.54% chance to win----going from 0.63% to 3.43% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. hendralisk has a 14.09% chance to win----going from 0.47% to 2.67% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Intense has a 13.99% chance to win----going from 0.48% to 2.78% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. VortiX has a 13.92% chance to win----going from 11.09% to 47.94% if they get 1st, or 5.13% if they don't. Bails has a 13.79% chance to win----going from 0.4% to 2.31% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Sheep has a 13.53% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snute has a 13.51% chance to win----going from 10.47% to 46.2% if they get 1st, or 4.89% if they don't. Illusion has a 13.43% chance to win----going from 0.15% to 1.02% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Happy has a 13.43% chance to win----going from 9.05% to 42.35% if they get 1st, or 3.89% if they don't. Nerchio has a 13.38% chance to win----going from 7.87% to 37.69% if they get 1st, or 3.27% if they don't. Lilbow has a 13.34% chance to win----going from 8.71% to 40.84% if they get 1st, or 3.76% if they don't. neeb has a 13.29% chance to win----going from 0.32% to 1.96% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Guitarcheese has a 13.1% chance to win----going from 0.25% to 1.58% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. State has a 12.89% chance to win----going from 0.25% to 1.57% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Ourk has a 12.88% chance to win----going from 5.98% to 30.92% if they get 1st, or 2.29% if they don't. TargA has a 12.88% chance to win----going from 5.57% to 29.06% if they get 1st, or 2.09% if they don't. Bunny has a 12.81% chance to win----going from 5.88% to 30.66% if they get 1st, or 2.24% if they don't. JonSnow has a 12.79% chance to win----going from 0.24% to 1.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Xenocider has a 12.78% chance to win----going from 0.24% to 1.51% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. XionS has a 12.69% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HeRoMaRinE has a 12.5% chance to win----going from 4.85% to 26.5% if they get 1st, or 1.75% if they don't. Minigun has a 12.36% chance to win----going from 0.19% to 1.25% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Astrea has a 12.23% chance to win----going from 0.16% to 1.04% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. ShoWTimE has a 12.11% chance to win----going from 3.64% to 20.91% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. MaNa has a 11.98% chance to win----going from 3.38% to 19.66% if they get 1st, or 1.16% if they don't.  Capoch has a 11.88% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Kas has a 11.88% chance to win----going from 4.06% to 23.15% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. AreS has a 11.86% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. GunGFuBanDa has a 11.79% chance to win----going from 2.9% to 17.4% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. NahuaL has a 11.66% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. goswser has a 11.6% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. uThermal has a 11.52% chance to win----going from 2.41% to 15.19% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. MarineLorD has a 11.51% chance to win----going from 2.43% to 15.3% if they get 1st, or 0.75% if they don't. Starbuck has a 11.5% chance to win----going from 1.98% to 12.67% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't. phog has a 11.36% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Bloody has a 11.31% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TLO has a 11.16% chance to win----going from 1.52% to 10.17% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. Stephano has a 11.15% chance to win----going from 1.43% to 9.67% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Jig has a 11.03% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Dayshi has a 11.03% chance to win----going from 1.72% to 11.59% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't. EnDerr has a 10.95% chance to win----going from 1.25% to 8.63% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. Harstem has a 10.93% chance to win----going from 1.39% to 9.52% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't. Welmu has a 10.86% chance to win----going from 1.44% to 9.9% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. Days has a 10.82% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Serral has a 10.65% chance to win----going from 0.98% to 7.01% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. scv has a 10.62% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Strelok has a 10.54% chance to win----going from 1.2% to 8.59% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't.  MorroW has a 10.51% chance to win----going from 1.08% to 7.82% if they get 1st, or 0.29% if they don't. TerraN has a 10.47% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. elfi has a 10.44% chance to win----going from 1.02% to 7.39% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. JonnyREcco has a 10.44% chance to win----going from 0.79% to 5.84% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. sLivko has a 10.44% chance to win----going from 0.78% to 5.8% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't. SortOf has a 10.41% chance to win----going from 0.84% to 6.2% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Kenshin has a 10.28% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Akroz has a 10.26% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. RasAlGhul has a 10.08% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ret has a 10.08% chance to win----going from 0.58% to 4.5% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. NarO has a 9.94% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Supremo has a 9.94% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. HasuObs has a 9.93% chance to win----going from 0.68% to 5.29% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Bly has a 9.92% chance to win----going from 0.48% to 3.83% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Zanster has a 9.85% chance to win----going from 0.51% to 4.06% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Mystery has a 9.85% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LiveZerg has a 9.82% chance to win----going from 0.46% to 3.68% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Grubby has a 9.8% chance to win----going from 0.61% to 4.8% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. CealeR has a 9.72% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Sjaak has a 9.63% chance to win----going from 0.51% to 4.16% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. MewTwo has a 9.55% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Elazer has a 9.51% chance to win----going from 0.36% to 2.99% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Dmega has a 9.49% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.  Blysk has a 9.47% chance to win----going from 0.45% to 3.76% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Revolver has a 9.46% chance to win----going from 0.34% to 2.87% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 92.78% Chances of 2+ foreigners 62.79% Chances of 3+ foreigners 23.78% Chances of 4+ foreigners 4.27% MajOr 3.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 19.67% chance overall. VortiX 1.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.09% chance overall. Snute 1.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.47% chance overall. Happy 1.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.05% chance overall. Lilbow 1.48% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.71% chance overall. MaSa 1.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.32% chance overall. Nerchio 1.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.87% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + Scarlett 1.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.16% chance overall. Jim 1.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.66% chance overall. Ourk 0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.98% chance overall. Bunny 0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.88% chance overall. TargA 0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.57% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.78% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.85% chance overall. Kas 0.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.05% chance overall. Top 0.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.84% chance overall. ShoWTimE 0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.64% chance overall. MaNa 0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.38% chance overall. HuK 0.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.22% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.9% chance overall. Kane 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.68% chance overall. uThermal 0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.41% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.43% chance overall. Starbuck 0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall. XiGua 0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.92% chance overall. qxc 0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.89% chance overall. Hitman 0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.86% chance overall. Dayshi 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.72% chance overall. TLO 0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.52% chance overall. XY 0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.53% chance overall. Welmu 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.45% chance overall. Stephano 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.43% chance overall. Harstem 0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.39% chance overall. EnDerr 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.25% chance overall.Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!+ Show Spoiler [Defense History] + Terminator won the #3 from TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1 sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at WCS Global Finals 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014 GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ Rain has a 8.93% chance to win----going from 64.18% to 99.63% if they get 1st, or 89.97% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 8.07% chance to win----going from 55.72% to 98.12% if they get 1st, or 83.53% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.39% chance to win----going from 91.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.86% if they get 2nd. TaeJa has a 6.94% chance to win----going from 46.49% to 94.67% if they get 1st, or 75.16% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 6.27% chance to win----going from 59.09% to 99.5% if they get 1st, or 89.4% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Life has a 5.47% chance to win----going from 70.82% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 92.42% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 4.84% chance to win----going from 74.35% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 95.56% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 4.79% chance to win----going from 73.34% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 95.23% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.5% chance to win----going from 58.97% to 99.06% if they get 1st, or 87.19% if they get 2nd. TY has a 4.48% chance to win----going from 66.53% to 99.68% if they get 1st, or 91.97% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 4.17% chance to win----going from 31.69% to 91.51% if they get 1st, or 64.26% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 3.82% chance to win----going from 56.11% to 98.98% if they get 1st, or 85.92% if they get 2nd. Bomber has a 3.67% chance to win----going from 37.24% to 98.12% if they get 1st, or 76.37% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.17% chance to win----going from 32.26% to 95.81% if they get 1st, or 70.68% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 3.05% chance to win----going from 22.8% to 88.5% if they get 1st, or 55.8% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 2.63% chance to win----going from 46.59% to 98.54% if they get 1st, or 82.03% if they get 2nd. First has a 2.56% chance to win----going from 20.66% to 91.09% if they get 1st, or 57.09% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.46% chance to win----going from 45.77% to 99.25% if they get 1st, or 84.27% if they get 2nd. YoDa has a 2.38% chance to win----going from 19.01% to 87.04% if they get 1st, or 52.41% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.79% chance to win----going from 37.33% to 97.94% if they get 1st, or 77.37% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 1.77% chance to win----going from 36.63% to 98.84% if they get 1st, or 78.93% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 1.67% chance to win----going from 18.14% to 93.52% if they get 1st, or 58.06% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 1.35% chance to win----going from 26.31% to 96.47% if they get 1st, or 67.85% if they get 2nd. MC has a 1.19% chance to win----going from 6.86% to 75.52% if they get 1st, or 30.86% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 0.8% chance to win----going from 13.48% to 97.77% if they get 1st, or 61.2% if they get 2nd. Curious has a 0.45% chance to win----going from 2.87% to 70.09% if they get 1st, or 2.56% if they don't. Heart has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 2.9% to 71.09% if they get 1st, or 2.64% if they don't. YongHwa has a 0.38% chance to win----going from 2.19% to 67.55% if they get 1st, or 1.94% if they don't. Hack has a 0.35% chance to win----going from 2.43% to 69.15% if they get 1st, or 2.19% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [GSL Match Previews] + MC, FanTaSy, PenguiN, and Rogue in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. MC is at 6.86% Blizzcon Chances.60.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.51%. 39.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.75%. PenguiN is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances.22.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. 77.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. FanTaSy is at 26.31% Blizzcon Chances.52.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.82%. 47.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.06%. Rogue is at 56.11% Blizzcon Chances.64.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.96%. 35.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.91%. YoDa, San, Soulkey, and MarineKing in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. YoDa is at 19.01% Blizzcon Chances.53.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.05%. 46.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.03%. Soulkey is at 18.14% Blizzcon Chances.49.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.93%. 50.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.55%. San is at 32.26% Blizzcon Chances.55.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.4%. 44.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.76%. MarineKing is at 13.48% Blizzcon Chances.41.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.53%. 58.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.71%. Panic, GuMiho, Rain, and Life in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Panic is at 0.32% Blizzcon Chances.19.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 80.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. Rain is at 64.18% Blizzcon Chances.68.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.53%. 31.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.05%. GuMiho is at 74.35% Blizzcon Chances.54.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 81.61%. 45.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.68%. Life is at 70.82% Blizzcon Chances.57.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 77.9%. 42.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.39%. Bomber, YongHwa, TY, and Dream in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Bomber is at 37.24% Blizzcon Chances.57.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.75%. 42.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.57%. TY is at 66.53% Blizzcon Chances.58.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.98%. 41.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.95%. YongHwa is at 2.19% Blizzcon Chances.34.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.46%. 65.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.97%. Dream is at 37.33% Blizzcon Chances.49.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.55%. 50.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.35%. Hack, Maru, First, and PartinG in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Hack is at 2.43% Blizzcon Chances.30.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.16%. 69.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.22%. First is at 20.66% Blizzcon Chances.49.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.3%. 50.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.25%. Maru is at 73.34% Blizzcon Chances.58.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.19%. 41.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 63.68%. PartinG is at 55.72% Blizzcon Chances.61.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.83%. 38.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.11%. TaeJa, Curious, herO, and Terminator in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. TaeJa is at 46.49% Blizzcon Chances.57.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 56.13%. 42.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.45%. herO is at 91.69% Blizzcon Chances.60.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.19%. 39.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 86.37%. Curious is at 2.87% Blizzcon Chances.33.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.81%. 66.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.4%. Terminator is at 36.63% Blizzcon Chances.48.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.44%. 51.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.25%. Dear, Dark, MMA, and Seed in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Dear is at 58.97% Blizzcon Chances.62.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.15%. 37.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.88%. MMA is at 22.8% Blizzcon Chances.54.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.41%. 45.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.58%. Dark is at 46.59% Blizzcon Chances.54.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.28%. 45.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.19%. Seed is at 0.62% Blizzcon Chances.27.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.54%. 72.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%. Heart, INnoVation, Super, and Solar in in GSL Code S Season 1 round of 32. Heart is at 2.9% Blizzcon Chances.34.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.67%. 65.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.44%. Super is at 45.77% Blizzcon Chances.46.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 56.66%. 53.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.16%. INnoVation is at 59.09% Blizzcon Chances.61.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.21%. 38.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.63%. Solar is at 31.69% Blizzcon Chances.57.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.09%. 42.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.48%. And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together. + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A MC has a 1.19% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 FanTaSy has a 1.35% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 PenguiN has a 0% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Rogue has a 3.82% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.36313 Group B MarineKing has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Soulkey has a 1.67% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 San has a 3.19% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 YoDa has a 2.37% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 8.02917 Group C Life has a 5.45% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Rain has a 8.93% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 GuMiho has a 4.84% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Panic has a 0% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.2202 Group D Bomber has a 3.68% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 YongHwa has a 0.38% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 TY has a 4.47% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Dream has a 1.78% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.3125 Group E PartinG has a 8.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 First has a 2.57% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Maru has a 4.79% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Hack has a 0.35% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.7636 Group F TaeJa has a 6.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Curious has a 0.46% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 herO has a 7.38% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Terminator has a 1.78% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.5759 Group G Seed has a 0% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 MMA has a 3.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Dark has a 2.62% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Dear has a 4.5% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.1846 Group H Heart has a 0.39% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 INnoVation has a 6.28% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Super has a 2.47% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Solar has a 4.17% chance to win GSL Code S Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.3103 Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores C > F > E > H > D > G > B > A + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A MC is at 6.85% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FanTaSy is at 26.3% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 PenguiN is at 0.04% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Rogue is at 56.12% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 89.312 Group B MarineKing is at 13.5% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Soulkey is at 18.15% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 San is at 32.26% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 YoDa is at 19.01% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 82.9278 Group C Life is at 70.83% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Rain is at 64.18% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 GuMiho is at 74.33% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Panic is at 0.31% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 209.647 Group D Bomber is at 37.24% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 YongHwa is at 2.2% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TY is at 66.5% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dream is at 37.3% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 143.232 Group E PartinG is at 55.7% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 First is at 20.66% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Maru is at 73.35% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Hack is at 2.42% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 152.127 Group F TaeJa is at 46.47% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Curious is at 2.87% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 herO is at 91.69% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Terminator is at 36.65% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 177.678 Group G Seed is at 0.62% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MMA is at 22.81% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dark is at 46.59% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Dear is at 58.98% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 128.993 Group H Heart is at 2.91% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 INnoVation is at 59.09% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Super is at 45.79% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Solar is at 31.74% chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 139.526 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores C > F > E > D > H > G > A > B + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A MC's Blizzcon chances changed by 1.1% FanTaSy's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.98% PenguiN's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.01% Rogue's Blizzcon chances changed by 1.64% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -3.71727 Group B MarineKing's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.14% Soulkey's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.03% San's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.25% YoDa's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.25% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.392 Group C Life's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.53% Rain's Blizzcon chances changed by 1.16% GuMiho's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.76% Panic's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.08% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.204067 Group D Bomber's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.21% YongHwa's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.11% TY's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.16% Dream's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.273 Group E PartinG's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.6% First's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.62% Maru's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.08% Hack's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.3% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.44377 Group F TaeJa's Blizzcon chances changed by -1.19% Curious's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.29% herO's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.26% Terminator's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.05% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.794 Group G Seed's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.05% MMA's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.15% Dark's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.32% Dear's Blizzcon chances changed by 1.01% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.43157 Group H Heart's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.17% INnoVation's Blizzcon chances changed by 0.04% Super's Blizzcon chances changed by -1.23% Solar's Blizzcon chances changed by -0.02% Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.37717 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores F > E > H > C > D > B > G > A + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When MC wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.63% When MC loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 4.09% When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.55% When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 8.28% When PenguiN wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 0.09% When PenguiN loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 0.03% When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 6.82% When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 12.17% Giving this match an Effects Score of 41.6672 Group B When MarineKing wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 8.02% When MarineKing loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 5.76% When Soulkey wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.78% When Soulkey loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 7.59% When San wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.17% When San loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 11.51% When YoDa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.04% When YoDa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 7.99% Giving this match an Effects Score of 64.852 Group C When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.11% When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.47% When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.35% When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 16.13% When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.27% When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 8.69% When Panic wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 0.73% When Panic loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 0.18% Giving this match an Effects Score of 56.9232 Group D When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.51% When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 12.66% When YongHwa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.28% When YongHwa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 1.22% When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.45% When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 10.57% When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.19% When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 8.95% Giving this match an Effects Score of 61.8276 Group E When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.09% When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 14.61% When First wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 8.63% When First loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 8.39% When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 6.84% When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.65% When Hack wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.74% When Hack loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 1.21% Giving this match an Effects Score of 61.1589 Group F When TaeJa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.65% When TaeJa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 13.02% When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.95% When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 1.48% When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 3.49% When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 5.31% When Terminator wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.86% When Terminator loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.42% Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.1676 Group G When Seed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 0.94% When Seed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 0.37% When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.61% When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.22% When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 8.67% When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 10.37% When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 7.17% When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 12.08% Giving this match an Effects Score of 56.4173 Group H When Heart wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 2.75% When Heart loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 1.46% When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 9.1% When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 14.4% When Super wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 10.86% When Super loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 9.6% When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by 8.4% When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by 11.22% Giving this match an Effects Score of 67.7902 Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores H > B > D > E > C > G > F > A + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A MC has an overall Aligulac rating of 1784 FanTaSy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1871 PenguiN has an overall Aligulac rating of 1391 Rogue has an overall Aligulac rating of 2071 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7117 Group B MarineKing has an overall Aligulac rating of 1806 Soulkey has an overall Aligulac rating of 1945 San has an overall Aligulac rating of 2022 YoDa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1989 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7762 Group C Life has an overall Aligulac rating of 2202 Rain has an overall Aligulac rating of 2214 GuMiho has an overall Aligulac rating of 2152 Panic has an overall Aligulac rating of 1508 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8076 Group D Bomber has an overall Aligulac rating of 2056 YongHwa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1669 TY has an overall Aligulac rating of 2109 Dream has an overall Aligulac rating of 1946 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7780 Group E PartinG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2213 First has an overall Aligulac rating of 1946 Maru has an overall Aligulac rating of 2127 Hack has an overall Aligulac rating of 1712 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7998 Group F TaeJa has an overall Aligulac rating of 2226 Curious has an overall Aligulac rating of 1740 herO has an overall Aligulac rating of 2204 Terminator has an overall Aligulac rating of 1908 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8078 Group G Seed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1552 MMA has an overall Aligulac rating of 2019 Dark has an overall Aligulac rating of 2022 Dear has an overall Aligulac rating of 2048 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7641 Group H Heart has an overall Aligulac rating of 1727 INnoVation has an overall Aligulac rating of 2189 Super has an overall Aligulac rating of 1952 Solar has an overall Aligulac rating of 2125 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7993 Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores F > C > E > H > D > B > G > A (only counting top 4s) Group A has no top 4s Group B has a 2nd place Group C has two 1st places, a 2nd place, and a 4th place Group D has a 3rd place, and a 4th place Group E has a 2nd place, three 3rd places, and a 4th place Group F has two 1st places, and two 2nd places Group G has no top 4s Group H has a 1st place, a 3rd place, and two 4th places Group F is our Group of Death! Congrats to TaeJa, Curious, herO, and Terminator! Group C is our 2nd place Group of Death with Life, Rain, GuMiho, and Panic! What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? Group B (MarineKing, Soulkey, Yoda, San) (128) Group C (Gumiho, Life, Rain, Panic) (128) Group E (Maru, Hack, First, Parting) (34) Group F (Taeja, herO, Terminator, Curious) (25) Group D (TY, Bomber, Dream, YongHwa) (17) Group H (Heart, Solar, Super, Innovation) (16) Group G (Dark, MMA, Seed, Dear) (14) Group A (MC, Penguin, Rogue, Fantasy) (10) 372 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A (MC, Penguin, Rogue, Fantasy) Also check out user pages (click on usernames in the WCS Wars leaderboard), and the multi-player graphs I added to the tournament/team/country/race/user pages for the top 10 players of the set. You can also make your own custom player sets using their player IDs. For example http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=pset&pids=3 15 36 1813 shows the players Life, MC, HyuN, and Bunny. Try making one of your favorite players and bookmarking it. ----------------------- | ||
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sharkie
Austria18311 Posts
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