EPThttp://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=1
WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 5
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KillerDucky
United States498 Posts
http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=1 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
On December 14 2014 08:14 KillerDucky wrote: Typo in your link, should be: http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=1 thanks | ||
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Cheren
United States2911 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
On December 15 2014 08:00 Cheren wrote: So sOs was at 95% multiple times after adding placeholders (mid April and early August) and didn't make it to Blizzcon. Were there any players below 5% at any time after adding placeholders who qualified? No, after that the lowest points were MMA at ~ 8.05 % around August 23rd, and Innovation at ~ 8.65 % around July 21st. Those were the only players who made it to Blizzcon that went below 10% after the addition of the placeholders. here are their pages with full graphs so you can see MMA http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=28&history_days=300 Innovation http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=48&history_days=300 Notice the history_days=300, you can add this to any player's page. Also sOs was the only player that didn't make it that went over 90% after the placeholders were added. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
And the players that went under 50% chances but did make it are
Reducing the time period to after June 30th we get
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers from the GSL Qualifiers. (Sim #1129) Biggest Winners   TY went up by ~ 20.05 %, going from ~ 32.2 % to ~ 52.26 %  PartinG went up by ~ 17.37 %, going from ~ 59.73 % to ~ 77.1 % Maru went up by ~ 15.71 %, going from ~ 34.73 % to ~ 50.45 % Bomber went up by ~ 15.19 %, going from ~ 25.64 % to ~ 40.83 % MarineKing went up by ~ 14.95 %, going from ~ 13.82 % to ~ 28.77 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + Rain went up by ~ 13.54 %, going from ~ 51.54 % to ~ 65.08 %  Soulkey went up by ~ 12.49 %, going from ~ 24.71 % to ~ 37.21 % Dear went up by ~ 12.14 %, going from ~ 31.81 % to ~ 43.95 % INnoVation went up by ~ 12.05 %, going from ~ 54.7 % to ~ 66.75 % Super went up by ~ 11.75 %, going from ~ 18.85 % to ~ 30.6 % Terminator went up by ~ 11.59 %, going from ~ 3.2 % to ~ 14.79 % San went up by ~ 11.37 %, going from ~ 29.08 % to ~ 40.45 % GuMiho went up by ~ 11.3 %, going from ~ 55.67 % to ~ 66.97 % Solar went up by ~ 9.62 %, going from ~ 46.75 % to ~ 56.37 % Life went up by ~ 9.33 %, going from ~ 46.77 % to ~ 56.1 % First went up by ~ 8.54 %, going from ~ 16.15 % to ~ 24.69 % Dream went up by ~ 8.25 %, going from ~ 5.09 % to ~ 13.34 % Dark went up by ~ 8.09 %, going from ~ 12.34 % to ~ 20.43 % herO went up by ~ 7.52 %, going from ~ 76.79 % to ~ 84.31 % YoDa went up by ~ 7.31 %, going from ~ 16.58 % to ~ 23.89 % Rogue went up by ~ 6.95 %, going from ~ 21.26 % to ~ 28.21 % TaeJa went up by ~ 6.06 %, going from ~ 66.04 % to ~ 72.1 % MMA went up by ~ 5.96 %, going from ~ 22.52 % to ~ 28.48 % FanTaSy went up by ~ 4.85 %, going from ~ 5.13 % to ~ 9.98 % YongHwa went up by ~ 3.87 %, going from ~ 4.39 % to ~ 8.26 % MC went up by ~ 3.87 %, going from ~ 3.49 % to ~ 7.36 % Hack went up by ~ 3.65 %, going from ~ 1.66 % to ~ 5.31 % Heart went up by ~ 3.56 %, going from ~ 1.8 % to ~ 5.36 % Curious went up by ~ 2.88 %, going from ~ 1.49 % to ~ 4.37 % Nerchio went up by ~ 1.03 %, going from ~ 6.62 % to ~ 7.64 % Seed went up by ~ 0.81 %, going from ~ 0.19 % to ~ 0.99 % ShoWTimE went up by ~ 0.7 %, going from ~ 4.3 % to ~ 5.01 % Dayshi went up by ~ 0.62 %, going from ~ 1.46 % to ~ 2.08 % Panic went up by ~ 0.58 %, going from ~ 0.06 % to ~ 0.65 % Happy went up by ~ 0.31 %, going from ~ 8.48 % to ~ 8.79 % PtitDrogo went up by ~ 0.11 %, going from ~ 0.24 % to ~ 0.35 %Biggest Losers sOs went down by ~ 21.28 %, going from ~ 46.92 % to ~ 25.64 % Zest went down by ~ 20.79 %, going from ~ 38.4 % to ~ 17.62 % Flash went down by ~ 16.72 %, going from ~ 41.65 % to ~ 24.93 % Stats went down by ~ 15.81 %, going from ~ 34.11 % to ~ 18.3 % Cure went down by ~ 12.79 %, going from ~ 32.42 % to ~ 19.62 %+ Show Spoiler [More] + Bbyong went down by ~ 11.53 %, going from ~ 32.16 % to ~ 20.63 % Classic went down by ~ 11.19 %, going from ~ 21.19 % to ~ 10.01 % HyuN went down by ~ 9.35 %, going from ~ 17.41 % to ~ 8.07 % Sacsri went down by ~ 9.32 %, going from ~ 13.99 % to ~ 4.67 % soO went down by ~ 8.69 %, going from ~ 13.72 % to ~ 5.02 % Jaedong went down by ~ 8.42 %, going from ~ 16.01 % to ~ 7.59 % Patience went down by ~ 6.63 %, going from ~ 11.69 % to ~ 5.06 % jjakji went down by ~ 6.39 %, going from ~ 11.42 % to ~ 5.03 % DongRaeGu went down by ~ 6.19 %, going from ~ 8.16 % to ~ 1.97 % Leenock went down by ~ 6.09 %, going from ~ 15.83 % to ~ 9.74 % MyuNgSiK went down by ~ 5.32 %, going from ~ 10.96 % to ~ 5.64 % Sora went down by ~ 5.05 %, going from ~ 7.75 % to ~ 2.7 % StarDust went down by ~ 4.84 %, going from ~ 8.01 % to ~ 3.16 % TRUE went down by ~ 4.49 %, going from ~ 6.48 % to ~ 1.99 % ByuL went down by ~ 4.34 %, going from ~ 14.68 % to ~ 10.33 % KingKong went down by ~ 4.24 %, going from ~ 6.84 % to ~ 2.6 % Trust went down by ~ 4.17 %, going from ~ 6.15 % to ~ 1.98 % Trap went down by ~ 4.08 %, going from ~ 5.42 % to ~ 1.35 % sKyHigh went down by ~ 4.04 %, going from ~ 7.13 % to ~ 3.09 % Losira went down by ~ 3.95 %, going from ~ 6.98 % to ~ 3.03 % Hurricane went down by ~ 3.46 %, going from ~ 4.95 % to ~ 1.49 % Pet went down by ~ 3.4 %, going from ~ 4.38 % to ~ 0.97 % Mvp went down by ~ 2.54 %, going from ~ 3.99 % to ~ 1.45 % Center went down by ~ 2.46 %, going from ~ 3.71 % to ~ 1.25 % Impact went down by ~ 2.45 %, going from ~ 3.33 % to ~ 0.88 % HerO went down by ~ 2.33 %, going from ~ 2.96 % to ~ 0.63 % Symbol went down by ~ 2.14 %, going from ~ 2.9 % to ~ 0.77 % Journey went down by ~ 2.13 %, going from ~ 3.02 % to ~ 0.89 % Scarlett went down by ~ 1.94 %, going from ~ 20.71 % to ~ 18.77 % ForGG went down by ~ 1.71 %, going from ~ 38.75 % to ~ 37.04 % Reality went down by ~ 1.7 %, going from ~ 2.33 % to ~ 0.63 % Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.67 %, going from ~ 2.09 % to ~ 0.42 % Lilbow went down by ~ 1.66 %, going from ~ 11.9 % to ~ 10.25 % Golden went down by ~ 1.65 %, going from ~ 2.44 % to ~ 0.79 % SuperNova went down by ~ 1.56 %, going from ~ 2.18 % to ~ 0.63 % Avenge went down by ~ 1.39 %, going from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 0.61 % Creator went down by ~ 1.34 %, going from ~ 1.79 % to ~ 0.45 % Revival went down by ~ 1.3 %, going from ~ 1.89 % to ~ 0.59 % RagnaroK went down by ~ 1.17 %, going from ~ 1.73 % to ~ 0.56 % Sorry went down by ~ 1.1 %, going from ~ 1.34 % to ~ 0.24 % Jim went down by ~ 1.06 %, going from ~ 12.33 % to ~ 11.27 % Polt went down by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 24.36 % to ~ 23.31 % EffOrt went down by ~ 1.05 %, going from ~ 1.5 % to ~ 0.45 % MajOr went down by ~ 0.99 %, going from ~ 21.2 % to ~ 20.21 % Snute went down by ~ 0.88 %, going from ~ 11.87 % to ~ 10.98 %SSL Season 1 Round of 32 Previews Day 1 and 2 Starts in + Show Spoiler [Soulkey, Rogue in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - Soulkey is at ~ 37.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 55.89 % of the time Soulkey wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 48.7 %.~ 44.11 % of the time Soulkey loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 22.64 %.------------------------------------------------- - Rogue is at ~ 28.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 44.11 % of the time Rogue wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 41.76 %.~ 55.89 % of the time Rogue loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.51 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Classic, Cure in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - Classic is at ~ 10.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 50.16 % of the time Classic wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 16.4 %.~ 49.84 % of the time Classic loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.56 %.------------------------------------------------- - Cure is at ~ 19.62 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 49.84 % of the time Cure wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 31.04 %.~ 50.16 % of the time Cure loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.28 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [TaeJa, Terminator in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - TaeJa is at ~ 72.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 68.07 % of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 81.32 %.~ 31.93 % of the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 52.44 %.------------------------------------------------- - Terminator is at ~ 14.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 31.93 % of the time Terminator wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.21 %.~ 68.07 % of the time Terminator loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.43 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Solar, Dream in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - Solar is at ~ 56.37 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 60.04 % of the time Solar wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 68.49 %.~ 39.96 % of the time Solar loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 38.17 %.------------------------------------------------- - Dream is at ~ 13.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 39.96 % of the time Dream wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 22.29 %.~ 60.04 % of the time Dream loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 7.39 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Life, Flash in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - Life is at ~ 56.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 53.45 % of the time Life wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 70.49 %.~ 46.55 % of the time Life loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 39.58 %.------------------------------------------------- - Flash is at ~ 24.93 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 46.55 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 40.07 %.~ 53.45 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 11.75 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [TY, Scarlett in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - TY is at ~ 52.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 57.84 % of the time TY wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 65.02 %.~ 42.16 % of the time TY loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 34.75 %.------------------------------------------------- - Scarlett is at ~ 18.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 42.16 % of the time Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 27.4 %.~ 57.84 % of the time Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 12.47 %.SSL Season 1 Round of 32 Previews Day 3, 4, and 5 + Show Spoiler [SSL Season 1 Round of 32 Previews Day…] + Starts in + Show Spoiler [GuMiho, sKyHigh in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - GuMiho is at ~ 66.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 69.53 % of the time GuMiho wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 75.83 %.~ 30.47 % of the time GuMiho loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 46.76 %.------------------------------------------------- - sKyHigh is at ~ 3.09 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 30.47 % of the time sKyHigh wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 7.49 %.~ 69.53 % of the time sKyHigh loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.16 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [INnoVation, Stats in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - INnoVation is at ~ 66.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 61.83 % of the time INnoVation wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 77.9 %.~ 38.17 % of the time INnoVation loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 48.7 %.------------------------------------------------- - Stats is at ~ 18.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 38.17 % of the time Stats wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 32.89 %.~ 61.83 % of the time Stats loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 9.3 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Dear, Patience in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - Dear is at ~ 43.95 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 55.42 % of the time Dear wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 56.53 %.~ 44.58 % of the time Dear loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 28.31 %.------------------------------------------------- - Patience is at ~ 5.06 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 44.58 % of the time Patience wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 9.31 %.~ 55.42 % of the time Patience loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.65 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Maru, Jim in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - Maru is at ~ 50.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 68.86 % of the time Maru wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 59.64 %.~ 31.14 % of the time Maru loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 30.12 %.------------------------------------------------- - Jim is at ~ 11.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 31.14 % of the time Jim wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.7 %.~ 68.86 % of the time Jim loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.36 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [PartinG, Dark in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - PartinG is at ~ 77.1 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 67.26 % of the time PartinG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 85.53 %.~ 32.74 % of the time PartinG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 59.79 %.------------------------------------------------- - Dark is at ~ 20.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 32.74 % of the time Dark wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.01 %.~ 67.26 % of the time Dark loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 13.34 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [San, MyuNgSiK in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - San is at ~ 40.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 55.06 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 52.69 %.~ 44.94 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 25.45 %.------------------------------------------------- - MyuNgSiK is at ~ 5.64 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 44.94 % of the time MyuNgSiK wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 10.26 %.~ 55.06 % of the time MyuNgSiK loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 1.87 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [ByuL, Super in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - ByuL is at ~ 10.33 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 50.61 % of the time ByuL wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 16.97 %.~ 49.39 % of the time ByuL loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.53 %.------------------------------------------------- - Super is at ~ 30.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 49.39 % of the time Super wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 42.56 %.~ 50.61 % of the time Super loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 18.93 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [herO, Bbyong in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - herO is at ~ 84.31 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 58.56 % of the time herO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 92.43 %.~ 41.44 % of the time herO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 72.84 %.------------------------------------------------- - Bbyong is at ~ 20.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 41.44 % of the time Bbyong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.19 %.~ 58.56 % of the time Bbyong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 10.33 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [Leenock, YongHwa in StarLeague Season 1] + StarLeague Season 1 - Leenock is at ~ 9.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 54.47 % of the time Leenock wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.2 %.~ 45.53 % of the time Leenock loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.21 %.------------------------------------------------- - YongHwa is at ~ 8.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 45.53 % of the time YongHwa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 13.4 %.~ 54.47 % of the time YongHwa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.97 %.Starts in + Show Spoiler [FanTaSy, MarineKing in StarLeague Seas…] + StarLeague Season 1 - FanTaSy is at ~ 9.98 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 50.19 % of the time FanTaSy wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 15.39 %.~ 49.81 % of the time FanTaSy loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 4.53 %.------------------------------------------------- - MarineKing is at ~ 28.77 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015~ 49.81 % of the time MarineKing wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 40.2 %.~ 50.19 % of the time MarineKing loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 17.43 %.SSL Season 1 Winning Chances TaeJa has a ~ 10.18 % chance to win----going from ~ 72.1 % to ~ 99.73 % if they get 1st, or ~ 96.28 % if they get 2nd. PartinG has a ~ 9.76 % chance to win----going from ~ 77.1 % to ~ 99.94 % if they get 1st, or ~ 98.04 % if they get 2nd. herO has a ~ 7.54 % chance to win----going from ~ 84.31 % to ~ 99.99 % if they get 1st, or ~ 99.84 % if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a ~ 7.02 % chance to win----going from ~ 66.97 % to ~ 99.87 % if they get 1st, or ~ 96.23 % if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a ~ 6.77 % chance to win----going from ~ 66.75 % to ~ 99.9 % if they get 1st, or ~ 96.64 % if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Solar has a ~ 5.51 % chance to win----going from ~ 56.37 % to ~ 99.42 % if they get 1st, or ~ 92.87 % if they get 2nd. Life has a ~ 5.29 % chance to win----going from ~ 56.1 % to ~ 99.48 % if they get 1st, or ~ 93.4 % if they get 2nd. Maru has a ~ 5.19 % chance to win----going from ~ 50.45 % to ~ 99.07 % if they get 1st, or ~ 89.67 % if they get 2nd. TY has a ~ 4.66 % chance to win----going from ~ 52.26 % to ~ 99.57 % if they get 1st, or ~ 92.64 % if they get 2nd. Flash has a ~ 3.79 % chance to win----going from ~ 24.93 % to ~ 94.86 % if they get 1st, or ~ 73.83 % if they get 2nd. Dear has a ~ 3.71 % chance to win----going from ~ 43.95 % to ~ 98.87 % if they get 1st, or ~ 88.37 % if they get 2nd. San has a ~ 3.22 % chance to win----going from ~ 40.45 % to ~ 98.7 % if they get 1st, or ~ 86.81 % if they get 2nd. Cure has a ~ 2.9 % chance to win----going from ~ 19.62 % to ~ 92.98 % if they get 1st, or ~ 67.17 % if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a ~ 2.34 % chance to win----going from ~ 20.63 % to ~ 97.18 % if they get 1st, or ~ 75.41 % if they get 2nd. Stats has a ~ 2.23 % chance to win----going from ~ 18.3 % to ~ 95.3 % if they get 1st, or ~ 70.56 % if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a ~ 2.14 % chance to win----going from ~ 37.21 % to ~ 99.52 % if they get 1st, or ~ 88.7 % if they get 2nd. Super has a ~ 1.96 % chance to win----going from ~ 30.6 % to ~ 98.64 % if they get 1st, or ~ 83.14 % if they get 2nd. Rogue has a ~ 1.89 % chance to win----going from ~ 28.21 % to ~ 97.97 % if they get 1st, or ~ 81.07 % if they get 2nd. ByuL has a ~ 1.7 % chance to win----going from ~ 10.33 % to ~ 87.38 % if they get 1st, or ~ 52.44 % if they get 2nd. Leenock has a ~ 1.62 % chance to win----going from ~ 9.74 % to ~ 86.23 % if they get 1st, or ~ 50.23 % if they get 2nd. Classic has a ~ 1.59 % chance to win----going from ~ 10.01 % to ~ 87.34 % if they get 1st, or ~ 51.87 % if they get 2nd. Scarlett has a ~ 1.34 % chance to win----going from ~ 18.77 % to ~ 88.64 % if they get 1st, or ~ 60.37 % if they get 2nd. Dark has a ~ 1.19 % chance to win----going from ~ 20.43 % to ~ 97.12 % if they get 1st, or ~ 76.39 % if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a ~ 1.11 % chance to win----going from ~ 28.77 % to ~ 99.79 % if they get 1st, or ~ 89.02 % if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a ~ 0.92 % chance to win----going from ~ 5.64 % to ~ 82.54 % if they get 1st, or ~ 42.3 % if they get 2nd. Patience has a ~ 0.9 % chance to win----going from ~ 5.06 % to ~ 81.52 % if they get 1st, or ~ 39.95 % if they get 2nd. Dream has a ~ 0.8 % chance to win----going from ~ 13.34 % to ~ 95.12 % if they get 1st, or ~ 66.54 % if they get 2nd. Terminator has a ~ 0.71 % chance to win----going from ~ 14.79 % to ~ 97.2 % if they get 1st, or ~ 72.02 % if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a ~ 0.71 % chance to win----going from ~ 9.98 % to ~ 92.35 % if they get 1st, or ~ 57.79 % if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a ~ 0.57 % chance to win----going from ~ 8.26 % to ~ 91.49 % if they get 1st, or ~ 54.26 % if they get 2nd. Jim has a ~ 0.42 % chance to win----going from ~ 11.27 % to ~ 84.24 % if they get 1st, or ~ 50.71 % if they get 2nd. sKyHigh has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win----going from ~ 3.09 % to ~ 92.35 % if they get 1st, or ~ 2.8 % if they don't. Foreigner Hope (keep in mind these are without some possible Korean tournaments being announced like KeSPA Cup) Chances of 1+ foreigners ~ 95.83 % Chances of 2+ foreigners ~ 73.44 % Chances of 3+ foreigners ~ 35.09 % Chances of 4+ foreigners ~ 8.82 % MajOr ~ 2.39 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 20.21 % chance overall. Scarlett ~ 1.89 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 18.77 % chance overall. VortiX ~ 1.17 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 10.47 % chance overall. Snute ~ 1.16 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 10.98 % chance overall. Lilbow ~ 1.15 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 10.25 % chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More] + Jim ~ 1.08 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 11.27 % chance overall. Happy ~ 0.96 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 8.79 % chance overall. MaSa ~ 0.87 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 8.38 % chance overall. Nerchio ~ 0.83 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 7.64 % chance overall. Bunny ~ 0.72 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.74 % chance overall. Ourk ~ 0.71 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.68 % chance overall. TargA ~ 0.66 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 6.19 % chance overall. HeRoMaRinE ~ 0.56 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 5.29 % chance overall. ShoWTimE ~ 0.52 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 5.01 % chance overall. MaNa ~ 0.45 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 4.33 % chance overall. HuK ~ 0.38 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.94 % chance overall. Kas ~ 0.35 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.45 % chance overall. Top ~ 0.34 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.5 % chance overall. GunGFuBanDa ~ 0.32 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.19 % chance overall. uThermal ~ 0.32 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.18 % chance overall. Kane ~ 0.3 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 3.11 % chance overall. MarineLorD ~ 0.28 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.69 % chance overall. EnDerr ~ 0.25 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.48 % chance overall. XiGua ~ 0.23 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.32 % chance overall. Dayshi ~ 0.21 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.08 % chance overall. Starbuck ~ 0.2 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.04 % chance overall. qxc ~ 0.19 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.95 % chance overall. TLO ~ 0.18 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.77 % chance overall. Stephano ~ 0.16 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.63 % chance overall. Welmu ~ 0.16 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.65 % chance overall. XY ~ 0.15 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.51 % chance overall. iAsonu ~ 0.15 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 1.47 % chance overall. Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! TaeJa is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Defense History] + sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at Blizzcon 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at Blizzcon 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at Blizzcon 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at Blizzcon 2014 ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 1 Day 2 Chances During This Tournament (Sim #1130 to #1131) + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 22.2%, going from 28.2% to 50.4% Terminator went up by 11.22%, going from 14.8% to 26.02% Classic went up by 7.23%, going from 9.99% to 17.23% VortiX went up by 1.46%, going from 10.44% to 11.9% YoDa went up by 1.34%, going from 23.86% to 25.21% Solar went up by 0.94%, going from 56.4% to 57.35% jjakji went up by 0.74%, going from 5.03% to 5.77%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Nerchio went up by 0.62%, going from 7.64% to 8.25% Sacsri went up by 0.59%, going from 4.69% to 5.28% Dark went up by 0.54%, going from 20.44% to 20.98% Dear went up by 0.48%, going from 43.96% to 44.44% MarineKing went up by 0.46%, going from 28.77% to 29.22% Dream went up by 0.45%, going from 13.34% to 13.8% Super went up by 0.45%, going from 30.6% to 31.05% Flash went up by 0.44%, going from 24.92% to 25.37% Maru went up by 0.44%, going from 50.45% to 50.89% Scarlett went up by 0.42%, going from 18.76% to 19.18% Stats went up by 0.41%, going from 18.3% to 18.71% GuMiho went up by 0.4%, going from 66.99% to 67.39% ByuL went up by 0.4%, going from 10.33% to 10.73% Life went up by 0.37%, going from 56.07% to 56.44% Bbyong went up by 0.36%, going from 20.66% to 21.02% Leenock went up by 0.35%, going from 9.73% to 10.09% TY went up by 0.35%, going from 52.25% to 52.6% Jaedong went up by 0.34%, going from 7.59% to 7.93% INnoVation went up by 0.33%, going from 66.74% to 67.07% Dayshi went up by 0.31%, going from 2.07% to 2.38% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.27%, going from 5.64% to 5.91% Patience went up by 0.2%, going from 5.06% to 5.26% San went up by 0.17%, going from 40.47% to 40.63% Jim went up by 0.15%, going from 11.27% to 11.42% SuperNova went up by 0.11%, going from 0.63% to 0.74%Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 19.73%, going from 72.12% to 52.38% Soulkey went down by 18.85%, going from 37.21% to 18.36% Cure went down by 11.41%, going from 19.61% to 8.21% PartinG went down by 1.95%, going from 77.08% to 75.13% Lilbow went down by 0.82%, going from 10.26% to 9.43% Polt went down by 0.24%, going from 23.29% to 23.05% ForGG went down by 0.22%, going from 37.05% to 36.83%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Dream vs Solar in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Dream is at 13.8% Blizzcon Chances.39.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.41%. 60.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.4%. Solar is at 57.35% Blizzcon Chances.60.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.83%. 39.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.6%. Life vs Flash in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Life is at 56.44% Blizzcon Chances.53.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.14%. 46.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.59%. Flash is at 25.37% Blizzcon Chances.46.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.94%. 53.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.78%. Scarlett vs TY in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Scarlett is at 19.19% Blizzcon Chances.42.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.44%. 57.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.44%. TY is at 52.6% Blizzcon Chances.57.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.75%. 42.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.6%. StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ PartinG has a 9.73% chance to win----going from 75.12% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 97.76% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.96% chance to win----going from 84.33% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.83% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 7.79% chance to win----going from 67.39% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 96.23% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 7.42% chance to win----going from 67.07% to 99.89% if they get 1st, or 96.62% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 6.36% chance to win----going from 57.34% to 99.44% if they get 1st, or 92.89% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Rogue has a 6.01% chance to win----going from 50.4% to 98.52% if they get 1st, or 85.25% if they get 2nd. Life has a 5.8% chance to win----going from 56.44% to 99.47% if they get 1st, or 93.43% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.63% chance to win----going from 50.89% to 99.06% if they get 1st, or 89.59% if they get 2nd. TY has a 5.07% chance to win----going from 52.6% to 99.56% if they get 1st, or 92.65% if they get 2nd. Flash has a 4.1% chance to win----going from 25.37% to 94.69% if they get 1st, or 73.7% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.1% chance to win----going from 44.44% to 98.91% if they get 1st, or 88.18% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.64% chance to win----going from 17.22% to 87.19% if they get 1st, or 51.62% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.52% chance to win----going from 40.63% to 98.7% if they get 1st, or 86.66% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.68% chance to win----going from 21.01% to 97.19% if they get 1st, or 74.78% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 2.62% chance to win----going from 18.71% to 95.08% if they get 1st, or 70.4% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.17% chance to win----going from 31.05% to 98.66% if they get 1st, or 83.2% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.13% chance to win----going from 26.02% to 97.22% if they get 1st, or 72.32% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.87% chance to win----going from 10.73% to 87.56% if they get 1st, or 52.28% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.79% chance to win----going from 10.09% to 86.63% if they get 1st, or 50.67% if they get 2nd. Scarlett has a 1.57% chance to win----going from 19.19% to 88.91% if they get 1st, or 60.71% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 1.35% chance to win----going from 20.98% to 97.18% if they get 1st, or 76.77% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.33% chance to win----going from 29.22% to 99.81% if they get 1st, or 88.86% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 1.06% chance to win----going from 5.91% to 82.86% if they get 1st, or 42.43% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 1.02% chance to win----going from 5.26% to 81.61% if they get 1st, or 39.91% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 1.01% chance to win----going from 13.8% to 94.92% if they get 1st, or 66.2% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 0.77% chance to win----going from 10.04% to 92.53% if they get 1st, or 57.45% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.6% chance to win----going from 8.25% to 91.38% if they get 1st, or 54.34% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 0.52% chance to win----going from 11.42% to 84.45% if they get 1st, or 50.43% if they get 2nd. sKyHigh has a 0.37% chance to win----going from 3.14% to 92.66% if they get 1st, or 2.82% if they don't. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers from SSL Season 1 Challenge Day 1 and 2. (Sim #1130) Biggest Winners Dream went up by 26.3%, going from 13.34% to 39.65% Terminator went up by 21.34%, going from 14.8% to 36.13% Rogue went up by 20.56%, going from 28.2% to 48.76% TY went up by 17.77%, going from 52.25% to 70.02% Life went up by 17.57%, going from 56.07% to 73.65% Classic went up by 7.36%, going from 9.99% to 17.35% First went up by 4.2%, going from 24.69% to 28.89%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + GuMiho went up by 3.4%, going from 66.99% to 70.39% VortiX went up by 1.37%, going from 10.44% to 11.81% Snute went up by 0.95%, going from 10.99% to 11.93% MarineKing went up by 0.78%, going from 28.77% to 29.54% Nerchio went up by 0.54%, going from 7.64% to 8.18% PartinG went up by 0.53%, going from 77.08% to 77.6% Sacsri went up by 0.32%, going from 4.69% to 5.01% Dayshi went up by 0.28%, going from 2.07% to 2.35% Harstem went up by 0.19%, going from 1.09% to 1.28% XiGua went up by 0.17%, going from 2.31% to 2.48% SuperNova went up by 0.15%, going from 0.63% to 0.78% Revolver went up by 0.12%, going from 0.18% to 0.3%Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 22.77%, going from 72.12% to 49.35% Solar went down by 20.11%, going from 56.4% to 36.3% Soulkey went down by 19.91%, going from 37.21% to 17.3% Flash went down by 17.28%, going from 24.92% to 7.65% Cure went down by 11.91%, going from 19.61% to 7.7% Scarlett went down by 7.67%, going from 18.76% to 11.09% Rain went down by 1.2%, going from 65.08% to 63.89%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Dark went down by 1.13%, going from 20.44% to 19.32% INnoVation went down by 1.13%, going from 66.74% to 65.62% Bomber went down by 1.11%, going from 40.82% to 39.71% Lilbow went down by 0.94%, going from 10.26% to 9.32% MMA went down by 0.92%, going from 28.5% to 27.58% San went down by 0.75%, going from 40.47% to 39.72% Maru went down by 0.69%, going from 50.45% to 49.76% FanTaSy went down by 0.68%, going from 9.99% to 9.31% herO went down by 0.65%, going from 84.31% to 83.66% ForGG went down by 0.6%, going from 37.05% to 36.45% Super went down by 0.56%, going from 30.6% to 30.04% Bly went down by 0.54%, going from 0.81% to 0.27% Heart went down by 0.54%, going from 5.37% to 4.83% Polt went down by 0.53%, going from 23.29% to 22.76% YongHwa went down by 0.48%, going from 8.26% to 7.78% Bbyong went down by 0.48%, going from 20.66% to 20.18% ShoWTimE went down by 0.44%, going from 4.99% to 4.55% MC went down by 0.44%, going from 7.35% to 6.91% sOs went down by 0.43%, going from 25.64% to 25.21% Jaedong went down by 0.42%, going from 7.59% to 7.17% YoDa went down by 0.41%, going from 23.86% to 23.45% ByuL went down by 0.39%, going from 10.33% to 9.94% HyuN went down by 0.36%, going from 8.08% to 7.72% Dear went down by 0.36%, going from 43.96% to 43.6% Zest went down by 0.34%, going from 17.63% to 17.29% Hack went down by 0.33%, going from 5.31% to 4.98% Curious went down by 0.33%, going from 4.37% to 4.04% Leenock went down by 0.33%, going from 9.73% to 9.41% soO went down by 0.26%, going from 5.01% to 4.74% HuK went down by 0.24%, going from 3.93% to 3.7% KingKong went down by 0.22%, going from 2.61% to 2.39% sKyHigh went down by 0.21%, going from 3.07% to 2.86% Losira went down by 0.2%, going from 3.02% to 2.82% MyuNgSiK went down by 0.2%, going from 5.64% to 5.44% Stats went down by 0.19%, going from 18.3% to 18.11% MajOr went down by 0.19%, going from 20.2% to 20.01% TLO went down by 0.18%, going from 1.77% to 1.59% Hydra went down by 0.18%, going from 10.82% to 10.64% viOLet went down by 0.18%, going from 12.08% to 11.9% Hurricane went down by 0.17%, going from 1.49% to 1.32% Elazer went down by 0.16%, going from 0.73% to 0.56%  Ourk went down by 0.16%, going from 6.68% to 6.51% Happy went down by 0.16%, going from 8.8% to 8.64%SSL Season 1 Round of 32 Previews Day 3, 4, and 5 INnoVation vs Stats in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. INnoVation is at 65.63% Blizzcon Chances.61.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.95%. 38.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.3%. Stats is at 18.12% Blizzcon Chances.38.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.06%. 61.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.88%. Dear vs Patience in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Dear is at 43.6% Blizzcon Chances.55.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 56.52%. 44.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.49%. Patience is at 5.02% Blizzcon Chances.44.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.34%. 55.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.56%. Maru vs Jim in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Maru is at 49.78% Blizzcon Chances.68.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.11%. 31.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.13%. Jim is at 11.26% Blizzcon Chances.31.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.84%. 68.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.28%. + Show Spoiler [More Upcoming Matches] + PartinG vs Dark in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. PartinG is at 77.59% Blizzcon Chances.67.96% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 85.96%. 32.04% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.85%. Dark is at 19.31% Blizzcon Chances.32.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.65%. 67.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.56%. MyuNgSiK vs San in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. MyuNgSiK is at 5.44% Blizzcon Chances.44.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.99%. 55.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.75%. San is at 39.72% Blizzcon Chances.55.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.98%. 44.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.63%. ByuL vs Super in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. ByuL is at 9.94% Blizzcon Chances.50.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.41%. 49.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.31%. Super is at 30.05% Blizzcon Chances.49.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.18%. 50.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.23%. Bbyong vs herO in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Bbyong is at 20.17% Blizzcon Chances.41.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.72%. 58.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.86%. herO is at 83.66% Blizzcon Chances.58.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 91.99%. 41.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 71.88%. Leenock vs YongHwa in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Leenock is at 9.41% Blizzcon Chances.54.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.74%. 45.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.01%. YongHwa is at 7.79% Blizzcon Chances.45.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.69%. 54.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.7%. MarineKing vs FanTaSy in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. MarineKing is at 29.54% Blizzcon Chances.50.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.89%. 49.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.97%. FanTaSy is at 9.31% Blizzcon Chances.49.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.54%. 50.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.18%. SSL Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 11.39% chance to win----going from 73.65% to 99.54% if they get 1st, or 94.19% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 10.48% chance to win----going from 77.59% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 98.05% if they get 2nd. TY has a 9.93% chance to win----going from 70.03% to 99.63% if they get 1st, or 93.9% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 8.39% chance to win----going from 70.39% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 96.74% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.53% chance to win----going from 83.66% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.81% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + INnoVation has a 6.8% chance to win----going from 65.63% to 99.87% if they get 1st, or 96.39% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.47% chance to win----going from 48.77% to 98.37% if they get 1st, or 84.43% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.27% chance to win----going from 49.78% to 98.99% if they get 1st, or 89.24% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.32% chance to win----going from 39.65% to 97.59% if they get 1st, or 79.09% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 3.91% chance to win----going from 43.6% to 98.88% if they get 1st, or 87.99% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.58% chance to win----going from 17.35% to 87.1% if they get 1st, or 52.15% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.28% chance to win----going from 39.72% to 98.59% if they get 1st, or 86.3% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 3.09% chance to win----going from 36.13% to 98.27% if they get 1st, or 79.86% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 2.46% chance to win----going from 18.12% to 94.76% if they get 1st, or 69.67% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.43% chance to win----going from 20.17% to 96.89% if they get 1st, or 73.77% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.07% chance to win----going from 30.05% to 98.59% if they get 1st, or 82.56% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.68% chance to win----going from 9.94% to 86.4% if they get 1st, or 50.78% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.6% chance to win----going from 9.41% to 85.81% if they get 1st, or 49.2% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.26% chance to win----going from 29.54% to 99.8% if they get 1st, or 88.86% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 1.13% chance to win----going from 19.31% to 96.82% if they get 1st, or 74.89% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 0.96% chance to win----going from 5.02% to 80.6% if they get 1st, or 39.16% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 0.95% chance to win----going from 5.44% to 82.07% if they get 1st, or 41.34% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 0.68% chance to win----going from 9.31% to 92.2% if they get 1st, or 56.54% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.56% chance to win----going from 7.79% to 90.82% if they get 1st, or 52.97% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 0.47% chance to win----going from 11.26% to 84.14% if they get 1st, or 49.98% if they get 2nd. sKyHigh has a 0.31% chance to win----going from 2.86% to 92.35% if they get 1st, or 2.58% if they don't. Foreigner Hope (keep in mind these are without some possible Korean tournaments being announced like KeSPA Cup) Chances of 1+ foreigners 95.2% Chances of 2+ foreigners 70.75% Chances of 3+ foreigners 31.42% Chances of 4+ foreigners 6.99% MajOr 2.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 20.01% chance overall. VortiX 1.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.81% chance overall. Snute 1.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.93% chance overall. Scarlett 1.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.09% chance overall. Jim 1.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.25% chance overall. Lilbow 1.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.32% chance overall. Happy 1.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.64% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + Nerchio 1.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.18% chance overall. MaSa 0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.27% chance overall. Bunny 0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.57% chance overall. Ourk 0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.51% chance overall. TargA 0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.2% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.62% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.19% chance overall. ShoWTimE 0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.55% chance overall. MaNa 0.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.24% chance overall. HuK 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.7% chance overall. Kas 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.39% chance overall. Top 0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.44% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.14% chance overall. uThermal 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.07% chance overall. Kane 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.99% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.56% chance overall. EnDerr 0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.4% chance overall. XiGua 0.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.48% chance overall. Dayshi 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.35% chance overall. Starbuck 0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.99% chance overall. qxc 0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.92% chance overall. Welmu 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. Stephano 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.61% chance overall. TLO 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.59% chance overall. iAsonu 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.44% chance overall. XY 0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.49% chance overall.Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!+ Show Spoiler [Defense History] + Terminator won the #3 from TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1 sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at WCS Global Finals 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014 ----------------------- | ||
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SetGuitarsToKill
Canada28396 Posts
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Skynx
Turkey7150 Posts
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The_Templar
your Country52796 Posts
On December 19 2014 07:45 Skynx wrote: Is it only me or anyone else feels weird seeing D4E post without archon icon? He's going to have a carrier soon  | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
On December 19 2014 07:34 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: Might wanna take Vortix off your list dude. You mean like Taeja and Stephano and Choya? Lol. His chances will fade over time, especially if he doesn't qualify for WCS Season 1. But he still has a chance even though he said he's taking a break, there's always the chance he changes his mind. Even the post from Millenium says "He is however leaving the door open to a comeback in a few months if the passion comes back.", so even if he takes a break for a few months, he could theoretically kick ass in Seasons 2 and 3 and make it to Blizzcon. I could just subtract 100 or 200 points from his Aligulac rating but that seems awfully subjective so I don't really like that. I could assume that he won't participate in the WCS Season 1 qualifiers, that wouldn't really be subjective it's just going off of what Millenium said so I kinda like that idea. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
On December 19 2014 07:45 Skynx wrote: Is it only me or anyone else feels weird seeing D4E post without archon icon? I'm still getting used to the Arbiter lol Now that I can get used to! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 1 Day 3 Chances During This Tournament (Sim #1130 to #1136) + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + Biggest Winners Dream went up by 26.09%, going from 13.34% to 39.43% Terminator went up by 21.35%, going from 14.8% to 36.15% Rogue went up by 20.34%, going from 28.2% to 48.55% Life went up by 17.13%, going from 56.07% to 73.2% TY went up by 15.79%, going from 52.25% to 68.04% Classic went up by 7.32%, going from 9.99% to 17.32% GuMiho went up by 5.54%, going from 66.99% to 72.53%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + FanTaSy went up by 4.76%, going from 9.99% to 14.75% Hydra went up by 3.53%, going from 10.82% to 14.35% PartinG went up by 2.89%, going from 77.08% to 79.96% Dear went up by 2.52%, going from 43.96% to 46.48% First went up by 1.81%, going from 24.69% to 26.5% Hitman went up by 1.68%, going from 0.4% to 2.08% Patience went up by 1.57%, going from 5.06% to 6.63% VortiX went up by 1.29%, going from 10.44% to 11.73% Maru went up by 1.12%, going from 50.45% to 51.57% Snute went up by 0.88%, going from 10.99% to 11.87% Nerchio went up by 0.72%, going from 7.64% to 8.35% Hurricane went up by 0.63%, going from 1.49% to 2.12% Happy went up by 0.43%, going from 8.8% to 9.23% SuperNova went up by 0.36%, going from 0.63% to 0.99% sOs went up by 0.3%, going from 25.64% to 25.94% Dayshi went up by 0.29%, going from 2.07% to 2.36% souL went up by 0.28%, going from 0.01% to 0.29% Xenocider went up by 0.26%, going from 0.01% to 0.26% Strelok went up by 0.25%, going from 1.1% to 1.35% XiGua went up by 0.21%, going from 2.31% to 2.52% Armani went up by 0.19%, going from 0.17% to 0.36% Starbuck went up by 0.18%, going from 2.05% to 2.22% Revival went up by 0.18%, going from 0.59% to 0.76% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.14%, going from 5.64% to 5.78% Complain went up by 0.12%, going from 0.09% to 0.21% Rain went up by 0.12%, going from 65.08% to 65.2% eMotion went up by 0.11%, going from 0.29% to 0.4% qxc went up by 0.1%, going from 1.95% to 2.05%Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 22.85%, going from 72.12% to 49.27% Solar went down by 21.45%, going from 56.4% to 34.95% Soulkey went down by 19.93%, going from 37.21% to 17.28% Flash went down by 17.31%, going from 24.92% to 7.62% Cure went down by 12.01%, going from 19.61% to 7.61% Scarlett went down by 10.46%, going from 18.76% to 8.31% viOLet went down by 2.22%, going from 12.08% to 9.86%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + YoDa went down by 2.2%, going from 23.86% to 21.66% MMA went down by 2.03%, going from 28.5% to 26.47% Jim went down by 1.86%, going from 11.27% to 9.41% Bomber went down by 1.8%, going from 40.82% to 39.02% ByuL went down by 1.72%, going from 10.33% to 8.62% ForGG went down by 1.68%, going from 37.05% to 35.36% Lilbow went down by 1.44%, going from 10.26% to 8.82% INnoVation went down by 1.37%, going from 66.74% to 65.38% Dark went down by 1.36%, going from 20.44% to 19.08% Zest went down by 1.23%, going from 17.63% to 16.4% herO went down by 1.2%, going from 84.31% to 83.11% Sacsri went down by 1.16%, going from 4.69% to 3.54% Heart went down by 1.1%, going from 5.37% to 4.28% Curious went down by 1.08%, going from 4.37% to 3.29% YongHwa went down by 1.04%, going from 8.26% to 7.22% Bunny went down by 0.93%, going from 6.73% to 5.8% KingKong went down by 0.92%, going from 2.61% to 1.68% jjakji went down by 0.58%, going from 5.03% to 4.45% MC went down by 0.57%, going from 7.35% to 6.77% ShoWTimE went down by 0.57%, going from 4.99% to 4.42% Jaedong went down by 0.54%, going from 7.59% to 7.05% HuK went down by 0.5%, going from 3.93% to 3.44% MajOr went down by 0.39%, going from 20.2% to 19.81% uThermal went down by 0.38%, going from 3.18% to 2.8% Hack went down by 0.37%, going from 5.31% to 4.94% Super went down by 0.32%, going from 30.6% to 30.28% Losira went down by 0.31%, going from 3.02% to 2.71% sKyHigh went down by 0.29%, going from 3.07% to 2.78% soO went down by 0.29%, going from 5.01% to 4.72% MarineKing went down by 0.27%, going from 28.77% to 28.49% Elazer went down by 0.26%, going from 0.73% to 0.46% hendralisk went down by 0.25%, going from 0.78% to 0.53% Bly went down by 0.25%, going from 0.81% to 0.57% Bbyong went down by 0.23%, going from 20.66% to 20.42% Kane went down by 0.23%, going from 3.12% to 2.89% TLO went down by 0.2%, going from 1.77% to 1.57% sLivko went down by 0.2%, going from 0.98% to 0.78% puCK went down by 0.19%, going from 0.89% to 0.7% Stats went down by 0.19%, going from 18.3% to 18.12% Pet went down by 0.18%, going from 0.97% to 0.79% MaNa went down by 0.18%, going from 4.34% to 4.15% Ourk went down by 0.18%, going from 6.68% to 6.5% DongRaeGu went down by 0.15%, going from 1.96% to 1.81% GuMiho vs sKyHigh in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. GuMiho is at 72.53% Blizzcon Chances.71.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.49%. 28.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.09%. sKyHigh is at 2.78% Blizzcon Chances.28.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.15%. 71.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.07%. INnoVation vs Stats in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. INnoVation is at 65.38% Blizzcon Chances.61.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.65%. 38.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.15%. Stats is at 18.12% Blizzcon Chances.38.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.96%. 61.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.94%. Dear vs Patience in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Dear is at 46.48% Blizzcon Chances.54.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.86%. 45.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.38%. Patience is at 6.63% Blizzcon Chances.45.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.94%. 54.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.21%. StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ PartinG has a 11.46% chance to win----going from 79.96% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 98.37% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.99% chance to win----going from 73.2% to 99.52% if they get 1st, or 94.11% if they get 2nd. TY has a 9.12% chance to win----going from 68.04% to 99.6% if they get 1st, or 93.36% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 8.9% chance to win----going from 72.53% to 99.91% if they get 1st, or 97.08% if they get 2nd. herO has a 7.2% chance to win----going from 83.11% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.8% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + INnoVation has a 6.62% chance to win----going from 65.38% to 99.86% if they get 1st, or 96.33% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.51% chance to win----going from 51.57% to 99.06% if they get 1st, or 89.88% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.3% chance to win----going from 48.55% to 98.37% if they get 1st, or 84.65% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.19% chance to win----going from 39.43% to 97.63% if they get 1st, or 79.42% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 4.15% chance to win----going from 46.48% to 99.03% if they get 1st, or 89.68% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.55% chance to win----going from 17.32% to 87.29% if they get 1st, or 52.35% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.35% chance to win----going from 40.41% to 98.64% if they get 1st, or 86.87% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 3.09% chance to win----going from 36.15% to 98.35% if they get 1st, or 79.88% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 2.44% chance to win----going from 18.12% to 94.84% if they get 1st, or 69.65% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.39% chance to win----going from 20.42% to 97.07% if they get 1st, or 74.53% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.08% chance to win----going from 30.28% to 98.56% if they get 1st, or 82.68% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.64% chance to win----going from 9.83% to 86.11% if they get 1st, or 49.95% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.44% chance to win----going from 8.62% to 85.57% if they get 1st, or 48.46% if they get 2nd. Patience has a 1.19% chance to win----going from 6.63% to 83.56% if they get 1st, or 44.38% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.16% chance to win----going from 28.49% to 99.77% if they get 1st, or 88.93% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 1.07% chance to win----going from 19.08% to 96.92% if they get 1st, or 75.7% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 1.04% chance to win----going from 14.75% to 94.85% if they get 1st, or 65.59% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 0.98% chance to win----going from 5.78% to 82.59% if they get 1st, or 42.46% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.51% chance to win----going from 7.22% to 90.48% if they get 1st, or 52.17% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 0.35% chance to win----going from 9.41% to 81.98% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they get 2nd. sKyHigh has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 2.78% to 91.8% if they get 1st, or 2.51% if they don't. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 1 Day 4 Chances During This Tournament (Sim #1130 to #1138) + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + Also includes the setting of the GSL Ro32 groups. Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 26.01%, going from 28.2% to 54.21% Dream went up by 25.37%, going from 13.34% to 38.71% Terminator went up by 19.69%, going from 14.8% to 34.48% Dear went up by 19.22%, going from 43.96% to 63.18% Life went up by 15.67%, going from 56.07% to 71.74% TY went up by 15.64%, going from 52.25% to 67.89% Stats went up by 14.72%, going from 18.3% to 33.03%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + GuMiho went up by 11.99%, going from 66.99% to 78.98% Classic went up by 7.03%, going from 9.99% to 17.03% PartinG went up by 5.82%, going from 77.08% to 82.9% FanTaSy went up by 5.32%, going from 9.99% to 15.31% Rain went up by 3.5%, going from 65.08% to 68.59% Hydra went up by 3.39%, going from 10.82% to 14.21% Hitman went up by 1.67%, going from 0.4% to 2.07% VortiX went up by 1.22%, going from 10.44% to 11.66% Snute went up by 0.8%, going from 10.99% to 11.78% Nerchio went up by 0.68%, going from 7.64% to 8.32% Hurricane went up by 0.67%, going from 1.49% to 2.16% MC went up by 0.65%, going from 7.35% to 7.99% Happy went up by 0.35%, going from 8.8% to 9.16% SuperNova went up by 0.33%, going from 0.63% to 0.96% Maru went up by 0.29%, going from 50.45% to 50.74% Dayshi went up by 0.29%, going from 2.07% to 2.35% souL went up by 0.27%, going from 0.01% to 0.28% Xenocider went up by 0.27%, going from 0.01% to 0.27% Strelok went up by 0.24%, going from 1.1% to 1.34% XiGua went up by 0.22%, going from 2.31% to 2.52% Starbuck went up by 0.18%, going from 2.05% to 2.22% Armani went up by 0.18%, going from 0.17% to 0.35% Revival went up by 0.15%, going from 0.59% to 0.74% Complain went up by 0.12%, going from 0.09% to 0.21% Polt went up by 0.11%, going from 23.29% to 23.39% eMotion went up by 0.1%, going from 0.29% to 0.39% qxc went up by 0.1%, going from 1.95% to 2.06%Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 24.29%, going from 72.12% to 47.83% Solar went down by 22.99%, going from 56.4% to 33.42% INnoVation went down by 21.04%, going from 66.74% to 45.7% Soulkey went down by 20.31%, going from 37.21% to 16.9% Flash went down by 18.71%, going from 24.92% to 6.22% Cure went down by 12.28%, going from 19.61% to 7.34% Scarlett went down by 11.29%, going from 18.76% to 7.47%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Patience went down by 3.11%, going from 5.06% to 1.95% MarineKing went down by 2.44%, going from 28.77% to 26.32% YoDa went down by 2.23%, going from 23.86% to 21.63% ByuL went down by 2.22%, going from 10.33% to 8.11% viOLet went down by 2.21%, going from 12.08% to 9.87% ForGG went down by 2.08%, going from 37.05% to 34.96% MMA went down by 2.06%, going from 28.5% to 26.44% Super went down by 1.99%, going from 30.6% to 28.6% sKyHigh went down by 1.97%, going from 3.07% to 1.1% Bomber went down by 1.96%, going from 40.82% to 38.86% herO went down by 1.92%, going from 84.31% to 82.38% Jim went down by 1.8%, going from 11.27% to 9.47% Zest went down by 1.51%, going from 17.63% to 16.12% YongHwa went down by 1.5%, going from 8.26% to 6.76% Lilbow went down by 1.48%, going from 10.26% to 8.77% Dark went down by 1.45%, going from 20.44% to 18.99% Curious went down by 1.41%, going from 4.37% to 2.96% Sacsri went down by 1.29%, going from 4.69% to 3.4% Heart went down by 1.28%, going from 5.37% to 4.09% KingKong went down by 0.97%, going from 2.61% to 1.63% Bunny went down by 0.95%, going from 6.73% to 5.78% Hack went down by 0.94%, going from 5.31% to 4.37% jjakji went down by 0.71%, going from 5.03% to 4.32% Jaedong went down by 0.71%, going from 7.59% to 6.88% San went down by 0.65%, going from 40.47% to 39.82% MajOr went down by 0.62%, going from 20.2% to 19.58% ShoWTimE went down by 0.6%, going from 4.99% to 4.39% HuK went down by 0.47%, going from 3.93% to 3.46% Bbyong went down by 0.47%, going from 20.66% to 20.19% Leenock went down by 0.44%, going from 9.73% to 9.29% soO went down by 0.43%, going from 5.01% to 4.57% Losira went down by 0.41%, going from 3.02% to 2.6% uThermal went down by 0.37%, going from 3.18% to 2.81% HyuN went down by 0.35%, going from 8.08% to 7.73% First went down by 0.28%, going from 24.69% to 24.41% Elazer went down by 0.27%, going from 0.73% to 0.45% hendralisk went down by 0.25%, going from 0.78% to 0.53% Bly went down by 0.24%, going from 0.81% to 0.57% StarDust went down by 0.23%, going from 3.17% to 2.94% Ourk went down by 0.22%, going from 6.68% to 6.45% TLO went down by 0.22%, going from 1.77% to 1.56% Kane went down by 0.21%, going from 3.12% to 2.91% DongRaeGu went down by 0.21%, going from 1.96% to 1.75% Maru vs Jim in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Maru is at 50.74% Blizzcon Chances.70.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 59.52%. 29.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.69%. Jim is at 9.47% Blizzcon Chances.29.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.22%. 70.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.07%. PartinG vs Dark in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. PartinG is at 82.9% Blizzcon Chances.70.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 89.6%. 29.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.91%. Dark is at 18.99% Blizzcon Chances.29.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.56%. 70.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.88%. San vs MyuNgSiK in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. San is at 39.82% Blizzcon Chances.54.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.95%. 45.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.03%. MyuNgSiK is at 5.56% Blizzcon Chances.45.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.99%. 54.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.92%. StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances in PartinG has a 12.73% chance to win----going from 82.9% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 98.66% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 12.13% chance to win----going from 78.98% to 99.89% if they get 1st, or 96.7% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.31% chance to win----going from 71.74% to 99.48% if they get 1st, or 93.64% if they get 2nd. TY has a 8.82% chance to win----going from 67.89% to 99.6% if they get 1st, or 93.34% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 7.75% chance to win----going from 63.18% to 99.28% if they get 1st, or 91.26% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + herO has a 6.58% chance to win----going from 82.38% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.79% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.04% chance to win----going from 33.03% to 95.11% if they get 1st, or 70.49% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.61% chance to win----going from 54.21% to 98.93% if they get 1st, or 88.32% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.29% chance to win----going from 50.74% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 89.49% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.11% chance to win----going from 38.71% to 97.55% if they get 1st, or 79.13% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.34% chance to win----going from 17.03% to 87.2% if they get 1st, or 52.52% if they get 2nd. San has a 3.03% chance to win----going from 39.82% to 98.65% if they get 1st, or 86.59% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.62% chance to win----going from 34.48% to 98.25% if they get 1st, or 79.54% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.34% chance to win----going from 20.19% to 96.95% if they get 1st, or 74.45% if they get 2nd. Super has a 1.86% chance to win----going from 28.6% to 98.41% if they get 1st, or 81.38% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.47% chance to win----going from 9.29% to 86.02% if they get 1st, or 49.58% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.3% chance to win----going from 8.11% to 85.53% if they get 1st, or 47.9% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.03% chance to win----going from 26.32% to 99.71% if they get 1st, or 87.71% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 0.99% chance to win----going from 15.31% to 95.11% if they get 1st, or 67.27% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 0.97% chance to win----going from 18.99% to 96.96% if they get 1st, or 75.92% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 0.9% chance to win----going from 5.56% to 82.68% if they get 1st, or 41.92% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 6.76% to 89.99% if they get 1st, or 50.4% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 0.35% chance to win----going from 9.47% to 81.41% if they get 1st, or 46.1% if they get 2nd. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 1 Day 5 Chances During This Tournament (Sim #1130 to #1139) + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + Also includes the setting of the GSL Ro32 groups. Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 26.47%, going from 28.2% to 54.67% Dream went up by 25.06%, going from 13.34% to 38.41% Dark went up by 23.04%, going from 20.44% to 43.48% Terminator went up by 20.52%, going from 14.8% to 35.32% Dear went up by 19.77%, going from 43.96% to 63.73% Life went up by 16.23%, going from 56.07% to 72.31% TY went up by 16.07%, going from 52.25% to 68.33%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Stats went up by 14.92%, going from 18.3% to 33.22% GuMiho went up by 12.21%, going from 66.99% to 79.2% Maru went up by 10.77%, going from 50.45% to 61.22% Classic went up by 7.56%, going from 9.99% to 17.56% MyuNgSiK went up by 7.31%, going from 5.64% to 12.95% FanTaSy went up by 5.14%, going from 9.99% to 15.13% Hydra went up by 3.79%, going from 10.82% to 14.62% Rain went up by 3.69%, going from 65.08% to 68.77% Hitman went up by 1.63%, going from 0.4% to 2.04% VortiX went up by 1.2%, going from 10.44% to 11.64% Polt went up by 0.85%, going from 23.29% to 24.14% Snute went up by 0.72%, going from 10.99% to 11.7% Hurricane went up by 0.7%, going from 1.49% to 2.19% MC went up by 0.62%, going from 7.35% to 7.97% Top went up by 0.61%, going from 3.5% to 4.11% Nerchio went up by 0.61%, going from 7.64% to 8.25% SuperNova went up by 0.34%, going from 0.63% to 0.97% Happy went up by 0.26%, going from 8.8% to 9.07% souL went up by 0.26%, going from 0.01% to 0.27% Xenocider went up by 0.25%, going from 0.01% to 0.25% Dayshi went up by 0.2%, going from 2.07% to 2.27% MaSa went up by 0.18%, going from 8.39% to 8.57% Strelok went up by 0.18%, going from 1.1% to 1.28% Armani went up by 0.17%, going from 0.17% to 0.34% XiGua went up by 0.16%, going from 2.31% to 2.47% Revival went up by 0.16%, going from 0.59% to 0.74% sOs went up by 0.14%, going from 25.64% to 25.78% Complain went up by 0.11%, going from 0.09% to 0.2% eMotion went up by 0.11%, going from 0.29% to 0.39%Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 24.16%, going from 72.12% to 47.96% Solar went down by 23.07%, going from 56.4% to 33.34% INnoVation went down by 21.08%, going from 66.74% to 45.67% Soulkey went down by 20.36%, going from 37.21% to 16.85% PartinG went down by 19.54%, going from 77.08% to 57.53% San went down by 18.93%, going from 40.47% to 21.54% Flash went down by 18.62%, going from 24.92% to 6.3%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Cure went down by 12.1%, going from 19.61% to 7.51% Scarlett went down by 11.23%, going from 18.76% to 7.54% Jim went down by 4.26%, going from 11.27% to 7.01% Patience went down by 3.07%, going from 5.06% to 1.99% MarineKing went down by 2.92%, going from 28.77% to 25.85% MMA went down by 2.38%, going from 28.5% to 26.13% Bomber went down by 2.17%, going from 40.82% to 38.65% viOLet went down by 2.08%, going from 12.08% to 10.01% YoDa went down by 2.07%, going from 23.86% to 21.79% Super went down by 2.02%, going from 30.6% to 28.58% sKyHigh went down by 1.99%, going from 3.07% to 1.08% ByuL went down by 1.95%, going from 10.33% to 8.38% herO went down by 1.82%, going from 84.31% to 82.48% Lilbow went down by 1.59%, going from 10.26% to 8.67% ForGG went down by 1.54%, going from 37.05% to 35.5% Curious went down by 1.46%, going from 4.37% to 2.9% YongHwa went down by 1.44%, going from 8.26% to 6.81% Zest went down by 1.37%, going from 17.63% to 16.26% Heart went down by 1.31%, going from 5.37% to 4.06% Sacsri went down by 1.23%, going from 4.69% to 3.46% Bunny went down by 1.05%, going from 6.73% to 5.67% KingKong went down by 0.96%, going from 2.61% to 1.65% Hack went down by 0.92%, going from 5.31% to 4.39% ShoWTimE went down by 0.7%, going from 4.99% to 4.29% jjakji went down by 0.64%, going from 5.03% to 4.39% Jaedong went down by 0.64%, going from 7.59% to 6.96% HuK went down by 0.51%, going from 3.93% to 3.43% MajOr went down by 0.45%, going from 20.2% to 19.75% uThermal went down by 0.38%, going from 3.18% to 2.8% soO went down by 0.38%, going from 5.01% to 4.63% Losira went down by 0.36%, going from 3.02% to 2.65% Ourk went down by 0.31%, going from 6.68% to 6.36% iAsonu went down by 0.31%, going from 1.47% to 1.16% Elazer went down by 0.31%, going from 0.73% to 0.42% hendralisk went down by 0.28%, going from 0.78% to 0.5% Bly went down by 0.28%, going from 0.81% to 0.54% TLO went down by 0.27%, going from 1.77% to 1.5% MaNa went down by 0.27%, going from 4.34% to 4.07% sLivko went down by 0.25%, going from 0.98% to 0.72% Kas went down by 0.24%, going from 3.45% to 3.21% Illusion went down by 0.24%, going from 0.41% to 0.17% Kane went down by 0.23%, going from 3.12% to 2.89% DongRaeGu went down by 0.23%, going from 1.96% to 1.73% ByuL vs Super in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. ByuL is at 8.38% Blizzcon Chances.49.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.07%. 50.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.76%. Super is at 28.58% Blizzcon Chances.50.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.96%. 49.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.06%. Bbyong vs herO in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. Bbyong is at 20.66% Blizzcon Chances.41.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.36%. 58.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.12%. herO is at 82.48% Blizzcon Chances.58.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 91.21%. 41.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.31%. YongHwa vs Leenock in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. YongHwa is at 6.81% Blizzcon Chances.44.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.36%. 55.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.18%. Leenock is at 9.58% Blizzcon Chances.55.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.81%. 44.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.02%. MarineKing vs FanTaSy in in StarLeague Season 1 round of 32. MarineKing is at 25.85% Blizzcon Chances.47.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.92%. 52.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.95%. FanTaSy is at 15.13% Blizzcon Chances.52.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.88%. 47.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.57%. StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ GuMiho has a 12.98% chance to win----going from 79.2% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 96.55% if they get 2nd. Life has a 11.5% chance to win----going from 72.31% to 99.46% if they get 1st, or 93.43% if they get 2nd. TY has a 9.61% chance to win----going from 68.33% to 99.58% if they get 1st, or 93.19% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 8.79% chance to win----going from 63.73% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 91.15% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 8.59% chance to win----going from 61.22% to 99.07% if they get 1st, or 89.69% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + herO has a 7.51% chance to win----going from 82.48% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.77% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.2% chance to win----going from 33.22% to 94.99% if they get 1st, or 70.59% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.14% chance to win----going from 54.67% to 98.89% if they get 1st, or 87.92% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.66% chance to win----going from 43.48% to 97.96% if they get 1st, or 81.96% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.2% chance to win----going from 38.41% to 97.44% if they get 1st, or 78.39% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.69% chance to win----going from 17.56% to 87.18% if they get 1st, or 52.39% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 3.2% chance to win----going from 35.32% to 98.11% if they get 1st, or 79.43% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.7% chance to win----going from 12.95% to 84.56% if they get 1st, or 46.94% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 2.52% chance to win----going from 20.66% to 96.92% if they get 1st, or 74.52% if they get 2nd. Super has a 2.03% chance to win----going from 28.58% to 98.36% if they get 1st, or 81.14% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 1.66% chance to win----going from 9.58% to 86.06% if they get 1st, or 48.62% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.42% chance to win----going from 8.38% to 85.03% if they get 1st, or 47.82% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 1.06% chance to win----going from 15.13% to 95.02% if they get 1st, or 66.27% if they get 2nd. MarineKing has a 1.03% chance to win----going from 25.85% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 87.16% if they get 2nd. YongHwa has a 0.52% chance to win----going from 6.81% to 90.29% if they get 1st, or 50.25% if they get 2nd. | ||
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vult
United States9395 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
On December 26 2014 05:56 vult wrote: It's weird to see that its not even 2015 yet but herO already has an >80% chance of making it. yea, but 20% chance of not making it is still big If he loses in both SSL and GSL This happens ~ 16.86 % of the time herO loses their next match in GSL Code S Season 1 ro32 and herO loses their next match in StarLeague Season 1 ro32 This would change herO's Blizzcon chances from ~ 82.48 % to ~ 56.81 % | ||
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sharkie
Austria18259 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17578 Posts
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers from SSL Season 1 Challenge and GSL Season 1 Ro32 group draws. (Sim #1130) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 25.41%, going from 28.2% to 53.62% Dream went up by 24.82%, going from 13.34% to 38.16% Dark went up by 22.43%, going from 20.44% to 42.87% Terminator went up by 19.77%, going from 14.8% to 34.57% Dear went up by 19.2%, going from 43.96% to 63.17% FanTaSy went up by 16.98%, going from 9.99% to 26.96% Life went up by 15.69%, going from 56.07% to 71.77%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + TY went up by 15.32%, going from 52.25% to 67.58% Stats went up by 14.98%, going from 18.3% to 33.28% Super went up by 13.74%, going from 30.6% to 44.34% GuMiho went up by 11.85%, going from 66.99% to 78.84% Maru went up by 9.82%, going from 50.45% to 60.27% Classic went up by 7.34%, going from 9.99% to 17.34% herO went up by 7.07%, going from 84.31% to 91.38% MyuNgSiK went up by 6.67%, going from 5.64% to 12.31% Leenock went up by 6.09%, going from 9.73% to 15.83% Hydra went up by 3.76%, going from 10.82% to 14.59% Rain went up by 3.59%, going from 65.08% to 68.67% Hitman went up by 1.64%, going from 0.4% to 2.04% VortiX went up by 1.15%, going from 10.44% to 11.59% Polt went up by 0.87%, going from 23.29% to 24.15% Snute went up by 0.71%, going from 10.99% to 11.7% Hurricane went up by 0.66%, going from 1.49% to 2.15% Top went up by 0.6%, going from 3.5% to 4.09% Nerchio went up by 0.57%, going from 7.64% to 8.21% MC went up by 0.49%, going from 7.35% to 7.84% MajOr went up by 0.36%, going from 20.2% to 20.56% SuperNova went up by 0.33%, going from 0.63% to 0.96% souL went up by 0.26%, going from 0.01% to 0.27% Xenocider went up by 0.25%, going from 0.01% to 0.25% Happy went up by 0.22%, going from 8.8% to 9.03% MaSa went up by 0.19%, going from 8.39% to 8.57% Armani went up by 0.18%, going from 0.17% to 0.35% Dayshi went up by 0.17%, going from 2.07% to 2.24% Strelok went up by 0.17%, going from 1.1% to 1.27% XiGua went up by 0.15%, going from 2.31% to 2.46% Revival went up by 0.14%, going from 0.59% to 0.73% Revolver went up by 0.13%, going from 0.18% to 0.31% Complain went up by 0.11%, going from 0.09% to 0.2% eMotion went up by 0.1%, going from 0.29% to 0.39%Biggest Losers TaeJa went down by 24.3%, going from 72.12% to 47.82% Solar went down by 23.23%, going from 56.4% to 33.18% INnoVation went down by 21.36%, going from 66.74% to 45.38% Soulkey went down by 20.43%, going from 37.21% to 16.78% PartinG went down by 19.59%, going from 77.08% to 57.49% San went down by 18.82%, going from 40.47% to 21.64% Flash went down by 18.66%, going from 24.92% to 6.26%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + MarineKing went down by 15.14%, going from 28.77% to 13.63% Cure went down by 12.19%, going from 19.61% to 7.42% Bbyong went down by 11.41%, going from 20.66% to 9.25% Scarlett went down by 11.23%, going from 18.76% to 7.54% ByuL went down by 8.31%, going from 10.33% to 2.02% YongHwa went down by 5.75%, going from 8.26% to 2.51% Jim went down by 4.3%, going from 11.27% to 6.97% Patience went down by 3.08%, going from 5.06% to 1.98% MMA went down by 2.51%, going from 28.5% to 25.99% Bomber went down by 2.16%, going from 40.82% to 38.66% YoDa went down by 2.14%, going from 23.86% to 21.72% viOLet went down by 2.09%, going from 12.08% to 9.99% sKyHigh went down by 1.99%, going from 3.07% to 1.07% ForGG went down by 1.68%, going from 37.05% to 35.36% Lilbow went down by 1.54%, going from 10.26% to 8.71% Curious went down by 1.48%, going from 4.37% to 2.88% Heart went down by 1.38%, going from 5.37% to 3.99% Zest went down by 1.37%, going from 17.63% to 16.25% Sacsri went down by 1.31%, going from 4.69% to 3.38% Bunny went down by 1.04%, going from 6.73% to 5.68% KingKong went down by 0.98%, going from 2.61% to 1.63% Hack went down by 0.94%, going from 5.31% to 4.37% jjakji went down by 0.72%, going from 5.03% to 4.31% Jaedong went down by 0.7%, going from 7.59% to 6.89% ShoWTimE went down by 0.69%, going from 4.99% to 4.3% HuK went down by 0.49%, going from 3.93% to 3.44% soO went down by 0.4%, going from 5.01% to 4.61% Losira went down by 0.4%, going from 3.02% to 2.62% uThermal went down by 0.39%, going from 3.18% to 2.79% Ourk went down by 0.33%, going from 6.68% to 6.34% iAsonu went down by 0.33%, going from 1.47% to 1.14% MaNa went down by 0.31%, going from 4.34% to 4.03% Elazer went down by 0.3%, going from 0.73% to 0.43% hendralisk went down by 0.29%, going from 0.78% to 0.5% HyuN went down by 0.28%, going from 8.08% to 7.8% Bly went down by 0.28%, going from 0.81% to 0.53% TLO went down by 0.28%, going from 1.77% to 1.49% sLivko went down by 0.26%, going from 0.98% to 0.71% Kane went down by 0.25%, going from 3.12% to 2.87% DongRaeGu went down by 0.25%, going from 1.96% to 1.71% Kas went down by 0.24%, going from 3.45% to 3.2% Illusion went down by 0.23%, going from 0.41% to 0.17% Pet went down by 0.21%, going from 0.97% to 0.76%SSL Season 1 Winning Chances herO has a 13.04% chance to win----going from 91.38% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.78% if they get 2nd. GuMiho has a 12.19% chance to win----going from 78.84% to 99.88% if they get 1st, or 96.61% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.75% chance to win----going from 71.77% to 99.45% if they get 1st, or 93.54% if they get 2nd. TY has a 8.81% chance to win----going from 67.58% to 99.59% if they get 1st, or 93.19% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 8.33% chance to win----going from 63.17% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 90.98% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Maru has a 7.83% chance to win----going from 60.27% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 89.7% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.29% chance to win----going from 33.28% to 94.93% if they get 1st, or 70.57% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 5.67% chance to win----going from 53.62% to 98.85% if they get 1st, or 88.02% if they get 2nd. Super has a 4.56% chance to win----going from 44.34% to 98.63% if they get 1st, or 83.79% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 4.25% chance to win----going from 42.87% to 97.96% if they get 1st, or 81.99% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.04% chance to win----going from 38.16% to 97.38% if they get 1st, or 78.77% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 3.56% chance to win----going from 17.34% to 87.14% if they get 1st, or 52.65% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 2.92% chance to win----going from 15.83% to 86.84% if they get 1st, or 51.77% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 2.89% chance to win----going from 34.57% to 98.15% if they get 1st, or 79.15% if they get 2nd. MyuNgSiK has a 2.52% chance to win----going from 12.31% to 84.38% if they get 1st, or 46.65% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 2.34% chance to win----going from 26.96% to 96.2% if they get 1st, or 72.16% if they get 2nd. Foreigner Hope (keep in mind these are without some possible Korean tournaments being announced like KeSPA Cup) Chances of 1+ foreigners 94.18% Chances of 2+ foreigners 67.04% Chances of 3+ foreigners 27.53% Chances of 4+ foreigners 5.46% MajOr 3.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 20.56% chance overall. VortiX 1.76% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.59% chance overall. Snute 1.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.7% chance overall. Happy 1.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.03% chance overall. Lilbow 1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.71% chance overall. Nerchio 1.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.21% chance overall. MaSa 1.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.57% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + Scarlett 1.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.54% chance overall. Jim 0.94% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.97% chance overall. Ourk 0.89% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.34% chance overall. TargA 0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.03% chance overall. Bunny 0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.68% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.09% chance overall. ShoWTimE 0.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.3% chance overall. MaNa 0.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.03% chance overall. Top 0.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.09% chance overall. Kas 0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.2% chance overall. HuK 0.43% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.44% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.05% chance overall. uThermal 0.38% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.79% chance overall. Kane 0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.87% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.61% chance overall. XiGua 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.46% chance overall. EnDerr 0.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.29% chance overall. Dayshi 0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.24% chance overall. Starbuck 0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.13% chance overall. Hitman 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.04% chance overall. qxc 0.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. Stephano 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.54% chance overall. Welmu 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. TLO 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.49% chance overall. XY 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.35% chance overall. Strelok 0.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.27% chance overall.Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Terminator is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses![spoiler=Defense History] Terminator won the #3 from TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1 sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup + Show Spoiler [More Defense History] + Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at WCS Global Finals 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014 ----------------------- | ||
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