EPT+ Show Spoiler +
Hopefully I'll be better at this than at FPL d:
WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 8
| Forum Index > SC2 General |
|
OtherWorld
France17333 Posts
+ Show Spoiler + Hopefully I'll be better at this than at FPL d: | ||
|
sharkie
Austria18388 Posts
| ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
On January 22 2015 21:37 sharkie wrote: herO vs life in the decider x.x after herO went 2-0 over Life and 1-0 over Stats I was worried about how many points you'd gain lol | ||
|
sharkie
Austria18388 Posts
On January 23 2015 00:03 Die4Ever wrote: after herO went 2-0 over Life and 1-0 over Stats I was worried about how many points you'd gain lol I was planning to sell herO after today...  I really thought he could win one PvP series | ||
|
sharkie
Austria18388 Posts
| ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers from WCS Premier ro32 group drawing (Sim ID #1195 vs Sim ID #1196) Biggest Winners   NaNiwa went up by 1.81%, going from 20.73% to 22.55%  viOLet went up by 0.8%, going from 12.45% to 13.25% ShoWTimE went up by 0.8%, going from 9.21% to 10.01%  Bunny went up by 0.61%, going from 11.64% to 12.25% Jim went up by 0.59%, going from 5.4% to 5.99% Snute went up by 0.44%, going from 35.58% to 36.02% uThermal went up by 0.14%, going from 3.38% to 3.52%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Biggest Losers Polt went down by 2.35%, going from 37.5% to 35.15% Happy went down by 1.44%, going from 17.01% to 15.56% TargA went down by 0.77%, going from 13.85% to 13.08% Sen went down by 0.47%, going from 8.93% to 8.46% MajOr went down by 0.25%, going from 22.69% to 22.44% ForGG went down by 0.2%, going from 75.83% to 75.63% Serral went down by 0.15%, going from 0.88% to 0.74% MaNa went down by 0.11%, going from 6.51% to 6.4%Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 93.58% Chances of 2+ foreigners 64.99% Chances of 3+ foreigners 26.55% Chances of 4+ foreigners 5.75% Snute 6.47% chance to be the only foreigner, 36.02% chance overall. NaNiwa 3.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.55% chance overall. MajOr 3.55% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.44% chance overall. Happy 2.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 15.56% chance overall. TargA 1.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.08% chance overall. Bunny 1.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 12.25% chance overall. ShoWTimE 1.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.01% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + Sen 1.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.46% chance overall. PiG 0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.11% chance overall. MaNa 0.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.4% chance overall. Jim 0.8% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.99% chance overall. uThermal 0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.52% chance overall. HuK 0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.42% chance overall. Has 0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.59% chance overall. VortiX 0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.23% chance overall. Kane 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.99% chance overall. iaguz 0.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall. TLO 0.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.69% chance overall. Lilbow 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.62% chance overall. MorroW 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.3% chance overall. Nerchio 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.94% chance overall. MaSa 0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.9% chance overall. Serral 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. Welmu 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.71% chance overall. puCK 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. XiGua 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. iAsonu 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. MacSed 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.53% chance overall. Scarlett 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. Astrea 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.47% chance overall.  Ourk 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall.Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Leenock is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!+ Show Spoiler [Headband History] + Leenock won the #3 from Terminator at StarLeague Season 1 Terminator defended the #3 from FanTaSy at StarLeague Season 1 Terminator won the #3 from TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1 sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at WCS Global Finals 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014 WCS Premier Ro32 Previews + Show Spoiler [WCS Ro32 Group Previews] + puCK, MajOr, TargA, and MaNa (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. puCK is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances.33.23% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.14%. 66.77% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%. TargA is at 13.08% Blizzcon Chances.52.34% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.72%. 47.66% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.99%. MajOr is at 22.44% Blizzcon Chances.61.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.75%. 38.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.81%. MaNa is at 6.4% Blizzcon Chances.52.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.05%. 47.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.47%. Serral, Happy, ForGG, and Polt (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Serral is at 0.74% Blizzcon Chances.27.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.56%. 72.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.43%. ForGG is at 75.63% Blizzcon Chances.74.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 79.95%. 25.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.88%. Happy is at 15.56% Blizzcon Chances.49.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.52%. 50.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.79%. Polt is at 35.15% Blizzcon Chances.49.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.23%. 50.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.41%. XiGua, uThermal, Bunny, and Astrea (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. XiGua is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances.40.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%. 59.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.31%. Bunny is at 12.25% Blizzcon Chances.66.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.15%. 33.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.61%. uThermal is at 3.52% Blizzcon Chances.53.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.98%. 46.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.83%. Astrea is at 0.47% Blizzcon Chances.40.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.82%. 59.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. Has, ShoWTimE, FireCake, and HuK (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Has is at 2.59% Blizzcon Chances.50.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.81%. 49.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.35%. FireCake is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances.28.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. 71.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. ShoWTimE is at 10.01% Blizzcon Chances.68.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.3%. 31.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.11%. HuK is at 3.42% Blizzcon Chances.53.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.86%. 46.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.75%. NaNiwa, Suppy, Jim, and  Kelazhur (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. NaNiwa is at 22.55% Blizzcon Chances.77.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.5%. 22.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.44%. Jim is at 5.99% Blizzcon Chances.65.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.61%. 34.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.96%. Suppy is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances.34.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.51%. 65.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. Kelazhur is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.22.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. 77.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Hydra, iaguz, Welmu, and Sen (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Hydra is at 42.22% Blizzcon Chances.67.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.07%. 32.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.03%. Welmu is at 0.71% Blizzcon Chances.39.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.24%. 60.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. iaguz is at 1.93% Blizzcon Chances.45.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.01%. 54.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.02%. Sen is at 8.46% Blizzcon Chances.46.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.2%. 53.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.15%. MorroW, MacSed, TLO, and viOLet (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. MorroW is at 1.3% Blizzcon Chances.47.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.01%. 52.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.66%. TLO is at 1.69% Blizzcon Chances.49.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.54%. 50.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.85%. MacSed is at 0.53% Blizzcon Chances.35.77% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.96%. 64.23% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.29%. viOLet is at 13.25% Blizzcon Chances.67.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.04%. 32.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.54%. Snute, PiG, Kane, and iAsonu (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Snute is at 36.02% Blizzcon Chances.68.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.66%. 31.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.95%. Kane is at 1.99% Blizzcon Chances.41.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.27%. 58.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. PiG is at 7.11% Blizzcon Chances.57.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.55%. 42.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.87%. iAsonu is at 0.56% Blizzcon Chances.33.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 66.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%. WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances (unscheduled) ForGG has a 20.32% chance to win----going from 75.61% to 98.83% if they get 1st, or 84.1% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 9.68% chance to win----going from 42.22% to 92.59% if they get 1st, or 56.62% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 8.6% chance to win----going from 22.54% to 77.64% if they get 1st, or 31.09% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 8.45% chance to win----going from 36.01% to 93.36% if they get 1st, or 30.71% if they don't. MajOr has a 6.26% chance to win----going from 22.44% to 82.8% if they get 1st, or 35.4% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Polt has a 5.44% chance to win----going from 35.14% to 94.93% if they get 1st, or 57.01% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 4.71% chance to win----going from 15.56% to 75.33% if they get 1st, or 27.35% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 4.27% chance to win----going from 12.25% to 71.9% if they get 1st, or 21.57% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 4.15% chance to win----going from 10.01% to 66.48% if they get 1st, or 17.39% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 4.09% chance to win----going from 13.25% to 73.37% if they get 1st, or 23.61% if they get 2nd. TargA has a 4.03% chance to win----going from 13.09% to 73.68% if they get 1st, or 23.73% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 2.64% chance to win----going from 6.4% to 61.67% if they get 1st, or 13.71% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 2.61% chance to win----going from 7.12% to 65.7% if they get 1st, or 15.38% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 2.46% chance to win----going from 5.98% to 63.52% if they get 1st, or 12.7% if they get 2nd. Sen has a 2.07% chance to win----going from 8.47% to 78.67% if they get 1st, or 21.3% if they get 2nd. uThermal has a 1.58% chance to win----going from 3.52% to 55.88% if they get 1st, or 2.68% if they don't. HuK has a 1.31% chance to win----going from 3.42% to 63.16% if they get 1st, or 2.62% if they don't. Has has a 1.07% chance to win----going from 2.59% to 57.15% if they get 1st, or 1.99% if they don't. iaguz has a 0.93% chance to win----going from 1.93% to 49.81% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. Kane has a 0.9% chance to win----going from 1.98% to 51.51% if they get 1st, or 1.53% if they don't. TLO has a 0.86% chance to win----going from 1.68% to 49.66% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.75% chance to win----going from 1.3% to 44.24% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.49% chance to win----going from 0.71% to 39.31% if they get 1st, or 0.52% if they don't. Serral has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.74% to 41.63% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't. puCK has a 0.34% chance to win----going from 0.6% to 41.87% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.32% chance to win----going from 0.58% to 42.88% if they get 1st, or 0.44% if they don't. Astrea has a 0.31% chance to win----going from 0.47% to 40.01% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.31% chance to win----going from 0.56% to 40.55% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.3% chance to win----going from 0.53% to 42.01% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together. + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group 1 MaNa has a ~ 2.64 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TargA has a ~ 4.02 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MajOr has a ~ 6.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 puCK has a ~ 0.35 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.2821 Group 2 Polt has a ~ 5.43 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ForGG has a ~ 20.34 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Happy has a ~ 4.71 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Serral has a ~ 0.39 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.8662 Group 3 XiGua has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 uThermal has a ~ 1.58 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Bunny has a ~ 4.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Astrea has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.48123 Group 4 HuK has a ~ 1.31 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 FireCake has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ShoWTimE has a ~ 4.15 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Has has a ~ 1.08 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.5377 Group 5 NaNiwa has a ~ 8.61 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Suppy has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Jim has a ~ 2.47 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kelazhur has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0714 Group 6 Sen has a ~ 2.06 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Welmu has a ~ 0.49 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 iaguz has a ~ 0.94 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Hydra has a ~ 9.68 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.1678 Group 7 viOLet has a ~ 4.09 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TLO has a ~ 0.86 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MacSed has a ~ 0.3 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MorroW has a ~ 0.75 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 6.00537 Group 8 Snute has a ~ 8.44 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 PiG has a ~ 2.61 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kane has a ~ 0.9 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 iAsonu has a ~ 0.31 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.2688 Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 8 > 5 > 4 > 3 > 7 + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group 1 MaNa is at ~ 6.4 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TargA is at ~ 13.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MajOr is at ~ 22.44 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 puCK is at ~ 0.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 42.5202 Group 2 Polt is at ~ 35.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ForGG is at ~ 75.63 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Happy is at ~ 15.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Serral is at ~ 0.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 127.075 Group 3 XiGua is at ~ 0.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 uThermal is at ~ 3.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Bunny is at ~ 12.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Astrea is at ~ 0.47 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 16.821 Group 4 HuK is at ~ 3.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FireCake is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ShoWTimE is at ~ 10.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Has is at ~ 2.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 16.0954 Group 5 NaNiwa is at ~ 22.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Suppy is at ~ 0.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Jim is at ~ 5.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kelazhur is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 28.8135 Group 6 Sen is at ~ 8.46 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Welmu is at ~ 0.71 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 iaguz is at ~ 1.93 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Hydra is at ~ 42.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 53.3182 Group 7 viOLet is at ~ 13.25 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TLO is at ~ 1.69 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MacSed is at ~ 0.53 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MorroW is at ~ 1.3 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 16.7694 Group 8 Snute is at ~ 36.02 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 PiG is at ~ 7.11 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kane is at ~ 1.99 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 iAsonu is at ~ 0.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 45.6814 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores 2 > 6 > 8 > 1 > 5 > 3 > 7 > 4 + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group 1 MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.11 % TargA's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.77 % MajOr's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.25 % puCK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.05 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.17684 Group 2 Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -2.35 % ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.2 % Happy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -1.44 % Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.15 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 4.14363 Group 3 XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % uThermal's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.14 % Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.61 % Astrea's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.777289 Group 4 HuK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.11 % FireCake's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.8 % Has's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.09 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.999144 Group 5 NaNiwa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.81 % Suppy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Jim's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.59 % Kelazhur's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -2.39971 Group 6 Sen's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.47 % Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % iaguz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Hydra's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.447556 Group 7 viOLet's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.8 % TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.09 % MacSed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % MorroW's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.898033 Group 8 Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.44 % PiG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.11 % Kane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.05 % iAsonu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.470467 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 8 > 3 > 7 > 4 > 5 + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group 1 When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.65 % When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.93 % When TargA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.64 % When TargA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.09 % When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.31 % When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.63 % When puCK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.55 % When puCK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.27 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 30.0696 Group 2 When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 9.08 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 8.74 % When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.32 % When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.75 % When Happy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.96 % When Happy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.77 % When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.82 % When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.31 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.7452 Group 3 When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.4 % When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.27 % When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.47 % When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.69 % When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.9 % When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.64 % When Astrea wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.35 % When Astrea loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.23 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 12.9476 Group 4 When HuK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.45 % When HuK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.66 % When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.1 % When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.04 % When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.29 % When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.89 % When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.22 % When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.23 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 12.8789 Group 5 When NaNiwa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.95 % When NaNiwa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 10.11 % When Suppy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.24 % When Suppy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.13 % When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.62 % When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.02 % When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 18.0968 Group 6 When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.74 % When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.31 % When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.52 % When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.35 % When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.09 % When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.91 % When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.85 % When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.19 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 27.953 Group 7 When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.79 % When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.71 % When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.86 % When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.84 % When MacSed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.43 % When MacSed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.24 % When MorroW wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.71 % When MorroW loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.64 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 12.2157 Group 8 When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.65 % When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.07 % When PiG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.44 % When PiG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.25 % When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.28 % When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.9 % When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.48 % When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.24 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.2979 Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 8 > 5 > 3 > 4 > 7 + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group 1 MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1765 TargA has an overall Aligulac rating of 1905 MajOr has an overall Aligulac rating of 1952 puCK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1490 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7112 Group 2 Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1974 ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2281 Happy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1922 Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1571 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7748 Group 3 XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1507 uThermal has an overall Aligulac rating of 1676 Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 1838 Astrea has an overall Aligulac rating of 1462 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6483 Group 4 HuK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1633 FireCake has an overall Aligulac rating of 1385 ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1809 Has has an overall Aligulac rating of 1609 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6436 Group 5 NaNiwa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1955 Suppy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1457 Jim has an overall Aligulac rating of 1716 Kelazhur has an overall Aligulac rating of 1278 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6406 Group 6 Sen has an overall Aligulac rating of 1777 Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1526 iaguz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1603 Hydra has an overall Aligulac rating of 2080 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6986 Group 7 viOLet has an overall Aligulac rating of 1863 TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1616 MacSed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1476 MorroW has an overall Aligulac rating of 1568 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6523 Group 8 Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 2047 PiG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1789 Kane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1654 iAsonu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1521 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7011 Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores 2 > 1 > 8 > 6 > 7 > 3 > 4 > 5 (only counting top 4s) Group 1 has has four 2nd places and a 4th place Group 2 has has five 1st places Group 3 has no top 4s Group 4 has no top 4s Group 5 has no top 4s Group 6 has a 2nd place, three 3rd places, and a 4th place Group 7 has no top 4s Group 8 has two 3rd places and three 4th places The placings here were all unusually consistent with eachother. Group 2 is by far our Group of Death with a clean sweep in all 5 categories! Congrats to Polt, ForGG, Happy, and Serral! Likewise Group 1 is easily our 2nd place Group of Death with MaNa, TargA, MajOr, and puCK! What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? Group 2 (319) Group 6 (36) Group 1 (29) Group 7 (24) Group 5 (14) Group 8 (9) Group 4 (7) Group 3 (3) 441 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group 1 Come back soon for the IEM Taipei preview or check the website. IEM Taipei starts in about . Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars! ----------------------- | ||
|
sharkie
Austria18388 Posts
| ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
On January 26 2015 15:36 sharkie wrote: If i sell forgg shortly before his group and he drops out I am a genius but if he makes it I will look like a fool. XD yea, this stuff is hard, I still have Heart and San, thinking of selling them I'm really hoping Naniwa loses soon, but he got a pretty easy group I think T_T | ||
|
sharkie
Austria18388 Posts
You cannot do this while the current simulation has less than 3000000 samples | ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
On January 28 2015 09:02 sharkie wrote: Error! You cannot do this while the current simulation has less than 3000000 samples you should be good now, it's over 3 million, sorry my laptop is slow at this and it's actually running 2 simulations at once to make it even worse lol, 1 for randomized WCS groups and another for the new set WCS groups, that way I can compare them against each other better | ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 (Simulation #1198) + Show Spoiler [Matches] + jjakji vs Impact in in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. jjakji is at 3.15% Blizzcon Chances.50.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.39%. 49.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.9%. Impact is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances.49.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.99%. 50.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.84%. Leenock vs Sacsri in in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. Leenock is at 25.63% Blizzcon Chances.49.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.89%. 50.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.41%. Sacsri is at 3.32% Blizzcon Chances.50.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.6%. 49.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.03%. TRUE vs Soulkey in in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. TRUE is at 2.1% Blizzcon Chances.45.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.33%. 54.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.91%. Soulkey is at 24.14% Blizzcon Chances.54.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.47%. 45.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.57%. HerO vs Has in in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. HerO is at 0.75% Blizzcon Chances.55.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.8%. 44.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.68%. Has is at 2.59% Blizzcon Chances.44.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.76%. 55.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.45%. HyuN vs Check in in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. HyuN is at 6.33% Blizzcon Chances.64.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.69%. 35.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.69%. Check is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances.35.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. 64.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.04%. Revival vs DongRaeGu in in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. Revival is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances.48.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%. 51.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.38%. DongRaeGu is at 1.62% Blizzcon Chances.51.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.74%. 48.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.49%. Ian vs Patience in in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. Ian is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances.34.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. 65.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. Patience is at 1.21% Blizzcon Chances.65.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.28%. 34.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.06%. Daisy vs Snute in in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals. Daisy is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances.37.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. 62.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%. Snute is at 36.59% Blizzcon Chances.62.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.88%. 37.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.45%. IEM Taipei Stage 1 Winning Chances in ~ Snute has a 43.63% chance to win----going from 36.59% to 40.67% if they get 1st, or 33.43% if they don't. HyuN has a 39.93% chance to win----going from 6.33% to 7.69% if they get 1st, or 5.43% if they don't. Soulkey has a 33.52% chance to win----going from 24.14% to 28.57% if they get 1st, or 21.91% if they don't. Patience has a 30.44% chance to win----going from 1.21% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't. Sacsri has a 28.52% chance to win----going from 3.32% to 4.32% if they get 1st, or 2.92% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Leenock has a 27.08% chance to win----going from 25.63% to 30.25% if they get 1st, or 23.92% if they don't. TRUE has a 26.57% chance to win----going from 2.1% to 2.82% if they get 1st, or 1.84% if they don't. jjakji has a 25.35% chance to win----going from 3.15% to 4.16% if they get 1st, or 2.8% if they don't. DongRaeGu has a 23.94% chance to win----going from 1.62% to 2.22% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't. Impact has a 21.78% chance to win----going from 0.91% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.81% if they don't. HerO has a 21.6% chance to win----going from 0.75% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Revival has a 20.69% chance to win----going from 0.41% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't. Daisy has a 17.21% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Has has a 15.58% chance to win----going from 2.59% to 3.51% if they get 1st, or 2.42% if they don't. Check has a 14.39% chance to win----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Ian has a 9.79% chance to win----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. IEM Taipei Winning Chances in ~ + Show Spoiler [IEM Taipei Winning Chances] + Rain has a 13.21% chance to win----going from 74.68% to 86.78% if they get 1st, or 80.64% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 13.18% chance to win----going from 71.24% to 83.46% if they get 1st, or 77.36% if they get 2nd. herO has a 10.99% chance to win----going from 90.76% to 98.06% if they get 1st, or 95.27% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.67% chance to win----going from 92.8% to 97.31% if they get 1st, or 92.27% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.69% chance to win----going from 76.26% to 85.5% if they get 1st, or 80.77% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 6.9% chance to win----going from 74.56% to 86.16% if they get 1st, or 73.7% if they don't. Hydra has a 5.92% chance to win----going from 45.75% to 60.39% if they get 1st, or 52.82% if they get 2nd. San has a 5.42% chance to win----going from 12.74% to 23.06% if they get 1st, or 17.11% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 4.85% chance to win----going from 38.42% to 55.33% if they get 1st, or 46.26% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 4.47% chance to win----going from 6.51% to 14.14% if they get 1st, or 9.46% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 2.51% chance to win----going from 36.59% to 57.97% if they get 1st, or 36.04% if they don't. HyuN has a 1.77% chance to win----going from 6.33% to 14.76% if they get 1st, or 6.18% if they don't. Sen has a 1.76% chance to win----going from 9.48% to 19.37% if they get 1st, or 13.98% if they get 2nd. Harstem has a 1.32% chance to win----going from 0.22% to 0.89% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't. Soulkey has a 1.21% chance to win----going from 24.14% to 49.01% if they get 1st, or 23.84% if they don't. Sacsri has a 0.97% chance to win----going from 3.32% to 9.44% if they get 1st, or 3.26% if they don't. Leenock has a 0.85% chance to win----going from 25.63% to 48.96% if they get 1st, or 25.43% if they don't. jjakji has a 0.81% chance to win----going from 3.15% to 9.7% if they get 1st, or 3.09% if they don't. Patience has a 0.8% chance to win----going from 1.21% to 4.42% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't. TRUE has a 0.67% chance to win----going from 2.1% to 7.09% if they get 1st, or 2.06% if they don't. DongRaeGu has a 0.59% chance to win----going from 1.62% to 5.85% if they get 1st, or 1.59% if they don't. HerO has a 0.44% chance to win----going from 0.75% to 3.64% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Impact has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.91% to 3.73% if they get 1st, or 0.9% if they don't. Make sure to get your WCS Wars fantasy teams ready before the start! | ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers from random WCS groups to WCS Premier ro32 group drawing (Sim ID #1197 vs Sim ID #1198) Biggest Winners Polt went up by 1.27%, going from 37.15% to 38.42% Snute went up by 1.22%, going from 35.37% to 36.59% NaNiwa went up by 0.93%, going from 20.56% to 21.49% ForGG went up by 0.68%, going from 75.58% to 76.26% Sen went up by 0.63%, going from 8.84% to 9.48% uThermal went up by 0.22%, going from 3.33% to 3.55% Jim went up by 0.2%, going from 5.36% to 5.56%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Biggest Losers MajOr went down by 1.09%, going from 22.44% to 21.35% viOLet went down by 0.97%, going from 13.1% to 12.13% Bunny went down by 0.68%, going from 11.48% to 10.8% Happy went down by 0.54%, going from 16.78% to 16.24% MaNa went down by 0.5%, going from 6.46% to 5.97% PiG went down by 0.3%, going from 6.98% to 6.68% Kane went down by 0.28%, going from 2.01% to 1.73%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Biggest Winners and Losers from previous WCS groups to WCS Premier ro32 group drawing (also includes some Aligulac rating changes, mostly from Proleague) (Sim ID #1196 vs Sim ID #1198) Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 3.57%, going from 42.19% to 45.75% Polt went up by 3.33%, going from 35.09% to 38.42% Dark went up by 1.55%, going from 44.02% to 45.57% Stats went up by 1.11%, going from 47.92% to 49.03% Sen went up by 0.99%, going from 8.48% to 9.48% TY went up by 0.94%, going from 58.26% to 59.2% ForGG went up by 0.65%, going from 75.61% to 76.26%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + YoDa went up by 0.65%, going from 20.86% to 21.51% Happy went up by 0.64%, going from 15.6% to 16.24% Snute went up by 0.62%, going from 35.97% to 36.59% TargA went up by 0.57%, going from 13.12% to 13.68% INnoVation went up by 0.46%, going from 56.34% to 56.79% Zest went up by 0.44%, going from 15.62% to 16.06% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.41%, going from 3.66% to 4.07% Losira went up by 0.15%, going from 2.08% to 2.23% Maru went up by 0.14%, going from 74.41% to 74.55% Serral went up by 0.14%, going from 0.75% to 0.89%Biggest Losers Rogue went down by 1.83%, going from 60.77% to 58.94% Dear went down by 1.76%, going from 51.82% to 50.06% Bunny went down by 1.44%, going from 12.24% to 10.8% Leenock went down by 1.24%, going from 26.88% to 25.64% viOLet went down by 1.1%, going from 13.23% to 12.13% MajOr went down by 1.09%, going from 22.44% to 21.35% ShoWTimE went down by 1.07%, going from 9.99% to 8.92%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + NaNiwa went down by 1.05%, going from 22.54% to 21.49% sOs went down by 0.99%, going from 18.12% to 17.13% MaNa went down by 0.45%, going from 6.42% to 5.97% PiG went down by 0.44%, going from 7.12% to 6.68% Jim went down by 0.44%, going from 5.99% to 5.56% Cure went down by 0.43%, going from 6.6% to 6.17% Bbyong went down by 0.42%, going from 7.74% to 7.32% MarineKing went down by 0.3%, going from 5.63% to 5.33% Flash went down by 0.28%, going from 4.61% to 4.33% Kane went down by 0.23%, going from 1.96% to 1.73% Hurricane went down by 0.22%, going from 1.7% to 1.48% Super went down by 0.17%, going from 52.6% to 52.43% PartinG went down by 0.15%, going from 71.39% to 71.24% Dream went down by 0.13%, going from 33.87% to 33.74% HerO went down by 0.13%, going from 0.88% to 0.75% Terminator went down by 0.13%, going from 28.37% to 28.24% ByuL went down by 0.11%, going from 1.26% to 1.15% MMA went down by 0.1%, going from 18.22% to 18.12%Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 93.16% Chances of 2+ foreigners 63.69% Chances of 3+ foreigners 25.4% Chances of 4+ foreigners 5.35% Snute 6.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 36.59% chance overall. NaNiwa 3.54% chance to be the only foreigner, 21.49% chance overall. MajOr 3.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 21.35% chance overall. Happy 2.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 16.24% chance overall. TargA 2.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.68% chance overall. Bunny 1.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.8% chance overall. Sen 1.31% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.48% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + ShoWTimE 1.28% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.92% chance overall. PiG 0.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.68% chance overall. MaNa 0.85% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.97% chance overall. Jim 0.76% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.56% chance overall. uThermal 0.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.55% chance overall. HuK 0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.43% chance overall. Has 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.59% chance overall. VortiX 0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.22% chance overall. iaguz 0.27% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. Kane 0.24% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.73% chance overall. TLO 0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.57% chance overall. Lilbow 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall. MorroW 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.22% chance overall. Nerchio 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.95% chance overall. Serral 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall. MaSa 0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.83% chance overall. Welmu 0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.76% chance overall. puCK 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. MacSed 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.58% chance overall. iAsonu 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.55% chance overall. XiGua 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.54% chance overall. Scarlett 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.56% chance overall. Astrea 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall. Ourk 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.43% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.42% chance overall.Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 0 defenses! MMA is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! Leenock is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!+ Show Spoiler [Headband History] + Leenock won the #3 from Terminator at StarLeague Season 1 Terminator defended the #3 from FanTaSy at StarLeague Season 1 Terminator won the #3 from TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1 sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at WCS Global Finals 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014 WCS Premier Ro32 Previews + Show Spoiler [WCS Ro32 Group Previews] + Kane, PiG, TargA, and Happy (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Kane is at 1.73% Blizzcon Chances.31.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.17%. 68.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.06%. TargA is at 13.68% Blizzcon Chances.60.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.5%. 39.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.91%. PiG is at 6.68% Blizzcon Chances.49.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.55%. 50.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.86%. Happy is at 16.24% Blizzcon Chances.58.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.89%. 41.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.71%. Bunny, MajOr, MaNa, and viOLet (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Bunny is at 10.8% Blizzcon Chances.51.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.86%. 48.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.5%. MaNa is at 5.97% Blizzcon Chances.44.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.07%. 55.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.45%. MajOr is at 21.35% Blizzcon Chances.56.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.23%. 43.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.63%. viOLet is at 12.13% Blizzcon Chances.47.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 16.94%. 52.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.87%. Polt, TLO, Jim, and Kelazhur (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Polt is at 38.42% Blizzcon Chances.72.07% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.09%. 27.93% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.38%. Jim is at 5.56% Blizzcon Chances.57.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.5%. 42.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.91%. TLO is at 1.57% Blizzcon Chances.44.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.51%. 55.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.82%. Kelazhur is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.25.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. 74.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. FireCake, puCK, ForGG, and Sen (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. FireCake is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances.24.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. 75.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. ForGG is at 76.26% Blizzcon Chances.80.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 79.63%. 19.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 62.76%. puCK is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances.32.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.14%. 67.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.34%. Sen is at 9.48% Blizzcon Chances.62.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.01%. 37.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.19%. Snute, XiGua, uThermal, and Astrea (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Snute is at 36.59% Blizzcon Chances.73.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.22%. 26.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.71%. uThermal is at 3.55% Blizzcon Chances.58.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.83%. 41.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.78%. XiGua is at 0.54% Blizzcon Chances.36.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.97%. 63.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. Astrea is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances.31.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.82%. 68.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. iAsonu, ShoWTimE, Hydra, and MorroW (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. iAsonu is at 0.55% Blizzcon Chances.35.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.02%. 64.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. Hydra is at 45.75% Blizzcon Chances.68.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 51.6%. 31.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.32%. ShoWTimE is at 8.92% Blizzcon Chances.54.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.15%. 45.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.01%. MorroW is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances.42.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.01%. 57.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.64%. Has, Serral, Suppy, and NaNiwa (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. Has is at 2.59% Blizzcon Chances.52.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.72%. 47.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.33%. Suppy is at 0.34% Blizzcon Chances.31.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.67%. 68.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. Serral is at 0.89% Blizzcon Chances.44.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.44%. 55.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.44%. NaNiwa is at 21.49% Blizzcon Chances.71.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.24%. 28.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.16%. HuK, MacSed, Welmu, and iaguz (unscheduled) in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 32. HuK is at 3.43% Blizzcon Chances.53.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.85%. 46.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.79%. Welmu is at 0.76% Blizzcon Chances.47.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.2%. 52.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. MacSed is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances.44.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.95%. 55.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.29%. iaguz is at 2.01% Blizzcon Chances.54.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.87%. 45.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.99%. WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances (unscheduled) ForGG has a 21.46% chance to win----going from 76.26% to 98.88% if they get 1st, or 84.07% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 10.58% chance to win----going from 45.75% to 93.27% if they get 1st, or 59.78% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 8.87% chance to win----going from 36.59% to 93.26% if they get 1st, or 31.07% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 7.86% chance to win----going from 21.49% to 77.46% if they get 1st, or 30.92% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 7.23% chance to win----going from 38.42% to 94.84% if they get 1st, or 56.49% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + MajOr has a 5.46% chance to win----going from 21.35% to 82.69% if they get 1st, or 35.2% if they get 2nd. Happy has a 5.16% chance to win----going from 16.24% to 75.02% if they get 1st, or 27.26% if they get 2nd. TargA has a 4.5% chance to win----going from 13.68% to 73.62% if they get 1st, or 24.01% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 3.3% chance to win----going from 8.92% to 66.36% if they get 1st, or 17.43% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 3.23% chance to win----going from 10.8% to 71.69% if they get 1st, or 21.56% if they get 2nd. viOLet has a 2.98% chance to win----going from 12.13% to 74.27% if they get 1st, or 24.64% if they get 2nd. Sen has a 2.69% chance to win----going from 9.48% to 78.51% if they get 1st, or 20.53% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 2.27% chance to win----going from 6.68% to 65.04% if they get 1st, or 15.24% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 2.24% chance to win----going from 5.97% to 61.74% if they get 1st, or 13.68% if they get 2nd. Jim has a 2.1% chance to win----going from 5.56% to 63.62% if they get 1st, or 12.71% if they get 2nd. uThermal has a 1.58% chance to win----going from 3.55% to 56.25% if they get 1st, or 2.7% if they don't. HuK has a 1.27% chance to win----going from 3.43% to 63.59% if they get 1st, or 2.66% if they don't. Has has a 1.06% chance to win----going from 2.59% to 57.61% if they get 1st, or 1.99% if they don't. iaguz has a 1.02% chance to win----going from 2.01% to 49.56% if they get 1st, or 1.52% if they don't. TLO has a 0.78% chance to win----going from 1.57% to 48.87% if they get 1st, or 1.2% if they don't. Kane has a 0.68% chance to win----going from 1.73% to 51.47% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't. MorroW has a 0.65% chance to win----going from 1.22% to 45.41% if they get 1st, or 0.93% if they don't. Serral has a 0.56% chance to win----going from 0.89% to 41.71% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't. Welmu has a 0.55% chance to win----going from 0.76% to 39.77% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.36% chance to win----going from 0.58% to 41.52% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. puCK has a 0.33% chance to win----going from 0.6% to 41.82% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. iAsonu has a 0.32% chance to win----going from 0.55% to 41.31% if they get 1st, or 0.43% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.29% chance to win----going from 0.54% to 41.72% if they get 1st, or 0.42% if they don't. Astrea has a 0.25% chance to win----going from 0.42% to 38.21% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together. + Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group 1 Happy has a ~ 5.16 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TargA has a ~ 4.5 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 PiG has a ~ 2.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kane has a ~ 0.68 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.6092 Group 2 viOLet has a ~ 2.98 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MaNa has a ~ 2.24 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MajOr has a ~ 5.46 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Bunny has a ~ 3.23 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.914 Group 3 Polt has a ~ 7.23 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TLO has a ~ 0.78 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Jim has a ~ 2.1 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kelazhur has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.1113 Group 4 Sen has a ~ 2.69 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ForGG has a ~ 21.46 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 puCK has a ~ 0.33 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 FireCake has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 24.48 Group 5 Snute has a ~ 8.87 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 XiGua has a ~ 0.29 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 uThermal has a ~ 1.58 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Astrea has a ~ 0.25 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0032 Group 6 MorroW has a ~ 0.65 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Hydra has a ~ 10.58 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ShoWTimE has a ~ 3.3 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 iAsonu has a ~ 0.32 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 14.8518 Group 7 NaNiwa has a ~ 7.86 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Suppy has a ~ 0 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Serral has a ~ 0.56 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Has has a ~ 1.06 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.47947 Group 8 HuK has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MacSed has a ~ 0.36 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Welmu has a ~ 0.55 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 iaguz has a ~ 1.02 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 3.20031 Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores 4 > 6 > 2 > 1 + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group 1 Happy is at ~ 16.24 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TargA is at ~ 13.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 PiG is at ~ 6.68 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kane is at ~ 1.73 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 38.3315 Group 2 viOLet is at ~ 12.13 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MaNa is at ~ 5.97 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MajOr is at ~ 21.35 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Bunny is at ~ 10.8 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 50.243 Group 3 Polt is at ~ 38.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TLO is at ~ 1.57 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Jim is at ~ 5.56 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kelazhur is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 45.5579 Group 4 Sen is at ~ 9.48 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ForGG is at ~ 76.26 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 puCK is at ~ 0.6 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FireCake is at ~ 0.08 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 86.4154 Group 5 Snute is at ~ 36.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 XiGua is at ~ 0.54 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 uThermal is at ~ 3.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Astrea is at ~ 0.42 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 41.1041 Group 6 MorroW is at ~ 1.22 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Hydra is at ~ 45.75 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ShoWTimE is at ~ 8.92 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 iAsonu is at ~ 0.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 56.4465 Group 7 NaNiwa is at ~ 21.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Suppy is at ~ 0.34 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Serral is at ~ 0.89 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Has is at ~ 2.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 25.3021 Group 8 HuK is at ~ 3.43 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MacSed is at ~ 0.58 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Welmu is at ~ 0.76 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 iaguz is at ~ 2.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 6.78431 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores 4 > 6 > 2 > 5 + Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group 1 Happy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.54 % TargA's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % PiG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.3 % Kane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.28 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.13172 Group 2 viOLet's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.97 % MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.5 % MajOr's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -1.09 % Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.68 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 3.24109 Group 3 Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.27 % TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Jim's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.2 % Kelazhur's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.46564 Group 4 Sen's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.63 % ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.68 % puCK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.05 % FireCake's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.25768 Group 5 Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 1.22 % XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % uThermal's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.22 % Astrea's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.38053 Group 6 MorroW's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Hydra's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.16 % ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.23 % iAsonu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.03 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.44277 Group 7 NaNiwa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.93 % Suppy's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.02 % Has's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.11 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.03466 Group 8 HuK's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.13 % MacSed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.03 % Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.05 % iaguz's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.09 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.309129 Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 8 + Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group 1 When Happy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.65 % When Happy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 6.53 % When TargA wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.82 % When TargA loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.77 % When PiG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.87 % When PiG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.82 % When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.44 % When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.68 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 28.5688 Group 2 When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.81 % When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.26 % When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.1 % When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.52 % When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.88 % When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 7.72 % When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.06 % When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.3 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.6495 Group 3 When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.67 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.04 % When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.94 % When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.75 % When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.94 % When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.64 % When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.02 % When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.0109 Group 4 When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.53 % When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.29 % When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.37 % When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 13.5 % When puCK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.54 % When puCK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.26 % When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.1 % When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.03 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 24.6255 Group 5 When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.63 % When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.88 % When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.42 % When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.24 % When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.28 % When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.77 % When Astrea wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.4 % When Astrea loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.19 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 21.8219 Group 6 When MorroW wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.79 % When MorroW loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.58 % When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.85 % When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 12.44 % When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.23 % When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 3.91 % When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.47 % When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.25 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 27.515 Group 7 When NaNiwa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 3.76 % When NaNiwa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.33 % When Suppy wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.33 % When Suppy loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.15 % When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.56 % When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.44 % When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.14 % When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.26 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.9668 Group 8 When HuK wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.42 % When HuK loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.64 % When MacSed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.37 % When MacSed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.3 % When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.44 % When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.4 % When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.86 % When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.01 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 6.43703 Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 4 + Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group 1 Happy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1922 TargA has an overall Aligulac rating of 1905 PiG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1789 Kane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1654 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7270 Group 2 viOLet has an overall Aligulac rating of 1874 MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1765 MajOr has an overall Aligulac rating of 1952 Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 1838 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7429 Group 3 Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1974 TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1616 Jim has an overall Aligulac rating of 1716 Kelazhur has an overall Aligulac rating of 1278 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6584 Group 4 Sen has an overall Aligulac rating of 1777 ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2281 puCK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1490 FireCake has an overall Aligulac rating of 1385 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6933 Group 5 Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 2047 XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1507 uThermal has an overall Aligulac rating of 1676 Astrea has an overall Aligulac rating of 1462 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6692 Group 6 MorroW has an overall Aligulac rating of 1568 Hydra has an overall Aligulac rating of 2109 ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1809 iAsonu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1521 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7007 Group 7 NaNiwa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1955 Suppy has an overall Aligulac rating of 1483 Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1571 Has has an overall Aligulac rating of 1609 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6618 Group 8 HuK has an overall Aligulac rating of 1633 MacSed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1476 Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1526 iaguz has an overall Aligulac rating of 1603 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6238 Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores 2 > 1 > 6 > 4 (only counting top 4s) Group 1 has a 1st place, two 2nd places, and a 4th place Group 2 has three 1st places and two 3rd places Group 3 has no top 4s Group 4 has two 1st places and two 4th places Group 5 has a 4th place Group 6 has two 2nd places and three 3rd places Group 7 has no top 4s Group 8 has a 4th place Group 2 is still our Group of Death (with different players though)! Congrats to viOLet, MaNa, MajOr, and Bunny! Group 4 barely edges out Group 1 for the 2nd place Group of Death with Sen, ForGG, puCK, FireCake! What do you think? Poll: Group of Death? (Vote): Kane, TargA, PiG, Happy Also check out the IEM Taipei previews here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=23653294 Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars! ----------------------- | ||
|
sharkie
Austria18388 Posts
| ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 IEM Taipei Day 2 + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + Simulation #1198 vs #1200 Biggest Winners Dark went up by 12.24%, going from 45.56% to 57.79% Soulkey went up by 6.2%, going from 24.15% to 30.35% HyuN went up by 4.25%, going from 6.33% to 10.58% MMA went up by 4.05%, going from 18.12% to 22.17% TRUE went up by 1.3%, going from 2.1% to 3.41% Solar went up by 0.99%, going from 30.53% to 31.52% Hurricane went up by 0.35%, going from 1.48% to 1.83%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Hydra went up by 0.34%, going from 45.75% to 46.09% Center went up by 0.26%, going from 0.84% to 1.1% NaNiwa went up by 0.24%, going from 21.52% to 21.76% TargA went up by 0.22%, going from 13.68% to 13.9% viOLet went up by 0.19%, going from 12.13% to 12.32% Bunny went up by 0.15%, going from 10.8% to 10.95% GuMiho went up by 0.14%, going from 61.41% to 61.55% Happy went up by 0.14%, going from 16.23% to 16.37% ShoWTimE went up by 0.12%, going from 8.93% to 9.05% Jim went up by 0.1%, going from 5.55% to 5.66% PiG went up by 0.1%, going from 6.69% to 6.79% Nerchio went up by 0.1%, going from 0.96% to 1.06%Biggest Losers Dear went down by 14.96%, going from 50.06% to 35.1% Snute went down by 6.08%, going from 36.6% to 30.52% MajOr went down by 2.69%, going from 21.32% to 18.64% Leenock went down by 1.63%, going from 25.64% to 24.02% Sacsri went down by 1.52%, going from 3.33% to 1.81% jjakji went down by 0.65%, going from 3.14% to 2.49% Patience went down by 0.48%, going from 1.21% to 0.73%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Dream went down by 0.46%, going from 33.73% to 33.27% DongRaeGu went down by 0.43%, going from 1.62% to 1.19% TY went down by 0.39%, going from 59.18% to 58.79% Bomber went down by 0.38%, going from 32.47% to 32.09% Has went down by 0.32%, going from 2.59% to 2.28% Seed went down by 0.3%, going from 0.47% to 0.17% Maru went down by 0.27%, going from 74.58% to 74.31% PartinG went down by 0.23%, going from 71.25% to 71.01% Zest went down by 0.22%, going from 16.07% to 15.85% Super went down by 0.22%, going from 52.45% to 52.23% INnoVation went down by 0.21%, going from 56.78% to 56.57% Losira went down by 0.21%, going from 2.23% to 2.01% uThermal went down by 0.16%, going from 3.55% to 3.38% YoDa went down by 0.15%, going from 21.49% to 21.33% Impact went down by 0.13%, going from 0.9% to 0.77% HyuN, Polt, Sen, and herO in in IEM Taipei round of 16. HyuN is at 10.58% Blizzcon Chances.55.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.06%. 44.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.71%. Sen is at 9.57% Blizzcon Chances.35.75% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.49%. 64.25% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.5%. Polt is at 38.42% Blizzcon Chances.44.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.73%. 55.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 35.03%. herO is at 90.77% Blizzcon Chances.64.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 93.52%. 35.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 85.77%. Check, Harstem, Classic, and Rain in in IEM Taipei round of 16. Check is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances.37.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. 62.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. Classic is at 6.55% Blizzcon Chances.55.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.67%. 44.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.14%. Harstem is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances.37.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. 62.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. Rain is at 74.77% Blizzcon Chances.68.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.27%. 31.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.04%. + Show Spoiler [Day 3 Groups] + Life, ForGG, Soulkey, and San in in IEM Taipei round of 16. Life is at 92.79% Blizzcon Chances.56.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 94.59%. 43.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 90.42%. Soulkey is at 30.35% Blizzcon Chances.38.84% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.95%. 61.16% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.43%. ForGG is at 76.26% Blizzcon Chances.52.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.91%. 47.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.34%. San is at 12.74% Blizzcon Chances.51.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.71%. 48.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.63%. Hydra, TRUE, Maru, and PartinG in in IEM Taipei round of 16. Hydra is at 46.09% Blizzcon Chances.47.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 49.64%. 52.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.84%. Maru is at 74.31% Blizzcon Chances.54.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 77.1%. 45.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.97%. TRUE is at 3.41% Blizzcon Chances.36.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.32%. 63.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.89%. PartinG is at 71.01% Blizzcon Chances.61.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 75.17%. 38.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.38%. IEM Taipei Winning Chances in ~ Rain has a 13.51% chance to win----going from 74.77% to 86.57% if they get 1st, or 80.52% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 13.03% chance to win----going from 71.01% to 83.27% if they get 1st, or 77.27% if they get 2nd. herO has a 11.24% chance to win----going from 90.77% to 98.02% if they get 1st, or 95.26% if they get 2nd. Life has a 10.3% chance to win----going from 92.79% to 97.27% if they get 1st, or 92.27% if they don't. ForGG has a 9.19% chance to win----going from 76.26% to 85.58% if they get 1st, or 80.89% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Maru has a 6.71% chance to win----going from 74.31% to 85.95% if they get 1st, or 73.47% if they don't. HyuN has a 5.99% chance to win----going from 10.58% to 18.6% if they get 1st, or 13.76% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 5.72% chance to win----going from 46.09% to 60.7% if they get 1st, or 53.11% if they get 2nd. San has a 5.53% chance to win----going from 12.74% to 23.09% if they get 1st, or 17.09% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 4.71% chance to win----going from 6.55% to 13.93% if they get 1st, or 9.32% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 4.64% chance to win----going from 38.42% to 55.4% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 3.27% chance to win----going from 30.35% to 50.77% if they get 1st, or 40.4% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 2.32% chance to win----going from 3.41% to 8.64% if they get 1st, or 3.28% if they don't. Sen has a 1.6% chance to win----going from 9.57% to 20.1% if they get 1st, or 14.25% if they get 2nd. Harstem has a 1.34% chance to win----going from 0.23% to 0.87% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. Check has a 0.88% chance to win----going from 0.14% to 0.66% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't. | ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 IEM Taipei Day 3 + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + Simulation #1198 vs #1203 Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 16.64%, going from 58.95% to 75.58% Dark went up by 11.53%, going from 45.56% to 57.08% HyuN went up by 8.8%, going from 6.33% to 15.13% Dear went up by 6.51%, going from 50.06% to 56.57% Soulkey went up by 5.58%, going from 24.15% to 29.73% Rain went up by 3.72%, going from 74.69% to 78.41% MMA went up by 3.61%, going from 18.12% to 21.73%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + herO went up by 2.99%, going from 90.78% to 93.76% Classic went up by 1.49%, going from 6.52% to 8.02% TRUE went up by 1.19%, going from 2.1% to 3.29% Solar went up by 0.63%, going from 30.53% to 31.15% Hurricane went up by 0.31%, going from 1.48% to 1.79% Center went up by 0.22%, going from 0.84% to 1.05% NaNiwa went up by 0.17%, going from 21.52% to 21.69% TargA went up by 0.13%, going from 13.68% to 13.81%Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 28.98%, going from 61.41% to 32.42% Snute went down by 6.25%, going from 36.6% to 30.35% Polt went down by 3.89%, going from 38.42% to 34.54% MajOr went down by 2.82%, going from 21.32% to 18.5% MyuNgSiK went down by 2.72%, going from 4.08% to 1.36% Leenock went down by 2.46%, going from 25.64% to 23.18% Sen went down by 2.35%, going from 9.47% to 7.13%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Sacsri went down by 1.59%, going from 3.33% to 1.73% TY went down by 1.01%, going from 59.18% to 58.18% Bomber went down by 0.84%, going from 32.47% to 31.63% Maru went down by 0.83%, going from 74.58% to 73.75% Dream went down by 0.82%, going from 33.73% to 32.91% jjakji went down by 0.73%, going from 3.14% to 2.41% INnoVation went down by 0.72%, going from 56.78% to 56.06% Super went down by 0.72%, going from 52.45% to 51.73% PartinG went down by 0.52%, going from 71.25% to 70.72% YoDa went down by 0.52%, going from 21.49% to 20.97% Patience went down by 0.5%, going from 1.21% to 0.7% DongRaeGu went down by 0.48%, going from 1.62% to 1.14% TaeJa went down by 0.44%, going from 24.76% to 24.32% Has went down by 0.32%, going from 2.59% to 2.27% Seed went down by 0.3%, going from 0.47% to 0.17% Losira went down by 0.28%, going from 2.23% to 1.94% Life went down by 0.26%, going from 92.79% to 92.53% Zest went down by 0.25%, going from 16.07% to 15.82% sOs went down by 0.25%, going from 17.12% to 16.87% Terminator went down by 0.23%, going from 28.26% to 28.03% FanTaSy went down by 0.21%, going from 7.82% to 7.62% Bbyong went down by 0.19%, going from 7.31% to 7.12% Stats went down by 0.18%, going from 49.04% to 48.85% MarineKing went down by 0.18%, going from 5.32% to 5.14% ForGG went down by 0.18%, going from 76.25% to 76.07% uThermal went down by 0.18%, going from 3.55% to 3.37% Cure went down by 0.18%, going from 6.16% to 5.98% Flash went down by 0.18%, going from 4.32% to 4.15% Impact went down by 0.17%, going from 0.9% to 0.73% San went down by 0.17%, going from 12.75% to 12.58% First went down by 0.13%, going from 9.2% to 9.07% Jaedong went down by 0.13%, going from 5.04% to 4.91% soO went down by 0.11%, going from 3.76% to 3.64% Revival went down by 0.1%, going from 0.41% to 0.31% Life, ForGG, Soulkey, and San in in IEM Taipei round of 16. Life is at 92.53% Blizzcon Chances.56.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 94.34%. 43.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 90.16%. Soulkey is at 29.73% Blizzcon Chances.38.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.17%. 61.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.91%. ForGG is at 76.07% Blizzcon Chances.52.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 78.67%. 47.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.2%. San is at 12.58% Blizzcon Chances.51.81% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.49%. 48.19% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.53%. Hydra, TRUE, Maru, and PartinG in in IEM Taipei round of 16. Hydra is at 45.76% Blizzcon Chances.47.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 49.18%. 52.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.63%. Maru is at 73.75% Blizzcon Chances.54.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.48%. 45.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.48%. TRUE is at 3.29% Blizzcon Chances.36.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.16%. 63.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.8%. PartinG is at 70.72% Blizzcon Chances.61.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 74.81%. 38.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 64.19%. IEM Taipei Winning Chances in ~ Rain has a 19.44% chance to win----going from 78.41% to 86.68% if they get 1st, or 80.63% if they get 2nd. herO has a 16.02% chance to win----going from 93.76% to 98.16% if they get 1st, or 95.57% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 12.03% chance to win----going from 70.72% to 83.16% if they get 1st, or 77.04% if they get 2nd. Life has a 8.65% chance to win----going from 92.53% to 97.16% if they get 1st, or 92.1% if they don't. Classic has a 8.22% chance to win----going from 8.02% to 14.57% if they get 1st, or 9.73% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + HyuN has a 8.11% chance to win----going from 15.13% to 23.12% if they get 1st, or 17.69% if they get 2nd. ForGG has a 7.73% chance to win----going from 76.07% to 85.72% if they get 1st, or 80.74% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 5.64% chance to win----going from 73.75% to 85.56% if they get 1st, or 73.05% if they don't. San has a 4.87% chance to win----going from 12.58% to 22.82% if they get 1st, or 16.99% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 4.73% chance to win----going from 45.76% to 60.52% if they get 1st, or 52.91% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 2.66% chance to win----going from 29.73% to 50.2% if they get 1st, or 39.61% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 1.91% chance to win----going from 3.29% to 8.43% if they get 1st, or 3.19% if they don't. | ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 IEM Taipei Day 4 + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + (Simulation #1198 vs #1205) Biggest Winners Rogue went up by 16.3%, going from 58.95% to 75.24% Dark went up by 11.01%, going from 45.56% to 56.57% Soulkey went up by 10.21%, going from 24.15% to 34.36% TY went up by 9.44%, going from 59.18% to 68.62% HyuN went up by 8.66%, going from 6.33% to 14.98% PartinG went up by 6.7%, going from 71.25% to 77.94% Dear went up by 6.25%, going from 50.06% to 56.32%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Maru went up by 4.63%, going from 74.58% to 79.21% Rain went up by 3.38%, going from 74.69% to 78.07% MMA went up by 3.32%, going from 18.12% to 21.44% herO went up by 3.02%, going from 90.78% to 93.8% Dream went up by 2.96%, going from 33.73% to 36.69% Life went up by 2.41%, going from 92.79% to 95.2% Classic went up by 1.16%, going from 6.52% to 7.69% ShoWTimE went up by 0.89%, going from 8.93% to 9.82% PiG went up by 0.77%, going from 6.69% to 7.45% viOLet went up by 0.68%, going from 12.13% to 12.81% HuK went up by 0.56%, going from 3.43% to 3.99% Happy went up by 0.5%, going from 16.23% to 16.73% TargA went up by 0.44%, going from 13.68% to 14.12% Bunny went up by 0.34%, going from 10.8% to 11.14% NaNiwa went up by 0.33%, going from 21.52% to 21.85% Hurricane went up by 0.29%, going from 1.48% to 1.77% MaNa went up by 0.26%, going from 5.96% to 6.22% TLO went up by 0.21%, going from 1.57% to 1.78% Center went up by 0.2%, going from 0.84% to 1.04% TRUE went up by 0.16%, going from 2.1% to 2.26% puCK went up by 0.13%, going from 0.6% to 0.73% Solar went up by 0.12%, going from 30.53% to 30.65% iaguz went up by 0.12%, going from 2.01% to 2.13% MacSed went up by 0.11%, going from 0.58% to 0.7% Nerchio went up by 0.11%, going from 0.96% to 1.07%Biggest Losers GuMiho went down by 29.33%, going from 61.41% to 32.08% Bomber went down by 14.9%, going from 32.47% to 17.57% ForGG went down by 10.23%, going from 76.25% to 66.03% Snute went down by 6.3%, going from 36.6% to 30.3% San went down by 5.25%, going from 12.75% to 7.5% Hydra went down by 3.07%, going from 45.75% to 42.68% Polt went down by 2.9%, going from 38.42% to 35.52%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + MyuNgSiK went down by 2.72%, going from 4.08% to 1.35% Sen went down by 2.68%, going from 9.47% to 6.79% Leenock went down by 2.64%, going from 25.64% to 23.01% MajOr went down by 2.33%, going from 21.32% to 18.99% Sacsri went down by 1.59%, going from 3.33% to 1.74% YongHwa went down by 1.11%, going from 2.09% to 0.99% INnoVation went down by 0.97%, going from 56.78% to 55.82% Super went down by 0.88%, going from 52.45% to 51.57% YoDa went down by 0.81%, going from 21.49% to 20.68% jjakji went down by 0.79%, going from 3.14% to 2.35% TaeJa went down by 0.72%, going from 24.76% to 24.04% Terminator went down by 0.61%, going from 28.26% to 27.64% Patience went down by 0.5%, going from 1.21% to 0.7% DongRaeGu went down by 0.49%, going from 1.62% to 1.13% Stats went down by 0.45%, going from 49.04% to 48.58% Zest went down by 0.37%, going from 16.07% to 15.71% sOs went down by 0.32%, going from 17.12% to 16.8% Seed went down by 0.31%, going from 0.47% to 0.16% Has went down by 0.31%, going from 2.59% to 2.29% Losira went down by 0.3%, going from 2.23% to 1.93% Cure went down by 0.29%, going from 6.16% to 5.86% FanTaSy went down by 0.29%, going from 7.82% to 7.54% Bbyong went down by 0.28%, going from 7.31% to 7.03% MC went down by 0.26%, going from 8.48% to 8.23% MarineKing went down by 0.2%, going from 5.32% to 5.12% Flash went down by 0.2%, going from 4.32% to 4.12% uThermal went down by 0.19%, going from 3.55% to 3.35% First went down by 0.19%, going from 9.2% to 9.01% Impact went down by 0.17%, going from 0.9% to 0.73% Jaedong went down by 0.12%, going from 5.04% to 4.92% Jim went down by 0.12%, going from 5.55% to 5.44% Revival went down by 0.11%, going from 0.41% to 0.31% PartinG vs Classic in in IEM Taipei quarterfinals. PartinG is at 77.94% Blizzcon Chances.62.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.42%. 37.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.83%. Classic is at 7.69% Blizzcon Chances.37.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 9.54%. 62.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.57%. Life vs HyuN in in IEM Taipei quarterfinals. Life is at 95.2% Blizzcon Chances.56.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.07%. 43.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 94.06%. HyuN is at 14.98% Blizzcon Chances.43.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.12%. 56.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.34%. herO vs Maru in in IEM Taipei quarterfinals. herO is at 93.8% Blizzcon Chances.58.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.36%. 41.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 91.54%. Maru is at 79.21% Blizzcon Chances.41.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 82.36%. 58.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 77.02%. Rain vs Soulkey in in IEM Taipei quarterfinals. Rain is at 78.07% Blizzcon Chances.62.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 80.76%. 37.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 73.61%. Soulkey is at 34.36% Blizzcon Chances.37.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.06%. 62.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 31.53%. IEM Taipei Winning Chances in ~ PartinG has a 21.89% chance to win----going from 77.94% to 85.2% if they get 1st, or 79.7% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 18.51% chance to win----going from 78.07% to 86.47% if they get 1st, or 80.42% if they get 2nd. herO has a 15.86% chance to win----going from 93.8% to 98.13% if they get 1st, or 95.55% if they get 2nd. Life has a 15.64% chance to win----going from 95.19% to 97.65% if they get 1st, or 94.74% if they don't. Maru has a 9.08% chance to win----going from 79.21% to 87.77% if they get 1st, or 78.35% if they don't. HyuN has a 7.55% chance to win----going from 14.98% to 22.77% if they get 1st, or 17.41% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 6.27% chance to win----going from 7.69% to 14.39% if they get 1st, or 9.8% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 5.2% chance to win----going from 34.36% to 50.89% if they get 1st, or 40.53% if they get 2nd. | ||
|
sharkie
Austria18388 Posts
Gotta pray for herO to pull off a miracle XD | ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
On January 31 2015 02:09 sharkie wrote: ouch, Sen, forgg and hydra's early losses all cost me quite a few points! Gotta pray for herO to pull off a miracle XD I got owned cause I forgot to sell ForGG and San before their group T_T went from #4 down to #9, stupid work distracting me lol | ||
|
sharkie
Austria18388 Posts
On January 31 2015 02:16 Die4Ever wrote: I got owned cause I forgot to sell ForGG and San before their group T_T went from #4 down to #9, stupid work distracting me lol I was going to sell Sen before his group but someone (you) was blocking me  And I was asleep when you fixed the error ^^ | ||
|
Die4Ever
United States17670 Posts
On January 31 2015 02:21 sharkie wrote: I was going to sell Sen before his group but someone (you) was blocking me And I was asleep when you fixed the error ^^ lol it wasn't an error, that's an intentional and automatic block, it usually passes much faster but my laptop doesn't run nearly as fast as my home pc | ||
| ||
