EPTOn March 27 2015 22:38 Darkdwarf wrote:
Gfinity doesn't have WCS points, though, right?
Gfinity doesn't have WCS points, though, right?
It does.
WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 15
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Elentos
55511 Posts
It does. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 Gfinity Spring 1 Day 2 + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + (Sim ID #1306 vs #1309) Biggest Winners   Rogue went up by 1.89%, going from 66.06% to 67.96% Snute went up by 1.74%, going from 34.37% to 36.11% Hydra went up by 1.32%, going from 56.49% to 57.82%  GuMiho went up by 0.57%, going from 12.43% to 12.99% Heart went up by 0.41%, going from 1.19% to 1.6%  MacSed went up by 0.35%, going from 1.26% to 1.61%Biggest Losers  Bunny went down by 3.53%, going from 29.46% to 25.93% Jim went down by 0.47%, going from 1.28% to 0.82% MC went down by 0.4%, going from 1.13% to 0.74% sOs went down by 0.32%, going from 33.78% to 33.47% Jaedong went down by 0.28%, going from 0.99% to 0.72% Losira went down by 0.18%, going from 1.81% to 1.63% Rain went down by 0.14%, going from 36.21% to 36.06%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + INnoVation went down by 0.13%, going from 74.76% to 74.63% TY went down by 0.12%, going from 28.65% to 28.52% Trap went down by 0.12%, going from 57.5% to 57.38% TargA went down by 0.11%, going from 5.44% to 5.32% Dear went down by 0.11%, going from 34.91% to 34.8% FanTaSy went down by 0.11%, going from 22.67% to 22.56% PartinG, Snute, TargA, and TRUE in in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. PartinG has the #2 Headband! PartinG is at 96.8% Blizzcon Chances.67.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.43%. 32.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 95.52%. TargA is at 5.32% Blizzcon Chances.19.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.83%. 80.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.2%. Snute is at 36.11% Blizzcon Chances.77.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.09%. 22.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.82%. TRUE is at 0.69% Blizzcon Chances.36.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.77%. 63.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.64%. Bunny, Hydra, FanTaSy, and Rain in in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Bunny is at 25.93% Blizzcon Chances.21.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 28.8%. 78.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.12%. FanTaSy is at 22.56% Blizzcon Chances.46.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.86%. 53.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.42%. Hydra is at 57.82% Blizzcon Chances.76.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.42%. 23.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.83%. Rain is at 36.06% Blizzcon Chances.54.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.77%. 45.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 32.79%. Rogue, Sacsri, Soulkey, and MC in in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. Rogue is at 67.96% Blizzcon Chances.81.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.54%. 18.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.38%. Soulkey is at 37.68% Blizzcon Chances.54.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.04%. 45.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.9%. Sacsri is at 2.9% Blizzcon Chances.46.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.09%. 53.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.73%. MC is at 0.74% Blizzcon Chances.17.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.96%. 82.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.69%. jjakji, Heart, Jaedong, and Terminator in in Gfinity Spring 1 round of 16. jjakji is at 0.33% Blizzcon Chances.47.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. 52.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.3%. Jaedong is at 0.72% Blizzcon Chances.21.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.95%. 78.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.65%. Heart is at 1.6% Blizzcon Chances.74.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.65%. 25.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.43%. Terminator is at 11.8% Blizzcon Chances.56.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.04%. 43.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.2%. Gfinity Spring 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 16.58% chance to win----going from 96.8% to 98.5% if they get 1st, or 97.74% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 13.4% chance to win----going from 57.82% to 62.44% if they get 1st, or 59.51% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 11.72% chance to win----going from 67.96% to 74.16% if they get 1st, or 70.26% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 9.73% chance to win----going from 36.11% to 41.53% if they get 1st, or 38.38% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 9.57% chance to win----going from 36.06% to 44.42% if they get 1st, or 40.43% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + FanTaSy has a 6.06% chance to win----going from 22.56% to 28.72% if they get 1st, or 25.52% if they get 2nd. Terminator has a 5.64% chance to win----going from 11.8% to 16.85% if they get 1st, or 14.13% if they get 2nd. Heart has a 5.62% chance to win----going from 1.6% to 2.26% if they get 1st, or 1.56% if they don't. Soulkey has a 5.39% chance to win----going from 37.68% to 46.07% if they get 1st, or 42.25% if they get 2nd. Sacsri has a 3.83% chance to win----going from 2.9% to 4.01% if they get 1st, or 2.85% if they don't. jjakji has a 2.91% chance to win----going from 0.33% to 0.53% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't. Bunny has a 2.73% chance to win----going from 25.93% to 32.81% if they get 1st, or 30.2% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 2.67% chance to win----going from 0.69% to 1.16% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't. Jaedong has a 1.74% chance to win----going from 0.72% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.7% if they don't. TargA has a 1.4% chance to win----going from 5.32% to 7.32% if they get 1st, or 6.52% if they get 2nd. MC has a 1.01% chance to win----going from 0.74% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 Gfinity Spring 1 Day 3 + Show Spoiler [Changes During This Tournament] + (Sim ID #1306 vs #1310) Biggest Winners Rain went up by 4.35%, going from 36.21% to 40.56% Hydra went up by 4.19%, going from 56.49% to 60.69% Soulkey went up by 3.83%, going from 37.67% to 41.5% Rogue went up by 3.3%, going from 66.06% to 69.36% PartinG went up by 0.93%, going from 96.83% to 97.75% Heart went up by 0.54%, going from 1.19% to 1.73% GuMiho went up by 0.54%, going from 12.43% to 12.97%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + MacSed went up by 0.39%, going from 1.26% to 1.65% TRUE went up by 0.37%, going from 0.7% to 1.08% ShoWTimE went up by 0.34%, going from 12.96% to 13.3% PiG went up by 0.26%, going from 8.47% to 8.73% MaNa went up by 0.21%, going from 8.65% to 8.87% Serral went up by 0.19%, going from 5.11% to 5.3% NaNiwa went up by 0.18%, going from 10.8% to 10.98% Polt went up by 0.18%, going from 27.85% to 28.02% ForGG went up by 0.15%, going from 60.19% to 60.34% Kane went up by 0.14%, going from 3.22% to 3.36% Welmu went up by 0.14%, going from 4.14% to 4.28% Zest went up by 0.11%, going from 65.68% to 65.79%Biggest Losers Snute went down by 5.38%, going from 34.37% to 28.99% Bunny went down by 5.27%, going from 29.46% to 24.2% FanTaSy went down by 2.72%, going from 22.67% to 19.95% Terminator went down by 2.64%, going from 11.89% to 9.25% TargA went down by 0.92%, going from 5.44% to 4.51% Sacsri went down by 0.68%, going from 2.91% to 2.22% MC went down by 0.44%, going from 1.13% to 0.69%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + sOs went down by 0.43%, going from 33.78% to 33.35% Jim went down by 0.43%, going from 1.28% to 0.86% Jaedong went down by 0.34%, going from 0.99% to 0.65% Losira went down by 0.21%, going from 1.81% to 1.61% soO went down by 0.18%, going from 11.8% to 11.62% Dear went down by 0.16%, going from 34.91% to 34.75% Cure went down by 0.15%, going from 15.59% to 15.44% Trap went down by 0.14%, going from 57.5% to 57.36% Flash went down by 0.11%, going from 10.09% to 9.98% Super went down by 0.1%, going from 22.53% to 22.43% PartinG vs Soulkey in in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals. PartinG has the #2 Headband! PartinG is at 97.75% Blizzcon Chances.57.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 98.18%. 42.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 97.17%. Soulkey is at 41.5% Blizzcon Chances.42.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.74%. 57.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 39.88%. Rain vs jjakji in in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals. Rain is at 40.56% Blizzcon Chances.57.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.37%. 42.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.06%. jjakji is at 0.35% Blizzcon Chances.42.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. 57.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%. Rogue vs TRUE in in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals. Rogue is at 69.36% Blizzcon Chances.55.87% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 70.99%. 44.13% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.29%. TRUE is at 1.08% Blizzcon Chances.44.13% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 55.87% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%. Heart vs Hydra in in Gfinity Spring 1 quarterfinals. Heart is at 1.73% Blizzcon Chances.41.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.92%. 58.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.6%. Hydra is at 60.69% Blizzcon Chances.58.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.94%. 41.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.9%. Gfinity Spring 1 Winning Chances PartinG has a 24.1% chance to win----going from 97.75% to 98.69% if they get 1st, or 98.09% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 17.64% chance to win----going from 60.69% to 64.64% if they get 1st, or 61.78% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 16.52% chance to win----going from 40.56% to 46.28% if they get 1st, or 42.18% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 14.05% chance to win----going from 69.36% to 74.61% if they get 1st, or 70.91% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 9.43% chance to win----going from 41.5% to 47.56% if they get 1st, or 43.76% if they get 2nd. TRUE has a 7.24% chance to win----going from 1.08% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't. Heart has a 6.14% chance to win----going from 1.73% to 2.33% if they get 1st, or 1.69% if they don't. jjakji has a 4.86% chance to win----going from 0.35% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
Trying out a new format for these update posts. Biggest Winners and Losers since before Gfinity Spring 1 (Sim ID #1306 vs Sim ID #1313) Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 5.36%, going from 56.49% to 61.85% Rain went up by 5.29%, going from 36.21% to 41.49% Rogue went up by 2.95%, going from 66.06% to 69.02% PartinG went up by 2.08%, going from 96.83% to 98.91% Soulkey went up by 1.44%, going from 37.67% to 39.11% GuMiho went up by 0.53%, going from 12.43% to 12.96% TargA went up by 0.49%, going from 5.44% to 5.92%+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] + MacSed went up by 0.39%, going from 1.26% to 1.65% ShoWTimE went up by 0.35%, going from 12.96% to 13.32% Arthur went up by 0.32%, going from 0.14% to 0.46% Zest went up by 0.28%, going from 65.68% to 65.95% MaNa went up by 0.24%, going from 8.65% to 8.9% PiG went up by 0.24%, going from 8.47% to 8.71% Dream went up by 0.17%, going from 76.44% to 76.61% NaNiwa went up by 0.17%, going from 10.8% to 10.97% Serral went up by 0.15%, going from 5.11% to 5.26% TRUE went up by 0.15%, going from 0.7% to 0.85% Welmu went up by 0.14%, going from 4.14% to 4.28% Kane went up by 0.11%, going from 3.22% to 3.33% Heart went up by 0.1%, going from 1.19% to 1.29%Biggest Losers Snute went down by 5.82%, going from 34.37% to 28.54% Bunny went down by 5.14%, going from 29.46% to 24.32% Terminator went down by 2.92%, going from 11.89% to 8.98% FanTaSy went down by 2.83%, going from 22.67% to 19.84% Sacsri went down by 0.96%, going from 2.91% to 1.95% Jim went down by 0.44%, going from 1.28% to 0.84% Jaedong went down by 0.39%, going from 0.99% to 0.61%+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Cure went down by 0.36%, going from 15.59% to 15.23% MC went down by 0.29%, going from 1.13% to 0.84% Bbyong went down by 0.24%, going from 38.73% to 38.49% soO went down by 0.23%, going from 11.8% to 11.58% Losira went down by 0.22%, going from 1.81% to 1.59% HyuN went down by 0.2%, going from 9.23% to 9.03% Solar went down by 0.17%, going from 20.14% to 19.97% ByuL went down by 0.17%, going from 7.86% to 7.69% Dark went down by 0.16%, going from 61.29% to 61.13% Bomber went down by 0.14%, going from 9.57% to 9.43% sOs went down by 0.14%, going from 33.78% to 33.65% TaeJa went down by 0.13%, going from 8.04% to 7.91% TY went down by 0.13%, going from 28.65% to 28.52% Trap went down by 0.12%, going from 57.5% to 57.38% Flash went down by 0.12%, going from 10.09% to 9.97%+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] + Chances of 1+ foreigners 86.61% Chances of 2+ foreigners 47.05% Chances of 3+ foreigners 12.99% Chances of 4+ foreigners 1.71% Snute 8.56% chance to be the only foreigner, 28.54% chance overall. Bunny 7.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 24.32% chance overall. ShoWTimE 3.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 13.32% chance overall. NaNiwa 2.87% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.97% chance overall. PiG 2.22% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.71% chance overall. MaNa 2.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.9% chance overall. MajOr 1.73% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.79% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + TargA 1.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.92% chance overall. Happy 1.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.74% chance overall. Serral 1.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.26% chance overall. Welmu 1.04% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.28% chance overall. Kane 0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.33% chance overall. Has 0.53% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.23% chance overall. Sen 0.45% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.86% chance overall. TLO 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.77% chance overall. HuK 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall. MacSed 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.65% chance overall. Lilbow 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.34% chance overall. VortiX 0.3% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.19% chance overall. FireCake 0.23% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.03% chance overall. Jim 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.84% chance overall. MorroW 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.69% chance overall. MaSa 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. Nerchio 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall. iaguz 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.62% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.6% chance overall. XiGua 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. uThermal 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.63% chance overall. puCK 0.11% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.46% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.1% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. GunGFuBanDa 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall. Boombox 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.24% chance overall. Harstem 0.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.25% chance overall. Petraeus 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.22% chance overall. Scarlett 0.01% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.23% chance overall.+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] + Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 2 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 6 defenses! Zest is the current #3 Headband holder with 1 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!+ Show Spoiler [Defense History] + PartinG defended the #2 from Hydra at Gfinity Spring 1 PartinG defended the #2 from Rain at Gfinity Spring 1 PartinG defended the #2 from Soulkey at Gfinity Spring 1+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] + PartinG defended the #2 from Snute at Gfinity Spring 1 PartinG defended the #2 from TRUE at Gfinity Spring 1 Life defended the #1 from PartinG at GSL Code S Season 1 Zest defended the #3 from Trap at IEM Katowice Zest won the #3 from Bbyong at IEM Katowice Bbyong won the #3 from herO at IEM Katowice herO defended the #3 from Cure at IEM Katowice PartinG defended the #2 from MMA at GSL Code S Season 1 herO defended the #3 from Rogue at GSL Code S Season 1 PartinG won the #2 from Solar at GSL Code S Season 1 herO won the #3 from Maru at GSL Code S Season 1 Maru won the #3 from PartinG at GSL Code S Season 1 Solar defended the #2 from Rogue at GSL Code S Season 1 Solar won the #2 from Dream at GSL Code S Season 1 Dream won the #2 from Dark at StarLeague Season 1 Dark defended the #2 from TY at StarLeague Season 1 Life defended the #1 from PartinG at IEM Taipei PartinG defended the #3 from Classic at IEM Taipei PartinG won the #3 from Maru at IEM Taipei Maru won the #3 from TRUE at IEM Taipei Dark defended the #2 from Dear at GSL Code S Season 1 Dark won the #2 from MMA at GSL Code S Season 1 TRUE won the #3 from Leenock at IEM Taipei Stage 1 Leenock defended the #3 from jjakji at IEM Taipei Stage 1 Leenock defended the #3 from Sacsri at IEM Taipei Stage 1 Leenock won the #3 from Terminator at StarLeague Season 1 Terminator defended the #3 from FanTaSy at StarLeague Season 1 Terminator won the #3 from TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1 sOs won the #4 from MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup MarineKing won the #4 from Zest at Hot6ix Cup Zest won the #4 from Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup Soulkey won the #4 from Flash at Hot6ix Cup Flash won the #4 from Classic at Hot6ix Cup Life won the #1 from MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014 MMA won the #2 from Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014 Classic won the #4 from herO at WCS Global Finals 2014 TaeJa won the #3 from INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] + 1.02% of the time 2375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 10.47% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 28.83% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 48.91% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 68.68% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.01% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.87% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon + Show Spoiler [Upcoming] + GSL Code A Season 2 in ~ Trap has a 82.74% chance to win----going from 57.38% to 61.36% if they get 1st, or 38.27% if they don't. Maru has a 72.57% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't. Symbol has a 72.56% chance to win----going from 4.93% to 5.98% if they get 1st, or 2.14% if they don't. Dark has a 69.61% chance to win----going from 61.13% to 68.14% if they get 1st, or 45.08% if they don't. YoDa vs DongRaeGu in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. YoDa is at 3.17% Blizzcon Chances.50.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.31%. 49.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%. DongRaeGu is at 1.49% Blizzcon Chances.49.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.64%. 50.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%. Seed vs soO in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Seed is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances.32.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. 67.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. soO is at 11.58% Blizzcon Chances.67.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.31%. 32.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.82%. ByuL vs YongHwa in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. ByuL is at 7.69% Blizzcon Chances.57.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.39%. 42.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.99%. YongHwa is at 0.59% Blizzcon Chances.42.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. 57.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.14%. + Show Spoiler [More Upcoming] + TaeJa vs Sorry in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. TaeJa is at 7.91% Blizzcon Chances.69.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.4%. 30.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.23%. Sorry is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances.30.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.52%. 69.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. Trap vs Panic in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Trap is at 57.38% Blizzcon Chances.82.74% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 61.36%. 17.26% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 38.27%. Panic is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.17.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. 82.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Copenhagen Spring in ~ PartinG has a 24.79% chance to win----going from 98.91% to 99.57% if they get 1st, or 98.69% if they don't. Rain has a 14.89% chance to win----going from 41.49% to 48.92% if they get 1st, or 40.19% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 9.02% chance to win----going from 19.84% to 25.87% if they get 1st, or 19.24% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 8.39% chance to win----going from 10.97% to 13.98% if they get 1st, or 10.69% if they don't. Hack vs Bbyong in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Hack is at 0.52% Blizzcon Chances.43.02% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.04%. 56.98% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. Bbyong is at 38.49% Blizzcon Chances.56.98% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.15%. 43.02% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.03%. Heart vs sOs in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Heart is at 1.29% Blizzcon Chances.35.32% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.87%. 64.68% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.42%. sOs is at 33.65% Blizzcon Chances.64.68% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.44%. 35.32% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.21%. Symbol vs PenguiN in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Symbol is at 4.93% Blizzcon Chances.72.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.98%. 27.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.14%. PenguiN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.27.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 72.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. WCS Premier Season 1 in ~ ForGG has a 21.07% chance to win----going from 60.26% to 95.41% if they get 1st, or 65.32% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 20.06% chance to win----going from 61.85% to 97.94% if they get 1st, or 69.65% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 10.75% chance to win----going from 28.54% to 84.81% if they get 1st, or 35.38% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 10.46% chance to win----going from 24.32% to 74.97% if they get 1st, or 29.66% if they get 2nd. ForGG, TLO, XiGua, and Serral in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ForGG is at 60.26% Blizzcon Chances.73.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.4%. 26.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.84%. XiGua is at 0.64% Blizzcon Chances.33.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.36%. 66.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.27%. TLO is at 1.77% Blizzcon Chances.38.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.34%. 61.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.79%. Serral is at 5.26% Blizzcon Chances.54.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.74%. 45.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.31%. ShoWTimE, PiG, MacSed, and Snute in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. ShoWTimE is at 13.32% Blizzcon Chances.59.28% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.89%. 40.72% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.67%. MacSed is at 1.65% Blizzcon Chances.28.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.3%. 71.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.99%. PiG is at 8.71% Blizzcon Chances.45.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.76%. 54.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.47%. Snute is at 28.54% Blizzcon Chances.66.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.91%. 33.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.97%. MyuNgSiK vs First in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MyuNgSiK is at 0.99% Blizzcon Chances.37.01% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.2%. 62.99% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.29%. First is at 2.94% Blizzcon Chances.62.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.27%. 37.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.68%. Hydra, FireCake, MaNa, and Polt in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Hydra is at 61.85% Blizzcon Chances.70.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.37%. 29.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.09%. MaNa is at 8.9% Blizzcon Chances.42.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.28%. 57.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.9%. FireCake is at 1.03% Blizzcon Chances.32.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.15%. 67.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.49%. Polt is at 27.87% Blizzcon Chances.54.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.16%. 45.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.82%. Welmu, Kane, Bunny, and Has in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Welmu is at 4.28% Blizzcon Chances.45.99% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.89%. 54.01% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.06%. Bunny is at 24.32% Blizzcon Chances.64.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.29%. 35.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.54%. Kane is at 3.33% Blizzcon Chances.48.92% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.26%. 51.08% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.49%. Has is at 2.23% Blizzcon Chances.40.72% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.95%. 59.28% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.05%. RagnaroK vs Dear in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. RagnaroK is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances.33.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.68%. 66.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Dear is at 34.85% Blizzcon Chances.66.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.35%. 33.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.91%. Bomber vs Shine in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Bomber is at 9.43% Blizzcon Chances.66.6% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.64%. 33.4% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.04%. Shine is at 0.13% Blizzcon Chances.33.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.32%. 66.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%. San vs Sacsri in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. San is at 1.92% Blizzcon Chances.50.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.31%. 49.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.5%. Sacsri is at 1.95% Blizzcon Chances.49.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.42%. 50.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.51%. Dream vs SuperNova in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Dream is at 76.61% Blizzcon Chances.49.24% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 85.04%. 50.76% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.42%. SuperNova is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances.50.76% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.48%. 49.24% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. Maru vs Billowy in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Maru is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances.72.57% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 100%. 27.43% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. Billowy is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances.27.43% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. 72.57% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Rain vs Cure in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Rain is at 41.49% Blizzcon Chances.59.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.99%. 40.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.36%. Cure is at 15.23% Blizzcon Chances.40.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.75%. 59.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.18%. Ryung vs Dark in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Ryung is at 0.21% Blizzcon Chances.30.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%. 69.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Dark is at 61.13% Blizzcon Chances.69.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.14%. 30.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.08%. Impact vs GuMiho in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Impact is at 0.51% Blizzcon Chances.44.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.02%. 55.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. GuMiho is at 12.96% Blizzcon Chances.55.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.96%. 44.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.44%. Flash vs Super in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Flash is at 9.97% Blizzcon Chances.51.49% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.02%. 48.51% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.68%. Super is at 22.57% Blizzcon Chances.48.51% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 30.77%. 51.49% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.85%. WCS Qualifiers Season 2 in ~ Ian has a 35.53% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Slam has a 30.48% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Top has a 30.44% chance to win----going from 0.19% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. TooDming has a 29.35% chance to win----going from 0.08% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. FanTaSy vs Pigbaby in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. FanTaSy is at 19.84% Blizzcon Chances.62.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.34%. 37.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.81%. Pigbaby is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances.37.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%. 62.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%. HerO vs Terminator in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. HerO is at 0.36% Blizzcon Chances.49.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.67%. 50.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. Terminator is at 8.98% Blizzcon Chances.50.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.19%. 49.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.63%. Soulkey vs Creator in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Soulkey is at 39.11% Blizzcon Chances.62.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.86%. 37.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.26%. Creator is at 3.03% Blizzcon Chances.37.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.18%. 62.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.73%. WCS Challenger Season 2 in ~ Polt has a 87.71% chance to win----going from 27.87% to 30.66% if they get 1st, or 7.95% if they don't. ForGG has a 87.69% chance to win----going from 60.26% to 64.9% if they get 1st, or 27.25% if they don't. Hydra has a 87.41% chance to win----going from 61.85% to 66.35% if they get 1st, or 30.61% if they don't. MajOr has a 86.57% chance to win----going from 6.79% to 7.74% if they get 1st, or 0.68% if they don't. MarineKing vs Patience in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MarineKing is at 2.4% Blizzcon Chances.53.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.88%. 46.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.71%. Patience is at 1.68% Blizzcon Chances.46.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.06%. 53.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%. Curious vs BrAvO in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Curious is at 0.86% Blizzcon Chances.59.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.35%. 40.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.16%. BrAvO is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances.40.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.2%. 59.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%. MC vs Trust in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MC is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances.35.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.93%. 64.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.24%. Trust is at 1.07% Blizzcon Chances.64.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.56%. 35.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.19%. DreamHack Tours in ~ PartinG has a 2.22% chance to win----going from 98.91% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 98.88% if they don't. Life has a 1.85% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Trap has a 1.72% chance to win----going from 57.38% to 79.52% if they get 1st, or 56.99% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.72% chance to win----going from 74.67% to 93.55% if they get 1st, or 74.34% if they don't. WCS Premier Season 2 in ~ ForGG has a 15.72% chance to win----going from 60.26% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 76.66% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 13.93% chance to win----going from 61.85% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 80.87% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 7.09% chance to win----going from 24.32% to 87.89% if they get 1st, or 40.19% if they get 2nd. NaNiwa has a 6.3% chance to win----going from 10.97% to 71.97% if they get 1st, or 19.16% if they get 2nd. DreamHack Valencia in ~ PartinG has a 2.21% chance to win----going from 98.91% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 98.88% if they don't. Life has a 1.85% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Trap has a 1.73% chance to win----going from 57.38% to 79.44% if they get 1st, or 56.99% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.71% chance to win----going from 74.67% to 93.58% if they get 1st, or 74.34% if they don't. DreamHack Stocholm in ~ PartinG has a 2.22% chance to win----going from 98.91% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 98.88% if they don't. Life has a 1.85% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Trap has a 1.72% chance to win----going from 57.38% to 79.56% if they get 1st, or 56.99% if they don't. INnoVation has a 1.72% chance to win----going from 74.67% to 93.35% if they get 1st, or 74.34% if they don't. Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars! ----------------------- | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code A Season 2 Day 1 YoDa vs DongRaeGu in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. YoDa is at 2.92% Blizzcon Chances.49.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.98%. 50.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.9%. DongRaeGu is at 1.54% Blizzcon Chances.50.5% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.7%. 49.5% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.36%. Seed vs soO in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Seed is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances.32.03% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%. 67.97% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. soO is at 12.56% Blizzcon Chances.67.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.49%. 32.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.34%. TaeJa vs Sorry in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. TaeJa is at 8.07% Blizzcon Chances.69.42% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.62%. 30.58% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.27%. Sorry is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances.30.58% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.54%. 69.42% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18397 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 Copenhagen Spring Day 1 Copenhagen Spring in ~ PartinG has a 26.72% chance to win----going from 99.35% to 99.76% if they get 1st, or 99.2% if they don't. Rain has a 16.46% chance to win----going from 42.22% to 49.46% if they get 1st, or 40.8% if they don't. FanTaSy has a 9.28% chance to win----going from 20.34% to 26.35% if they get 1st, or 19.72% if they don't. NaNiwa has a 9.23% chance to win----going from 11.09% to 14.08% if they get 1st, or 10.78% if they don't. TargA has a 5.68% chance to win----going from 5.97% to 8.1% if they get 1st, or 5.84% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Jaedong has a 5.39% chance to win----going from 0.8% to 1.36% if they get 1st, or 0.77% if they don't. Patience has a 5.26% chance to win----going from 1.76% to 2.78% if they get 1st, or 1.71% if they don't. SuperNova has a 4.19% chance to win----going from 0.89% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.87% if they don't. Ret has a 2.83% chance to win----going from 0.12% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Ryung has a 2.61% chance to win----going from 0.22% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. uThermal has a 1.79% chance to win----going from 0.64% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. MorroW has a 1.74% chance to win----going from 0.71% to 1.24% if they get 1st, or 0.7% if they don't. elfi has a 1.66% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Zanster has a 1.58% chance to win----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Revolver has a 1.01% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Miniraser has a 0.67% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Snovski has a 0.58% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Namshar has a 0.39% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Lillekanin has a 0.22% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18397 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On April 02 2015 06:27 sharkie wrote: Naniwa no show up heh he lost 100 points on WCS Wars from that, you're pretty close to that #1 spot  | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 2 Challenger Day 1 Leenock vs Flash in in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Leenock is at 6.12% Blizzcon Chances.48.69% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.35%. 51.31% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.15%. Flash is at 11.06% Blizzcon Chances.51.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.94%. 48.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.81%. Hurricane vs Rogue in in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Hurricane is at 3.07% Blizzcon Chances.41.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.74%. 58.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.48%. Rogue is at 70.69% Blizzcon Chances.58.69% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 82.09%. 41.31% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 54.49%. Symbol vs herO in in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Symbol is at 3.15% Blizzcon Chances.28.44% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 8.02%. 71.56% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.21%. herO is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances.71.56% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 28.44% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.92%. WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code A Season 2 Day 2 Hack vs Bbyong in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Hack is at 0.55% Blizzcon Chances.43.86% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.09%. 56.14% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.13%. Bbyong is at 38.2% Blizzcon Chances.56.14% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 46.96%. 43.86% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.98%. YongHwa vs ByuL in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. YongHwa is at 0.65% Blizzcon Chances.41.94% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.33%. 58.06% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%. ByuL is at 7.73% Blizzcon Chances.58.06% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 10.48%. 41.94% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.93%. Trap vs Panic in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Trap is at 56.4% Blizzcon Chances.81.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 60.8%. 18.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.3%. Panic is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances.18.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%. 81.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18397 Posts
On April 02 2015 06:53 Die4Ever wrote: he lost 100 points on WCS Wars from that, you're pretty close to that #1 spot trying my best with a lot of trades! | ||
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sharkie
Austria18397 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
End of WCS Wars Season 1 in ~ (Monday, Apr 06 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00)) Start of WCS Wars Season 2 in ~ (Tuesday, Apr 07 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00)) These are also shown in the Upcoming section on WCS Predictor. Make sure you're ready for the team resets! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
Lots of match previews for tomorrow! + Show Spoiler [Code A] + WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Code A Season 2 Day 3 Heart vs sOs in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Heart is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances.35.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.27%. 64.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.48%. sOs is at 33.66% Blizzcon Chances.64.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 40.66%. 35.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 21.01%. Symbol vs PenguiN in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. Symbol is at 1.08% Blizzcon Chances.69.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.48%. 30.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.18%. PenguiN is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.30.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 69.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. MyuNgSiK vs First in in GSL Code A Season 2 round of 48. MyuNgSiK is at 1.02% Blizzcon Chances.37.05% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.25%. 62.95% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.31%. First is at 3.04% Blizzcon Chances.62.95% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.4%. 37.05% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.73%. GSL Code A Season 2 Winning Chances Maru has a 72.77% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't. Symbol has a 69.18% chance to win----going from 1.08% to 1.48% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't. Dark has a 67.08% chance to win----going from 56.13% to 64.17% if they get 1st, or 39.74% if they don't. Dear has a 66.76% chance to win----going from 34.43% to 40.96% if they get 1st, or 21.32% if they don't. Bomber has a 66.53% chance to win----going from 9.76% to 13.09% if they get 1st, or 3.13% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + FanTaSy has a 64.6% chance to win----going from 26.36% to 33.94% if they get 1st, or 12.52% if they don't. sOs has a 64.41% chance to win----going from 33.66% to 40.66% if they get 1st, or 21.01% if they don't. Trust has a 64.31% chance to win----going from 1.12% to 1.64% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. First has a 62.95% chance to win----going from 3.04% to 4.4% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. Soulkey has a 62.39% chance to win----going from 36.81% to 44.65% if they get 1st, or 23.8% if they don't. Rain has a 61.3% chance to win----going from 48.8% to 60.54% if they get 1st, or 30.19% if they don't. Curious has a 59.37% chance to win----going from 0.9% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. GuMiho has a 55.95% chance to win----going from 13.35% to 19.48% if they get 1st, or 5.57% if they don't. MarineKing has a 53.47% chance to win----going from 2.45% to 3.95% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't. SuperNova has a 52.96% chance to win----going from 1.22% to 2.06% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Flash has a 51.5% chance to win----going from 3.35% to 5.59% if they get 1st, or 0.96% if they don't. Terminator has a 50.68% chance to win----going from 9.29% to 14.73% if they get 1st, or 3.7% if they don't. San has a 50.18% chance to win----going from 1.86% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. Sacsri has a 49.82% chance to win----going from 2.05% to 3.58% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. HerO has a 49.32% chance to win----going from 0.38% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Super has a 48.5% chance to win----going from 23.16% to 31.56% if they get 1st, or 15.24% if they don't. Dream has a 47.04% chance to win----going from 82.69% to 89.79% if they get 1st, or 76.38% if they don't. Patience has a 46.53% chance to win----going from 1.37% to 2.55% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't. Impact has a 44.05% chance to win----going from 0.54% to 1.09% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. BrAvO has a 40.63% chance to win----going from 0.09% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Cure has a 38.7% chance to win----going from 17.32% to 26.01% if they get 1st, or 11.84% if they don't. Creator has a 37.61% chance to win----going from 3.27% to 5.6% if they get 1st, or 1.87% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 37.05% chance to win----going from 1.02% to 2.25% if they get 1st, or 0.31% if they don't. MC has a 35.69% chance to win----going from 0.91% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. Heart has a 35.59% chance to win----going from 1.48% to 3.27% if they get 1st, or 0.48% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 35.4% chance to win----going from 0.25% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Shine has a 33.47% chance to win----going from 0.13% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 33.24% chance to win----going from 0.27% to 0.7% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Ryung has a 32.92% chance to win----going from 0.38% to 0.95% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't. PenguiN has a 30.82% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Billowy has a 27.23% chance to win----going from 0.05% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [SSL Challenger] + WCS Predictor 2015 StarLeague Season 2 Day 2 Super vs soO in in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Super is at 23.14% Blizzcon Chances.47.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.21%. 52.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 11.35%. soO is at 15.99% Blizzcon Chances.52.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.48%. 47.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.58%. Soulkey vs Cure in in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Soulkey is at 36.8% Blizzcon Chances.41.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.51%. 58.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.74%. Cure is at 17.31% Blizzcon Chances.58.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.13%. 41.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.11%. Trap vs Dark in in StarLeague Season 2 round of 24. Trap is at 33.59% Blizzcon Chances.56.17% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 48.59%. 43.83% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.38%. Dark is at 56.11% Blizzcon Chances.43.83% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 74.29%. 56.17% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 41.93%. StarLeague Season 2 Winning Chances PartinG has a 13.11% chance to win----going from 99.84% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Life has a 11.69% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. herO has a 9.49% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 9.11% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 6.05% chance to win----going from 44.06% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 93.42% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + INnoVation has a 5.53% chance to win----going from 74.44% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they get 2nd. Trap has a 4.97% chance to win----going from 33.59% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 90.56% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 4.66% chance to win----going from 82.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Bbyong has a 4.09% chance to win----going from 50.02% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 97.28% if they get 2nd. Hurricane has a 3.19% chance to win----going from 8.03% to 74.75% if they get 1st, or 30.01% if they get 2nd. Dark has a 3.18% chance to win----going from 56.11% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.71% if they get 2nd. Zest has a 2.99% chance to win----going from 71.08% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Dear has a 2.72% chance to win----going from 34.43% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 92.02% if they get 2nd. Cure has a 2.66% chance to win----going from 17.31% to 95.37% if they get 1st, or 63.77% if they get 2nd. sOs has a 2.65% chance to win----going from 33.69% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 91.83% if they get 2nd. HyuN has a 2.38% chance to win----going from 9.77% to 90.73% if they get 1st, or 48.94% if they get 2nd. Leenock has a 2.05% chance to win----going from 12.23% to 98.36% if they get 1st, or 57.99% if they get 2nd. soO has a 2.02% chance to win----going from 15.99% to 94.12% if they get 1st, or 63.04% if they get 2nd. Soulkey has a 1.72% chance to win----going from 36.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.27% if they get 2nd. Super has a 1.49% chance to win----going from 23.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 90.58% if they get 2nd. Classic has a 1.45% chance to win----going from 8.65% to 97.99% if they get 1st, or 58.2% if they get 2nd. ByuL has a 1.3% chance to win----going from 10.68% to 92.61% if they get 1st, or 57.4% if they get 2nd. Creator has a 0.73% chance to win----going from 3.28% to 77.42% if they get 1st, or 2.73% if they don't. Losira has a 0.67% chance to win----going from 1.67% to 67.15% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [Copenhagen] + WCS Predictor 2015 Copenhagen Spring Day 3 PartinG vs elfi in in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals. PartinG is at 99.84% Blizzcon Chances.71.55% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.88%. 28.45% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.74%. elfi is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances.28.45% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%. 71.55% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.06%. SuperNova vs Ryung in in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals. SuperNova is at 1.23% Blizzcon Chances.53.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.31%. 46.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.13%. Ryung is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances.46.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.41%. 53.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%. FanTaSy vs Jaedong in in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals. FanTaSy is at 26.37% Blizzcon Chances.58.71% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.65%. 41.29% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.54%. Jaedong is at 1.41% Blizzcon Chances.41.29% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.62%. 58.71% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.27%. Rain vs Miniraser in in Copenhagen Spring quarterfinals. Rain is at 48.81% Blizzcon Chances.69.47% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 50.21%. 30.53% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.62%. Miniraser is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.30.53% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. 69.47% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%. Copenhagen Spring Winning Chances PartinG has a 39.63% chance to win----going from 99.84% to 99.92% if they get 1st, or 99.85% if they get 2nd. Rain has a 24.8% chance to win----going from 48.81% to 53.72% if they get 1st, or 49.42% if they get 2nd. FanTaSy has a 13.28% chance to win----going from 26.37% to 31.26% if they get 1st, or 27.61% if they get 2nd. Jaedong has a 7.04% chance to win----going from 1.41% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 1.36% if they don't. SuperNova has a 5.8% chance to win----going from 1.23% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 1.2% if they don't. elfi has a 4.15% chance to win----going from 0.07% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Ryung has a 3.86% chance to win----going from 0.38% to 0.56% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't. Miniraser has a 1.43% chance to win----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [WCS Premier] + WCS Predictor 2015 WCS Premier Season 1 Ro16 (Sim ID #1326) Serral, XiGua, TLO, and ForGG in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Serral is at 5.02% Blizzcon Chances.54.46% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.4%. 45.54% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.19%. TLO is at 1.67% Blizzcon Chances.38.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.14%. 61.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.75%. XiGua is at 0.59% Blizzcon Chances.33.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.24%. 66.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%. ForGG is at 60.58% Blizzcon Chances.73.93% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 66.77%. 26.07% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.05%. Snute, MacSed, PiG, and ShoWTimE in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. This is the 2nd place Group of Death! Snute is at 27.63% Blizzcon Chances.65.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 33.99%. 34.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.29%. PiG is at 8.14% Blizzcon Chances.44.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.03%. 55.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.16%. MacSed is at 1.33% Blizzcon Chances.28.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.73%. 71.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.78%. ShoWTimE is at 15.51% Blizzcon Chances.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 20.37%. 39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.92%. Hydra, FireCake, MaNa, and Polt in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. This is the Group of Death! Hydra is at 61.68% Blizzcon Chances.70.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.21%. 29.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.89%. MaNa is at 8.63% Blizzcon Chances.42.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.88%. 57.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.72%. FireCake is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances.32.26% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.1%. 67.74% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%. Polt is at 28.07% Blizzcon Chances.54.85% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 36.39%. 45.15% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 17.95%. Welmu, Kane, Bunny, and Has in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Welmu is at 4.99% Blizzcon Chances.47.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.84%. 52.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.44%. Bunny is at 23.7% Blizzcon Chances.64.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 29.6%. 35.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 13.12%. Kane is at 3.13% Blizzcon Chances.48.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.98%. 51.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.4%. Has is at 2.12% Blizzcon Chances.40.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.8%. 59.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.98%. WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances ForGG has a 20.88% chance to win----going from 60.58% to 95.62% if they get 1st, or 66.01% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 19.72% chance to win----going from 61.68% to 98.04% if they get 1st, or 69.61% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 10.56% chance to win----going from 27.63% to 84.39% if they get 1st, or 34.15% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 10.33% chance to win----going from 23.7% to 74.15% if they get 1st, or 28.78% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 8.09% chance to win----going from 15.51% to 65.03% if they get 1st, or 19.72% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Polt has a 7.5% chance to win----going from 28.07% to 87.94% if they get 1st, or 39.67% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 4.5% chance to win----going from 8.14% to 58.65% if they get 1st, or 12.87% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 4.41% chance to win----going from 8.63% to 58.17% if they get 1st, or 13.77% if they get 2nd. Serral has a 3.58% chance to win----going from 5.02% to 49.36% if they get 1st, or 3.38% if they don't. Welmu has a 3.12% chance to win----going from 4.99% to 49.83% if they get 1st, or 8.39% if they get 2nd. Kane has a 2.23% chance to win----going from 3.13% to 45.57% if they get 1st, or 2.17% if they don't. Has has a 1.49% chance to win----going from 2.12% to 44.35% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't. TLO has a 1.43% chance to win----going from 1.67% to 39.42% if they get 1st, or 1.12% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.89% chance to win----going from 0.98% to 35.43% if they get 1st, or 0.67% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.64% chance to win----going from 0.59% to 31.41% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.61% chance to win----going from 1.33% to 44.65% if they get 1st, or 1.06% if they don't. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18397 Posts
;_; | ||
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sharkie
Austria18397 Posts
Maybe a clearer question: whats better: having only the winner in my team or having the winner and three others who obviously lost at some point in the bracket? | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On April 04 2015 07:22 sharkie wrote: Die4Ever: If one of my players win WCS and the other three obviously don't. Do I gain more points or lose more of them? Maybe a clearer question: whats better: having only the winner in my team or having the winner and three others who obviously lost at some point in the bracket? The 2% loss on selling isn't that much, if you could know that a player was going to lose then you would definitely sell them. However the whole bracket, from the quarterfinals and on, is all played in the same day and there might not be enough time to sell in between matches. If a player is an underdog then they don't drop many points when they lose. Your players are heavy favorites though. I think you should sell some players after the ro16 is done tomorrow, unless you think there will be time between rounds to sell and they get good ro8 draws. With the way the formula is right now, if you bought both finalists after they make the finals you would lose points for sure. Though this effect will be lessened since you would gain from their wins in ro16, ro8, and ro4. I think the best bet would be to keep 2 players after the ro16 is done. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18397 Posts
On April 04 2015 07:39 Die4Ever wrote: The 2% loss on selling isn't that much, if you could know that a player was going to lose then you would definitely sell them. However the whole bracket, from the quarterfinals and on, is all played in the same day and there might not be enough time to sell in between matches. If a player is an underdog then they don't drop many points when they lose. Your players are heavy favorites though. I think you should sell some players after the ro16 is done tomorrow, unless you think there will be time between rounds to sell and they get good ro8 draws. With the way the formula is right now, if you bought both finalists after they make the finals you would lose points for sure. Though this effect will be lessened since you would gain from their wins in ro16, ro8, and ro4. I think the best bet would be to keep 2 players after the ro16 is done. Yeah that was my plan as well since I know the brackets after tomorrow's groups are finished. Thanks for clarifying! I feel like I am the only one taking this seriously haha! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17671 Posts
On April 04 2015 07:46 sharkie wrote: Yeah that was my plan as well since I know the brackets after tomorrow's groups are finished. Thanks for clarifying! I feel like I am the only one taking this seriously haha! There are a few of us. I would be doing way better if IEM Katowice didn't kick my ass so bad lol. I think next season we'll get more activity. | ||
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