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[July] TLPD Race Winrate Graphs - Page 3

Forum Index > SC2 General
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dooraven
Profile Joined December 2010
Australia2820 Posts
August 07 2011 01:13 GMT
#41
That 38% win rate is pretty much due to the fact that Terrans have been using the 111 all month on non large maps and protoss haven't learnt to effectively deal with it yet.
Go go Alliance.
setzer
Profile Joined March 2010
United States3284 Posts
August 07 2011 01:14 GMT
#42
The PvZ statistics are the most surprising to me. Before the infestor buff I would have thought zergs were having a much more difficult time taking games off of protoss than those statistics show. It looks at though zerg was actually starting to equalize the matchup and then the infestor buff through it out of wack again. Did Blizzard react too fast in buffing zerg?

The Korean PvT isn't too startling. Protoss has always been the least represented race in Korea and outside of MC has had the least success. The Korean BW playstyles simply fits so much better with terran and zerg while I see protoss as more of a wc3 race, and Korea was never truly behind WC3. If this had Chinese statistics I'm sure the balance would be quite different.
Micket
Profile Joined April 2011
United Kingdom2163 Posts
August 07 2011 01:14 GMT
#43
If every league had dual site and Belshir Beach, maybe Terran wouldn't be so dominant. People say Terran imba this, Zerg weak that, and then Terran player says, "but zomg gsl ZvZ finals, infestor/brood lord too strong." Perhaps we have to wonder why Zerg seems to do ok at GSL. Apart from Nestea being a total God, maybe people have to realize that Terran is winning everywhere except GSL championships may be attributed to the existence of Xelnaga Caverns (gsl just removed), shattered temple (Gsl doesn't have this), Typhon Peaks (chokes), no dual site, no belshir beach.

Gsl are being very clever and good for them. Other leagues need to start removing xelnaga, crevasse, shattered, if they want to keep T in check. It's funny how Terran complain how Zerg may be overpowered when the matchup has been Terran favored (statistically) since forever. Terran players feel weak when the balance is near 50%.

As for Protoss, 1-1-1 eww.
ZenithM
Profile Joined February 2011
France15952 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-08-07 01:20:15
August 07 2011 01:15 GMT
#44
On August 07 2011 09:51 zeru wrote:
Looks like the terran buff (new BFH icon) really made the difference.

Also korea has a ton of amazing terrans while they dont have that many good protoss. International graph which has a bigger sample size still looks quite good.


Korea does have some amazing terrans. But maybe Korea also has amazing protoss players but we just simply don't see it because at that level of play terran is just crushing their faces.

It's funny, I'm not as bothered as much by Protoss being weak as I am by people telling me how OP it is.


That's the way I feel too :D. I'm actually glad to know that if a Protoss pro wins a series he actually is the better player. And I just don't understand why it's widely believed that Protoss is OP and we are hated for playing it. Most players played the race since the beta so it's not like they intended to pick the "imba race".

I do believe that Marine/Banshee/Tank is a bit too powerful. From what I saw at the GSL, it gives pretty much a 90% winrate for TvP. Only games I've seen where Protoss wins while Terran is doing this is if Protoss void ray all ins and it kicks in before Terran's all in timing or if Protoss's micro is just way better than Terran's. Doesn't seem very right to blind counter a possible all in with another all in.

And the difference of winrate in TvP is high enough that we can call the matchup imbalanced, or at least way in favor of T metagame-wise. It doesn't even fit on the graph and P has 38% winrate, are you kidding me?

The game is very unlikely to be patched right now I would say, so we will have to watch how things turn out and how pros deal with it before HotS.
Demonhunter04
Profile Joined July 2011
1530 Posts
August 07 2011 01:16 GMT
#45
On August 07 2011 09:49 isleyofthenorth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2011 09:48 Virtue wrote:
What is everyone talking about TvZ.. Its currently at 51/48. TvP is the one that is messed up!


lol but zerg was NEVER ahead in a WHOLE year. you dont you get that?


Well I suppose that you're referring to the international graph, which has a much larger population. The fact that zerg was never ahead means that they were either never overpowered, or that there was never an abnormally high proportion of really good zergs in relation to players of other races.
"If you don't drop sweat today, you will drop tears tomorrow" - SlayerSMMA
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
August 07 2011 01:20 GMT
#46
On August 07 2011 09:49 isleyofthenorth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2011 09:48 Virtue wrote:
What is everyone talking about TvZ.. Its currently at 51/48. TvP is the one that is messed up!


lol but zerg was NEVER ahead in a WHOLE year. you dont you get that?

So why does it matter that the matchup was unfair a year ago when it's getting close to even now?

TvP is definitely the most concerning matchup as it stands right now, at least based on the Korean statistics.
Moderator
EtohEtoh
Profile Joined May 2011
Canada669 Posts
August 07 2011 01:20 GMT
#47
more terran nerfs incoming?

koolaid1990
Profile Joined September 2010
831 Posts
August 07 2011 01:21 GMT
#48
Protoss players have trouble because protoss players suck. I mean think about it, MC is the sole person to have made the statement "protoss is op". Now that MC has been out of korea for a while, people can't be influenced by his all mighty builds. An example is when MC DOMINATED july in pvz with the 6 gate build which then became popularized, then protoss was overpowered in zvp. But MC went on a break for a while, zergs learned how to use infestors, then zerg is now favored. Its simply because protoss players suck, not cuz toss sucks. 1 guy influences the whole chart fyi, like marineking's 2 rax build that favored terran in tvz by ALOT after the finals.
Zealot Lord
Profile Joined May 2010
Hong Kong747 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-08-07 01:27:33
August 07 2011 01:21 GMT
#49
On August 07 2011 10:14 setzer wrote:
The PvZ statistics are the most surprising to me. Before the infestor buff I would have thought zergs were having a much more difficult time taking games off of protoss than those statistics show. It looks at though zerg was actually starting to equalize the matchup and then the infestor buff through it out of wack again. Did Blizzard react too fast in buffing zerg?

The Korean PvT isn't too startling. Protoss has always been the least represented race in Korea and outside of MC has had the least success. The Korean BW playstyles simply fits so much better with terran and zerg while I see protoss as more of a wc3 race, and Korea was never truly behind WC3. If this had Chinese statistics I'm sure the balance would be quite different.


Yeah, I think thats the thing Incontrol was talking about previously with SOTG if I remember correctly, that ZvP was getting pretty balanced even before the infestor buff - and now its no doubt a pretty difficult matchup.

man, Moon & Lyn really should have played protoss T_T They'd do so much better!! I love Moon to death, but I hate him for picking zerg, can you imagine what he'd do with blink stalkers?? o_O
Philipd122
Profile Joined April 2011
Australia776 Posts
August 07 2011 01:23 GMT
#50
I looked at the international graph and I thought it was the Korean one.

Then....
Oz | Leenock | GuMiho | Lucky | MC | PartinG | DRG | Mvp
K3Nyy
Profile Joined February 2010
United States1961 Posts
August 07 2011 01:25 GMT
#51
On August 07 2011 10:06 Stress wrote:
Keep in mind the Protoss in Korea only have a few outstanding players, unlike the other 2 races, and the marine/tank/raven timing is ridiculously good. I also think that the longer games in TvP are decide by good EMPs, wouldn't be surprised if there was some sort of change to it.


I really disagree with the whole "Protoss players are bad in general, only a few are good."

Maybe it's not they're bad, but the race is limiting their potential? I mean I watched Byun play Protoss in GSL and he did horrible. The next season he switched to Terran and guess what? Code A finals.

Whenever I watch MC play, he has INSTANT reaction to Terran drops and Baneling drops. That's ridiculously sharp. Whenever I watch other players, a lot of them do not even respond until the marines start shooting.

You seriously can't have 1/3 of the world playing and say that all of them are bad players.
SoKHo
Profile Joined April 2011
Korea (South)1081 Posts
August 07 2011 01:25 GMT
#52
I like how everyone on ladder says protoss is op, etc,etc but on the charts they are getting smashed haha
"If you don't understand my silence, you won't understand my words"|| Big Nal_rA fan boy!! Nal_rA, Bisu, Huk, MC, Hero fighting! SKT1---->
Demonhunter04
Profile Joined July 2011
1530 Posts
August 07 2011 01:30 GMT
#53
On August 07 2011 10:21 koolaid1990 wrote:
Protoss players have trouble because protoss players suck. I mean think about it, MC is the sole person to have made the statement "protoss is op". Now that MC has been out of korea for a while, people can't be influenced by his all mighty builds. An example is when MC DOMINATED july in pvz with the 6 gate build which then became popularized, then protoss was overpowered in zvp. But MC went on a break for a while, zergs learned how to use infestors, then zerg is now favored. Its simply because protoss players suck, not cuz toss sucks. 1 guy influences the whole chart fyi, like marineking's 2 rax build that favored terran in tvz by ALOT after the finals.


The last sentence is an important point. In the korean graphs, there aren't nearly as many games, so you can almost tell the race of each month's tournament winner simply by looking at the graph. This effect is magnified by the invention of new builds, of course.
"If you don't drop sweat today, you will drop tears tomorrow" - SlayerSMMA
x2fst
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
1272 Posts
August 07 2011 01:31 GMT
#54
i wonder if a valid use of these stats would be to adjust player performance in the different eras, obviously every player can't just shift the metagame by themselves so you could argue that some have been unlucky to play when the trends didn't favour their race or style
muda, is a crime for me to wear a shirt, cos I is so good lookin
isleyofthenorth
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Austria894 Posts
August 07 2011 01:32 GMT
#55
On August 07 2011 10:08 awesomoecalypse wrote:
Show nested quote +
yes that means that zergs looks waaaay better than they are because of nestea and losira


They undoubtedly have some influence, but should they somehow be ignored because they're good. Should we ignore MC's results when evaluating Toss?

If a race's best player is capable of dominating the way Nestea does, then thats useful to know for balance purposes, because it means that at the very highest skill level we can at the very least say the race is not UP. Like, towards the end of Savior's peak he was really the only Zerg stomping everybody, but simply because he was kicking everyone's ass, no one would ever try to claim Zerg was UP in any way (until Bisu showed up, but thats a different story).


i think you should kinda ignore mc yeah. there are just so many terrans code S and especially code A
that wouldnt in my opinion if the played p or z
akaname
Profile Joined July 2010
United Kingdom599 Posts
August 07 2011 01:34 GMT
#56
haha this just makes it even funnier when i beat terran (as protoss) and they cry imba...
There can be only none
awesomoecalypse
Profile Joined August 2010
United States2235 Posts
August 07 2011 01:37 GMT
#57
That stupid 1-1-1 TvP all-in is really skewing the numbers hard.

Protoss players have trouble because protoss players suck. I mean think about it, MC is the sole person to have made the statement "protoss is op". Now that MC has been out of korea for a while, people can't be influenced by his all mighty builds.


Uh, you realize MC hasn't missed a single GSL right? The only times he has been "out of Korea" are for specific tournaments, and then only when the GSL wasn't running or he'd already been eliminated. And its not like he's been dominating either--that frikking tank-raven all-in has killed him a shitload of times too.
He drone drone drone. Me win. - ogsMC
ZenithM
Profile Joined February 2011
France15952 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-08-07 01:40:47
August 07 2011 01:37 GMT
#58
Whenever I watch MC play, he has INSTANT reaction to Terran drops and Baneling drops. That's ridiculously sharp. Whenever I watch other players, a lot of them do not even respond until the marines start shooting.


Exactly, his minimap awareness, reflexes and overall mechanics are just insane, you can't expect that level of play of all players, and if you honestly look at all the TvT between top terrans, they have actually a "human" reaction time to drops but it doesn't punish them as harshly as it does in PvT (well until BFH appeared anyway ;D).

I still think that protoss needs an active units for harass, we don't have drops, phoenix are ridiculously APM-intensive for how easy/hard they are to handle, DTs are kind of a one-trick poney. And I feel like there is a misconception that "terrans and zergs have better multitasking than protosses" but it's just that we don't have any units to multitask with, and people don't realize that defending drops, run-bys and multi-pronged attacks is actually much harder than executing them. That's why MC vs Losira at MLG or MC vs Puma on Terminus at NASL were so impressive.
akaname
Profile Joined July 2010
United Kingdom599 Posts
August 07 2011 01:40 GMT
#59
On August 07 2011 10:37 ZenithM wrote:
Show nested quote +
Whenever I watch MC play, he has INSTANT reaction to Terran drops and Baneling drops. That's ridiculously sharp. Whenever I watch other players, a lot of them do not even respond until the marines start shooting.


Exactly, his minimap awareness, reflexes and overall mechanics are just insane, you can't expect that level of play of all players, and if you honestly look at all the TvT between top terrans, they have actually a "human" reaction time to drops but it doesn't punish them as harshly as it does in PvT (well until BFH appeared anyway ;D).

I still think that protoss needs an active units for harass, we don't have drops, phoenix are ridiculously APM-intensive for how easy/hard they are to handle, DTs are kind of a one-trick poney. And I feel like there is a misconception that "terrans and zergs have better multitasking than protosses" but it's just that we don't have any units to multitask with, and people don't realize that defending drops, run-bys and multi-pronged attacks is actually much harder than to execute them. That's why MC vs Losira at MLG or MC vs Puma on Terminus at NASL were so impressive.

just checking... you know Dustin Browder said they were look at a a dedicated marauder harassment unit for protoss for HotS?
There can be only none
MCDayC
Profile Joined March 2011
United Kingdom14464 Posts
August 07 2011 01:41 GMT
#60
Protoss buff incoming.
Exceelllleeeennnnnnntttt.
VERY FRAGILE, LIKE A BABY PANDA EGG
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