On October 25 2012 20:25 Jaedong4thOSL wrote: Show nested quote + On October 25 2012 20:22 TheBB wrote: Projections after Seed vs Ryung:
5-player round robin Seed
Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
Probability of achieving top 2: 87.402%
Most likely place: 1st (47.350%)
Flash
Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
Probability of achieving top 2: 49.387%
Most likely place: 1st (42.085%)
Ryung
Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
Probability of achieving top 2: 40.451%
Most likely place: 2nd (38.652%)
Sirius
Expected score: 1.64-2.36 (sets: 1.64-2.36)
Probability of achieving top 2: 16.403%
Most likely place: 4th (33.082%)
SuperNova
Expected score: 1.63-2.37 (sets: 1.63-2.37)
Probability of achieving top 2: 6.357%
Most likely place: 3rd (51.288%)
If Supernova > Sirius:
+ Show Spoiler + Seed Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28) Probability of achieving top 2: 90.469% Most likely place: 1st (50.101%) Ryung Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41) Probability of achieving top 2: 49.536% Most likely place: 2nd (46.652%) Flash Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59) Probability of achieving top 2: 45.233% Most likely place: 4th (46.952%) SuperNova Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 2.00-2.00) Probability of achieving top 2: 10.163% Most likely place: 3rd (80.546%) Sirius Expected score: 1.28-2.72 (sets: 1.28-2.72) Probability of achieving top 2: 4.599% Most likely place: 5th (48.730%)
If Sirius > Supernova:
+ Show Spoiler + Seed Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28) Probability of achieving top 2: 81.979% Most likely place: 1st (43.006%) Flash Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59) Probability of achieving top 2: 56.294% Most likely place: 1st (40.846%) Sirius Expected score: 2.28-1.72 (sets: 2.28-1.72) Probability of achieving top 2: 36.563% Most likely place: 3rd (43.645%) Ryung Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41) Probability of achieving top 2: 25.164% Most likely place: 4th (54.894%) SuperNova Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00) Probability of achieving top 2: 0.000% Most likely place: 5th (100.000%)
Did you code a program or something? That's accurate.
Yeah, I got this project running:https://github.com/TheBB/simul No real documentation on how to use it, though.
On October 25 2012 20:23 GolemMadness wrote: Show nested quote + On October 25 2012 20:22 KristofferAG wrote: Ahh, how long did that extremely long tiebreaker in the OSL go for? How many hours was that?
THIS LONG:
VIDEO
The LR thread is pretty funky.
United States 97274 Posts
On October 25 2012 20:23 Shellshock1122 wrote: GSL Season 5 Up & Down Matches
SuperNova (1-2) vs
Sirius (1-1)
Map: Cloud Kingdom
***** SCENARIO ***** IF SUPERNOVA LOSES HE IS OUT AND DOES NOT GET THE NESTEA AWARD 0:00
SuperNova spawns in the bottom left
Sirius spawns in the top right
2:00 Hatch first from Sirius on the low ground 14 CC from Supernova on the high ground at the top of his ramp Rax from Supernova to complete the wall off Gas for Sirius pool for Sirius 3:00 gas for Supernova 4:00 Ling speed started for Sirius Factory started for Supernova 2nd gas for Supernova CC floated to the low ground for Supernova 5:00 Bunker started at the natural choke for supernova Reactor finishes for supernova and the factory is switched to it Starport started for Supernova Reactored hellion production begins for Supernova 3rd base started for Sirius
Norway 25712 Posts
I think I watched the first two tiebreakers before I fell asleep in my chair.
On October 25 2012 20:22 Dodgin wrote: I'll be Owl's arch nemesis, we can be horribly reasonable to each other.
HAHA! I like it.
Nice harassment by Supernova.
That's a lot of hellions.O_O
On October 25 2012 20:26 TheBB wrote: Show nested quote + On October 25 2012 20:25 Jaedong4thOSL wrote: On October 25 2012 20:22 TheBB wrote: Projections after Seed vs Ryung:
5-player round robin Seed
Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
Probability of achieving top 2: 87.402%
Most likely place: 1st (47.350%)
Flash
Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
Probability of achieving top 2: 49.387%
Most likely place: 1st (42.085%)
Ryung
Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
Probability of achieving top 2: 40.451%
Most likely place: 2nd (38.652%)
Sirius
Expected score: 1.64-2.36 (sets: 1.64-2.36)
Probability of achieving top 2: 16.403%
Most likely place: 4th (33.082%)
SuperNova
Expected score: 1.63-2.37 (sets: 1.63-2.37)
Probability of achieving top 2: 6.357%
Most likely place: 3rd (51.288%)
If Supernova > Sirius:
+ Show Spoiler + Seed Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28) Probability of achieving top 2: 90.469% Most likely place: 1st (50.101%) Ryung Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41) Probability of achieving top 2: 49.536% Most likely place: 2nd (46.652%) Flash Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59) Probability of achieving top 2: 45.233% Most likely place: 4th (46.952%) SuperNova Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 2.00-2.00) Probability of achieving top 2: 10.163% Most likely place: 3rd (80.546%) Sirius Expected score: 1.28-2.72 (sets: 1.28-2.72) Probability of achieving top 2: 4.599% Most likely place: 5th (48.730%)
If Sirius > Supernova:
+ Show Spoiler + Seed Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28) Probability of achieving top 2: 81.979% Most likely place: 1st (43.006%) Flash Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59) Probability of achieving top 2: 56.294% Most likely place: 1st (40.846%) Sirius Expected score: 2.28-1.72 (sets: 2.28-1.72) Probability of achieving top 2: 36.563% Most likely place: 3rd (43.645%) Ryung Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41) Probability of achieving top 2: 25.164% Most likely place: 4th (54.894%) SuperNova Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00) Probability of achieving top 2: 0.000% Most likely place: 5th (100.000%)
Did you code a program or something? That's accurate.
Yeah, I got this project running:
https://github.com/TheBB/simul No real documentation on how to use it, though.
*peeks at tlpd.py Dude, requests and BeautifulSoup lol Nice work, I love this!
United Kingdom 50293 Posts
Well that was a sirius mistake.
terrible terrible damage.
Wax is that you asking Mr. Chae on twitter what happens in a 5 way tie? If so, does his response say?
United States 33075 Posts
standard Terran: Mvp does a build, everyone is using it the next day
So far sooooo gooooooooood
Your ovie get killed? Scout some more >< No excuse to die to something like this aside from being greedy.
lol. such a bad defense
United States 97274 Posts
On October 25 2012 20:26 Shellshock1122 wrote: Show nested quote + On October 25 2012 20:23 Shellshock1122 wrote: GSL Season 5 Up & Down Matches
SuperNova (1-2) vs
Sirius (1-1)
Map: Cloud Kingdom
***** SCENARIO ***** IF SUPERNOVA LOSES HE IS OUT AND DOES NOT GET THE NESTEA AWARD 0:00
SuperNova spawns in the bottom left
Sirius spawns in the top right
2:00
Hatch first from Sirius on the low ground
14 CC from Supernova on the high ground at the top of his ramp
Rax from Supernova to complete the wall off
Gas for Sirius
pool for Sirius
3:00
gas for Supernova
4:00
Ling speed started for Sirius
Factory started for Supernova
2nd gas for Supernova
CC floated to the low ground for Supernova
5:00
Bunker started at the natural choke for supernova
Reactor finishes for supernova and the factory is switched to it
Starport started for Supernova
Reactored hellion production begins for Supernova
3rd base started for Sirius
6:00 2nd factory started for Supernova Starport switched onto a tech lab Banshee started for supernova tech lab being built for second factory another gas for Sirius double evo chamber for Sirius 7:00 Overlord comes into the main base and supernova floats his 2nd factory away to hide it 1-1 started for Sirius Factory put on tech lab-- blue flame research started for Supernova viking started for Supernova 8:00 spinecrawler started in the natural for Sirius Sporecrawler started in the 3rd base mineral line Banshee enters the natural of Sirius Spores going up in every base now Banshee gets a few drone kills before a queen forces it back Supernova cleaning up creep in the middle of the map Lair started for Sirius 3rd CC started for Supernova 9:00 Baneling nest started for Sirius Big hellion force from Supernova drives into the natural of Sirius Hellions now go into the main 10:00 hellions killing tons of drones and lings all over the map armory going up for Supernova lings and queens finally clean up the first wave of hellions. Supernova up ahead by 20 works -- 28 killed
United Kingdom 50293 Posts
If sirius wins now I'll replace keen with him as my god in my sig.
On October 25 2012 20:29 mikedebo wrote: Show nested quote + On October 25 2012 20:26 TheBB wrote: On October 25 2012 20:25 Jaedong4thOSL wrote: On October 25 2012 20:22 TheBB wrote: Projections after Seed vs Ryung:
5-player round robin Seed
Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
Probability of achieving top 2: 87.402%
Most likely place: 1st (47.350%)
Flash
Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
Probability of achieving top 2: 49.387%
Most likely place: 1st (42.085%)
Ryung
Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
Probability of achieving top 2: 40.451%
Most likely place: 2nd (38.652%)
Sirius
Expected score: 1.64-2.36 (sets: 1.64-2.36)
Probability of achieving top 2: 16.403%
Most likely place: 4th (33.082%)
SuperNova
Expected score: 1.63-2.37 (sets: 1.63-2.37)
Probability of achieving top 2: 6.357%
Most likely place: 3rd (51.288%)
If Supernova > Sirius:
+ Show Spoiler + Seed Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28) Probability of achieving top 2: 90.469% Most likely place: 1st (50.101%) Ryung Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41) Probability of achieving top 2: 49.536% Most likely place: 2nd (46.652%) Flash Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59) Probability of achieving top 2: 45.233% Most likely place: 4th (46.952%) SuperNova Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 2.00-2.00) Probability of achieving top 2: 10.163% Most likely place: 3rd (80.546%) Sirius Expected score: 1.28-2.72 (sets: 1.28-2.72) Probability of achieving top 2: 4.599% Most likely place: 5th (48.730%)
If Sirius > Supernova:
+ Show Spoiler + Seed Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28) Probability of achieving top 2: 81.979% Most likely place: 1st (43.006%) Flash Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59) Probability of achieving top 2: 56.294% Most likely place: 1st (40.846%) Sirius Expected score: 2.28-1.72 (sets: 2.28-1.72) Probability of achieving top 2: 36.563% Most likely place: 3rd (43.645%) Ryung Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41) Probability of achieving top 2: 25.164% Most likely place: 4th (54.894%) SuperNova Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00) Probability of achieving top 2: 0.000% Most likely place: 5th (100.000%)
Did you code a program or something? That's accurate.
Yeah, I got this project running:
https://github.com/TheBB/simul No real documentation on how to use it, though.
*peeks at tlpd.py
Dude,
requests and
BeautifulSoup lol
Nice work, I love this!
Wow, thanks! That'll come in handy. :D
WOW. 28 drones left. I'd say Supernova has this.