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[Up/Down] Group D 2012 GSL Season 5 - Page 61

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
October 25 2012 11:26 GMT
#1201
On October 25 2012 20:25 Jaedong4thOSL wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 20:22 TheBB wrote:
Projections after Seed vs Ryung:

5-player round robin

Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 87.402%
      Most likely place: 1st (47.350%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 49.387%
      Most likely place: 1st (42.085%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 40.451%
      Most likely place: 2nd (38.652%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.64-2.36 (sets: 1.64-2.36)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 16.403%
      Most likely place: 4th (33.082%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.63-2.37 (sets: 1.63-2.37)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 6.357%
      Most likely place: 3rd (51.288%)

If Supernova > Sirius:
+ Show Spoiler +
Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 90.469%
      Most likely place: 1st (50.101%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 49.536%
      Most likely place: 2nd (46.652%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 45.233%
      Most likely place: 4th (46.952%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 2.00-2.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 10.163%
      Most likely place: 3rd (80.546%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.28-2.72 (sets: 1.28-2.72)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 4.599%
      Most likely place: 5th (48.730%)


If Sirius > Supernova:
+ Show Spoiler +
Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 81.979%
      Most likely place: 1st (43.006%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 56.294%
      Most likely place: 1st (40.846%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 2.28-1.72 (sets: 2.28-1.72)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 36.563%
      Most likely place: 3rd (43.645%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 25.164%
      Most likely place: 4th (54.894%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.000%
      Most likely place: 5th (100.000%)

Did you code a program or something? That's accurate.

Yeah, I got this project running:

https://github.com/TheBB/simul

No real documentation on how to use it, though.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
bgx
Profile Joined August 2010
Poland6595 Posts
October 25 2012 11:26 GMT
#1202
On October 25 2012 20:23 GolemMadness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 20:22 KristofferAG wrote:
Ahh, how long did that extremely long tiebreaker in the OSL go for? How many hours was that?


THIS LONG:


The LR thread is pretty funky.
Stork[gm]
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97277 Posts
October 25 2012 11:26 GMT
#1203
On October 25 2012 20:23 Shellshock1122 wrote:
GSL Season 5 Up & Down Matches
SuperNova (1-2) vs Sirius (1-1)
Map: Cloud Kingdom
***** SCENARIO *****
IF SUPERNOVA LOSES HE IS OUT AND DOES NOT GET THE NESTEA AWARD

0:00
SuperNova spawns in the bottom left
Sirius spawns in the top right

2:00
Hatch first from Sirius on the low ground
14 CC from Supernova on the high ground at the top of his ramp
Rax from Supernova to complete the wall off
Gas for Sirius
pool for Sirius

3:00
gas for Supernova

4:00
Ling speed started for Sirius
Factory started for Supernova
2nd gas for Supernova
CC floated to the low ground for Supernova

5:00
Bunker started at the natural choke for supernova
Reactor finishes for supernova and the factory is switched to it
Starport started for Supernova
Reactored hellion production begins for Supernova
3rd base started for Sirius
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
KristofferAG
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Norway25712 Posts
October 25 2012 11:26 GMT
#1204
On October 25 2012 20:23 GolemMadness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 20:22 KristofferAG wrote:
Ahh, how long did that extremely long tiebreaker in the OSL go for? How many hours was that?


THIS LONG:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-xaTLUppAc

I think I watched the first two tiebreakers before I fell asleep in my chair.
@KristofferAG | http://vestkyststoy.bandcamp.com | last.fm/user/KristofferAG
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 25 2012 11:28 GMT
#1205
On October 25 2012 20:22 Dodgin wrote:
I'll be Owl's arch nemesis, we can be horribly reasonable to each other.


HAHA! I like it.
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 25 2012 11:29 GMT
#1206
Nice harassment by Supernova.
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 25 2012 11:29 GMT
#1207
That's a lot of hellions.O_O
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
mikedebo
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada4341 Posts
October 25 2012 11:29 GMT
#1208
On October 25 2012 20:26 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 20:25 Jaedong4thOSL wrote:
On October 25 2012 20:22 TheBB wrote:
Projections after Seed vs Ryung:

5-player round robin

Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 87.402%
      Most likely place: 1st (47.350%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 49.387%
      Most likely place: 1st (42.085%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 40.451%
      Most likely place: 2nd (38.652%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.64-2.36 (sets: 1.64-2.36)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 16.403%
      Most likely place: 4th (33.082%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.63-2.37 (sets: 1.63-2.37)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 6.357%
      Most likely place: 3rd (51.288%)

If Supernova > Sirius:
+ Show Spoiler +
Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 90.469%
      Most likely place: 1st (50.101%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 49.536%
      Most likely place: 2nd (46.652%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 45.233%
      Most likely place: 4th (46.952%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 2.00-2.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 10.163%
      Most likely place: 3rd (80.546%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.28-2.72 (sets: 1.28-2.72)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 4.599%
      Most likely place: 5th (48.730%)


If Sirius > Supernova:
+ Show Spoiler +
Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 81.979%
      Most likely place: 1st (43.006%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 56.294%
      Most likely place: 1st (40.846%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 2.28-1.72 (sets: 2.28-1.72)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 36.563%
      Most likely place: 3rd (43.645%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 25.164%
      Most likely place: 4th (54.894%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.000%
      Most likely place: 5th (100.000%)

Did you code a program or something? That's accurate.

Yeah, I got this project running:

https://github.com/TheBB/simul

No real documentation on how to use it, though.


*peeks at tlpd.py

Dude, requests and BeautifulSoup lol

Nice work, I love this!
I NEED A PHOTOSYNTHESIS! ||| 'airtoss' is an anagram of 'artosis' ||| SANGHOOOOOO ||| "No Korea? No problem. I have internet." -- Stardust
Fusilero
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United Kingdom50293 Posts
October 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#1209
Well that was a sirius mistake.
Glorious SEA doto
Swiv
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany3674 Posts
October 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#1210
terrible terrible damage.
[_] Terran [_] Zerg [_] Protoss [X] Random ------- Fantasy - hyvaa - sOs
Kiyo.
Profile Joined November 2010
United States2284 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-10-25 11:30:39
October 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#1211
Wax is that you asking Mr. Chae on twitter what happens in a 5 way tie? If so, does his response say?
KT Rolster & StarTale <3 | twitter.com/RayFoxII - twitch.tv/RayFoxII
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33715 Posts
October 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#1212
standard Terran: Mvp does a build, everyone is using it the next day
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
mikedebo
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada4341 Posts
October 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#1213
So far sooooo gooooooooood
I NEED A PHOTOSYNTHESIS! ||| 'airtoss' is an anagram of 'artosis' ||| SANGHOOOOOO ||| "No Korea? No problem. I have internet." -- Stardust
Badfatpanda
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States9719 Posts
October 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#1214
Your ovie get killed? Scout some more >< No excuse to die to something like this aside from being greedy.
Music is a higher revelation than all wisdom and philosophy. -Beethoven | Mech isn't a build, it's a way of life. -MajOr | Charlie.Sheen: "What is sarcastic, kids who have no courage to fight?" | #TerranPride #yolo #swag -Naama after 2-0'ing MC at HSC VI
Undead1993
Profile Joined January 2012
Germany17651 Posts
October 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#1215
lol. such a bad defense
SEKO SEKO SEKO SEKO SEKO
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97277 Posts
October 25 2012 11:30 GMT
#1216
On October 25 2012 20:26 Shellshock1122 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 20:23 Shellshock1122 wrote:
GSL Season 5 Up & Down Matches
SuperNova (1-2) vs Sirius (1-1)
Map: Cloud Kingdom
***** SCENARIO *****
IF SUPERNOVA LOSES HE IS OUT AND DOES NOT GET THE NESTEA AWARD

0:00
SuperNova spawns in the bottom left
Sirius spawns in the top right

2:00
Hatch first from Sirius on the low ground
14 CC from Supernova on the high ground at the top of his ramp
Rax from Supernova to complete the wall off
Gas for Sirius
pool for Sirius

3:00
gas for Supernova

4:00
Ling speed started for Sirius
Factory started for Supernova
2nd gas for Supernova
CC floated to the low ground for Supernova

5:00
Bunker started at the natural choke for supernova
Reactor finishes for supernova and the factory is switched to it
Starport started for Supernova
Reactored hellion production begins for Supernova
3rd base started for Sirius

6:00
2nd factory started for Supernova
Starport switched onto a tech lab
Banshee started for supernova
tech lab being built for second factory
another gas for Sirius
double evo chamber for Sirius

7:00
Overlord comes into the main base and supernova floats his 2nd factory away to hide it
1-1 started for Sirius
Factory put on tech lab-- blue flame research started for Supernova
viking started for Supernova

8:00
spinecrawler started in the natural for Sirius
Sporecrawler started in the 3rd base mineral line
Banshee enters the natural of Sirius
Spores going up in every base now
Banshee gets a few drone kills before a queen forces it back
Supernova cleaning up creep in the middle of the map
Lair started for Sirius
3rd CC started for Supernova

9:00
Baneling nest started for Sirius
Big hellion force from Supernova drives into the natural of Sirius
Hellions now go into the main

10:00
hellions killing tons of drones and lings all over the map
armory going up for Supernova
lings and queens finally clean up the first wave of hellions.
Supernova up ahead by 20 works -- 28 killed
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Schelim
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Austria11528 Posts
October 25 2012 11:31 GMT
#1217
hahaha fuck yeah
TY <3 Cure <3 Inno <3 Special <3
Fusilero
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United Kingdom50293 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-10-25 11:31:16
October 25 2012 11:31 GMT
#1218
If sirius wins now I'll replace keen with him as my god in my sig.
Glorious SEA doto
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
October 25 2012 11:31 GMT
#1219
On October 25 2012 20:29 mikedebo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2012 20:26 TheBB wrote:
On October 25 2012 20:25 Jaedong4thOSL wrote:
On October 25 2012 20:22 TheBB wrote:
Projections after Seed vs Ryung:

5-player round robin

Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 87.402%
      Most likely place: 1st (47.350%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 49.387%
      Most likely place: 1st (42.085%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 40.451%
      Most likely place: 2nd (38.652%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.64-2.36 (sets: 1.64-2.36)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 16.403%
      Most likely place: 4th (33.082%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.63-2.37 (sets: 1.63-2.37)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 6.357%
      Most likely place: 3rd (51.288%)

If Supernova > Sirius:
+ Show Spoiler +
Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 90.469%
      Most likely place: 1st (50.101%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 49.536%
      Most likely place: 2nd (46.652%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 45.233%
      Most likely place: 4th (46.952%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 2.00-2.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 10.163%
      Most likely place: 3rd (80.546%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 1.28-2.72 (sets: 1.28-2.72)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 4.599%
      Most likely place: 5th (48.730%)


If Sirius > Supernova:
+ Show Spoiler +
Seed
      Expected score: 2.72-1.28 (sets: 2.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 81.979%
      Most likely place: 1st (43.006%)

Flash
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 2.41-1.59)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 56.294%
      Most likely place: 1st (40.846%)

Sirius
      Expected score: 2.28-1.72 (sets: 2.28-1.72)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 36.563%
      Most likely place: 3rd (43.645%)

Ryung
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 25.164%
      Most likely place: 4th (54.894%)

SuperNova
      Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 1.00-3.00)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.000%
      Most likely place: 5th (100.000%)

Did you code a program or something? That's accurate.

Yeah, I got this project running:

https://github.com/TheBB/simul

No real documentation on how to use it, though.

*peeks at tlpd.py

Dude, requests and BeautifulSoup lol

Nice work, I love this!

Wow, thanks! That'll come in handy. :D
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 25 2012 11:31 GMT
#1220
WOW. 28 drones left. I'd say Supernova has this.
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
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