The final week before the four team playoffs, this weekend will decide the last two teams to make the cut. They fight to see who will face MVP and Prime, and they're gunning for a spot in the finals in Vegas at IPL4.
The road has been long and arduous for each of these teams, especially so for New Star HoSeo and FXOpen, who are battling their way back from the bottom of the loser's bracket. They each get one more chance in the coming days to prove themselves, and show they deserve to play for a trip to a foreign land and the chance at both a team and individual title.
This week are the last of the losers bracket games, and despite finding themselves in the lower half of the bracket all of these teams stand a strong chance at making it into the finals should they win. Both MVP and Prime have looked strong, but far from unbeatable, and the best-of-nine format ensures that a team has to use resources to the fullest each time in order to come out ahead.
This week is a prelude of things to come, a taste of what we can expect to see in the coming weeks as the situation becomes more desperate for everyone involved.
Another MLG, another week forcing teams to divide their players between GSTL and foreign event. This time around, however, teams have apparently decided that the alure of a trip to IPL4 outweighs possible gains in Columbus and elected to keep more resources at home. Perhaps watching what happened to an Incredible Miracle sans Mvp, NesTea, and Losira was enough to scare them off trying to get by on the bare mimimum.
Both teams here lose a small but important part of their lineup, with FXO sending Oz abroad and oGs wishing TheStC success in America. It's tough to say if either got the better end of that trade, pound-for-pound Oz is the stronger player but TheStC is a more vital component of his team's roster.
The GSTL trail for both of these teams has been one of hardship, near-misses, and warming victories. FXO has had a bumpy ride, from falling to SlayerS in the first day of bracket play to bouncing back and taking them down in a rematch last week. In between they pummeled a dying ZeNEX but were overtaken by MVP.
Meanwhile Old Generations hasn't had a match that has taken less than nine games to decide. Each time they come to play it comes down to the wire, and win or lose, needing the entire length of the set before closing it out. They have enjoyed a dark horse in the form of VINES, while Fin has yet to put up a win in this league. The TeamLiquid piece of their lineup is enjoying more playtime recently, HerO stepping into the booth for three games against MVP and Zenio once against SlayerS, a trend that is likely to continue tonight.
When it comes down to it, FXO is the stronger team. Old Generations can put up wins, but they always struggle to get there. Their roster is largely players who are playing worse than they were months ago, and the loss of TheStC will hurt them. FXO has an opposite story, Leenock looked in form in his most recent Up/Down matches, and GuMiHo's biggest threat is TheStC who isn't a factor here. Even Choya looked more than prepared last week, and should do well in the opening match today given that preparation for InCa is often as simple as building a robotics.
While it may not be a landslide, FXO has the roster to grind oGs down to earn their way into the semifinals.
Mimicking the situation SlayerS and FXO found themselves in a week ago, StarTale and New Star HoSeo will meet again for a rematch of their first week in the bracket. Their last clash ended in embarrassing fashion when HoSeo fell to a Bomber all-kill, the only clean 5-0 victory this season.
In his following sets Bomber hasn't been nearly as impressive so HoSeo can perhaps breathe a sigh of relief. PartinG is also traveling this weekend, making the StarTale Protoss threat more one-dimensional. Still, they have Curious, Squirtle, and a back-to-Code-S July behind their Terran ace which is going to be tough for HoSeo to deal with in succession.
Though they may have been the team on the wrong side of both all-kills in this season, or perhaps because of it, HoSeo is a team that always comes to the match with a box of tools rather than objects of blunt force. A group that always rises to the occasion, they survive on smart builds and clever play, crafting their wins with delicate maneuvers that rely on precision rather than pure strength. Their only obvious star is Jjakji, who has never played a huge role in their team matches, forcing them to eek out victories here and there between Seal, San, and Sculp (at least that one time).
After AcE went all out in the match against Prime with celebrations and post-game antics, only to later lose the series, we can hope they are both more prepared both to win and have more calculated places planned for over-the-top victory dances.
Predicting StarTale to advance, but HoSeo has a knack for squeezing by at times when we least expect it.
as longh as dongraegu is on mvp can they actually lose? i feel almost bad when another team goes down a match or even loses one to mvp when its not drg cuz that means they have less chances to have lightning strike and beat him. with 5 shots at it theres a fraction of a hope
Good post, but one small error that would be cool to fix. The team "MVP" has the "V" capitalized while the clan "MvP" does not, and the team, while related to the clan is the professional one with genius/DRG and crew. So basically you need to capitalize that "V"
On March 23 2012 13:27 wattabeast wrote: Good post, but one small error that would be cool to fix. The team "MVP" has the "V" capitalized while the clan "MvP" does not, and the team, while related to the clan is the professional one with genius/DRG and crew. So basically you need to capitalize that "V"
I didn't believe you so I looked it up and apparently that's how DRG capitalizes it in his account name at LANs so it seems you're right. We should really fix Liquipedia about that.
On March 23 2012 13:27 wattabeast wrote: Good post, but one small error that would be cool to fix. The team "MVP" has the "V" capitalized while the clan "MvP" does not, and the team, while related to the clan is the professional one with genius/DRG and crew. So basically you need to capitalize that "V"
I didn't believe you so I looked it up and apparently that's how DRG capitalizes it in his account name at LANs so it seems you're right. We should really fix Liquipedia about that.
Haha yeah we should Its ok tho not many people know about it, I just pay wayyyyy too much attention to both eSports and to the korean scene to be socially acceptable, even in TL . But yeah its just a small thing
The oGsTL roster is stronger than the OP makes it out to be. There are plenty of snipers to take matches off of FXO, in lieu of strong mainstays. Their opener is going to make quite a bit of difference in the match. theStC was a solid opener for them, probably one of the best players for the role. I could see them opening with Fin this time.
FXO's roster is a bit of a conundrum. Oz is absent from action. GuMiHo has been underperforming as of late. Choya is an unexpected darkhorse. I can see the match going to the ninth set.
On March 23 2012 14:50 Battousai13 wrote: The oGsTL roster is stronger than the OP makes it out to be. There are plenty of snipers to take matches off of FXO, in lieu of strong mainstays. Their opener is going to make quite a bit of difference in the match. theStC was a solid opener for them, probably one of the best players for the role. I could see them opening with Fin this time.
I really expect HoSeo to take it, I understand the Bomber all kill that happened last time (and maybe both teams are sending peeps to MLG that I'm not quite taking into account) but for some reason I fee like HS is not longer just up-and-coming, but truly up. They have at least 3 players who are definitely solid enough to go up against to tip of the top on any team, and their code A/B guys are all strikingly good as well
I wish write-uppers could find the time to look at secondary team-leagues. NSHS has traded the all-kill in IPL TAC, for example: it should be something worth mentioning.