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Pyrry's Mafia Game - GG - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 19:11 GMT
#397
Well good afternoon folks, I'm ready to post some stuff.

I'll start with a big group of MSN logs. Koopie is green, and this is why I think so.

First one quick comment though:

chaoser wrote:
The best people in roles of leadership are either a DT or a vet with a clean hit record (never hit yet).

Disagree strongly on the DT. DTs want to stay behind the scenes and find a mouth. Best leaders are the Vet or a regular green towny, since they have no special powers that make the mafia want to kill them anyway.

Here's the MSN logs:

+ Show Spoiler +

I think this was on the second 24 hours of day 1
[22:54] Koops: *Poke*
[22:54] *** Auto-response sent to Koops: I am currently away from the computer.
[22:54] crate: hi
[22:55] Koops: Hey. =P
[22:55] Koops: I think I suck at the Mafia games, but I'm trying. >_>;
[22:55] crate: dont worry, i've pinned a number of players who are clearly bad
[22:55] crate: lol
[22:55] Koops: Lmao
[22:56] crate: i'm going back through the topic right now
[22:56] crate: havent gotten to your new posts yet
[22:56] Koops: ._.
[22:57] Koops: And if you want to play Brawl, I think Alex and my friend Adam want to play, too.
[22:58] crate: give me a little bit to finish up the mafia thread
[22:58] crate: then ok
[22:58] Koops: Mmk
[23:00] crate: fyi, my pick for surest town-aligned player right now is iLoveKTF
[23:00] Koops: Hey, me too.
[23:00] Koops: I'm pretty sure everyone else, too.
[23:01] Koops: My latest post is stupid and I regret, but whatever.
[23:01] crate: mm, doesnt do much but add confusion imo
[23:01] crate: not good
[23:01] Koops: Mmhm.
[23:02] Koops: Then again I haven't posted too much, so it's not like it would be hard to redeem myself.
[23:02] Koops: If I would even need to.
[23:02] crate: that post is the sort of post i've been noticing to pin players as bad
[23:02] crate: ;p
[23:02] Koops: Yes. -_-;
[23:03] crate: we'll have more to go on next day
[23:03] crate: i'm anticipating a quiet night
[23:03] Koops: Day 2 will be more fun.
[23:03] Koops: Like I said I hate Day 1.
[23:03] crate: day 2 is when we really get to see how players lean

---
This was yesterday:

I snipped a bit of this because we talk about Brawl a lot since we were playing during part of this.

[16:44] Koops: At least the town wants to protect you.
[16:45] crate: so i can bounce ideas off of you
[16:45] Koops: Yeah, you could.
[16:45] crate: well
[16:45] crate: here's my guess
[16:45] crate: one of the first three candidates for the election is mafia or none of them are
[16:46] crate: jeejee's timing seems too late to me for the mafia
[16:46] Koops: I think Shikyo is mafia.
[16:46] crate: ilovektf is clearly not mafia since he got ZERO support
[16:46] Koops: Um, yeah.
[16:46] crate: and shikyo has been posting lots and lots of fluff
[16:46] crate: so yeah
[16:46] Koops: Yep.
[16:46] crate: i have him down as the most likely red too
[16:46] Koops: And he was bandwagoned from the start..
[16:46] Koops: And then people changed.
[16:46] Koops: Just seems like he's mafia.
[16:47] crate: he's said extremely little considering the number of words he's posted
[16:47] Koops: I know!
[16:49] Koops: Well, fun. I figured you out.
[16:49] crate: right conclusion, wrong reason
[16:50] crate: lmao
[16:50] Koops: Rofl.
[16:55] Koops: I don't want Jimtudor protected. :|
[16:55] crate: if i were mafia there is no way i'd hit him right now
[16:55] Koops: I know...
[16:55] Koops: It's stupid.
[16:56] crate: i think most of the mafia is hiding in the >half of the players who havent said anything constructive
[16:56] Koops: Well, definitely.
[16:56] crate: its too easy
[16:56] Koops: It's the easiest.
[16:57] Koops: It blends them into a really big crowd.
[16:57] Koops: That's the best possible situation.
[16:57] crate: mhm
[16:57] Koops: Now, if everyone were active... It would be stupid.
[16:57] Koops: But that's not the case.
[16:58] Koops: Yeah, he would...
[16:59] Koops: Also if I was mafia, I'm sure my clues would be pretty simple to read. ;P
[17:00] crate: i do not envy pyr, trying to make up clues for so many players who probably have no profile and so few posts
[17:00] Koops: Yeah.
[17:00] Koops: I edited my profile because of that.
[17:00] crate: heh
[17:00] Koops: I even put a picture in there. ;-;
[17:00] crate: i see
[17:00] Koops: Not of me, but yes. Lol.
[17:00] crate: btw i think it's interesting how much more town-favored pyr's setup is than qatols
[17:00] crate: same number of players but we have an extra vigi, medic
[17:00] Koops: Yeah.
[17:01] crate: same number of mafia
[17:01] Koops: Honestly I want to see the town win, anyways.
[17:01] crate: and sheriff is way more powerful than pardoner
[17:01] Koops: Even though being on the mafia would be more exciting.
[17:01] crate: my favorite role is townie
[17:01] crate: actually
[17:01] crate: favorite role would be veteran
[17:01] crate: cause its SUPER townie
[17:01] Koops: Haha.
[17:02] Koops: Okay, again. If I was mafia I would not point out to you that I knew. :<
[17:02] crate: i know
[17:04] crate: i wonder how much the town really trusts shikyo
[17:05] Koops: I know I don't.
[17:05] crate: actually
[17:05] crate: i guess my big thought is that being able to just look past who is posting is the best
[17:06] crate: link the content to the player, not the player to the content, if you get what i mean
[17:06] Koops: Yeah, I get it.
[17:07] crate: and i do doubt i'm going to die tonight; i'm too obvious a target i think, and unless you're playing me really well, the mafia knows i havent really shown anything dangerous yet
[17:07] Koops: Great I mispelled send in my post.
[17:07] Koops: To end.
[17:07] Koops: -_-;
[17:07] crate: lol
[17:07] Koops: crate I don't think anyone really suspects you.
[17:07] Koops: But I'm sure people think you're with the town.
[17:07] Koops: Just my thoughts.
[17:08] crate: i have posted really nothing but facts, and a good plan is a good plan either way
[17:08] Koops: Because mafia members should seem like part of the town, too.
[17:08] crate: its easy to seem like part of our town
[17:08] crate: dont say anything
[17:08] crate: :p
[17:08] Koops: =P
[17:10] crate: while i'd be surprised if i die, i would be SHOCKED if you die
[17:10] Koops: Yes.
[17:10] crate: i really hope people dont roleclaim to shikyo
[17:10] crate: or to jeejee for that matter
[17:10] Koops: I KNOW.
[17:11] Koops: Hopefully they look at them just the same as others.
[17:11] Koops: To me they're even more suspcious.
[17:11] crate: yeah
[17:11] Koops: I can't type
[17:11] Koops: -_-;
[17:11] crate: anyone running is suspicious
[17:11] Koops: Yeah.
[17:11] Koops: That's what I had said before.
[17:11] Koops: To silly Jimtudor.
[17:11] Koops: ;_;
[17:11] crate: i hope his clue analysis is as good as he claims
[17:11] Koops: Who's the one that said they ran before they looked?
[17:11] crate: ilovektf
[17:12] crate: all the more reason to think he's not mafia, after the overwhelming show of support he got, lol
[17:12] Koops: Yeah.
[17:12] crate: he does have some name value; tbh his platform is comparable to jeejee but jeejee had better timing
[17:13] Koops: I'd rather have ilovektf but I'd rather have JeeJee over Shikyo. So that's why I voted for him.
[17:13] Koops: Wow...
[17:13] Koops: I really can't type.
[17:13] crate: foolishness must be town, since a mafia playing like that makes no sense
[17:14] crate: the town as a whole likes shikyo
[17:14] crate: so saying he's shifty at this point only makes you suspicious
[17:14] Koops: :S
[17:14] crate: hence no mafia would do it regardless of shikyo's alignment
[17:14] crate: saying it publicly anyway
[17:15] Koops: I'm just waiting for the nigt actions to be sent so we can move on.
[17:15] Koops: night*
[17:15] crate: heh yeah
[17:15] crate: tomorrow it should get interesting
[17:15] Koops: Yeah.
[17:15] Koops: I really want to see who gets killed. >_>;
[17:18] Koops: Aw... why do we have a big chunk of inactives? ._.
[17:19] crate: new players who got townie and get bored, then mafia hide amongst them
[17:19] Koops: I'd laugh if they were all mafia.
[17:19] crate: i guess
[17:19] Koops: Lmao.
[17:19] crate: idk, i love being townie, like jeejee said
[17:28] crate: oh btw now i understand that ":S" earlier; i hadnt read your post when you said it
[17:28] Koops: Yes...
[17:28] Koops: -_-;
[17:28] Koops: It's okay, though.
[17:29] Koops: Things can work in a lot of different ways if people at least begin to CONSIDER Shikyo.
[17:29] crate: i think your biggest problem is the timing of that post
[17:29] crate: you want to wait till day to say those things
[17:29] Koops: That's true.
[17:29] Koops: But if I was hit
[17:29] crate: unless you have some reason to think you're going to die
[17:30] Koops: It's kind of safe to say who could be mafia.
[17:30] Koops: >_>
[17:30] Koops: Also, it could just be me looking like I'm asking an honest question.
[17:30] Koops: Who knows.
[17:30] crate: you look more like a stupid townie than anything else so far to me
[17:30] crate: >_>
[17:30] Koops: Ahahaha.
[17:31] crate: but not a really stupid townie
[17:31] crate: i have a couple of those marked down
[17:31] crate: they're really absurdly bad or dumb or something
[17:31] Koops: I really just want to know why he put Jimtudor on the list, that's all.
[17:31] Koops: There are more important people to the town.
[17:32] crate: defend it like that if anyone questions your wording
[17:32] Koops: He doesn't really post, and if he does...
[17:32] Koops: It sucks.
[17:33] crate: i hope you are town aligned and can pick up on other roles like you sniped mine
[18:16] Koops: I got Shikyo to add iloveKTF.
[18:16] Koops: I am great.
[18:17] Koops: Even though it doesn't mean that much.
[18:17] Koops: Lmao.
[18:17] crate: heh
[18:17] Koops: Oh well, I just wanted to redeem my stupid.
[18:17] Koops: .-.
[18:17] crate: it's ok; you're not the only one who's made dumb posts
[18:18] Koops: Yeah, I know.


Take that as you will. She's playing badly for sure, but I think she's just being stupid and I hope she'll stop being stupid soon.

(One note of emphasis: don't look at who is saying what when you're reading posts. Look at what's being said, see if it makes sense/contributes anything, THEN look at who wrote it. I said this above but I know half of you aren't going to read the whole convo.)

Obviously this dovetails nicely into my suspicions. I'm going to call Shikyo out for his huge volume of words with little to nothing said in them. If you want to convince me you're not a mafia trying to play the town by hiding behind lots of fluff, start making real contributions instead of repeating things that were already said and agreeing with everyone. The mayor position doesn't strike me as a real benefit to the town anyway other than keeping the mayor behind BG protection, and let me tell you I am not convinced Shikyo is worth that BG protection. Regardless of your alignment I think your fluff isn't helping the town any.

(After I wrote this I saw your most recent post. Definitely a step up if your targets happen to be good).

Right now my dumb players list includes Raxor, Pawsome, The_Master, Koopie (well...), and l10f.

Inactives: omG.[RaYnE], clazziquai, motbob, adriix33 (didn't vote, may get modkilled after day 2), SugiuraMidori (claimed quite some time ago he'd be inactive--driving from Tuscon, but that's too long ago, also in danger of modkill), Knutti, and epicdoom

My guess is probably half the mafia is among those players. Some of the stupid players are probably just being stupid because they're not reading the whole thread or have no idea what to do or just don't actually think and re-read their posts before they click the button, but even in a newbie game that will only get you so far imo.

fuck i'm tired of writing for a bit I'll follow this up in a bit but I need a break from writing for now

start making posts with content people there are at least two couple obvious things that people should do to contribute. I'm not going to tell you what they are though since I want to know who is actually thinking in this game and who isn't, and I'm going to do one of them myself soon if no one else does
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 20:00 GMT
#401
I know full well I'm playing badly, lol. I've already lost count of my mistakes, and the two posts leading to me posting those logs are even called "mistakes" in the post because they FUCKING ARE. Koopie has been completely un-suspicious to me and I want her to have fun by not dying yet.

If you guys think I'm shady, go for it; knock me off. I have nothing to hide.

I voted for RaXor because of a hunch like I said. If you guys don't agree with me, okay. I don't have a case against him right now other than saying it's a hunch. I can't explain why but I think the clue I linked to him is as strong as the clues linked to Jayme (it's the kind of clue I'd have come up with, at any rate) and Jayme's behavior did not make me suspicious while Raxor's did.
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 20:01 GMT
#402
I still have more to post later and there are still two obvious post subjects that will be covered by the end of day 2, by me if no one else steps up.
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 20:07 GMT
#404
They're just facts. I will make the posts when I am not so FUCKING TIRED OF WRITING since they're lots of work if no one else does.
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 20:10 GMT
#405
Wow that last post has godawful sentence structure. Let me try again.

The two posts I am talking about are just facts (as in, it does not matter one whit who makes the post except for who posts the first analysis). I want to see if anyone else thinks looking over these two things is important. If no one else does, I will do it myself and post the results for the town. Telling the town what those posts are doesn't really matter since it's just a matter of collecting facts.

I cannot post the results yet because I have not done the research yet that I would need to do to write the posts.

In other words, I'm asking the town: what facts do we have that we should be examining but are not?

Clear enough for you?
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 20:11 GMT
#406
I'm not just telling the town what to look at because I think the whole town gets more information this way by seeing who makes the connection between what I'm obliquely referring to and the facts we have at hand.
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 21:00 GMT
#408
Okay, anyway, now that I've listed the players I'd like to see step it up, I'm going to give you a list of who I think is town-aligned. Besides me, of course (I'm 100% town-aligned!)

Foolishness: He called out Shikyo on day 1. Let's examine this action for a minute. Shikyo had a runaway lead at the time, and his platform was the most grounded in ideas applicable to this game at the time. There are two scenarios here:

1. Foolishness is mafia
2. Foolishness is not mafia

Let's assume the first is true. Then Foolishness's "campaign" is really stupid. The timing is terrible since there was zero chance of Shikyo getting lynched that day (even if I were elected Mayor and Shikyo not elected there is zero chance I'd have picked to lynch Shikyo at the time; if he doesn't flip red--and while I'm suspicious of him, I by no means am certain he's mafia--then the lynch is rightfully denounced as abysmally stupid) so all Foolishness is doing is setting himself up for scrutiny. Foolishness had a low profile and he's calling out the highest-profile player at the time in Shikyo.

The timing is the capper for me. My bet is Foolishness is townie. Putting yourself in suspicion so early doesn't fit with being red or blue imo.

(The other possibility is this is a ploy by a Mafia to make us think he's towny. I think this is less likely, but you can make your own conclusions).

iLoveKTF: He ran for Mayor/Sheriff before the vast majority of people even opened the thread. He does have some experience in other mafia games and his platform was just as good as Jimtudor's. He didn't get a single vote. Running for the election makes you suspicious, regardless of the claim that you didn't read your role PM before announcing your candidacy.

There are three possibilities I see here. The most likely is he's not mafia so he didn't get any mafia support and the town didn't buy into his campaign either.

Number two is he's the only mafia candidate who ran. Extremely unlikely in my mind--Jimtudor got some support, and iLoveKTF has acted no more suspicious than Jimmy did. Getting some support from fellow mafia members makes sense to me in this case, and he can elaborate on his platform after being called on its emptiness anyway.

Final case is that iLoveKTF is mafia and Shikyo or JeeJee (or, worst case, both) is mafia. This seems unlikely to me, having two mafia candidates running, but it would explain why iLoveKTF got zero votes despite having a mafia bloc behind him--the mafia had a better candidate to support. Also seems unlikely that both iLoveKTF and Shikyo are mafia given this post: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=93562&currentpage=16#319 (why start casting suspicion on fellow mafia Shikyo for that reason?).

I'm thinking he's town aligned. I can't say whether green or blue though.

Third would be Koopie, as I've already explained, but I'm actually more confident in the other two being town-aligned than her. No idea on her specific role either.

Well and of course we know Jimmy and softer were on our side too but a bit late for that now....
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 21:15 GMT
#409
And I guess I will also lay out my suspicions for Ra.Xor.2

1. He is inactive due to finals (or claims to be), only possibly skims the thread ... points out clues that we have already seen and discounted, no new clue analysis

2. He says he is almost 100% sure either Jimtudor or JeeJee is mafia. This doesn't sit right with me since I've seen nothing from either of them apart from just running for office. Then again, the timing is stupid for a mafia accusation.

3.
Ra.Xor.2 wrote:
Role checks cannot be done night 1, and if Tudor is elected, we can no longer role check him. The same goes for JeeJee. However, if we are able to lynch one of his voters and he flips red, i think lynching him would be a smart move. Again, this can also be applied if JeeJee wins the election.

This is really stupid and he got called on it right away.

4. The clue I linked to the book in his profile, like I said.

My reasons for voting to lynch him:

1. I don't want Jayme to be lynched with no competition so I threw another suspicious name out there right away to make people think. If we just all agree to lynch Jayme we get no information from the day, which is bad in the long term regardless of Jayme's alignment.

2. Raxor hasn't contributed much so far and is maybe trying to hide in the not-quite-inactives; his clue analysis has been repeating stuff others have said (either trying to make himself look useful, trying to make the town focus on something wrong, or just not reading the thread) so even if he does flip towny we don't lose much.

3. Jayme's defense didn't ring alarm bells in my head, though I'm certainly not convinced that Jayme is a bad lynch choice.

4. I want to hear Raxor's defense so I can get a better handle on him: is he just not reading the thread or is he really red?
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 21:30 GMT
#412
Anyone inactive is suspicious to me, and that includes clazziquai. I don't rank Raxor's posting much better right now though.

I haven't read up on past games to see how people in this game tended; there simply aren't enough of us who have played in other games here on TL to make that time worthwhile imo. If that's your reasoning for clazzi, then that's why I don't share it. Though I do think that just coming in and asking for a summary is not very helpful.
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 21 2009 21:30 GMT
#413
vx70GTOJudgexv wrote:
I know I've seized a bit of a gung-ho take the lead role, but I just want to see this town not fall for foolish things.

You and me both.
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 00:40 GMT
#428
This is a direct response to Raxor, but the post is aimed at the whole town.

If I'm not going to be aggressive and force people to be active, who the hell is going to do it for me? Doesn't look like anyone else is stepping to the plate and if we let the mafia be inactive or just echo others' posts we're just shooting ourselves in the foot.

I'm jumping on clues because, let's face it, what ELSE do I have to pick out one inactive from the group? Yes I'm lumping you in the inactive group here because when I made that post you weren't helping the town much, and I had a clue that I thought pointed to you.

Also, one quick scenario for the town to consider. Let's assume here that Jayme is mafia. Let's assume that the entire town votes to lynch Jayme and you don't have me calling out other suspicious people. Right now the town stands at 7 mafia and 22 townies (my guess is the third hit got our Veteran). We lynch Jayme tonight, he flips red, yay! 3 townies die tonight (this is the most likely scenario). Puts us at 6 mafia (3KP) and 19 townies.

Now realize that if we just agree on Jayme we wasted one of our big assets. We don't gain any information from the voting list! If I were a mafia in Jayme's spot, there are only 2 courses of action I'd think about. One would be to get some airtight defense up and convince the town I'm not mafia. The other would be to troll the thread so hard that no one would ever doubt I'm mafia and the entire town would vote for me so there would be no information at all from the vote list that day. I'm outed, might as well minimize the town's gain from it, right?

If we let this happen and realize on day 3 we have a double lynch and zero suspects, we might well end up in deep shit. Worst case would be we whiff both lynches and the mafia hits three more, which means 6 mafia/14 town.

Maybe my timing here is bad. Maybe I'm jumping a bit too far too fast; I'm certainly not perfect. The idea behind me looking for other targets is to get as much information public as possible and to get as much discussion going on as we can.

You admit your posting was suspicious. I damn well should call you out for it. So should the rest of the town.

Good to see you didn't just disappear after being called out. Going to withdraw my vote for now. I advise the town to pick a second target to vote for so we can try to extract some information from the voting list even if Jayme is our choice at the end of the day.

---

Anyway the two "obvious" posts I was saying the town probably wants to see.

1) Voting record from yesterday. Who voted for whom + timing + reasons; who changed votes + timing + reasons. Koopie started on this but did not give as full an account as I'd like to see.

2) Look through Jimtudor's and softer's posts and draw parallels. Why would the mafia go after them? Are there any connections?
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crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 01:14 GMT
#429
Ok so I went through the voting from yesterday and here is the tally of every vote sorted by candidate then by time

Day 1 Voting
+ Show Spoiler +
Shikyo
teks (23:46 18th)
softer (3:50 19th)
Knutti (3:54 19th)
EsbenPM (4:11 19th)
l10f (6:37 19th)
so no fek (7:00 19th) (to JeeJee)
Pawsom (9:29 19th)
omG.[RaYnE] (10:06 19th)
clazziquai (3:30 20th)
Therapy (6:35 20th) (from abstain)
Jimtudor (10:58 20th) (from zeks)

Jimtudor
vx70GTOJudgexv (6:43 19th) (to abstain)
Phelix (7:27 19th)
wurm (11:49 19th)
The_Master (15:13 19th) (to JeeJee)
chaoser (1:51 20th)
Foolishness (4:06 20th)

iLoveKTF

Foolishness

JeeJee
BWdero (4:23 19th)
ydg (5:07 19th)
iLoveKTF (10:47 19th)
Jayme (13:23 19th)
Ra.Xor.2 (5:19 20th)
crate (5:29 20th)
zeks (6:17 20th) (from abstain)
The_Master (7:18 20th) (from Jimtudor)
so no fek (9:59 20th) (from Shikyo)
Koopie (10:28 20th)

zeks
vx70GTOJudgexv (20:47 19th) (from abstain from Jimtudor)
Jimtudor (2:23 20th) (to Shikyo)

Abstain
Shikyo (23:56 18th)
JeeJee (9:38 19th)
epicdoom (9:59 19th)
vx70GTOJudgexv (17:12 19th) (from Jimtudor; to zeks)
motbob (20:05 19th)
Therapy (0:19 20th) (to Shikyo)
zeks (4:33 20th) (to JeeJee)

no vote
Adriix33
sugiuramidori


Vote changes (chronological order; reasoning alongside if I could find any):
+ Show Spoiler +
vx70GTOJudgexv (from Jimtudor to abstain)
reason: new candidates, temporary

vx70GTOJudgexv (from abstain to zeks)
reason: best platform

zeks (from abstain to JeeJee)
reason: gut feeling to trust JeeJee over Jimtudor (?)

Therapy (from abstain to Shikyo)
reason: zeks and JeeJee proposed lynching him

The_Master (from Jimtudor to JeeJee)
reason: character role post. Says he might support Shikyo more but is voting for second-in-command; timing right after some suspicion of Jimtudor's "bandwagon" voters

so no fek (from Shikyo to JeeJee)
reason: JeeJee's role-helper post

Jimtudor (from zeks to Shikyo)
reason:"Changed my vote to Shikyo as I feel he is the strongest candidate with the best plan that has a chance at top office."


I do not feel up to trying to make connections just yet so here are the facts I could find in what I think is a far easier to peruse format.
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crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 01:50 GMT
#432
Jayme: do you have anything to say or are you just going to go silent?
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crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 03:50 GMT
#442
What day 2 clues are pointing to Jayme? I thought we were still on the "crepuscular" possible clue?

I'd be surprised if Pyrry were using the same people in clues on consecutive days too (though of course more possible links to 1 person = more likely at least one of them is actually real).

At this point though I'd be 1a2a3a'ing through the inactives list if I could. They're only hurting us by staying quiet.
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 05:47 GMT
#454
Foolishness : L :: Pyrry's Mafia Game : Qatol's Mafia VIII

?

I hope so anyway.

Dude you're being absurdly aggressive. I guess I have my answer about who would provoke discussion if I didn't.
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crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 07:19 GMT
#458
I looked through the thread and found all of softer's and Jimtudor's posts.

Since Jayme seems to be a lock to die today (he has 16 votes already !) I think we should start discussing who else to look for. I'm not confident in being able to find much in these posts but it can't hurt to look, no?

Softer's posts

+ Show Spoiler +
softer wrote:
We can't really get strong suspicions off one days clues, and since most of us are new it's hard to get anything from behavior this early as well.

But we have to start somewhere and get some discussion going. The wording "eerily crepuscular" stood out to me. The cat is a crepuscular animal, and Jayme has a picture of a cat thats definitely eerie in his profile.


softer wrote:
I just want to reiterate why lynching an inactive is good the first day.
A common mafia strategy is to lay low. By forcing people to post, the mafia will have to come out or risk being lynched. Making them post gives them the chance to make mistakes. An important part of finding mafia is seeing what they say, look for inconsistencies or outright lies.

That being said, I'm gonna vote for Shikyo for now. He seems to be smart and sincere.


softer wrote:
The race for mayor is pretty close still.. Could the contenders please state their strategy for the day 1 lynch?


softer wrote:
Yep, there's really nothing much to do now, except wait for dawn and see what happens.
As for the mafia, I think the instinct, especially with new players, is to try to lay low and stay off the radar. I could be wrong, but they probably try to post just enough to not be marked as inactive.

Congratulation to the elected, hope you


softer wrote:
Oops, premature ejacu..posting
continuing:
..hope you rise to the task and lead town to victory


Jimtudor's posts:

+ Show Spoiler +
Jimtudor wrote:
Okay, this is preliminary clue searching. The first thing I did was read into Erlend Loe. So he is an author from Norway that writes novels and childrens book that have a style that is characterized as naive.

There are three players from Norway in this game. Softer, Teks, and knutti.

IF there is a mafia among the three, I feel it is teks>knutti>softer. Teks as he got a cartoon picture that would fit in a children's book, and then knutti who pyrr has absolutely nothing else to go on other than being from norway and being knutti?

Too early to tell, but that's my 5 cent for now.


Jimtudor wrote:
Alright, I am throwing my hat into the ring to be sheriff.

Here are the qualities that I bring.

1. Veteranship: I have played in a few mafia games and observed and analysed from the rest with which I was not a part of. I will bring that experience into crushing mafia skulls.

2. Gamesense: Just like Aces....or close....:D... Seeing is believing when I use the bully pulpit to smash mafia ploys of deceit, vote trains, and bandwagon leading.

3. Activity: I will not rest from the break of dawn to midnight until all mafia is steamrolled to the grave. That means, constant vigilence of posts and mafia vote trains, then gouging their eyes out.

4. Detective Skills: I will use my honed detective skills to find those rotten eggs in the box, and then cracking it.

5. Open government: Quick response to any inquries, and will do what i can to direct good plans of action.

6. Equality: This will be a town that will not tolerate racism, every person of every colour should feel they have the ability to get ahead as long as they work hard....
+ Show Spoiler +
unless you are a redskin




I will use the first vote to lynch inactive, of course one that has clues that could be logical gets priority, unless clue analysis is unusually strong for day 1.


Jimtudor wrote:
Edit to previous post
It should read
Equality: This will be a town that will not tolerate racism, every person of every colour should feel they have the ability to get ahead as long as they work hard....
+ Show Spoiler +
unless they are red



Did not mean to be racist, sorry.

Foolishness:
That is true. There shouldn't be an iron rule that only inactives are going to be lynched or else all the mafia is just going to post something useless or echo off of each other and get out of that list. Lynching suspicious ones could theoretically be better, but behavioural analysis can also be inaccurate on the first day, and clues could be red herrings...

So the best thing if you are townie is to post something that is thought out and useful, but post!


On May 19 2009 01:24 Jimtudor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 19 2009 00:31 BWdero wrote:
On May 18 2009 15:34 motbob wrote:
Who is this comic book character? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/profile.php?user=bwdero

EDIT: This is the last time I'll edit one of my posts. Spelled a word wrong.


That would be Black Bolt, King of the Inhumans.


@chaoser

Even if we do lynch an inactive blue we don't really hurt the town because they were inactive anyways.

I support killing off an inactive. But only if no major suspects come up. Seeing how this is only the first day I seriously doubt any suspects will come up. Seeing as how day 1 clue analysis is rubbish and only an idiot mafia would betray himself so early.


In the parking lot, LTT, the love child of the late L and Samsung Khan's captain, read an Erlend Loe novel in his Audi sports car. Without warning, his + Show Spoiler +
windshield shattered and a wave of glass ripped through
LTT's face. Passing out from blood loss, LTT's head slumped, + Show Spoiler +
sounding a horn that would not be heard in time
.

Hi,
I guess the Black bolt can do that no. Make a sound that would rip the glass.

For Ilovektf, I am not convinced yet teks. Poor flash, well he wasn't really slumping that hard + Show Spoiler +
especially prior to yesterday night's games.
. But potentially nice find anyways.

Yes, I would want more members to throw their hat into their ring.

Shikyo your campaign platform showed that you are organized and thoughtful, and I like your logic that I get from your writing. Some obvious stuff, but your incarnation policy is solid, and I would implement that if elected.


On May 19 2009 05:09 Jimtudor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 19 2009 04:37 Shikyo wrote:


JeeJee's platform is based mostly on "I'm experienced"... which still is better than the other candidates', I guess. Lynching inactives is always good, though. Which brings me to vx70GTOJudgexv.




I disagree. To be fair, my posts tone was a little off kilter for comedic effect.

I have stated I am experience. I too have been green, blue and red as well and know the way around.
I have promised to lynch inactives unless extraordinary circumstances occur.
I promised constant activity and clue analysis, he says he can't always be active.

I see you are now pretty much a lock for sheriff but I would like to support the town as mayor.





On May 19 2009 14:06 Jimtudor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 19 2009 11:46 Foolishness wrote:
Shikyo, just because I've only made a few posts has nothing to do with you getting elected or acting suspicious. Just because you have made the most posts doesn't make you a winner.

With that being said, I am running for sheriff.

Why? Because I am not Shikyo.

So far this game, Shikyo has done nothing but post a lot and write a very charismatic ballot. He has run uncontested, and none of the other candidates are willing to step up against him. There has hardly been any debate between him and the other candidates. We cannot let him gain control of an office position so easily like this.

There are many suspicious activities going on with his office running. He labeled out the scenario how mafia get 6 votes, and he chooses to obstain his vote, thereby gaining his chance of him getting into office. It is necessary to point out how the mafia would probably not all vote for the same person, but in the scenario where one person is dominating they clearly would.

Shikyo has been obtaining votes from the most random of people. People who have not backed up their reasoning and people who have not voted at all. In one case, someone clearly stated that they were voting for one of the other candidates (although this was prior to Shikyo's running), but then voted for Shikyo without saying a word about it (and then latter ignored this fact when he finally did post).

Shikyo has seemed like a good candidate until I raised possible suspicion about him. I clearly was not accusing him of anything, I just wanted to hear what he had to say. Instead he retorted almost angerily at me, implying that my posts meant nothing since I have only posted a few times. It is only natural for me to want to make sure we as a town are electing the best people into office. Someone who goes on the defensive when asked why the situation does not add up is not the person we want in office.

However I do not possess any qualities that would make me good candidate other than I am not Shikyo. This would be my first mafia game on TL, and none of you have any information about me. But this is all irrelevant. You can cast your vote and put a suspicious person into office or put your vote to better use. Just because he posts a lot does not make him the best choice.

You can vote for Shikyo and secure the fact that there will be suspicious happenings, or you can vote for me to ensure the town a victory. Even if you don't want to vote for me, pick someone else besides Shikyo.


The intention of your post seems swell enough but you have not said anything substantial to back it up. It's pretty obvious why he is running uncontested, because frankly his activity and his posts are a cut above the other candidates right now.

Your campaign message is: Run away from the bogeyman.
Well, that's not going to cut it. Where's your plan? How are we going to succeed? Where are the flaws in Shikyo's statements? Have you got any clues that might cast suspicion on him?

I do agree with Crate that confirming townies is a high priority for town. A confirmed vigi hit is the cleanest to do but a successful medic protection as outlined would definately be ideal. I am thinking of complications right now and will post more about it soon.

Jeejee, I had an eye on you ever since my preliminary clue search but these are so weak that I wanted to wait for one more day and wasn't putting it out. Now, after the echo chamber that you had with ilovektf and quiet support makes me more skeptical.

Meanwhile, downstairs, Qatol was using the Triumvirate Building's spacious archery range for target practice. As he looked down to reload, another figure crossed the room from the other side. The mafioso crept behind Qatol and took out his knife. Qatol never shot another arrow.

Fear is the strongest driving force in competition. Not fear of one's opponent, but of the skill and high standard he represents; fear, too, of not acquitting oneself well. In the achievement of higher performances, of beating formidable rivals, the athlete defeats fear and conquers himself. -Franz Stampfl

Your profile contains pretty much the only reference to athletic competition in the whole game. Franz Stampfl was a famous coach that had somewhat revolutionary ideas for how to train your body and practice for your sport, although he specialized in training runners he also trained other athletes in other fields. He was a noted olympic trainer, got his trainees many golds. The only place where archery is relevant today is athletic competition and the olympics.

Is this enough to say he is mafia, not even close. Is this enough to give you pause to vote for what appears to be the most important office for a mafia to gain, maybe.

Unfortunately, it would seem I am being self-serving. So in the end, it's up for the town to decide...

Of course, town, I do hope you give me your vote.



Jimtudor wrote:
As of now, the day 1 lynch will be an inactive or de facto inactive player. The one with the strongest logical clues towards it and/or inconsistent behaviour from previous games will get lynched. I am not sure about Jayme yet. Will be back with more.

The way I use my following votes will be both clue based and behaviour based depending on the strength of the evidence with that particular vote. My votes should align mostly with the general sentiment of the town unless I sense a bs/bandwgon vote led by mafia.


Jimtudor wrote:
(about day 1 lynch)

No, I haven't. I got a timetable from Pyrr that I need to send it in before 8PST. I won't miss it and I will tell once I made a decision.


On May 20 2009 08:06 Jimtudor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 20 2009 07:08 teks wrote:
On May 20 2009 06:38 Ra.Xor.2 wrote:
Something interesting to note, this may or may not be a clue. Erlend Loe is a nowegian writer. Three players in this game are from Norway: Knutti, Teks, and Softer


This has also been mentioned before. It MAY be something. We won't know until DT's are allowed to act. I'm thinking it's just a wordplay on Erlend Loe's book L + Audi TT -> forming the nick LTT. But you're right, we have to keep it in mind when more clues arrive.

On May 20 2009 06:11 l10f wrote:
On May 20 2009 06:08 teks wrote:
I'm thinking the same thing. I first thought the mafia candidate was JeeJee, seeing how he was voted on by Jayme and iLoveKTF who already had connections to the possible clues, and BWdero, who was suspected by Shikyo. The latest posts from JeeJee have turned me though, I too think it's probably JimTudor who's the red one here, I might change my vote to JeeJee seeing how Shikyo basically already has secured his spot, and I think it's good that JeeJee agrees with zeks on who to lynch first. I'll wait a bit longer though.


How do you think we should carry out the check on Jimtudor after JeeJee gets the mayor spot? He should definitely be checked out, but I don't know with what method. Lynch him? Role check him?


We can't really carry out a check at all, not yet atleast. We just have to analyze clues and behavior and try to connect them with the voters of Jimtudor and Jimtudor himself. It's not certain that they are red, but it's a start to go from at least. As long as they don't get into office they haven't really gained anything, except a nice steamy pile of attention. That would be a good start for the town. Lynching one of the inactive/silent voters of Jimtudor on day2 is also a possibility.


Sure, I would love to be checked if I do fail to get the mayor spot. But why would lynching me help the town. Once I turn up town aligned, does that mean the people voting for me are innocent, no. Once I turn up red, does that mean that people voting for me are red, not nessesarily. Please explain what have I done that is suspicious.

Well at JeeJee, yes I forgot that my name is a minor league hockey player. It always slip my mind that until someone mentions it in a mafia game. But still, the coach is more track and field, I didn't connect it with a sports team. Seriously though, my lack of posts for like a few hours is enough to be suspicious. I promised constant activity, but not one that means i am at my computer for 24/7.


Jimtudor wrote:
Please elaborate as in why am I under suspicion other than I ran for office.


Jimtudor wrote:
Well, then I don't have much to defend against...
Other than the fact that I sure hope that Teks elimination number game is wrong and that for all the 'top' contenders for office, one should be mafia.


Jimtudor wrote:
@Koopie:
Fair enough.

Changed my vote to Shikyo as I feel he is the strongest candidate with the best plan that has a chance at top office.


Jimtudor wrote:
I am just waiting for night. I promise after the night post for some good analysis.


Jimtudor wrote:
Edit:
I meant the day post.


I probably won't be doing this in the future, since the number of posts I'd be linking would grow quite large in the future, but it wasn't too much work to go c&p this much

Why did the mafia hit Jimmy? Same reason we thought he would be helpful to keep around, probably. He was showing signs of being active, promising clue analysis, and generally looking like an asset to the town. It also might help to clear suspicion from those who voted for him and cast suspicion on people denouncing him; I'm not really willing to buy into either of those thoughts though. I don't make much of his death and my guess is still that the mafia got lucky on him being a BG.

More interesting is softer's death, as he was definitely under-the-radar from our point of view. The first two posts he made contributed to the town--clue analysis (again!) and telling people to be active. He voted for Shikyo, but again I don't really think that that affects whether Shikyo looks suspicious or not.

What I'm getting here is that the mafia wants to snipe people who were doing clue analysis, probably in the hopes of landing a DT. Considering that half of the mafia may be hiding amongst inactive townies and the fact that forces us to try to use clues to find reds, and this looks like a sensible strategy to me. Hitting softer worked out nicely since he wasn't likely to be medic protected either.

Anyone who did solid clue analysis today would likely be in danger if the mafia continue this strategy (assuming my conjecture is right anyway); of course now that I've posted this....

-----

JeeJee wrote:
of course the inactives are hurting us
the problem is, there's like ten of them, by the time we're done with them, we're screwed.

Inactives, if you're town-aligned and want the town to win start posting :<

Unfortunately I don't think this is likely to happen

-----

JeeJee wrote:well, let's throw out a name like l10f.
lemme pull up his history
36 27. l10f - bandwagon, puppydog, 'large arg from minute details'(*), against jimmy&the_master, for inactives, votes, no posts 3/5##

comments?
(i won't be around to read them i'm going to sleep)
we have like what, another 24 hours of day left? ho-hum.

I'm guessing this is just a suggestion and not something from "a little birdo"? I'll entertain it for now.

I still think it's interesting that he'd played Mafia before but didn't realize that bandwagons were bad for the town. Also didn't quite understand the medic list at first glance, which is also curious.

l10f wrote:
I don't think it's a good idea for anyone to change votes unless they're going from abstain -> someone.

I find this amusing when based on the amount of vote-swapping going on in the other game. In context it mostly makes sense though since the candidates' platforms didn't really change much over the course of day 1.

Lots of one-liner agreement posts (clearly not important) in day 1.

l10f wrote:And, I don't think you are red, but I don't think you have the right to call people "stupid." I'm sure everyone here has the intelligence to play this game well, they are just lacking the experience. Therefore you shouldn't call them "stupid players."

If you wanted clarification, I know full well that the people here are all smart enough to theoretically play well and yes inexperience is probably the biggest cause of dumb posts....

Rest of that post is repeating stuff others had said, which doesn't sound too useful to me...

Well my analysis so far says he hasn't done much useful (not like half of the players here have...) and I find his lack of inexperience very puzzling considering he's played mafia before. Yes I realize it's not the same IRL as on this forum, but still, not understanding bandwagon = bad? Either he made a mistake and he's not as inexperienced as he claims, or...?
We did. You did. Yes we can. No. || http://crawl.akrasiac.org/scoring/players/crate.html || twitch.tv/crate3333
crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 07:19 GMT
#459
Sidenote

holy shit that post is HUGE
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crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 07:20 GMT
#460
goddamn messed up the formatting on a couple of those quotes
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crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 17:23 GMT
#477
Jayme may have sidestepped the cat clue, but if you believe our "little birdo" talking to Jayme (not sure I do, but I don't see how JeeJee lying about that clue could possibly help if he's not on our side--of course, the "DT" might be lying) it's irrelevant anyway since it doesn't point to Jayme.

The only thing I see suspicious about Jayme's behavior is that he's dropped off the planet as far as this game is concerned.

Anyway, if you believe there is other significant clue evidence against Jayme I would like you to point it out to me. I looked through this entire topic several times yesterday and I'm too lazy to do it again right now. If you refuse to find me this evidence rest assured I will get unlazy before the Day 3 morning post and look for it myself.

I don't see great evidence for lynching anyone else right now, but then the only reason I see to lynch Jayme over another inactive is that it gives us a tiny bit of info about our "birdy" ... and that is not much info since we might have missed the real clue toward Jayme or perhaps there is as yet no clue toward him. Or maybe he's an innocent green. I dunno. He's going to die anyway at this rate though.
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crate
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States2474 Posts
May 22 2009 20:49 GMT
#478
btw

teks wrote:
and if he does turn out green or blue (let's hope he's not blue atleast), we should have some more material to work on, such as investigating the people who were pushing for his lynch (bandwagon starters).


we don't get much info from the votelist for today because only epicdoom and me voted for anyone but Jayme today. There are a few people who refused to jump on the bandwagon early on, but at this point votes mean nothing anyway so who cares? I don't read anything in any votes made since Jayme got to ~15-16 votes. Hell there probably aren't enough active players among the people who have already voted to change the lynch vote by the end of the day even if we get someone roleclaiming mafia.

We might be able to read something from who votes for double lynch, but I'm not certain of that either.
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