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Newbie Student Mafia XXVI - Page 4

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 03:51 GMT
#2180
oh TW already made a post about it ok
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 03:55 GMT
#2182
On June 09 2017 12:45 Tumblewood wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 09 2017 12:41 Conversion wrote:
because you said this

On June 05 2017 08:01 Tumblewood wrote:
On June 05 2017 07:58 Holyflare wrote:
half of the game has gone to bed which is why your claim was pants

the only reason they even voted you is because you didn't explain the bh thing which even vivax found weird


well if half the game has gone to bed then it seems i didn't do any harm. honestly i don't trust anyone in this game to make a good decision besides vivax, grack, and bh, even if i start shitting town rainbows. just lotsa people who read people for bad reasons. with two hours i can argue myself out of a 4-3 situation but not 6-2 without a claim


this completely misses the point of what i says. of course a fakeclaim allows me to survive D1, but what is the advantage of that if we lynch fidei D1 anyway? a fakeclaim as scum is always a ticking time bomb so we might as well give fidei a shot if that's really the case


oh okay, sorry. read that incorrectly.

I guess it doesn't make sense that you would bus onto Fidei so readily instead of trying to get people onto a different train, but would your vote have made a difference? assuming two mafia are on the Fidei bus vote, who could you have convinced to hammer PB instead of Fidei? Also if BH saw people getting off the Fidei train, he most likely would have put his vote back in... like he said he was an "honorary" member and his entire argument was that the Fidei vote wasn't in danger. I'd have to read his D1 filter again, but I don't think he wanted to sheep any other vote. so you survive, you ride the Fidei vote to clear your blue claim, sets you up for a solid defense later in the game.

Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 04:01 GMT
#2183
On June 05 2017 09:02 kitaman27 wrote:
Day One Final Vote Count

Fidei86 (6): Onegu, Tumblewood, Tubesock, Tumblewood, Grackaroni, LightningStrike, Holyflare
Tumblewood (2): Holyflare, Fidei86, Holyflare, ritoky, beentheredonethat, Tubesock, LightningStrike, Vivax
Prison Break (2): Conversion, Tumblewood, Grackaroni, Vivax
beentheredonethat (1): Prison Break, ritoky, Tubesock
Vivax (1): Blazinghand, Holyflare, Tubesock, Blazinghand
LightningStrike (1): Tumblewood, Holyflare, ritoky
Blazinghand (0): Grackaroni, Tubesock, Vivax, Vivax
Grackaroni (0): Blazinghand
Holyflare (0): LightningStrike, Vivax, Tumblewood, LightningStrike
Conversion (0): beentheredonethat

Fidei86 will be lynched.



So assume two people are on Fidei that are Mafia with BH voting grack b/c he's fooling around and doesn't see any other bussing happening elsewhere, while being very active during deadline.

Take two people off Fidei (Let's say Grack and you for example) and you're at this:

Fidei86 (4): Onegu, Tumblewood, Tubesock, Tumblewood, Grackaroni, LightningStrike, Holyflare

Put those votes on PB, you're at 4 on PB 4 on Fidei.

I'm pretty sure Fidei gets lynched first in this case, so you'd have to convince someone else, but the moment BH sees this 4v4 he'll probably put his vote on Fidei making it 5:4. So you'd need to convince HF, LS, or Tubesock off a Fidei train in like 15 minutes (or however fast this train happened), or you just safely bus onto your mate and your blue claim lets you live.

IDK it just seems like it'd be a long shot to try to convince someone in that small window of time. I just feel like it's safer to just bus onto your mate with the way things are happening and try to pin scum on people outside of that bus. Also without your blue claim I'm not sure if Fidei would have died anyways, but I can't speak to events that might have happened
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 04:02 GMT
#2184
also can you explain why you wanted me or pb dead if you died somehow N2?

like what makes us scummy. you haven't been playing this game at all, you haven't died with a doc claim, and now you're stuck in a spot where we have 3 blue claims with you having the least town cred and absolutely no credibility in helping the game move in any direction
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 04:06 GMT
#2186
so why wouldn't BH immediately switch his vote onto Fidei if he saw that unfolding?
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 04:08 GMT
#2187
like yeah, if you're going at it with no context and everyone's vote remaining as they are PB is a viable shenanny but you're completely ignoring BH not voting on Fidei because he saw no value in adding his vote onto the train. If you're at a 4:4 with ls or ts on there, would you really risk trying to convince someone to jump off the Fidei train, possibly shenanny PB, and if you fail, look incredibly suspicious for trying to jump people off a mafia shenanny?
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 04:19 GMT
#2190
so even at this point of the game you think LS has more thread presence than me? like his last few posts were literally nothing and his excuse was "I tend to sheep more as townie"

which is absolute bollocks to me because I have no idea what you normally do as townie.

for what it's worth I'm almost certain scum team is you and LS, but I'd rather have other people weigh in and read their decisions instead.

If anyone wants to know my reason why I think scum team is LS and TW:

Out of the 3 blues, TW is the most suspicious. This is the most active he's been because he realizes he can't just coast his doctor claim to LYLO and then win by convincing one of the townies.

I actually think that Fidei might have been inactive and when the shenanny happened, LS and TW made an executive decision to bus Fidei instead of trying to swing a 6-2 (7-2 with BH if he's on Fidei) onto a townie and possibly fail.

The fact that TW is completely ignoring LS town play and reading me, pb, and even tubesock before LS is suspicious to me.

good night peeps I'll catch up on the thread tomorrow.
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 04:20 GMT
#2191
also I'd like some insight on how to approach D3, and if I'm being stupid here or not because the best play seems to be ignore blues and hunt the last scum outside of the blue claim triangle.

Here's the quote:

Thanks!

On June 09 2017 12:27 Conversion wrote:
OK here's the way I'm seeing it:

Ritoky is actually cop. Reading through his filter and his claim, the play makes sense. It backs mafia into a corner because now they have to scramble to justify their fake blue claim and try to sheep town onto the correct claim.

So it's basically HF vs Ritoky. Ritoky is very much likely to die N3 I think. If I was scum, I'd want to shoot Ritoky or RB him (if there is a roleblocker) to prevent any more information getting out for D4, otherwise we can just leave the blue shit behind us and find the last mafia and have ritoky check HF or TW and town wins the game. Obviously mafia won't do that, so we should focus on this day figuring out who is scummates with HF or TW, and lynching him.

I might be wrong, but I think mafia may try to tunnel all their focus on pushing the focus of D3 into who is the blue claim liar, and try to misdirect town into mislynching the correct blue claim and killing off ritoky. I think that's the best mafia player here, which is why I suggest we pressure non-blue claimed players and finding the last scummate. More likely than not whoever is mafia is going to either fight really hard to keep attention off his last scummate, or bus him and try to play out of a 50/50 lynch chance with 4 townies and 1 scum.

Any thoughts? I may be missing something

Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 12:02 GMT
#2210
just woke up

@ritoky honestly the reason why I don't see the need for a blue lynch is that we can just have HF shoot TW. If mafia RBs HF and kills him, TW looks bad and we get another read with your cop powerz. If you die and no one got shot, HF isn't vig and we have our scum between TW and HF.

IDK maybe I'm missing something again
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 12:03 GMT
#2211
not advocating that HF shoots TW, but I'm saying that it is a possible play
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 12:10 GMT
#2214
I never liked TW's blue claim and I don't like his play so I'm inclined to agree with you, but idk what the other town members think since no one else is talking :p
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 12:27 GMT
#2217
I just want the opinion/argument of someone who wasn't suspicious of TW since D1 (you) or someone who strongly dislikes his play and advocated we look into him if he doesn't die N2 (me)

people talk!!
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 12:39 GMT
#2224
oh good call on holding their shot. didn't even think about that
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 17:44 GMT
#2251
On June 10 2017 02:12 Holyflare wrote:
Let's say tw is mafia, hypothetically. He claimed doctor to save himself day 1.

What excuse does he have to be alive? None.

What can mafia do to make him have an excuse to be alive? Claim rb.

What other excuse is there for him to possibly be alive as mafia other than that?


That's what I thought too.. I'm trying to think of reasons why TW might not be mafia, but all of his arguments are way too convenient
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 19:11 GMT
#2269
On June 10 2017 04:07 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2017 03:52 ritoky wrote:
On June 10 2017 03:44 Holyflare wrote:
On June 10 2017 03:37 ritoky wrote:
I don't fully think I understand UK politics. So is Theresa May going to stay PM or just interim through Brexit Negotiations? And why isn't the Northern Ireland party basically holding the government ransom for a huge cut of the pie? (that's how us obstructionist Americans do it)


The conservatives don't have a majority in the house of commons to do anything so in order to maintain the majority of 326(i think?) seats they have to form a coalition with another party. The other parties with seats are all left/centre parties and so won't agree.

The DUP (homophobic/abti abortion/creationist Irish nuts) are the only ones willing to do so and they will absolutely be demanding a lot of their policies will be shoved through. Bear in mind they won't be able to do anything of their wishes if they didn't form this coalition either.

Theresa May will remain PM but she lost so much of her party power that people are calling for her to resign because she basically called an election to get more power and ended up with almost no power.

I'm happy London almost unanimously voted Labour and saw sense. The rest of the country are a bunch of degenerate cockwombles though.

I don't think Theresa May will remain PM for very long, she'll probably resign within the week.


I feel like there's tons of intricate things here that I probably should know, but why would she resign? I know she doesn't have the public mandate she was looking for, but for all intents and purposes isn't she still the leader of the majority party? Why would you willingly abdicate power? Or did she lose key members who supported her in the election turnover or? And is there a better conservative alternative? From what I read the next guy up is a douche canoe.


[image loading]

I can't understand why it's so difficult for the Brits to realize that Lord Buckethead is the only politician (and intergalactic overlord) that truly represents the interests of the common folk.


who is this guy randomly popping in claiming lord buckethead over elmo.

scum

lynch
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 19:54 GMT
#2292
On June 10 2017 04:23 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2017 03:47 ritoky wrote:
On June 10 2017 03:41 LightningStrike wrote:
Also Imperial I think had the most pages of a single mafia game if I remember correctly.


LS, i am interested in who you think is mafia outside the claims?

From my PoV it's one of Covnersion, PB, and Tubesock by PoE alone. PB seems likely town by meta. So that leaves Conversion and Tubesock as my last scum there. Tubesock did vote 2nd on James but if TW was the roleblocker he probably would do that bus honestly. Conversion I liked some of his posts after I read his filter a bit but his weird reaction to the flip seems odd defending himself about being a team with PB. So ya One of Tubesock and Conversion is my last scum you?


are you seriously calling me possible scum in a post I made during D2 in reply to BTDT saying I was a scum team with PB?

can you make a better case than that?
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 20:20 GMT
#2320
On June 10 2017 05:10 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2017 04:54 Conversion wrote:
On June 10 2017 04:23 LightningStrike wrote:
On June 10 2017 03:47 ritoky wrote:
On June 10 2017 03:41 LightningStrike wrote:
Also Imperial I think had the most pages of a single mafia game if I remember correctly.


LS, i am interested in who you think is mafia outside the claims?

From my PoV it's one of Covnersion, PB, and Tubesock by PoE alone. PB seems likely town by meta. So that leaves Conversion and Tubesock as my last scum there. Tubesock did vote 2nd on James but if TW was the roleblocker he probably would do that bus honestly. Conversion I liked some of his posts after I read his filter a bit but his weird reaction to the flip seems odd defending himself about being a team with PB. So ya One of Tubesock and Conversion is my last scum you?


are you seriously calling me possible scum in a post I made during D2 in reply to BTDT saying I was a scum team with PB?

can you make a better case than that?


his case is PoE, what is wrong with it?

you think it is TW + LS right? can you give me your best 3-5 reasons on why LS is mafia.


I'm fine with him doing a PoE read on me or tubesock, but as I said before his entire game is just putting a few comments here and there and then not really contributing, so I want to read his thoughts on his PoE scum reads instead of "these are my scum reads by PoE" and leaving it at that.

in terms of why LS can be mafia:
My first major point is that he doesn't do anything significant in the game. He sheeps, his excuse being that his townie play is based around sheeping when I called him out for his lack of presence. I don't know how he plays, he doesn't back it up with anything, and just leaves it at that.

The distancing between TW-LS can be a solid play between them to not link them to each other in case one of them slips. I'm leaving the possibility of TW-LS bussing Fidei while he was AFK at the end of deadline a possibility, then spreading votes out D2 to make sure they do not look like they are agreeing on the same stance. LS also voted late D2 if I remember correctly, so bussing Vivax might have given away too much information

He asked to for blues to shoot/check him over the night. When I asked him why, he said to "clear his position up" When I asked if you could have not checked him b/c you strongly think he is mafia, he just acknowledges the possibility and then argument ends there. If I was town, I would never ask blues to check/shoot me to clear misconceptions-- I would try to look as townie as possible so blues have a narrower range of targets to clear, especially an unclaimed cop. IDK asking to get blue checked instead of playing the game seems pretty scummy to me.

although that last point can just be frustrated townie play as well, so meh.

Also this is in case TW is not scum. If HF is lying about his claim, I do not think LS is mafia. I don't see the possibility of a HF-LS team (especially with the way HF has pushed LS all game)
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 20:23 GMT
#2321
Tubesock's play is mildly concerning to me so he might be the last mafia as well instead of LS. IDK man I know I'm town and I've been trying to show that D1/D2 and especially D3 and really some of the play here has just thrown me off and I spent too much time trying to understand it or couldn't outright read it (like Grack)
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 20:29 GMT
#2324
if HF is mafia my gut says he's team with Tubesock. the play would be HF spams the thread like he normally does apparently, Tubesock just stays quiet makes some good comments here and there, but it seems a little far fetched? I'd have to look into it more

I think I'd have to reread everyone's filter to see how they interact with HF, but TS/PB off the top of my head for no real reason besides feelings. I don't think BTDT was ever mafia and I think you're the only sure claim out of the 3, so I don't think BTDT/Grack are mafia either.

Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
June 09 2017 22:51 GMT
#2391
On June 10 2017 07:49 Tumblewood wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 10 2017 07:45 ritoky wrote:
alright fuck it bois.

ritoky
btdt
grackaroni
conversion
PB


we down to auto this shit? any objection?

objection. it should go like this:
hf -> (rit if that doesn't work) -> pb -> (conv if that doesn't work) -> (ts if that doesn't work)


possible mafia -> mislynch -> mislynch -> mislynch -> possible mafia

game losing order right there
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