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[M][T] Haunted Mansion 3 - Page 92

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 12 2016 00:54 GMT
#1821
Unless you give more than fear mongering and rhetoric with 0 reasons he could be town then same as above no dice.
NeverUnlucky
Profile Joined August 2016
Canada1622 Posts
September 12 2016 00:54 GMT
#1822
On September 12 2016 09:52 Holyflare wrote:
I can talk about other people tomorrow but unless you counter an argument, the entire point of playing a game of mafia, then I won't change my vote.

You'll find me much more reasonable to talk to/discuss cases with tomorrow.


I'm busier during the weekdays, but I will try to find some spare time to sit down and counter your arguments. Would help if you could quote specific posts so I don't have to look back in your filter.
"The more I look at it, the more convinced I am that NU bussed himself intentionally." -darthfoley
NeverUnlucky
Profile Joined August 2016
Canada1622 Posts
September 12 2016 00:55 GMT
#1823
On September 12 2016 09:54 Holyflare wrote:
Unless you give more than fear mongering and rhetoric with 0 reasons he could be town then same as above no dice.


Calix has done that.
"The more I look at it, the more convinced I am that NU bussed himself intentionally." -darthfoley
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 12 2016 00:56 GMT
#1824
Ok i read yoir last post. I fond it reasonable and I'll have a think about it. Mafia also love to shit up threads with arguments and I'm the best person to enter into one with too and everyone knows that.

Either way yes yes damdred.
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
September 12 2016 01:07 GMT
#1825
big picture:
my big scumtell is a lack of care, typically characterized by long spats if not posting and low involvement except when defending myself. in four scum games my longest filter was 6 pages. I think I'm past that already and it's hardly D2.
I also have trouble pushing for mislynches. I tried in my last 2 but ultimately they were weak pushes and I gave up on them by the end of the cycle.
for real I just don't play this well as scum. if you could call this "well". and what frustrates me is that this game and last game people have ignored that and applied generic site meta for me. not every player plays like a townie is Supposed To.
that is all
good times for all
NeverUnlucky
Profile Joined August 2016
Canada1622 Posts
September 12 2016 01:17 GMT
#1826
If this is your town play then you don't play well as town either.

I do like that you are (?) self-aware of your play though I do not know if the points you made are true as this is the first time I've played with you.

You definitely act more like a town than a scum, I will say that.
"The more I look at it, the more convinced I am that NU bussed himself intentionally." -darthfoley
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 12 2016 01:19 GMT
#1827
Alright maybe I didn't solve the game. This game is going to be hard.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 12 2016 01:25 GMT
#1828
If Palmar doesn't do anything tomorrow we kill him.
fuba
Profile Joined April 2014
United States663 Posts
September 12 2016 02:51 GMT
#1829
Unfortunately, I need to focus on schoolwork tonight. After class tomorrow, I don't work for 4 days, so my availability should open up.

I'm glad I stopped tunneling you NU, I really liked your last few posts. The stuff about a TW lynch feeling a lot like the TT lynch was exactly what I was thinking at the moment. At least as it pertains to HF. Not saying it makes him scummy, it just has the exact same feeling to it. And if you want my response to the calix NK, it's generally that very few conclusions can be drawn. That's not to say I have no ideas about why it was done, but there's no way to narrow it down from 50 possibilities to even a reasonable fraction of them, so I'm not gonna throw my speculation out there XD

Was gonna call vivax out for trying to get HF to fight his battles for him, but I reread his filter really quick and it actually seems like his read on me has been fluctuating pretty reasonably all game. Incorrect whenever he thinks I'm scum, but I can see the thought behind it, and I think I can remember the approximate timing of most of the posts and I can understand them. He doesn't really push too hard, but at least I think I can see a townie thought process.

Also, without having reread any cases on anyone, so many of TW's posts feel like posts that I make or have made as town that I have trouble really seeing him as scum. He seems better able to let himself post freely, regardless of the consequences, than I do, but I feel some kind of "bad townie" (for lack of a better term) kinship.

Oh, and I really, really wouldn't rely too much on the ghosts or speculation about it. Like, anyone who knows scott shadowed HF or whatever could have set up that little code. Scum can control the LW and scum can control the votes. I don't want to lose because we trust in something we know that scum will try to use against us.

Yay townreads! Scum will come once I have the time to reread more filters XD (should be around the second half of D2 :S)
@theRealMkfuba07
fuba
Profile Joined April 2014
United States663 Posts
September 12 2016 02:57 GMT
#1830
Oh, and I just remembered, what was the townieness of my earlier post, damdred?
@theRealMkfuba07
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 12 2016 03:20 GMT
#1831
Dunno if you're still here Fuba. When I said this before I was thinking the same thing as you on TW.
On September 12 2016 10:19 Grackaroni wrote:
Alright maybe I didn't solve the game. This game is going to be hard.

His posting just seems very genuine, and I don't actually think my case on HF was any better than his case.

I'm pretty sure HF has already pushed on four townies this game in TT/Calix/NU/TW.

I do think that mafia should be more likely to actually read through the setup to figure out their night actions, so saying that mafia were afraid of a medic could be a point in people's favor.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 12 2016 03:22 GMT
#1832
I looked through Damdred's filter earlier. The only weird thing that I found was that he said that he thought Palmar was town and then said that he would lynch him tomorrow an hour later in response to Skynx.

On September 11 2016 01:54 Damdred wrote:
It's cause I'm town and the scum team is scared of me.

Boo.

Also think palmar might be town rip the dream.

On September 11 2016 03:14 Damdred wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 11 2016 03:13 Skynx wrote:
On September 10 2016 09:58 Holyflare wrote:
No it's actually not at all. A certain scum read on someone at the start of the game generates a million times more discussion than crap discussions about mechanics, it also helps me make reads on people such as Grack being mafia now and it let's me see who is keen on just skating by and ignoring it.

It's a very strong opening.

But in this case I actually do think that Ticktock is mafia because:

On September 10 2016 09:40 Holyflare wrote:
Simple facts are:

TT did an opening to try and mimic Trfel from last game really obviously but it looked really forced/stiff
TT posted no content and only one liner posts agreeing
TT's only posts wildly different from his town opening
TT posted something that he couldn't/shouldn't have posted because of what he said
TT has gone afk and done nothing

But... he's not mafia?


I mean nearly all these stuff are applicable to Palmar as well. However you are ready to ignore him cuz of meta.
You say not defending when pressure doesn't fit town!TT meta but in meantime TT is totally entirely afk from this game while Palmar is pretty much here but refuses to post any content. Why are you not considering him?


Palmar can have a date with the noose Monday but not really going to consider him on a weekend and that's the main reason.

Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 12 2016 03:25 GMT
#1833
Also I think NU/Calix have seemed like really obvious townies here. I don't understand how HF hasn't seen this if he is town, but maybe I've just got too high of an opinion of HF.
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
September 12 2016 04:34 GMT
#1834
been thinking. maybe there is a world where neither I nor hf have to get lynched today. and maybe that is okay.
good times for all
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 12 2016 05:34 GMT
#1835
What a shit kill
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 12 2016 05:34 GMT
#1836
Does change things up a bit
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 12 2016 05:35 GMT
#1837
Work for now
Minimal effort.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
September 12 2016 10:36 GMT
#1838
100% scumteam of people who claim to be "waiting on Palmar doing stuff"

Pro-tip: not one of them is doing stuff on their own.

ok maybe not 100%, but it'd be awesome.

On September 12 2016 10:25 Grackaroni wrote:
If Palmar doesn't do anything tomorrow we kill him.


On September 12 2016 06:56 Vivax wrote:
Tbh I'm mostly waiting for Palmar to most something super smart, today I have enacted my zero tolerance policy for vets (fascist policy).

If we enact more of these fascist policies we get to shoot Palmar, who I think could be Hitler, and outright win this game.

Curse that last will for making me think all of this.


On September 11 2016 03:14 Damdred wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 11 2016 03:13 Skynx wrote:
On September 10 2016 09:58 Holyflare wrote:
No it's actually not at all. A certain scum read on someone at the start of the game generates a million times more discussion than crap discussions about mechanics, it also helps me make reads on people such as Grack being mafia now and it let's me see who is keen on just skating by and ignoring it.

It's a very strong opening.

But in this case I actually do think that Ticktock is mafia because:

On September 10 2016 09:40 Holyflare wrote:
Simple facts are:

TT did an opening to try and mimic Trfel from last game really obviously but it looked really forced/stiff
TT posted no content and only one liner posts agreeing
TT's only posts wildly different from his town opening
TT posted something that he couldn't/shouldn't have posted because of what he said
TT has gone afk and done nothing

But... he's not mafia?


I mean nearly all these stuff are applicable to Palmar as well. However you are ready to ignore him cuz of meta.
You say not defending when pressure doesn't fit town!TT meta but in meantime TT is totally entirely afk from this game while Palmar is pretty much here but refuses to post any content. Why are you not considering him?


Palmar can have a date with the noose Monday but not really going to consider him on a weekend and that's the main reason.

Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
September 12 2016 10:38 GMT
#1839
On September 11 2016 06:17 Damdred wrote:
Palmar hopping off like he did could be distancing and trying not to get to Mich attention but I am unsure of that.


This is one of the worst quotes in the game. There is no way Damdred believes I am bad enough to think that somehow randomly jumping off a wagon would actually work as distancing.

I was for the TT lynch, it was even a pretty good lynch. But I had good reason to move to TW.

scumpile
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
September 12 2016 10:49 GMT
#1840
On September 12 2016 09:07 Tumblewood wrote:
the premise of this argument is that hf is scum. using the premise as backup, we can easily conclude that hf is indeed scum.
anyway


known to some as holyflare, to others as hf, to his rl friends by some stupid rl name, but to tl as lynchbait slayer.
first, I propose a question to you, reader: can you make an accurate read on someone based off of just five posts?
the answer is no, holyflare. no.
this is basic stuff. honestly. tt doesn't have a meta like marv of making 2 posts and then quitting as scum. that doesn't even matter though, because the basis of hf's attack was completely unrelated to the fact that tt was afk. it was, in fact, a dissection of tt's five total posts. and not a point about how he was a great policy lynch for his lack of posting. hmmm
throughout the game, hf shows a willingness to favor painting every road as leading to tt is scum over thinking critically about his alignment, and generally not being a jackass.
you might expect that this case would have quotes, but hf's filter is probably 50 million pages and also my arguments that involve quotes usually result in me missing the point of the argument or, worse, doubting my original read.


this is a reminder to go read grack's case. it is better.
hf also shows an amazing willingness to call obviously townie people scum for not getting onto his stupid wagon
his filter is 95% devoted to lynching townies if that says anything.

...

god, I can't do this anymore. I don't think this is a lost cause, but my entire case, I think, hinges on me being town. honestly, try being me and it's really fucking easy to see how hf is scum.
this is why I don't make big scum cases


This is terrible and I'll break down why:

On September 12 2016 09:07 Tumblewood wrote:
first, I propose a question to you, reader: can you make an accurate read on someone based off of just five posts?
the answer is no, holyflare. no.


Actually you can. In most cases it's a single post or two where mafia fucks up that allows you to make a case. No mafia is bad enough to give himself away every single post he makes. This is why I generally ignore humongous cases that quote almost every post by someone and try to paint them scummy. It's very easy to make an accurate read on someone on even a single post (see me vs marv in some game and me vs tnkted in some other game, cba referencing).

On September 12 2016 09:07 Tumblewood wrote:
this is basic stuff. honestly. tt doesn't have a meta like marv of making 2 posts and then quitting as scum. that doesn't even matter though, because the basis of hf's attack was completely unrelated to the fact that tt was afk. it was, in fact, a dissection of tt's five total posts. and not a point about how he was a great policy lynch for his lack of posting. hmmm
throughout the game, hf shows a willingness to favor painting every road as leading to tt is scum over thinking critically about his alignment, and generally not being a jackass.


TT did things that are objectively scummy, I don't care what you think about meta or history. I generally don't use meta all that much. Here's my own interpretation of TT's filter.

On September 11 2016 05:14 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 11 2016 05:08 Calix wrote:
Oh for fuck's sake. This train is woeful and everyone is just content to slap a vote down >_>

It's not about that.

Tictock is objectively scummy.

He did that thing in the early game with the scumclaim. That's fine and all, and loads of people do it, but the only way it ever works out for town is if you then follow up by looking at the people who react to it. He did very little analysis following the claim.

He also did the whole "I'll talk more after dinner" and then disappeared. If he had just disappeared it wouldn't have meant anything, but because he claimed he'd be back it's clear he wanted to appear as if he was contributing.

Neither of these make him lock mafia, but both of them, combined with his short filter and poorly explained reads make him a pretty solid day 1 lynch. He is a high % mafia target.


Notice that none of this is "meta" or takes into account how he acts as a player. I just don't care about meta. Sometimes I'm wrong because of it (I once lynched kush in lylo for refusing to post coherently and putting in effort), but most of the times it's very effective.

On September 12 2016 09:07 Tumblewood wrote:
you might expect that this case would have quotes, but hf's filter is probably 50 million pages and also my arguments that involve quotes usually result in me missing the point of the argument or, worse, doubting my original read.


If you are town you should. If you are correct, you wouldn't have a reason to doubt your read, and if you are wrong you might realize why. But I guess that would require pretending to put in effort.




I'm not even 100% sure you're mafia TW, but you are objectively the best lynch. You've made a bunch of terrible posts, you're not pushing the game forward, there's even dumb reasons to think you're scum (no one wanted to switch with me on d1)

This is almost written as sort of an offer to let you redeem yourself. If you are town, you need to put in time and effort. Go write analysis or thoughts on every player in the game. Pro-Tip: if you're mafia make sure you're careful when you write about your buddies
Computer says mafia
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