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OUTLAW MINI MAFIA

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
December 23 2015 18:47 GMT
#32
On December 24 2015 03:44 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Holyflare? Damdred? People I don't know and that I can piss off with my play?

/in


Oh god, please save yourselves trouble and policy lynch this guy day 1. Trust me, just do it.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-24 18:56:17
December 24 2015 18:54 GMT
#89
She could cohost but playing I imagine would be a timesink esp with this many people through the new year.

Although if she and I were in another game together it'll be a real clusterfuck, I really like driving HTS up a wall in mafia xD

Also this so much.

##vote MoosyDoosy

We policy lynch him before the game begins. Love it
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
December 26 2015 02:35 GMT
#133
Wait HTS is balancing this game?

There goes the neighbourhood, folks.

<3
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
December 26 2015 17:39 GMT
#151
On December 27 2015 00:45 GlowingBear wrote:
ARGH. Public display of affection


This.

GigyaS, if you are outing, Newbie 19 has one more spot open.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
December 26 2015 17:42 GMT
#152
Of course joining this shitfest is tempting. But I can't play the newbie and this.

Except I can't lynch Fidei and I really want to.
I can't lynch HTS in either game.
But Moosy is quite tempting.

xD
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
December 26 2015 18:52 GMT
#160
HTS is balancing this game.

Damdred is tempting me in.

Maybe I should debate joining and drive HTS up the wall if she has to re-balance the game because of me?

Excellent.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-12-26 21:34:40
December 26 2015 21:33 GMT
#181
There's no framer in the setup but mafia have a GF. I really don't know about the miller rigmarole. Cop is alignment right?

Newbie is starting 28th now.....ehhhhh.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
December 26 2015 21:43 GMT
#185
EoD NYE is 11pm in the UK Trfel.

I think the very last thing you want is a drunk HTS/disformation counting votes after shennanies.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 02 2016 17:29 GMT
#3334
Holy shit, what the fuck kind of shitshow did I just replace into?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 02 2016 17:38 GMT
#3336
Only skimmed from the last lynch onwards because this is a bit much to take in. I can understand from the claims alone why Onegu is mafia, but I don't understand the town motivation for fakeclaiming gunsmith, Damdred says there was some info from d1, so I guess I have to re-read that too.

Actually in general I don't understand the town motivation for fakeclaiming in general, but probably because I'm still relatively new to forum mafia.

Can someone summarise why Alakaslam, Palmar and Holyflare are mafia? I don't think those folks were involved with the claims.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 01:40 GMT
#3386
Onegu is probably going to be my top lynch, unless I can get a summary/case/link to a case on Palmar or Alakaslam that makes them more convincing.

Voting Onegu for now.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 15:57 GMT
#3550
For those of you who don't think I give a shit about this game, I am just letting you know I'm on page 41 reading from beginning to end. I'll let you know when I'm fully caught up.

I voted Onegu based on reading the most important parts of this game (the TT claim, the lynch, the day 2 intro/in and around the day posts/night posts) because I don't have that much time to read 170 pages of goodness knows what, and I glossed through the reads of the nightkills since we have two nights of NK WIFOM information to look through. Replacing in that is generally how I start, and this game is larger than anything I've played.

I asked for points against Palmar/Slam, never really got an answer but found something reliable on the former after the fact.

I think at least a few of those people out of the game wanted Palmar dead so that's an indication there's probably something up with Palmar, but I haven't read his filter but we're talking what, 7-8 people dead over 2 nights?

Doesn't that count for something? Onegu is mechanically confirmed mafia so that is an easy vote.

If we're one lynch away from lylo as Damdred said, I want to know why people aren't voting the most likely mafia.

If people are going for the "we must kill the powerrole" strategy, then this is something I'm not terribly familiar with outside 13-player setups.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 15:59 GMT
#3553
Thinking about it, the only argument I can think of for NOT voting Onegu is that mafia wouldn't put in a power role (RB, rolechecker, vig) to fakeclaim the red check and instead have the vanilla scum do it. If someone's made that argument, then fine, but if we can't decide on an alternative, then go for the most likely mafia.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:01 GMT
#3554
On January 04 2016 00:58 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2016 00:57 NocturneMage wrote:
For those of you who don't think I give a shit about this game, I am just letting you know I'm on page 41 reading from beginning to end. I'll let you know when I'm fully caught up.

I voted Onegu based on reading the most important parts of this game (the TT claim, the lynch, the day 2 intro/in and around the day posts/night posts) because I don't have that much time to read 170 pages of goodness knows what, and I glossed through the reads of the nightkills since we have two nights of NK WIFOM information to look through. Replacing in that is generally how I start, and this game is larger than anything I've played.

I asked for points against Palmar/Slam, never really got an answer but found something reliable on the former after the fact.

I think at least a few of those people out of the game wanted Palmar dead so that's an indication there's probably something up with Palmar, but I haven't read his filter but we're talking what, 7-8 people dead over 2 nights?

Doesn't that count for something? Onegu is mechanically confirmed mafia so that is an easy vote.

If we're one lynch away from lylo as Damdred said, I want to know why people aren't voting the most likely mafia.

If people are going for the "we must kill the powerrole" strategy, then this is something I'm not terribly familiar with outside 13-player setups.


hes not tho


Why would he or anyone for that matter do something like this as a VT?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:03 GMT
#3556
On January 04 2016 00:33 sicklucker wrote:
slam or noctorn mage and never change. at least we have a chance to read palmer/tref/ritoky going forward. Even if noctorn mage is town hes not going to give a flying shit about this game. I wouldnt and slam is slam


And why are you effectively going for what equates to a policy lynch when we are apparently one lynch away from lylo and there is apparently more readable/debatable material on other people? This is reckless if you are town.

Unless you had a reason to scumread Ness (did you?) your method makes no sense. I can't speak for slam other than that Slam appears unreadable to me, and I think Koshi and one other wanted him dead before he died.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:04 GMT
#3557
I have never played with Onegu before, first game right now is the other game in progress on TL.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:11 GMT
#3560
On January 04 2016 01:09 sicklucker wrote:
If I were to scum read onegu it would be for the fact hes usually acualy good at his fakeclaim bullshit. but here he was just really bad. But hes been playing especially bad lately


So where are you drawing the line between bad and mafia?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:20 GMT
#3568
On January 03 2016 22:40 ObviousOne wrote:
thought about night kills for a bit in my simpleminded way and reviewed some of their filters quickly

rsoul obviously killed because confirmed town and capable of playing as opposed to coag who is mostly reliable for deciding at the last possible moment who to lynch at lylo, making him a low priority kill

based on artanis rayn and vivax, palmar is suspect as they were the largest proponents of his lynch. also they were probably the most obvious town so it's hard to decide if they were killed for being obviously town or if they were being killed for their scum reads.

i don't want to lynch onegu yet because im pretty sure he's town and pulled of a highly retarded ego-related move to try to get a scum read lynched and that is so bad that i would rather ignore him completely than dedicate any more brain cells to thinking about it. also the people voting for him at this point, yikes.


no idea what i was thinking about since i didnt write it down when writing my last scum team list, poked through various filters and there was a confluence of ideas that make it a thing that happened. mostly how people talk to / treat eachother and their scum reads, but it was nebulous and in my head so i have no idea if it's good or not. maybe not. i am apparently the black sheep when it comes to scum reads this game which probably means i'm 90% wrong or more. i remember last time that happened in a game hosted by bh, wasn't a good time after i died and found out how retarded i was. could be that all over again.

maybe there's some hidden nuggets in the way the rels vote went. honestly i don't see/remember how come rels was lynched for sheeping rayn or what his major offense was.

haven't given a single thought to nocturne but there's been some discussion about him relating to replacement meta that could be a good start. it's entirely possible that ness quit not because he was a pissed off townie but because he didn't want to deal with mafia [the game] elitist hotheads. i could see that. i had that kind of thought in my first newbie game with someone a lot less outrageous.

it's hindering me thinking about things in terms of potential teams with this many players and i'm at a loss when it comes to trying process of elimination so... yeah. gonna sheep damdred today.


I think this is a pretty good reason right here to vote Palmar over Onegu (the Onegu reasoning presumably based on meta if that is what other people are saying). Not sure why he wanted to sheep Damdred instead of trust his own vote, I thought Koshi suspected Palmar too? There's more evidence that way too.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:21 GMT
#3569
On January 04 2016 01:11 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2016 01:01 sicklucker wrote:
Have you ever played with onegu nocturnemage?

I think I have roleswapped with him twice before. its like all he does. Fakes power roles


If he's town and we lynch him, maybe he'll stop doing it.


Can we afford this line of reasoning one mislynch before lylo? I don't think so.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:34 GMT
#3570
On January 04 2016 01:16 Damdred wrote:
Maybe but I did play in a game with scum onegu where he fake claimed big and rode it until end of game. There is that.


On January 04 2016 01:13 Damdred wrote:
Nm what's the mafia motivation potentially going 1v1 and if he's cc Tt is confirmed town?


By your own admission if he's capable of this as mafia, why couldn't he possibly do it now?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:35 GMT
#3571
On January 04 2016 01:13 Damdred wrote:
Nm what's the mafia motivation potentially going 1v1 and if he's cc Tt is confirmed town?


The counterclaim would in theory draw out the cop. They have a rolecop, roleblocker and a decent chunk of kp where doing this might be worth sacrificing a vanilla scum.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:50 GMT
#3577
On January 04 2016 01:48 sicklucker wrote:
maybe nocturne mage is tmi when he acualy knows what mafia roles there are since I never bothered to look other then the vig and roleblocker I noticed. I mean its really stupid I think so I wont hold it against him but I never noticed there was a rolecop or a gf. Like whats rc even stand for rolecops are kinda rare in games


This is an open setup? Read the OP much? And people have mentioned both rolecop/rolechecker in pre-game/early game in putting the setup together.

Are you smoking weed or something?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:53 GMT
#3579
Alright, so if I am to trust Onegu's meta or your reads of his meta that he can do this as both alignments, then I'll switch my vote to Palmar. Confirmed mason is also pointing us in that direction last I saw, surely he can be trusted on top of all the NK WIFOM.

##unvote
##vote Palmar


I'll pick up reading the thread from where I left off.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:57 GMT
#3580
Well Koshi called it a rolechecker and in my previous games I've gone through larger games looking up in the database before. I think there was a large normal called Guardians of the Galaxy that had a rolecop for example. It's the same concept.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 16:58 GMT
#3581
Himalayas also had a rolecop and I observed that game.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 17:03 GMT
#3585
Why Alakaslam over Palmar?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 17:03 GMT
#3586
I have to afk but I'll return.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 19:56 GMT
#3593
Page 80 and counting....
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 03 2016 19:56 GMT
#3594
On January 04 2016 02:24 Damdred wrote:
Wouldn't it be interesting to start lynching Palomar today and make him play super hardvtommorow to get a read off him


I'd agree to this.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 14:41 GMT
#3747
Alright. I stopped at page 120 this morning, now trying to power-read through some individual filters (mainly those who were NKed) with another break here at work.

Backtracked to Artanis/Koshi filters, hitting Vivax and rayn's filter next.
Since Alakaslam is the other wagon, I remember Holyflare going hard on Slam so I'll read Holyflare's filter next.

IMO Slam is unreadable to me, I have no idea how to read him, he's all over the place.

Artanis' arguments from what I'm reading come down to Palmar's misrepresentation of meta and his town game falling below expectations, that he has the capability to solve the game early on and fails to do that.

Also that a bit of Palmar's posting is for the sake of posting (check if that is currently happening here???) just to look town and not really solve the game.

Though (for those that know me) I don't trust meta, I can trust what Artanis says here as he's a green flip. And Artanis should obviously know his own meta and know best when someone is misunderstanding/misinterpreting. I can believe this.

Artanis' other scumreads at points in time were Vivax, Tictock, wavering on ritoky, Holyflare, OWS, voted rayn at one point and ended with the strong scumread on Palmar. All those I mentioned are dead except OWS, ritoky and Palmar. Interesting.

Koshi went hard 100% scumreads on Slam, Palmar, and Onegu. From games I've observed Koshi knows his stuff.

rayn last reads: Noon/BF/Palmar/Onegu/Ness/Tictock, possibly Shining.

Of those, only Noon, Palmar, Onegu, Shining are alive, and I know I'm town replacing in for Ness. rayn doesn't have 100% reads and isn't right all the time but this is a common thread between these three players' reads on Palmar.

I know from playing with both, both have been around awhile, so I am going to make the assumption both are quite familiar with each other's games.

rayn's reasoning for scumreading Palmar fundamentally are in posts 2143, 2145 and 2146.

The switch to Rels being scummy. We know the day 1 wagon now was between two townies, Tictock and Rels.

On December 29 2015 17:15 raynpelikoneet wrote:
There is no way Palmar does neither of:
(1) stay on TicTock when having claimed to sheep me
(2) vote Vivax after unclaim
..as town.

There is just no way and it makes Palmar 100% mafia.


If I'm reading this right, this is indicative that Palmar did not care about the day 1 lynch, and this is mafia indicative.

Looking at the votes, ignoring where Half the Sky had to re-do the vote count, Palmar bounced between the two town wagons, rayn and Palmar were never on the same wagon, so (1) makes sense here.

(2) I don't get, hosts didn't make a mistake as filtering Palmar's votes don't show where he voted Vivax in the voting thread. If he did in the main thread (???) then alright.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 14:42 GMT
#3748
I'm on a real time crunch and I realise end of cycle is today, so I'm going to focus on the Palmar/Slam wagons with the little time I have. If there's any reason I should be focusing elsewhere, let me know.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 14:44 GMT
#3750
ObviousOne, I am curious to hear from you on Palmar's play day 1 since you made some comments about a lot of the NKs being people that suspected Palmar, etc.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 14:46 GMT
#3753
EBWOP to 3750 actually wait, you replaced in after day 1.....meh, fuck. Well if you can, great.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 14:52 GMT
#3757
On January 04 2016 23:49 nooniansoong wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2016 23:46 sicklucker wrote:
I have been the biggest town reader of gb this game. But even im ok with him getting lynched here. Infact I think I prefer it


Whyyyy
GB can come in end game and town himself much like palmar has (somewhat).
Besides that Gb looks town from his earlier content.

Alakaslam never looked town. Many of the NKs have strongly wanted to kill alaka (koshi, HF off the top of my head). Alakaslam also has fucked off like GB except he's not the type of player that can come back and look super town.


This is why I'm trying to get to Holyflare's filter if I can, I know he was scumreading GB and Slam and I have heard from others Holyflare is one of the best town players on TL even though I've never played with him.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 14:55 GMT
#3763
On December 30 2015 00:36 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 30 2015 00:15 Palmar wrote:
I haven't hidden the fact I have a read on barely half the players in the game. What I know about you is that you claimed like a retard and then retracted it. I also know that you've argued and antagonized people. On it's own this is justification enough to shoot you, but of course it's entirely possible you're just town and a dick/baddie.

So help me out here, what should be my read on you and why?


Yes I argued and antagonized people and now you're going to explain how it's my mafia meta when half the forum knows its exactly the opposite


Another callout of meta misrepresentation by Palmar. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me...
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 14:56 GMT
#3764
Still going through Vivax's filter...
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 15:04 GMT
#3772
On January 04 2016 23:58 ObviousOne wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2016 23:55 nooniansoong wrote:
OO care to clarify?

On January 04 2016 21:10 nooniansoong wrote:
On January 04 2016 20:49 ObviousOne wrote:
the posts regarding nocturnemage are kinda curious
On January 03 2016 17:31 sicklucker wrote:
oh ness was replaced by that fucker

sort of implies he knows nocturnemage
On January 04 2016 02:00 sicklucker wrote:
But I never played with nocturne before so dandred I wanna give him a chance he seems to be trying...

Can we kill slam plzpl mister dandred mister?

but this post says he hasn't. i find this weird.

his issue with noct knowing the setup of the game is kind of silly since he himself didn't read the OP in the game we were in haunted mini, so it's a stupid point to fuss about when he himself is underinformed. if sl should have any issues with noct i would imagine it would be more with how noct is pushing your lynch but without taking any of the responsibility for it which i imagine you'd have a problem with.




onegu thoughts are already in my filter


You find it weird that so calls nm a fucker even though he's never played with him.
Why is that scummy?
Looks like oo is spreading suspicion based on non existent reasoning.


so hes ok calling noct a fucker for no reason? to me itimplied a familiarity like ribbing a friend but then they d ont know eachother

it just stands out as weird like i said


I don't know why he calls me that, but I have never played with sicklucker. From the games I recall observing him he has very erratic posting behaviour but I didn't get an impression he was out to get me when he interacted with me.

I personally thought the rolecop argument was really dumb but given what I know of him from observation, this wouldn't appear to be outside his town game, and making an assumption a relative newbie like myself (4 newbies, 1 non-newbie, not counting the 2 games in progress) with no other forum exposure to mafia - doesn't know what a rolecop is, isn't an unreasonable argument for town to make particularly when he looked my games up in the database.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 15:07 GMT
#3773
On January 04 2016 23:59 Palmar wrote:
like how can you make a point about me without reading the conversation?


Here's the thing Palmar, you are raising justification (see Vivax's bolded statement) to shoot him. It's called context.

If you're town, you want to shoot mafia. Duh.

And I'm using that point against you because there's a pattern. Your reaction to Vivax's statement is honestly, irrelevant.

Artanis made the same point against you. Vivax made the same point against you. Two different players in two different situations.

You don't have to be explicitly calling someone mafia for that reaction to occur, you merely suggesting that is adequate cause for him to suggest what you are doing is problematic.

I made the same logical point with Artanis, they know their own alignment/meta/etc. As both flipped green, we know we can trust what they are saying.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 15:10 GMT
#3774
And even in context of that conversation? If you didn't believe it, why are you suggesting to shoot him in the first place?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 15:13 GMT
#3775
Back to work. I'll work on the Holyflare/Slam stuff as soon as I can.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:30 GMT
#3906
Trying to catch up on mobile.

Nothing Palmar said to me indicated anything towny (definition established by others: advancing the game) before I afked, so what on earth convinced everyone else?

Palmar said something to me about Kush and GB "still being alive" or something....that's wonderful but I'm pretty sure that fewer people were on about those two than about Palmar.

Trying to skim through HF's filter now...
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:33 GMT
#3908
On January 05 2016 07:26 ExO_ wrote:
I'm really having second thoughts. The only thing that really makes me think GB is scum would be HF really thinking he's scum.

And Palmar/Onegu being on GB doesn't help encourage me either. I really believe Ritoky and Damdred are town but I'm not sure if this is the right course of action. I still think palmar is scum and he managed to talk himself out of being scum read.


This (bolded).

I wouldn't be surprised if this were to be the case.

Something smells....reading on.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:34 GMT
#3910
On January 05 2016 07:33 Trfel wrote:
##unvote
##vote ObiWanShinobi


No. He's not getting lynched.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:36 GMT
#3915
On January 05 2016 07:34 sicklucker wrote:
Remember yesterday how I covered that shennanies are the worst thing ever with two huge poweroles out there? Gb is not one he woulda claimed already palmar or slam might be


THIS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Mafia need their rolecop, RB, GF alive. The vig (having used both his kp) and vanilla are expendable.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:42 GMT
#3925
On January 05 2016 07:39 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2016 07:37 Palmar wrote:
On January 05 2016 07:37 ExO_ wrote:
On January 05 2016 07:34 sicklucker wrote:
Remember yesterday how I covered that shennanies are the worst thing ever with two huge poweroles out there? Gb is not one he woulda claimed already palmar or slam might be


And if Palmar is scum he'll claim a power role regardless. If we screw this lynch up we don't have any more mistakes we can make. And I truly believe Palmar is scum.

Why?


Because of the way you've played so far. You didn't care at all about the early game lynches, only showed up at the end of day 1. And you've been very okay with however anything goes. Until you got some pressure on you today you weren't caring at all who was lynched. Artanis and Rayn both thought you were scum


And Koshi. And Vivax.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:45 GMT
#3929
No lynch Palmar. Something is way the hell off.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:49 GMT
#3943
Reading HF's filter now, he suspected both Palmar and Slam.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:51 GMT
#3948
On January 05 2016 07:49 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2016 07:47 Palmar wrote:
On January 05 2016 07:46 ExO_ wrote:
On January 05 2016 07:44 nooniansoong wrote:
fuck meetings so hard.
now i have to drive home.
See how easy it was to get a majority on GB? That's because he's town.
Ask yourself, who is the scumteam? Most of them are on GB.

Switch to alakaslam. This is the last plea I will make.


we dont have time/people to switch to slam. either switch to Palmar or we're gonna be stuck with GB

We're not fucking switching to me. We're switching to slam if anything. Maybe NM or OO

What the hell is your problem man.


I think you're scum. Do you think this is personal or something? Unlike HF I haven't tried to insult you or anything. But based on your play, and all of the talkative townies this far thinking your scum I think you are indeed scum. I thought if you got a lot of pressure on you, you'd come out talk a lot and convince people not to lynch you. Which is what it seems like to me has happened.


I can lynch Palmar or Alakaslam here.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:51 GMT
#3950
On January 05 2016 07:50 Damdred wrote:
For the record trfel is now voting with his 100% scum read in kush.


Context please. He said he was doing it out of protest.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:52 GMT
#3954
THERE IS RESISTANCE TO THE SLAM/PALMAR LYNCHES.

GEE I WONDER WHY......
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:57 GMT
#3974
On January 05 2016 07:54 Damdred wrote:
Can't we just lynch nm?

we need 5-6 voted


Go for it, if you're town (gut thinks you are), you won't be laughing in lylo next cycle.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 22:59 GMT
#3976
SWITCH TO SLAM 2 MINUTES!!!!!!
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 23:05 GMT
#4004
On January 05 2016 08:03 sicklucker wrote:
So gb didnt vote to save himself and hes a vt. so thats suspicious


No complaints about a red flip ever, but it's clear this was bus city. I said before they need the RB/rolecheck/GF given the setup. Other two roles were expendable.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 23:09 GMT
#4011
On January 05 2016 08:06 Damdred wrote:
Its very possible we had two scum up GB refused to claim blue to get a lynch averted and refused to vote on a wagon to save himself.

which technically means that it coud be palmar or slam. More than like slam but its worth considering palm.


Given the early nightkills and the resistance to both lynches, why not both?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 23:10 GMT
#4014
On January 05 2016 08:08 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2016 08:05 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 05 2016 08:03 sicklucker wrote:
So gb didnt vote to save himself and hes a vt. so thats suspicious


No complaints about a red flip ever, but it's clear this was bus city. I said before they need the RB/rolecheck/GF given the setup. Other two roles were expendable.


sure it was a bus in a sense. But there were some people that expected palmar to be the second wagon over slam. I think it was a m/m wagon where mafia didnt really care rather then a bus.

I think palmar is town and I think people who wanted him dead are mafia


Based on what? the voting results?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 23:25 GMT
#4032
On January 05 2016 08:21 Damdred wrote:
Problem with that is GB is 100& the lynch at that point to him. Distancing is on his mind which might be why he voted obi.


I think at that point anyone whom he voted is a wifom vote seeing the timing of the shennanies relative to that vote.
I don't think it should be used to determine OWS' alignment.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 04 2016 23:26 GMT
#4034
Going to pick up again when I am back on my laptop.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 13:47 GMT
#4057
On January 05 2016 21:12 nooniansoong wrote:
Or slam actually. If slam was town he would have gotten more support over gb?


Yes. GB was vanilla scum. HF/Koshi scumread Alakaslam under the aggro reads on my predecessor (and last I recall Slam actually soft defended me upon replacing), and other scumreads were him not being invested in this game.

The mafia in that wagon were interested in protecting one of the three power roles I mentioned before, gf, rb, rolecop. If Slam were town, that wagon wouldn't have gone anywhere or it would have gotten larger.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 13:50 GMT
#4058
On January 05 2016 08:06 Damdred wrote:
Its very possible we had two scum up GB refused to claim blue to get a lynch averted and refused to vote on a wagon to save himself.

which technically means that it coud be palmar or slam. More than like slam but its worth considering palm.


Here's an interesting tidbit based on my current bus theory -

On January 05 2016 08:04 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2016 08:03 Damdred wrote:
Well I'm glad it was the case hrm I look sorta bad but it made sense to me at the time

technically it could've been a scum vs scum wagon (see gb didn't vote slam). But he also may just have given up.

either way, checking slam: fantastic idea.


If Alakaslam flips godfather, 1000% lynch Palmar.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 13:58 GMT
#4060
Where am I wrong here?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 14:01 GMT
#4061
I am honestly just still extremely sceptical of Palmar, for the experience he has (having looked him up before) he is very likely capable of pulling this as scum, and I find it so hard to believe that with the number of people that had cause to see him as mafia that he couldn't be. One person is one thing, but four?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 14:02 GMT
#4062
His last argument against me that this doesn't make him mafia (etc)....that's great but it doesn't make him town either.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 15:23 GMT
#4079
phoneposting -

On January 06 2016 00:11 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2016 00:09 Palmar wrote:
Basically my problem with Exo is that he changed his mind on me after the lynch.

Sure, I lynched mafia, but all the concerns people had about me should have remained true in their mind even after the flip. If someone does mafia things he is mafia, even if he randomly votes for scum.


woah woah woah back up. I said I had to reevaluate you, not that I changed my mind on you. Don't try to misrepresent what I said.


He did it apparently with Vivax and Artanis day 1 (or 2, it was in their filters). This is a broken record. Do you see a pattern here?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 15:26 GMT
#4080
On January 06 2016 00:21 ExO_ wrote:
However Rayn/Artanis/Vivax/Koshi all thought you were scum Palmar, and all are dead townies. And at the start of day 2, I said scum Palmar would come and talk his way out of a lynch. And I think that is certainly a possibility. The fact that GB was scum is points in your favor, but if Slam flips scum too then It stops even being a question in my mind that you're scum. I was wrong about GB so I at least owe you a relook.


I disagree with this one part given the setup but I can see why you've arrived at that conclusion. There was adequate cause to scumread Slam from what I've read. I would give Palmar points if a GF/RB/rolecop flipped but not a vanilla scum.

Also mind you, more of them scumread Palmar than did Slam if I recall correctly. The mafia motivation is to get the cred when you are under pressure like that (and I'm ignoring the fact that he's afk on the weekends as most town veterans in this game would treat that as NAI and not as part of their scumread on him).
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 15:28 GMT
#4082
On January 05 2016 23:10 Palmar wrote:
You're insane, people who look like mafia are always worth the check. yes, if the cop hits scum there's 25% chance that scum is godfather and we get a green check, but literally everyone knows to take a green check with a grain of salt until the godfather is flipped.

A red check, on the other hand is 75% (2/3 millers are dead) chance of hitting mafia.

I don't think I want slam lynched tomorrow, although there are some arguments to be made for it. The most important one is that GB didn't vote on his counterwagon.


No. I will repeat what I said to Damdred yesterday. GB swapped votes to OWS right at same time (check voting thread) as shennanies to Alakaslam was occurring. GB's vote was effectively WIFOM. It should not be used as an argument against OWS, nor should it be used to vindicate anyone else.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 15:42 GMT
#4091
On January 06 2016 00:31 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2016 00:28 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 05 2016 23:10 Palmar wrote:
You're insane, people who look like mafia are always worth the check. yes, if the cop hits scum there's 25% chance that scum is godfather and we get a green check, but literally everyone knows to take a green check with a grain of salt until the godfather is flipped.

A red check, on the other hand is 75% (2/3 millers are dead) chance of hitting mafia.

I don't think I want slam lynched tomorrow, although there are some arguments to be made for it. The most important one is that GB didn't vote on his counterwagon.


No. I will repeat what I said to Damdred yesterday. GB swapped votes to OWS right at same time (check voting thread) as shennanies to Alakaslam was occurring. GB's vote was effectively WIFOM. It should not be used as an argument against OWS, nor should it be used to vindicate anyone else.

No but GB as mafia had at least a chance to save himself by just voting slam.

Sure it might be wifom, but there might be a reason he didn't vote slam.


That is horrible scumtastic reasoning to suggest that Slam should not be voted.

If Slam was town, mafia GB would have voted him 100%. (Mind you that is NAI, but saying.)
Mafia play to survive or in this case, preserve their team.

The mafia motivation for GB to save Slam is that Slam serves a more important role on the scumteam, end of.
(Obviously as he's flipped we know there is no town motivation, but even if GB was town, he would have still saved himself because he's most sure of his own alignment.)

If anything, what you say, is actually further of an argument that Alakaslam should be lynched, and not the other way around.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 17:29 GMT
#4123
On January 06 2016 01:40 ExO_ wrote:
I'm on page 11 of Palmar filter.

Show nested quote +
On January 04 2016 22:42 Palmar wrote:
it'd be really grand for town if I actually flipped mafia after this, so many associative reads to be had.


Show nested quote +
On January 04 2016 22:39 Palmar wrote:
(the reason I'm doing these is that there is a very real chance there is enough lynch inertia to just kill me today even if no one is really sure why. I'm trying to be useful! Such town, wow.)


He posts both of these while making some pretty big read posts. So in my mind its either one of 2 things happening:

He's scum and really trying to talk his way out of a lynch. Like to an incredible extent. Or he's town and actually trying to help town. The amount of effort it would take to post all of his read posts leads me to believe it's just too much effort to put into something as scum. If he is scum here it's incredibly well done.

That being said the other tidbit I get from reading Palmar's filter so far is Kush. Palmar is really pushing Kush at this point, and I tend to agree as I read it. If Kush flips scum, it basically confirms Palmar as town.


Ummmm..........maybe I'll take a closer look when I can but.......

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/500627-outlaw-mini-mafia?page=117#2327

On December 30 2015 01:07 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 30 2015 01:05 Palmar wrote:
On December 30 2015 00:40 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Also if I'm right on Palmar I don't think OWS is scum because I don't think two scum are going to be the only ones to attack me when everyone else is townreading me.

But you definitely think the one guy who does is scum.

Especially the one that both lead the suspicion and the one that actually provided reasoning.

If you are somehow town, you should dismiss my suspicions as just that and actually consider me more favorably for actually exploring things that others aren't exploring.

OWS is barely attacking you, he said like one sentence about you. Even I am not really attacking you, I just pointed out a tonal thing that looks a bit off and could make you mafia, and you decided to make a u-turn on everything because of those two little things.

There is no way that you genuinely 100% believe that my suspicion of you can ONLY come from mafia perspective.

No, you have no focus. You haven't had focus all game. You're just spewing out what you think gets you townread. Your effort has not been in finding scum.

I don't need to convince you that you're scum though.


You've been warned.

If the read posts don't advance the game, he's probably scum.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 17:30 GMT
#4124
On January 06 2016 01:52 Damdred wrote:
Its monday/tuesday won't see him at all till tomorrow more than likely


This, and as always is, is NAI for Shining.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 17:31 GMT
#4125
On January 06 2016 00:48 Palmar wrote:
I guess NM is just a bit illiterate, I'll make sure not to use big words or complicated sentences around him.


Trolling (which is generally mafia indicative) doesn't get you any points in my book.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 05 2016 17:37 GMT
#4126
On January 06 2016 00:49 Onegu wrote:
Onegu confirmed town now. Will tell you who is scum at lylo and this time you fucks better listen to me.


No. Don't remember where you were offhand end of last cycle but same argument applies to you as it does Palmar with respect to the votes. Vanilla mafia flip, bus city.

And why don't you do it now instead of waiting until lylo? You've had the proper information to work with all game.

(that said, I might be able to make some serious progress if I can actually sink a few hours reading filters and taking notes off my laptop)
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 06 2016 01:22 GMT
#4189
Ugh this game........at page 150 now.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 06 2016 14:20 GMT
#4236
Some quick thoughts regarding my reads I have so far:

I am getting town feeling from Damdred particularly from the way he is reevaluating people, re-evaluating me. His argument and his basis for fakeclaiming Tictock makes sense from a town perspective I think.

I think Noon is also town for wanting to push harder on Alakaslam, proven by the fact that GB flipped vanilla scum and did not vote Slam.

Alakaslam is for certain mafia (based on my argument that flipped mafia GB sacrificed himself), and for now I will place my vote on him unless I can find someone better. (Mechanically with a cop flip, the godfather is now expendable as is the vig so bussing is still possible.)

Palmar is scum though, and I really think he just managed to weasel his way out of the lynch. In spite of what everyone is saying...something just isn't feeling right.

And Shining, I took a quick look through your filter, I am also getting a sense of town feeling, similar to your play in Dark Tournament.

I am also getting a scum feeling from reading ritoky's reaction to Damdred's initial suggesting why my town game wasn't reflecting in this game. The way ritoky pounced on it looked opportunistic in comparison to how he tried to pounce on me in Fullmetal, the slightest reaction that was non alignment indicative (my reaction to Trfel) he made it so, and here my inactivity in this game cannot be compared to my normal scum meta because it's a larger game (my first one ever), and I'm playing in two games at once (a mistake I won't make again). That is not alignment indicative and his reaction was at best, much less townie than Damdred. The contrast is that Damdred actually presented a basis (casing HTS and getting to work) and ritoky didn't.

That might look OMGUS and all but it gives me some caution with ritoky.

Now I realise these may look a bit shallow but those are my observations from what I've seen in the little activity/interaction I've had in this game. I admit I'm still reading a load of filters.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 15:10 GMT
#4298
Alright, finally got caught up to page 150 or around the time I replaced in and started posting.

Incidentally, I found something I think pretty serious in ritoky's filter (case incoming on my next break) and OWS I'm just having a rough time getting a good read on him. My gut call says he's town, but I'll hash out my thoughts on him.

(will get to OO next since a bunch of people seem to be PoEing/split on those two)

ExO_ I think he's a townread for me despite the back and forth with Shining, I think those two are both town just not seeing eye to eye with each other. I liked ExO's vote analysis as well.

Will elaborate on all these in my next few posts.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 15:23 GMT
#4300
OWS atm I'm having a tough time getting a good solid read tbh, never played with him.

Some posts look townie or at least reasoned out (like post 2125, 2300).

Others look sort of boring, meh, others look shallow but reading more, it just might be his style.

Page 5 of his filter, I am getting a "trying to solve the game" feeling from him, but at the same time there were two posts in 3174/3178 where he disputed why Palmar was scummy.

On January 02 2016 08:55 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
I lied, I'm actually still here.
I just perused OO's, Shining's, and Vivax's filters and haven't had issues with any of them.

Considering Palmar is so high up on everyone's lists and I townread him earlier, can someone explain to me why everyone thinks he's so scummy?

I'll be checking this thread intermittently throughout tonight but I'll try to respond to whoever is still trying to do things.


On January 02 2016 08:57 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
I do remember people saying stuff like "he's not trying to solve the game" but that's mostly rhetoric and a ton of people haven't been doing anything recently.


the problem I have with the second quote here is that the people who are saying stuff like "he's not trying to solve the game" are all dead, and the comments that people had made on early game with reference to Palmar were setting those standards (I believe) early game.

"A ton of people haven't been doing anything recently..." well that's partially because you've just gotten by New Year's Eve, the game started I think the 26th?

So at first, I get the feeling here he might be trying to compare different sets of standards, which looks scummy.

There was another quote he made at ExO where he disputed the NKs implicating Palmar but ExO had only brought up two of the four players that implicated Palmar, so I'm not sure this is alignment indicative.

But on page 6 he's going back and forth about Palmar and he's been conflicted. Post 3592 is a good reason to question Noon on the Palmar's observation on Rels because Palmar comes off as trolling.

OWS's vote on GB I can see why people are arguing its a bus, but when looking at how OWS has grappled with Palmar in a few different ways for several pages of his filter, it's plausible he went for who he felt was the most likely scum. I think he's wrongly townreading Palmar, but taking into context a few times where he said he's mostly skimming the thread from his phone at work, it's possible a town player could miss certain things (and explains his style too).

My gut call on him is town, not a solid read at all but this is what I'm thinking for now.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 15:25 GMT
#4301
On January 08 2016 00:12 nooniansoong wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2016 07:59 Onegu wrote:
On January 07 2016 06:21 ExO_ wrote:
I think Onegu is scum. His fake claim bullshit on day 2 has let him slide by like Damdred. Only unlike Damdred he hasn't done anything since then. His filter is 4 pages lon<script id="gpt-impl-0.9471382165146065" src="http://partner.googleadservices.com/gpt/pubads_impl_78.js"></script>g, and he has 1 post on the 4th page. He's not doing anything. On day 3 he switched off of Slam and went to GB (this is true of OO and SL as well). If I work with the assumption that Onegu is scum it leads me to the following scum team:

Onegu
Shining
Slam
Kush

Day 3
Kush parks his vote on Slam and never moves it at all. Shining votes for GB, and Onegu moves from Slam to GB. GB never throws his vote on slam (inexplicably). This gets GB lynched, and protects slam for another day.

I think slam is a scum with a role, and I think we should lynch him today.

##Vote Alakaslam


I R VT, I mean Cop. I mean I was Rsouls real mason partner, I mean I am JK, I mean I am scum, I mean I am VT.

I wont do anything until lylo then I will figure the game out. And you fuckers will listen to me. If you need a list of games this year I have figured the game out once I was in lylo I will provide it. My percentage is IS better than the rest of people in finding scum at lylo.


why do you assume town will let this game get to lylo?


Not a fan of Onegu pushing this point at all. That's the third time I recall him doing this. Doesn't mean he's town this game, nor does pushing that point make him any more town.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 15:29 GMT
#4303
On January 08 2016 00:26 Palmar wrote:
ows is a green check, pay attention pls


(1) GF hasn't flipped
(2) Damdred and at least one other person wanted more reads from me
(3) several debating OWS

doesn't hurt to tell others where my head is

pay attention pls
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 15:36 GMT
#4305
On January 07 2016 06:21 ExO_ wrote:
I think Onegu is scum. His fake claim bullshit on day 2 has let him slide by like Damdred. Only unlike Damdred he hasn't done anything since then. His filter is 4 pages long, and he has 1 post on the 4th page. He's not doing anything. On day 3 he switched off of Slam and went to GB (this is true of OO and SL as well). If I work with the assumption that Onegu is scum it leads me to the following scum team:

Onegu
Shining
Slam
Kush

Day 3
Kush parks his vote on Slam and never moves it at all. Shining votes for GB, and Onegu moves from Slam to GB. GB never throws his vote on slam (inexplicably). This gets GB lynched, and protects slam for another day.

I think slam is a scum with a role, and I think we should lynch him today.

##Vote Alakaslam


On January 07 2016 07:05 Damdred wrote:
That's interesting why do you spend so much time talking about how onegu must be scum but decide that slam has to be scum because of something that isn't true.

When GB ended up being lynched I tried to shennanigan onto slam but the true counter wagon during the day was palmar. You saying slam wad the other wagon is wrong. And when slam had a large amount of votes before we moved to GB palmar was still the counter wagon.

so yeah


On January 07 2016 07:23 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2016 07:05 Damdred wrote:
That's interesting why do you spend so much time talking about how onegu must be scum but decide that slam has to be scum because of something that isn't true.

When GB ended up being lynched I tried to shennanigan onto slam but the true counter wagon during the day was palmar. You saying slam wad the other wagon is wrong. And when slam had a large amount of votes before we moved to GB palmar was still the counter wagon.

so yeah


...I was one of the people moving to Slam during that time, don't you remember? I wanted to lynch Palmar but it never really got enough steam. And then when the movement to Slam started, Palmar almost switched (or at least implied he did) but ultimately decided to stay on GB>

What is untrue about what I'm saying?


I actually agree with ExO_ here. What he is saying makes complete sense. Onegu's filter could be NAI if he's a player who doesn't post much (don't recall him saying that much as town in the game that finished), but Onegu very well could be mafia for what he pulled on Tictock. I made a mention before that he could have tried to draw a cop counterclaim so I can sort of see how it'd make sense. In addition, Onegu's posts about being confirmed town and making calls in lylo just rubbed me the wrong way considering how GB flipped; it was the same argument I was using for Palmar.

GB was expendable, and refused to vote for Alakaslam. I think Noon/Kush had other read-based reasons (Alakaslam wasn't caring about the game) to vote him in the first place and I'm pretty sure Shining is town tbh, but the play made sense to me when he could have drawn out the cop claim (cop was still alive at the time).

Now my only issue with ExO is that he's using ALL these arguments to argue that all of these people are scum, but I think between this and his voting analysis on GB's agenda, I think this former part makes him more guilty of confirmation bias rather than making him mafia.

Also part tone, like he comes off to me as someone who really believes what he's saying even if he might be off target. There's a stubbornness, IDGAF attitude that I see in him.

I think ExO is town.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 16:03 GMT
#4308
On January 08 2016 00:37 nooniansoong wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2016 05:44 ExO_ wrote:
Im playing around with the daily votes and colors right now to see if I can find any trends. So far this is what I've noticed:

GB on day 1 voted for townies: (ticktock, Vivax, Holyflare). The only possible bus he could've done would be on NESS (Nocture Mage now) if NM turns out to be scum. If not this means GB didn't bus a single time on day 1.

On day 2 GB was on ticktock like everyone else,

Day 3 he was on Palmar, and OWS.

Looking at this data, I tend to think GB wasn't bussing at all this game. I guess its quite possible he would bus on Day 3 but I don't think so. If Palmar is town and OWS is town then I think it indicates that NM is probably town as well. Since I think Palmar is town and OWS is basically cleared by SL, I tend to think GB never once voted for his scum teammates.

Your logic this: 5/6 of GB's scumreads turned out to be town. Therefore, the last scumread is also town.
I'd say it makes it more likely for the last scumread to be scum, since scum usually throws in at least some busing especially as the game goes on.
So what we have here is bad and possibly opportunistic reasoning.

Show nested quote +

Another interesting tidbits are where noonian songs votes have been

Day 1: Briefly Voting for Palmar, ends on Slam
Day 2: Votes Self
Day 3: Votes Slam

Kush has for the most part only been voting for Slam. Like non-stop. Call it confirmation bias, but I think this is scum indicative. Day 1 he's safely on neither wagon, day 2 he votes self (which btw I didn't think was allowed and I didn't even notice). Day 3 again voting for Slam. In the event that Slam flips scum (which I think he will) Kush can say he pushed slam, while at the same time he's stayed way out of the spotlight, voting wise).

That's all I got for now, will come back into the thread if I notice anything noteworthy


To paraphrase:
Voting for alakaslam d1 and d3 is scummy because
1. I can say I pushed scum
2. I stay out of the spotlight.

re 1: I can't say i push scum because my scum meta is to bus and that is well known.
re 2: Wouldn't voting for TT be staying out of the spotlight? I'd say voting for alakaslam rather than going with the popular wagon puts me more in the spotlight. Additionally, I argued hard d3 to not lynch Palmar or GB. That's not out of the spotlight.


I dunno. Call me nitpicky, but I can go either way on the first part. I get Noon's argument here, and I realise that 6th vote is my slot so I get if you think I'm biased here.

At the same time, I think Palmar is also mafia, but I can see where that perspective is affected depending on your townread (I think?) on him. Personally I just think ExO is wrong, what exactly is striking you as opportunistic? He's using a lot of conditional words (like "if" and "probably"), just saying.

Second part,

Day 1 vote, I wasn't around, but the leading wagons (Rels/Tictock) were both town right? Isolated wagons are generally bad offhand but I think it's better though to recall the reasoning for his voting Slam Day 1, and whether that was organic or not or if it was abrupt and really how hard he pushed it compared to his reads on the wagons. Day 2 vote is NAI, the lynch on Tictock was autopilot. Day 3 if I'm reading his phrasing correctly I think the "staying out of the spotlight" refers to the Day 1 and 2 votes and not the Day 3 votes.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:03 GMT
#4311
Case incoming on ritoky.

I had a little extra time, so I thought I'd make this post a bit interesting. Decided I'd "borrow" a theme I've seen used by others for the hell of it
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:13 GMT
#4313
Damdred you say know ritoky well right?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:13 GMT
#4314
Final Jeopardy: Starring Ritoky


So the category is Night Kills and before I ask the question, I want to present to ritoky a few "exhibits" of information that I found in his filter and in the thread.

Exhibit 1: Night 2 Reads - Ritoky (post 3245)
+ Show Spoiler [Post 3245] +
On January 02 2016 11:41 ritoky wrote:
what you think of this?

town 100%:
ritoky
coag

town 99%:
exo_

town 96%:
koshi

town 95%:
holyflare

vivax:
vivax

slightly town pile:
obi
OO
moosy
shining


no clue and probably not gonna get one:
kush

mafia list in no order:
1 of: gb or ness/NM
palmar
slam
1 of: onegu or damdred
1 of: sl or trfel

if i am wrong in here (particularly on 1 between onegu/damdred is where i could easily be wrong) then it's probably moosy or kush?


Exhibit 2: Day post Day 3
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/500627-outlaw-mini-mafia?page=169#3361

Exhibit 3: Explanation for Nightkill (conversation on page 169, quotes spoilered below)

+ Show Spoiler [Day 3 Conversation] +

On January 03 2016 08:10 Damdred wrote:
Like break it down for me you have already said you can't have me in lylo because you will lymch me. But you shoot moosey when a few are telling you he could be town men.

So why moosey over me and why not hold the shot to give us an extra lymch you were worried about.

On January 03 2016 08:11 ritoky wrote:
because i read you town, and i figured if 1 of you and onegu is mafia or both are mafia, then i am getting roleblocked and i know it. if both of you are town they are gonna let my bullet through so i started working on other people to shoot. and between myself and hf i arrived at moosy and slam. i sent about 9 pms to the mods....i really wish i had shot slam now.

On January 03 2016 08:13 Damdred wrote:
But of you think I'm town why not listen to my read because you should know I'm good at reading moosey.

God that read about him not missing the vote as scum blah


On January 03 2016 08:13 Damdred wrote:
But of you think I'm town why not listen to my read because you should know I'm good at reading moosey.

God that read about him not missing the vote as scum blah


On January 03 2016 08:15 ritoky wrote:
because i was realllllly sure hf was town and i had a lot of faith that he isn't this wrong as town so i trusted his reads the most


Exhibit 4: MoosyDoosy Night 2
I have read in between the time ritoky made his list post and the day post for anything Moosy may have posted to examine a town motivation for shooting Moosy or something that might have changed his mind. The only thing I found was this (spoilered.)

+ Show Spoiler [Posts 3289, 3290] +

On January 02 2016 18:53 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 30 2015 12:36 The Shining wrote:
On December 30 2015 12:31 ObviousOne wrote:
any filters people want me to pay attention to?


Nooniansong.

Palmar was talked about and scummed by Artanis before NK.

BF was recently talked about if you want to weigh in on that.

Moosy is always fun if you want to say WTF to yourself multiple times.

K I'm out

loool thnx and ur scum <333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333333

On January 02 2016 18:58 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Koshi is town

^^ these are notes for myself when I read through my filter btw

On January 02 2016 19:05 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 30 2015 21:09 ObviousOne wrote:
On December 30 2015 18:09 ritoky wrote:
On December 30 2015 13:33 ObviousOne wrote:
and finally regarding moosy and his also-suidical level of play i say we have someone with a gun shoot him or we just pretend he doesn't exist.

it's dawning on my how many people are giving so few fucks in a non-banlist game, the last time i was in this scenario was a caller game where everyone had guns.


Can you post some reads you feel strongly about? Even if they are TRs. I would like something that isn't maybe this, maybe that.

Why would you prefer an afk be shot instead of someone who you scum read? And why moosy over BF/slam/ness anything in particular distinguish 1 of the unengaged over the other?

slam is prob town
koshi is prob town
gb feels different from how he was in haunted mansion mini (where he was town) but not necessarily in a scum way, and i like his war with HF which makes me think town
ness prob town


moosy SHOULD be considered mafia for his behavior which is why he should be shot. we don't waste a lynch where we get no real information and the game gets more solvable

no idea how to read hf, too much post not gonna bother unless its absolutely necessary

ows filter feels like it's full of air, so much oneliner stuff, striking me as someone who is providing commentary rather than content. need to reread after a few more flips.

honestly it's just about 99.99% sure that i'm town but ok.



Exhibit 5: Night 2 Reads - Holyflare (spoilered)

This is how Holyflare was trying to direct the kill.

+ Show Spoiler +
On January 02 2016 08:09 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2016 08:09 GlowingBear wrote:
Onegu should be shot tonight. Then we decide about Damdred.


No you shoot damdred and lynch onegu.

On January 02 2016 09:01 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2016 09:00 ritoky wrote:
tbh i am mad....that might be because the ibuprofen didn't kill the headache or cuz of this mess; but stop with the woe is me shit if you're town; i gotta figure out this pile of mess in 23 hours.


They're both probably town there's nothing to work out. Shoot slam please.

On January 02 2016 11:21 Holyflare wrote:
Slam/GB/Moosy are all good shot targets

On January 02 2016 11:47 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2016 11:45 Holyflare wrote:
Game is easy:

Sl/trfel/palmar (red checked by koshi or kush depending)/kush (just look at this post below if he's not cop) +1
On December 30 2015 21:16 nooniansoong wrote:
I'm taking tt being red pretty hard. Second game in a row i too easily towned him.
Bf...I'm conflicted. His logic is so weird. Too weird to be scum maybe?

Here's some self meta for you guys that suspect me. If I were scum there's no way I would have read this whole game.



Basically i like your list


Forgot slam he's mafia.



So here are my questions.

(1) You had a slight town read on Moosy and I posted I think most if not all the content on him between the time of your list post and the day post. What changed regarding Moosy to the point you shot him?

(2) When Damdred asked you why you shot Moosy, you resorted to your reads between yourself (Exhibit 1) and Holyflare (Exhibit 5). Except that you townread MoosyDoosy, even if slightly. Why would you shoot a townread?

(3) When Damdred asked you why you shot Moosy, you said you trusted Holyflare's reads (Exhibits 3 and 5). I tried to cover all pushes and direction by Holyflare from the time Tictock died to the day post. He mentioned Moosy ONCE. He pushed Alakaslam comparatively disporportionately (Exhibit 5). So how did you work out that Holyflare wanted Moosy over Slam dead? This is what you said.

On January 03 2016 08:11 ritoky wrote:
because i read you town, and i figured if 1 of you and onegu is mafia or both are mafia, then i am getting roleblocked and i know it. if both of you are town they are gonna let my bullet through so i started working on other people to shoot. and between myself and hf i arrived at moosy and slam. i sent about 9 pms to the mods....i really wish i had shot slam now.


And as stated in #2, you townread Moosy.

(4) MoosyDoosy's content (Exhibit 4) was either reads or trolling, which is reflective of his general play as town after Day 1, it is known he is not a fan of playing day 1. Do you disagree with this.

I look forward to your answers.

You are free to wager any amount of money you please. Any currency is accepted.

For your sheer amusement you can go ahead and play the Jeopardy music:

Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:14 GMT
#4315
Well fuck that is a poorly formatted post.....er, hold on.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:15 GMT
#4316
Wait never mind, the spoilers are okay. If anyone can't read that post, let me know.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:24 GMT
#4321
Anyhow let me talk more about my reasoning. I might be new to forum mafia, but I think I know how a gunsmith should work.

I came into this game after Tictock got lynched, replaced in but only started playing as the shot deliberation was heating up. ritoky being the shooter drew my attention because having observed Gaiden and seeing how gunsmith shots in that game were directed, there's a stark contrast in how those people played gunsmith and how ritoky played his shot.

In Gaiden, LS gunned his target and in that game the armed vig wanted to say "fuck the town I'm doing whatever the fuck I want" and shoot the person of her choice instead of whom town wanted her to shoot. Ultimately she cowered and shot whom the town wanted her to shoot but then she comes out and said she wanted to shoot her choice and she said she would have gladly taken a policy lynch (responsibility) if she was wrong. She was willing to trade herself in if she was wrong and put her money where her mouth was.

The same thing I think happened with geript or whoever got the gun the following night. ICRE.

But here, I'm reading this conversation. I'm reading ritoky's filter left right centre as a whole. The read progression is skewered to begin with, but I really don't understand why anyone would shoot a townread unless the town screamed it.

I don't understand why you'd trust someone's reads and then not put the right proportion (the shot) to whom that person was pushing. I spent a lot of time in Holyflare's filter too given his reputation and that also jumped out at me.

Holyflare pushed Slam, ritoky had slam in there but shoots a townread?

And then says he trust someone else? To me that appears like he's trying to place blame on someone else. Like that's so mafia indicative it's not even funny.

What in the actual fuck?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:29 GMT
#4325
Like my formatting is utter shit because TL is being a pain in the ass right now, so I'll repeat this post again.

Holyflare pushed Slam, ritoky had slam in there but shoots a townread?

And then says he trust someone else? To me that appears like he's trying to place blame on someone else. Like that's so mafia indicative it's not even funny.


This is just the opposite of what happened with the VTs who got armed in Gaiden.

In general placing blame and misallocated blame for that matter is mafia indicative.

I really want ritoky to answer my questions, I have no idea with the time difference but I kinda want people to discuss this.

I will be staying up for end of cycle. But I have to afk for now.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:31 GMT
#4326
The other thing I really hate about ritoky is that is filter is a shittonne of trolling. I mean, a shittonne. Like stratospheric level.

I realise it's tone, but there's been just stupid levels of it days 1 and day 3 that at best hampers town trying to read the thread and at worst disrupts people trying to play the game.

This can't be town motivated. Seriously.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:40 GMT
#4329
Alright, fair enough on the tone argument but I still want to hear what he says because the shit he said he based his decision on doesn't line up. At all.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 17:47 GMT
#4331
On January 08 2016 02:19 Damdred wrote:
But I sorta like that mini case you did on rit.


Assuming you agree with the facts of the case, do you think it makes ritoky mafia?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 18:00 GMT
#4333
On January 08 2016 02:50 nooniansoong wrote:
I like the csse but I think ritoky is town. When someone makes a list like that it's not set in stone.
Moosey wasn't a hard townread.
He wanted to shoot an unreadable.


But here's the catch - why did he allude to both HIS reads and Holyflare's reads as the basis

AND

Why did he say I put all my trust in Holyflare's reads (paraphrasing).

Instead -

Why didn't he just come out and say "I wanted to say fuck it and shoot an unreadable"

Do you see what I am getting at?

Do you see why I'm contrasting this to what I saw in Gaiden?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 18:16 GMT
#4335
On January 08 2016 02:50 nooniansoong wrote:
I like the csse but I think ritoky is town. When someone makes a list like that it's not set in stone.
Moosey wasn't a hard townread.
He wanted to shoot an unreadable.


On January 08 2016 03:00 NocturneMage wrote:
But here's the catch - why did he allude to both HIS reads and Holyflare's reads as the basis

AND

Why did he say I put all my trust in Holyflare's reads (paraphrasing).

Instead -

Why didn't he just come out and say "I wanted to say fuck it and shoot an unreadable"

Do you see what I am getting at?

Do you see why I'm contrasting this to what I saw in Gaiden?


Also Noon, I have one more thing....you are saying that's a list not set in stone.

Well here's the thing. I presented Moosy's content between that list AND the day post.

Nothing jumps out to me in there one way or another.

What changed that justified that shot?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-07 20:56:13
January 07 2016 20:52 GMT
#4345
On January 08 2016 05:20 ritoky wrote:
everything i typed during the night phase i had the gun was wifom. everything. your entire case is from that night phase. ritoky, why was it wifom, that makes no sense?

Show nested quote +
On January 03 2016 11:08 ritoky wrote:
point a:
the plan is to spend a lot of the night trying to sound like i am shooting damdred or onegu so that if either is mafia i am likely roleblocked which confirms to me there is at least 1 between them. if i am not roleblocked it reveals mafia didn't care and both are likely town. it yielded tons of information giving me basically 2 confirmed towns so i think the play was overall fine, especially since the 2 confirmed towns are ML candidates for doing some dumb fake claim stuff.

point b:
damdred: "you never listen to me even though you can read me well"
ritoky: "yup"

point c:
i snap claimed as vigi (within the first day/night cycle) too. i claim with a gun, i think it is superior in 90% of cases.

point d:
yes i am frustrated that the jk is not protecting obvious town. aren't you? oh wait, you didn't find those people obvious town. my bad, how's the holyflare push going?

anyways i should have shot slam, and that's on me.


it's not like i clearly stated multiple times that i was wifoming all night to try and place mafia under the illusion i was shooting between gu and damdred. you're entitled to your opinion though. it's just wrong.

why did i shoot moosy over slam? hf made a list of 3 that i liked and you quoted so clearly you saw it, i chose from the list. if slam flips mafia after gb i look like shit and an idiot and that's on me. but tbh i don't tend to look like shit and an idiot as mafia i would rather shoot my partner and look amazing like i did to palmar once before.

this all stems from omgus since i poe'd you, which makes me laugh and probably just makes you mafia.


That's selective reasoning at best.

(1) First my case was not just the night, it was also based on your response to Damdred at the daypost. Your response to him at daybreak was to shift responsibility to Holyflare by saying you trusted his reads after considering your own. Since you don't like my formatting in the actual case, let's bring the operative quotes to the front.

On January 03 2016 08:11 ritoky wrote:
because i read you town, and i figured if 1 of you and onegu is mafia or both are mafia, then i am getting roleblocked and i know it. if both of you are town they are gonna let my bullet through so i started working on other people to shoot. and between myself and hf i arrived at moosy and slam. i sent about 9 pms to the mods....i really wish i had shot slam now.


Damdred wanted you to listen to him but it's not you disregarding him that makes you mafia. That part doesn't even address my question.

What makes you mafia is that you disregarded your own reads and stated you trusted Holyflare AFTER saying between myself and HF I arrived at Moosy and Slam. THIS WAS DONE AFTER THE DAYPOST so using WIFOM to defend yourself/discussing Onegu and Damdred is actually irrelevant.

Relevant quote.

On January 03 2016 08:15 ritoky wrote:
because i was realllllly sure hf was town and i had a lot of faith that he isn't this wrong as town so i trusted his reads the most


(2) People can wifom the shot as either alignment. I covered that in the previous point so moving on, sorry, that does not make you any more town.

(3) You are stating that you chose from a list of 3 Holyflare put out.

On January 08 2016 05:20 ritoky wrote:
why did i shoot moosy over slam? hf made a list of 3 that i liked and you quoted so clearly you saw it, i chose from the list. if slam flips mafia after gb i look like shit and an idiot and that's on me. but tbh i don't tend to look like shit and an idiot as mafia i would rather shoot my partner and look amazing like i did to palmar once before.


Nope, nope, nope, nope, nope.

On January 02 2016 08:09 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2016 08:09 GlowingBear wrote:
Onegu should be shot tonight. Then we decide about Damdred.


No you shoot damdred and lynch onegu.

On January 02 2016 09:01 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2016 09:00 ritoky wrote:
tbh i am mad....that might be because the ibuprofen didn't kill the headache or cuz of this mess; but stop with the woe is me shit if you're town; i gotta figure out this pile of mess in 23 hours.


They're both probably town there's nothing to work out. Shoot slam please.

On January 02 2016 11:21 Holyflare wrote:
Slam/GB/Moosy are all good shot targets

On January 02 2016 11:47 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2016 11:45 Holyflare wrote:
Game is easy:

Sl/trfel/palmar (red checked by koshi or kush depending)/kush (just look at this post below if he's not cop) +1
On December 30 2015 21:16 nooniansoong wrote:
I'm taking tt being red pretty hard. Second game in a row i too easily towned him.
Bf...I'm conflicted. His logic is so weird. Too weird to be scum maybe?

Here's some self meta for you guys that suspect me. If I were scum there's no way I would have read this whole game.


Basically i like your list


Forgot slam he's mafia.


Holyflare DID NOT JUST make a list of 3 and this is where you are distorting the facts. He STATED MULTIPLE TIMES OVER THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT what his preferences were.

Clearly you chose to make the shortlist your focus, and that's called selective reasoning. If you trusted his reads so much why weren't you paying attention to all the information he provided?

this all stems from omgus since i poe'd you, which makes me laugh and probably just makes you mafia.


Finally OMGUS comes from both alignments and characterising it as exclusively mafia actually makes you mafia.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 20:52 GMT
#4346
Bahhhhhhh ignore that post - reformatting.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 20:57 GMT
#4347
On January 08 2016 05:29 The Shining wrote:
The vote count looks bad btw. Votes just piled on Slam. Obviously I'll look like shit if he flips scum for saying this but is this really a bus? I guess I just feel weird because all my scum reads are voting Slam and 3 of my town reads aren't voting yet.


I would like to start a train on Ritoky or Palmar, the question is, who else is willing to think things through and also book their ticket?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 20:57 GMT
#4348
Oh shit.....that was meant to re-quote not edit the formatting. Proof I fail.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:00 GMT
#4349
On January 08 2016 05:28 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 03:00 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 08 2016 02:50 nooniansoong wrote:
I like the csse but I think ritoky is town. When someone makes a list like that it's not set in stone.
Moosey wasn't a hard townread.
He wanted to shoot an unreadable.


But here's the catch - why did he allude to both HIS reads and Holyflare's reads as the basis

AND

Why did he say I put all my trust in Holyflare's reads (paraphrasing).

Instead -

Why didn't he just come out and say "I wanted to say fuck it and shoot an unreadable"

Do you see what I am getting at?

Do you see why I'm contrasting this to what I saw in Gaiden?


i almost always shoot unreadables or afks. go look at me as vigi or any game i am given a gun, i shoot inactives as i believe it is of the most benefit to town in all cases.


Then why didn't you give Damdred a straight forward answer AT DAYBREAK and defer to the reads you saw in Holyflare????
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:10 GMT
#4354
On January 08 2016 06:02 The Shining wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 05:39 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
On January 08 2016 05:29 The Shining wrote:
The vote count looks bad btw. Votes just piled on Slam. Obviously I'll look like shit if he flips scum for saying this but is this really a bus? I guess I just feel weird because all my scum reads are voting Slam and 3 of my town reads aren't voting yet.


It doesn't matter if slam isn't doing anything.


I mean, I guess. It does bring a little credit to the theory of him being a scum PR and that's why scum would bus GB over him but Idk. Did we really have two scum up for lynxh last phase? If he was a scum pr, why would he not be trying in any capacity whatsoever?

Meh I guess it could point in the direction of scum and he just doesn't wanna give anything away.


I have a mechanical explanation for this.

Because it depends on the PR. Look at the blues we have then (cop, JK), both investigative roles. Guess what was lynched then? The vanilla scum. What was disposable at the time? Vanilla and vig.

Now? Cop is gone. What is expendable now? GF, Vig.

I would be willing to put money down that Alakaslam is either the GF or the Vig, and not the two remaining roles needed for them.

This is just classic mafia strategy, take out the investigatives before they are found out.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:11 GMT
#4355
On January 08 2016 06:07 disformation wrote:
I am issuing a warning to NocturneMage for editing post #4345.
Editing posts is not allowed.


No complaints.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:27 GMT
#4361
On January 08 2016 06:10 The Shining wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 05:57 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 08 2016 05:29 The Shining wrote:
The vote count looks bad btw. Votes just piled on Slam. Obviously I'll look like shit if he flips scum for saying this but is this really a bus? I guess I just feel weird because all my scum reads are voting Slam and 3 of my town reads aren't voting yet.


I would like to start a train on Ritoky or Palmar, the question is, who else is willing to think things through and also book their ticket?


Hmm.

Can you answer my question about the similarities between here and Dark Tournament?

It doesn't seem like many ppl are here. Palm is afking the lynch because he has a conference today apparently. Why is he scum?

Your points aren't bad against ritoky either but deciding if they actually make him scum is difficult. I've been asking myself why he wasn't shot if he had a gun, tbh. No one was really scumming him until you came in, iirc.


Well like I said, I picked up on it from his tone, the way he changes his reads mainly and there was a parallel between that and fullmetal so I just mainly read his filter several times until I tripped up on the reads list and saw his reads. I was told his trolling was NAI, whatever. To be honest, I think this being my first large game I've spent 90% of my time on this game reading the damn material and 10% actually posting. It's annoying but it is what it is. IDK.

In his last response to me, summarising in a few sentences it boils down to him not being straightforward with Damdred or now, myself.

He's using WIFOM to defend himself when (part of) my argument is that he deferred to the Holyflare reads at daybreak, and he's saying that my case is based on at night, yeah part of that is, but the critical parts are during the day so that's how he's twisting things right now.

Why didn't he just tell Damdred then "in spite of my reads and holyflare reads, I shot an unreadable."

That is a straightforward statement taking responsibility for what you did, that is pretty town indicative.

Why did he say at that point that he relied on his reads and Holyflare reads and then deferred to Holyflare based on one post when in reality Holyflare made continuous posts in the night.

Why did it have to take me casing him to answer that now.

In that instance he shifted the responsibility and conveniently, HF had been NKed. That is mafia indicative.

there is a difference.

I think another fact you have to consider is looking at what Slam is flipping and aligning that (and the GB flip) to a lesser extent with what mafia need to do. But I argued before that when a mafia flip saves another player he's likely mafia, and you had that on top of how Slam had been playing long before that cycle.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:32 GMT
#4362
On January 08 2016 06:20 The Shining wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 06:10 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 08 2016 06:02 The Shining wrote:
On January 08 2016 05:39 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
On January 08 2016 05:29 The Shining wrote:
The vote count looks bad btw. Votes just piled on Slam. Obviously I'll look like shit if he flips scum for saying this but is this really a bus? I guess I just feel weird because all my scum reads are voting Slam and 3 of my town reads aren't voting yet.


It doesn't matter if slam isn't doing anything.


I mean, I guess. It does bring a little credit to the theory of him being a scum PR and that's why scum would bus GB over him but Idk. Did we really have two scum up for lynxh last phase? If he was a scum pr, why would he not be trying in any capacity whatsoever?

Meh I guess it could point in the direction of scum and he just doesn't wanna give anything away.


I have a mechanical explanation for this.

Because it depends on the PR. Look at the blues we have then (cop, JK), both investigative roles. Guess what was lynched then? The vanilla scum. What was disposable at the time? Vanilla and vig.

Now? Cop is gone. What is expendable now? GF, Vig.

I would be willing to put money down that Alakaslam is either the GF or the Vig, and not the two remaining roles needed for them.

This is just classic mafia strategy, take out the investigatives before they are found out.


If I'm not mistaken, the vig shot on n1 & n2, which was why there were more NKs. Why would they need the vig alive for n3? Only 2 ppl were nkd yesterday.

And although this does make sense, even though the cop is gone, why would scum not want the GF to live? Once the gf flips, the probable green checks go from 75% to confirmed town.


(btw not ignoring your Palmar/Dark Tournament questions)

what I am trying to say here is that they wouldn't need the vig alive. that they are protecting the roles they need going forward. and that Slam (gameplay aside) is not someone they need going forward, ergo, he's the gf or vig.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:42 GMT
#4367
On January 08 2016 06:17 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 05:52 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 08 2016 05:20 ritoky wrote:
everything i typed during the night phase i had the gun was wifom. everything. your entire case is from that night phase. ritoky, why was it wifom, that makes no sense?

On January 03 2016 11:08 ritoky wrote:
point a:
the plan is to spend a lot of the night trying to sound like i am shooting damdred or onegu so that if either is mafia i am likely roleblocked which confirms to me there is at least 1 between them. if i am not roleblocked it reveals mafia didn't care and both are likely town. it yielded tons of information giving me basically 2 confirmed towns so i think the play was overall fine, especially since the 2 confirmed towns are ML candidates for doing some dumb fake claim stuff.

point b:
damdred: "you never listen to me even though you can read me well"
ritoky: "yup"

point c:
i snap claimed as vigi (within the first day/night cycle) too. i claim with a gun, i think it is superior in 90% of cases.

point d:
yes i am frustrated that the jk is not protecting obvious town. aren't you? oh wait, you didn't find those people obvious town. my bad, how's the holyflare push going?

anyways i should have shot slam, and that's on me.


it's not like i clearly stated multiple times that i was wifoming all night to try and place mafia under the illusion i was shooting between gu and damdred. you're entitled to your opinion though. it's just wrong.

why did i shoot moosy over slam? hf made a list of 3 that i liked and you quoted so clearly you saw it, i chose from the list. if slam flips mafia after gb i look like shit and an idiot and that's on me. but tbh i don't tend to look like shit and an idiot as mafia i would rather shoot my partner and look amazing like i did to palmar once before.

this all stems from omgus since i poe'd you, which makes me laugh and probably just makes you mafia.


That's selective reasoning at best.

(1) First my case was not just the night, it was also based on your response to Damdred at the daypost. Your response to him at daybreak was to shift responsibility to Holyflare by saying you trusted his reads after considering your own. Since you don't like my formatting in the actual case, let's bring the operative quotes to the front.

On January 03 2016 08:11 ritoky wrote:
because i read you town, and i figured if 1 of you and onegu is mafia or both are mafia, then i am getting roleblocked and i know it. if both of you are town they are gonna let my bullet through so i started working on other people to shoot. and between myself and hf i arrived at moosy and slam. i sent about 9 pms to the mods....i really wish i had shot slam now.


Damdred wanted you to listen to him but it's not you disregarding him that makes you mafia. That part doesn't even address my question.

What makes you mafia is that you disregarded your own reads and stated you trusted Holyflare AFTER saying between myself and HF I arrived at Moosy and Slam. THIS WAS DONE AFTER THE DAYPOST so using WIFOM to defend yourself/discussing Onegu and Damdred is actually irrelevant.

Relevant quote.

On January 03 2016 08:15 ritoky wrote:
because i was realllllly sure hf was town and i had a lot of faith that he isn't this wrong as town so i trusted his reads the most


(2) People can wifom the shot as either alignment. I covered that in the previous point so moving on, sorry, that does not make you any more town.

(3) You are stating that you chose from a list of 3 Holyflare put out.

On January 08 2016 05:20 ritoky wrote:
why did i shoot moosy over slam? hf made a list of 3 that i liked and you quoted so clearly you saw it, i chose from the list. if slam flips mafia after gb i look like shit and an idiot and that's on me. but tbh i don't tend to look like shit and an idiot as mafia i would rather shoot my partner and look amazing like i did to palmar once before.


Nope, nope, nope, nope, nope.

On January 02 2016 08:09 Holyflare wrote:
On January 02 2016 08:09 GlowingBear wrote:
Onegu should be shot tonight. Then we decide about Damdred.


No you shoot damdred and lynch onegu.

On January 02 2016 09:01 Holyflare wrote:
On January 02 2016 09:00 ritoky wrote:
tbh i am mad....that might be because the ibuprofen didn't kill the headache or cuz of this mess; but stop with the woe is me shit if you're town; i gotta figure out this pile of mess in 23 hours.


They're both probably town there's nothing to work out. Shoot slam please.

On January 02 2016 11:21 Holyflare wrote:
Slam/GB/Moosy are all good shot targets

On January 02 2016 11:47 Holyflare wrote:
On January 02 2016 11:45 Holyflare wrote:
Game is easy:

Sl/trfel/palmar (red checked by koshi or kush depending)/kush (just look at this post below if he's not cop) +1
On December 30 2015 21:16 nooniansoong wrote:
I'm taking tt being red pretty hard. Second game in a row i too easily towned him.
Bf...I'm conflicted. His logic is so weird. Too weird to be scum maybe?

Here's some self meta for you guys that suspect me. If I were scum there's no way I would have read this whole game.


Basically i like your list


Forgot slam he's mafia.


Holyflare DID NOT JUST make a list of 3 and this is where you are distorting the facts. He STATED MULTIPLE TIMES OVER THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT what his preferences were.

Clearly you chose to make the shortlist your focus, and that's called selective reasoning. If you trusted his reads so much why weren't you paying attention to all the information he provided?

this all stems from omgus since i poe'd you, which makes me laugh and probably just makes you mafia.


Finally OMGUS comes from both alignments and characterising it as exclusively mafia actually makes you mafia.


you read it, but you didn't comprehend it i think you interpreted it as "i wifomed the shot" not "i wifomed all my posts to make it appear i was shooting where i wasn't". you should read it again or maybe you're just constructing a narrative because you're in a shit spot, i don't really know. so let's try and rephrase this for you but you're gonna find largely the same answer.

that read post you're on about? that's not my reads that night.it's a fabircation that's wifom outside of the top block made purely to indicate at the bottom that i think there's a mafia between gu and damdred to imply i am shooting there. again a lot of this is already in my filter, you just selectively dodged around it, none of this is new information.

in regards to hf and my reads, hf gave a list of 3 that i took to heart. you can say he exclaimed a preference all you want, hf told me to shoot quite a few people since i announced i had a gun (i can cherrypick other posts of him telling me to shoot other people as well including your slot). i took that list and narrowed it to 2, because gb was posting shit and i figured i can actually get a read on that. between slam and moosy there's not really any separation tbh. slam had done 1 of 3 town tells i have on him but usually does all 3 as town, i told moosy i was going to shoot him and he had a shit reaction. i chose the guy with the shit reaction and was wrong.

the omgus calling me mafia probably just makes you mafia because i have a lot of town reads and you're not one of them. you're also cherrypicking pretty heavily to form a narrative that has already been talked about and contort it into a way that makes me look bad.


You're the one in the hot seat, not me. You need to survive, not me. I'll gladly sacrifice myself to the gods

And like I said before WIFOM is completely irrelevant to my argument so you bringing it up again isn't helping you (resolve this) in the least.

And I'm not cherrypicking. I literally combed his filter, and took every post he had. You are the one that did the cherry picking to fit your response as to why you shot Moosy

Additionally Holyflare told you to shoot Alakaslam. Twice.

Final statement of your response.....zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.




Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:51 GMT
#4375
[QUOTE]On January 08 2016 06:38 The Shining wrote:
[QUOTE]On January 08 2016 06:32 NocturneMage wrote:
[QUOTE]On January 08 2016 06:20 The Shining wrote:
[QUOTE]On January 08 2016 06:10 NocturneMage wrote:
[QUOTE]On January 08 2016 06:02 The Shining wrote:
[QUOTE]On January 08 2016 05:39 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
[QUOTE]On January 08 2016 05:29 The Shining wrote:
The vote count looks bad btw. Votes just piled on Slam. Obviously I'll look like shit if he flips scum for saying this but is this really a bus? I guess I just feel weird because all my scum reads are voting Slam and 3 of my town reads aren't voting yet.[/QUOTE]

It doesn't matter if slam isn't doing anything.[/QUOTE]

I mean, I guess. It does bring a little credit to the theory of him being a scum PR and that's why scum would bus GB over him but Idk. Did we really have two scum up for lynxh last phase? If he was a scum pr, why would he not be trying in any capacity whatsoever?

Meh I guess it could point in the direction of scum and he just doesn't wanna give anything away.[/QUOTE]

I have a mechanical explanation for this.

Because it depends on the PR. Look at the blues we have then (cop, JK), both investigative roles. Guess what was lynched then? The vanilla scum. What was disposable at the time? Vanilla and vig.

Now? Cop is gone. What is expendable now? GF, Vig.

I would be willing to put money down that Alakaslam is either the GF or the Vig, and not the two remaining roles needed for them.

This is just classic mafia strategy, take out the investigatives before they are found out. [/QUOTE]

If I'm not mistaken, the vig shot on n1 & n2, which was why there were more NKs. Why would they need the vig alive for n3? Only 2 ppl were nkd yesterday.

And although this does make sense, even though the cop is gone, why would scum not want the GF to live? Once the gf flips, the probable green checks go from 75% to confirmed town.[/QUOTE]

(btw not ignoring your Palmar/Dark Tournament questions)

what I am trying to say here is that they wouldn't need the vig alive. that they are protecting the roles they need going forward. and that Slam (gameplay aside) is not someone they need going forward, ergo, he's the gf or vig. [/QUOTE]

So you seem convinced both Slam and ritoky are scum then. Why not take the Slam lynch if he's scum instead of trying to shenanny onto ritoky?

From a gameplay perspective, look at the resistance being met between pushing the two and who is doing what right now. There's zero resistance to the Slam lynch. ritoky is back in here trying to backtrack on what he did day 3. There's a sense of urgency and survival.

[quote]And your theory only makes sense if Slam is GF. If he was vig and already used his two shots, there would have been no reason to vote onto GB over him since they're both essentially mafia vanilla at that point. And GB arguably did more than slam before he fell off.

Palmar was one of the main cases on the GB wagon, too. Are you thinking he bussed him then? [/QUOTE]

Absolutely.

Palmar is mafia for early gameplay, with which not one, not two, but FOUR people called him out on, all for whom were dead after the first two nights, and it was how I felt confirmed, after reading his filter back and forth the first two cycles. I realise people say nightkills are WIFOM, I, anyone, can rubbish an argument on one person on one night. Four players in two nights? One of whom had a load of scumreads on him too (Vivax). Ehhhhh, something's going on and it shouldn't be ignored.

Additionally there were three individuals, two of whom are dead now that accused Palmar of distorting their gameplay/meta/etc and I tried to point that out either night 2 or day 3. ExO had a back and forth with him and I think ExO is town and Palmar's responses were clearly trying to get underneath him instead of breaking the issues down/meeting in the middle etc.

Additionally Artanis (and one other person???) mentioned he can talk his way out of a lynch. And I'm quite confident now that's exactly what he did.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:51 GMT
#4376
sigh.....
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 21:58 GMT
#4379
On January 08 2016 06:38 The Shining wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 06:32 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 08 2016 06:20 The Shining wrote:
On January 08 2016 06:10 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 08 2016 06:02 The Shining wrote:
On January 08 2016 05:39 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
On January 08 2016 05:29 The Shining wrote:
The vote count looks bad btw. Votes just piled on Slam. Obviously I'll look like shit if he flips scum for saying this but is this really a bus? I guess I just feel weird because all my scum reads are voting Slam and 3 of my town reads aren't voting yet.


It doesn't matter if slam isn't doing anything.


I mean, I guess. It does bring a little credit to the theory of him being a scum PR and that's why scum would bus GB over him but Idk. Did we really have two scum up for lynxh last phase? If he was a scum pr, why would he not be trying in any capacity whatsoever?

Meh I guess it could point in the direction of scum and he just doesn't wanna give anything away.


I have a mechanical explanation for this.

Because it depends on the PR. Look at the blues we have then (cop, JK), both investigative roles. Guess what was lynched then? The vanilla scum. What was disposable at the time? Vanilla and vig.

Now? Cop is gone. What is expendable now? GF, Vig.

I would be willing to put money down that Alakaslam is either the GF or the Vig, and not the two remaining roles needed for them.

This is just classic mafia strategy, take out the investigatives before they are found out.


If I'm not mistaken, the vig shot on n1 & n2, which was why there were more NKs. Why would they need the vig alive for n3? Only 2 ppl were nkd yesterday.

And although this does make sense, even though the cop is gone, why would scum not want the GF to live? Once the gf flips, the probable green checks go from 75% to confirmed town.


(btw not ignoring your Palmar/Dark Tournament questions)

what I am trying to say here is that they wouldn't need the vig alive. that they are protecting the roles they need going forward. and that Slam (gameplay aside) is not someone they need going forward, ergo, he's the gf or vig.


So you seem convinced both Slam and ritoky are scum then. Why not take the Slam lynch if he's scum instead of trying to shenanny onto ritoky?


From a gameplay perspective, look at the resistance being met between pushing the two and who is doing what right now. There's zero resistance to the Slam lynch. ritoky is back in here trying to backtrack on what he did day 3. There's a sense of urgency and survival.

And your theory only makes sense if Slam is GF. If he was vig and already used his two shots, there would have been no reason to vote onto GB over him since they're both essentially mafia vanilla at that point. And GB arguably did more than slam before he fell off.

Palmar was one of the main cases on the GB wagon, too. Are you thinking he bussed him then?


Absolutely.

Palmar is mafia for early gameplay, with which not one, not two, but FOUR people called him out on, all for whom were dead after the first two nights, and it was how I felt confirmed, after reading his filter back and forth the first two cycles. If I were to use a contrasting point, let's take Dark Tournament where Palmar used a real ragged way - the sexy filter method - to figure out who was mafia and placed the vote on mafia. He moved the game forward using a basic argument on minimal amount of time even though he did not lead the lynch.

I realise people say nightkills are WIFOM, I, anyone, can rubbish an argument on one person on one night. Four players in two nights? One of whom had several scumreads on him too IIRC (Vivax). Ehhhhh, something's going on and it shouldn't be ignored. And I don't know why people are ignoring it.

Additionally there were three individuals, two of whom are dead now that accused Palmar of distorting their gameplay/meta/etc and I tried to point that out either night 2 or day 3. ExO had a back and forth with him and I think ExO is town and Palmar's responses were clearly trying to get underneath him instead of breaking the issues down/meeting in the middle etc.

Additionally Artanis (and one other person???) mentioned he can talk his way out of a lynch. And I'm quite confident now that's exactly what he did last cycle.

Also there is a sense of urgency/survival in his posts and he got the townreads he needed to survive.

Even ignoring roles/mechanics, there's massive difference in the reactions from both wagons.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 22:05 GMT
#4382
Yeah deadline at 2300 here, or an hour.

Also Shining, regarding yourself there were specific posts that jumped out at me, kinda like how you broke down disformation was mafia in Dark Tournament, you had a lot of those "breakdown" type posts here.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 22:09 GMT
#4384
A lot of my early town reads I just started with the people that I knew and worked my way through the more discussed people or people I was just interacting with as I was catching up.

But yes, Alakaslam is mafia but IMO because of the least resistance (his own lack of resistance/gameplay and reflected in the votes) and previous arguments, he's the "safe" lynch.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 22:12 GMT
#4387
On January 08 2016 07:08 The Shining wrote:
I just reread some of full metal, namely when I interacted with ritoky and thought I caught him and later when NM caught him and we shenannyd. I forgot I was in that game.

Idk NM. On the one hand, there are parts where I can see how you drew the parallels between the two games re: scumtoky but this game...Meh. Idk how to explain it. He seems a lot more relaxed and still involved in things. Like when he was scum and we went at it that game, he was a lot more aggressive towards me because I scum read him.

And as I'm typing this, I'm remembering he went from aggression and "this is why you're scum shining" to "you're right, I never read you right, you could be town."

He called you scum in his initial defense and then, because you're tunneled, he said he could see it coming from town. Is this another similarity?


No but in Fullmetal, we didn't clash in that game. He made the opportunistic argument when I reacted to Trfel but we were able to get him lynched that game on shennanies (and not because we had a drawn out argument) and I think both of us shennanied on him in that game, so from that end you cannot compare the two. I pushed my case on ritoky in that game whilst he was afk by talking with people near end of cycle.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 22:33 GMT
#4404
On January 08 2016 07:19 The Shining wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 07:12 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 08 2016 07:08 The Shining wrote:
I just reread some of full metal, namely when I interacted with ritoky and thought I caught him and later when NM caught him and we shenannyd. I forgot I was in that game.

Idk NM. On the one hand, there are parts where I can see how you drew the parallels between the two games re: scumtoky but this game...Meh. Idk how to explain it. He seems a lot more relaxed and still involved in things. Like when he was scum and we went at it that game, he was a lot more aggressive towards me because I scum read him.

And as I'm typing this, I'm remembering he went from aggression and "this is why you're scum shining" to "you're right, I never read you right, you could be town."

He called you scum in his initial defense and then, because you're tunneled, he said he could see it coming from town. Is this another similarity?


No but in Fullmetal, we didn't clash in that game. He made the opportunistic argument when I reacted to Trfel but we were able to get him lynched that game on shennanies (and not because we had a drawn out argument) and I think both of us shennanied on him in that game, so from that end you cannot compare the two. I pushed my case on ritoky in that game whilst he was afk by talking with people near end of cycle.


I meant he and I clashed in that game. And he retracted his scum read on me because he said he looked in past games and was wrong on me before.

In this game, you two are clashing and he called you scum for omgus that led to your case, and implying you're pushing a ML with walls of text on him because he has a broken wrist. But then he says you've tunneled him before in past games and he can see it coming from town.

The only difference I see is he dropped the scum read completely on me in full metal, but he only said you could be town but are much less likely to be than the others on his POE.


But there's a slight similarity here, you have a reaction where you react strongly when you are scumread (not just ritoky but by anyone I think), and him backing down (IIRC???) was because he wasn't or wouldn't be able to get you lynched or something because of how you fought back. Here he knows he cannot debunk the case so he has to back down/backtrack and find a way to just say meh he's tunnelled so that I might drop it.

Also the only game where I've played with ritoky was Fullmetal. I have never played with him in Dark Tournament, newbies, 13, 14 and he wasn't in the last one.

The walls of text argument is largely because there are a lot of points in my case (and a bit of evidence to support it), whether or not I break the posts down into smaller posts doesn't matter or make his or my arguments any more or less valid.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 22:39 GMT
#4407
My mafia lynch list right now is Alakaslam, ritoky and Palmar.

I have Shining Exo, Coag, as town

Kush, Damdred, probable town.

OWS I'm going to say right now is town.

Onegu is a complete tossup but the way he's pushing the whole late game spiel is a problem.

OO I just went through his filter and there are several posts I actually liked that demonstrated he's thinking about the game. There's a few meh posts, similar to OWS but nothing from what I am seeing is screaming mafia.

Are people scumreading him for what? Short filter? Votes? Do I need to look at something else a little closer? Or just PoE?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 22:49 GMT
#4410
Alright, Noon is saying OO is a lynch bait player then, so likely just PoE? He's not looking scummy at all per se to me looking through his posts, probably just a low volume poster.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:00 GMT
#4418
HA!
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:01 GMT
#4419
Welp....
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:06 GMT
#4424
On January 08 2016 08:04 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 08:03 nooniansoong wrote:
Vote on maf gf since d1
No towncred given.


easy to vote for him when you know who he is


Your reasoning for Noon mafia is basically TMI?
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:13 GMT
#4433
On January 08 2016 07:57 The Shining wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 07:49 NocturneMage wrote:
Alright, Noon is saying OO is a lynch bait player then, so likely just PoE? He's not looking scummy at all per se to me looking through his posts, probably just a low volume poster.


For me it's POE, activity and him claiming I was much more engaged in the thread early on and I'm not anymore, which means I'm scum. Which is bad because most of my posts early on were catch up posts and just scumming Ness.

Then he asked palmar to validate a meta read on me from my most recent scum game and a random town game, even though I've rolled town in like 20/22 games. But when I asked him about it, he said it probably meant nothing, even though I think he scum read me


Guy replaced in night 1 and has a 3 page filter in a 220+ page game.

Content per post when I read his filter however I'd argue is pretty good, when you consider how he's reading some of the other players in the game. There are several posts in that OO filter that show critical thinking on a few of the players.

Decent shot of bad reads regardless of alignment depending on how he's reading or even in the thread. IDK.

Second point I don't think is exclusively mafia, it could be honestly just really bad town play.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:17 GMT
#4438
On January 08 2016 08:08 The Shining wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 08:04 Damdred wrote:
Congrats Obi on being basically confirmed town. To bad SL didn't make his second check better.

Interesting that palmar wouldn't move to slam yesterday when we were shenanigans.

Time to think


Hmmmm.

Palmar+OO+exo?

If not exo, NMs ritoky case might have merit.


Hey everyone, this was after the GB lynch and before the cop flipped. Remember this?

On January 05 2016 08:04 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2016 08:03 Damdred wrote:
Well I'm glad it was the case hrm I look sorta bad but it made sense to me at the time

technically it could've been a scum vs scum wagon (see gb didn't vote slam). But he also may just have given up.

either way, checking slam: fantastic idea.




Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:18 GMT
#4440
On January 08 2016 08:14 ExO_ wrote:
Holy shit why am I scummy now? Jesus Christ its like a rotating door. I really hope it's scum coming in here trying to push suspicion on me yet again, and not townies.

OWS since you are all but confirmed town at this point please listen. I'm not scum. idk what to do but I don't want to lose the game later on b/c confirmed towns scum read me and ended up pusing me.


I don't think you're scum.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:23 GMT
#4445
On January 08 2016 08:06 The Shining wrote:
Lmao well shit. See NM told you he had to be GF if they wanted to keep him alive, not big XD

I also just got my wish 're: Obi so I'm pretty happy. I can take Obi off of my POE. NM, too, after this last day phase.

Slam voting exo is such wifom though. Anyone know if Slam is more likely to vote a partner here or a townie? A part of me wants to not even touch that.


Complete WIFOM, disregard, he was the clear and undisputed lynch.

I also want people to think a bit more critically on why ritoky spared Alakaslam over Moosy.

Now this flip sheds more light on that too.

It's Ritoky/Palmar/+1 folks.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:28 GMT
#4448
On January 08 2016 08:24 ExO_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2016 08:23 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 08 2016 08:06 The Shining wrote:
Lmao well shit. See NM told you he had to be GF if they wanted to keep him alive, not big XD

I also just got my wish 're: Obi so I'm pretty happy. I can take Obi off of my POE. NM, too, after this last day phase.

Slam voting exo is such wifom though. Anyone know if Slam is more likely to vote a partner here or a townie? A part of me wants to not even touch that.


Complete WIFOM, disregard, he was the clear and undisputed lynch.

I also want people to think a bit more critically on why ritoky spared Alakaslam over Moosy.

Now this flip sheds more light on that too.

It's Ritoky/Palmar/+1 folks.


why are you not scum reading kush?


There were a few interactions that I had with him when I replaced in that indicated to me he was town.

I'll go ahead and re-read his filter from day 1 but this could also be me biased having just come off with him from Dark Tournament and Newbie 18. Varying levels of activity but posts where he cobbled together something to move the game forward.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:54 GMT
#4454
On January 08 2016 08:23 ExO_ wrote:
What really strikes me about Palmar is when he got pressure he came in and talked a lot. And what he was saying looked good to me, it looked like he cared about solving the game and after I re-read his filter I started to agree. But he was entirely absent today. idk does Palmar only care when he has pressure on him or something?

still his talking on day 3/night 3 really gives me pause before I scum read him


I won't meta, but notice how he spammed the thread as I was casing ritoky lol and discussing him. People weren't around to move, ritoky reacted as he did. But he might have been priming up for a defence had my push actually gained traction.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 07 2016 23:58 GMT
#4457
On January 08 2016 08:53 nooniansoong wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2016 22:50 NocturneMage wrote:
On January 05 2016 08:06 Damdred wrote:
Its very possible we had two scum up GB refused to claim blue to get a lynch averted and refused to vote on a wagon to save himself.

which technically means that it coud be palmar or slam. More than like slam but its worth considering palm.


Here's an interesting tidbit based on my current bus theory -

On January 05 2016 08:04 Palmar wrote:
On January 05 2016 08:03 Damdred wrote:
Well I'm glad it was the case hrm I look sorta bad but it made sense to me at the time

technically it could've been a scum vs scum wagon (see gb didn't vote slam). But he also may just have given up.

either way, checking slam: fantastic idea.


If Alakaslam flips godfather, 1000% lynch Palmar.

Dunno I think this might look worse for nm than palmar.


Think it through logically. If he earned enough townreads to either stave off the lynch or getting cred through the gb lynch, he's clearly got a good shot or at least good pull for someone to listen to him.

I was also 100% scumreading Palmar the entire time, so keep that in mind as well.

Also I just brought the same quote up again just now for a reason lol.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 08 2016 01:09 GMT
#4464
On January 08 2016 09:27 ritoky wrote:
the basic case for the impatient is is: 1) nm knows slam is about to flip mafia; 2) nm plans to go 1 for 1 to get to lylo; 3) nm knows if slam flips mafia then i look like a jackass cuz i shot the only town in a list of 3 provided by hf; 4) nm pre-emptively starts to tunnel me with that factor as the centerpiece of his case; 5) NM re-inforces it post flip


5 is NAI, but the rest....keep distorting the facts.

#3 you conveniently ignore the rest of the information provided by him
#4 the central point of the case was the way you responded to Damdred at daybreak with the information you said you used, you could have given a much more straightforward and direct response but you did just the opposite.

Pre-emptively is another way you are spinning it, tone/interactions was the reason I started digging through your filter in the first place.

Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 08 2016 01:50 GMT
#4465
Here's another reason ritoky is mafia.

We know GB is mafia, Rels flipped town.

Day 1 -

(1) Soft pushes GB all cycle long (starts as soon as 24 minutes into the cycle, post #245, turns up discussion between 1-5 hours into the day 1).

(2) At 1h prior to end of cycle (post 1859), he mentions Rels out of nowhere and for no reason for the first time in a shennanies list with GB. (It's my understanding Rels was AFKish and reiterated that throughout the cycle, mind you.)

(3) He mentions the trio of Shining, Rels and GB again at 2240 (20 mins to end of cycle) 2250 calls the Rels lynch.

Central to this argument is this post, post 1877

On December 29 2015 07:06 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 29 2015 07:01 The Shining wrote:
On December 29 2015 06:56 ritoky wrote:
On December 29 2015 06:54 The Shining wrote:
On December 29 2015 06:48 ritoky wrote:
shining, if TT is your 2nd largest scum read, why aren't you voting him?


Because he showed signs of wanting to lynch my 1st largest scumread, which gives me doubts and makes me hesitate on both. And my 1st largest scumread AFKd the game after martyring and is voting an un-CCd JK, even though that JK unclaimed and now I just don't know anymore.

I guess I'd rather not be wrong on either and since TT is around, I'm interested in what he'll come up with before DL


I don't like this post, nor 1 of the previous ones.

I would be willing to boot up shennanie.exe for this guy, and gb, and maybe rels


Do what you gotta do. Just remember you suck at reading me and I've pointed this out before. I guess you really can't backtrack once you scum me, either, because you did that last time you rolled scum vs me and I caught you. You had to pretend you were wrong that game after our shouting match. I'm down to yell again if you are.

And shenannying onto GB means you'd be voting with me, since out of those 2(not counting myself), that's who I'd vote. Decisions, decisions.


Well i thought you were town earlier cuz you sounded pretty honest, but then you're all wishy-washy about your 2nd biggest scum read and refuse to vote when you really should have already voted if you believed your read and sound like you're pre-emptively distancing; which could mean you're TMI setting yourself up to look good post-flip. I don't wanna vote TT cuz he the only person voting my top scum read is a dumpster reason too.


Really curious to hear what Shining and others think of this now.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 08 2016 22:59 GMT
#4496
LIST POST AS FOLLOWS

All But Confirmed Town

Coagulation – Mason

ObiWanShinobi – effectively greenchecked, though I felt that way after his filter check

Pretty Damn Town

Damdred – overall approach to thinking, I’d say the read diagram meta pretty much applies here. Approach to how I replaced in was very town-oriented.

The Shining – tone: emotions are present, meta: review of his filter showed posts that paralleled an advancement of the game similar to Dark Tournament, back and forth hashing re: ritoky.

ExO_ - tone: general IDGAF attitude; actions: tunnel on Shining, several posts through day/night 3 that demonstrated a townie thinking process including voting breakdowns

Coinflips/Gut Calls – But I’m Really Thinking Town

ObviousOne – The guy has low activity, big deal, was mentioned as a lynchbait player. Shining mentioned lack of urgency, which is a major towntell. Content per post is high and demonstrates critical thinking. No one in the game has made a meta based argument otherwise. Only argument I’ve seen so far is PoE. That’s not enough in my book to call him mafia when there’s much stronger arguments on other players.

Null – Complete Tossup

Kush – Reconsidered after the bussing Slam argument and hard defence of two mafia. Not outside the possibility that he could have been tricked by Palmar. Reads don’t look organic, and not sure why he’d “ask” for towncred after the Slam lynch. However, interactions with Noon when I replaced in I really felt were townie.

Probably Mafia:

Onegu – Looked at this guy’s filter and actions and several things rubbed me the wrong way:
Fake Claim Day 2: Mind you, Tictock didn’t help himself here but given stage of the game, could have easily drawn out real cop given the very player he had outed with after “checking”, a player was likely to get lynched anyhow based on thread sentiment. Koshi had called outing extremely suboptimal. The effect of redchecking Tictock in reading through Day 2 and looking back, led town down a rabbit hole.

Repeated points that don’t make him town as if he were town: NOT confirmed town after the bussing of GB (as opposed to Slam who flipped subsequently) and he pushed it as a reason to consider him town, made a post where he’d assume he’d be in lylo (Kush had pointed this out), which again doesn’t make him any more town.

Look at the Big Picture Please and LYNCH THESE PEOPLE WITH FIRE
Ritoky:

Tone – opportunistic approach (compared to Damdred) in approaching my replacing in night 2 (see post 4241), similarities to Fullmetal (Newbie 17)

Vote Analysis: Day 1 – soft pushes GlowingBear and starts serious discussion on him but despite including him in a shennanies list, hits Rels despite not mentioning him all cycle and only 1h prior to end of cycle
Night 2 Kill: Several things don’t line up including things that ritoky had to backtrack on: See my original case here, additional arguments here and here, responses to ritoky here, additional here. Kill did not advance information (a shot on either day 2 fakeclaim) at best, and excuse for shooting Moosy is VERY flimsy. (here)
NK WIFOM: Not as strong as is on Palmar but a few things -

Palmar:

NK WIFOM: Four players (rayn, Artanis, Vivax, Koshi), one of which was scumread a bit called him out for various reasons and are dead in two nights.

Misrepresentation: Metas misrepresentation with Vivax/Artanis, clash with ExO_ Day 3 pushed at his emotions as opposed to achieving resolution.

Posting just to post and/or for the sake of defence: Meta arguments aside, Reads given on 3-4 players Day 3 were long, shiny and expansive but did not advance the game and got the townreads needed to survive. Spammed thread Day 4 as I was pushing him and ritoky in priming self for a possible defence, had that wagon gained traction.
Cop check on Slam (flipped GF) – attempted to bait cop to check godfather, was called out by OWS re anti-meta argument, responses given night 3 are either NAI or WIFOM at best.

Voting Day 3 – Voted GlowingBear over Alakaslam, when previous vote was on Alakaslam. Noon’s point on switching from mafia to mafia does nto make him more town, it makes him more mafia as he preserved the GF over the vanilla scum.

MOST PROBABALE SCUM TEAM:

Palmar/ritoky 100% - 100% these two should be lynched.

Onegu >80%
Kush approx. 50%

Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 08 2016 23:01 GMT
#4499
GGs and that's that. I'll see everyone post-game.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 16 2016 23:19 GMT
#5263
Disappointed.....I called Palmar/ritoky and Onegu to a lesser extent.

GGs all.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
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