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TestSubject893
Profile Joined September 2009
United States774 Posts
March 01 2013 05:46 GMT
#2521
Neither dayvig can shoot D1, right?
The Macho Man
Profile Joined February 2013
171 Posts
March 01 2013 05:46 GMT
#2522
On March 01 2013 14:43 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
I don't think a newbie scum would make that post. He would just have made his post on OO if it was indeed real, I'm sure it would be worked on and approved in the scum qt. WIFOM but that's my 2 cents.

the to bad to be scum argument? The post effectively achieves nothing and it does not look like scum hunting.
Expect the unexpected in the kingdom of madness
MilkSuckler
Profile Joined February 2013
Swaziland597 Posts
March 01 2013 05:46 GMT
#2523
On March 01 2013 14:43 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
I don't think a newbie scum would make that post. He would just have made his post on OO if it was indeed real, I'm sure it would be worked on and approved in the scum qt. WIFOM but that's my 2 cents.

Its a waste of read regardless..

why even say you think Aqua/OO is scum.. if your not going to produce a single iota of evidence or reason.

Its like he felt obliged to post, because he said he woudl share some thoughts.
The Macho Man
Profile Joined February 2013
171 Posts
March 01 2013 05:46 GMT
#2524
On March 01 2013 14:44 TestSubject893 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2013 14:41 MilkSuckler wrote:
On March 01 2013 14:34 TestSubject893 wrote:
Ok, so I rewrote this post like 5 times and changed my mind back and forth, and at the end of it all I ended up not coming up with as great of thoughts as I had originally thought I had when it was all coming togther.

I'll start with the basics I suppose. I agree with DrH on Toad. He's the top of the list for me. From there I feel like one of either Aqua or OO is scum. I was gonna write up some reasons on why its OO, but when I was doing that I kind of talked myself into thinking that its Aqua. After that grush is looking suspicious to me, but he's in that category of players where everyone talks about their crazy meta and how it needs to be taken into account and I'm not currently taking it into account, so take that for what its worth.

The bulk of my thoughts were gonna be about how when I read Chez asking the questions about the 3rd parties and claiming he didn't know how to add, I thought for sure he was a 3rd party just putting on a show. Because immediately after that WF jumped on him as scum I thought that he has the same read as me and was mafia trying to get the 3rd party lynched. This all still added up even after Chez shot if he is town because mafia wouldn't know for sure he wasn't 3rd party in the time in between.

When I was writing it all up I changed my mind on it. WF just isn't scummy looking enough to me outside of that, so I ended up scrapping it. It is something that really jumped out at me though, so if WF becomes the center of attention later, its something we could relook at.

... What are you trying to achieve with this..

you know, someone (I think it was aqua) called you scum.

posts like that, are starting to make me think he was right

is there proper analysis in this.. or even a conclusion?

Waste of a read, as far as I am concerned.. (perhaps Im just pissed at waiting almost 2 hrs for this day vig claim)


I promised to post some thoughts and this is the explanation of why I'm not doing that. Its not helpful, I agree.

oh well if he is gonna be that upfront with it that its maybe he is more likely to be misguided town.
Expect the unexpected in the kingdom of madness
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
March 01 2013 05:47 GMT
#2525
On March 01 2013 14:46 The Macho Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2013 14:43 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
I don't think a newbie scum would make that post. He would just have made his post on OO if it was indeed real, I'm sure it would be worked on and approved in the scum qt. WIFOM but that's my 2 cents.

the to bad to be scum argument? The post effectively achieves nothing and it does not look like scum hunting.

Not at all, it just hits me in a different way. I'm more concerned about his post on Day 1 then that one, but if he has done enough work to have written full cases and then deleted them, he needs to prove it now.
RIP Aaliyah
MilkSuckler
Profile Joined February 2013
Swaziland597 Posts
March 01 2013 05:48 GMT
#2526
On March 01 2013 14:44 TestSubject893 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2013 14:41 MilkSuckler wrote:
On March 01 2013 14:34 TestSubject893 wrote:
Ok, so I rewrote this post like 5 times and changed my mind back and forth, and at the end of it all I ended up not coming up with as great of thoughts as I had originally thought I had when it was all coming togther.

I'll start with the basics I suppose. I agree with DrH on Toad. He's the top of the list for me. From there I feel like one of either Aqua or OO is scum. I was gonna write up some reasons on why its OO, but when I was doing that I kind of talked myself into thinking that its Aqua. After that grush is looking suspicious to me, but he's in that category of players where everyone talks about their crazy meta and how it needs to be taken into account and I'm not currently taking it into account, so take that for what its worth.

The bulk of my thoughts were gonna be about how when I read Chez asking the questions about the 3rd parties and claiming he didn't know how to add, I thought for sure he was a 3rd party just putting on a show. Because immediately after that WF jumped on him as scum I thought that he has the same read as me and was mafia trying to get the 3rd party lynched. This all still added up even after Chez shot if he is town because mafia wouldn't know for sure he wasn't 3rd party in the time in between.

When I was writing it all up I changed my mind on it. WF just isn't scummy looking enough to me outside of that, so I ended up scrapping it. It is something that really jumped out at me though, so if WF becomes the center of attention later, its something we could relook at.

... What are you trying to achieve with this..

you know, someone (I think it was aqua) called you scum.

posts like that, are starting to make me think he was right

is there proper analysis in this.. or even a conclusion?

Waste of a read, as far as I am concerned.. (perhaps Im just pissed at waiting almost 2 hrs for this day vig claim)


I promised to post some thoughts and this is the explanation of why I'm not doing that. Its not helpful, I agree.

Its ok, we came to the same conclusion lol
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
March 01 2013 05:48 GMT
#2527
Post your case on OO even if you're doubting it now. I've posted some dumb cases so far and changed my mind. At least it will show us you're actually trying
RIP Aaliyah
The Macho Man
Profile Joined February 2013
171 Posts
March 01 2013 05:50 GMT
#2528
well its way past my bed time so im just gonna conclude that what dr.h said was right in that he just meant the other day vig should shoot chez
Expect the unexpected in the kingdom of madness
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
March 01 2013 05:53 GMT
#2529
Catching up on the thread happenings from today... brief read-through has me staggered a bit. Figured Chez for sure as third party with all the 3P talk until the shot.

Grush is standing out to me right now, his vote states he's voting for Toad but I don't see any reasons at all. The only thing coming to mind about Toad is remembering that someone said that Toad and VE were probably on opposite teams but it doesn't appear to have been Grush saying that either. So far he just seems to be echoing sentiments of the thread without his own take spelled out for us to read. And what DocH just said about him stalling discussion is even more disconcerting...

Something about Layabout has been bothering me but I haven't been able to put my finger on it. Looked at his filter and his last post here seems to be something of a nugget:
On March 01 2013 10:24 layabout wrote:
Aqua since the main point of your case is that hassy tried to be pardoner what do you think of the fact that he ran for a similar role in Holy Roman mafia on a similar basis won it and didn't use it?

Despite that being a theme/ troll game it doesn't change that he has done the exact thing that you are calling him scum for as town.

I think we should lynch macho today or failing that chez since I trust BC on this. night.

Layabout wants to sheep the dead guy. Don't get me wrong, I appreciate that BC is a great player but we can't operate on sheeping a dead guy who can't develop or change his reads, so I'm just wondering if he wants to develop the case on BC's behalf.
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
TestSubject893
Profile Joined September 2009
United States774 Posts
March 01 2013 05:56 GMT
#2530
On March 01 2013 14:46 MilkSuckler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2013 14:43 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
I don't think a newbie scum would make that post. He would just have made his post on OO if it was indeed real, I'm sure it would be worked on and approved in the scum qt. WIFOM but that's my 2 cents.

Its a waste of read regardless..

why even say you think Aqua/OO is scum.. if your not going to produce a single iota of evidence or reason.

Its like he felt obliged to post, because he said he woudl share some thoughts.


That is exactly what I felt. Apparently this was the wrong choice and I'll make note of that for the future.




On March 01 2013 14:46 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2013 14:44 TestSubject893 wrote:
On March 01 2013 14:41 MilkSuckler wrote:
On March 01 2013 14:34 TestSubject893 wrote:
Ok, so I rewrote this post like 5 times and changed my mind back and forth, and at the end of it all I ended up not coming up with as great of thoughts as I had originally thought I had when it was all coming togther.

I'll start with the basics I suppose. I agree with DrH on Toad. He's the top of the list for me. From there I feel like one of either Aqua or OO is scum. I was gonna write up some reasons on why its OO, but when I was doing that I kind of talked myself into thinking that its Aqua. After that grush is looking suspicious to me, but he's in that category of players where everyone talks about their crazy meta and how it needs to be taken into account and I'm not currently taking it into account, so take that for what its worth.

The bulk of my thoughts were gonna be about how when I read Chez asking the questions about the 3rd parties and claiming he didn't know how to add, I thought for sure he was a 3rd party just putting on a show. Because immediately after that WF jumped on him as scum I thought that he has the same read as me and was mafia trying to get the 3rd party lynched. This all still added up even after Chez shot if he is town because mafia wouldn't know for sure he wasn't 3rd party in the time in between.

When I was writing it all up I changed my mind on it. WF just isn't scummy looking enough to me outside of that, so I ended up scrapping it. It is something that really jumped out at me though, so if WF becomes the center of attention later, its something we could relook at.

... What are you trying to achieve with this..

you know, someone (I think it was aqua) called you scum.

posts like that, are starting to make me think he was right

is there proper analysis in this.. or even a conclusion?

Waste of a read, as far as I am concerned.. (perhaps Im just pissed at waiting almost 2 hrs for this day vig claim)


I promised to post some thoughts and this is the explanation of why I'm not doing that. Its not helpful, I agree.

Well, tell us your thoughts on Aqua. What exactly about OO made you think he wasn't scum? You need to show your work.



I was mostly focusing on this post by OO and the response from Aqua. I was thinking that OO is never really saying anything of relevance, but Aqua says this and it really strikes me as scummy:

I didn't really see the point in posting serious cases after about midway through D1. I much prefer to pressure someone when I can actually threaten them with a lynch, and the Prom lynch was pretty much cemented. My play was focusing on dissecting cases made by other people (geript and Vivax in particular iirc) and thinking about whether they were sincere.


He thinks that posting cases is bad, but is relying on others posting cases. On top of all of that I had this weird interation with OO last game that I'm trying to keep from biasing me this game, but sometimes I think I'm overcompensating and its causing me to be really indecisive about the whole thing.

This post feels not productive either. Hopefully it answers your questions, but please ask away if you have more.
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
March 01 2013 05:57 GMT
#2531
On March 01 2013 14:56 TestSubject893 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2013 14:46 MilkSuckler wrote:
On March 01 2013 14:43 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
I don't think a newbie scum would make that post. He would just have made his post on OO if it was indeed real, I'm sure it would be worked on and approved in the scum qt. WIFOM but that's my 2 cents.

Its a waste of read regardless..

why even say you think Aqua/OO is scum.. if your not going to produce a single iota of evidence or reason.

Its like he felt obliged to post, because he said he woudl share some thoughts.


That is exactly what I felt. Apparently this was the wrong choice and I'll make note of that for the future.




Show nested quote +
On March 01 2013 14:46 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
On March 01 2013 14:44 TestSubject893 wrote:
On March 01 2013 14:41 MilkSuckler wrote:
On March 01 2013 14:34 TestSubject893 wrote:
Ok, so I rewrote this post like 5 times and changed my mind back and forth, and at the end of it all I ended up not coming up with as great of thoughts as I had originally thought I had when it was all coming togther.

I'll start with the basics I suppose. I agree with DrH on Toad. He's the top of the list for me. From there I feel like one of either Aqua or OO is scum. I was gonna write up some reasons on why its OO, but when I was doing that I kind of talked myself into thinking that its Aqua. After that grush is looking suspicious to me, but he's in that category of players where everyone talks about their crazy meta and how it needs to be taken into account and I'm not currently taking it into account, so take that for what its worth.

The bulk of my thoughts were gonna be about how when I read Chez asking the questions about the 3rd parties and claiming he didn't know how to add, I thought for sure he was a 3rd party just putting on a show. Because immediately after that WF jumped on him as scum I thought that he has the same read as me and was mafia trying to get the 3rd party lynched. This all still added up even after Chez shot if he is town because mafia wouldn't know for sure he wasn't 3rd party in the time in between.

When I was writing it all up I changed my mind on it. WF just isn't scummy looking enough to me outside of that, so I ended up scrapping it. It is something that really jumped out at me though, so if WF becomes the center of attention later, its something we could relook at.

... What are you trying to achieve with this..

you know, someone (I think it was aqua) called you scum.

posts like that, are starting to make me think he was right

is there proper analysis in this.. or even a conclusion?

Waste of a read, as far as I am concerned.. (perhaps Im just pissed at waiting almost 2 hrs for this day vig claim)


I promised to post some thoughts and this is the explanation of why I'm not doing that. Its not helpful, I agree.

Well, tell us your thoughts on Aqua. What exactly about OO made you think he wasn't scum? You need to show your work.



I was mostly focusing on this post by OO and the response from Aqua. I was thinking that OO is never really saying anything of relevance, but Aqua says this and it really strikes me as scummy:

Show nested quote +
I didn't really see the point in posting serious cases after about midway through D1. I much prefer to pressure someone when I can actually threaten them with a lynch, and the Prom lynch was pretty much cemented. My play was focusing on dissecting cases made by other people (geript and Vivax in particular iirc) and thinking about whether they were sincere.


He thinks that posting cases is bad, but is relying on others posting cases. On top of all of that I had this weird interation with OO last game that I'm trying to keep from biasing me this game, but sometimes I think I'm overcompensating and its causing me to be really indecisive about the whole thing.

This post feels not productive either. Hopefully it answers your questions, but please ask away if you have more.

My win-con in that game was to kill everybody and I was happy to oblige.
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
TestSubject893
Profile Joined September 2009
United States774 Posts
March 01 2013 05:57 GMT
#2532
On March 01 2013 14:48 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
Post your case on OO even if you're doubting it now. I've posted some dumb cases so far and changed my mind. At least it will show us you're actually trying


There is no case anymore, there where some links and some incomplete sentences. It never got clsoe enough to completion to be a "case".
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
March 01 2013 05:59 GMT
#2533
No that was productive. Even if you're wrong (like I feel I was on jj) it pressures the person to respond and you gain more understanding. If you're unsure you should still push and pressure for clarification. Then your unsure read becomes a solid read. Playing scared is bad for both alignments.
RIP Aaliyah
DoctorHelvetica
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States15034 Posts
March 01 2013 06:01 GMT
#2534
I always feel very unsure in my head but pumping out pressure regardless is still productive. I was even questioning prom very seriously in my head.
RIP Aaliyah
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
March 01 2013 06:06 GMT
#2535
I see three votes for Hassybaby in the voting thread, but I have to re-read to see why it was those people were voting for him. His filter reveals severe inactivity and a rather foreboding last post. Going back to ~pg 100 to see what I can see.
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
The Milkman
Profile Joined February 2013
Mongolia140 Posts
March 01 2013 06:14 GMT
#2536
I am the Milkman.
Good luck.
My milk is delicious.
My milk is delicious.
MilkSuckler
Profile Joined February 2013
Swaziland597 Posts
March 01 2013 06:16 GMT
#2537
On March 01 2013 15:14 The Milkman wrote:
I am the Milkman.
Good luck.
My milk is delicious.

GG.. i feel sorry for you haah

prob was catching up on 20/30 pages of thread.. and then BAM.. crap i casnt reply to the new notes I just made
MilkSuckler
Profile Joined February 2013
Swaziland597 Posts
March 01 2013 06:17 GMT
#2538
ok.. i given up on grush..

i seen enough on toad to go ahead with that lynch full steam
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
March 01 2013 06:55 GMT
#2539
@TestSubject, why do you think one of OO and myself is scum?
Also, I'd like to hear your read on layabout.

GG Milkman. Your milk is delicious.
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
March 01 2013 09:06 GMT
#2540
Okay, that was fun, re-read 27 pages looking specifically for Hassy references, and I think I caught most of the relevant ones. Spoilered my notes from notepad.

+ Show Spoiler [major references to hassybaby] +

Milksuckler openly encouraging a Vig shot for inactivity and running for pardoner:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17902607

The Macho Man for Hassy's disinterest in town/game:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17903248
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17908194

Aquanim regarding Hassy's intent to become pardoner:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17907070

Vivax claiming attempt to shoot Hassy (this one is curious because how can you say "I believe" you wither did or did not shoot at Hassy....):
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17907129
Roleblock:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17907541
Implying Milkman is scum with Hassy vote:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17907319
vivax unvote, switch to milkman:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17907440
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17907541
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17907642
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17908119

Layabout describing Hassy having taken hold of Pardoner in another game (looks like a soft defense):
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17907769

DocH greenlighting a shot on Hassy or Chez:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17908224


Regarding my notes (links)
Confirms that Hassy's definitely in the back of people's mind. I see that since then, we have moved targets from Hassy to Chez, Milkman (who has since been confirmed town, was a candidate for Vivax) and Toad (DocH after a thorough re-read). I noted the extra stuff from Vivax in his switch to Milkman since it was a bigger deal knowing that Vivax was looking at Milkman who is since confirmed town.

First post from his switch to Milkman looks kind of like a day-late OMGUS, for what that is worth.

An interesting post before the chaos
Then I discovered this little gem, not sure how to best utilize it but here you go:
On March 01 2013 11:30 MilkSuckler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 01 2013 11:24 Vivax wrote:
Mocsta what's making you so sure that milkman is town? You're shrugging off whatever points I brought against him with little reasoning, and he was dead set on making my claim look bad.

I also don't see whatever fallacy you just mentioned about me. My points against him are clear, although I left a few out:

  • He immediately attacked my claim with little reasoning.

  • saved up this point cause it's strong: He didn't inquire at all whether my shot is refunded or not. That means he doesn't have an actual interest into knowing if I'm really vig or not. He had a primary interest into painting me scummy

  • He sounded extremely sure about VE getting doublestacked and justified it with weak reasoning about it when asked afterwards. What is just this reasoning? Why do you argue about someone (me) being scum based on scum doublestacking someone when there could be a multitude of other options? Why doesn't he rule them out with logic if he's so sure about exactly that version happening?

  • Not believing that there could not be medics. I call bullshit, he has no base whatsoever to think that.

  • Saying that if there ever was a medic he would have protected VE for sure.

  • Not all people posted yet, he doesn't even know if others were roleblocked besides Toad. Yet he proceeds to doubt my claim with (maybe) incomplete info.

  • His early play regarding Prom is scummy, as pointed out with three important posts.


Just wanted to say, I liked the way you presented ya thoughts with this post.. was clear to read (I would prefer if you kept producing content that way)

Look, you're right, I am just saying he is town..
Let me read his filter and confirm where I stand with milkman.. THEN I will comment to whether I agree with your case or not.

We never got those reasons why MilkSuckler thought Milkman was town. I would have liked to have seen that (unless I'm somehow wrong and the Chez shot banter just obfuscated it on my brief pass through the thread looking for it) pre-flip.

So what does this flip say more about?

Vivax had a scum read on him, MilkSuckler had a town feeling on him. MS was right but... we never found out why. I'm trying to sort this out in writing and nothing is making too much sense to me at this moment. Vivax seems to have a decent case but it's partially based on incomplete information and partially intuition on his part. MS could have easily found reasons Milkman was town as scum, and might have even been more careful to answer the question I would wager.

My conclusions:
1) Vivax had a pretty interesting case that just didn't pan out (i.e. there was no conniving on the part of Milkman in his night action speculation, a large part of his case) which might have gotten a proper response had Milkman not been shot. Might consider this a warning that his reads are bad this game or it's mafia motivated. Downgrading my read of Vivax from leaning town to null for now.
2) Hypothetical mafia MilkSuckler is active enough (and careful enough as scum as evidenced by our previous game together) to answer questions posed to him relatively quickly. Leaning town at this point.
3) Hassybaby: backburner for now, but let's not forget him, probably mafia or just begging for modkill or replcement at this point. Something about Hassy may be linked to Layabout which I think I'll take a look at next given the soft-defense mentioned in the spoiler above (post by Layabout.)

side note, I hope the formatting isn't too awful to make this unreadable
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
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