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On March 04 2012 12:29 kitaman27 wrote: although it might be more likely that BC is the roleblocker if bugs is trying so hard to prove he is the scum medic yeah but I'd say if one of those 3 is to be wrong it's BC. As mentioned, Laya and bugs are a 99% call for me right now, BC is more like 90% :p
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there's no way we've got 2 operators unless mafia used their operater power exclusevly for operating mafia business.. We only had one pair of people who were able to talk to each other. A townie being allowed to talk to someone else would have claimed that.
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mighty Captain-Toad to the rescue (Haven't read a thing yet):
Mafia has 1 KP + a oneshot-Poisoner.
N1 someone was protected. Most likely someone like kita or syllo or whatever. I do think we have a "normal" medic and a mafia medic for various reasons. Or a town medic + a mafia RB. Or a town medic + mafia RB + mafia medic. Anyways, I shot RoL and he was still alive. Protecting him would be an easy choice to have, roleblocking me would not be THAT hard given I slipped I am a vig if people took what I said for real and not for a question. So maybe I got roleblocked that night but I'd say medic sounds more reasonable.
N2 noone was protected. Syllo got shot or dropped dead after being poisoned n1. Jackal was the same. Either shot or dropped dead after being poisoned n1.
N3 we had a single kill again.
N4 we either had a medic other than WBG OR if mafia really is as fucked as it seems to: They decided to not shoot at all to buff up their "WBG is a medic, he saved one yesterday" claim.
1KP + 1 shot Poisoner seems to explain everything pretty neatly. Maybe it was a 2 shot poisoner and he had a save on n3 as well idk. I mean, why of all people should mafia shoot VE? 2 days ago I was all over him and I'd take him to lategame any second as mafia if he's a townie simply given that they might think I'm tunneling hardcore. Protecting VE might make sense if wbg is town. Roleblocking WBG makes sense from mafia point of view if WBG really is town, however this whole bullshit is just way to convenient and we got shitloads of evidence on wbg. He is a mafia trying to save his ass.
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On March 05 2012 17:16 wherebugsgo wrote:also, you shot n1? so you're a confirmed liar now too? well, this is nice no I did not. I just mentioned my shot as an explanation for mafia having a medic as well. Probably shouldn't have done that under my "n1 part" or at least highlighted that my shot still was on n3.
What you said about the poisoner being oneshot is true. Maybe it's a twoshot poisoner and we had another protection on n2 resulting in only one flip but I'm pretty sure I mentioned the possibility somewhere. Anyways n4 had no kills and the shitstorm (for mafia) started AFTER the night action deadline yet BEFORE we lynched RoL. So they would have used his ability it it's an unlimited ability.
Maybe it's a 1-shot poisoner, sounds a little weak but it sure looks like what we got according the kills. Maybe it's a 2-shot poisoner, sounds reasonable but we're missing a kill so that would mean 2 protections imo, which is fine for me as well. However I doubt it was unlimited because of the shitstorm-timing.
About you're question why should mafia chose to not shoot? To save your ass and buff your medic claim or to confuse us and make us think they wanted to save your ass, therefore painting you read. I'm totally happy with lynching you since it's the first one.
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On March 05 2012 17:26 Toadesstern wrote:Show nested quote +On March 05 2012 17:16 wherebugsgo wrote:also, you shot n1? so you're a confirmed liar now too? well, this is nice no I did not. I just mentioned my shot as an explanation for mafia having a medic as well. Probably shouldn't have done that under my "n1 part" or at least highlighted that my shot still was on n3. What you said about the poisoner being oneshot is true. Maybe it's a twoshot poisoner and we had another protection on n3 resulting in only one flip but I'm pretty sure I mentioned the possibility somewhere. Anyways n4 had no kills and the shitstorm (for mafia) started AFTER the night action deadline yet BEFORE we lynched RoL. So they would have used his ability it it's an unlimited ability. Maybe it's a 1-shot poisoner, sounds a little weak but it sure looks like what we got according the kills. Maybe it's a 2-shot poisoner, sounds reasonable but we're missing a kill so that would mean 2 protections imo, which is fine for me as well. However I doubt it was unlimited because of the shitstorm-timing. About you're question why should mafia chose to not shoot? To save your ass and buff your medic claim or to confuse us and make us think they wanted to save your ass, therefore painting you read. I'm totally happy with lynching you since it's the first one. EBWOP I confused the night numbers a little. Think it should be right now?
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On March 05 2012 18:03 wherebugsgo wrote:Show nested quote +Maybe it's a 1-shot poisoner, sounds a little weak but it sure looks like what we got according the kills. Maybe it's a 2-shot poisoner, sounds reasonable but we're missing a kill so that would mean 2 protections imo, which is fine for me as well. However I doubt it was unlimited because of the shitstorm-timing.
We don't know how medic protections work against poisoners (heck we don't even know how the poisoner works) so we're still just makings assumptions here. Unnecessary ones at that. Besides; my original point was that kita was trying to use the 2 KP argument as to why I shouldn't have acted last night. Based on only kurumi dying on n3 I see no reason to even assume there was 2 consistent KP to begin with. So why would he say that? Show nested quote + About you're question why should mafia chose to not shoot? To save your ass and buff your medic claim or to confuse us and make us think they wanted to save your ass, therefore painting you read. I'm totally happy with lynching you since it's the first one.
cause the lack of a kill is clearly saving me right now, right? And, I already refuted what you just said. If I'm mafia, not shooting would save me, at best, for one day. That accomplishes nothing because I die the next day (since kita would be town) and mafia would not win. Secondly, though this is not as conclusive as what I just said, if I'm mafia, why would I pick VE to call confirmed town and not my buddy between layabout+Tyrran? Why pick VE over anyone else, when for a whole day I pushed VE? VE would be the last person I would call confirmed town, simply because if I were mafia I'd be trying to lynch him right now. Just look at what he's doing (aka nothing). He'd be a great target to call scum, not town. What's funniest is that you just fucked up your fake vig claim. Too bad once I die town loses, since I'm the only one capable of stopping a night hit :/ Let's assume you're mafia for now. What would happen if you were to waltz in this thread and tell people you checked Laya right now? Right, everyone would call bullshit on you and say "well that's mafia buddies defending each other". Therefore it's not an option for you if you really are mafia. You need to get towncred somehow else and that's only possible via "confirming" someone who's really a townie or at least try looking like you're doing that. Funny sidenote here is that you actually are not confirming anyone because you yourself point out the possibility that you could be RB'ed which is pretty nice for a mafia in your situation, isn't it? Your protection is a null tell right now, that's it. Obviously it is not a reason to lynch you but neither is it a reason to not lynch you because again, you claim to be probably just roleblocked.and if you're mafia you have controle over who gets killed and therefore can make it look like you protected somewhen when there are no notifications.
On another note: Do we have confirmation about the masoned people? I thought our operator might end up being roleblocked to not be able to confirm himself. So if those people are not allowed to talk to each other (by now Palmar should have send the pm's I guess..) we know were the RB went (if there is one).
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On March 05 2012 18:49 wherebugsgo wrote: -_- how thick are you? Both Jitsu and Cwave denied getting any PMs about being masoned, which means I WAS NOT ROLEBLOCKED.
yay logic.
also how the fuck did layabout suddenly become my scumbuddy? what is this bs?
I didn't claim to be roleblocked today. In fact, I claim today I couldn't have been roleblocked except in the remote circumstance that there is more than one scum roleblocker. The idea itself is senseless. And, of course I protected someone. If there was another protective role, they would have counterclaimed me because that would 100% hammer my lynch.
And yet again you dodge my question regarding the evidence for me being scum. they claimed that after 10mins of the new day while palmar obviously was busy. That's why I am asking about this again. Could very well be palmar who was busy and therefore did not send out pm's in time.
I don't really know if we should make a medic claim though. Not to mention if you're really town you know damn well that a mafia could just fake claim that and given the situation make us mislynch into losing the game.
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On March 05 2012 19:05 wherebugsgo wrote:Show nested quote +On March 05 2012 18:53 Toadesstern wrote:On March 05 2012 18:49 wherebugsgo wrote: -_- how thick are you? Both Jitsu and Cwave denied getting any PMs about being masoned, which means I WAS NOT ROLEBLOCKED.
yay logic.
also how the fuck did layabout suddenly become my scumbuddy? what is this bs?
I didn't claim to be roleblocked today. In fact, I claim today I couldn't have been roleblocked except in the remote circumstance that there is more than one scum roleblocker. The idea itself is senseless. And, of course I protected someone. If there was another protective role, they would have counterclaimed me because that would 100% hammer my lynch.
And yet again you dodge my question regarding the evidence for me being scum. they claimed that after 10mins of the new day while palmar obviously was busy. That's why I am asking about this again. Could very well be palmar who was busy and therefore did not send out pm's in time. I don't really know if we should make a medic claim though. Not to mention if you're really town you know damn well that a mafia could just fake claim that and given the situation make us mislynch into losing the game. no. 1)a counterclaim right now would be a mafia counterclaim to ensure my lynch. Why? Because even if there is somehow ANOTHER town medic (which would be fucking broken, 3 prot roles in a game with max 2 scum KP) if they believed I was scum lying about my claim they would have counterclaimed a long time ago. Indeed the only reason they would do that is if they themselves protected VE. 2)However scum, if bold enough, would counterclaim me right now because no one would move their vote off me in that case. Given the state of this game and how it's played out, though, scum are not that bold, they're lurking pussies. That's why I didn't hesitate in claiming yesterday (it was also because I made a realization that was so huge I needed to claim in order for it to make sense) and that's also why I don't fear a scum counterclaim. They'd just out themselves unnecessarily and if there is a KP role left when I die they'd risk getting shot, particularly as they don't need to do anything more to ensure my lynch. The funniest part about yesterday was kita claiming a weaker version of what I claimed, a couple hours after I claimed in the QT. 3)Anyone who actually wants to win as town, just ask yourself those questions that I posed earlier in the thread and you'll see why kita can't possibly be town. Why as a town role that confirms people would he ever visit someone other than syllo n1? Why wouldn't he visit me? Why would he visit Toad? Why would he visit Cwave (the fuck?) Why wouldn't he visit BC? Or RoL? Or me? Or syllo? Or VE? All of these players are better potential checks than ANY of the players he considered. Visiting Cwave (rofl) is just retarded, and kita is not that dumb as town. These "checks" are essentially of the same caliber as supersoft's from PYP:I. He was scum hider, and he hid behind people who were never going to get shot. He was dumb enough to truthfully provide these, so I got town to nuke him. 1) We've got a suicide bomber who killed DocH. You really think so? Or could it POSSIBLY be a medic who doesn't want to claim because he's a medic and simply thinks you're mafia as well, therefore thinking something along the lines "well better only claim when it's needed" or someone who isn't aware of what might be imba and what not? You're telling me all game long that I need to stop speculate about this game and how it is designed, yet you're allowed to do that?
2) Mafia clearly has no interest in counterclaiming you. That could be both, mafia being happy to see you lynched without doing a shit or mafia not willing to sacrifice another of thir members. So idk if they should or would do that.
3) I think the important part here is not to die while confirming townies because right now we need every townie alive? Especially townies who can play this game
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On March 05 2012 19:11 Tyrran wrote:Show nested quote +On March 05 2012 18:53 Toadesstern wrote:On March 05 2012 18:49 wherebugsgo wrote: -_- how thick are you? Both Jitsu and Cwave denied getting any PMs about being masoned, which means I WAS NOT ROLEBLOCKED.
yay logic.
also how the fuck did layabout suddenly become my scumbuddy? what is this bs?
I didn't claim to be roleblocked today. In fact, I claim today I couldn't have been roleblocked except in the remote circumstance that there is more than one scum roleblocker. The idea itself is senseless. And, of course I protected someone. If there was another protective role, they would have counterclaimed me because that would 100% hammer my lynch.
And yet again you dodge my question regarding the evidence for me being scum. they claimed that after 10mins of the new day while palmar obviously was busy. That's why I am asking about this again. Could very well be palmar who was busy and therefore did not send out pm's in time. I don't really know if we should make a medic claim though. Not to mention if you're really town you know damn well that a mafia could just fake claim that and given the situation make us mislynch into losing the game. That's a pretty weak argument. If they had received their PM and were town, they would have claimed by now. There is something that doesn't make sense. Unless layabout was spamming F5 and actually managed to post 3 minute after I announced who was masoned, he knew who I masoned. Which pretty much means that there is a tracker in the scum team. (This also means that redFF was likely blue). But if they tracked me, why would they also roleblock me. This doesnt help support layabouts claim. I know, that's why I am asking about it. I want to get this clear and not have someone saying some bullshit like "well I thought it was obvious" tomorrow.
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I gave reasons to lynch you for the last 7 days...
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well scum could go for save hits at this stage in the game rather than aiming for confirmed or good people (no offense^^) to secure the game if it's already a safe win. However I doubt that it is.
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I told you wbg is mafia doc from day2 on. Next one to call me retarded gets slapped in the face. And palmar as well for making me a vig in this game after AC.
About the next target: Let's see what happens tonight. Laya please announce your targets something like 60sec before the deadline. If you fail to do so you'll be the next lynch no matter what.
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On March 06 2012 17:56 Cwave wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 06:25 kitaman27 wrote:
You can call me bad as much as you want. I'm not claiming that I'm the greatest townie to ever play. What I am claiming is that I care about town winning, which simply isn't true for you.
Are you admitting 3rd party here? doubt it but even if he is I don't care because it got to be a pro-town 3rd party because he's helping us win this
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On March 06 2012 21:32 kitaman27 wrote: nope -_- how do you know that? Do you have more information than I do?
On a more serious note: BC next no matter what or laya if his calls are bullshit? Yeah either Laya or Tyrran are probably going to be roleblocked anyways but that gives our medic another chance to engage hero mode. Of course that medic only exists if mafia shot yesterday and did not decide to try and save wbg.
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On March 06 2012 23:50 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2012 22:07 Toadesstern wrote:On March 06 2012 21:32 kitaman27 wrote: nope -_- how do you know that? Do you have more information than I do? On a more serious note: BC next no matter what or laya if his calls are bullshit? Yeah either Laya or Tyrran are probably going to be roleblocked anyways but that gives our medic another chance to engage hero mode. Of course that medic only exists if mafia shot yesterday and did not decide to try and save wbg. Because he is not playing with the same information that you do, there is only one possible explanation for that -_- To give everyone a bit of food for thought here. Assume that redff was a misslynch (as everyone already seems to) and he claimed tracker. He had no reason to lie so lets assume its legit for a second. Blazinghand was a floridian Syllogism was an alchemeist DrH was the forensic expert Dirkzor was the suicide bomber We know that there exists a role called operator or phone operator that masons two people daily. That currently is 6 blue roles. We have 2 people claiming operator, and we have two people claiming kita as coward and toad as avenger. That would make 8 blue roles for town vs 4 mafia who at this point provided the day 1 flip was mafia covered 4 roles. Given that most of the flipped roles were day acting powers (which makes the roleblocker very near useless) it seems unlikely that we have more than 6 roles. Now, everyone will be like "stop spouting nonsense, or shut up scum" or the like. But seriously think this through. Toad claimed a role that conveniently missed. Kita claimed a role that doesn't make sense given the name he claimed of his role. He claimed a role only at mylo (he had his check earlier). Yet both these players are viewed as confirmed. Neither can prove what they say is true and it is pure belief from everyone that they are. Do any of you now see why I view roleclaimers as instantly suspect? There is a reason that the personality role linked to me is shooting roleclaimers. Of toad and kita, I believe both to be lying as that would make more town blue roles than town green roles and it would be double the amount of mafia which also seems unlikely. As such of the two of them one may be actually real. I strongly doubt this but it is possible. As such I strongly believe that there is a red between kita and toad, and a red between layabout and tyrran.
Well a couple of points about what you said:
1) I'd say Avenger is a weaker vig. I never heard of that role, I got 1 shot and I can only shoot after a townie got lynched and I can't even fully decide who to shoot. Idk if I would call that a blue, or at least not the kind of blue like a standard medic, a standard DT or whatever you're thinking about. Same about the suicide bomber, Kitas coward-claim, the floridian and the forensic expert (don't know what an alchemist can do so can't judge that). All of those roles are somewhat blue but not the usual strong blue roles, they all got stuff making them weak for whatever reason.
2) For me being confirmed. I am not confirmed because I claimed avenger and I don't think I am confirmed either but if you want to call me confirmed I'd say I'm confirmed because I was attacking wbg from d2 on, was trying to get RoL lynched every single day and only went with someone else after realizing that wbgs manipulation were strong enough for townies to ignore RoL yet another day, hoping my read on wbg was wrong and the read on people like prpl (from kita) or VE (from me) was right.
My list was something like WBG, RoL, VE, BC earlier. So far that list is looking pretty decent and while I do have to accept that I was probably wrong on VE I am pretty sure that list will show up as 3/4 right. How many mafia players have you been pushing this game BC? Remember the Toad vs RoL lynch? That was the most important lynch for this game because a mislynch would have been game over without huge saves. 4 People voted me. At that point in time 4 mafia were still alive (assumption := RedFF was a townie). 2 out of those 4 people are confirmed (by flip) mafias. So we still got 2 mafias left and 2 people left who voted me although we had a "DT" who claimed a green check on me and you two guys still did not want to consider RoL as an alternative?
Sry BC there's simply no way you are town and it is not that strange that people think I am town as you trying to make it look like.
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Maybe they got something like a tracker? or a watcher, whatever is the role that makes you target someone and gives you a list of players that the target targeted :p
My thoughts on layabout/Tyrran is that it's pretty obviously Laya imo. He was in a need to not vote me and this whole "Toad ruined this game and I will never join another game that Toad is playing as well" seems to be an excuse. At least I can't see how I ruined this game and people like Risk, RoL (who at least did that on purpose), prpl, BC, redFF and wbg are all perfectly fine. But maybe that's just me hoping because if it's really true what he said I'm sorry Also I find it more reasonable for someone like Laya to fakeclaim openly like that as mafia than for someone like Tyrran, especially given the AC game. I'm not saying that is something really concrete because obviousl mafia buddies could have told / forced him to do that but it's just a feeling.
VE remember our first game playing together as mafia and Jackal thought he might be able to get redFF raging so much that he'll be modkilled? It did not work but I somehow got the feeling wbg was trying the same thing in this game. I don't think BC did a lot to help but sure as hell he knew what kind of player redFF was and a townie BC would not have mentioned redFF like 5 more times d1 to bring up the redFF-is-retarded-topic back to discussion all the time when people (redFF) was cooling down again.. I'd say he did that on purpose as well, just not as much as wbg but he clearly did not help clearing the issue there.
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On March 07 2012 05:13 layabout wrote:EBWOP: who knew that " " " messed up spoilers? Show nested quote +Perhaps layabout is legitimately busy and does not wish to spend his reduced free time indulging in derp but cannot justify asking for a replacement so late into the game, when barely anybody is posting anyway. On a related note I am going to sleep very soon so i will not be around at the deadline. I will claim my action in about 24 hours when i get home after visiting Bristol. Toad, you are the only person in the game to make my eyes bleed. + Show Spoiler [avenger vig is weak if and only if you…] +Since an "avenger vig" has to shoot into a list of players on a mislynch and since 4/18 players are mafia, and + Show Spoiler +since there are typically 2-3 candidates with a chance of being lynched, after a townie is mislynched it is extremely likely that there will be 2-3 mafia/8 or so players on a lynch the proportion of mafia on that lynch is likely to be higher than the proportion of mafia in the game, this avenger vig role seems to be a vig-shot with aim assist. Furthermore, by reducing the number of people you can aim at, a player with that role would be more inclined to look at and carefully analyse each potential target whereas a normal vig may be less inclined to perform in-depth analysis on every player they can shoot (which is everyone) before taking their shot. Your claimed role basically forces you to make a good shot, particular if you are not a player that puts a huge amount of effective time and effort into deciding their actions. I have claimed my role and my actions. I had a plan and i executed it as best i could (despite it being blown to smithereens). I have explained my reasons behind my actions. I am not sure what more you want from me. I think that there are things about my role-claim that you have not considered that it would be best for you to work out by yourselves. Please think. I think that there are things about my role-claim that you have not considered that it would be best for you to work out by yourselves. Please think. well guess what. IF I were a normal vig RoL would have flipped mafia n2. Since I am not I was not allowed to shoot him before n3 making it (thanks to our suicide bomber) the only time I was able to shoot him because if I decided not to shoot that night I could not have shot at all because it would have been lylo and I would have needed a townie lynch. You may whine all you want about how this "helps" people to aim but fact is I wanted to shoot a mafia n2 and was not allowed to because I had to wait another night resulting in shooting him n3 instead. Yes imo it IS a weaker vig because of both, the possible target requirements and the requirements to shoot in the first place. How can you not agree with that? If you think avenger is more noob friendly with downsides that's fine with me but that's not what I was talking about so please stop derailing.
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On March 07 2012 06:42 Jitsu wrote: Hmmmm.
To build on that, VE, why would RoL vote for his scum member like he did?
If my scum teammate gets counterclaimed in thread, I wouldn't auto vote switch for my teammate if I was on the lynch pedestal. It doesn't make sense for him to do that.
he never intended to do that. It was something like 3 or 5 mins until deadline and he hoped that some idiot townie would think that a voteswitch to our new and confirmed mafia would be possible. Obviously that kind of thing is not possible when you only got 5 mins left which would have resultet in me being lynched because a townie who was supposed to vote RoL switched to the confirmed new guy = gg for mafia.
In that scenario the alignment of the confirmed guy doesn't matter at all because the whole point was to get a single vote off RoL making it a Toad Lynch instead. He can do that with both, townies who "scumslipped" or mafias who really scumslipped or got CC'ed.
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On March 07 2012 06:59 kitaman27 wrote:Show nested quote +On March 07 2012 06:57 Jitsu wrote: I'm not disagreeing with the fact that if Derpface Townie switches votes, RoL forces a lynch on Toad.
I'm bringing up the fact that he picked LayAbout. Wouldn't it be pretty easy to just discredit Tyrran and vote for him and try to force townies to vote for a townie looking person then for a scum buddy? You're trying to make sense out of one of the most irrelevant events in the thread. Layabout -> BC -> Tyrran seems like a reasonable lynch order to me (assuming we have a mislynch to spare after tonight) Well if Laya SOMEHOW flips green we definitely need to think about lynching Tyrran 2nd. I'm still not sure if we shouldn't just lynch BC first.
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On March 07 2012 06:57 Jitsu wrote: I'm not disagreeing with the fact that if Derpface Townie switches votes, RoL forces a lynch on Toad.
I'm bringing up the fact that he picked LayAbout. Wouldn't it be pretty easy to just discredit Tyrran and vote for him and try to force townies to vote for a townie looking person then for a scum buddy?
the reason he picked Laya is because he needed townies to vote someone else and picking Laya is an easier process of thought:
Laya claims -> CC -> Laya has to be a mafia; seems pretty straight forward Laya claims -> CC -> CC has to be a liar -> CC has to be mafia; That would have needed a lot of explanation. Again, it was only 5 mins left until deadline, there was simply no time to explain something like that and he went with what looked the most easy.
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