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Purgatory Mafia - Page 8

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layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 14 2012 13:52 GMT
#1707
I will vote just before 8:00 KST.
You will know why.
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 14 2012 14:46 GMT
#1710
Aside from your plan (the merits of which have been mostly ignore), what have you done to help town?
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 14 2012 14:54 GMT
#1713
So you think taht your analysis on BH is the only contribution you have made that is worth paying attention to?
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 14 2012 15:07 GMT
#1715
when do you think you could post something substantial by?
we have like 10 hours..
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 14 2012 16:27 GMT
#1718
somebody hasn't read the OP...
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 14 2012 21:45 GMT
#1753
Shouldn't we let RoL make a final post?
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 14 2012 21:51 GMT
#1758
I am willing to vote now.
I will vote within the hour.
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 14 2012 22:11 GMT
#1801
can't a guy watch starcraft without missing the lynch?

what now?
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 12:43 GMT
#1828
On January 15 2012 10:17 Refallen wrote:
layabout can you explain why you could only vote in the hour?

I am not quite sure what you mean...
I said i would vote at that time
I did not wish to vote earlier because the last early lynch ruined the atmosphere and killed activity.
It also meant that by 8:00KST the lynch would almost certainly happen, which would give RoL plenty of time to help us if he wanted to.
He didn't.

Also why is HoD trying calling me scummy for using my 250th post to articulate a bullshit law?
It's literally called "Laybout's Bullshit law".
It is based entirely on Bullshit.

I haven't used it to scumhunt whatsoever.
But doing it lightens up the reading though filters process and allows me to highlight things i think players have done/said that are misleading bad or wrong etc...
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 21:25 GMT
#1847
HoD:
Right now HoD is perhaps the scummiest player in the game right now and this should show why.

Let's start by looking at the major eventss to happen in the thread and compare them to what HoD has been posting about.

Day1 major events:
People began by pointing fingers because he said he would be busy IRL and didn't provide much content before he left.
We moved on from this because there was nothing was raised that made Bluelights seem likeley to flip scum
My "lets not let people lurk" plan is met with resounding apathy
Mr. Wiggles posted analysis of Palmar and Palmar received votes
Palmar posted a defence/counter-case and WIggles received votes
People spoke out against this and the main focus was placed on players who were lurking
risk/refallen/Erandor/Tyrran/Grackaroni/RoL were the other players in the spotlight
Erandor gathered votes and a case was made against risk.nuke
Risk.nuke lead votes and reached 9 votes
There was a switch in the last hour/5minutes to lynch Erandorr

HoD day1 posts:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Oh hey, a game of mafia!

So as I am sure many of you are aware, the demons have no kp. The angels on the other hand, have 1 kp that they can use on anything, and 1 kp that they can use on demons, or "dark" town players. Given that we also have a demon hunter that can kill anything that isn't an angel, and a town sage that can undo the demonic corruption, I think it is pretty clear that our first priority should be to find and lynch angels. Hell, corrupted town can even help us find the demons. Lynching a demon is certainly preferable to no lynching or lynching town, but our main focus must be on lynching angels. They cannot be killed outside of lynching, and if we manage to lynch either the angel of death or the acolyte we lower their potential kp.

If we lose our demon hunter or sage, then we need to start worrying about the demons more, and if we lose both then they become a threat on par with the angels, if not a greater threat. Now, I am not really sure how to distinguish between angel and demon rather than just town or not town until we get an angel or a demon to flip, but if you have a leaning toward one or the other, remember that killing angels is more important for now.

All that being said, I don't want to hear about strategies for angels or for demons unless you also have a very good counter to said strategy that you will be sharing with us. They both already have 3 people per team to figure out the best way to play this setup, no sense in helping them out even more.

Starts out writing about Angels and Demons
Recommends we do not discuss Angel or Demon strategies so that we do not help them out.

On January 04 2012 16:17 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2012 16:02 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
If we lose our demon hunter or sage, then we need to start worrying about the demons more, and if we lose both then they become a threat on par with the angels, if not a greater threat. Now, I am not really sure how to distinguish between angel and demon rather than just town or not town until we get an angel or a demon to flip, but if you have a leaning toward one or the other, remember that killing angels is more important for now.

I'm guessing we'll just identify scum and kill them. Also, although angels have the KPs, it's possible to kill an angel while eliminating 0 kps or just eliminating their "semi" kp while conserving their masked KP. Demons are a much bigger threat long run with their lynch control.

On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
All that being said, I don't want to hear about strategies for angels or for demons unless you also have a very good counter to said strategy that you will be sharing with us. They both already have 3 people per team to figure out the best way to play this setup, no sense in helping them out even more.


No. This is a terrible idea. If there are strategies for angels and demons that are obvious (like demons using corrupted votes to go after blues or masking an important death) it's so, SO important that you share it so we can figure out how to deal with it. If it can help, share it with the town. Honestly, they already have 3 people per team and already know whatever it is you're gonna share.

The idea that we should try to avoid sharing information is exactly the kind of scummy idea that sinks towns. Don't be that guy.

On January 04 2012 15:51 Bluelightz wrote:
Well, helo guys anyway what do you think on how should we approach the day 1 lynch?


step 1) find scum
step 2) lynch them

step 0 is get everyone to talk so we can get reads.

You are informed when you are corrupted. If the sage is still alive you say "I got corrupted" and then the sage cleans you of corruption. 2 cycles of demon powers taken care of. (they only get to corrupt every other night) As I said, I am not very worried about them until we lose our demon hunter or sage.

Tells corrupted town to claim, which would allow the acolyte to kill them.

On January 04 2012 16:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2012 16:52 Refallen wrote:
Finally started! Hype!

My first thoughts on the setup;

Obviously, I think the best way to go about this game is to focus on killing angels in the early game. Once we get rid of the acolyte, the seer has an infinitely easier job in cleansing corruption because we can actually claim if we got corrupted and not get targetted right now as we get closer to the late game lynching demons obviously becomes more and more important, but town would have a huge benefit if we can reduce angel KP early on in the game, as this has a building effect of letting more townies live = demon corrupt has less of an impact.

Oh right, kills resolve before corruption removal. T_T

This is pointed out, and he acknowledges it. He doesn't say don't claim, but it is implied.
Bearing in mind that he later claims sage, he doesn't seem to understand how the sage functions after he received his role, (because he isn't the sage).

On January 04 2012 17:19 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2012 16:58 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 04 2012 16:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On January 04 2012 16:52 Refallen wrote:
Finally started! Hype!

My first thoughts on the setup;

Obviously, I think the best way to go about this game is to focus on killing angels in the early game. Once we get rid of the acolyte, the seer has an infinitely easier job in cleansing corruption because we can actually claim if we got corrupted and not get targetted right now as we get closer to the late game lynching demons obviously becomes more and more important, but town would have a huge benefit if we can reduce angel KP early on in the game, as this has a building effect of letting more townies live = demon corrupt has less of an impact.

Oh right, kills resolve before corruption removal. T_T


Why are you quoting him and not me ._. i be all up in in this thread pointing these things out way earlier

You pointed it out in the post prior, I was reading the thread, and read the whole thread before replying to it, and his was the more recent mention of it so I hit the quote button on that one.

Show nested quote +
On January 04 2012 16:31 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 04 2012 16:20 Bluelightz wrote:
I think that the channeler should use his/her ability as a medic power as well as being a roleblock power


Yes this seems fairly obvious for a "jailer" type ability

On January 04 2012 16:17 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On January 04 2012 16:02 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
If we lose our demon hunter or sage, then we need to start worrying about the demons more, and if we lose both then they become a threat on par with the angels, if not a greater threat. Now, I am not really sure how to distinguish between angel and demon rather than just town or not town until we get an angel or a demon to flip, but if you have a leaning toward one or the other, remember that killing angels is more important for now.

I'm guessing we'll just identify scum and kill them. Also, although angels have the KPs, it's possible to kill an angel while eliminating 0 kps or just eliminating their "semi" kp while conserving their masked KP. Demons are a much bigger threat long run with their lynch control.

On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
All that being said, I don't want to hear about strategies for angels or for demons unless you also have a very good counter to said strategy that you will be sharing with us. They both already have 3 people per team to figure out the best way to play this setup, no sense in helping them out even more.


No. This is a terrible idea. If there are strategies for angels and demons that are obvious (like demons using corrupted votes to go after blues or masking an important death) it's so, SO important that you share it so we can figure out how to deal with it. If it can help, share it with the town. Honestly, they already have 3 people per team and already know whatever it is you're gonna share.

The idea that we should try to avoid sharing information is exactly the kind of scummy idea that sinks towns. Don't be that guy.

On January 04 2012 15:51 Bluelightz wrote:
Well, helo guys anyway what do you think on how should we approach the day 1 lynch?


step 1) find scum
step 2) lynch them

step 0 is get everyone to talk so we can get reads.

You are informed when you are corrupted. If the sage is still alive you say "I got corrupted" and then the sage cleans you of corruption. 2 cycles of demon powers taken care of. (they only get to corrupt every other night) As I said, I am not very worried about them until we lose our demon hunter or sage.


What do you think about information sharing? Are you still anti-sharing-ways-to-fight-strategies-and-stuff?

Also-- the downside of claiming corruption is the "night actions order"


The Transport and Banish actions are resolved simultaneously before all other actions, and can consequently cause the other actions to fail.

All other actions except corruption and the cleansing aspect of the illuminate action are then resolved.

The corruption action is then resolved (even if the demon who is performing the action was killed the same night.)

Finally, the cleansing aspect of the illuminate action is resolved (even if the sage was killed the same night.)


The acolyte can just crap on you before you get cleansed. that's the risk. This is a complicated game, take some time to read the OP before commenting on this sort of thing

I explicitly said don't share them unless you have a counter. I never said I was against sharing ways to fight strategies. If anything my statement implies that you should share if you have a counter to an angel or demon strategy. Don't twist my words.

As for the order of action resolution, I read it when the game was posted and for some reason thought I recalled the cleansing being the first thing to resolve, not last. My bad.

Emphasises the "Unless you have a counter" part. As if that justifies the don't talk about scum strats in an open setup stance. (it doesn't)

On January 05 2012 03:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Some things to think about:
If the town seer claims after finding a single angel we have a 2/3 chance of reducing their kp, 2/3 chance of making it much safer to claim corruption, and a 100% chance of getting a lot of good information after the angel flips. There are no abilities in the game which make the reads come back incorrect. The angels also DO NOT have a roleblocking ability, so they then have to decide if they want to target the seer and risk missing a kp if the seer is sent to purgatory or leave him be. Obviously this becomes much riskier if we have already lost our channeler. I'd be interested to hear if other people think having the seer claim after their first angel find is a good idea as well.

The sage on the other hand probably shouldn't claim unless he has 2 demons identified. If he claims with only one identified, 0% chance of reducing kp or reducing the corruption ability, demons have a roleblock ability, angels can kill the sage to make demons a larger threat to town thereby reducing focus on them. Still gain information obviously, but overall seems like a much weaker play than the seer claiming after finding an angel.

The demon hunter is not only useful against demons. His attacks kill anything that isn't an angel....meaning if his target lives and wasn't sent to purgatory, he has successfully identified an angel. However, since he poses a significant threat to both angels and demons, I don't really see much of a reason for the demon hunter to ever claim, except perhaps to avoid a lynch if he fucks up and appears scummy. So please don't do that.

On Bluelightz:
I will go check out his filter in the newbie game to see what all the fuss is about.

On his 12th post he promises to read BL's filter.Everything else before this has been roles and setup-based speculation.
This kind of posting is really safe to make at the start of the game as he doesn't need to make a stance on anything.
Note the Bolded part.
Note that HoD claimed that Grackaroni was "not demon" when he claimed.
Not only is this a contradiction, but this time he didn't add a condition whereby what he is saying doesn't apply as he did in his first post.

On January 05 2012 04:53 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2012 04:45 Blazinghand wrote:
So HoD, you rather reasonably want to give BL an additional chance to post, and rather reasonably don't want to always be lynching lurkers. What are your thoughts for a d1 lynch then, if it's not gonna be "guy who's posting terribly"? Or are we still acquiring reads or what

Lynch the person that seems scummiest, obviously. And still acquiring reads. We have plenty of time left, no need to rush the lynch.

Not only is this general easy-to-give general advice but when he later votes, HoD votes to "avoid a no-lynch"

On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum.

He has now talked a little about lynching lurkers,
He suggests lynching Palmar or Erandorr for inactivity. (this is pre-Wiggles case)

On January 06 2012 05:08 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 04:06 Grackaroni wrote:
HarbingerofDoom is my scum pick.

He was one of the first people into the game and took a lot of time to comment on the setup.
(this is what the majority of his posts are about)
At the start of the game he asks for us to give strategies for demons/angels which to me seemed weird from a town perspective and not beneficial to town.

In Newbie mini Mafia he was very active and spent a lot of time scum hunting.
So far there has been no scumhunting done by him

On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum.

He seems fairly content with lynching a lurker. (Palmar/Errandorr are the only people he's pushed lynches for)

Together this paints a picture to me, he is one of the earlier players to sign up, he was here right when the game started, he had the time to post quite a few things about the setup which tells us nothing about his allignment. In another game when he is town he is more active and does a lot of scumhunting but in this game he wants a lurker lynch.(granted it did include some meta with it) He has the time to post but chooses not to.
I'll wait for more posts.

All but two of my posts as of when you said this occurred while I was one of 5 people with posts in the game. Clearly I shoulda been scum hunting hard with all that info in the thread. I also did not and do not want a lurker lynch today. I wanted Palmar and Erandorr to start contributing, and the thread was fairly inactive at the time, so I thought bringing up a more controversial idea like lynching a couple veteran players might help get things moving, or at least get them contributing a bit more. Also, please don't use my first game ever to establish a meta on me. I've obviously adjusted my play since then. Try checking out Steamship or Election (as TotallyNotTwoPeople, starting game day 2 for when I basically began playing solo) to get a better meta read on me.

@risk.nuke
Isn't carefree play usually a townie trait? How does seeming carefree implicate bluelightz? The "everyone looks town!" is surely incriminating, but I am not finding the carefree being incriminating. Why would town get nervous when accused? They know they are innocent. Explaining themselves, yes, but I know I get annoyed, not nervous.

@jackal, erandorr, xsksc and RebirthOfLeGenD
Planning on doing...anything? Posting things would be appreciated.

@refallen
In election mafia I was only able to clear you on the basis of you figuring out exactly what scum had done in several situations when pointing it out was solely detrimental to scum. That is not the most reliable way of establishing your innocence if you are in fact town. Do you have a lynch target yet?

He steps up to defend himself and makes two contradictions:

underlined: "I didn't want to lynch a lurker..."- the plan i suggested was to commit to lynch a lurker to force activity-..."but then i suggested we lynch two lurkers to force them to be active". My plan was exactly what he claims to have tried to do but on a larger scale, he misrepresents my suggestion and says he disagreed and then suggested something that was exactly like my plan and says he felt it was a good idea.

bolded: "Don't use meta from my first (but recent) game against me. I have changed. Use meta from a game where i was account sharing day1 when you try to analyse my day1 play, or use meta from another game". The "I've obviously adjusted my play" really doesn't hold weight given how few games he has played.

The question to risk nuke adds to the discussion topic at the time. The rest is useless.

On January 06 2012 12:26 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Grackaroni:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 06 2012 09:06 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 05:08 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On January 06 2012 04:06 Grackaroni wrote:
HarbingerofDoom is my scum pick.

He was one of the first people into the game and took a lot of time to comment on the setup.
(this is what the majority of his posts are about)
At the start of the game he asks for us to give strategies for demons/angels which to me seemed weird from a town perspective and not beneficial to town.

In Newbie mini Mafia he was very active and spent a lot of time scum hunting.
So far there has been no scumhunting done by him

On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum.

He seems fairly content with lynching a lurker. (Palmar/Errandorr are the only people he's pushed lynches for)

Together this paints a picture to me, he is one of the earlier players to sign up, he was here right when the game started, he had the time to post quite a few things about the setup which tells us nothing about his allignment. In another game when he is town he is more active and does a lot of scumhunting but in this game he wants a lurker lynch.(granted it did include some meta with it) He has the time to post but chooses not to.
I'll wait for more posts.

All but two of my posts as of when you said this occurred while I was one of 5 people with posts in the game. Clearly I shoulda been scum hunting hard with all that info in the thread. I also did not and do not want a lurker lynch today. I wanted Palmar and Erandorr to start contributing, and the thread was fairly inactive at the time, so I thought bringing up a more controversial idea like lynching a couple veteran players might help get things moving, or at least get them contributing a bit more. Also, please don't use my first game ever to establish a meta on me. I've obviously adjusted my play since then. Try checking out Steamship or Election (as TotallyNotTwoPeople, starting game day 2 for when I basically began playing solo) to get a better meta read on me.

That's basically one of the reasons I'm suspicious. You post a lot at the start and then when scumhunting begins you disappear, not that you didn't scumhunt at the start.
The only meta I got from you was that you seemed like somebody who posted a lot and spent a lot of time scumhunting in that game. I should have looked into more recent games but what's wrong with letting me think that of you?
Show nested quote +
On January 06 2012 05:50 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On January 06 2012 05:39 risk.nuke wrote:
On January 06 2012 05:08 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:

@risk.nuke
Isn't carefree play usually a townie trait? How does seeming carefree implicate bluelightz? The "everyone looks town!" is surely incriminating, but I am not finding the carefree being incriminating. Why would town get nervous when accused? They know they are innocent. Explaining themselves, yes, but I know I get annoyed, not nervous.

It depends. If you are having a single one or two people accusing you, you get annoyed. Like I am now now with syllo. Or example in steamship prplhz tried to get me lynched on a bad case. I got annoyed. Then there are situations where you have a majority of people looking suspiciously at you. You've likely messed up and done something to justify their suspicions but you need to defend yourself. If you mess up town mislynch you. There is a situation I would be nervous in.

Hmm, a fair point I suppose, but he had about as many people saying he was a bad lynch as he had saying he was a decent target, so I still don't know how much nervousness that would really induce. Also, an accusation from syllo is more likely to be a death-sentence than an accusation from someone like grackaroni or blazinghand, so I would think that would be more of the nervousness inducing suspicion... :-)

@Grackaroni
Could you please explain why you are using your previous game experience with bluelightz, where he was scum, to influence your opinion of how useful he may end up being as town in this game? Things like that along with your poorly constructed case on me certainly aren't looking very good to me so far, but I'll be checking out your previous games to see what kind of standard you should be held to when it comes to your use of logic/case building.

the first part of your quote strikes me the wrong way because I get the feeling that you just wanted to downplay my abilities, you don't care if I accuse you and think my opinion should be worth less than a veteran like syllogism.

You've done nothing to change my mind, the only person you call scummy is me and your reasoning is that you think my case against you is shitty + you add in my opinion of bluelightz which I don't think you would have even mentioned if I didn't accuse you. Next you make some posts about people lurking and leave. You haven't been scumhunting but you keep giving me reasons to believe that you have lots of time to do so : [previous game with lots of scumhunting and posting, early signup, post a lot on strategies at the start of the game (early to find out it started too) quick to see my post and has time to defend yourself] You're definitely holding back in your posting.

Yes, I give your opinion less weight than I give syllo's. If you want to change that, be correct as often as he is over the course of many games. I am often around, as I work from a computer all day, but my availability fluctuates. I found out about this game through a PM for early signups from Zona, so yes I found out about it pretty early, I don't see what that has to do with anything. If you check when I usually start posting during the day, you will find that it is often around the time you posted your accusations against me. I am not holding back in my posts, I just like to get at least something from everyone before I really start making judgements. If you actually cared, you could easily look up my more recent play and you'd find that I tend to ask a lot of questions during games and I don't usually do a ton of case-building day 1 and realize your meta-argument is useless. If you think inactivity is a scum tell for me, be sure to read day 1 of election mafia. I did roughly nothing, I was town. Basically what I am trying to say is, you are wasting time/effort tunneling me and I'd appreciate it if you put in the effort needed to realize that. Speaking of asking questions, you ignored my question regarding bluelightz.


Anyway, on to more useful topics. Re: Palmar
I agree that his lack of activity is suspicious and rather out of the ordinary for him, but I am wondering if it is worthwhile to risk lynching a potentially very strong scum-hunter on the grounds of not caring this early into the game. I know of at least one other game where he didn't take day 1 very seriously (XVIII I think it was?). If that is the only one, than obviously his play so far is more damning than if he does this every so often. If any of the vets could fill me in on whether or not he has messed around day 1 in other games as well it would be appreciated. I'd also like to hear syllo's opinion on the matter, since if I am not mistaken syllo is usually quite good at reading Palmar. (If I am mistaken, feel free to correct me)

@Refallen
You seem more aggressive/bold in your defense than the past two games of yours that I just took a quick look back at. Have any explanation in particular for that?

After some more comments about BL he decides to defend Palmar because town Palmar is valuable. He praises syllogism a lot.

On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24.

I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him.

On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch.

Tyrran
Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now.

His steamship filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176
His filter so far this game:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176

##Vote: Tyrran

Based on limited past experience and meta:
Eran lynch- fine
Risk lynch- unsure, wants to here more
Tyrran lynch- very limited arguments for him being scum, "placeholder vote"

He then calls Palmar apathetic, generally asks for thoughts on Tyrran.
Then he posts this:
On January 08 2012 06:41 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Unfortunately I will not be around for the lynch deadline. As stated previously, I am also fine with an Erandorr lynch, so I will be switching my vote to him now as I don't want a no-lynch to occur. Sorry, no birthday sympathy from me. He has shown no commitment to this game, and it is my understanding that this makes him very likely to be scum.

In spite of the fact that at this point in time the tide was turning on risk and the votes were 6/5 risk/Eran before he voted.
and that he says he voted because he didn't want a no-lynch to occur he votes for Eran tie-ing the vote.
The two players that had a chance of being lynched were Erandorr and risk.nuke. This had been evident from before his post in which he voted Tyrran, and wrote a sentence on both risk and Erandor.
He avoids giving an opinion on risk.nuke.

HoD barely talks about either risk or Erandorr, he was actively taking part in discussion early on but when the lynch drew near he didn't bother to give a proper opinion or try to influence other peoples opinions.


Major events Night 2/ Day 3:
High levels of inactivity.
notable acussations against Jackal, HoD, Tyrran
Grackaroni makes the first "spaackel is scum post" because spaackal thought Palmar was town.
Cwave killed by Demon Hunter, Mr Wiggles killed by AoD, Syllogism Jailed.
Lynch targets and cases against RoL, and HoD.
HoD gains 5 votes and people willing to hamer in.
Hold off of lynching him and agree to lynch RoL and jail HoD.
HoD claims sage during this time.
RoL given time to defend self.
RoL claims channeller, doesw very little else
RoL lynched flip is concealed.

HoD day2 posts:
+ Show Spoiler +

On January 08 2012 13:44 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Hmm, should have stayed on Tyrran I guess. Ah well, based on his effort so far in this game/in election mafia, nothing of value was lost (at least not beyond the worth of another warm body).

I'm still interested in Tyrran as a lynch target, and I would like to hear more people's opinions of him.


He starts out by saying he still think's Tyrran is a good lynch and wants other people to contribute their thoughts. He does not commit to saying why or making a strong case.
If you are town and you think a player should be lynched, is this how you would approach it?
Asking other people to offer opinions and then give yours?
What if you think they are really scummy and have reasons?
Wouldn't you provide them and give people a reason to focus on that player?
However if you are mafia then saying you find a player scummy but not saying why makes a lot of sense:
If people start to indicate that they also feel the player is scum you can hide amongst them and seem like a townie voting for a player they think is scum.
It allows you to claim that you started the case or that you had been pressuring the player should player question what you have been doing.
It allows you to back off and not bring it up again should you widh because you haven't committed any arguments as to why you think that.

On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Now, I can't speak for the people throwing suspicion on me, but I sure as hell don't know risk's alignment, and unless they somehow do, I don't see how it can be implicate me as being scum. Anyone trying to implicate me on this before risk flips is using shitty logic. If risk flips scum and then you want to come after me, then you have some logic on your side. I did not vote for risk nor comment on it much as I had (and still have) a null read on risk. Risk has been in every game I've played on here, and his play-style has varied too much from game to game for me to be comfortable with a day 1 read on him.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 20:31 syllogism wrote:
Harbingerofdoom's refusal to vote for Risk seems quite bad as well. He is still ignoring risk and not really explaining why.

Show nested quote +
On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch.


@RebirthOfLegend
Demons ignore the blues, angels target two, they have a 50% chance of killing the channeler night 1, second night they get him for sure. Best case scenario is we have one blue alive after night 2, worst case they are all dead night 2. In the meantime we roleblock one of our own blues. Alternately, they ignore blues with the angel of death, use that kill on our best scum hunters and use the acolyte on our blues. Also, this plan ignores the possibility of a blue deciding not to go along with it and claim. Basically, I think the plan is quite bad.

He defends himself and says that the reason people are calling his actions around the vote are that he was soft-defending risk. He then attacks that logic to defend himself.
Actually what is scummy is that he was disinterested in the vote because if he was/is mafia then he knew the players were not on his team but that one of them could have been on the opposite scum team. Should he get involved and one player gets lynched and flips scum and the other later flips scum, he would then receive a ton of attention. If he is town then he should not need to be so cautious and should have been making himself heard.
He then comments on RoL's plan by re-hashing outcomes i had previously outlined here and here

On January 09 2012 05:03 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 04:57 layabout wrote:
On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead?

Well..
i made a slight error here (RoL had said he would vote for erandor here but he never voted)
-HoD makes it 6-6 risk/eran with just over 3 hours to go to avoid a no lynch he votes for Eran which makes 6-6 whilst a risk vote would have made it 7-5
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13044935

Erandor had four votes when HoD voted: Grackaroni, Blazinghand, Tyrran and Cwave
Risk.nuke had 6 votes:syllogism, Refallen, Dirkzor, Zephirdd, layabout, Erandorr,
@HoD
your primary reasoning was to that to avoid a no-lynch you would vote for Erandorr because you were "fine with lynching him"
in light of all of the pressure of risk.nuke why didn't you comment on it?
if you wanted to avoid the no-lynch why did you vote Erandorr rather than voting for risk, who had the most votes?

...because I was leaning scum on Erandorr and was not on Risk. I didn't comment more on it because I was busy yesterday as I had to get shit ready for my girlfriend's birthday party/then was at it. For those wondering why I had a null read on risk, here is what Syllo said about him earlier this game:
Show nested quote +
Where is the active and opinionated and aggressive risk.nuke of Election mafia who posted a lot and certainly didn't just repeat what others had said, right or wrong?

Here is me asking about him in Steamship:
Show nested quote +
@risk.nuke
Last game I played with you you were extremely aggressive early on. This game you haven't attacked anyone yet, or even directly addressed someone. Any particular reason why you were active and aggressive last time, and are thus far being passive this game?
Notice any similarities? Fun fact, he was town in steamship.

He was leaning scum on Erandor and Null on risk.
Which is interesting because on that day he basically ignored risk and his "leaning scum" was due to inactivity.
He draws a parallel between day1 this game and day1 steamship, implies that him not being aggressive day1 in both games and him being town that game means that he must be town this game. Not only is that poor logic, but he has criticised the points made against risk by addressing an aspect of the meta side and ignore the rest. (fun (slightly subjective)fact:risk just ignored the meta side and made weak comments that did not directly address the other points)

On January 09 2012 06:12 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 05:55 layabout wrote:
Eventually he became aggressive, but he wasn't right off the bat. If my meta reason is bollocks, then what, did I magically post that in a prior game to cover my ass in this one? Don't be dense.

Your reasoning this game fir him being not scummy is that:
In a previous game you felt he wasn't being aggressive at a certain point during day1 and that this might have made him scummy.
He turned out to be town.
In this game at a point near the end of day 1 risk nuke hadn't been aggressive
and conclude that he isn't scummy, or completely dismiss the difference in play style.

There is a difference in his play style and it was apparent when you voted.
In this game he had had an awful lot longer to be aggressive but he wasn't (and still hasn't been).
This means that actually his meta was different
There were numerous other reasons that had been pointed out which you completely disregarded.

Also, if you were in this game, you would know that this is his vote being "thrown around" is the farthest thing from the truth.
By "throw around" i mean used for pressure. In that game he was exercising he voting power and using it to get reactions out of people, in this game he hopped on erandor at the brink to save himself.

Oh shit, he went 24 hours more than he did previously without being aggressive? Clearly scum! Also, when I voted I hadn't read the newer parts of the thread very carefully as I was busy most of yesterday so I went with my best scum read at the time. Deal with it.

And there definitely wasn't any aggressive tones in these posts, no, not at all!
Before my vote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2012 09:04 risk.nuke wrote:
Erandorr is very likely scum. Simply because a non-posting Erandorr is a red Erandorr.

Jackal58 is another person who would likely bleed red. The first thing he does is attack palmar and keeps at it using tunneling and fearmongering, while I am also slightly leaning red on palmar I don't think Jackal would hit him this hard if Jackal was town-aligned, he's just trying to get rid of palmar any means neccersary. He justifys it by saying he always attack palmar day 1 but I think this is just an excuse. He takes a break from his Palmar tunneling to rightfully rage alittle on people listing no-reads but it doesn't mean anything and he haven't contributed anything himself exept tunneling palmar.

After it:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 08:02 risk.nuke wrote:
The one fucking thing that should make you realise what a bad lynch I am is how fucking easily I'm getting bandwagon-sheeped to the block. Layabout is really the only one who's tried to write some reasoning, even though it's really really bad reasoning that was all it took because with that and ridiculous meta-claims I'm free to sheep, you don't need to state why I'm scummy, hell this is a bandwagon the more the merrier right. What information will you get when I flip town? Squat.
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 08:12 risk.nuke wrote:
I should had taken a bus 10 minutes ago, but I'm waiting here for you, in the bloody of-chance that you might see some reason and change the lynch because if I left now I know I will die and when I flip town people is going to whine and bitch about how I gave up and let myself get lynched so please speak.
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 08:48 risk.nuke wrote:
Blazinghand quit beeing a huge troll. You did some pressuring but that's all you've done, after that you just got convinced of your own selfimportance so please tune it down.

Now, can I stop talking about somebody I still have a damn null read on, or would you like me to keep wasting time on the matter?

Underlined:Clearly a lot of people didn't have null reads on risk nuke as he had reached 9 votes before AND was under a lot of pressure at this time AND was lynched quite a while before the lynch deadline.
Why would HoD try to distance himself from a risk lynch?
Because he knew that risk was not on his team.

Bolded:"when I voted I hadn't read the newer parts of the thread very carefully as I was busy most of yesterday so I went with my best scum read at the time. Deal with it."
he basically admits that he didn't put effort into deciding who to vote +

On January 07 2012 08:07 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2012 08:06 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24.

I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him.

On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch.

Tyrran
Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now.

His steamship filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176
His filter so far this game:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176

##Vote: Tyrran


So you are voting Tyrran based on Meta instead of Erandorr who you think is likely to be scum due to being a lurker?

Yes, because I think Tyrran is more likely to be scum than Erandorr at this time.


On January 09 2012 10:48 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 10:46 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 09 2012 10:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
I was sent to purgatory? What in the fuck? Also, no unrevealed flip? So either syllo = angel of death (seems unlikely to me, but possible) or angel of death targeted him or me (seems much more likely, and probably him if I had to bet).

Why would he flip?. He's not dead. You didn't flip.

What? Why would who flip? I was/am confused that the angel of death didn't kill anyone and think it is most likely that syllo was targeted by the angel of death.

Having popped in to defend himself he tries to force discussion about safer topics:
Speculation about about night actions!

On January 10 2012 03:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Why I think I was put in purgatory:
I think Palmar and/or his team mistakenly believed that I was the demon hunter due to these posts:
+ Show Spoiler +

Detailed understanding of the role:
On January 04 2012 17:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2012 17:46 Dirkzor wrote:
Game on!

This setup scares the living shit out of me. So many nuances to keep track of. Anyway...

I agree that Angels appear to be strongest in the beginning with 1/2 KP. But what haven't been mentioned is that Angels can kill the demon for us aswell. If we lynch Angel of Death and Angelic Acolyte we will have to lynch/Demon hunter the Demons. Since I don't know the Demon hunter or how good that person is, he could just aswell kill 3 town people the first 3 nights which of course would not be very favourable for us. It basicly means we would need to do more correct lynches while having a good demon hunter that don't fuck us over with continously town kills.
Demons also have the Twist ability which basicly makes one (1) of their members immune to night actions, rendering the demon hunter to be less useful.

What i wanted to point out that even if we get 3 correct Angel lynches (unlikely) the first 3 nights. The demons are equally capable to fuck us over. That is why I think that killing any angel or demon is good. Not one over the other. If we knew which angel or demon, it would be a different matter.

Demon Hunter:
Show nested quote +
Each night, you may target a player other than yourself to attack.

Twister:
Show nested quote +
Any attempts to illuminate, slay, stalk, or observe that player will fail.

Doesn't make any mention of attack (nor of sense). Demon hunter should be good to go on any twisted demons.

First to point out that the demon hunter is also effective vs angels:
On January 05 2012 03:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Some things to think about:
If the town seer claims after finding a single angel we have a 2/3 chance of reducing their kp, 2/3 chance of making it much safer to claim corruption, and a 100% chance of getting a lot of good information after the angel flips. There are no abilities in the game which make the reads come back incorrect. The angels also DO NOT have a roleblocking ability, so they then have to decide if they want to target the seer and risk missing a kp if the seer is sent to purgatory or leave him be. Obviously this becomes much riskier if we have already lost our channeler. I'd be interested to hear if other people think having the seer claim after their first angel find is a good idea as well.

The sage on the other hand probably shouldn't claim unless he has 2 demons identified. If he claims with only one identified, 0% chance of reducing kp or reducing the corruption ability, demons have a roleblock ability, angels can kill the sage to make demons a larger threat to town thereby reducing focus on them. Still gain information obviously, but overall seems like a much weaker play than the seer claiming after finding an angel.

The demon hunter is not only useful against demons. His attacks kill anything that isn't an angel....meaning if his target lives and wasn't sent to purgatory, he has successfully identified an angel. However, since he poses a significant threat to both angels and demons, I don't really see much of a reason for the demon hunter to ever claim, except perhaps to avoid a lynch if he fucks up and appears scummy. So please don't do that.

On Bluelightz:
I will go check out his filter in the newbie game to see what all the fuss is about.


Unfortunately for the demons, and fortunately for us, they were incorrect and Palmar got stabbed in the face. (Yes, it is possible that it was the acolyte, but why would the angels kill someone they could get lynched when lynching is the only way for us to kill the angels?)

I already highlighted why this is scummy/ incorrect http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13077558
please read the full exchange for context

On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 19:58 syllogism wrote:
I'm pretty sure palmar sent HoD to purgatory because he thought he was likely an angel. We of course can't draw any conclusions from that, but as noted before HoD's play has been somewhat suspicious so far. Anyway, either the angel of death attempted to hit me or the angel is HoD (or both!)

It's also fairly likely that Palmar was a demon hunter hit because demon Demonic Twister's power protects against slay/stalk but not against demon hunter. Palmar had an important role, so it's somewhat likely that they would use it on him. I'm not sure if the twister can use the ability on himself, but right considering Palmar was by far attracting the most attention, that might change things depending on who the twister is. The only reason why it matters who hit Palmar is because the other possibility is that the demon hunter hit an angel who did not die, in which case we could discuss whether him claiming would be worthwhile. Probably not and his likely target would be risk nuke anyway.

Risk.nuke still looks like the best lynch. The case against him still stands and quite a few people were against his lynch without adequately explaining why. They obviously can't all be his team mates, but it's hard to believe there would be that many townies unwilling to lynch him in that situation and be perfectly fine with lynching erandorr. His behaviour hasn't improved at all and that vt claim right before day post doesn't seem like something a townie would do.

Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel?

Let's look at the scenarios:
1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons.
2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons.
3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill.

I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel.

Not only is this stupid but it relies on assumptions about how the angels would act - He would kill Palmar because he could get him lynched? Based on the effort he has put into getting players lynched I sincerely doubt that this is the case.

On January 10 2012 04:32 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 04:22 layabout wrote:

The post serves to help clarify the situation and give town some potentially useful information, clarity and information are both valuable to town. Ideally it also lowers suspicion on myself, which seeing as I know I am town, is also good for town. Also, as I said, it is NOT WIFOM if the goal is to roleblock. Not doing it doesn't roleblock me, it isn't like if I was the demon hunter I'd go "better not send in a night action in case I get roleblocked!" Roleblocking stops someone from using their role if roleblock them, and doesn't if you don't do it.

WIFOM is they killed x, he was suspicious of y! Does that mean y is scum, or they want us to think y is scum? Yes, it is possible they wanted to increase suspicion on me as well, and that part is subject to WIFOM'ing. (They wanted to make me more suspicious, so that actually makes me less suspicious, but they would know that so it is more suspicious....etc etc etc)

You haven't said what the "potentially useful information is" yet you say that you have given it and that it was valuable to town.

You don't know what the goal is! You can'teven know for certain who palmar transported (unless you are a demon and he told you or you are the channeller).

I suggest that the whole thing is subject to WIFOM-ing. It is called "Why i think i was put in Purgatory", what exactly can you follow that up with that is wifom!!

Wifom is also: did Palmar tansported HoD? why? Does that mean HoD is scum with him? Did Palmar think he was the other scumteam? Did Palmar wish to increase suspicion?
since your post provides answers to those questions and attempts to explain them then yes it is WIFOM.
It isn't helpful.

*sigh* So if you think this is pure WIFOM, why are you even discussing it? I found a simple explanation for my being sent to purgatory, simple explanations are often correct. And no, I can't know for certain that it was Palmar that did it, but if it was the town channeler then our channeler is dumb as fuck, which I find unlikely. The valuable information is what likely happened in regards to the night actions last night. Knowing our own roles and alignments, Syllo and I have better insight into it than most. Obviously the channeler, demon hunter, and scum teams know a good deal as well, but I doubt they'll be claiming just to clarify this.

He asks why i am discussing WIFOM.
I am accusing him of using WIFOM.
Note that the two are different and that as he is being accused and is scum it makes sense for him to make it seem like a discussion instead. If you believe that we were discussing it then he makes the point that i shouldn't be doing so because i believe it to be WIFOM. If i shouldn't be discussing it why should you be reading it?
He calls it a discussion to make you think it was a discussion and then dismiss it.

He also uses occams razor, its a simple solution, the simplest solution is usually correct ==> you should believe the simple solution i have suggested. There are many other simple solutions to "what happened and why" that he could have been defending. He is applying the logic to mislead in a situation in which it is not valid.

On January 10 2012 04:32 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 04:09 Cwave wrote:
On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel?

Let's look at the scenarios:
1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons.
2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons.
3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill.

I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel.


Wowowowo, you oversee(on purpose?) one thing. This is a 3 faction game but when it comes to lyncing, its a 2 faction game looking from your own POV(town,angel,demon).

Lynching is our only way to kill angels and demons help just as much with their lynch vote as the town when it comes to killing an angel.
So your point 3 is wrong cause when you are the AoD you want demon and town dead as they can lynch vote you. And of all the demons, the demonic courier is the one that can actually hurt the angel team. So hell yeah you would hit Palmar if you knew he was the courier.
Point 1) can you out your angel of death and get him couriered for 3 straight nights.
Point 2) can get you the twister or courier killed, all in the benefit of both the town and angels.

Another weird point if that you choose to eloborate point 3) with way more effort and text. If this was "The mentalist" or "Lie to me" i would call dibs in the couch on who was the liar as people tend to put to much effort in the lie they want to tell.

Points up on my suspected angel-list HoB......

...but there is literally a 0% chance of angels knowing which demon role Palmar was before he flipped so that is irrelevant. And you hit blues over demons because the seer, demon hunter, and channeler are all incredibly potent town assets against angels, and demons being alive gives you valid targets to scum hunt and get lynched instead of your teammates. If town is weak, sure, they might start killing off some demons on purpose, but them doing so now would be stupid. I elaborated point 3 because it was the only one that might actually be worth a damn to the demons.

Now, unless anyone has specific questions for me or actually wants to lynch me instead of just saying "I think he might be an angel" and then doing nothing about it, I will no longer be mentioning my trip to purgatory/what I think the reasoning behind it is and will instead focus on more useful shit.

Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote:
Suspicious bastards:
risk.nuke
Refallen
Tyrran
Dirkzor
RoL
Jackal?

(there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention)

Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler.

@Tyrran
You still have yet to make any real contributions. Planning to start doing so any time soon?

@Those suspicious of Syllo
I think you are mistaken. The odds of him being a demon after his interactions with Palmar seems quite low to me, unless he was willing to bus Palmar today, he mentioned Palmar was essentially claiming scum during the night. I think it is very likely he was targeted by the angel of death, the only way I could see him not being town is if he is the angel of death.

He speculates even more about angels and demons and commits to "focusing on more useful shit"
He does this by asking me to explain my "suspicious bastards" list after i had been pressuring him.
Now if you have had eve a cursory glance at my filter you will probably observe that i am thorough.
I highlight things and i had during the previous day/night mentioned things i found scummy about all but one of these players.
Other players have sheep voted or made baseless accusations and HoD could have picked up on one of these.
So i then posted a sort explanation of why and he responded:

On January 10 2012 05:21 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 04:48 layabout wrote:
@ Hod
On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote:
Suspicious bastards:
risk.nuke If you do not know why he is here then you aren't reading the thread
Refallen Some found him scummy day1 but the lie about voting erandorr is one of the most anti-town acts thusfar
Tyrran Not posted a whole lot, persistently called scum but has done nothing to help town nor suggest townie.
Dirkzor I literally just wrote why (he is a fairly new addition)
RoL For suggesting a plan that could easily have caused lylo day 4 with no blues and his actions around lynch-time.
Jackal? His actions around lynch time and lack of justification and lack of willingness to discuss. (least scummy)
(there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention)

If you had been reading the thread the least obvious would have been Tyrran because i haven't really talked about him up until this point.
The others i feel i have already justified in a way that makes your questioning redundant.

Why insinuate that I haven't been reading the thread? I assure you I have read every post at least once, and most more than that. Also, I started writing that post (and my one immediately prior) before your explanation of Dirkzor, and had not refreshed since then. I have no way of knowing if you have posted 100% of your reasoning for a player being scum, I saw you had called RoL's plan bad, but so had lots of people, and I don't think merely suggesting it is enough to make him scum and wanted to know if there was anything else. Syllo already pointed out why your reasoning for Refallen is questionable, and I honestly didn't think you would deem him scummy solely on that. Presumably after Palmar's flip Jackal looks better - he strongly wanted people to vote Palmar, so I wanted to know what your reasoning was there. As you said, you hadn't mentioned much on Tyrran yet. Hey look, my question was valid on 5/6 (or 4/6 had I refreshed earlier), sure was redundant!

underlined:This is quite a strange statement
why would i have posted 100% of my reasoning for all 6 of those players being scum. Since i had barely (if at all) mentioned Tyrran and since before he refreshed i hadn't mentioned Dirkzor, it is obvious that i hadn't posted all of my reasoning, thus he should not have judged my calling them suspicious by the standard of have you posted 100% of your reasoning?
+(i do not want to make an issuse of this now) it should be obvious why i believed Refallen lied about his vote on the deadline and it should be obvious why i might find that suspicious.
+Palmars flip may have made Jackal look suspicious but given that Jackal always focuses on Palmar day1 to me it didn't even make it much less likely that Jackal was a demon. My suspicion of him was based on his arriving at the last minute and basically deciding the vote having not made his stance on the candidates clear earlier (most of that was in the timeline post)


On January 10 2012 05:45 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 05:39 layabout wrote:
@HoD
If you wanted me to provide 100% of my reasoning then you should have asked that.
Care to anything about it?

I had said enough previously for your vague question of "care to anything about it" to be redundant.
Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler.

You call it empty useless filler.
Your posting today has been empty useless filler.
Unless you have anything valid and worthy of my attention to say to me then I am going to ignore you for as long as I feel like/

I could have asked that, but townies usually like to be transparent in their actions, so I thought asking if you'd like to explain would suffice. Also, please don't use the quote tag and then include something which is not a quote. That is misleading. The actual quote is:
Show nested quote +
Care to explain anything about it?
Not :
Show nested quote +
Care to anything about it?

his original question was "Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler."
I wanted to make the point that given how vague this question was and given that i had raised suspicions about the players in the list i felt that it was redundant question. I then challenged him to make his first real contribution.
But alas my inept typing/formatting let me down.
And like every other person to lose an argument ever he corrects my grammar and ignores my point.

On January 10 2012 05:41 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Zephirdd
Care to elaborate on what it is about Tyrran's posting that makes you change your mind between here
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 13:54 Zephirdd wrote:
I dont think Tyrran is a good kill, in fact he is playinmg just like his meta.

And here:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 02:27 Zephirdd wrote:
-snipped-
No, there is not enough info for pushing a lynch, but I'd like people to keep an eye on him. Also Tyrran, his posts are weird for me.

Changing your mind is obviously fine, but I'd like to know why beyond "his posts are weird".

He is still poking people to get them to call Tyrran scummy without providing his own contribution.

He then makes a few more posts that speculate about night actions

On January 10 2012 15:39 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
While I still agree RoL is far from being the towniest of players, I'm having trouble seeing how he suggests that plan as scum. The only reason for scum to suggest a knowingly anti-town plan is if they also think they will be able to get town to follow through with it. Given the overwhelming negative response to the plan, I think it was quite clear to most people that a town would never follow through with that plan. Also, this is the guy that suggested we lynch 7 people in one day in steamship when there was an explicit warning about dangers in store for a town that lynches too many people in one day (for those not aware, we could vote for and lynch as many as we wanted to in one day in that game), so I am not sold on him being too bright to suggest this plan as town.

I'm not sure if anyone else picked up on it, but despite all of the legitimate concerns voiced against the plan during the night, Tyrran had this to say earlier today:
Show nested quote +
With no ???? flip, RoL plan could still be put into motion. What do you think about it?


I would obviously prefer to lynch Tyrran over Risk today, but I don't like how Risk has fallen off the face of the earth now that there has been less suspicion on him/pushing for his lynch. He hasn't gotten himself into any real shouting matches yet either, which is unlike him. Also the fact that Syllo is still suspicious of him is of interest of me, because Syllo is often right, and the later into the game it goes, the more likely it is that he is correct.

@Syllo
Is there anything in particular that makes you think Risk is a better lynch than Tyrran?

He post's this.
most of the points are already made by sylloigsm here (clicky)here and
The reasoning was also outlined here from an exchange between myself and syllogism.
I later try to explain this to BH much to my own frustration.

This argument is completely not original.
He also makes it in a peculiar way
Bolded: they fact that the town response was negative does not also mean that scum would have expected an entirely negative response.
Underlined: In steamship, if town had lynched those 7 players you would have killed zephird, Greymist and cyber cheese, since Greymists role is what killed town after the roleclaim then that plan arguably would have won the game, so i don't get what your point is.
Your say you would like a tyrran lynch and you also encourage people to listen to syllo who wants to lynch risk. Scum HoD would have known for certain that a risk lynch was not going to kill his team-mate.

On January 10 2012 17:14 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Grackaroni
At the start of this game it looked like you were going to be useful and do things and say stuff. Then the day one lynch happened and you apparently decided that you had done quite enough of that 'being involved in the game' nonsense. Since then the only real post you've made is still not particularly useful or insightful:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 10 2012 13:07 Grackaroni wrote:
I agree with you BH, RoL looks really scummy.
It's not the fact that he has been fairly inactive and "hustling" like erandorr but that he's been actively using his time to push a plan that is bad for town and defending his plan rather than scumhunting.
Since he is already coming kind of close to the lynch (would be 5/9) I'm going to refrain from voting until he comes in to defend himself.

Why the loss of interest? Are you planning on going back to being active/useful anytime soon? Do you have any other reads you might like to share?

You criticise Grack for behaviour that matches yous (saying stuff early and then not contributing) and ask him a bunch of questions

On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@RoL
See this post for the current time remaining in the day: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603#6

Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither.

My top target remains Tyrran. His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2012 03:38 Dirkzor wrote:
In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran.

So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ?
You seems to hold a grudge against him because he called you fishy early day 1. Why do you focus so much on him, and not on Blazinghand who actually voted against you ?

On the other hand, i would also like to see you post more Cwave. You seems to have an excel file where you write your read on us. Tell me, who do you think we should lynch today, why ?
Cwave, you are someone who seems towns, but in reality you did not help much at all until now. While you migth be a timid town, I also think it is likely you are scum player. Please answer this : Is there anyone you really think is scum ? Someone you would be fine pushing for lynch ? Who ? Why ? You seem to spend a lot of time analysing people. Please prove us that you are town by trying to get scummy people lynched.

While I think that alone is scummy for any player to do, here's some examples of how Tyrran himself presented cases in his prior game:
+ Show Spoiler +
On November 16 2011 20:07 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 18:23 prplhz wrote:
Yea I like Kenpachi as a lynch too

##Vote Kenpachi


So you were a fervent defender of only lynching 'scummy' lurkers. And now you suddenly decide to vote for kenpachi without giving any reason Could you please detail a bit more on why you like kenpachi as a vote, other than the fact that he did not post much ? His townie claim basically does not mean anything

Keeping an eyes on lurkers is good, but i would wait to the end on day 1(the last 24 hours) before voting for one of them. It seems to me that blanket voting this early on day one can only lead us divide our attention. Voting for someone whenever he says something strange without trying to pressure him more/confirm him as scum is a great way to lynch a lot of townies and seems to be a good strategy for the mafia side, but not that great for town ( obviously).

Bumatlarge espescially has been trying to push the town into lynching as many people as possible. Almost each one of his post include a quote on how we should lynch every single player. Spoiler below shows some example from this filter : http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=31777

+ Show Spoiler +


On November 16 2011 10:36 bumatlarge wrote:

Why would you FoS when you can just vote them. Don't be pansies. Realized I didn't properly vote. I doubt I will ever take my vote off of kenpachi, it's not that I don't like him, but he is not an asset to the town at the moment, or the forseeable future. Nisani has proceeded to call me dumb or scum, but that doesn't change the fact that his fluffy posts stick out, so it will stay there until he remedies it.

##Vote: Kenpachi
##Vote: Nisani201


And this


Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 05:13 Drazerk wrote:
##Vote: Sabin010


Bad vibes also this -

On November 16 2011 00:22 Sabin010 wrote:
I have seen to many games where we lose our cop or doc first day and end up wasting our time as the mob picks us off.


On November 16 2011 01:06 Sabin010 wrote:
This is my first game and im not sure of all the terms. I thought scum, mob, and mafia are the same.



Is why LAL is bad. What possible reason would cause mafia to post this instead of town. By all means keep up the detective work and checking out all the inconsistencies, but use a little sense. This definetely contradicts itself, and it could very well be an intentional lie, but even that doesn't make him scum. The bad strategy reason tht DCL brought up is actually something to go on.

You are pushing your luck by trying to find lies a day into the game. Use that energy to filter a suspicious person instead and get a general vibe, and see if their future posts push you one way or the other.

If there wasn't a majority lynch in play, I'd put my vote on everyone, and start taking off people who don't register as scum. That's about how many people I think should be lynched each day.


On November 16 2011 02:32 bumatlarge wrote:
Next person that mentions LAL is getting a vote placed on them. Seriously enough with the useless shit.

We will be lynching however many scummy people we can find on the particular day. We are restricting ourselves when we don't have a clue as to what our boundaries are.

Nisani has posted complete fluff and none of it shows any effort in actually heling town. I don't think the new people are brain-dead, so unless the specifically ask about something, don't use them as an excuse to post asinine shit.

Oh, hi kibbibit

##Vote Nisani201


On November 16 2011 12:37 bumatlarge wrote:
We got 48 hours from now, right? This time tomorrow we need to look at the votes and see where people stand. I'm honestly surprised how few votes there are, you get as many as you want, a decent townie can take advantage of this. There is no comparing how scummy certain players are to others, you just lynch them or you don't. I guess it's still early, and I'm still fishing for reads here.




Oh and surprise, the only post not advocating to lynch the entire town is to defend chaoser, the ONLY person that agreed with the 'vote for everyone' strategy, after he got pressured by WBG. And by defending him, he explains than chaoser should stop doing just what he was advocating the town to do i.e: vote for everyone that seems scummy.

Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 12:50 bumatlarge wrote:
Welcome to WBG logic. But that doesn't make what he says untrue, I think chaoser should focus his attention more and prove singleton cases rather then babble on about everything. Doubt he's scum though.


So you spend all your post explaining we should vote for anyone who seems scummy, and you defend chaoser that was doing exactly that by saying "he should focus his attention more". How is that not a huge contradiction ?

FoS bumatlarge.

On November 17 2011 06:55 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2011 06:47 risk.nuke wrote:
On November 17 2011 06:34 GreYMisT wrote:
On November 17 2011 06:32 risk.nuke wrote:
Okey, but isn't this exacly one of those situations where we connected two people and should not lynch both of them incase they are town.

##Vote Kenpachi


perhaps, but why choose to lynch kenpachi over the guy who anti-voted him?

If kenpachi is green, then lanaia probably isn't scum.
If kenpachi is red we got a scumkill even if that doesn't necessarily mean lanaia is his buddy.

If lanai is green that means nothing for kenpachis alignment.
If lanai is red then kenpachi is scum.

I think we learn more from knowing kenpachis alignment.



Actually, i think that's a good point. However, if kenpachi flips red, i still think we should auto lynch lanaia. We cant let someone that anti voted a scum go free.

Also, if lanaia is blue, she will most likely be a priority kill for the mafia ( who now knows she isnt green), and migth not live to see day 2 anyway.

Also kenpachi, you're only defense is : "LOL TOWN IS BAD". I seriously hope that you can do better than that.

##Vote Kenpachi

On November 18 2011 07:20 Tyrran wrote:
So within four hours, we must focus on getting another lynch. We already have 2 people a 8 votes, i suggest we focus on them. Both look scummy, both are in my likely scum list, yet Drazerk voted for Sinani206 so its unlikely that both are scum.

First of all, Sinani was a big partisan of dividing our attention . Quite amusingly he used the divide and conquer analogy, where as pointed by WBG, you are suppose to divide you enemy. Meaning we town are the enemy?

He Bandwagoned against Lanaia, which as i explained before, is something that is very pro-mafia. Just look at his post just before, when we already established that Lanaia should not be lynched. Both his votes are given without any explanation other than "its obvious". He is either scum or an extremely bad town. Even Drazerk looks good in comparison. I dont think town needs him.

##Vote Sinani206




On November 22 2011 07:19 Tyrran wrote:
Also, while I'm at it :


##Vote: Coagulation
##Vote: Sabin010
##Vote: xsksc


You lurkers unburrow just to lynch an innocent WITHOUT any justification at all, and completely disregarding the post where I understand that prp is a potential blue ( yes i called him vigi which he denied but still) and Palmar huge post in his defence. You are either scum or really crappy town, i dont want you in the game either way.



I also dislike the look of xsksc->spaackle so far. I think the only original contribution either has made was spaackle's argument of Palmar looking town...which is not the best contribution to have.
xsksc's filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=149333
Spaackle takes over:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=164534


I would appreciate it if others would take a look at bluelightz and tell me what they think. I am having trouble seeing how his posts make sense from a town perspective or a scum perspective, which is baffling to me. He seems to really like doing post by post...but then summarizing instead of analyzing. I don't think I've ever seen such a style before.


@Cwave
Please try to make your posts a bit more clear. I understand that english may not be your native language, but reading your filter hurts my head. Also, a good deal of your logic seems questionable, but I am not sure if that makes you scum yet.
Some examples:
+ Show Spoiler +
Palmar creates information spam, useless stuff and usefull stuff. I don't see how that observation by me makes me his buddy? I've played games with Palmar outside of the TL context and he is known for his textwalling and informationgathering skills, no matter what side he is on. Information and interaction is good for our town.
Unless Palmar plays very differently outside of TL, I don't see how this can be true.

Looking into Palmar his filter, he and Wiggles go off on some sort of duet where they distance eachother and vote for eachother.
Then they both switch and nothing is said of it and right before Palmar flips, he lists Wiggles as town. Where as before in his filter, nowhere does it come forward that he has really changed his mind or that Wiggles has him convinced that he is town. Seeing as Palmar flipped scum, im thinking MrWiggles might be one of his demonic dancing partners.

-snip-

In conclusion, these two were giving eachother nothing but hate right up until ~7:30 on the 8th of januari. Looks like a planned and organised move to move the votes of eachother after they created some distance of eachother on day1.
This logic is flimsy at best.

He said he would claim. He didnt say he would claim VT like the states in his last post i quoted here. Wonder if that's semantics or a slip that he said he would claim VT against his scumbuddies and then thought he claimed it in here aswell.
...seriously? If he said he would claim, and he is a vt, then "I will claim" and "I will claim vt" are equivalent. Also, how could someone say they are going to claim VT later without having claimed... "Guys, I'm going to claim floridian later, but not yet!" His statement here has no logical thought in it whatsoever.

You only have to fear the lynch if you are an angel.....
(this quote was said in the context of him/layabout pressuring me) What the fuck? Why wouldn't demons or towns fear being lynched?

In short, lynching Risk but hammering RoL is second best option. Syllo doesn't seem to agree on this, why i don't know.
Unlike RoL(aka the guy who doesn't post) risk.nuke is still producing reactions and information in the progress, so RoL is a good option in my book. Hence i vote for him at this point as lynchtarget.
No, i say Risk is my number one case.
If we can lynch him today, i will vote.
Calls Risk his strongest case, then votes for RoL instead...then seems to imply risk.nuke is producing useful information while RoL is not...then reiterates that Risk is his best case. What?

Also, why did you say this:
Show nested quote +
As you choose to ignore my post and after reading your responses, you are forcing me to vote for your lynch HoD.
And then never vote for me?

Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course.
##Vote: Tyrran

FINALLY you post WHY you think Tyrran is scum!
why? because
"His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now"
dirkzor wrote:
In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran.

The point has been made that this matches your behavior around the lynch. You yourself highlight that Dirkzor had already made the point you are making. It is not original.

You then cast doubt of spaackle because he thought Palmar was town.
You encourage people to look at Bluelightz and tell you what they think.
You ask Cwave to clarify something.
You say a risk lynch is better than a RoL (which is relevant only because tehy are the two people that might ACTUALLY get lynched)
You say that would would prefer we lynch neither yet you fail to say why they are bad lynches and you do not provide any convincing reasons for why we should lynch others.

You then vote Tyrran, having stated a reason that applies to you, having made next to no effort to convince others to do so.
The only other person to vote tyrran was Dirkzor, i wonder why... (it was his argument you were using)


+ here is a fun activity to try:
click on HarbingerOfDoom
click all
hit Ctrl F
type "Tyrran"
what do you notice?
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 21:38 GMT
#1850
EBWOP:
instead of Major events Night 2/ Day 3:
it should be

Night1/Day2 events:
Night Discussion was focused on RoL's plan
Palmar flips courier Syllogism/ HoD jailed
Discussion about night events and possible actions
Priamry lynch candidates: risk.nuke RoL
Arguements about the plan
+Accusations against:
2 votes on tyrran (HoD, Dirkzor)
1 vote on cwave (Tyrran)
1 vote on Drikzor (Jackal)
risknuke hammered with half of the day left

HoD day2 posts:

+ Show Spoiler +

On January 08 2012 13:44 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Hmm, should have stayed on Tyrran I guess. Ah well, based on his effort so far in this game/in election mafia, nothing of value was lost (at least not beyond the worth of another warm body).

I'm still interested in Tyrran as a lynch target, and I would like to hear more people's opinions of him.


He starts out by saying he still think's Tyrran is a good lynch and wants other people to contribute their thoughts. He does not commit to saying why or making a strong case.
If you are town and you think a player should be lynched, is this how you would approach it?
Asking other people to offer opinions and then give yours?
What if you think they are really scummy and have reasons?
Wouldn't you provide them and give people a reason to focus on that player?
However if you are mafia then saying you find a player scummy but not saying why makes a lot of sense:
If people start to indicate that they also feel the player is scum you can hide amongst them and seem like a townie voting for a player they think is scum.
It allows you to claim that you started the case or that you had been pressuring the player should player question what you have been doing.
It allows you to back off and not bring it up again should you widh because you haven't committed any arguments as to why you think that.

On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Now, I can't speak for the people throwing suspicion on me, but I sure as hell don't know risk's alignment, and unless they somehow do, I don't see how it can be implicate me as being scum. Anyone trying to implicate me on this before risk flips is using shitty logic. If risk flips scum and then you want to come after me, then you have some logic on your side. I did not vote for risk nor comment on it much as I had (and still have) a null read on risk. Risk has been in every game I've played on here, and his play-style has varied too much from game to game for me to be comfortable with a day 1 read on him.

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 20:31 syllogism wrote:
Harbingerofdoom's refusal to vote for Risk seems quite bad as well. He is still ignoring risk and not really explaining why.

Show nested quote +
On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch.


@RebirthOfLegend
Demons ignore the blues, angels target two, they have a 50% chance of killing the channeler night 1, second night they get him for sure. Best case scenario is we have one blue alive after night 2, worst case they are all dead night 2. In the meantime we roleblock one of our own blues. Alternately, they ignore blues with the angel of death, use that kill on our best scum hunters and use the acolyte on our blues. Also, this plan ignores the possibility of a blue deciding not to go along with it and claim. Basically, I think the plan is quite bad.

He defends himself and says that the reason people are calling his actions around the vote are that he was soft-defending risk. He then attacks that logic to defend himself.
Actually what is scummy is that he was disinterested in the vote because if he was/is mafia then he knew the players were not on his team but that one of them could have been on the opposite scum team. Should he get involved and one player gets lynched and flips scum and the other later flips scum, he would then receive a ton of attention. If he is town then he should not need to be so cautious and should have been making himself heard.
He then comments on RoL's plan by re-hashing outcomes i had previously outlined here and here

On January 09 2012 05:03 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 04:57 layabout wrote:
On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead?

Well..
i made a slight error here (RoL had said he would vote for erandor here but he never voted)
-HoD makes it 6-6 risk/eran with just over 3 hours to go to avoid a no lynch he votes for Eran which makes 6-6 whilst a risk vote would have made it 7-5
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13044935

Erandor had four votes when HoD voted: Grackaroni, Blazinghand, Tyrran and Cwave
Risk.nuke had 6 votes:syllogism, Refallen, Dirkzor, Zephirdd, layabout, Erandorr,
@HoD
your primary reasoning was to that to avoid a no-lynch you would vote for Erandorr because you were "fine with lynching him"
in light of all of the pressure of risk.nuke why didn't you comment on it?
if you wanted to avoid the no-lynch why did you vote Erandorr rather than voting for risk, who had the most votes?

...because I was leaning scum on Erandorr and was not on Risk. I didn't comment more on it because I was busy yesterday as I had to get shit ready for my girlfriend's birthday party/then was at it. For those wondering why I had a null read on risk, here is what Syllo said about him earlier this game:
Show nested quote +
Where is the active and opinionated and aggressive risk.nuke of Election mafia who posted a lot and certainly didn't just repeat what others had said, right or wrong?

Here is me asking about him in Steamship:
Show nested quote +
@risk.nuke
Last game I played with you you were extremely aggressive early on. This game you haven't attacked anyone yet, or even directly addressed someone. Any particular reason why you were active and aggressive last time, and are thus far being passive this game?
Notice any similarities? Fun fact, he was town in steamship.

He was leaning scum on Erandor and Null on risk.
Which is interesting because on that day he basically ignored risk and his "leaning scum" was due to inactivity.
He draws a parallel between day1 this game and day1 steamship, implies that him not being aggressive day1 in both games and him being town that game means that he must be town this game. Not only is that poor logic, but he has criticised the points made against risk by addressing an aspect of the meta side and ignore the rest. (fun (slightly subjective)fact:risk just ignored the meta side and made weak comments that did not directly address the other points)

On January 09 2012 06:12 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
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On January 09 2012 05:55 layabout wrote:
Eventually he became aggressive, but he wasn't right off the bat. If my meta reason is bollocks, then what, did I magically post that in a prior game to cover my ass in this one? Don't be dense.

Your reasoning this game fir him being not scummy is that:
In a previous game you felt he wasn't being aggressive at a certain point during day1 and that this might have made him scummy.
He turned out to be town.
In this game at a point near the end of day 1 risk nuke hadn't been aggressive
and conclude that he isn't scummy, or completely dismiss the difference in play style.

There is a difference in his play style and it was apparent when you voted.
In this game he had had an awful lot longer to be aggressive but he wasn't (and still hasn't been).
This means that actually his meta was different
There were numerous other reasons that had been pointed out which you completely disregarded.

Also, if you were in this game, you would know that this is his vote being "thrown around" is the farthest thing from the truth.
By "throw around" i mean used for pressure. In that game he was exercising he voting power and using it to get reactions out of people, in this game he hopped on erandor at the brink to save himself.

Oh shit, he went 24 hours more than he did previously without being aggressive? Clearly scum! Also, when I voted I hadn't read the newer parts of the thread very carefully as I was busy most of yesterday so I went with my best scum read at the time. Deal with it.

And there definitely wasn't any aggressive tones in these posts, no, not at all!
Before my vote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2012 09:04 risk.nuke wrote:
Erandorr is very likely scum. Simply because a non-posting Erandorr is a red Erandorr.

Jackal58 is another person who would likely bleed red. The first thing he does is attack palmar and keeps at it using tunneling and fearmongering, while I am also slightly leaning red on palmar I don't think Jackal would hit him this hard if Jackal was town-aligned, he's just trying to get rid of palmar any means neccersary. He justifys it by saying he always attack palmar day 1 but I think this is just an excuse. He takes a break from his Palmar tunneling to rightfully rage alittle on people listing no-reads but it doesn't mean anything and he haven't contributed anything himself exept tunneling palmar.

After it:
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 08:02 risk.nuke wrote:
The one fucking thing that should make you realise what a bad lynch I am is how fucking easily I'm getting bandwagon-sheeped to the block. Layabout is really the only one who's tried to write some reasoning, even though it's really really bad reasoning that was all it took because with that and ridiculous meta-claims I'm free to sheep, you don't need to state why I'm scummy, hell this is a bandwagon the more the merrier right. What information will you get when I flip town? Squat.
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 08:12 risk.nuke wrote:
I should had taken a bus 10 minutes ago, but I'm waiting here for you, in the bloody of-chance that you might see some reason and change the lynch because if I left now I know I will die and when I flip town people is going to whine and bitch about how I gave up and let myself get lynched so please speak.
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 08:48 risk.nuke wrote:
Blazinghand quit beeing a huge troll. You did some pressuring but that's all you've done, after that you just got convinced of your own selfimportance so please tune it down.

Now, can I stop talking about somebody I still have a damn null read on, or would you like me to keep wasting time on the matter?

Underlined:Clearly a lot of people didn't have null reads on risk nuke as he had reached 9 votes before AND was under a lot of pressure at this time AND was lynched quite a while before the lynch deadline.
Why would HoD try to distance himself from a risk lynch?
Because he knew that risk was not on his team.

Bolded:"when I voted I hadn't read the newer parts of the thread very carefully as I was busy most of yesterday so I went with my best scum read at the time. Deal with it."
he basically admits that he didn't put effort into deciding who to vote +

On January 07 2012 08:07 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 07 2012 08:06 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24.

I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him.

On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch.

Tyrran
Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now.

His steamship filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176
His filter so far this game:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176

##Vote: Tyrran


So you are voting Tyrran based on Meta instead of Erandorr who you think is likely to be scum due to being a lurker?

Yes, because I think Tyrran is more likely to be scum than Erandorr at this time.


On January 09 2012 10:48 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 10:46 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 09 2012 10:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
I was sent to purgatory? What in the fuck? Also, no unrevealed flip? So either syllo = angel of death (seems unlikely to me, but possible) or angel of death targeted him or me (seems much more likely, and probably him if I had to bet).

Why would he flip?. He's not dead. You didn't flip.

What? Why would who flip? I was/am confused that the angel of death didn't kill anyone and think it is most likely that syllo was targeted by the angel of death.

Having popped in to defend himself he tries to force discussion about safer topics:
Speculation about about night actions!

On January 10 2012 03:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Why I think I was put in purgatory:
I think Palmar and/or his team mistakenly believed that I was the demon hunter due to these posts:
+ Show Spoiler +

Detailed understanding of the role:
On January 04 2012 17:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2012 17:46 Dirkzor wrote:
Game on!

This setup scares the living shit out of me. So many nuances to keep track of. Anyway...

I agree that Angels appear to be strongest in the beginning with 1/2 KP. But what haven't been mentioned is that Angels can kill the demon for us aswell. If we lynch Angel of Death and Angelic Acolyte we will have to lynch/Demon hunter the Demons. Since I don't know the Demon hunter or how good that person is, he could just aswell kill 3 town people the first 3 nights which of course would not be very favourable for us. It basicly means we would need to do more correct lynches while having a good demon hunter that don't fuck us over with continously town kills.
Demons also have the Twist ability which basicly makes one (1) of their members immune to night actions, rendering the demon hunter to be less useful.

What i wanted to point out that even if we get 3 correct Angel lynches (unlikely) the first 3 nights. The demons are equally capable to fuck us over. That is why I think that killing any angel or demon is good. Not one over the other. If we knew which angel or demon, it would be a different matter.

Demon Hunter:
Show nested quote +
Each night, you may target a player other than yourself to attack.

Twister:
Show nested quote +
Any attempts to illuminate, slay, stalk, or observe that player will fail.

Doesn't make any mention of attack (nor of sense). Demon hunter should be good to go on any twisted demons.

First to point out that the demon hunter is also effective vs angels:
On January 05 2012 03:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Some things to think about:
If the town seer claims after finding a single angel we have a 2/3 chance of reducing their kp, 2/3 chance of making it much safer to claim corruption, and a 100% chance of getting a lot of good information after the angel flips. There are no abilities in the game which make the reads come back incorrect. The angels also DO NOT have a roleblocking ability, so they then have to decide if they want to target the seer and risk missing a kp if the seer is sent to purgatory or leave him be. Obviously this becomes much riskier if we have already lost our channeler. I'd be interested to hear if other people think having the seer claim after their first angel find is a good idea as well.

The sage on the other hand probably shouldn't claim unless he has 2 demons identified. If he claims with only one identified, 0% chance of reducing kp or reducing the corruption ability, demons have a roleblock ability, angels can kill the sage to make demons a larger threat to town thereby reducing focus on them. Still gain information obviously, but overall seems like a much weaker play than the seer claiming after finding an angel.

The demon hunter is not only useful against demons. His attacks kill anything that isn't an angel....meaning if his target lives and wasn't sent to purgatory, he has successfully identified an angel. However, since he poses a significant threat to both angels and demons, I don't really see much of a reason for the demon hunter to ever claim, except perhaps to avoid a lynch if he fucks up and appears scummy. So please don't do that.

On Bluelightz:
I will go check out his filter in the newbie game to see what all the fuss is about.


Unfortunately for the demons, and fortunately for us, they were incorrect and Palmar got stabbed in the face. (Yes, it is possible that it was the acolyte, but why would the angels kill someone they could get lynched when lynching is the only way for us to kill the angels?)

I already highlighted why this is scummy/ incorrect http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13077558
please read the full exchange for context

On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 19:58 syllogism wrote:
I'm pretty sure palmar sent HoD to purgatory because he thought he was likely an angel. We of course can't draw any conclusions from that, but as noted before HoD's play has been somewhat suspicious so far. Anyway, either the angel of death attempted to hit me or the angel is HoD (or both!)

It's also fairly likely that Palmar was a demon hunter hit because demon Demonic Twister's power protects against slay/stalk but not against demon hunter. Palmar had an important role, so it's somewhat likely that they would use it on him. I'm not sure if the twister can use the ability on himself, but right considering Palmar was by far attracting the most attention, that might change things depending on who the twister is. The only reason why it matters who hit Palmar is because the other possibility is that the demon hunter hit an angel who did not die, in which case we could discuss whether him claiming would be worthwhile. Probably not and his likely target would be risk nuke anyway.

Risk.nuke still looks like the best lynch. The case against him still stands and quite a few people were against his lynch without adequately explaining why. They obviously can't all be his team mates, but it's hard to believe there would be that many townies unwilling to lynch him in that situation and be perfectly fine with lynching erandorr. His behaviour hasn't improved at all and that vt claim right before day post doesn't seem like something a townie would do.

Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel?

Let's look at the scenarios:
1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons.
2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons.
3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill.

I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel.

Not only is this stupid but it relies on assumptions about how the angels would act - He would kill Palmar because he could get him lynched? Based on the effort he has put into getting players lynched I sincerely doubt that this is the case.

On January 10 2012 04:32 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 04:22 layabout wrote:

The post serves to help clarify the situation and give town some potentially useful information, clarity and information are both valuable to town. Ideally it also lowers suspicion on myself, which seeing as I know I am town, is also good for town. Also, as I said, it is NOT WIFOM if the goal is to roleblock. Not doing it doesn't roleblock me, it isn't like if I was the demon hunter I'd go "better not send in a night action in case I get roleblocked!" Roleblocking stops someone from using their role if roleblock them, and doesn't if you don't do it.

WIFOM is they killed x, he was suspicious of y! Does that mean y is scum, or they want us to think y is scum? Yes, it is possible they wanted to increase suspicion on me as well, and that part is subject to WIFOM'ing. (They wanted to make me more suspicious, so that actually makes me less suspicious, but they would know that so it is more suspicious....etc etc etc)

You haven't said what the "potentially useful information is" yet you say that you have given it and that it was valuable to town.

You don't know what the goal is! You can'teven know for certain who palmar transported (unless you are a demon and he told you or you are the channeller).

I suggest that the whole thing is subject to WIFOM-ing. It is called "Why i think i was put in Purgatory", what exactly can you follow that up with that is wifom!!

Wifom is also: did Palmar tansported HoD? why? Does that mean HoD is scum with him? Did Palmar think he was the other scumteam? Did Palmar wish to increase suspicion?
since your post provides answers to those questions and attempts to explain them then yes it is WIFOM.
It isn't helpful.

*sigh* So if you think this is pure WIFOM, why are you even discussing it? I found a simple explanation for my being sent to purgatory, simple explanations are often correct. And no, I can't know for certain that it was Palmar that did it, but if it was the town channeler then our channeler is dumb as fuck, which I find unlikely. The valuable information is what likely happened in regards to the night actions last night. Knowing our own roles and alignments, Syllo and I have better insight into it than most. Obviously the channeler, demon hunter, and scum teams know a good deal as well, but I doubt they'll be claiming just to clarify this.

He asks why i am discussing WIFOM.
I am accusing him of using WIFOM.
Note that the two are different and that as he is being accused and is scum it makes sense for him to make it seem like a discussion instead. If you believe that we were discussing it then he makes the point that i shouldn't be doing so because i believe it to be WIFOM. If i shouldn't be discussing it why should you be reading it?
He calls it a discussion to make you think it was a discussion and then dismiss it.

He also uses occams razor, its a simple solution, the simplest solution is usually correct ==> you should believe the simple solution i have suggested. There are many other simple solutions to "what happened and why" that he could have been defending. He is applying the logic to mislead in a situation in which it is not valid.

On January 10 2012 04:32 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 04:09 Cwave wrote:
On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel?

Let's look at the scenarios:
1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons.
2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons.
3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill.

I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel.


Wowowowo, you oversee(on purpose?) one thing. This is a 3 faction game but when it comes to lyncing, its a 2 faction game looking from your own POV(town,angel,demon).

Lynching is our only way to kill angels and demons help just as much with their lynch vote as the town when it comes to killing an angel.
So your point 3 is wrong cause when you are the AoD you want demon and town dead as they can lynch vote you. And of all the demons, the demonic courier is the one that can actually hurt the angel team. So hell yeah you would hit Palmar if you knew he was the courier.
Point 1) can you out your angel of death and get him couriered for 3 straight nights.
Point 2) can get you the twister or courier killed, all in the benefit of both the town and angels.

Another weird point if that you choose to eloborate point 3) with way more effort and text. If this was "The mentalist" or "Lie to me" i would call dibs in the couch on who was the liar as people tend to put to much effort in the lie they want to tell.

Points up on my suspected angel-list HoB......

...but there is literally a 0% chance of angels knowing which demon role Palmar was before he flipped so that is irrelevant. And you hit blues over demons because the seer, demon hunter, and channeler are all incredibly potent town assets against angels, and demons being alive gives you valid targets to scum hunt and get lynched instead of your teammates. If town is weak, sure, they might start killing off some demons on purpose, but them doing so now would be stupid. I elaborated point 3 because it was the only one that might actually be worth a damn to the demons.

Now, unless anyone has specific questions for me or actually wants to lynch me instead of just saying "I think he might be an angel" and then doing nothing about it, I will no longer be mentioning my trip to purgatory/what I think the reasoning behind it is and will instead focus on more useful shit.

Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote:
Suspicious bastards:
risk.nuke
Refallen
Tyrran
Dirkzor
RoL
Jackal?

(there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention)

Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler.

@Tyrran
You still have yet to make any real contributions. Planning to start doing so any time soon?

@Those suspicious of Syllo
I think you are mistaken. The odds of him being a demon after his interactions with Palmar seems quite low to me, unless he was willing to bus Palmar today, he mentioned Palmar was essentially claiming scum during the night. I think it is very likely he was targeted by the angel of death, the only way I could see him not being town is if he is the angel of death.

He speculates even more about angels and demons and commits to "focusing on more useful shit"
He does this by asking me to explain my "suspicious bastards" list after i had been pressuring him.
Now if you have had eve a cursory glance at my filter you will probably observe that i am thorough.
I highlight things and i had during the previous day/night mentioned things i found scummy about all but one of these players.
Other players have sheep voted or made baseless accusations and HoD could have picked up on one of these.
So i then posted a sort explanation of why and he responded:

On January 10 2012 05:21 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 04:48 layabout wrote:
@ Hod
On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote:
Suspicious bastards:
risk.nuke If you do not know why he is here then you aren't reading the thread
Refallen Some found him scummy day1 but the lie about voting erandorr is one of the most anti-town acts thusfar
Tyrran Not posted a whole lot, persistently called scum but has done nothing to help town nor suggest townie.
Dirkzor I literally just wrote why (he is a fairly new addition)
RoL For suggesting a plan that could easily have caused lylo day 4 with no blues and his actions around lynch-time.
Jackal? His actions around lynch time and lack of justification and lack of willingness to discuss. (least scummy)
(there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention)

If you had been reading the thread the least obvious would have been Tyrran because i haven't really talked about him up until this point.
The others i feel i have already justified in a way that makes your questioning redundant.

Why insinuate that I haven't been reading the thread? I assure you I have read every post at least once, and most more than that. Also, I started writing that post (and my one immediately prior) before your explanation of Dirkzor, and had not refreshed since then. I have no way of knowing if you have posted 100% of your reasoning for a player being scum, I saw you had called RoL's plan bad, but so had lots of people, and I don't think merely suggesting it is enough to make him scum and wanted to know if there was anything else. Syllo already pointed out why your reasoning for Refallen is questionable, and I honestly didn't think you would deem him scummy solely on that. Presumably after Palmar's flip Jackal looks better - he strongly wanted people to vote Palmar, so I wanted to know what your reasoning was there. As you said, you hadn't mentioned much on Tyrran yet. Hey look, my question was valid on 5/6 (or 4/6 had I refreshed earlier), sure was redundant!

underlined:This is quite a strange statement
why would i have posted 100% of my reasoning for all 6 of those players being scum. Since i had barely (if at all) mentioned Tyrran and since before he refreshed i hadn't mentioned Dirkzor, it is obvious that i hadn't posted all of my reasoning, thus he should not have judged my calling them suspicious by the standard of have you posted 100% of your reasoning?
+(i do not want to make an issuse of this now) it should be obvious why i believed Refallen lied about his vote on the deadline and it should be obvious why i might find that suspicious.
+Palmars flip may have made Jackal look suspicious but given that Jackal always focuses on Palmar day1 to me it didn't even make it much less likely that Jackal was a demon. My suspicion of him was based on his arriving at the last minute and basically deciding the vote having not made his stance on the candidates clear earlier (most of that was in the timeline post)


On January 10 2012 05:45 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 05:39 layabout wrote:
@HoD
If you wanted me to provide 100% of my reasoning then you should have asked that.
Care to anything about it?

I had said enough previously for your vague question of "care to anything about it" to be redundant.
Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler.

You call it empty useless filler.
Your posting today has been empty useless filler.
Unless you have anything valid and worthy of my attention to say to me then I am going to ignore you for as long as I feel like/

I could have asked that, but townies usually like to be transparent in their actions, so I thought asking if you'd like to explain would suffice. Also, please don't use the quote tag and then include something which is not a quote. That is misleading. The actual quote is:
Show nested quote +
Care to explain anything about it?
Not :
Show nested quote +
Care to anything about it?

his original question was "Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler."
I wanted to make the point that given how vague this question was and given that i had raised suspicions about the players in the list i felt that it was redundant question. I then challenged him to make his first real contribution.
But alas my inept typing/formatting let me down.
And like every other person to lose an argument ever he corrects my grammar and ignores my point.

On January 10 2012 05:41 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Zephirdd
Care to elaborate on what it is about Tyrran's posting that makes you change your mind between here
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 13:54 Zephirdd wrote:
I dont think Tyrran is a good kill, in fact he is playinmg just like his meta.

And here:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 02:27 Zephirdd wrote:
-snipped-
No, there is not enough info for pushing a lynch, but I'd like people to keep an eye on him. Also Tyrran, his posts are weird for me.

Changing your mind is obviously fine, but I'd like to know why beyond "his posts are weird".

He is still poking people to get them to call Tyrran scummy without providing his own contribution.

He then makes a few more posts that speculate about night actions

On January 10 2012 15:39 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
While I still agree RoL is far from being the towniest of players, I'm having trouble seeing how he suggests that plan as scum. The only reason for scum to suggest a knowingly anti-town plan is if they also think they will be able to get town to follow through with it. Given the overwhelming negative response to the plan, I think it was quite clear to most people that a town would never follow through with that plan. Also, this is the guy that suggested we lynch 7 people in one day in steamship when there was an explicit warning about dangers in store for a town that lynches too many people in one day (for those not aware, we could vote for and lynch as many as we wanted to in one day in that game), so I am not sold on him being too bright to suggest this plan as town.

I'm not sure if anyone else picked up on it, but despite all of the legitimate concerns voiced against the plan during the night, Tyrran had this to say earlier today:
Show nested quote +
With no ???? flip, RoL plan could still be put into motion. What do you think about it?


I would obviously prefer to lynch Tyrran over Risk today, but I don't like how Risk has fallen off the face of the earth now that there has been less suspicion on him/pushing for his lynch. He hasn't gotten himself into any real shouting matches yet either, which is unlike him. Also the fact that Syllo is still suspicious of him is of interest of me, because Syllo is often right, and the later into the game it goes, the more likely it is that he is correct.

@Syllo
Is there anything in particular that makes you think Risk is a better lynch than Tyrran?

He post's this.
most of the points are already made by sylloigsm here (clicky)here and
The reasoning was also outlined here from an exchange between myself and syllogism.
I later try to explain this to BH much to my own frustration.

This argument is completely not original.
He also makes it in a peculiar way
Bolded: they fact that the town response was negative does not also mean that scum would have expected an entirely negative response.
Underlined: In steamship, if town had lynched those 7 players you would have killed zephird, Greymist and cyber cheese, since Greymists role is what killed town after the roleclaim then that plan arguably would have won the game, so i don't get what your point is.
Your say you would like a tyrran lynch and you also encourage people to listen to syllo who wants to lynch risk. Scum HoD would have known for certain that a risk lynch was not going to kill his team-mate.

On January 10 2012 17:14 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Grackaroni
At the start of this game it looked like you were going to be useful and do things and say stuff. Then the day one lynch happened and you apparently decided that you had done quite enough of that 'being involved in the game' nonsense. Since then the only real post you've made is still not particularly useful or insightful:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 10 2012 13:07 Grackaroni wrote:
I agree with you BH, RoL looks really scummy.
It's not the fact that he has been fairly inactive and "hustling" like erandorr but that he's been actively using his time to push a plan that is bad for town and defending his plan rather than scumhunting.
Since he is already coming kind of close to the lynch (would be 5/9) I'm going to refrain from voting until he comes in to defend himself.

Why the loss of interest? Are you planning on going back to being active/useful anytime soon? Do you have any other reads you might like to share?

You criticise Grack for behaviour that matches yous (saying stuff early and then not contributing) and ask him a bunch of questions

On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@RoL
See this post for the current time remaining in the day: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603#6

Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither.

My top target remains Tyrran. His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2012 03:38 Dirkzor wrote:
In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran.

So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ?
You seems to hold a grudge against him because he called you fishy early day 1. Why do you focus so much on him, and not on Blazinghand who actually voted against you ?

On the other hand, i would also like to see you post more Cwave. You seems to have an excel file where you write your read on us. Tell me, who do you think we should lynch today, why ?
Cwave, you are someone who seems towns, but in reality you did not help much at all until now. While you migth be a timid town, I also think it is likely you are scum player. Please answer this : Is there anyone you really think is scum ? Someone you would be fine pushing for lynch ? Who ? Why ? You seem to spend a lot of time analysing people. Please prove us that you are town by trying to get scummy people lynched.

While I think that alone is scummy for any player to do, here's some examples of how Tyrran himself presented cases in his prior game:
+ Show Spoiler +
On November 16 2011 20:07 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 18:23 prplhz wrote:
Yea I like Kenpachi as a lynch too

##Vote Kenpachi


So you were a fervent defender of only lynching 'scummy' lurkers. And now you suddenly decide to vote for kenpachi without giving any reason Could you please detail a bit more on why you like kenpachi as a vote, other than the fact that he did not post much ? His townie claim basically does not mean anything

Keeping an eyes on lurkers is good, but i would wait to the end on day 1(the last 24 hours) before voting for one of them. It seems to me that blanket voting this early on day one can only lead us divide our attention. Voting for someone whenever he says something strange without trying to pressure him more/confirm him as scum is a great way to lynch a lot of townies and seems to be a good strategy for the mafia side, but not that great for town ( obviously).

Bumatlarge espescially has been trying to push the town into lynching as many people as possible. Almost each one of his post include a quote on how we should lynch every single player. Spoiler below shows some example from this filter : http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=31777

+ Show Spoiler +


On November 16 2011 10:36 bumatlarge wrote:

Why would you FoS when you can just vote them. Don't be pansies. Realized I didn't properly vote. I doubt I will ever take my vote off of kenpachi, it's not that I don't like him, but he is not an asset to the town at the moment, or the forseeable future. Nisani has proceeded to call me dumb or scum, but that doesn't change the fact that his fluffy posts stick out, so it will stay there until he remedies it.

##Vote: Kenpachi
##Vote: Nisani201


And this


Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 05:13 Drazerk wrote:
##Vote: Sabin010


Bad vibes also this -

On November 16 2011 00:22 Sabin010 wrote:
I have seen to many games where we lose our cop or doc first day and end up wasting our time as the mob picks us off.


On November 16 2011 01:06 Sabin010 wrote:
This is my first game and im not sure of all the terms. I thought scum, mob, and mafia are the same.



Is why LAL is bad. What possible reason would cause mafia to post this instead of town. By all means keep up the detective work and checking out all the inconsistencies, but use a little sense. This definetely contradicts itself, and it could very well be an intentional lie, but even that doesn't make him scum. The bad strategy reason tht DCL brought up is actually something to go on.

You are pushing your luck by trying to find lies a day into the game. Use that energy to filter a suspicious person instead and get a general vibe, and see if their future posts push you one way or the other.

If there wasn't a majority lynch in play, I'd put my vote on everyone, and start taking off people who don't register as scum. That's about how many people I think should be lynched each day.


On November 16 2011 02:32 bumatlarge wrote:
Next person that mentions LAL is getting a vote placed on them. Seriously enough with the useless shit.

We will be lynching however many scummy people we can find on the particular day. We are restricting ourselves when we don't have a clue as to what our boundaries are.

Nisani has posted complete fluff and none of it shows any effort in actually heling town. I don't think the new people are brain-dead, so unless the specifically ask about something, don't use them as an excuse to post asinine shit.

Oh, hi kibbibit

##Vote Nisani201


On November 16 2011 12:37 bumatlarge wrote:
We got 48 hours from now, right? This time tomorrow we need to look at the votes and see where people stand. I'm honestly surprised how few votes there are, you get as many as you want, a decent townie can take advantage of this. There is no comparing how scummy certain players are to others, you just lynch them or you don't. I guess it's still early, and I'm still fishing for reads here.




Oh and surprise, the only post not advocating to lynch the entire town is to defend chaoser, the ONLY person that agreed with the 'vote for everyone' strategy, after he got pressured by WBG. And by defending him, he explains than chaoser should stop doing just what he was advocating the town to do i.e: vote for everyone that seems scummy.

Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 12:50 bumatlarge wrote:
Welcome to WBG logic. But that doesn't make what he says untrue, I think chaoser should focus his attention more and prove singleton cases rather then babble on about everything. Doubt he's scum though.


So you spend all your post explaining we should vote for anyone who seems scummy, and you defend chaoser that was doing exactly that by saying "he should focus his attention more". How is that not a huge contradiction ?

FoS bumatlarge.

On November 17 2011 06:55 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2011 06:47 risk.nuke wrote:
On November 17 2011 06:34 GreYMisT wrote:
On November 17 2011 06:32 risk.nuke wrote:
Okey, but isn't this exacly one of those situations where we connected two people and should not lynch both of them incase they are town.

##Vote Kenpachi


perhaps, but why choose to lynch kenpachi over the guy who anti-voted him?

If kenpachi is green, then lanaia probably isn't scum.
If kenpachi is red we got a scumkill even if that doesn't necessarily mean lanaia is his buddy.

If lanai is green that means nothing for kenpachis alignment.
If lanai is red then kenpachi is scum.

I think we learn more from knowing kenpachis alignment.



Actually, i think that's a good point. However, if kenpachi flips red, i still think we should auto lynch lanaia. We cant let someone that anti voted a scum go free.

Also, if lanaia is blue, she will most likely be a priority kill for the mafia ( who now knows she isnt green), and migth not live to see day 2 anyway.

Also kenpachi, you're only defense is : "LOL TOWN IS BAD". I seriously hope that you can do better than that.

##Vote Kenpachi

On November 18 2011 07:20 Tyrran wrote:
So within four hours, we must focus on getting another lynch. We already have 2 people a 8 votes, i suggest we focus on them. Both look scummy, both are in my likely scum list, yet Drazerk voted for Sinani206 so its unlikely that both are scum.

First of all, Sinani was a big partisan of dividing our attention . Quite amusingly he used the divide and conquer analogy, where as pointed by WBG, you are suppose to divide you enemy. Meaning we town are the enemy?

He Bandwagoned against Lanaia, which as i explained before, is something that is very pro-mafia. Just look at his post just before, when we already established that Lanaia should not be lynched. Both his votes are given without any explanation other than "its obvious". He is either scum or an extremely bad town. Even Drazerk looks good in comparison. I dont think town needs him.

##Vote Sinani206




On November 22 2011 07:19 Tyrran wrote:
Also, while I'm at it :


##Vote: Coagulation
##Vote: Sabin010
##Vote: xsksc


You lurkers unburrow just to lynch an innocent WITHOUT any justification at all, and completely disregarding the post where I understand that prp is a potential blue ( yes i called him vigi which he denied but still) and Palmar huge post in his defence. You are either scum or really crappy town, i dont want you in the game either way.



I also dislike the look of xsksc->spaackle so far. I think the only original contribution either has made was spaackle's argument of Palmar looking town...which is not the best contribution to have.
xsksc's filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=149333
Spaackle takes over:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=164534


I would appreciate it if others would take a look at bluelightz and tell me what they think. I am having trouble seeing how his posts make sense from a town perspective or a scum perspective, which is baffling to me. He seems to really like doing post by post...but then summarizing instead of analyzing. I don't think I've ever seen such a style before.


@Cwave
Please try to make your posts a bit more clear. I understand that english may not be your native language, but reading your filter hurts my head. Also, a good deal of your logic seems questionable, but I am not sure if that makes you scum yet.
Some examples:
+ Show Spoiler +
Palmar creates information spam, useless stuff and usefull stuff. I don't see how that observation by me makes me his buddy? I've played games with Palmar outside of the TL context and he is known for his textwalling and informationgathering skills, no matter what side he is on. Information and interaction is good for our town.
Unless Palmar plays very differently outside of TL, I don't see how this can be true.

Looking into Palmar his filter, he and Wiggles go off on some sort of duet where they distance eachother and vote for eachother.
Then they both switch and nothing is said of it and right before Palmar flips, he lists Wiggles as town. Where as before in his filter, nowhere does it come forward that he has really changed his mind or that Wiggles has him convinced that he is town. Seeing as Palmar flipped scum, im thinking MrWiggles might be one of his demonic dancing partners.

-snip-

In conclusion, these two were giving eachother nothing but hate right up until ~7:30 on the 8th of januari. Looks like a planned and organised move to move the votes of eachother after they created some distance of eachother on day1.
This logic is flimsy at best.

He said he would claim. He didnt say he would claim VT like the states in his last post i quoted here. Wonder if that's semantics or a slip that he said he would claim VT against his scumbuddies and then thought he claimed it in here aswell.
...seriously? If he said he would claim, and he is a vt, then "I will claim" and "I will claim vt" are equivalent. Also, how could someone say they are going to claim VT later without having claimed... "Guys, I'm going to claim floridian later, but not yet!" His statement here has no logical thought in it whatsoever.

You only have to fear the lynch if you are an angel.....
(this quote was said in the context of him/layabout pressuring me) What the fuck? Why wouldn't demons or towns fear being lynched?

In short, lynching Risk but hammering RoL is second best option. Syllo doesn't seem to agree on this, why i don't know.
Unlike RoL(aka the guy who doesn't post) risk.nuke is still producing reactions and information in the progress, so RoL is a good option in my book. Hence i vote for him at this point as lynchtarget.
No, i say Risk is my number one case.
If we can lynch him today, i will vote.
Calls Risk his strongest case, then votes for RoL instead...then seems to imply risk.nuke is producing useful information while RoL is not...then reiterates that Risk is his best case. What?

Also, why did you say this:
Show nested quote +
As you choose to ignore my post and after reading your responses, you are forcing me to vote for your lynch HoD.
And then never vote for me?

Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course.
##Vote: Tyrran

FINALLY you post WHY you think Tyrran is scum!
why? because
"His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now"
dirkzor wrote:
In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran.

The point has been made that this matches your behavior around the lynch. You yourself highlight that Dirkzor had already made the point you are making. It is not original.

You then cast doubt of spaackle because he thought Palmar was town.
You encourage people to look at Bluelightz and tell you what they think.
You ask Cwave to clarify something.
You say a risk lynch is better than a RoL (which is relevant only because tehy are the two people that might ACTUALLY get lynched)
You say that would would prefer we lynch neither yet you fail to say why they are bad lynches and you do not provide any convincing reasons for why we should lynch others.

You then vote Tyrran, having stated a reason that applies to you, having made next to no effort to convince others to do so.
The only other person to vote tyrran was Dirkzor, i wonder why... (it was his argument you were using)



Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 21:46 GMT
#1852
Thanks for helping to keep discussion alive Dirkzor!
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 21:54 GMT
#1855
What does HoD say makes Tyrran scummy and when does he say them?
Times for reference:
pg41 day1 ends January 8 2012 9:45 KST
pg49 night1 ends January 09 2012 10:25 KST
pg67Day2 ends January 11 2012 23:47 KST
pg 76 night2 ends January 13 2012 10:11 KST
pg 90 day3 ends January 15 2012 07:06 KST
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 21:55 GMT
#1856
@ dirkzor
no to the first
yes to the second
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 22:05 GMT
#1858
maybe there have been some cases put up recently that you might want to give an opinion on.

maybe they are on this page.

cough Hod is Scum cough
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 23:12 GMT
#1865
This is a long-un
I don't have word so i used a bit of notepad. Spelling and grammar could be disastrous.

Major events Night 2/ Day 3
High levels of inactivity.
night:
notable acussations against Jackal, HoD, Tyrran
Grackaroni makes the first "spaackel is scum post" because spaackal thought Palmar was town.
day:
Cwave killed by Demon Hunter, Mr Wiggles killed by AoD, Syllogism Jailed.
Lynch targets and cases against RoL, and HoD.
HoD gains 5 votes and people willing to hamer in.
Hold off of lynching him and agree to lynch RoL and jail HoD.
HoD claims sage during this time.
RoL given time to defend self.
RoL claims channeller, doesw very little else
RoL lynched flip is concealed.

HoD's posts on Day 3:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 12 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Alright Syllo, what the fuck is this:
Show nested quote +
On January 12 2012 00:03 syllogism wrote:
Alright, first of all I will never admit that was a poor lynch. Risk did no scum hunting at all following his single case post, which itself was suspicious, on day 1 and his defense made no sense at all. Further, a bunch of people acted suspiciously when asked for the opinion on him and Tyrran/Cwave refused to touch the lynch on two days.

The fact I was wrong likely means that I was not hit on day 1, which significantly increases the likelihood of HoD being the angel of death. I will have to consider something.
Show nested quote +
On January 12 2012 00:37 syllogism wrote:
Harbingerofdoom posted this day 1

Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Now, I can't speak for the people throwing suspicion on me, but I sure as hell don't know risk's alignment, and unless they somehow do, I don't see how it can be implicate me as being scum. Anyone trying to implicate me on this before risk flips is using shitty logic. If risk flips scum and then you want to come after me, then you have some logic on your side. I did not vote for risk nor comment on it much as I had (and still have) a null read on risk. Risk has been in every game I've played on here, and his play-style has varied too much from game to game for me to be comfortable with a day 1 read on him.

This sounds as if you knew he was going to flip town. I suppose the problem with that is that he could still have flipped the other scum team.

Grackaroni you have basically stopped playing. Another player who clearly does not care about the game at all.

First of all, if you had stopped your tunnel vision you would have seen he wasn't such a great lynch, especially in comparison to some of the other players in this game. Being wrong on one of your day 1 lynch targets is also no reason for scum to not try killing you, and you should know that. As for my post, I didn't know what he was going to flip, but I thought it was a lot more likely that he would flip town than most people seemed to be expecting, and it would have given people some reason to go after me. It was not confidence that he would flip town, but merely confidence that if he didn't, I could defend myself. I defended him, and if he flipped scum, I was aware I would look bad. But, I thought the case against him wasn't very good, so I defended him and pushed someone I thought was much more likely to flip scum.

I asked you why you wanted to lynch Risk over Tyrran and the only explanation you gave me was:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 15:44 syllogism wrote:
HoD: I'll have to think about it more, but purely based on informational purposes risk is much better given the activity surrounding him on day 1
I asked that because I honestly didn't see how a good player could look at the cases against both Risk and Tyrran and come out thinking Risk was the better lynch.

Having ensured that your vote would not be killing anyone you then start to criticism syllogism for pushing risk.nuke after syllogism says one of your posts sounds like you knew risk was going to flip town (or other scum team).
(+syllo was one of the people calling tyrran suspicious earlier and saying why)

Despite the absence of a case by you against Tyrran you conclude "I honestly didn't see how any player could look at the cases against risk.nuke and Tyrran and think Risk was the better lynch". Given that we all knew risk was vanilla this is quite a safe thing to say as you now know that risk was a mislynch.

Quite clearly you aren't talking about this game because only you then Bluelightz voted for HoD, yet 9 voted for risk.nuke and another was prepared to hammer but switch to Erandorr at the end. If you cared about the lynch at all and you were right then you could have made it so that nobody else could see why risk was a better lynch. You didn't.

As soon as Syllogism starts to point the "might be scum" finger at you you try to discredit HoD now presents his day1 actions in a new way: Apparantly he knew what the best lynch was, he pushed for it and everyone else was blind to it.

Bolded: Only scum should should let those fears determine their actions


On January 12 2012 04:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 12 2012 04:22 syllogism wrote:
Pretty much everything you said about Tyrran (passivity, lack of confidence in his reads, overall disinterest in the lynches) applied to risk as well. Can you point out what made risk look like a townie (?) to you?

gasdjafeaiuhfaisdf

...you think a guy who nearly got lynched wasn't interested in the lynch? Are you being serious right now?

Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 08:15 risk.nuke wrote:
layabout is probably a townie, Question Palmar and Dirkzor, Erandorr and Jackal are red. Banish syllo/wiggles tonight, see you.
Show nested quote +
On January 08 2012 09:41 risk.nuke wrote:
whew, I'm so god damn relived right now
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2012 04:50 risk.nuke wrote:
On January 09 2012 04:32 syllogism wrote:
On January 09 2012 04:18 Dirkzor wrote:
On January 09 2012 04:06 syllogism wrote:
On January 09 2012 04:01 Palmar wrote:
yeah, this needs to be done now, or not. I'd rather go with not.

This is palmar scum claiming. He has been trolling for a while now but this is as close at is gets


If I had written that would you take that as scum claiming?

No, but you aren't a player who I talk extensively about the game, in and out of the game. It's extremely unlikely that he would say that as town and I'm pretty sure that when he wrote that he knew very well how it would look like to me; he has by this point realized that there is little he can do to avoid being lynched so might as well have some fun.

Imo a town Palmar would respond to that with a pretty huge post declaring why the plan is dumb alternativly if he approved of the plan he would write additional thoughts or/and reason further why it is a good plan.
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2012 00:49 risk.nuke wrote:
On January 11 2012 00:19 syllogism wrote:
On January 10 2012 23:34 risk.nuke wrote:
On January 10 2012 23:33 syllogism wrote:
Zephirdd: you don't assume stupid things just because they are possible. Read my filter and tell me if it looks like scum play; it does not. I even suggested that the channeler should use its power to protect likely n1 targets, which would be ridiculously bad if I was the angel of death. Thus you should either conclude that they tried to hit me or HoD is the angel. The former likely implies that there was a reason for angels to want me dead, which implicates risk/tyrran.

This means nothing, quite obviously if you were scum you would act like you played pro town.

This is perhaps the single most scummiest thing I've seen on TL Mafia. Lynch this scum please

lol, bullshit. There were a very very fucking very good chance that if you hadn't said that somebody else would had and you know that. The abillity has 2 functions, roleblock and save. Save is about 1000xtimes better. Period. I laugh at your "I said it first and it's an anti angel move so I can't be an angel" logic. fucking proposterous that you're trying to milk that so far. You're trying to claim that just because you're playing pro-town you can't possibly be scum. Ha. And right now you're tunneling me on a shitty case that only makes sense if you were an angel so thats what I think of you beeing pro-town.

Yup, no confidence in any of those, certainly no aggressive tones or anything either. Also, as I stated before, Risk's play varies quite widely from game to game, despite him having been town in every game I have played with him. That is certainly not the norm for most players.

But, the real deciding factor for me was nothing to do with that, it was simply that Risk's play seemed to be explainable from the perspective of a townie on the verge of being lynched and frustrated at having to defend himself. Knowing my own alignment, it was also odd to me that I was his main defender, I figured if he was scum surely a scum buddy would support my defense of him. Obviously that point doesn't get to apply to other people though, as they don't know my alignment. Was I sold on him being town? No, but he also didn't make my top 5 most likely to be scum. Tyrran on the other hand was doing that shit with me being the only real source of pressure on him.

top part just isn't valid.
+ you had no reason to mash your keyboard as if the other person is wrong and can't see it because you are wrong.

You then produce an bunch more reasons as to why risk was town.
risk.nuke had flipped town by this point and you had avoided providing thoughts day1 and called him null and ignore him on day2. You were not entitled to make these criticism and since you know his alignment now you are not in a position to legitimately criticise those they thought he was scum when his alignment was unknown.
+risk.nuke really didn't do anything day2 to show us that he was town

"he didn't make my top 5 most likely scum"
If what you have so far written can be trusted that is BULLSHIT

On January 12 2012 04:54 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 12 2012 04:44 syllogism wrote:
Besides you didn't "defend" risk or push Tyrran. You made a few posts stating on your opinion on the lynches (it sounded like you were ok with risk lynch). Who are the "other players" in the game you would have lynched over risk, besides Tyrran?

Overall I don't have a problem with your posting. The issue I have is that if you aren't AoD, why did they risk shooting me last night if I was likely going to be leading another mislynch?

Err, then what was this post?
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@RoL
See this post for the current time remaining in the day: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603#6

Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither.

My top target remains Tyrran. His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now:
On January 11 2012 03:38 Dirkzor wrote:
In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran.

So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ?
You seems to hold a grudge against him because he called you fishy early day 1. Why do you focus so much on him, and not on Blazinghand who actually voted against you ?

On the other hand, i would also like to see you post more Cwave. You seems to have an excel file where you write your read on us. Tell me, who do you think we should lynch today, why ?
Cwave, you are someone who seems towns, but in reality you did not help much at all until now. While you migth be a timid town, I also think it is likely you are scum player. Please answer this : Is there anyone you really think is scum ? Someone you would be fine pushing for lynch ? Who ? Why ? You seem to spend a lot of time analysing people. Please prove us that you are town by trying to get scummy people lynched.

While I think that alone is scummy for any player to do, here's some examples of how Tyrran himself presented cases in his prior game:
+ Show Spoiler +
On November 16 2011 20:07 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 18:23 prplhz wrote:
Yea I like Kenpachi as a lynch too

##Vote Kenpachi


So you were a fervent defender of only lynching 'scummy' lurkers. And now you suddenly decide to vote for kenpachi without giving any reason Could you please detail a bit more on why you like kenpachi as a vote, other than the fact that he did not post much ? His townie claim basically does not mean anything

Keeping an eyes on lurkers is good, but i would wait to the end on day 1(the last 24 hours) before voting for one of them. It seems to me that blanket voting this early on day one can only lead us divide our attention. Voting for someone whenever he says something strange without trying to pressure him more/confirm him as scum is a great way to lynch a lot of townies and seems to be a good strategy for the mafia side, but not that great for town ( obviously).

Bumatlarge espescially has been trying to push the town into lynching as many people as possible. Almost each one of his post include a quote on how we should lynch every single player. Spoiler below shows some example from this filter : http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=31777

+ Show Spoiler +


On November 16 2011 10:36 bumatlarge wrote:

Why would you FoS when you can just vote them. Don't be pansies. Realized I didn't properly vote. I doubt I will ever take my vote off of kenpachi, it's not that I don't like him, but he is not an asset to the town at the moment, or the forseeable future. Nisani has proceeded to call me dumb or scum, but that doesn't change the fact that his fluffy posts stick out, so it will stay there until he remedies it.

##Vote: Kenpachi
##Vote: Nisani201


And this


Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 05:13 Drazerk wrote:
##Vote: Sabin010


Bad vibes also this -

On November 16 2011 00:22 Sabin010 wrote:
I have seen to many games where we lose our cop or doc first day and end up wasting our time as the mob picks us off.


On November 16 2011 01:06 Sabin010 wrote:
This is my first game and im not sure of all the terms. I thought scum, mob, and mafia are the same.



Is why LAL is bad. What possible reason would cause mafia to post this instead of town. By all means keep up the detective work and checking out all the inconsistencies, but use a little sense. This definetely contradicts itself, and it could very well be an intentional lie, but even that doesn't make him scum. The bad strategy reason tht DCL brought up is actually something to go on.

You are pushing your luck by trying to find lies a day into the game. Use that energy to filter a suspicious person instead and get a general vibe, and see if their future posts push you one way or the other.

If there wasn't a majority lynch in play, I'd put my vote on everyone, and start taking off people who don't register as scum. That's about how many people I think should be lynched each day.


On November 16 2011 02:32 bumatlarge wrote:
Next person that mentions LAL is getting a vote placed on them. Seriously enough with the useless shit.

We will be lynching however many scummy people we can find on the particular day. We are restricting ourselves when we don't have a clue as to what our boundaries are.

Nisani has posted complete fluff and none of it shows any effort in actually heling town. I don't think the new people are brain-dead, so unless the specifically ask about something, don't use them as an excuse to post asinine shit.

Oh, hi kibbibit

##Vote Nisani201


On November 16 2011 12:37 bumatlarge wrote:
We got 48 hours from now, right? This time tomorrow we need to look at the votes and see where people stand. I'm honestly surprised how few votes there are, you get as many as you want, a decent townie can take advantage of this. There is no comparing how scummy certain players are to others, you just lynch them or you don't. I guess it's still early, and I'm still fishing for reads here.




Oh and surprise, the only post not advocating to lynch the entire town is to defend chaoser, the ONLY person that agreed with the 'vote for everyone' strategy, after he got pressured by WBG. And by defending him, he explains than chaoser should stop doing just what he was advocating the town to do i.e: vote for everyone that seems scummy.

Show nested quote +
On November 16 2011 12:50 bumatlarge wrote:
Welcome to WBG logic. But that doesn't make what he says untrue, I think chaoser should focus his attention more and prove singleton cases rather then babble on about everything. Doubt he's scum though.


So you spend all your post explaining we should vote for anyone who seems scummy, and you defend chaoser that was doing exactly that by saying "he should focus his attention more". How is that not a huge contradiction ?

FoS bumatlarge.

On November 17 2011 06:55 Tyrran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2011 06:47 risk.nuke wrote:
On November 17 2011 06:34 GreYMisT wrote:
On November 17 2011 06:32 risk.nuke wrote:
Okey, but isn't this exacly one of those situations where we connected two people and should not lynch both of them incase they are town.

##Vote Kenpachi


perhaps, but why choose to lynch kenpachi over the guy who anti-voted him?

If kenpachi is green, then lanaia probably isn't scum.
If kenpachi is red we got a scumkill even if that doesn't necessarily mean lanaia is his buddy.

If lanai is green that means nothing for kenpachis alignment.
If lanai is red then kenpachi is scum.

I think we learn more from knowing kenpachis alignment.



Actually, i think that's a good point. However, if kenpachi flips red, i still think we should auto lynch lanaia. We cant let someone that anti voted a scum go free.

Also, if lanaia is blue, she will most likely be a priority kill for the mafia ( who now knows she isnt green), and migth not live to see day 2 anyway.

Also kenpachi, you're only defense is : "LOL TOWN IS BAD". I seriously hope that you can do better than that.

##Vote Kenpachi

On November 18 2011 07:20 Tyrran wrote:
So within four hours, we must focus on getting another lynch. We already have 2 people a 8 votes, i suggest we focus on them. Both look scummy, both are in my likely scum list, yet Drazerk voted for Sinani206 so its unlikely that both are scum.

First of all, Sinani was a big partisan of dividing our attention . Quite amusingly he used the divide and conquer analogy, where as pointed by WBG, you are suppose to divide you enemy. Meaning we town are the enemy?

He Bandwagoned against Lanaia, which as i explained before, is something that is very pro-mafia. Just look at his post just before, when we already established that Lanaia should not be lynched. Both his votes are given without any explanation other than "its obvious". He is either scum or an extremely bad town. Even Drazerk looks good in comparison. I dont think town needs him.

##Vote Sinani206




On November 22 2011 07:19 Tyrran wrote:
Also, while I'm at it :


##Vote: Coagulation
##Vote: Sabin010
##Vote: xsksc


You lurkers unburrow just to lynch an innocent WITHOUT any justification at all, and completely disregarding the post where I understand that prp is a potential blue ( yes i called him vigi which he denied but still) and Palmar huge post in his defence. You are either scum or really crappy town, i dont want you in the game either way.



I also dislike the look of xsksc->spaackle so far. I think the only original contribution either has made was spaackle's argument of Palmar looking town...which is not the best contribution to have.
xsksc's filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=149333
Spaackle takes over:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=164534


I would appreciate it if others would take a look at bluelightz and tell me what they think. I am having trouble seeing how his posts make sense from a town perspective or a scum perspective, which is baffling to me. He seems to really like doing post by post...but then summarizing instead of analyzing. I don't think I've ever seen such a style before.


@Cwave
Please try to make your posts a bit more clear. I understand that english may not be your native language, but reading your filter hurts my head. Also, a good deal of your logic seems questionable, but I am not sure if that makes you scum yet.
Some examples:
+ Show Spoiler +
Palmar creates information spam, useless stuff and usefull stuff. I don't see how that observation by me makes me his buddy? I've played games with Palmar outside of the TL context and he is known for his textwalling and informationgathering skills, no matter what side he is on. Information and interaction is good for our town.
Unless Palmar plays very differently outside of TL, I don't see how this can be true.

Looking into Palmar his filter, he and Wiggles go off on some sort of duet where they distance eachother and vote for eachother.
Then they both switch and nothing is said of it and right before Palmar flips, he lists Wiggles as town. Where as before in his filter, nowhere does it come forward that he has really changed his mind or that Wiggles has him convinced that he is town. Seeing as Palmar flipped scum, im thinking MrWiggles might be one of his demonic dancing partners.

-snip-

In conclusion, these two were giving eachother nothing but hate right up until ~7:30 on the 8th of januari. Looks like a planned and organised move to move the votes of eachother after they created some distance of eachother on day1.
This logic is flimsy at best.

He said he would claim. He didnt say he would claim VT like the states in his last post i quoted here. Wonder if that's semantics or a slip that he said he would claim VT against his scumbuddies and then thought he claimed it in here aswell.
...seriously? If he said he would claim, and he is a vt, then "I will claim" and "I will claim vt" are equivalent. Also, how could someone say they are going to claim VT later without having claimed... "Guys, I'm going to claim floridian later, but not yet!" His statement here has no logical thought in it whatsoever.

You only have to fear the lynch if you are an angel.....
(this quote was said in the context of him/layabout pressuring me) What the fuck? Why wouldn't demons or towns fear being lynched?

In short, lynching Risk but hammering RoL is second best option. Syllo doesn't seem to agree on this, why i don't know.
Unlike RoL(aka the guy who doesn't post) risk.nuke is still producing reactions and information in the progress, so RoL is a good option in my book. Hence i vote for him at this point as lynchtarget.
No, i say Risk is my number one case.
If we can lynch him today, i will vote.
Calls Risk his strongest case, then votes for RoL instead...then seems to imply risk.nuke is producing useful information while RoL is not...then reiterates that Risk is his best case. What?

Also, why did you say this:
As you choose to ignore my post and after reading your responses, you are forcing me to vote for your lynch HoD.
And then never vote for me?

Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course.
##Vote: Tyrran
I was ok with it over a no-lynch, but I clearly stated I wanted neither Risk nor RoL lynched. And you know as well as I do that pushing someone else to be lynched is a way to defend someone. Cwave and Spaackle were two others I would have preferred over Risk. Bluelightz I wanted to hear some more on (and still do), but was favoring him over Risk as well, although only slightly.

Cwave Spaackle and Bluelightz are all players that you had not taken stances on but rather asked other to do so and vaguely hinted that they might be scum.
"You wanted neither risk nor RoL lynched" if you are town and you felt that way then fuck you.

On January 12 2012 12:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Grackaroni, Spaackle, Cwave
I would like to hear a couple scum reads from each of you, along with brief explanations.

@Jackal
Zbot can count votes from a thread, not sure why Zona chose to use PM's for voting for this game (maybe because of the corrupted town deal?), but so be it. That thing is still fucking cool.

Another quote in which he tries to make others contribute without actually doing so himself.

On January 13 2012 03:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 12 2012 23:20 Tyrran wrote:
Okay, I've been asked to make a case, So i'm going to explain here why HarbingerofDoom, despite his name, is an angel. Yes he has been active, and has been tunneling me. Some people migth think that this may him looks town. However, in a three faction game, and especially in this setup, the main goal of ANY faction, is to get rid of the other faction. Therefore, it is quite important for bot angels and demon to scumhunt and get the other faction lynched.

I'm going to add something else about the setup that everyone should have realized: Demons wins by corrupting town and lynching angels, Angels win by killing everyone. This means that each time a VT is lynched, it is a failure for demons as well, not only for town. They lose a potential corrupt target, and more importantly they failed to prevent angels from getting closer of winning. Angels on the other hand do not care. Sure they would have prefered to get a demon or blue, but they still have chances to get them with slay and stalk.

So my conclusion here is while it is important to properly scumhunt as Demon, Angels can just tunnel someone and be fine with it. If they get their target lynched : best case they killed a blue/demon, worst case a townie, but they are still one step closer to victory.

Im not going to focus on Jackal, but the same holds for him :

HoD and Jackal have done nothing but tunnelling this game. HoD on me, Jackal on Palmar then Dirzkor.

Not only that, but they had NO INTEREST at all about the player that was getting lyched.

Here are some example :

Day 1 : main Target are risk/palmar/Erandorr

On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24.

I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him.

On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch.

Tyrran
Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now.

His steamship filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176
His filter so far this game:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176

##Vote: Tyrran


Yup, lynch are fine. TUNNEL TYRRAN.

Day 2 : Its obvious lycnh are going to be risk or RoL
On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither.

[...]
Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course.
##Vote: Tyrran


Every day i'm tunnelling...


Secondly, his post are full of contradiction, which are for me one of the biggest scumtell.

On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24.

I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him.

On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch.

Tyrran
Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now.

His steamship filter:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176
His filter so far this game:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176

##Vote: Tyrran


On January 09 2012 05:03 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
...because I was leaning scum on Erandorr and was not on Risk. I didn't comment more on it because I was busy yesterday as I had to get shit ready for my girlfriend's birthday party/then was at it. For those wondering why I had a null read on risk, here is what Syllo said about him earlier this game:
Where is the active and opinionated and aggressive risk.nuke of Election mafia who posted a lot and certainly didn't just repeat what others had said, right or wrong?

Here is me asking about him in Steamship:
@risk.nuke
Last game I played with you you were extremely aggressive early on. This game you haven't attacked anyone yet, or even directly addressed someone. Any particular reason why you were active and aggressive last time, and are thus far being passive this game?
Notice any similarities? Fun fact, he was town in steamship.


So he tunnels me based on a 1-game Meta, but still admits that meta lynch are unreliable. Wut ?

On January 08 2012 06:41 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Unfortunately I will not be around for the lynch deadline. As stated previously, I am also fine with an Erandorr lynch, so I will be switching my vote to him now as I don't want a no-lynch to occur. Sorry, no birthday sympathy from me. He has shown no commitment to this game, and it is my understanding that this makes him very likely to be scum.


Of course he doesnt want a no-lynch to occurs, that's pretty mach the only bad outcome for angels at the end of day 1. Secondly, notice the "it is my understanding". He was the one to call for a Erandorr lynch based on meta. Yet this makes him look like he wasnt.

Thirdly : His reaction after Nigth one is strange, and deceptive.

I think you all remember on how his being the AoD is a possibility. Well his reaction after

On January 09 2012 10:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
I was sent to purgatory? What in the fuck? Also, no unrevealed flip? So either syllo = angel of death (seems unlikely to me, but possible) or angel of death targeted him or me (seems much more likely, and probably him if I had to bet).


Why does being sent to purgatory bother him? I mean, any regular townie would have been happy to be sent to purgatory as it makes you immune to any nigth actions. So this post alone makes me think that HoD is at least a blue, more likely and angel.

On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
On January 09 2012 19:58 syllogism wrote:
I'm pretty sure palmar sent HoD to purgatory because he thought he was likely an angel. We of course can't draw any conclusions from that, but as noted before HoD's play has been somewhat suspicious so far. Anyway, either the angel of death attempted to hit me or the angel is HoD (or both!)

It's also fairly likely that Palmar was a demon hunter hit because demon Demonic Twister's power protects against slay/stalk but not against demon hunter. Palmar had an important role, so it's somewhat likely that they would use it on him. I'm not sure if the twister can use the ability on himself, but right considering Palmar was by far attracting the most attention, that might change things depending on who the twister is. The only reason why it matters who hit Palmar is because the other possibility is that the demon hunter hit an angel who did not die, in which case we could discuss whether him claiming would be worthwhile. Probably not and his likely target would be risk nuke anyway.

Risk.nuke still looks like the best lynch. The case against him still stands and quite a few people were against his lynch without adequately explaining why. They obviously can't all be his team mates, but it's hard to believe there would be that many townies unwilling to lynch him in that situation and be perfectly fine with lynching erandorr. His behaviour hasn't improved at all and that vt claim right before day post doesn't seem like something a townie would do.

Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel?

Let's look at the scenarios:
1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons.
2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons.
3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill.

I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel.


Okay, this post is just full of bullshit. I can see plenty of reason for demon to roleblock angels.

His post focus on why demons would try to save palmar. The goal of demons is not only to save themself, they also have to prevent angels to win. Banishing them is a good move in this regard as they have a high chance of reducing their KP ( as I stated before, any angel hit, be it town or demon,is actually bad for demon).

Secondly you once again makes it sound like angels do not want to target demons. This is plain wrong. They want to get rid of demons. Demons are at least as dangerous for angels than blues. Channeler and courrier have the same ability to RB them, and twister is an anti angel doctor. On the other hand, going for blue gives the risk of killing the demon hunter which is basically working for them early game.

You also make it look like angels would not target palmar because he could be lynched day 2. I do not agree. If they have a strong demon read on someone, i think angels would go for it. For once because they cannot be sure that he will be lynched next day ( it could very well have been risk or RoL over palmar again), and secondly because they was no corrupted town yet, finding a blue would be difficult.


So because his plays correspond perfectly on how I think angels would play, because he contradict himself, and because he keeps telling shit about angel strategy, I think he is an angel himself. And I think we shoud lynch him tomorrow.

Anyway, my lunch break was a bit longer that it should have been, will be back later tonigth.

So your case seems to largely revolve around me tunneling you, which is interesting because that doesn't say much about alignment, and if you want to bring meta into it, feel free to look at my play in Election Mafia (as TotallyNotTwoPeople) and Steamship - here's a hint, I focus on the person I think is scummiest. You also conveniently snipped out the part of that post where I talk about other people and pretty well prove I have been extensively reading the thread/filters instead of just tunneling.

As for the lack of interest in the person being lynched, that is pure bullshit. I've been pushing you for the lynch, and if you ctrl+f my filter for mentions of Risk, I talk about him plenty. And yes, I have only played one game with Erandorr and he was part of a hydra that game, so I qualified it with "from what I know about him".

Show nested quote +
So he tunnels me based on a 1-game Meta, but still admits that meta lynch are unreliable. Wut ?
Already addressed in my filter, but apparently you aren't really reading it. Meta ON RISK is pretty useless because his play style varies so much every game, which as I have already stated IS NOT THE NORM for most players. I also already stated that your actions would be scummy even without accounting for meta. You also say my posts are full of contradiction and then that is the only example you cite. Care to point out the others?

Show nested quote +
What in the fuck?
Show nested quote +
Why does being sent to purgatory bother him? I mean, any regular townie would have been happy to be sent to purgatory as it makes you immune to any nigth actions. So this post alone makes me think that HoD is at least a blue, more likely and angel.
Fun tidbit about me - I use "what in the fuck" for confusion, "what the fuck" for annoyance/anger/etc. You might be able to look up other uses of this through my profile, but you might just have to take my word on it. A quick check shows I have used both once in this game so far. Being sent to purgatory didn't bother me, it confused me. I wasn't exactly fearful of night actions night one, I've never been shot night one, demons couldn't corrupt night one, and why would I care if I get investigated? That would just help me prove my innocence.

Show nested quote +
His post focus on why demons would try to save palmar. The goal of demons is not only to save themself, they also have to prevent angels to win. Banishing them is a good move in this regard as they have a high chance of reducing their KP ( as I stated before, any angel hit, be it town or demon,is actually bad for demon).
If you think this, I don't know what to tell you. Say a day starts with 1 corrupted town, 3 demons, and 3 angels. In this situation, demons win nearly 100% of the time. Given the fact that there are investigative roles and an anti-corruption role, demons are definitely not looking to drag this game out more than they have to so long as those roles are still alive.

Show nested quote +
Secondly you once again makes it sound like angels do not want to target demons. This is plain wrong. They want to get rid of demons. Demons are at least as dangerous for angels than blues. Channeler and courrier have the same ability to RB them, and twister is an anti angel doctor. On the other hand, going for blue gives the risk of killing the demon hunter which is basically working for them early game.
If the demon hunter hits someone, they live, and they weren't banished to purgatory, he knows that person is an angel - no exceptions. He is not working for the angels, he is nearly as anti-angel as he is anti-demon. This has already been pointed out as well. I also don't see how they could find demons to be a bigger threat early game than town. The channeler, seer, and demon hunter combined have about as much anti-angel ability as the entire demon team...and then you have 1 more blue and a bunch of vanillas as well for town. The only way they might consider town less dangerous is the lack of coordination.

Whilst the word "risk" is in your filter a lot in terms of actually talking about risk.nuke before the lynch:
the word risk appears 48 times
posts that mention risk nuke himself are:
here Day 2
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/postmessage.php?quote=1262&topic_id=298603
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13083116
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13083116
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13061983
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13061400
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13060795
on Day 1
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13026989
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13007788
+ most of the day 2 stuff is meta.
Regarding Tyrran's case:
He asserts that you showed no interest in the Lynch
He asserts that all you really did was tunnel him
He points out a contradiction you make
He calls your reaction to the nightpost strange and picks one of your posts in which you speculate about how you would play as an angel (which you do a lot and when you consider your 1st post Lets not discuss scum strategies is amusing) and he outlines how what you say is bullshit

Bolded: You summarise the case against you as you were tunneling tyrran, so tyrran called you scum and then you spew some crap about meta. You then say
You also conveniently snipped out the part of that post where I talk about other people and pretty well prove I have been extensively reading the thread/filters instead of just tunneling.

so you point is what? You are reading the thread? Every player should be reading the thread. Why would you feel the need to point this out??

You then say you were confused about night actions even though you thought you had figured them out earlier here (clicky)

You then make a statement that i have criticised before (clicky)
You then make some more speculation about scum.

You don't really address the case at all...

You then post a bit a RoL and BH but nothing of worth.
You then (poorly) argue with my criticism of your speculation

On January 13 2012 08:53 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 13 2012 08:35 layabout wrote:
On January 13 2012 08:24 Spaackle wrote:
I'll be around for a little while, so feel free to ask/tell/compliment/insult me anything.

Your bullshit score is under 5% congrats.

If i were to suggest to you that the majority of HoD's post are about "safe" or irrelevant issues that do not require him to take a stance; That he draws and promotes strange conclusions; that a lot of his interaction's and question answering ignore the issue at hand; that he picks up on non-issues and tries to uses that to defeat arguments; and that misrepresents scenario's or mis-applies concepts like occam's razor you would say what?

I posted my top four (if I am recalling the number correctly) scum reads in the thread, I commented on both the RoL and the Risk.Nuke cases, I voted to lynch Erandorr, I voted to lynch Tyrran, I have stated I believe Syllo to most likely be town, I don't know if I directly stated it but I believe Blazinghand to be town as well.

Show nested quote +
On January 13 2012 08:49 syllogism wrote:
HoD you asked Grackaroni, Spaackle and Cwave for their scum reads and they mostly didn't materialize. Do you not care? You have been quite detached from the game; certainly not one I would characterize as someone who attempts to produce information and then do something with it. Indeed you seem to put most of your efforts into defending yourself or arguing about irrelevant game mechanics/strategy issues.

I have limited time, and people keep asking me about that shit so I answer them. I should probably just ignore them though. Spaackle and Grackaroni replied. Cwave is the only one that ignored me, but that's fine for now.

In this post you respond to my accusation taht you haven't taken a stance and yet you respond by saying you posted your top 4 scum read vote Erandorr and voted tyrran and Call syllo and BH town. If this is not already clear to someone reading this those actions were not taking strong stances and they do not make him town. At all.

He then says he has limited time and he is just answering shit that people ask. This is more or less an admission that he hasn't done anything.

He posts this http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13124188
(Isn't useful in any way but serves to make people focus on Tyrran, again.

On January 14 2012 07:13 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@Tyrran
Show nested quote +
First of all : "Assuming the angels use their acolyte to try to kill people with dark powers, which I assure you they will " If this isnt a angel claim, then i dont know what it is. Do what you want with your acolyte, but I really do not see why blues are priority target and demons/corrupted town are not. Killing the DH early would be really bad for angels. Killing a corrupted town however is really good for them. Why wouldnt they try to reduce the demons voting power ?
You consider that claiming to be angel, and then you assert that they will go after demons/corrupted town instead, as well as assigning 0% probability to them targeting syllo night one. So I make an assertion about their decisions, it is me claiming angel, but when you do it then it is totally fine?

Show nested quote +
Secondly : Wtf if this tl:dr ? Demons should win without using corrupt ? Are you going to argue next that Angels should win wihtout killing anyone ? I look forward to you hosting a normal game where scum has no KP and town has vigs because " well scum can just survive while everyone else dies".
I said don't need to, as in it is possible for them to win without it, not should. Don't twist my words.

Show nested quote +
This is your ultimate argument ? That my case against you did not fullfill the Syllogism's standard and therefore is, I quote : "Trolololol". Well, that sure makes you look town.
I just found it amusing that after being specifically told to not make more 'contributions' using arguments that have already been made, you then do just that. That wasn't my ultimate argument, my argument was my long response post, obviously.

Show nested quote +
Lastly : So Syllo is not AoD. Would the AoD have targeted Syllo N1 ? If you consider that 1) Syllo was very likely getting banished and 2) Syllo was pushing for lynching 3 non angel target ( palmar(Demon), Erandorr(VT), Risk(VT), ). There was absolutely no reason for AoD to shoot him N1. So either you are AoD, or he shot you. The only reason he would have shot you is by shooting randomly ( as you had no reason to be killed prior to any other player), meaning there was a 1/10th of a chance that you would get hit.
So it boils down to this: Either you are AoD, or you got shot which had about 10% chance of happening. Well, math says that there is 90% chance you are AoD.
This is just dumb.

Also, I am beginning to think all of Tyrran's ridiculous statements such as saying there is no way Syllo would be targeted night one, or that every night kill is bad for demons are more likely to be just poor reasoning than a charade as scum. I just don't see how scum could be making all these bizarre assertions.

He bashes the case against him with a pile of shit in the hope that some of it will stick..

On January 14 2012 07:26 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Grackaroni is also less likely scum than I previously thought, I reread his filter and looked through his filters from his previous games and overall he seems ok. Don't have time to explain more now, but wanted to at least say that before I had to leave for like 5 hours or so.

note the time and date
6 hours later:
On January 14 2012 13:25 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Oh hai bandwagon.

I am the sage.


Show nested quote +
On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@RoL
See this post for the current time remaining in the day: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603#6

Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither.
-snip-
Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course.
##Vote: Tyrran


Show nested quote +
On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
@RoL
See
-snip-

Show nested quote +
On January 12 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Alright
-snipped-

Show nested quote +
On January 12 2012 04:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
gasdjafeaiuhfaisdf
-snipped-

Show nested quote +
On January 12 2012 04:54 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Err,
-snipped-

Night 1 I was banished so my investigation failed, but I tried to investigate Tyrran.
Night 2 I investigated Grackaroni and got not-demon.

Carry on.

HoD could have died. Perhaps he should have died (because he is scum)
He points out that he bread crumbed sage during day 2 a few hours before the lynch.
He posted his Grackaroni "not demon crumb" before this post when he was leading on votes
It has been pointed out that he Angels can safely make this role claim.
He cannot verify it.
The letters also seem cherry-picked http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13134627
+ he said at the very start that the sage should not claim without 2 "demon" results
On January 14 2012 13:33 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Oh, and I was going to investigate Cwave last night, but with not too long left I decided the demon hunter was probably going to stab him and switched my investigation to Grackaroni.

seriously what the fuck is this?
at the last minute he figured out what the demon hunter would do and so investigated someone else?
He is taking the piss because he cannot believe we didn't kill him.

On January 14 2012 13:37 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
And layabout, I like how you managed to find a replacement for doing any actual analysis or scum-hunting, it's cute.

Here he attacks my credibility.
which is strange because whilst i had pressured him i also seem to remember stopping him being hammered, so we could make a decision that everyone was aware of understood and had the chance to object to.

On January 15 2012 03:39 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 14 2012 18:34 Blazinghand wrote:
On January 14 2012 18:17 Tyrran wrote:
Okay so it seems i was wrong about HoD. I'm going to unvote him . Unless someone counter claims which is extremely unlikely due to breadcrumbs.


Anyone who thinks that breadcrumbs are a reasonable explanation or support for a claim needs to spend some more time thinking.

A good scum player breadcrumbs every blue role during the start of the game, then points them out if he wants to claim. This should be obvious.

The real question we should be asking is: Where did HoD breadcrumb his investigative results in the event of being shot by the acolyte?

Read the OP. The acolyte can't kill me.

Investigation result:
Show nested quote +
On January 14 2012 07:26 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Grackaroni is also less likely scum than I previously thought, I reread his filter and looked through his filters from his previous games and overall he seems ok. Don't have time to explain more now, but wanted to at least say that before I had to leave for like 5 hours or so.
(Although I did reread his filter as well)

And yes, clearly I breadcrumbed sage before killing wiggles with no way of knowing what his role would be, and then just so happened to get super lucky and killed the sage and that is why there is no counter-claim. Makes perfect sense. And it also makes perfect sense that you found scum with 2 teammates alive and yet you were nearly able to lynch me in a mere 6 hours with the help of people like Zephirrd, who, 6 hours prior to voting for me, said this:
Show nested quote +
I like Grack's case on Spaackle; I still have a hard time to understand why HoD was jailed n1, and by who. Maybe his posts about mechanics made Palmar want him roleblocked? No idea, but I can't see HoD as scum from his filter.
Yeah, that's not suspicious at all.

@Syllo
I put barely any effort into my defense because I had about 45 minutes during which time I also had to get shit ready to head back out.

Show nested quote +
Alright, Harbingerofdoom's only scum read in the last few days has been Tyrran and now he isn't so sure any more. He doesn't think blazing is scum. Probably not Grackaroni. RoL? Nope. Cwave? Err, no HoD didn't really say that either, though apparently he was one of the people he would have lynched over risk. Spaackle? He dislikes "the look of spaackle", asks him a question and doesn't follow up. No scum anywhere apparently
I mostly work by process of elimination. And the list of people I cast suspicion on included much of the same reads as the list you made shortly after. Clearly I came up with largely the same reads by doing no scum-hunting whatsoever. Tyrran finally bothered to defend himself, Cwave died and flipped green, and Grackaroni I investigated and got not-demon. So yeah, that obviously changed some shit. Feel free to count all the people I list as scum up through the end of day 3 in election mafia btw.

But, since it seems like you really want it, 5 scum remain, I will post my bottom 6:
Zephirdd
xsksc replaced by Spaackle
layabout
Bluelightz
Jackal58
RebirthOfLeGenD

he says he didn't put effort into his defence - what a town-like thing to do
He posts what i think are townreads? Which is odd because he has called Spack and BL scum RoL is getting lynched instead of him, he hasn't commented on jackal other than (he was right about Palmar) and he then starts to attack me.

On January 15 2012 03:43 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
As you wish *tips hat*

Do you want me to vote now, or wait?

Syllogism pretty much forces him to promise to vote RoL which he does, later

On January 15 2012 04:00 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 15 2012 03:50 syllogism wrote:
I did not and we've a reason to believe that Wiggles was the sage. Are you going to spend your time today posting analysis or are you going to be really busy again?

Look, Thursday of last week I went to a Bruin's game, my work won a new contract on Friday of last week and my girlfriend's birthday was on Tuesday of this week. We went out Tuesday, and attended dinner parties last night and on Sunday, her birthday party was Saturday, and I met up with a friend for dinner on Thursday, so yes, I have been a bit absent. I honestly don't give a fuck if you think that makes me scum. That being said, I only have about an hour before I have to head out to do grocery shopping and such. I'll do what I can and then vote RoL for you before I leave.

Posts a ton of excuses for inactivity.
Hey HoD would it interest you to know that i spent 35+ hours doing revision last week and that i have exams coming up?
Or that i do tutoring on Tuesdays?
No-one cares.
No-one expects you to spend most of your day doing mafia but your are expected to make an effort, and to find a bit of time to contribute.
You have also had plenty of time to re-read every post more that once and keep up with the thread, and you have taken time to point that out.

On January 15 2012 04:33 HarbingerOfDoom wrote:
Anyway, Zephirrd:
Show nested quote +
On January 14 2012 03:53 Zephirdd wrote:
On January 14 2012 02:20 layabout wrote:
On January 13 2012 11:10 Zephirdd wrote:
On January 13 2012 11:04 Refallen wrote:
That's retarded. After syllo posted his "I want to die", channeled should have taken the hint and roleblocked harbringer instead.


Or maybe he had the same logic as me? At least this now confirms syllo as town.

MrWiggles was town as well; He couldn't possibly be Demon(see his Palmar case). We just won't know if he was a blue or not.

TBH that was a poor decision by the AoD, unless he had actually found an Angel and was ready to push him. His last actions were attacking RoL. Apply Occam's Razor(The correct solution is usually the simplest one),

##Vote RoL

What is poor about the decision to kill and experienced player that had already caught 1 scum this game?


I just think it's a waste of game mechanics; Killing someone who people didn't knew would create a bigger confusion, as in "we don't know how many demons live". MrWiggles was obviously not a Demon, so it is kind of a waste of a mechanic. Granted, we don't know if he was a blue, but I don't think it matters as much at this point.


I like Grack's case on Spaackle; I still have a hard time to understand why HoD was jailed n1, and by who. Maybe his posts about mechanics made Palmar want him roleblocked? No idea, but I can't see HoD as scum from his filter.

RoL still looks like the best lynch, but we'll see what happens.
HoD is not scum

No wait, scum. Because I've been 'invisible'?:
Show nested quote +
On January 14 2012 10:04 Zephirdd wrote:
On January 14 2012 09:49 syllogism wrote:
Zephirdd where did you disappear? Are you willing to vote for HoD? I'll rather have this conversation now than right before deadline tomorrow.


I'm playing billiards with a couple of friends atm, finding some time to post in between. If you care, I'm crushing them hard.

HoD has been basically invisible this game; nothing about him, besides the jailing, stands out. However, it makes a lot of sense that AoD would target you.

HOWEVER, being "invisible" is usually a scum trait. So yeah, I'm willing to vote him; I really want to see his response though


I've said it before, and I'll say it again though. Take a good look at Spaackle's posting, now and in the future.

Also lol @ layabout being serious about that scum flip probability. How you apply math on something so inexact, I have no idea.

~>Voting HoD as of now

J/K, not scum:
Show nested quote +
On January 14 2012 13:51 Zephirdd wrote:
Unvoting HoD for the following reasons

A) Less chance of ninja scum hammering
B) I want to hear other people's(esp. syllo) thoughts on this
C) I fail to understand why is it so hard to believe that the AoD targeted syllo night 1, instead of HoD=AoD

I'm sleepy atm, so I'll brb tomorrow. Mb I should leave my vote back on Spaackle. Actually, yeah, I'll do that.

'night
Time elapsed: 10 hours

Show nested quote +
On January 10 2012 02:27 Zephirdd wrote:
Yes, I know I am on that list as well, but that's just because I was this close to sucking him yesterday after his case. That was due to the XLVIII fiasco and I told myself "listen to veterans you know". I swear I'd probably end up helping demons this game, had Palmar not died.
Uh huh...

Show nested quote +
On January 11 2012 03:24 Zephirdd wrote:
Syllogism, sir Lynch leader, please explain this situation. Anyone else is also invited to do so.
Passing some responsibility.

Show nested quote +
On January 14 2012 09:23 Zephirdd wrote:
Let me be clear tho; I don't like to create new cases even though I'm willing to take responsibility for it. Reason is simple: 100% of cases I have made by myself were wrong. AKA. I don't trust myself.
Hey guys, don't blame me if I am wrong, I'm always wrong!

He is clearly avoiding blame for any of the lynches, and he went from stating I am not scum to voting for me as soon as my lynch started gaining some traction. Then, immediately unvotes with my claim and again implies he thinks it is likely I am not the angel of death. Nothing very town-like about that.

You then post very little to called Zephird, one of your bottom 6 un-town-like

You then try to dismiss syllo's "But Wiggles actually looked more like the sage" posts.
You then focus on My Bullshit law.
then you seculate about night-actions.


Is that enough scumhunting for you?
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 23:17 GMT
#1866
@ Dirkzor
when he made his first post he said that we should not dscuss angel/demon strategies unless we had a strategy to counter them

When he said just that the sage should not claim without two "demon" results?
If he was the sage it would make sense to add, "if they are going to be lynched then the sage should claim" because that is what he claims he is doing now.
According to day1 HoD the sage should not have claimed in day 3 HoD's position. Day3 HoD had zero demons identified.
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 23:45 GMT
#1868
HoD's bullshit score is also 83%
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 15 2012 23:55 GMT
#1870
/facepalm
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
layabout
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom2600 Posts
January 16 2012 00:09 GMT
#1872
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13132052
I just don't see how spaackle is scummy.
Be the Best You Can Be ! Play MAFIA II http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/ II Dragonsound Best Band
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