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Iranian protests - Page 19

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MarklarMarklar
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Fiji1823 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-17 03:41:30
June 17 2009 03:39 GMT
#361
jibba is a moron cause he cannot comprehend that the government behaviour to it all strongly indicates cheatin.

fuck proof, they gave it long ago, and there's no court in a revolution. screw proof, and its not even about the vote anymore, it's about change, remove the regime.
hello there
Jibba
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States22883 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-17 03:48:58
June 17 2009 03:48 GMT
#362
On June 17 2009 12:39 MarklarMarklar wrote:
jibba is a moron cause he cannot comprehend that the government behaviour to it all strongly indicates cheatin.

fuck proof, they gave it long ago, and there's no court in a revolution. screw proof, and its not even about the vote anymore, it's about change, remove the regime.

Your behavior indicates that you could be severely brain damaged due to your mother's alcoholism while pregnant, but would I say it strongly indicates that to be true? No, I wouldn't. It's just a possibility right now, just like the rigging of this election.
ModeratorNow I'm distant, dark in this anthrobeat
MarklarMarklar
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Fiji1823 Posts
June 17 2009 03:50 GMT
#363
blow me jibba jabba doo
hello there
SonuvBob
Profile Blog Joined October 2006
Aiur21549 Posts
June 17 2009 03:55 GMT
#364
Yabba dabba doo. Now then, back on topic.
Administrator
ninjafetus
Profile Joined December 2008
United States231 Posts
June 17 2009 03:58 GMT
#365
I don't know... if I legitimately won an election, and that legitimacy was in question, I would probably try to convince people by some other method than trying to shut down all communication with the outside world.

No, we don't have a smoking gun here, but I don't see the motivation behind the behavior of Ahmadinejad if he really did win. I see plenty of motivation for his actions if he has something to hide.
Jibba
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States22883 Posts
June 17 2009 04:06 GMT
#366
We don't really know where the orders are coming from (or which orders actually happened.) If there's a power to blame, it's probably Khamenei more than Ahmadinejad.

One explanation I've heard about phone and internet going down, from an Iranian, is partly that the country's infrastructure is terrible and there's widespread outages any time a major event occurs.
ModeratorNow I'm distant, dark in this anthrobeat
Xeris
Profile Blog Joined July 2005
Iran17695 Posts
June 17 2009 05:33 GMT
#367
On June 17 2009 12:58 ninjafetus wrote:
I don't know... if I legitimately won an election, and that legitimacy was in question, I would probably try to convince people by some other method than trying to shut down all communication with the outside world.

No, we don't have a smoking gun here, but I don't see the motivation behind the behavior of Ahmadinejad if he really did win. I see plenty of motivation for his actions if he has something to hide.


If you think that you don't know Ahmadinejad. He's not a good President, and he does this kind of shit all the time. It's not because the election may/may not have been rigged, it's that he uses these kinds of strong-man tactics quite often to quiet dissenters when they get loud enough.
twitter.com/xerislight -- follow me~~
Xeris
Profile Blog Joined July 2005
Iran17695 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-17 05:42:53
June 17 2009 05:34 GMT
#368
On June 17 2009 12:02 {ToT}Strafe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 17 2009 11:06 Xeris wrote:
On June 17 2009 07:26 Last Romantic wrote:
On June 17 2009 06:15 Jibba wrote:
I find it amusing that people who never paid any attention to Iran before (and probably still can't find Tehran on a map) are name dropping like crazy, and acting as if they understand the inner workings of Iranian domestic politics more than a poli sci grad student specializing on Iran. LR's post is especially ridiculous. Oh, you've got a friend and/or relatives of Iranian descent? Yeah, that doesn't mean shit.

And Glaucus is a pretty obvious troll. That should've been clear to everyone by post #4.


While not an expert on the matter, I consider myself fairly well read in general; I can identify most national capitals tyvm and have at least basic understanding of most international politics [being a student of the 2nd-best political science program in the nation]. I am not some ignorant punk just mouthing off about anything and everything.

I only used that reference to explain how I can understand Farsi-written sources despite not knowing the language myself. Don't give me that shit.


1) Being "well read" doesn't make you an expert, or even qualified to be in an informed discussion about Iranian politics

2) What does knowing national capitals and having a basic understand of international politics have to do with this? We're talking specifically about Iranian politics here.

3) What does being a student in Cal's poli sci program mean? Are you somehow better or more qualified than me because your school is ranked 2nd and mine is ranked 6th? Have you written a 100 page thesis on Iran? How many books specifically have you read about Iranian politics? How often do you read Iranian news sites, and how often do you ask your Iranian best friend "hey what's the latest goings on in Iran?" I bet the answer to those questions are No, None, and Rarely.

Just because you can look at a few random websites and find some numbers and try to insinuate that they make claims and you're somehow more qualified than me to know what you're talking about is pretty insulting, especially since I'm graduated with honors and literally spent the entire year learning about Iran in depth, etc etc (I've already said my qualifications). Just because I'm not quoting random websites doesn't mean I'm pulling these things out of my ass.

Obviously nobody in this thread is supposed to take my word as law, but at least look at it from a logical perspective and perhaps you can see I'm making reasoned and logical posts. Funny how until someone with a red-bolded name criticized me not many other people in this thread were doing it. Red names don't make you an authority on a subject.


So you spent a year learning about Iran, in depth even! Yet all you can say is, the poll is not rigged, even though it clearly is. You should know Mr Scholar that if you do not give a source for anything you say, you actually did pull it out of your ass. You aren't making any logical posts other than: "Look guys I'm from Iran, my word is better than yours, therefore you are wrong." I've stopped reading your posts at one point, because you are painfully annoying, stubborn and bland.

It's even hilarious that you read LastRomantics post as a criticism to you, whilst it clearly was a response to another person asking him questions. He never said knowing the capital of Iran had anything to do with anything, yet you perceive it as such.

To be honest though, my post is biased. I never liked you anyway, so whatever I said is wrong.


Good thing you never even read my posts. Strafe, thanks for your opinion.
twitter.com/xerislight -- follow me~~
VIB
Profile Blog Joined November 2007
Brazil3567 Posts
June 17 2009 05:54 GMT
#369
pls everyone change your location on tweeter to IRAN inc timezone GMT+3.30 hrs - #Iranelection - cont....
I don't understand.. what good does that do for them if I change my location on tweeter? Is it just to show statistical support or something?
Great people talk about ideas. Average people talk about things. Small people talk about other people.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-17 05:56:04
June 17 2009 05:55 GMT
#370
List of fake Iran Twitters:
http://twitspam.org/

It seems that most of protesters are resting to gear up for their afternoon rally! It's calm now. #IranElection


to supporters of Mousavi: bring flowers with yourself for today's rally at 4 in 7-tir sq to give to Basijis #iranelection


insightful discussion panel with C. Rose, N. Burns, F. Leverett, A. Milani and H. Majd http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/10385 #IranElection
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Railz
Profile Joined July 2008
United States1449 Posts
June 17 2009 05:59 GMT
#371
On June 17 2009 14:55 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
List of fake Iran Twitters:
http://twitspam.org/

Show nested quote +
It seems that most of protesters are resting to gear up for their afternoon rally! It's calm now. #IranElection


Show nested quote +
to supporters of Mousavi: bring flowers with yourself for today's rally at 4 in 7-tir sq to give to Basijis #iranelection


Show nested quote +
insightful discussion panel with C. Rose, N. Burns, F. Leverett, A. Milani and H. Majd http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/10385 #IranElection


I was reading some of those for kicks. I find it funny how most of them accuse the west of starting the uprising and lying about it - then turn around and use the Washington Post as indicators of good pre-election pools. @_@
Did the whole world just get a lot smaller and go whooosh?_-` Number 0ne By.Fantasy Fanatic!
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 17 2009 06:01 GMT
#372
From http://tehranbureau.com/



[image loading]

Two Iranian soldiers kiss before they go to battle (Iran-Iraq war).

I was born in 1984, amid a devastating war that had laid waste and destruction to my country. I was born between two subsequent nights of bombing raids. I was born into rationing, despair and hardship. I was born when young lives perished at the fronts. My father later told me that when I was born 1984 sounded so much like the 1984 predicted by Orwell. But my birth had turned over the glum outlook for my parents and 1984 had become a sign of hope, a hope for a future to come, or as my father put it, “a better future for my child to live.”

My parents were not alone in this. During the baby boom of 1983 to 1986, millions of us came into this world, mouths to feed and miracles to be cherished. There and then a new generation was born, a generation who would bear witness to the legacy of generations of their parents, a legacy that was mainly composed of one thing, “the Islamic Republic.”

In later years, in our schools, on TV, in books and newspapers they told us that before our time lived a tyrant who held a firm grip on our country, and that the defiant and valiant nation of Iran had risen up and overthrown him to establish three things, “Esteghlal, Azadi, Jomhouri Eslami.”

Independence.

Freedom.

Islamic Republic.

We were fascinated by the epic tales of young students, some as young as thirteen who during the war had sacrificed themselves for the greater good of the society. We were made to believe that we were living in Utopia, but the delusion only lasted a few years. Before long, that once naïve and innocent generation of 1984 had grown to be the young men and women of Iran, the so called third generation of the revolution.

Faced with harsh realities of life we quickly came to realize that our world was far from the Utopia painted for us. It was more like a Dystopia where we had to fight for every single right, every single freedom.You have denied us so much.

Out of this dark age one day emerged a man with qualities of a hero who would lead this generation out of this Dystopia and into that promised paradise. His name was Mohammad Khatami. Yet it turned out that he was neither the hero everyone expected him to be, nor did he have the capacity or desire to lead them out. To be fair things started crawling toward progress and modernization; there was a smaller degree of social rights and freedom, but it did not come at the pace that this restless third generation wanted.

Thus a hero fell, and four years of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad started.

By the end of the four years, we were desperate for change. Hope materialized in the shape of Mir Hossein Mousavi, who happened to be the prime minister that now long gone 1984. But the totalitarians ruling the Dystopia swooped in and crushed that last bit of hope.

In Brecht’s “Life of Galileo,” Galileo’s students condemn him at the end of the court proceedings with these words: “Pity the nation that doesn’t have a hero.”

“Pity the nation that needs a hero,” he responds wisely.

My generation is tired of being disillusioned. We refuse to accept the status quo and we have risen up in defiance. I am not sure how long it will take for the totalitarians to crush our resistance. For now though, we’re holding up just fine. We’re holding up fine even though our brothers at Basij and the police are murdering their dear fellow Iranians. We’re holding up even though you bash us with clubs and batons and try to suffocate us with your tear gas.

A nation stands tall refusing to succumb that easily.

Yesterday among the crowds who were just back from the warzone with their wounds and anger and sadness, I spotted an old friend of mine.

“Welcome to 1984, my friend,” he said in great anguish.

I nodded in agreement; we’d come full circle.

He went on, “There we were facing the bloodthirsty riot police, hand in hand, like that ‘Brothers in Arms’ song from Dire Straits.”

It was in that moment that I realized why the French Revolutionaries added “Fraternity” to their revolutionary slogan.

“Liberté, égalité, fraternité,” indeed.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
broz0rs
Profile Joined July 2008
United States2294 Posts
June 17 2009 06:05 GMT
#373
Ahmadinejad is in Russia right now and he's not talking about the situation in Iran. At the same time, he's trying to shift attention from the protests to U.S imperialism.

Iran hasn't seen such public outcry since the Iran-Iraq war and he's still in Russia. This just boggles the mind. Why in hell is the 'elected' leader of his country avoiding the situation, while the Supreme Ayatollah has to resort to calming down his people?

Meanwhile, Obama is being very cautious, but is giving signals that he's willing to talk with whoever will be the President of Iran after the election has been settled. It's a great political decision.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-17 06:11:12
June 17 2009 06:10 GMT
#374
heh Change For Iran's Twitter was just shown on the Colbert Report.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Xeris
Profile Blog Joined July 2005
Iran17695 Posts
June 17 2009 06:16 GMT
#375
On June 17 2009 15:05 broz0rs wrote:
Ahmadinejad is in Russia right now and he's not talking about the situation in Iran. At the same time, he's trying to shift attention from the protests to U.S imperialism.

Iran hasn't seen such public outcry since the Iran-Iraq war and he's still in Russia. This just boggles the mind. Why in hell is the 'elected' leader of his country avoiding the situation, while the Supreme Ayatollah has to resort to calming down his people?

Meanwhile, Obama is being very cautious, but is giving signals that he's willing to talk with whoever will be the President of Iran after the election has been settled. It's a great political decision.


Ahmadinejad isn't a very good President, that's why.
twitter.com/xerislight -- follow me~~
Dariush
Profile Joined April 2007
Romania330 Posts
June 17 2009 06:30 GMT
#376
On June 17 2009 03:49 Xeris wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 17 2009 03:27 warding wrote:
This is beyond the matter of whether it was rigged or not. There is simply no transparency in the electoral system. Even if it wasn't rigged, the elections in Iran are carried in an unacceptable way for a country claiming to be a functioning democracy. Because the system is so poorly and unfairly designed, it is expectable that people will feel the elections are unjust. Iranian authorities use tyrannical supression measures and disallow freedom of press and expression, it is then no wonder there is outrage and riots in the streets.

I understand why stability in Iran would be desireable for some, but it is a stability that leads to a continuation of awfully poor economic policies, an increasing international isolation and a an illiberal state.


Why are you assuming an illiberal state is good? Do you not understand that there is more than one conception of what a successful state can be? Have you considered that people in the country are fairly pleased with how things are? Sure Iran is not a utopian society, but it is not this "backward, oppressive regime" that you people are making it out to believe. I know there are even many Iranians who think this way, most Iranians living outside Iran think this way, and there are perhaps even a few million IN Iran who also think that way. But a majority of the country doesn't. A majority of the country are deeply religious and are generally happy with the way things are. It is not our business to tell Iran what kind of government they should have, what they should do with their media, and how they should run elections.

Elections have not been a major problem up until now, because a reformist lost who happened to run a pretty strong, modern campaign... that's the only reason. If Iran was such a tyrannical, conservative state there is NO WAY Khatami would have been President for 8 years. Anyone who thinks Iran is some sort of authoritarian/dictatorship country would have a pretty hard time explaining why a massively popular Khatami (he was probably 10x more popular than Moussavi ever will be) was elected and RE-elected to the Presidency. If any election were to be rigged to put a conservative in office it would have been either the 97 election or the 2000 election


You are crossing the line of BS, I don't know where you are getting this information. All you have to do, to get a clear picture of what majority think, is to travel from city to city, talk to people in buses, taxi etc. and you will change your mind. Don't fucking assume what majority of our people want. I know we have stability and security, but saddam's regime had that too....It's not enough.

The main reason so many people went to vote, was to prevent Ahmadinejad from staying in power, and he wins with 63% of votes? yea rite. WHERE'S MY VOTE?
Xeris
Profile Blog Joined July 2005
Iran17695 Posts
June 17 2009 06:47 GMT
#377
Do you live in Tehran? One person's vote doesn't win an election. Your vote is probably with the other 12 million who voted for Moussavi.... 24 million people voted for Ahmadinejad O_O
twitter.com/xerislight -- follow me~~
chobopeon
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States7342 Posts
June 17 2009 06:49 GMT
#378
On June 17 2009 09:20 PadrinO wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 17 2009 09:12 choboPEon wrote:
On June 17 2009 09:10 frankbg wrote:
Lol, Iran might be bad but what I see from American police and military force in terms of suppressing dissent is pretty much the same. America is just smoother in it's approach. The sheep are loving their chains and claiming they represent their freedom.


You obviously see nothing from America

I think you need to take off your rose-colored glasses. Every reports coming out of the United States in the last few years have been indicating a decline in press freedom and increase in police abuse of political protests.

Sure, you don't shoot the protesters down but you charge them just as easily. The only way you can protest in the U.S. without getting in trouble is if you walk on the sidewalk. Maybe you should go to one of these protest sometime and see that your country isn't all that much greater than Iran when freedom is regarded.


I think you need to take off your black-colored glasses. You cannot see the difference between Iran and the USA. You are wrong.

Sorry, but try to protest in the USA before you lie to everyone here. I have done it. You are wrong.
:O
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-06-17 07:02:13
June 17 2009 07:01 GMT
#379
Valid argument?

#iranelection Scientific argument showing election was fraud using Benfords law. soon will be translated. http://www.entekhabnews.us/portal/index.php?news=6435
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
VIB
Profile Blog Joined November 2007
Brazil3567 Posts
June 17 2009 07:11 GMT
#380
On June 17 2009 16:01 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Valid argument?

Show nested quote +
#iranelection Scientific argument showing election was fraud using Benfords law. soon will be translated. http://www.entekhabnews.us/portal/index.php?news=6435
I would love if someone could translate the main points of that ^^

But there was an interesting post some pages ago doing some basic statistic analysis of the official pool numbers, which looks pretty convincing imho:
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 15 2009 17:53 benjammin wrote:
Here's an interesting comment left on 538's updated polling results:

Show nested quote +

I took a look at the spreadsheet another commenter linked to with the city reports and checked the frequency of all the last digits. In the Vietnam war, they faked body counts and this was statistically noticeable. Here are the counts:

Last Count Normal Cummulative Distribution
0 215 99.04%
1 189 66.98%
2 185 55.82%
3 191 72.10%
4 183 50.00%
5 170 17.05%
6 169 15.26%
7 173 23.20%
8 174 25.49%
9 181 44.18%

0 is the most popular last digit, and it is more than 2 standard deviations above the mean. It is less than 1% likely this would naturally happen.



i'm no math expert, but it makes you wonder

Great people talk about ideas. Average people talk about things. Small people talk about other people.
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