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Coronavirus and You - Page 86

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 27 2020 13:33 GMT
#1701
--- Nuked ---
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
March 27 2020 14:05 GMT
#1702
On March 27 2020 22:33 JimmiC wrote:
Boris Johnson has been tested and has the corona virus. He is self isolating and at lest so far his symptoms are mild. I think more and more leaders are going to get it as many are still interacting with lots of people.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/british-prime-minister-johnson-tests-positive-for-virus/ar-BB11MSTm?li=AAggNb9


Thats what all the last posts here have been about...
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 27 2020 14:21 GMT
#1703
--- Nuked ---
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2649 Posts
March 27 2020 15:15 GMT
#1704
I've been home from work today and took a short walk to get some necessary supplies (ie: food and wine for the weekend. :D)

As many of you know Sweden has taken a quite different path from many other countries and from my short walk it's most certainly NOT shut down. At all.

So this week, and the two weeks coming will be very "interesting". The die has been cast so to speak but it hasn't landed yet. I have absolute trust that our experts and government is doing what they think is best but no one knows for sure what is the right path.

So either it will work out fine (and that means we don't get overwhelmed and have a somewhat comparable death toll to our neighbors when it's all over) or it doesn't. This week was better than expected and precautions are being taken but...

It really feels like the calm before the storm right now.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43203 Posts
March 27 2020 15:32 GMT
#1705
On March 27 2020 20:34 Firebolt145 wrote:
Well Boris Johnson now has covid. Not surprising.

Literally according to his herd immunity plan. Getting those antibodies. I’m glad his plan is working out so well for him.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
zatic
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Zurich15355 Posts
March 27 2020 15:38 GMT
#1706
On March 28 2020 00:32 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2020 20:34 Firebolt145 wrote:
Well Boris Johnson now has covid. Not surprising.

Literally according to his herd immunity plan. Getting those antibodies. I’m glad his plan is working out so well for him.

Yeah, leading by example. Good for him!
ModeratorI know Teamliquid is known as a massive building
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
March 27 2020 15:45 GMT
#1707
So, it seems really unlikely that what I had was coronavirus. Probably more of a really, really mild cold or just some allergies. The three people at my wife's daycare who were going to be quarantined all wound up feeling better the next day or so. Only one was able to get a test, and it came back negative.

One infant in the daycare tested positive, but the family hasn't been present since the 13th. The daycare closed totally yesterday, as they would've had to redo enrollment to run as a trauma center. My wife is furloughed - her employer is still paying for healthcare (doesn't matter much to her as she could be my insurance easily).

So currently she's babysitting for the children of a respiratory specialist, and thinks she's much more likely to get coronavirus from that. We're both relatively healthy and accepting of the risks, though.
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-27 16:27:08
March 27 2020 16:22 GMT
#1708
The pressure is ramping up at work, I work in about 2 hours, a bit anxious to see the latest development since I left last night, we're having to deal with our first cases in elderly day care or care giver, a good bunch of employee are refusing to go to work in places where cases are found (I can understand them) or are put in quarantine...
No dead yet where I worked at least.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6215 Posts
March 27 2020 18:00 GMT
#1709
I thought Italy had it semi-controlled but from worldometers:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/

5909 new cases and 919 new deaths in Italy. Highest number of new deaths since the beginning of the epidemic in Italy. 46 doctors have died to date (with 4 additional deaths today). 6414 health workers have tested positive

That's a seriously worrying number.

In good news for my family, Canada's putting in a 75% wage subsidy for small/med business which would help my parents out a lot. The $40k loan also would help get cash influx going again as well (Shutting down a business means invoices come due with no revenue to pay them off).

https://globalnews.ca/news/6741037/coronavirus-wage-subsidy-canada/
virpi
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Germany3599 Posts
March 27 2020 18:10 GMT
#1710
Keep in mind that these numbers always come with a delay, so basically, the new infections are those from a few days ago. The death toll in Italy (and Spain) is really frightening, and there's still more to come.

In Germany, there aren't that many deaths in comparison, but from what I've read, this might change rapidly as soon as ICUs reach their limits.
first we make expand, then we defense it.
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
March 27 2020 18:43 GMT
#1711
On March 28 2020 03:00 Lmui wrote:
I thought Italy had it semi-controlled but from worldometers:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/

5909 new cases and 919 new deaths in Italy. Highest number of new deaths since the beginning of the epidemic in Italy. 46 doctors have died to date (with 4 additional deaths today). 6414 health workers have tested positive

That's a seriously worrying number.

In good news for my family, Canada's putting in a 75% wage subsidy for small/med business which would help my parents out a lot. The $40k loan also would help get cash influx going again as well (Shutting down a business means invoices come due with no revenue to pay them off).

https://globalnews.ca/news/6741037/coronavirus-wage-subsidy-canada/

It looks like its still to ramp up in Spain as well. Hit 569 deaths today and France too at 299 deaths though they both had higher death counts yesterday.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
Sadist
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States7290 Posts
March 27 2020 18:51 GMT
#1712
46 doctors dying in Italy is terrifying.

How do you go from where you are to where you want to be? I think you have to have an enthusiasm for life. You have to have a dream, a goal and you have to be willing to work for it. Jim Valvano
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6215 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-27 20:11:31
March 27 2020 20:10 GMT
#1713
And there it is, the USA just passed 100k cases.

Whether or not you think China is reporting cases accurately, it definitely seems far more controlled in China now since it's starting to open up in comparison to the states.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
March 27 2020 21:15 GMT
#1714
China looks to have peaked and fallen, but their recent action of re-closing all theaters after initially opening them suggests the extremely low reports of new cases is not the full story.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 27 2020 21:25 GMT
#1715
On March 28 2020 06:15 Danglars wrote:
China looks to have peaked and fallen, but their recent action of re-closing all theaters after initially opening them suggests the extremely low reports of new cases is not the full story.

Indeed, that is suspicious. While I'm certain their quarantine significantly reduced the spread, there are two problems I'd say I have with them:
1. They absolutely, definitely underreported the actual number of infected and dead. Maybe by a factor of 10 (unsubstantiated speculation on that number).
2. They made it sound like they completely shut down all cases inside the country, but that simply doesn't sound realistic no matter how careful they might have been. After already having that major outbreak, they would at least have "limited community spread" afterwards.

The way they did it, it very much sounds like the strategy they went with was shutting everything down (the right answer, as we now see), but then afterwards taking a "we say it's over, so it's now over" approach to more or less telling everyone that it's time to go back to work and bring production up to show good numbers. Something about how it all went sounds less-than-realistic, and in more than just a "I don't like how low their numbers are" kind of way.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
March 27 2020 22:17 GMT
#1716
The speed at which the virus spreads make me think that any attempt to cover up numbers will be an exercise in futility. Either their numbers are true and they have the situation under control, or they aren't and at some point things will get so out of control that no cover-up will be possible.
Bora Pain minha porra!
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15723 Posts
March 27 2020 22:26 GMT
#1717
On March 28 2020 06:25 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2020 06:15 Danglars wrote:
China looks to have peaked and fallen, but their recent action of re-closing all theaters after initially opening them suggests the extremely low reports of new cases is not the full story.

Indeed, that is suspicious. While I'm certain their quarantine significantly reduced the spread, there are two problems I'd say I have with them:
1. They absolutely, definitely underreported the actual number of infected and dead. Maybe by a factor of 10 (unsubstantiated speculation on that number).
2. They made it sound like they completely shut down all cases inside the country, but that simply doesn't sound realistic no matter how careful they might have been. After already having that major outbreak, they would at least have "limited community spread" afterwards.

The way they did it, it very much sounds like the strategy they went with was shutting everything down (the right answer, as we now see), but then afterwards taking a "we say it's over, so it's now over" approach to more or less telling everyone that it's time to go back to work and bring production up to show good numbers. Something about how it all went sounds less-than-realistic, and in more than just a "I don't like how low their numbers are" kind of way.


In general, china multiplies good by a factor of 10 or divides bad by a factor of 10. I'm assuming all Corona related numbers are at minimum 10x reported.

There's just so much history to support it.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 27 2020 23:59 GMT
#1718
--- Nuked ---
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
March 28 2020 00:06 GMT
#1719
America has now tested 600,000. The new cases, whether or not we are really showing more infected than China, track with the greatly increased testing.



Like Birx has been saying, the percent positives and the low net %infected across regions are signs of hope. Now that testing has greatly expanded, the data will accumulate to analyze the spread.

It's hard to get any sense of scale and effect on China. Anecdotally, a couple news organizations are reporting persisting struggles to treat and mitigate. It might be the historians looking over records and satellite data to reconstruct China's response and success.


Briefings from the White House team are basically nightly. Y'all can skip Trump & Pence's portion to hear from Birx & Fauci.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Sharkies
Profile Joined May 2011
Hong Kong92 Posts
March 28 2020 00:09 GMT
#1720
The China situation is very easily explained. Since about two weeks ago, the number of imported cases has risen from 0 to 40+ per day. China is only doing what a lot of other countries wish they had done at this stage, which was to impose mandatory quarantine on all travellers (and massively restrict travel into the country). If other countries had done that early on, many of them wouldn't be in the situation right now (to be clear, this is not ban entry, it is mandatory quarantine).

Schools are reopening in all parts of China apart from Beijing and Shanghai (playing it conservatively in Beijing as political capital and Shanghai as the main port of entry for all foreigners).

The reality is a lot of people who cannot read Chinese have very limited information on the China situation (western media actually have very little understanding of China and often get basic details like the title of key politicians wrong), so it is difficult for the public to make an accurate assessment of what is happening based on fragmented and sometimes incorrect information.
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