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Coronavirus and You - Page 76

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
March 23 2020 19:24 GMT
#1501
On March 24 2020 03:57 Firebolt145 wrote:
Do you think babies born around December 2020 will be named the Covid Boomers?

Corona sounds like a nice name that could catch.
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
Fleetfeet
Profile Blog Joined May 2014
Canada2558 Posts
March 23 2020 19:25 GMT
#1502
On March 24 2020 02:47 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 24 2020 02:43 Fleetfeet wrote:
On March 24 2020 02:31 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 24 2020 02:28 Dan HH wrote:
On March 24 2020 02:13 Mohdoo wrote:
So someone correct me if I am wrong.

1. Stay at home orders are intended to reduce infection rates

2. Less infection means less economic impact overall

3. Delaying stay at home orders for the sake of the economy does not help the economy, since it increases total infection rates

4. Choosing to delay stay at home orders actually hurts the economy by waiting, since infection rates eventually hit a point where stay at home orders will eventually be made anyway.

5. In the United States, we can say with confidence that stay at home orders will eventually become necessary, so we ought to just bite the bullet and do it immediately.

Where am I wrong?

You could replace 'stay at home orders' with 'mass suicide orders' to see where you are wrong (ok, maybe not at step 5). The economic impact is not based on number of infections alone, the measures themselves have economic impact and it's difficult to quantify both.


But if we agree there is a point of infection where stay at home is necessary, and we see numbers growing exponentially, is it that some people are assuming it will naturally decrease suddenly?


It's the same dilemma people have on a personal level, imo. I could have (should have) stayed at home a week or two before my work shut down. It would have been better and safer because fewer risks early on against an exponential curve can have massive results.

I didn't stop working until my work was shut down, for the simple reason of not knowing if I could afford to. Corporations, similarly, are going to be up against the unappealing loss of income versus an uncertain future. Is closing down if you're a vector of transmission the right call? Yeah, but I don't hold much of a grudge against the people making the decision for these businesses - that's a tough trigger to pull.


To me, this sounds like people feeling entitled to good, pleasing choices.

Many people can't seem to wrap their heads around only having 2 choices: awful and absolutely terrible

They keep being like "but what about an option where everything is great? I want that one."


Obviously that isn't a good response, but that doesn't explain why it isn't a natural or human one.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15690 Posts
March 23 2020 19:28 GMT
#1503
On March 24 2020 04:25 Fleetfeet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 24 2020 02:47 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 24 2020 02:43 Fleetfeet wrote:
On March 24 2020 02:31 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 24 2020 02:28 Dan HH wrote:
On March 24 2020 02:13 Mohdoo wrote:
So someone correct me if I am wrong.

1. Stay at home orders are intended to reduce infection rates

2. Less infection means less economic impact overall

3. Delaying stay at home orders for the sake of the economy does not help the economy, since it increases total infection rates

4. Choosing to delay stay at home orders actually hurts the economy by waiting, since infection rates eventually hit a point where stay at home orders will eventually be made anyway.

5. In the United States, we can say with confidence that stay at home orders will eventually become necessary, so we ought to just bite the bullet and do it immediately.

Where am I wrong?

You could replace 'stay at home orders' with 'mass suicide orders' to see where you are wrong (ok, maybe not at step 5). The economic impact is not based on number of infections alone, the measures themselves have economic impact and it's difficult to quantify both.


But if we agree there is a point of infection where stay at home is necessary, and we see numbers growing exponentially, is it that some people are assuming it will naturally decrease suddenly?


It's the same dilemma people have on a personal level, imo. I could have (should have) stayed at home a week or two before my work shut down. It would have been better and safer because fewer risks early on against an exponential curve can have massive results.

I didn't stop working until my work was shut down, for the simple reason of not knowing if I could afford to. Corporations, similarly, are going to be up against the unappealing loss of income versus an uncertain future. Is closing down if you're a vector of transmission the right call? Yeah, but I don't hold much of a grudge against the people making the decision for these businesses - that's a tough trigger to pull.


To me, this sounds like people feeling entitled to good, pleasing choices.

Many people can't seem to wrap their heads around only having 2 choices: awful and absolutely terrible

They keep being like "but what about an option where everything is great? I want that one."


Obviously that isn't a good response, but that doesn't explain why it isn't a natural or human one.


By no means am I saying it isn't a natural response, but like many other natural responses, we have an obligation as thinking people to say "right, but no".
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
March 23 2020 19:40 GMT
#1504
On March 24 2020 03:50 Danglars wrote:
Anti-malarial treatments have shown promise, but with my president's recent tweet, they'll be getting much more public attention as compared to researcher attention.

Show nested quote +
Doctors and hospitals are turning to decades-old antimalarial drugs to treat patients infected with the disease caused by the new coronavirus, as they work to repurpose existing therapies in a race to find effective treatments.

Antimalarial drugs chloroquine phosphate and hydroxychloroquine have both shown early signs of improving symptoms of some patients diagnosed with Covid-19, the respiratory disease caused by the coronavirus, based on reports by doctors and researchers in South Korea, France and China. Physicians in the U.S. are also using the drugs.

Chloroquine, approved for Americans in the 1940s, and hydroxychloroquine, greenlighted the next decade, are also prescribed for patients with lupus and rheumatoid arthritis. The drugs are considered relatively safe for most people although chloroquine is slightly more toxic.

WSJ

Show nested quote +
Health officials across the world are issuing warnings over the use of antimalarial drugs after President Trump’s comments about treating the coronavirus with them sparked panic-buying and overdoses.

In recent days, thousands of consumers across Africa and South Asia rushed to stockpile chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine, drugs that are usually used to combat malaria, vacuuming up supplies in cities in the developing world, sending prices skyrocketing and prompting panicked warnings from local authorities.

In the U.S. and some other developed countries, meantime, some doctors have started to prescribe the drugs against the coronavirus, sparking heated ethical debates because their efficacy has yet to be demonstrated in full-scale clinical studies. [...]
Antimalarial drugs chloroquine phosphate and hydroxychloroquine have both shown early signs of improving symptoms of some patients diagnosed with Covid-19, based on reports by doctors and researchers in South Korea, France and China.

In France, interest in antimalarial drugs surged last week after a French professor released a study showing that 100% of patients infected by coronavirus and treated with a combination of hydroxychloroquine and the azithromycin antibiotic were cured after six days. The proportion of cured patients was 70% for those treated only with hydroxychloroquine and 12.5% for those who received no treatment, the study showed.

Although the study had a very limited scope—it encompassed only 30 patients—French Prof. Didier Raoult said he opted to publish the findings because of the urgent need for an effective drug against coronavirus.

WSJ

It's gonna be wild if the early results hold in subsequent studies.

I've read elsewhere that there's a supply issue atm. Having said that, the supply will not match up with the demand if it is indeed found that they can help. There will be a shortage.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
March 23 2020 19:44 GMT
#1505
Yes there's a huge supply issue, at least in Australia. Lots of irresponsible/selfish doctors are writing scripts for themselves or their friends/family. It's the medical equivalent of toilet paper hoarding, except in this case you are denying people with SLE/RA their medications.
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6213 Posts
March 23 2020 20:22 GMT
#1506
On March 24 2020 00:42 Nakajin wrote:
Well it's not all bad
https://globalnews.ca/news/6716978/coronavirus-harvey-weinstein/


I'd rather he not get it and enjoy the next 23 years in a cell.
Since that's failed, I wish him a reasonably expedient recovery so that the medical resources in the community can be better spent on more useful people.

From a personal standpoint, I'm gonna struggle with fitness I think.
Fitbit says my WFH burn rate is ~16100 calories a week.

Compared to earlier in the year before this broke out and I could go outdoors, play ultimate, gym, go bouldering etc. I was at ~20k-21k calories a week. It's going to be over a lb a week if I don't cut down. Yeah /r/bodyweightfitness exists, but it's a poor substitute for what I was doing before.
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria818 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-23 20:42:36
March 23 2020 20:34 GMT
#1507
On March 24 2020 05:22 Lmui wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 24 2020 00:42 Nakajin wrote:
Well it's not all bad
https://globalnews.ca/news/6716978/coronavirus-harvey-weinstein/


I'd rather he not get it and enjoy the next 23 years in a cell.
Since that's failed, I wish him a reasonably expedient recovery so that the medical resources in the community can be better spent on more useful people.

From a personal standpoint, I'm gonna struggle with fitness I think.
Fitbit says my WFH burn rate is ~16100 calories a week.

Compared to earlier in the year before this broke out and I could go outdoors, play ultimate, gym, go bouldering etc. I was at ~20k-21k calories a week. It's going to be over a lb a week if I don't cut down. Yeah /r/bodyweightfitness exists, but it's a poor substitute for what I was doing before.


There are many exercises to do at home, I'm sure there are youtube videos for that.

On a different note, US seems to climb a lot at the moment, it's next to Italy. The question is who will overtake China - Italy or USA? Really sad race in that case.

Trump doesn't want lockdown to last for more than 15 days. He's considering lifting it, but will still think about it until Monday: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/23/politics/trump-coronavirus-15-days-social-distancing/index.html
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
March 23 2020 20:40 GMT
#1508
On March 24 2020 04:44 opterown wrote:
Yes there's a huge supply issue, at least in Australia. Lots of irresponsible/selfish doctors are writing scripts for themselves or their friends/family. It's the medical equivalent of toilet paper hoarding, except in this case you are denying people with SLE/RA their medications.

yea. I'm also pretty sure it'll be in short supply here if more and more scripts get written for it. Guess time will tell.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
March 23 2020 20:44 GMT
#1509
Thought I'll also share this here: article

Excerpt from article that may explain some of the higher death toll in Italy compared to China:

[image loading]

"The overall case-fatality rate in Italy (7.2%) is substantially higher than in China (2.3%). When data were stratified by age group, the case-fatality rate in Italy and China appear very similar for age groups 0 to 69 years, but rates are higher in Italy among individuals aged 70 years or older, and in particular among those aged 80 years or older. This difference is difficult to explain. The distribution of cases is very different in the 2 countries: individuals aged 70 years or older represent 37.6% of cases in Italy and only 11.9% in China. In addition, a relevant number of cases in Italy are in people aged 90 years or older (n = 687), and this age group has a very high fatality rate (22.7%); data on cases in those aged 90 years or older were not reported in China. In addition, the report from the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 Mortality, which presents data on 2114 COVID-19 related deaths among 55 924 laboratory-confirmed cases in China, reported a fatality rate among patients aged 80 years or older that was similar to the rate in the Italian sample (21.9% in China vs 20.2% in Italy).5

Thus, the overall older age distribution in Italy relative to that in China may explain, in part, the higher average case-fatality rate in Italy."
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
March 23 2020 20:50 GMT
#1510
On March 24 2020 05:44 BigFan wrote:
Thought I'll also share this here: article

Excerpt from article that may explain some of the higher death toll in Italy compared to China:

[image loading]


"The overall case-fatality rate in Italy (7.2%) is substantially higher than in China (2.3%). When data were stratified by age group, the case-fatality rate in Italy and China appear very similar for age groups 0 to 69 years, but rates are higher in Italy among individuals aged 70 years or older, and in particular among those aged 80 years or older. This difference is difficult to explain.


How is this difficult to explain, when hospitals are in full triage mode and simply don't treat them, because they need the beds for the younger ones?
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
March 23 2020 20:51 GMT
#1511
UK is now in full lockdown, not allowed to leave our homes except to shop for food medicine/ exercise once a day. This is scary.
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
March 23 2020 21:08 GMT
#1512
On March 24 2020 05:50 mahrgell wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 24 2020 05:44 BigFan wrote:
Thought I'll also share this here: article

Excerpt from article that may explain some of the higher death toll in Italy compared to China:

[image loading]

"The overall case-fatality rate in Italy (7.2%) is substantially higher than in China (2.3%). When data were stratified by age group, the case-fatality rate in Italy and China appear very similar for age groups 0 to 69 years, but rates are higher in Italy among individuals aged 70 years or older, and in particular among those aged 80 years or older. This difference is difficult to explain.


How is this difficult to explain, when hospitals are in full triage mode and simply don't treat them, because they need the beds for the younger ones?

Keep in mind that there's a full article that you could read or at least the other paragraphs after this one I quoted to get an idea of why they wrote that.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 23 2020 21:24 GMT
#1513
--- Nuked ---
InFiNitY[pG]
Profile Blog Joined December 2002
Germany3474 Posts
March 23 2020 21:46 GMT
#1514
On March 24 2020 06:08 BigFan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 24 2020 05:50 mahrgell wrote:
On March 24 2020 05:44 BigFan wrote:
Thought I'll also share this here: article

Excerpt from article that may explain some of the higher death toll in Italy compared to China:

[image loading]


"The overall case-fatality rate in Italy (7.2%) is substantially higher than in China (2.3%). When data were stratified by age group, the case-fatality rate in Italy and China appear very similar for age groups 0 to 69 years, but rates are higher in Italy among individuals aged 70 years or older, and in particular among those aged 80 years or older. This difference is difficult to explain.


How is this difficult to explain, when hospitals are in full triage mode and simply don't treat them, because they need the beds for the younger ones?

Keep in mind that there's a full article that you could read or at least the other paragraphs after this one I quoted to get an idea of why they wrote that.


First of all, the sentence "xyz is difficult to explain" to me is a very bad sentence to use in a scientific paper. Either they CAN explain it, in which case they shouldn't have to point out that it is difficult, or they cannot explain it, in which case they should simply admit that.
Second of all, not once in that article did they point out the lack of personell and/or equipment to properly treat patients as a possible reason for that high mortality rate. Not impressed tbh.
"I just pressed stimpack, and somehow I won the battle" -Flash
dp
Profile Joined August 2003
United States234 Posts
March 23 2020 22:03 GMT
#1515
On March 24 2020 03:50 Danglars wrote:
Anti-malarial treatments have shown promise, but with my president's recent tweet, they'll be getting much more public attention as compared to researcher attention.

Show nested quote +
In France, interest in antimalarial drugs surged last week after a French professor released a study showing that 100% of patients infected by coronavirus and treated with a combination of hydroxychloroquine and the azithromycin antibiotic were cured after six days. The proportion of cured patients was 70% for those treated only with hydroxychloroquine and 12.5% for those who received no treatment, the study showed.

Although the study had a very limited scope—it encompassed only 30 patients—French Prof. Didier Raoult said he opted to publish the findings because of the urgent need for an effective drug against coronavirus.

WSJ

It's gonna be wild if the early results hold in subsequent studies.


Hopefully there will be better studies to gather results from. Remember reading that 6 people that were taking it in the study were 'lost to followup'. Of them, one died, three needed intensive care, one got side effects and stopped and another self discharged from the hospital. There were no deaths in the control group. So.. possibly a mixed bag?
:o
TT1
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Canada10009 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-23 22:08:46
March 23 2020 22:08 GMT
#1516


Trudeau isnt happy
ab = tl(i) + tl(pc), the grand answer to every tl.net debate
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland25467 Posts
March 23 2020 22:29 GMT
#1517
On March 24 2020 05:51 Zaros wrote:
UK is now in full lockdown, not allowed to leave our homes except to shop for food medicine/ exercise once a day. This is scary.

How long is this for? I’m only on a smoke break here from being an essential worker in ye olde retail. Between Boris announcing this an hour or two ago and us closing at 10 things went completely insane.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9654 Posts
March 23 2020 22:36 GMT
#1518
On March 24 2020 05:51 Zaros wrote:
UK is now in full lockdown, not allowed to leave our homes except to shop for food medicine/ exercise once a day. This is scary.

How is anyone going to know how many times i've been out of my house?
RIP Meatloaf <3
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9654 Posts
March 23 2020 22:41 GMT
#1519
On March 24 2020 06:24 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 24 2020 05:34 SC-Shield wrote:
On March 24 2020 05:22 Lmui wrote:
On March 24 2020 00:42 Nakajin wrote:
Well it's not all bad
https://globalnews.ca/news/6716978/coronavirus-harvey-weinstein/


I'd rather he not get it and enjoy the next 23 years in a cell.
Since that's failed, I wish him a reasonably expedient recovery so that the medical resources in the community can be better spent on more useful people.

From a personal standpoint, I'm gonna struggle with fitness I think.
Fitbit says my WFH burn rate is ~16100 calories a week.

Compared to earlier in the year before this broke out and I could go outdoors, play ultimate, gym, go bouldering etc. I was at ~20k-21k calories a week. It's going to be over a lb a week if I don't cut down. Yeah /r/bodyweightfitness exists, but it's a poor substitute for what I was doing before.


There are many exercises to do at home, I'm sure there are youtube videos for that.

On a different note, US seems to climb a lot at the moment, it's next to Italy. The question is who will overtake China - Italy or USA? Really sad race in that case.

Trump doesn't want lockdown to last for more than 15 days. He's considering lifting it, but will still think about it until Monday: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/23/politics/trump-coronavirus-15-days-social-distancing/index.html

Im convinced since watching these numbers that the US will be the "leader" in total cases by the end of the week. Hopefully they never catch up in deaths but eventually given the US population and how many, including the president seem unwilling to even do social distancing, they will at some point hold that.

Other places that it is going to explode are places like pakistan which had huge religious gatherings and then places like Venezuela where they are getting false information and have no medical supplies.


Don't forget about Brazil, where the president has just come out and said its all just a media plot.
RIP Meatloaf <3
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
March 23 2020 22:50 GMT
#1520
--- Nuked ---
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