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Coronavirus and You - Page 6

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17765 Posts
March 02 2020 22:27 GMT
#101
Another interesting study:

[image loading]
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
March 02 2020 22:29 GMT
#102
On March 03 2020 07:27 Manit0u wrote:
Another interesting study:

[image loading]


This is a clear indication that China has vastly understated their infection levels.
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4267 Posts
March 02 2020 22:35 GMT
#103
On March 03 2020 07:29 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2020 07:27 Manit0u wrote:
Another interesting study:

[image loading]


This is a clear indication that China has vastly understated their infection levels.

agreed.. I would personally add at least one 0 to their cases and death counts..

anyways - Poland here.. still no official cases of the virus yet, but I can hardly believe that this may be true.. I'm kinda afraid of getting out of my home to be honest.. Hope this thing will peter out sooner than later. Borders and border control should be reinstated, at least for the time being, imo. This pandemic is no joke.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17765 Posts
March 02 2020 22:46 GMT
#104
On March 03 2020 07:35 M3t4PhYzX wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2020 07:29 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 03 2020 07:27 Manit0u wrote:
Another interesting study:

[image loading]


This is a clear indication that China has vastly understated their infection levels.

agreed.. I would personally add at least one 0 to their cases and death counts..

anyways - Poland here.. still no official cases of the virus yet, but I can hardly believe that this may be true.. I'm kinda afraid of getting out of my home to be honest.. Hope this thing will peter out sooner than later. Borders and border control should be reinstated, at least for the time being, imo. This pandemic is no joke.


Media remains silent. In Lublin we have 9 suspected cases and 100 people on epidemiological watchlist. Near Zakopane you have about 8 cases (one of which was treated for pneumonia for 10 days with friends and family visiting and then it turned out to be nCov). Warsaw has 15 suspected cases last time I checked.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
March 02 2020 22:51 GMT
#105
In Seattle, the reason the 6 dead weren't considered nCov patients was because of the incubation and transmission assumptions we now understand are not true.

In all likelihood, plenty of others have died from it, but weren't counted because the timing didn't line up. Right now it looks like people have been walking around infected in Seattle since mid January.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24024 Posts
March 02 2020 22:54 GMT
#106
On March 03 2020 07:51 Mohdoo wrote:
In Seattle, the reason the 6 dead weren't considered nCov patients was because of the incubation and transmission assumptions we now understand are not true.

In all likelihood, plenty of others have died from it, but weren't counted because the timing didn't line up. Right now it looks like people have been walking around infected in Seattle since mid January.


Yeah, it is just going to be part of the annual flu season now. Reports of reinfection seem to be errant so I would assume we'll see the infection/mortality rates to drop (from whatever they truly are) over the next few seasons.

I think the lesson is that if we do uncover some new/ancient superbug from melting ice caps or contaminated biomes we're hopeless to stop it.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Belisarius
Profile Joined November 2010
Australia6233 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-02 23:08:27
March 02 2020 23:08 GMT
#107
I am certain the PRC is understating their infection levels by at least an order of magnitude, but I'm not sure that image proves it.

What it really shows is how complete a quarantine an Orwellian nightmare state can achieve.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22417 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-02 23:16:44
March 02 2020 23:13 GMT
#108
On March 03 2020 07:54 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2020 07:51 Mohdoo wrote:
In Seattle, the reason the 6 dead weren't considered nCov patients was because of the incubation and transmission assumptions we now understand are not true.

In all likelihood, plenty of others have died from it, but weren't counted because the timing didn't line up. Right now it looks like people have been walking around infected in Seattle since mid January.


Yeah, it is just going to be part of the annual flu season now. Reports of reinfection seem to be errant so I would assume we'll see the infection/mortality rates to drop (from whatever they truly are) over the next few seasons.

I think the lesson is that if we do uncover some new/ancient superbug from melting ice caps or contaminated biomes we're hopeless to stop it.
No, more that this virus isn't deadly enough for truly draconic security measures.
The flu kills ~30k people in the US every year as an example. You just don't hear about it because its expected and 'normal'.

You could lock down the country and let no one in or out but that's not worth the massive economic damage unless your talking about some super Ebola.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Belisarius
Profile Joined November 2010
Australia6233 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-03 03:13:32
March 03 2020 00:41 GMT
#109
Yeah, this does seem like a bit of a dry-run for the apocalypse. If you take the theoretical wipe-out-humanity bioweapon, it would have a lot of the characteristics of covid - long asymptomatic period, very high transmission by multiple vectors - but with a much higher fatality rate.

This might even be encouraging, in a very sombre way. Even though it emerged in a country with heavy suppression of the first whistleblowers, the international community still got a lot of warning before it started to spread outside its local area. The few cases that snuck through early were identified at borders and mostly contained.

Covid is spreading further because it's highly transmissible but also, despite the fearmongering, not quite bad enough to pull out all the stops. If, a few weeks ago, it had been looking like some kind of cthulhu-pathogen rather than the flu, countries would have had the option to lock down borders and mitigate it a lot more.
FBTsingLoong
Profile Joined April 2018
China410 Posts
March 03 2020 01:17 GMT
#110
I've stayed at home for more than a month.
TyInnoMaruByunAlive,TIMBA
L_Master
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States8017 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-03 01:31:04
March 03 2020 01:29 GMT
#111
On March 03 2020 09:41 Belisarius wrote:
Yeah, this does seems like a bit of a dry-run for the apocalypse. If you take the theoretical wipe-out-humanity bioweapon, it would have a lot of the characteristics of covid - long asymptomatic period, very high transmission by multiple vectors - but with a much higher fatality rate.

It might even be encouraging, in a very sombre way. Even though it emerged in a country with heavy suppression of the first whistleblowers, the international community still got a lot of warning before it started to spread outside its local area. The few cases that snuck through early were identified at borders and mostly contained.

Covid is spreading further because it's highly transmissible but also, despite the fearmongering, not quite bad enough to pull out all the stops. If, a few weeks ago, it had been looking like some kind of cthulhu-pathogen rather than the flu, countries would have had the option to lock down borders and mitigate it a lot more.


Yea, this is more my take. If we take a pathogen with similar characteristics as CoV, but say a 90% mortality rate the first country to see it is going to be decimated, but others would likely take extreme measures.

That said, I think we are still vulnerable to a hypothetical pathogen of death in two potential ways:

1) An even more ridiculous incubation period, or a disease that behaves like a short term HIV with an early baby infection that then lays dormant before entering a second lethality phase a few months later, or a very long illness.

Anything with a period from onset of infection to serious symptoms greater than 1 months seems incredibly dangerous still, and anything over 1 month...I think we would be in trouble. We learned from CoV that governments will act, but not until things are clearly bad. Remember that these US and foreign cases we are seeing now were seeded 4-8 weeks ago. If CoV was like a cold that didn't go away until about month, at which point it turned into a long, slow slide to respiratory failure, we would still not have any clear idea of CFR even now...and I doubt the government would be acting whatsoever.

2) Something like measles level inherent contagiousness with a longer incubation period. If CoV spread as tiny airborne particles that stay suspended for hours...I'm not so sure we could contain that, especially if the incubation period was long. By the time we realized, the number of infected would be out of control.

On March 03 2020 07:51 Mohdoo wrote:
In Seattle, the reason the 6 dead weren't considered nCov patients was because of the incubation and transmission assumptions we now understand are not true.

In all likelihood, plenty of others have died from it, but weren't counted because the timing didn't line up. Right now it looks like people have been walking around infected in Seattle since mid January.


As much as it seems to spread, I would suspect that people have been walking around in most major population centers worldwide spreading it. I don't think we will see the peak until April, and probably this will be ongoing until fall...unless we are as lucky as the US President thinks we are and "heat kills the virus".
EffOrt and Soulkey Hwaiting!
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24024 Posts
March 03 2020 01:43 GMT
#112
I mean, I guess the draconian type of shutdowns could happen, maybe even "work", but then the global economy implodes right?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Deleted User 3420
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
24492 Posts
March 03 2020 02:49 GMT
#113
On March 03 2020 10:17 FBTsingLoong wrote:
I've stayed at home for more than a month.


Hello my friend.
How are you doing mentally?
Is there still plenty of food in the stores?

Thank you,
take care.
Nixer
Profile Joined July 2011
2774 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-03 05:38:53
March 03 2020 05:33 GMT
#114
Plenty of food in stores in Beijing, unsurprisingly. There was a little bit of a noticeable difference with certain food products, especially after the new year but I'm unsure how much that had to do with the new year and how much it had to do with people buying up food and food shortage.

Boredom is the word.

On March 03 2020 07:29 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2020 07:27 Manit0u wrote:
Another interesting study:

[image loading]


This is a clear indication that China has vastly understated their infection levels.

The only indication that picture gives is that production has been lower, not just because of the virus but also the Chinese New Year. (Look at the dates)
Graphics
FBTsingLoong
Profile Joined April 2018
China410 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-03 06:34:51
March 03 2020 06:32 GMT
#115
On March 03 2020 11:49 travis wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 03 2020 10:17 FBTsingLoong wrote:
I've stayed at home for more than a month.


Hello my friend.
How are you doing mentally?
Is there still plenty of food in the stores?

Thank you,
take care.


Fine,thanks.Food is enough for sure at present,the supermarket will deliver food to the community.Only the masks are in short.
TyInnoMaruByunAlive,TIMBA
Wohodix
Profile Joined September 2011
France34 Posts
March 03 2020 17:20 GMT
#116
Hey this is pure speculation but I feel internet is really bad this days in Europe, especially at peak hour. Is it just coincidence, my internet, or could it be either people freaking out or even some massive censoring (partially justified imo because there is a lot of bullshit circulating and mass hysteria could be just worse) from either China Usa Eu or Google / facebook ?
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
March 03 2020 17:46 GMT
#117
Havent felt anything the like at work or at home. Just a couple of days ago I downloaded a couple of games with the ususal speed.
passive quaranstream fan
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12099 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-03-03 18:50:30
March 03 2020 17:48 GMT
#118
No connections problems here either (as far as I know). So likely some regional thing, some main line getting dug through or something.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18309 Posts
March 03 2020 18:17 GMT
#119
On March 04 2020 02:20 Wohodix wrote:
Hey this is pure speculation but I feel internet is really bad this days in Europe, especially at peak hour. Is it just coincidence, my internet, or could it be either people freaking out or even some massive censoring (partially justified imo because there is a lot of bullshit circulating and mass hysteria could be just worse) from either China Usa Eu or Google / facebook ?

Have you bought your tinfoil hat yet? Seems to me the brain rays the reptilians are beaming are far more dangerous than corona virus.
Deleted User 3420
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
24492 Posts
March 03 2020 18:19 GMT
#120
On March 04 2020 03:17 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2020 02:20 Wohodix wrote:
Hey this is pure speculation but I feel internet is really bad this days in Europe, especially at peak hour. Is it just coincidence, my internet, or could it be either people freaking out or even some massive censoring (partially justified imo because there is a lot of bullshit circulating and mass hysteria could be just worse) from either China Usa Eu or Google / facebook ?

Have you bought your tinfoil hat yet? Seems to me the brain rays the reptilians are beaming are far more dangerous than corona virus.


He just asked a question. Even if you think it's silly there is no reason to be rude to him.
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