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Coronavirus and You - Page 473

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-09-19 22:22:51
September 19 2021 21:58 GMT
#9441
--- Nuked ---
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3758 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-09-19 22:20:35
September 19 2021 22:18 GMT
#9442
On September 20 2021 06:28 BlackJack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 19 2021 21:22 Magic Powers wrote:
On September 19 2021 20:57 BlackJack wrote:
On September 19 2021 06:23 Magic Powers wrote:
On September 19 2021 05:50 BlackJack wrote:
So are you now claiming that myocarditis is a "harmless" side effect?

Per the World Health Organization

"Current evidence suggests a likely causal association between myocarditis and the mRNA vaccines"

"Clinicians should be aware of the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis with mRNA vaccines and those most likely to be affected."

https://www.who.int/news/item/09-07-2021-gacvs-guidance-myocarditis-pericarditis-covid-19-mrna-vaccines


Myocarditis is a plausible but unproven side effect of the Pfizer vaccine, and it can be easily and safely treated. No one has died from it and no one has been hospitalized.

I'm gonna say this very openly right now that it's become obvious to me that you're approaching this situation personally, not fact oriented. You're putting words into my mouth and interpreting the things I actually say in the worst light possible. You're not interested in what's true and what's false. This whole thing is therefore clearly about you and nothing else.
I'll say it one last time, if you try to engage with me again in this manner I will write a complaint to the moderators, because you've been causing significant disruptions in this thread with your very personal cruisade.


Magic Powers: Vaccination (especially Pfizer) contains no risk other than a sore arm for a few days and in few cases maybe a day of (harmless) side effects.

WHO: Clinicians should be aware of the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis with mRNA vaccines

Now I don't know who to believe


People are fallible, objective reality is not. You should never trust any source, you should always check multiple independent sources.

From the CDC:

Cases of myocarditis reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS)external icon have occurred:
After (not because of) mRNA COVID-19 vaccination (Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna), especially in male adolescents and young adults,
More often after the second dose
Usually within several days after vaccination
Most patients with myocarditis or pericarditis who received care responded well to medicine and rest and felt better quickly.
Patients can usually return to their normal daily activities after their symptoms improve. Those who have been diagnosed with myocarditis should consult with their cardiologist (heart doctor) about return to exercise or sports. More information will be shared as it becomes available.

Furthermore, no hospitalizations or deaths have occured as a result of myocarditis after vaccination. No chronic cases either.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/myocarditis.html

There is clearly no risk from Pfizer.


"No hospitalizations or deaths have occurred as a result of myocarditis after vaccination"

This is an incredibly bold statement that you have not substantiated(unsurprisingly). Myocarditis is very serious, it is taken very seriously, and it often leads to hospitalization.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2782900

Here is a study examining the EMR of 40 hospitals in the western US. Of the 2 million patients they looked at, they identified 20 patients that developed myocarditis shortly after receiving mRNA vaccines. Of those 20, 19 were admitted to the hospital with 2 being admitted to the ICU. They also identified 37 patients that developed pericarditis after vaccination with 13 of those patients being admitted to the hospital.


"Unsurprisingly"? Some people here have earned enough of a reputation that they can unironically criticize others for not backing up their claims. You thinking that you're among those people is absurd.

Secondly, you're committing a very common fallacy, which is that of base rate neglect. The prevalence of myocarditis among the vaccinated has to be compared to the general prevalence, because otherwise we're comparing apples to oranges. For example, a person getting vaccinated may've gotten infected with something before or after. The observed occurrence of myocarditis is therefore by itself not sufficient for a safe conclusion about potential risks associated with vaccination. This is why these cases fall under "potential risks" until proven otherwise.

In fact it'd be astonishingly strange to find that no cases of myocarditis or other side effects of that nature occurred among recently vaccinated individuals. Statistically speaking, it has to happen.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10357 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-09-19 22:34:40
September 19 2021 22:27 GMT
#9443
On September 20 2021 06:58 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 20 2021 06:28 BlackJack wrote:
On September 19 2021 21:22 Magic Powers wrote:
On September 19 2021 20:57 BlackJack wrote:
On September 19 2021 06:23 Magic Powers wrote:
On September 19 2021 05:50 BlackJack wrote:
So are you now claiming that myocarditis is a "harmless" side effect?

Per the World Health Organization

"Current evidence suggests a likely causal association between myocarditis and the mRNA vaccines"

"Clinicians should be aware of the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis with mRNA vaccines and those most likely to be affected."

https://www.who.int/news/item/09-07-2021-gacvs-guidance-myocarditis-pericarditis-covid-19-mrna-vaccines


Myocarditis is a plausible but unproven side effect of the Pfizer vaccine, and it can be easily and safely treated. No one has died from it and no one has been hospitalized.

I'm gonna say this very openly right now that it's become obvious to me that you're approaching this situation personally, not fact oriented. You're putting words into my mouth and interpreting the things I actually say in the worst light possible. You're not interested in what's true and what's false. This whole thing is therefore clearly about you and nothing else.
I'll say it one last time, if you try to engage with me again in this manner I will write a complaint to the moderators, because you've been causing significant disruptions in this thread with your very personal cruisade.


Magic Powers: Vaccination (especially Pfizer) contains no risk other than a sore arm for a few days and in few cases maybe a day of (harmless) side effects.

WHO: Clinicians should be aware of the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis with mRNA vaccines

Now I don't know who to believe


People are fallible, objective reality is not. You should never trust any source, you should always check multiple independent sources.

From the CDC:

Cases of myocarditis reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS)external icon have occurred:
After (not because of) mRNA COVID-19 vaccination (Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna), especially in male adolescents and young adults,
More often after the second dose
Usually within several days after vaccination
Most patients with myocarditis or pericarditis who received care responded well to medicine and rest and felt better quickly.
Patients can usually return to their normal daily activities after their symptoms improve. Those who have been diagnosed with myocarditis should consult with their cardiologist (heart doctor) about return to exercise or sports. More information will be shared as it becomes available.

Furthermore, no hospitalizations or deaths have occured as a result of myocarditis after vaccination. No chronic cases either.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/myocarditis.html

There is clearly no risk from Pfizer.


"No hospitalizations or deaths have occurred as a result of myocarditis after vaccination"

This is an incredibly bold statement that you have not substantiated(unsurprisingly). Myocarditis is very serious, it is taken very seriously, and it often leads to hospitalization.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2782900

Here is a study examining the EMR of 40 hospitals in the western US. Of the 2 million patients they looked at, they identified 20 patients that developed myocarditis shortly after receiving mRNA vaccines. Of those 20, 19 were admitted to the hospital with 2 being admitted to the ICU. They also identified 37 patients that developed pericarditis after vaccination with 13 of those patients being admitted to the hospital.

How many of the same number of people would come dow with both things normally?


Good question. Here is an article that breaks down the "expected vs observed" cases of myocarditis in a 7-day window post-vaccine based on preliminary reports to VAERS

https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.121.056135

For the highest risk group, males aged 18-24, you would expect to see 1 to 8 cases of myocarditis. 219 were observed.

In 323 of the reports that met the CDC definition of confirmed myocarditis/pericarditis, 96% were hospitalized, but most were discharged with a resolution of symptoms.


Quite a few more than Magic Powers claim that nobody was hospitalized from myocarditis after vaccination. 0% vs 96%... maybe I am just splitting hairs.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3758 Posts
September 19 2021 22:51 GMT
#9444
219 cases of myocarditis were observed you say? And it says this equates to 12.6 cases per million (2nd) doses of mrNA vaccines? Hold the press!

"According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, myocarditis/pericarditis rates are ≈12.6 cases per million doses of second-dose mRNA vaccine among individuals 12 to 39 years of age."

I see, you're right! I guess we should indeed hold the press. I was wrong all along, there is a risk!



Or maybe lets do what good researchers do and also take a look at a comparable study so that we can compare apples to apples and not to oranges:
"A recent observational study conducted by United States-based scientists has revealed that the incidence rate of myocarditis due to the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection is about 450 per million cases among young males."

This study is titled "Risk of Myocarditis from COVID-19 Infection in People Under Age 20: A Population-Based Analysis". Aren't 20 year-olds and under typically less likely to experience health complications than those aged up to 39 years? And isn't 450 roughly 35 times more than 12.6?

Article from August 1:

https://www.news-medical.net/news/20210801/Risk-of-myocarditis-from-SARS-CoV-2-infection-is-higher-in-young-males-a-study-finds.aspx

"For the 12-17-year-old male cohort, 6/6,846 (0.09%) patients developed myocarditis overall, with an adjusted rate per million of 876 cases (Wilson score interval 402 - 1,911). For the 12-15 and 16-19 male age groups, the adjusted rates per million were 601 (257 - 1,406) and 561 (240 - 1,313)."
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
September 19 2021 23:14 GMT
#9445
--- Nuked ---
Jek
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark2771 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-09-19 23:16:53
September 19 2021 23:15 GMT
#9446
If that frequency of myo/peri-carditis is enough to sound the alarm, I guess we need to recall basically all medicin.
It's Elo not ELO - Every statiscian playing League
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3758 Posts
September 19 2021 23:25 GMT
#9447
I could do this all day.

“It’s a bit of an apples to oranges comparison because again these are preliminary reports,” Dr. Shimabukuro said. “Not all of these will turn out to be true myocarditis or pericarditis reports. The expected (cases) are based on published literature.”

Interesting choice of words, too. Dr. Tom Shimabukuro emphasizes that it's an apples to oranges comparison.
Furthermore I have to ask the obvious question, does that literature account for the fact that we're in the middle of a pandemic? Meaning have they adjusted the expected numbers accordingly? Unfortunately the article doesn't refer to the source material, so I don't know how to figure that out.

https://www.aappublications.org/news/2021/06/10/covid-vaccine-myocarditis-rates-061021

Seeing that the pandemic is ongoing and that the most common cause of myocarditis is an infection (see link below), and also seeing that myocarditis follows a covid-19 infection at a significant rate, thus messing with the base rate of myocarditis, it's easy to see that there's a meaningful chance of covid-19 being the plausible cause for the cases of myocarditis among recently vaccinated individuals (i.e. correlation not causation).

"Most cases of myocarditis are of unknown cause (idiopathic). When a cause is identified, it is usually the result of an infection. In North America and Western Europe, viral infections are the most common identified causes of myocarditis. In specific world regions, other important causes include myocarditis following a streptococcal bacterial infection and HIV related infections. In specific Eurasian groups bacteria such as diphtheria, rubella, and even scorpion bite have been reported."

https://rarediseases.org/rare-diseases/myocarditis/
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3758 Posts
September 19 2021 23:27 GMT
#9448
On September 20 2021 08:15 Jek wrote:
If that frequency of myo/peri-carditis is enough to sound the alarm, I guess we need to recall basically all medicin.


Damn right, but don't let such thinking stop BJ from proceeding with his never-ending cruisade.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10357 Posts
September 19 2021 23:32 GMT
#9449
On September 20 2021 08:14 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 20 2021 07:27 BlackJack wrote:
On September 20 2021 06:58 JimmiC wrote:
On September 20 2021 06:28 BlackJack wrote:
On September 19 2021 21:22 Magic Powers wrote:
On September 19 2021 20:57 BlackJack wrote:
On September 19 2021 06:23 Magic Powers wrote:
On September 19 2021 05:50 BlackJack wrote:
So are you now claiming that myocarditis is a "harmless" side effect?

Per the World Health Organization

"Current evidence suggests a likely causal association between myocarditis and the mRNA vaccines"

"Clinicians should be aware of the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis with mRNA vaccines and those most likely to be affected."

https://www.who.int/news/item/09-07-2021-gacvs-guidance-myocarditis-pericarditis-covid-19-mrna-vaccines


Myocarditis is a plausible but unproven side effect of the Pfizer vaccine, and it can be easily and safely treated. No one has died from it and no one has been hospitalized.

I'm gonna say this very openly right now that it's become obvious to me that you're approaching this situation personally, not fact oriented. You're putting words into my mouth and interpreting the things I actually say in the worst light possible. You're not interested in what's true and what's false. This whole thing is therefore clearly about you and nothing else.
I'll say it one last time, if you try to engage with me again in this manner I will write a complaint to the moderators, because you've been causing significant disruptions in this thread with your very personal cruisade.


Magic Powers: Vaccination (especially Pfizer) contains no risk other than a sore arm for a few days and in few cases maybe a day of (harmless) side effects.

WHO: Clinicians should be aware of the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis with mRNA vaccines

Now I don't know who to believe


People are fallible, objective reality is not. You should never trust any source, you should always check multiple independent sources.

From the CDC:

Cases of myocarditis reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS)external icon have occurred:
After (not because of) mRNA COVID-19 vaccination (Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna), especially in male adolescents and young adults,
More often after the second dose
Usually within several days after vaccination
Most patients with myocarditis or pericarditis who received care responded well to medicine and rest and felt better quickly.
Patients can usually return to their normal daily activities after their symptoms improve. Those who have been diagnosed with myocarditis should consult with their cardiologist (heart doctor) about return to exercise or sports. More information will be shared as it becomes available.

Furthermore, no hospitalizations or deaths have occured as a result of myocarditis after vaccination. No chronic cases either.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/myocarditis.html

There is clearly no risk from Pfizer.


"No hospitalizations or deaths have occurred as a result of myocarditis after vaccination"

This is an incredibly bold statement that you have not substantiated(unsurprisingly). Myocarditis is very serious, it is taken very seriously, and it often leads to hospitalization.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2782900

Here is a study examining the EMR of 40 hospitals in the western US. Of the 2 million patients they looked at, they identified 20 patients that developed myocarditis shortly after receiving mRNA vaccines. Of those 20, 19 were admitted to the hospital with 2 being admitted to the ICU. They also identified 37 patients that developed pericarditis after vaccination with 13 of those patients being admitted to the hospital.

How many of the same number of people would come dow with both things normally?


Good question. Here is an article that breaks down the "expected vs observed" cases of myocarditis in a 7-day window post-vaccine based on preliminary reports to VAERS

https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.121.056135

For the highest risk group, males aged 18-24, you would expect to see 1 to 8 cases of myocarditis. 219 were observed.

In 323 of the reports that met the CDC definition of confirmed myocarditis/pericarditis, 96% were hospitalized, but most were discharged with a resolution of symptoms.


Quite a few more than Magic Powers claim that nobody was hospitalized from myocarditis after vaccination. 0% vs 96%... maybe I am just splitting hairs.

Um, so its not 96% of the people vaccinated, its like .00001 of them. Just so were on the same page. And in that definition of of "hospitalized", it means they went to hospital got the medicine and left, I believe it was 4 but you can go check that were admitted for over night.

To the amounts, I think you missing the piece about how much would be regular if people were checking on it every time with heightened awareness. Like when Breast Cancer awareness campaigns came out breast cancer didn't go up dramatically, people were just now aware of it and started checking for lumps and goingfor mamograms and getting help it drastically reduced death rates.

This appears to be the same things as from what I've seen the mortality rate is 25-55% but with the 394 cases NO ONE DIED, that seems statistically significant. One could argue that the vaccination saved peoples lives by alerting them to something they always had and allowed them to get treatment. But of course they don't know so that is why they say things like this.

Show nested quote +
Temporal association does not prove causation, although the short span between vaccination and myocarditis onset and the elevated incidence of myocarditis and pericarditis in the study hospitals lend support to a possible relationship.

Instead of Mrna vaccines cause it.

What I'm excited about is now that you consider this a risk worth talking about, and every single age group is 1000x at more risk from covid I look forward to your new approach of telling everyone to be very, very concerned about the high risks associated with disease.


The median hospital stay on the summary case series and case reports I linked was 4.6 days. That doesn't mean "people went to the hospital, got the medicine and left."

Seriously all you and Magic Powers have to do is what basically every scientific body in the world is doing right now and say that vaccines are safe, effective, the risks are very small and heavily outweighed by the risks of contracting COVID-19. I'm not sure why you have to take it to this cult-ish level where you have to dismiss or ignore any evidence that you don't agree with.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3758 Posts
September 19 2021 23:33 GMT
#9450
On September 20 2021 08:32 BlackJack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 20 2021 08:14 JimmiC wrote:
On September 20 2021 07:27 BlackJack wrote:
On September 20 2021 06:58 JimmiC wrote:
On September 20 2021 06:28 BlackJack wrote:
On September 19 2021 21:22 Magic Powers wrote:
On September 19 2021 20:57 BlackJack wrote:
On September 19 2021 06:23 Magic Powers wrote:
On September 19 2021 05:50 BlackJack wrote:
So are you now claiming that myocarditis is a "harmless" side effect?

Per the World Health Organization

"Current evidence suggests a likely causal association between myocarditis and the mRNA vaccines"

"Clinicians should be aware of the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis with mRNA vaccines and those most likely to be affected."

https://www.who.int/news/item/09-07-2021-gacvs-guidance-myocarditis-pericarditis-covid-19-mrna-vaccines


Myocarditis is a plausible but unproven side effect of the Pfizer vaccine, and it can be easily and safely treated. No one has died from it and no one has been hospitalized.

I'm gonna say this very openly right now that it's become obvious to me that you're approaching this situation personally, not fact oriented. You're putting words into my mouth and interpreting the things I actually say in the worst light possible. You're not interested in what's true and what's false. This whole thing is therefore clearly about you and nothing else.
I'll say it one last time, if you try to engage with me again in this manner I will write a complaint to the moderators, because you've been causing significant disruptions in this thread with your very personal cruisade.


Magic Powers: Vaccination (especially Pfizer) contains no risk other than a sore arm for a few days and in few cases maybe a day of (harmless) side effects.

WHO: Clinicians should be aware of the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis with mRNA vaccines

Now I don't know who to believe


People are fallible, objective reality is not. You should never trust any source, you should always check multiple independent sources.

From the CDC:

Cases of myocarditis reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS)external icon have occurred:
After (not because of) mRNA COVID-19 vaccination (Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna), especially in male adolescents and young adults,
More often after the second dose
Usually within several days after vaccination
Most patients with myocarditis or pericarditis who received care responded well to medicine and rest and felt better quickly.
Patients can usually return to their normal daily activities after their symptoms improve. Those who have been diagnosed with myocarditis should consult with their cardiologist (heart doctor) about return to exercise or sports. More information will be shared as it becomes available.

Furthermore, no hospitalizations or deaths have occured as a result of myocarditis after vaccination. No chronic cases either.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/myocarditis.html

There is clearly no risk from Pfizer.


"No hospitalizations or deaths have occurred as a result of myocarditis after vaccination"

This is an incredibly bold statement that you have not substantiated(unsurprisingly). Myocarditis is very serious, it is taken very seriously, and it often leads to hospitalization.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2782900

Here is a study examining the EMR of 40 hospitals in the western US. Of the 2 million patients they looked at, they identified 20 patients that developed myocarditis shortly after receiving mRNA vaccines. Of those 20, 19 were admitted to the hospital with 2 being admitted to the ICU. They also identified 37 patients that developed pericarditis after vaccination with 13 of those patients being admitted to the hospital.

How many of the same number of people would come dow with both things normally?


Good question. Here is an article that breaks down the "expected vs observed" cases of myocarditis in a 7-day window post-vaccine based on preliminary reports to VAERS

https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.121.056135

For the highest risk group, males aged 18-24, you would expect to see 1 to 8 cases of myocarditis. 219 were observed.

In 323 of the reports that met the CDC definition of confirmed myocarditis/pericarditis, 96% were hospitalized, but most were discharged with a resolution of symptoms.


Quite a few more than Magic Powers claim that nobody was hospitalized from myocarditis after vaccination. 0% vs 96%... maybe I am just splitting hairs.

Um, so its not 96% of the people vaccinated, its like .00001 of them. Just so were on the same page. And in that definition of of "hospitalized", it means they went to hospital got the medicine and left, I believe it was 4 but you can go check that were admitted for over night.

To the amounts, I think you missing the piece about how much would be regular if people were checking on it every time with heightened awareness. Like when Breast Cancer awareness campaigns came out breast cancer didn't go up dramatically, people were just now aware of it and started checking for lumps and goingfor mamograms and getting help it drastically reduced death rates.

This appears to be the same things as from what I've seen the mortality rate is 25-55% but with the 394 cases NO ONE DIED, that seems statistically significant. One could argue that the vaccination saved peoples lives by alerting them to something they always had and allowed them to get treatment. But of course they don't know so that is why they say things like this.

Temporal association does not prove causation, although the short span between vaccination and myocarditis onset and the elevated incidence of myocarditis and pericarditis in the study hospitals lend support to a possible relationship.

Instead of Mrna vaccines cause it.

What I'm excited about is now that you consider this a risk worth talking about, and every single age group is 1000x at more risk from covid I look forward to your new approach of telling everyone to be very, very concerned about the high risks associated with disease.


The median hospital stay on the summary case series and case reports I linked was 4.6 days. That doesn't mean "people went to the hospital, got the medicine and left."

Seriously all you and Magic Powers have to do is what basically every scientific body in the world is doing right now and say that vaccines are safe, effective, the risks are very small and heavily outweighed by the risks of contracting COVID-19. I'm not sure why you have to take it to this cult-ish level where you have to dismiss or ignore any evidence that you don't agree with.


All you have to do is admit that I didn't lie.

The mRNA vaccines might actually be driving down cases of myocarditis by preventing covid-19 infections.
You're not even capable of thinking that far.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10357 Posts
September 19 2021 23:35 GMT
#9451
On September 20 2021 08:15 Jek wrote:
If that frequency of myo/peri-carditis is enough to sound the alarm, I guess we need to recall basically all medicin.


Or just be honest and say that there is a rare but serious side effect? You know, like all other medicines have to...
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24724 Posts
September 19 2021 23:44 GMT
#9452
Is it a confirmed side effect though? One may yet emerge but the waters seem rather muddied as per a causal link between vaccines and myocarditis.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3758 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-09-19 23:47:24
September 19 2021 23:45 GMT
#9453
On September 20 2021 08:35 BlackJack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 20 2021 08:15 Jek wrote:
If that frequency of myo/peri-carditis is enough to sound the alarm, I guess we need to recall basically all medicin.


Or just be honest and say that there is a rare but serious side effect? You know, like all other medicines have to...


I've been honest since I first posted and throughout. There's no "or". Don't put your making an elephant out of nothing into my hands. This is all you.

Edit: although I'm not sure if you quoted the right person. Anyway.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3758 Posts
September 19 2021 23:53 GMT
#9454
On September 20 2021 08:44 WombaT wrote:
Is it a confirmed side effect though? One may yet emerge but the waters seem rather muddied as per a causal link between vaccines and myocarditis.


Right, that's exactly the problem, the fact that things are muddied. Confounding variables - in this case a long-lasting global pandemic - make good research in a real life setting very difficult. And real life always brings some confounding variables, which is why hair-splitting tiny numbers within extremely large numbers is so bothersome to me. That's not something that can be easily done like that, especially when we're still in the middle of it all.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5279 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-09-20 04:47:14
September 20 2021 04:46 GMT
#9455
On September 19 2021 22:47 Magic Powers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 19 2021 22:06 xM(Z wrote:
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/your-immune-system-evolves-to-fight-coronavirus-variants/

an actual good read, unlike the panic inducing shit you people link here.
A lot of worry has been triggered by discoveries that variants of the pandemic-causing coronavirus can be more infectious than the original. But now scientists are starting to find some signs of hope on the human side of this microbe-host interaction. By studying the blood of COVID survivors and people who have been vaccinated, immunologists are learning that some of our immune system cells—which remember past infections and react to them—might have their own abilities to change, countering mutations in the virus. What this means, scientists think, is that the immune system might have evolved its own way of dealing with variants.

“Essentially, the immune system is trying to get ahead of the virus,” says Michel Nussenzweig, an immunologist at the Rockefeller University, who conducted some recent studies that tracked this phenomenon. The emerging idea is that the body maintains reserve armies of antibody-producing cells in addition to the original cells that responded to the initial invasion by SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID. Over time some reserve cells mutate and produce antibodies that are better able to recognize new viral versions. “It’s really elegant mechanism that that we’ve evolved, basically, to be able to handle things like variants,” says Marion Pepper, an immunologist at the University of Washington, who was not involved in Nussenzweig’s research. Whether there are enough of these cells, and their antibodies, to confer protection against a shape-shifting SARS-CoV-2 is still being figured out.
...
What the scientists found was somewhat encouraging. Blood collected at the later date did have lower levels of circulating antibodies, but that made sense because the infection had cleared. And levels of the cells that make antibodies, called memory B cells, remained constant or even increased in some people over time. After an infection, these cells hang around in the body’s lymph nodes and maintain the ability to recognize the virus. If a person gets infected a second time, memory B cells activate, quickly produce antibodies and block the virus from creating a second serious infection.

In a follow-up test, the Rockefeller scientists cloned these reserve B cells and tested their antibodies against a version of SARS-CoV-2 designed to look like one of the new variants. (The experimental virus lacked the ability to replicate, which made it safer to use in the lab.) This virus had been genetically engineered to have specific mutations in its spike protein, the part of the coronavirus that attaches to human cells. The mutations mimicked a few of the ones currently found in the variants of concern. When researchers tested the reserve cells against this mutated virus, they saw some cells produced antibodies that glommed on to the mutated spike proteins—even though these spikes were different than those on the original virus. What this means is that the antibodies had changed over time to recognize different viral features. The research was published in Nature in January. “What the paper shows us is that, in fact, the immune response is evolving—that there’s some dynamic changes over this period of time,” Nussenzweig says.


and people here are posting 'statistics' based on people who-think-they-had-covid ... whattheactualfuck.
Of people with self-reported long COVID, 817,000 (84%) first had (or suspected they had) COVID-19 at least 12 weeks previously, and 384,000 (40%) first had (or suspected they had) COVID-19 at least one year previously.

stop scaring ALL the people.


The data from the analysis I linked shows that (self-reported) long-covid symptoms are significantly stronger linked to (self-reports of) more recent infections. This can't be brushed off as inaccurate self-reporting, unless we suspect a population-level conspiracy directed at that research.
The study therefore shows a very strong correlation between infections and long-covid.
it shows nothing; people who think they had covid reporting on symptoms, means nothing.

this is a better study - https://www.bbc.com/news/health-58584558
One in 40 people with coronavirus has symptoms lasting at least three months, Office for National Statistics figures suggest.

In April, an ONS report put the proportion at about one in every 10.

The latest, large and comprehensive analysis suggests long Covid may be less common than previously thought.

But the condition is not fully understood and still has no universally agreed definition, leading to different studies producing different figures.
but that is still only statistics.

this one tries to cover all the bases by making a succinct listing of what we know, what we expect, what scientists assume ... etc
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-01511-z
Some scientists weren’t surprised by long COVID. Illnesses that linger after an infection have been reported in the scientific literature for 100 years, says Anthony Komaroff, an internal-medicine physician at Harvard Medical School in Boston, Massachusetts.

He noted that fact in March, during a webinar organised by MEAction, an organization based in Santa Monica, California, that works to raise awareness of myalgic encephalitis, also known as chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). People with this debilitating illness become exhausted after even mild activity, alongside experiencing other symptoms such as headaches. Long dismissed by some medical professionals because it had no clear biological underpinning, ME/CFS is often post-viral.

It isn’t uncommon for an infection to trigger long-lasting symptoms. One study of 253 people diagnosed with certain viral or bacterial infections found that after 6 months, 12% reported persistent symptoms including “disabling fatigue, musculoskeletal pain, neurocognitive difficulties, and mood disturbance”10. That percentage is strikingly similar to the long COVID prevalence observed in the United Kingdom by the ONS.


https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2021/04/29/researchers-are-closing-in-on-long-covid
IN THE 1890s one of the biggest pandemics in history, known at the time as “Russian flu”, swept the world. It left 1m people dead. Russian flu is now thought to have been misnamed. It was probably not influenza, but rather a coronavirus ancestral to one that now just causes symptoms described by sufferers as “a cold”. When it was new, however, few people had immunity to it, so it was often lethal. And not only that. For, as the pandemic receded, it left in its wake a wave of nervous disorders. A similar wave followed the next big pandemic, the “Spanish” flu of 1918 (which, though nothing much to do with Spain, really was influenza). One common symptom was lethargy so bad that in Tanganyika (modern-day Tanzania) it helped cause a famine because so many people were too debilitated to pick the harvest.

Something similar is happening now, with the covid-19 pandemic. A wave of what has become known as “long covid” is emerging in countries where acute cases have been falling.

anyway, my take is that the symptoms would still manifest in those people but at a later age; covid just accelerated their onset.
it has to do with allergies, intolerances and general organ weakening(smoking->lungs, drinking->liver, etc)
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5525 Posts
September 20 2021 09:26 GMT
#9456
On September 20 2021 07:27 BlackJack wrote:
Quite a few more than Magic Powers claim that nobody was hospitalized from myocarditis after vaccination. 0% vs 96%... maybe I am just splitting hairs.

You misread that figure so badly that perhaps you should reconsider commenting on the topic...
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28617 Posts
September 20 2021 09:33 GMT
#9457
96% of people who got myocarditis after vaccination were hospitalized with it. It's not difficult to understand that this is what BJ meant by his post. Be a tiny bit charitable in your interpretations of what others are posting and most of these dumb back and forths can easily be avoided.
Moderator
voyager2song
Profile Joined September 2021
United States1 Post
Last Edited: 2021-09-20 09:38:11
September 20 2021 09:37 GMT
#9458
--- Nuked ---
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5525 Posts
September 20 2021 09:39 GMT
#9459
On September 20 2021 18:33 Liquid`Drone wrote:
96% of people who got myocarditis after vaccination were hospitalized with it. It's not difficult to understand that this is what BJ meant by his post. Be a tiny bit charitable in your interpretations of what others are posting and most of these dumb back and forths can easily be avoided.

He directly compared it with the 0% claimed by Magic Powers, which referred to the share of all vaccinated people. He was either talking about how common myocarditis is among vaccinated people or had no idea what Magic Powers was talking about.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17947 Posts
September 20 2021 09:48 GMT
#9460
On September 20 2021 18:39 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 20 2021 18:33 Liquid`Drone wrote:
96% of people who got myocarditis after vaccination were hospitalized with it. It's not difficult to understand that this is what BJ meant by his post. Be a tiny bit charitable in your interpretations of what others are posting and most of these dumb back and forths can easily be avoided.

He directly compared it with the 0% claimed by Magic Powers, which referred to the share of all vaccinated people. He was either talking about how common myocarditis is among vaccinated people or had no idea what Magic Powers was talking about.

I'd give him a bit more credit than that. I'd interpret MP's post the same way he did: nobody who got myocarditis from vaccines was hospitalized. It's obviously wrong. It's one of the main reasons we were told to hang around the vaccination center for 15 minutes, and we'd obviously get taken straight to a doctor in the case of adverse effects. This would presumably count as hospitalization.

I agree with MP's overall point that BJ is splitting hairs. But when discussing with someone as pedantic as him, it's best to be very precise with your language.
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