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Coronavirus and You - Page 113

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
April 08 2020 16:15 GMT
#2241
--- Nuked ---
dankobanana
Profile Joined February 2016
Croatia244 Posts
April 08 2020 16:28 GMT
#2242
I've recently had an opportunity to talk to Ivan Đikić (a renowned molecular biologist) and Wolfgang Bock (mathematician that specializes in modelling pandemics) about the coronavirus outbreak. We talked about different approaches to combat pandemic, the role of mathematicians and epidemiologists, and vaccine development etc...
Battle is waged in the name of the many. The brave, who generation after generation choose the mantle of - Dark Templar!
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
April 08 2020 18:01 GMT
#2243
On April 09 2020 01:28 dankobanana wrote:
I've recently had an opportunity to talk to Ivan Đikić (a renowned molecular biologist) and Wolfgang Bock (mathematician that specializes in modelling pandemics) about the coronavirus outbreak. We talked about different approaches to combat pandemic, the role of mathematicians and epidemiologists, and vaccine development etc...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eC-oXJ6aMSE


This is awesome, thank you for posting!
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
April 08 2020 18:06 GMT
#2244
Here is a paper studying covid's ability to remain on surfaces. Super creepy. Helps explain why this is strangely transmittable.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2004973?fbclid=IwAR3hnF1aMot0nKEPlR5mfLgWWMGKe3hhRdUKE7hhaQmvkN801inTCAJTEzY

Figure 1A basically tells the whole story.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2004973?fbclid=IwAR3hnF1aMot0nKEPlR5mfLgWWMGKe3hhRdUKE7hhaQmvkN801inTCAJTEzY
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
April 08 2020 18:16 GMT
#2245
On April 09 2020 03:06 Mohdoo wrote:
Here is a paper studying covid's ability to remain on surfaces. Super creepy. Helps explain why this is strangely transmittable.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2004973?fbclid=IwAR3hnF1aMot0nKEPlR5mfLgWWMGKe3hhRdUKE7hhaQmvkN801inTCAJTEzY

Figure 1A basically tells the whole story.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2004973?fbclid=IwAR3hnF1aMot0nKEPlR5mfLgWWMGKe3hhRdUKE7hhaQmvkN801inTCAJTEzY

So leave your groceries for two days after shopping?
Leaving it in direct sunlight could be better (UV light) but is not tested here.
Neither is how refrigeration or freezing is affecting the virus decay times.

Can't really draw any conclusions regarding that from the publication imo, as infectiousness is hard to extrapolate from the data and not mentioned in the paper.
passive quaranstream fan
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
April 08 2020 19:09 GMT
#2246
On April 09 2020 03:16 Artisreal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2020 03:06 Mohdoo wrote:
Here is a paper studying covid's ability to remain on surfaces. Super creepy. Helps explain why this is strangely transmittable.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2004973?fbclid=IwAR3hnF1aMot0nKEPlR5mfLgWWMGKe3hhRdUKE7hhaQmvkN801inTCAJTEzY

Figure 1A basically tells the whole story.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2004973?fbclid=IwAR3hnF1aMot0nKEPlR5mfLgWWMGKe3hhRdUKE7hhaQmvkN801inTCAJTEzY

So leave your groceries for two days after shopping?
Leaving it in direct sunlight could be better (UV light) but is not tested here.
Neither is how refrigeration or freezing is affecting the virus decay times.

Can't really draw any conclusions regarding that from the publication imo, as infectiousness is hard to extrapolate from the data and not mentioned in the paper.


The paper doesn't discuss infection, just decay. But the comparison to SARS makes for an interesting comparison. Shows us why 'rona is spreading faster than SARS did, at least one component of why. Other reasons too, of course, but the fact that it hangs around so long is a big deal.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-04-08 20:23:37
April 08 2020 20:15 GMT
#2247
Really? From my interpretation of the graphs in figure 1, compared with SARS, COVID-19 has about the same decay rate with the exception of cardboard surface, which has a wider variability, which suggests something may have gone wrong in that testing. So I would assume CoVID-19 hangs around as long as SARS did.
Oleo
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands283 Posts
April 08 2020 20:29 GMT
#2248
Yeah old news from 3 weeks ago, it wasnt a big deal than it isnt a big deal/super creepy now.

Observe proper hygiene and surfaces are really not a threat.
Managing Siegetanks is like raising a superhero - Artosis.
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1959 Posts
April 08 2020 20:53 GMT
#2249
On April 09 2020 04:09 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2020 03:16 Artisreal wrote:
On April 09 2020 03:06 Mohdoo wrote:
Here is a paper studying covid's ability to remain on surfaces. Super creepy. Helps explain why this is strangely transmittable.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2004973?fbclid=IwAR3hnF1aMot0nKEPlR5mfLgWWMGKe3hhRdUKE7hhaQmvkN801inTCAJTEzY

Figure 1A basically tells the whole story.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2004973?fbclid=IwAR3hnF1aMot0nKEPlR5mfLgWWMGKe3hhRdUKE7hhaQmvkN801inTCAJTEzY

So leave your groceries for two days after shopping?
Leaving it in direct sunlight could be better (UV light) but is not tested here.
Neither is how refrigeration or freezing is affecting the virus decay times.

Can't really draw any conclusions regarding that from the publication imo, as infectiousness is hard to extrapolate from the data and not mentioned in the paper.


The paper doesn't discuss infection, just decay. But the comparison to SARS makes for an interesting comparison. Shows us why 'rona is spreading faster than SARS did, at least one component of why. Other reasons too, of course, but the fact that it hangs around so long is a big deal.


A question I am very curious about is when the virus is actuallly able to infect someone, not just how long you can detect traces of it. This goes for both surfaces and air.

The main danger is close contact, even more over time, and the main way of transmission is through fluids. It is not like infected persons spread the virus to entire planes and airports.

Is there any research from Korea? They tested a LOT of possibly infected persons, and should know a thing or two about when the virus is likely to be transmitted and when it isn't.
Buff the siegetank
InFiNitY[pG]
Profile Blog Joined December 2002
Germany3474 Posts
April 08 2020 20:55 GMT
#2250
On a more positive note, Jack Dorsey donated one billion dollars in company shares to corona related projects.
"I just pressed stimpack, and somehow I won the battle" -Flash
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
April 09 2020 01:21 GMT
#2251
--- Nuked ---
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24059 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-04-09 02:24:11
April 09 2020 02:22 GMT
#2252
In the US WA is top 5 in testing per million and out of the top 10 for cases new and total (www.worldometers.info)so I think it is safe to say our social distancing and reaction time has helped. Seattle hospitals are swamped but seems we've kept our need for ventilators satisfied since we sent 400 ventilators back to the national reserve.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Bagration
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States18282 Posts
April 09 2020 05:18 GMT
#2253
It seems like the catastrophic scenarios forecasted for the USA are being avoided? Or have I been conditioned by the more pessimistic outcomes that were mentioned back in March, and now the situation seems like it's improved? It seems like they're now projecting 80K deaths in the USA by August - which is better than previously forecasted.

Unfortunately, it seems like re-infection may be possible even after people recover, so we might not see an end to this until a vaccine is widely available (spring 2021?)
Team Slayers, Axiom-Acer and Vile forever
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9881 Posts
April 09 2020 07:26 GMT
#2254
Well its official. Breaking the lockdown in the UK gets you sent to the gulag.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/08/police-chiefs-call-on-no-10-to-tighten-uk-lockdown

Police chiefs want the government to consider toughening coronavirus lockdown restrictions, the Guardian has learned, as they head into the Easter bank holiday weekend with concerns that a growing minority will flout the rules.

More stringent restrictions to prevent people driving long distances are among options supported by at least five chief constables who want enforcement action to be bolstered by clearer and tougher government curbs. Other options include using legislation to enforce the order to limit exercise to once a day.

Police have sent speed and traffic camera data to the government showing that road use in some areas last weekend was up nearly 10% compared with the previous weekend. Compliance with lockdown restrictions imposed on 23 March is still high, however, with a minority ignoring it to take walks or exercise their dogs far from home, sometimes in groups.

It comes as forces created online forms for the public to report potential lockdown breaches. One announcement of the new system, from Cambridgeshire police, met with a backlash online.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22405 Posts
April 09 2020 09:51 GMT
#2255
On April 09 2020 16:26 Jockmcplop wrote:
Well its official. Breaking the lockdown in the UK gets you sent to the gulag.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/08/police-chiefs-call-on-no-10-to-tighten-uk-lockdown

Show nested quote +
Police chiefs want the government to consider toughening coronavirus lockdown restrictions, the Guardian has learned, as they head into the Easter bank holiday weekend with concerns that a growing minority will flout the rules.

More stringent restrictions to prevent people driving long distances are among options supported by at least five chief constables who want enforcement action to be bolstered by clearer and tougher government curbs. Other options include using legislation to enforce the order to limit exercise to once a day.

Police have sent speed and traffic camera data to the government showing that road use in some areas last weekend was up nearly 10% compared with the previous weekend. Compliance with lockdown restrictions imposed on 23 March is still high, however, with a minority ignoring it to take walks or exercise their dogs far from home, sometimes in groups.

It comes as forces created online forms for the public to report potential lockdown breaches. One announcement of the new system, from Cambridgeshire police, met with a backlash online.


Bored in lockdown? Want to do something for the common good?You can snitch on your neighbours and passerbies for free now!

Saw an article yesterday about reinfection being possible apparently, but it was just inferred from low antibody counts in recovered patients. Will believe it when I see it though, that would be something novel I think.
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria868 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-04-09 10:04:01
April 09 2020 10:03 GMT
#2256

"We have reached the peak" of the pandemic, says Spain's PM


Link: https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-04-09-20/h_58a159b4419850fe3c4f422d8a0ad7d8

Ok, this scares me to be honest. It sounds like they think they can predict the future, act like virus is their own weapon and they can control it or something weird like that. How can you know you've reached the peak when there was 4-day decline, then cases rose again and the next day you announce this is the peak? I think anything could happen, so I'm confused by this announcement.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
April 09 2020 14:13 GMT
#2257
On April 09 2020 19:03 SC-Shield wrote:
Show nested quote +

"We have reached the peak" of the pandemic, says Spain's PM


Link: https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-04-09-20/h_58a159b4419850fe3c4f422d8a0ad7d8

Ok, this scares me to be honest. It sounds like they think they can predict the future, act like virus is their own weapon and they can control it or something weird like that. How can you know you've reached the peak when there was 4-day decline, then cases rose again and the next day you announce this is the peak? I think anything could happen, so I'm confused by this announcement.


Especially when we're not totally 100% set on whether reinfection is possible or not.
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1959 Posts
April 09 2020 14:22 GMT
#2258
On April 09 2020 23:13 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2020 19:03 SC-Shield wrote:

"We have reached the peak" of the pandemic, says Spain's PM


Link: https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-04-09-20/h_58a159b4419850fe3c4f422d8a0ad7d8

Ok, this scares me to be honest. It sounds like they think they can predict the future, act like virus is their own weapon and they can control it or something weird like that. How can you know you've reached the peak when there was 4-day decline, then cases rose again and the next day you announce this is the peak? I think anything could happen, so I'm confused by this announcement.


Especially when we're not totally 100% set on whether reinfection is possible or not.


He probably knows more about the situation behind the numbers than you do.

Also, a record 4800 were reported as recovered in Spain yesterday, which should be among the highest in one day for any country so far.

There has not been any reinfection waved anywhere yet, like in China. Can't we worry about them when they actually happen?
Buff the siegetank
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
April 09 2020 14:34 GMT
#2259
--- Nuked ---
Aveng3r
Profile Joined February 2012
United States2411 Posts
April 09 2020 14:35 GMT
#2260
On April 09 2020 23:22 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2020 23:13 Mohdoo wrote:
On April 09 2020 19:03 SC-Shield wrote:

"We have reached the peak" of the pandemic, says Spain's PM


Link: https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-04-09-20/h_58a159b4419850fe3c4f422d8a0ad7d8

Ok, this scares me to be honest. It sounds like they think they can predict the future, act like virus is their own weapon and they can control it or something weird like that. How can you know you've reached the peak when there was 4-day decline, then cases rose again and the next day you announce this is the peak? I think anything could happen, so I'm confused by this announcement.


Especially when we're not totally 100% set on whether reinfection is possible or not.


He probably knows more about the situation behind the numbers than you do.

Also, a record 4800 were reported as recovered in Spain yesterday, which should be among the highest in one day for any country so far.

There has not been any reinfection waved anywhere yet, like in China. Can't we worry about them when they actually happen?

No, a lack of proper planning is what got us into this mess. Planning ahead is absolutely essential.
I carve marble busts of assassinated world leaders - PM for a quote
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