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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 634

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

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If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
August 22 2018 14:11 GMT
#12661
Pence is likely just as deranged, only he's the Indiana radio host version of Trump's NYC crook styling.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46279 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 14:18:22
August 22 2018 14:17 GMT
#12662
On August 22 2018 23:00 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 20:39 Gahlo wrote:
On August 22 2018 20:10 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On August 22 2018 18:06 Excludos wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:58 iamthedave wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.


It is very possible Democrats will have majority after this fall's election. At which point it doesn't really matter what Republicans think (To my knowledge anyways, correct me if I'm wrong).

You are wrong; you can’t remove a president from office with a simple majority. Democrats would need the support from a large number of R congressmen to impeach Trump.

I just wonder if the GOP won’t start to think they have more to lose by supporting him than by turning against Trump if the mid term is a blue wave. Time will tell.

In a way, I would rather Trump stay in power, because he is damaging the GOP brand in a probably irreversible way. And because Pence manages to be somewhat even more horrifying than him.

An easy thing to say from France. I agree overall, but it's a pain in the ass to live under.

Oh i meant in the alternative between Trump and Pence. Of course I would also rather not have my eyes bleeding every time I open the news.. But between a sleazy, slightly deranged conman and a religious fanatic, I would chose the first one every day of the week and twice on sunday.


I prefer the amount of damage I think Trump can do to the amount of damage I think Pence can do, too. That being said, I'd also like criminals to be held accountable for their actions and not be given free passes. I want the system to work too (and for Congressional Republicans to do the right thing, for once), and that may end up being a greater good in the long run, to make future Trump-like candidates think twice before running for president. I don't know, honestly.

That being said, there's pretty much 0% chance that Trump is actually removed from the presidency.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18411 Posts
August 22 2018 14:22 GMT
#12663
On August 22 2018 23:00 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 20:39 Gahlo wrote:
On August 22 2018 20:10 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On August 22 2018 18:06 Excludos wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:58 iamthedave wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.


It is very possible Democrats will have majority after this fall's election. At which point it doesn't really matter what Republicans think (To my knowledge anyways, correct me if I'm wrong).

You are wrong; you can’t remove a president from office with a simple majority. Democrats would need the support from a large number of R congressmen to impeach Trump.

I just wonder if the GOP won’t start to think they have more to lose by supporting him than by turning against Trump if the mid term is a blue wave. Time will tell.

In a way, I would rather Trump stay in power, because he is damaging the GOP brand in a probably irreversible way. And because Pence manages to be somewhat even more horrifying than him.

An easy thing to say from France. I agree overall, but it's a pain in the ass to live under.

Oh i meant in the alternative between Trump and Pence. Of course I would also rather not have my eyes bleeding every time I open the news.. But between a sleazy, slightly deranged conman and a religious fanatic, I would chose the first one every day of the week and twice on sunday.


I dunno. I think that is a rather serious simplification. I think there is a failure in the political system that allows the VP to finish the term after a president is impeached. Even though people voted for the whole ticket, there is no doubt that the VP's role on the ballot is to make the P look good, and he is never actually expected to do much of anything. It's quite possible that people who don't support Pence supported Trump: they don't actually represent the same group of people at all. Oppose that to something like Obama and Biden, or even Bush and Cheney: they may not be the same people or personality, but they do represent the same political flavor (as did Hillary and Kaine). But there is no reason that needs to be the case, and with Trump and Pence that is clearly not the case: one is a demagogue and the other is a religious fundamentalist. That represents a problem, because you cannot really expect Pence to continue Trump's politics but without being an actual criminal, which is what you'd want from a system in which the VP continues to serve out the term until the next scheduled elections.

But given that the system isn't gonna change, I still think you'd still want to "suck up" 1-2 years of Pence in favor of a system that *chooses* to leave a known criminal in charge just to avoid a lunatic. Weakening your institutions is not something you should want to do.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 14:27:18
August 22 2018 14:23 GMT
#12664
Cohen is going to give testimony of election rigging with Russia according to his lawyer. Gonna be some interesting tweet days. As of now Trump is praising Manafort for 'not breaking' like Cohen and he feels really bad for poor Paul and his family. His tweets actually read like a mob boss lol

Lanny Davis, the attorney representing President Donald Trump’s former longtime personal lawyer Michael Cohen, said Wednesday that Cohen knew of efforts by Trump to conspire with Russia to rig the 2016 presidential election.

Davis had previously teased that Cohen had “knowledge on certain subjects that should be of interest to the special counsel,” but he came right out and suggested a smoking gun on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” on Wednesday morning.

Cohen pleaded guilty in federal court on Tuesday to multiple charges, including campaign finance violations that he said he committed on the direction of Trump. While discussing the possible implications for Trump, Davis went on to give some details about information he said Cohen had that relate to the special counsel’s investigation into Russian election interference.

Specifically, he said Cohen was willing to provide the special counsel Robert Mueller with evidence that Trump worked with Russia to sway the election.


Do you think Cohen will hurt GOP as a whole given that he was the deputy finance chair of the Republican National committee?
Neosteel Enthusiast
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 22 2018 14:29 GMT
#12665
He is trying to mitigate his sentence by working out a deal with the Mueller team. Lanny Davis is not a bad attorney, so he has to believe this is the best chance for Cohen to not get thrown in jail for several decades.

I don’t know if it will work. Going on TV and overtly asking for a cooperation agreement with the Special Counsel is the exact opposite of what a prosecutor wants. But this entire thing is so abnormal that the normal rules may not apply any more.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22519 Posts
August 22 2018 14:36 GMT
#12666
7d chess.
Cohen is publicly threatening to throw Trump under the bus hoping to force his hand to give a pardon to keep Cohen quiet, rather then wait and hope he gets one.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 14:38:16
August 22 2018 14:37 GMT
#12667
On August 22 2018 23:23 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Cohen is going to give testimony of election rigging with Russia according to his lawyer. Gonna be some interesting tweet days. As of now Trump is praising Manafort for 'not breaking' like Cohen and he feels really bad for poor Paul and his family. His tweets actually read like a mob boss lol

Show nested quote +
Lanny Davis, the attorney representing President Donald Trump’s former longtime personal lawyer Michael Cohen, said Wednesday that Cohen knew of efforts by Trump to conspire with Russia to rig the 2016 presidential election.

Davis had previously teased that Cohen had “knowledge on certain subjects that should be of interest to the special counsel,” but he came right out and suggested a smoking gun on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” on Wednesday morning.

Cohen pleaded guilty in federal court on Tuesday to multiple charges, including campaign finance violations that he said he committed on the direction of Trump. While discussing the possible implications for Trump, Davis went on to give some details about information he said Cohen had that relate to the special counsel’s investigation into Russian election interference.

Specifically, he said Cohen was willing to provide the special counsel Robert Mueller with evidence that Trump worked with Russia to sway the election.


Do you think Cohen will hurt GOP as a whole given that he was the deputy finance chair of the Republican National committee?



I'm curious if there are pieces Mueller needs from Manafort or if Cohen is himself a silver bullet. There are likely things Manafort was independently responsible for, such as making connections, but it seems like Cohen was likely involved.

Also curious if Cohen's story regarding Prague ends up changing. That was a big part of the dossier. If he says he actually was in Prague for all the dossier reasons, it would.be harder for people to assume everything else is fake.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 22 2018 14:50 GMT
#12668
The Mueller team filed a motion this week that they need more time with Flynn before his sentencing, which means they likely are still digging into some aspect of the investigation.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
August 22 2018 15:00 GMT
#12669
They prolly wanted Flynn to marinate in Cohen's plea/Manafort's conviction before finalizing their sentencing recommendation.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
August 22 2018 15:18 GMT
#12670
On August 22 2018 23:23 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Cohen is going to give testimony of election rigging with Russia according to his lawyer. Gonna be some interesting tweet days. As of now Trump is praising Manafort for 'not breaking' like Cohen and he feels really bad for poor Paul and his family. His tweets actually read like a mob boss lol

Show nested quote +
Lanny Davis, the attorney representing President Donald Trump’s former longtime personal lawyer Michael Cohen, said Wednesday that Cohen knew of efforts by Trump to conspire with Russia to rig the 2016 presidential election.

Davis had previously teased that Cohen had “knowledge on certain subjects that should be of interest to the special counsel,” but he came right out and suggested a smoking gun on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” on Wednesday morning.

Cohen pleaded guilty in federal court on Tuesday to multiple charges, including campaign finance violations that he said he committed on the direction of Trump. While discussing the possible implications for Trump, Davis went on to give some details about information he said Cohen had that relate to the special counsel’s investigation into Russian election interference.

Specifically, he said Cohen was willing to provide the special counsel Robert Mueller with evidence that Trump worked with Russia to sway the election.


Do you think Cohen will hurt GOP as a whole given that he was the deputy finance chair of the Republican National committee?


This is crazy right here. I sure hope he has evidence beyond his own word.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 15:58:11
August 22 2018 15:57 GMT
#12671
On August 23 2018 00:18 Doodsmack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 23:23 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
Cohen is going to give testimony of election rigging with Russia according to his lawyer. Gonna be some interesting tweet days. As of now Trump is praising Manafort for 'not breaking' like Cohen and he feels really bad for poor Paul and his family. His tweets actually read like a mob boss lol

Lanny Davis, the attorney representing President Donald Trump’s former longtime personal lawyer Michael Cohen, said Wednesday that Cohen knew of efforts by Trump to conspire with Russia to rig the 2016 presidential election.

Davis had previously teased that Cohen had “knowledge on certain subjects that should be of interest to the special counsel,” but he came right out and suggested a smoking gun on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” on Wednesday morning.

Cohen pleaded guilty in federal court on Tuesday to multiple charges, including campaign finance violations that he said he committed on the direction of Trump. While discussing the possible implications for Trump, Davis went on to give some details about information he said Cohen had that relate to the special counsel’s investigation into Russian election interference.

Specifically, he said Cohen was willing to provide the special counsel Robert Mueller with evidence that Trump worked with Russia to sway the election.


Do you think Cohen will hurt GOP as a whole given that he was the deputy finance chair of the Republican National committee?


This is crazy right here. I sure hope he has evidence beyond his own word.


Didn't he tape a bunch of his convos with trump? He strikes me as the guy to keep records of the dumb shit he does
Kinda like the guy from casino
Something witty
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 22 2018 16:00 GMT
#12672
The plea agreement states there are recordings, encrypted communications and other documents to support Cohen’s guilty plea and assertion.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8169 Posts
August 22 2018 16:11 GMT
#12673
On August 22 2018 23:36 Gorsameth wrote:
7d chess.
Cohen is publicly threatening to throw Trump under the bus hoping to force his hand to give a pardon to keep Cohen quiet, rather then wait and hope he gets one.

Trump cannot pardon either Manafort or Cohen. That would be absolutely suicidal.

Meanwhile a good summary of what going on in the conservative post factual bubble: Trump fans chanting « lock her up » the day his personal lawyer and campaign managers get jail time. What a time to be alive...

The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9642 Posts
August 22 2018 16:12 GMT
#12674
On August 23 2018 01:11 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 23:36 Gorsameth wrote:
7d chess.
Cohen is publicly threatening to throw Trump under the bus hoping to force his hand to give a pardon to keep Cohen quiet, rather then wait and hope he gets one.

Trump cannot pardon either Manafort or Cohen. That would be absolutely suicidal.

Meanwhile a good summary of what going on in the conservative post factual bubble: Trump fans chanting « lock her up » the day his personal lawyer and campaign managers get jail time. What a time to be alive...


it’s all that liberal hysteria i’ve been hearing about.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8169 Posts
August 22 2018 16:17 GMT
#12675
On August 23 2018 01:12 brian wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 23 2018 01:11 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On August 22 2018 23:36 Gorsameth wrote:
7d chess.
Cohen is publicly threatening to throw Trump under the bus hoping to force his hand to give a pardon to keep Cohen quiet, rather then wait and hope he gets one.

Trump cannot pardon either Manafort or Cohen. That would be absolutely suicidal.

Meanwhile a good summary of what going on in the conservative post factual bubble: Trump fans chanting « lock her up » the day his personal lawyer and campaign managers get jail time. What a time to be alive...


it’s all that liberal hysteria i’ve been hearing about.

Unfortunately the only time in relatively recent memory where such a large chunk of people in the West decided that facts or truth didn’t matter anymore at all were the 1930s.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 16:48:05
August 22 2018 16:33 GMT
#12676
On August 23 2018 00:00 farvacola wrote:
They prolly wanted Flynn to marinate in Cohen's plea/Manafort's conviction before finalizing their sentencing recommendation.


"Cohen is fully cooperating. You sure there's nothing else you want to share?" is a conversation I imagine took place, which resulted in Flynn needing to replace his underwear ~6 times.

Cohen is just absolutely massive. The fact that he broke is so, so big. He can likely bring down Manafort himself. Cohen testifying against Manafort is likely not necessary at this point, but could be used as yet another way to get.

Edit: I also think it is very likely that given what we know about Trump's technical prowess, it is very likely there are a lot of things Cohen did as an extension of Trump. This likely includes things like working directly with Manafort/Pence. I have a hard time believing there is much that Cohen was kept away from. I think we can approximate Cohen to Trump himself in many ways. At least regarding knowledge/understanding of their various schemes.
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9642 Posts
August 22 2018 18:03 GMT
#12677
I was listening to Pod Save America, so take this for whatever it’s worth to you, but they said reports were out that McGahn sat with Mueller for over thirty hours.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22519 Posts
August 22 2018 18:10 GMT
#12678
On August 23 2018 03:03 brian wrote:
I was listening to Pod Save America, so take this for whatever it’s worth to you, but they said reports were out that McGahn sat with Mueller for over thirty hours.
Is that so unusual? I imagine most of people spilling the beans about major cases spend a long time in interviews
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
August 22 2018 18:14 GMT
#12679
On August 23 2018 03:10 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 23 2018 03:03 brian wrote:
I was listening to Pod Save America, so take this for whatever it’s worth to you, but they said reports were out that McGahn sat with Mueller for over thirty hours.
Is that so unusual? I imagine most of people spilling the beans about major cases spend a long time in interviews


All depends what you consider usual at this point. Extremely high level lawyers defecting from a sitting president is generally considered unusual. Or at least prior to 2016. We're in a weird timeline, so no, this is just another day.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22519 Posts
August 22 2018 18:34 GMT
#12680
On August 23 2018 03:14 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 23 2018 03:10 Gorsameth wrote:
On August 23 2018 03:03 brian wrote:
I was listening to Pod Save America, so take this for whatever it’s worth to you, but they said reports were out that McGahn sat with Mueller for over thirty hours.
Is that so unusual? I imagine most of people spilling the beans about major cases spend a long time in interviews


All depends what you consider usual at this point. Extremely high level lawyers defecting from a sitting president is generally considered unusual. Or at least prior to 2016. We're in a weird timeline, so no, this is just another day.

McGahn or Cohen defecting is big/weird. But a person in their position spending 30h in interviews with the prosecutor once they flip doesn't sound that improbable to me.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
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