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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 633

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14155 Posts
August 22 2018 01:19 GMT
#12641
Its pretty silly to say that there isn't at the very least some element of campaigning for the next election by any elected official. Positioning yourself for the next election is the basic practical foundation for the way any politician works.

The time he files for relelection as well is ilrelevent. Until a president says hes not running for a second term its always assumed he will. f
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 22 2018 01:34 GMT
#12642
Filing for re-election matter. It impacts how money can be collected and spent, legally speaking. I believe it allows him to run campaign ads for his entire term if he wanted. It is not some frivolous formality because Trump did it the day he took office.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Womwomwom
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
5930 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 01:59:32
August 22 2018 01:43 GMT
#12643
On August 22 2018 10:19 Sermokala wrote:
Its pretty silly to say that there isn't at the very least some element of campaigning for the next election by any elected official. Positioning yourself for the next election is the basic practical foundation for the way any politician works.

The time he files for relelection as well is ilrelevent. Until a president says hes not running for a second term its always assumed he will. f


It isn't irrelevant. Permanent campaigns are not new. Trump's "4 year in advance" rallies are completely new because:
1) they're private events funded by campaign donations and not the Whitehouse, meaning he can intentionally gate who is allowed in
2) since they're explicitly run by Trump's campaign, there's far fewer restrictions on what he can say and do
3) he can use this information to build up voter information databases four years in advance
4) he can explicitly ask for donations for his 2020 bid like a million years in advance

Like, his campaign is pretty open about why his campaign is constantly organizing these rallies. I'm not really reading between the lines or anything, these four points are their main justifications for why they're not doing the traditional Whitehouse organised public events that every other past president did.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
August 22 2018 02:22 GMT
#12644
Trump also has a formal 2020 campaign team that has been operating since day one. They sell merchandise for it etc. And whether he has filed for re-election very much matters for this. False equivalence fail.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14155 Posts
August 22 2018 03:22 GMT
#12645
Simply doing things out in the open instead of trying to keep it an open secret isn't a false equivalence. If it wasn't a campaign staff and campaign dollars it would be party staff and party dollars. If anything its simply a signal that Trump still doesn't trust the GOP establishment and wants to build something on his own.

People file for office all the time with no intent to actually run when the deadline comes. Its just a form you can file for the fundraising purposes. I don't see how campaign donations is any more shady then backroom donations to a political party.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 03:35:01
August 22 2018 03:33 GMT
#12646
It isn’t illegal, it’s just shady as hell. At least with a political party there is a structure and disclosure. You are down playing how overt the Trump campaign can be about fund raising without running afoul of campaign finance law and how it changes the dynamic of politics to never stop campaigning. This isn’t transparency, it is exploiting a flaw in the law that does not put a limit on when a campaign can start.

Also Trump is using campaign funds to pay for his legal fees, which is also shady. There is no justification for Trumps use of the office of the President for personal enrichment, including his plans to fund raise for 4 years so he can funnel that money into the Trump organization.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 04:49:19
August 22 2018 04:48 GMT
#12647
Trump's 2020 campaign (slogan is "Keep America Great") is new and over and above what others have done, not simply "out in the open." But it may actually be beside the point to argue over whether the rallies represent a permanent campaign, because we all know that they are for Trump's ego satisfaction. As is his presidency.
Grumbels
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Netherlands7032 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 06:09:24
August 22 2018 05:24 GMT
#12648
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/aug/16/yemen-school-bus-bombing-one-of-50-strikes-on-civilian-vehicles-this-year

They just (two weeks ago) casually blew up a school bus in Yemen, leaving 51 people (mostly children) dead. Given US involvement in this war, does anyone know if this was covered in US media?
Well, now I tell you, I never seen good come o' goodness yet. Him as strikes first is my fancy; dead men don't bite; them's my views--amen, so be it.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8121 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 08:44:14
August 22 2018 08:43 GMT
#12649
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 08:59:14
August 22 2018 08:58 GMT
#12650
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8266 Posts
August 22 2018 09:06 GMT
#12651
On August 22 2018 17:58 iamthedave wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.


It is very possible Democrats will have majority after this fall's election. At which point it doesn't really matter what Republicans think (To my knowledge anyways, correct me if I'm wrong).
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8121 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 11:11:27
August 22 2018 11:10 GMT
#12652
On August 22 2018 18:06 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 17:58 iamthedave wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.


It is very possible Democrats will have majority after this fall's election. At which point it doesn't really matter what Republicans think (To my knowledge anyways, correct me if I'm wrong).

You are wrong; you can’t remove a president from office with a simple majority. Democrats would need the support from a large number of R congressmen to impeach Trump.

I just wonder if the GOP won’t start to think they have more to lose by supporting him than by turning against Trump if the mid term is a blue wave. Time will tell.

In a way, I would rather Trump stay in power, because he is damaging the GOP brand in a probably irreversible way. And because Pence manages to be somewhat even more horrifying than him.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35173 Posts
August 22 2018 11:39 GMT
#12653
On August 22 2018 20:10 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 18:06 Excludos wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:58 iamthedave wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.


It is very possible Democrats will have majority after this fall's election. At which point it doesn't really matter what Republicans think (To my knowledge anyways, correct me if I'm wrong).

You are wrong; you can’t remove a president from office with a simple majority. Democrats would need the support from a large number of R congressmen to impeach Trump.

I just wonder if the GOP won’t start to think they have more to lose by supporting him than by turning against Trump if the mid term is a blue wave. Time will tell.

In a way, I would rather Trump stay in power, because he is damaging the GOP brand in a probably irreversible way. And because Pence manages to be somewhat even more horrifying than him.

An easy thing to say from France. I agree overall, but it's a pain in the ass to live under.
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9642 Posts
August 22 2018 12:42 GMT
#12654
to a point i understand the sentiment. but it’s untenable to have an actual criminal as a president, should all the gossip of the day prove true. at that point i’d prefer to roll the dice on pence having a short and fruitless tenure.
Tachion
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Canada8573 Posts
August 22 2018 12:50 GMT
#12655
On August 22 2018 20:10 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 18:06 Excludos wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:58 iamthedave wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.


It is very possible Democrats will have majority after this fall's election. At which point it doesn't really matter what Republicans think (To my knowledge anyways, correct me if I'm wrong).

You are wrong; you can’t remove a president from office with a simple majority. Democrats would need the support from a large number of R congressmen to impeach Trump.

I just wonder if the GOP won’t start to think they have more to lose by supporting him than by turning against Trump if the mid term is a blue wave. Time will tell.

In a way, I would rather Trump stay in power, because he is damaging the GOP brand in a probably irreversible way. And because Pence manages to be somewhat even more horrifying than him.

It took 4 months from the release of Kenneth Starr's report to begin the impeachment trial against Bill Clinton. It's all hanging on what Mueller finds and when the public finds out about it. Obviously nothing will happen as long as the Republican's control the house. Most likely nothing will happen if it reaches the Senate.

Fun thing to note, Clinton saw the highest approval ratings of his presidency during his whole scandal and impeachment. Yes, his approval rating spiked while he was being impeached. I believe the public thought the GOP wasn't respecting the office of the President by putting him through all that for lying about a blowjob. Better hope the Democrat's have better optics if they go through with it.
i was driving down the road this november eve and spotted a hitchhiker walking down the street. i pulled over and saw that it was only a tree. i uprooted it and put it in my trunk. do trees like marshmallow peeps? cause that's all i have and will have.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 22 2018 12:56 GMT
#12656
Until there is a full report, congress won't act. Cohen isn't the most reliable person in the world and congress isn't going to act on his word alone. We have a ways to go before we even hear rumblings about impeachment, if it ever happens.

Now the mid terms, budget fight in September and Supreme Court nomination are another story.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22443 Posts
August 22 2018 13:19 GMT
#12657
On August 22 2018 21:50 Tachion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 20:10 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On August 22 2018 18:06 Excludos wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:58 iamthedave wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.


It is very possible Democrats will have majority after this fall's election. At which point it doesn't really matter what Republicans think (To my knowledge anyways, correct me if I'm wrong).

You are wrong; you can’t remove a president from office with a simple majority. Democrats would need the support from a large number of R congressmen to impeach Trump.

I just wonder if the GOP won’t start to think they have more to lose by supporting him than by turning against Trump if the mid term is a blue wave. Time will tell.

In a way, I would rather Trump stay in power, because he is damaging the GOP brand in a probably irreversible way. And because Pence manages to be somewhat even more horrifying than him.

It took 4 months from the release of Kenneth Starr's report to begin the impeachment trial against Bill Clinton. It's all hanging on what Mueller finds and when the public finds out about it. Obviously nothing will happen as long as the Republican's control the house. Most likely nothing will happen if it reaches the Senate.

Fun thing to note, Clinton saw the highest approval ratings of his presidency during his whole scandal and impeachment. Yes, his approval rating spiked while he was being impeached. I believe the public thought the GOP wasn't respecting the office of the President by putting him through all that for lying about a blowjob. Better hope the Democrat's have better optics if they go through with it.
Well fortunately Trumps crimes will be a bit bigger then lying about a blowjob.
I however suspect he would indeed see a spike as Republicans rally around 'their guy'.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 13:23:48
August 22 2018 13:22 GMT
#12658
--- Nuked ---
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 22 2018 13:41 GMT
#12659
It was covered by every outlet I pay attention to. It just never got much traction with the public. This is another flaw of Trumps domination of the news, is that stories like the Yemen bombing get buried by his need to control the news cycle.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8121 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-22 14:03:20
August 22 2018 14:00 GMT
#12660
On August 22 2018 20:39 Gahlo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 20:10 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On August 22 2018 18:06 Excludos wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:58 iamthedave wrote:
On August 22 2018 17:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Isn’t it becoming more and more likely that Trump won’t finish his term anyway? Unless Cohen lied while pleading guilty, we know Trump commited at least one serious crime during his campaign; if the democrats win the mid term as it looks they will, what would prevent the republican congressmen to tirn on Trump?

Note that I don’t even think it would be a good thing, considering the guy next in line is a Handmaid’s Tale villain.


Be honest: do you see the Republicans impeaching Trump over this? After all the propoganda, after how hard they've gone on in the witch hunt talk, after they've convinced their core base that Trump is a poor innocent victim being attacked by the mean government he runs?

Faux News would eviscerate them. It'd be party-wide career suicide.


It is very possible Democrats will have majority after this fall's election. At which point it doesn't really matter what Republicans think (To my knowledge anyways, correct me if I'm wrong).

You are wrong; you can’t remove a president from office with a simple majority. Democrats would need the support from a large number of R congressmen to impeach Trump.

I just wonder if the GOP won’t start to think they have more to lose by supporting him than by turning against Trump if the mid term is a blue wave. Time will tell.

In a way, I would rather Trump stay in power, because he is damaging the GOP brand in a probably irreversible way. And because Pence manages to be somewhat even more horrifying than him.

An easy thing to say from France. I agree overall, but it's a pain in the ass to live under.

Oh i meant in the alternative between Trump and Pence. Of course I would also rather not have my eyes bleeding every time I open the news.. But between a sleazy, slightly deranged conman and a religious fanatic, I would chose the first one every day of the week and twice on sunday.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
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