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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 631

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-21 20:39:54
August 21 2018 20:36 GMT
#12601
Per CNN the Manafort jury is deadlocked on 10 or the 18 charges. Interesting but probably shouldn't be suprising given the political undertones of this case, Gate being a shit witness, and the jury not being sequestered. Still, assuming some of those other 8 are guilty (which they should be given the overwhelming amount of forensic evidence), then Manafort is still looking at the possibility of dying in prison. Especially when you consider he has another trial to face after this one.

Source:
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 21 2018 20:41 GMT
#12602
That is the most non-breaking news that is barely worth reporting. “Jury provides status update to judge, asks a couple questions.”
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-21 20:44:41
August 21 2018 20:44 GMT
#12603
I disagree. If after all that evidence and 4 days of deliberations they are still unable to find a consensus on the majority of the charges it is a big deal. Still pretty shocked that the jury wasn't sequestered. You literally have the President of the United States on twitter trying to influence the jury. But for some reason the Judge is "surprised the trial got the attention it did." Dah fuck?
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-21 20:46:52
August 21 2018 20:46 GMT
#12604
On August 22 2018 05:18 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 01:24 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On August 22 2018 01:13 Plansix wrote:
On August 22 2018 01:06 Furikawari wrote:
Americans are good are justifying their love for their cars. When I hear about poor city planning... Like, you know, all french towns were built/rebuilt in the last 50 years (starting with Paris btw)! I lived in Grenoble for many years, I saw temperatures from -20 to +40 many times, and guess what? Grenoble was (maybe still is, dunno) the city with the most cycles paths in France. So yeah, maybe weather is not that good of an excuse.

We could fit all of France inside Texas and have room to spare, so you are kind of a tiny little country compared to the US. And I am no expert on the weather in France, but I don’t believe you folks are known for getting meters upon meters of snow. One does not bike in the New England during the winter months.


My dad used to bike to work every day of the year, about 15 km each way, living north of Anchorage. Meters upon meters of snow actually isn't the worst - as long as shit is getting plowed regularly. I mean, don't get me wrong. I agree you can't really bike if it's too cold, and I can agree that you can't really bike if it's too hot. But the weather is at most an excuse for a couple of the months of the year where americans don't use bikes much.


The problem is that if you can't bike for several months (in Minnesota this can reach upwards of 6 months, depending on the severity of winter), then you still have to own a car.

If most of the population has to still use a car, then significant infrastructure has to be tailored towards people using cars and not public transportation, bike paths, etc.

Not only this, but bikers are the absolute worst in the city. This whole thing with biking causes HUGE political arguments, since bikers slow down traffic all the time and regularly ignore traffic laws without any punishment.

Show nested quote +
Yes! And this why this started with better city planning!


This ignores the fact that Americans commute significantly more than Europeans, meaning you need to cover more distance with infrastructure than in Europe. This also eliminates the possibility of biking for many workers.

We also didn't address the fact that one of the reasons that Americans need to commute so far is that rent prices are ridiculously high in most metro areas to the point that workers can't afford them.


If you have a ton of single family homes, that take up a lot of land area, it's not a transit viable community. It's a mixture of density requirements, spread out destinations and poor city planning.

A good read if you have some time to spare.
https://www.translink.ca/-/media/Documents/plans_and_projects/transit_oriented_communities/Transit_Oriented_Communities_Primer.pdf

In Vancouver, we've put in a ton of bike lanes, resulting in a network with good separation between drivers/bikers, as well as high bike utilization. The city's bike share program had ~110k bike rides in July.
https://vancouver.ca/files/cov/map-cycling-vancouver.pdf

This is for a fairly dense city oriented around public transit/biking with no highway/freeways.

Looking at it another way, if you have to drive 15 minutes on the highway to work, that's a really really long way to bike. 15 minutes at 80mph is 20 miles. That's a good 45+ min of bike riding for someone in pretty good shape and probably 60+ min for most people, on a good road bike. If you're driving any longer than that on the highway, biking gets increasingly impractical.


On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-21 20:50:51
August 21 2018 20:47 GMT
#12605
Breaking news for real, per AP! Manafort guilty on 8 counts!! Mistrial on other 10. Will get link in sec.

This is all there is atm:


This is a big deal. Given how rough the judge was on the prosecutors there is a low chance of this being overturned on appeal. Manafort may now be looking to deal to avoid dying in prison.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-21 20:51:02
August 21 2018 20:50 GMT
#12606
We will have all the information when the verdict is reached, which is when the news will become “Breaking”. Right now, it is exactly where we were before. They are just driving engagement.

And people need to temper their expectations on how fast the jury is going to decide this a case of this nature. The Judge told them to take their time. And it is unlikely that the prosecution will get a guilty verdict on all 18 of the charges.

Edit: See, there we go. Guilty on 8 counts. They can go after him for the other 10 in a new case.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15742 Posts
August 21 2018 20:50 GMT
#12607
On August 22 2018 05:47 On_Slaught wrote:
Breaking news for real, per AP! Manafort guilty on 8 counts!! Mistrial on other 10. Will get link in sec.

This is all there is atm:
https://twitter.com/AP/status/1032004785854144512


This witch hunt is weirdly productive. It's almost like there is a ton of good reason for it to exist.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 21 2018 20:57 GMT
#12608
Cohen just plead guilty to making illegal payments at direction of candidate to influence election in his plea deal. It's raining good news today.

Source

Details are incoming, but I think we all know what this is pertaining to.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
August 21 2018 21:04 GMT
#12609
On August 22 2018 05:57 Plansix wrote:
Cohen just plead guilty to making illegal payments at direction of candidate to influence election in his plea deal. It's raining good news today.

Source

Details are incoming, but I think we all know what this is pertaining to.


It was clearly Hillary Clinton. shakes fist at the deep state

Campaign finance violations seem pretty pedestrian in the grand scheme of things, but what a world we live in. The president was just thrown under the bus by his own long-time attorney and business partner.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
August 21 2018 21:06 GMT
#12610
On August 22 2018 05:57 Plansix wrote:
Cohen just plead guilty to making illegal payments at direction of candidate to influence election in his plea deal. It's raining good news today.

Source

Details are incoming, but I think we all know what this is pertaining to.


Big day for the career criminals Trump chooses to surround himself with. Interesting that Cohen pleaded guilty to a crime that necessarily means Trump committed the same crime (assuming you accept the legitimacy of the charge and the truth of Cohen's plea).
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-21 21:17:59
August 21 2018 21:08 GMT
#12611
The campaign finance violation is a thousand times more serious that lying under oath about a BJ; that got Billy impeached and censured. And that is a whole separate crime from the whole obstruction case. Which is a whole separate crime from receiving material support from a foreign goverment to win an election.

Mueller be like "Folks this isn't even my final form."

On August 22 2018 06:06 Doodsmack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 05:57 Plansix wrote:
Cohen just plead guilty to making illegal payments at direction of candidate to influence election in his plea deal. It's raining good news today.

Source

Details are incoming, but I think we all know what this is pertaining to.


Big day for the career criminals Trump chooses to surround himself with. Interesting that Cohen pleaded guilty to a crime that necessarily means Trump committed the same crime (assuming you accept the legitimacy of the charge and the truth of Cohen's plea).


Edit: It appears there is no plea agreement to assist prosecutors, he is just pleading guilty. His master plan escapes me, beyond taking a shot at Trump on his way down.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 21 2018 21:13 GMT
#12612
Is 4 days enough deliberation time? for a case of this magnitude; it seems odd to declare a mistrial on some of the counts after only 4 days; rather than trying to deliberate longer.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 21 2018 21:17 GMT
#12613
On August 22 2018 06:13 zlefin wrote:
Is 4 days enough deliberation time? for a case of this magnitude; it seems odd to declare a mistrial on some of the counts after only 4 days; rather than trying to deliberate longer.

If the jury is dead locked on the charges, there isn't much the judge can do. They need a unanimous verdict, so there isn't much point to prolonging the deliberation if a set of jurors has already decided the evidence isn't sufficient.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 21 2018 21:21 GMT
#12614
On August 22 2018 06:17 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 06:13 zlefin wrote:
Is 4 days enough deliberation time? for a case of this magnitude; it seems odd to declare a mistrial on some of the counts after only 4 days; rather than trying to deliberate longer.

If the jury is dead locked on the charges, there isn't much the judge can do. They need a unanimous verdict, so there isn't much point to prolonging the deliberation if a set of jurors has already decided the evidence isn't sufficient.

the judge doesn't often insist the jurors take some more time to discuss it? (especially when it seems like they haven't been out that long; to me 4 days doesn't seem long given the complexity of the case and the numerous different charges).

will we get details on what how many jurors went each way on each of the disputed verdicts?
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
August 21 2018 21:24 GMT
#12615
Trump is currently en route to a rally in West Virginia. Looking forward to the verbal dysentery that will be coming out of Trumps rally tonight. I might even watch it live, despite the brain cells I will be sacrificing. Hes got to be very mad.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
August 21 2018 21:26 GMT
#12616
On August 22 2018 05:57 Plansix wrote:
Cohen just plead guilty to making illegal payments at direction of candidate to influence election in his plea deal. It's raining good news today.

Source

Details are incoming, but I think we all know what this is pertaining to.


It is worth noting that his deal does not involve a requirement to cooperate with prosecutors. Given how sweat the deal appaears to be he likely already given them what they want. It's been clear for weeks that he is cooperating with prosecutors.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
August 21 2018 21:26 GMT
#12617
On August 22 2018 06:08 Plansix wrote:
The campaign finance violation is a thousand times more serious that lying under oath about a BJ; that got Billy impeached and censured. And that is a whole separate crime from the whole obstruction case. Which is a whole separate crime from receiving material support from a foreign goverment to win an election.

Mueller be like "Folks this isn't even my final form."

Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 06:06 Doodsmack wrote:
On August 22 2018 05:57 Plansix wrote:
Cohen just plead guilty to making illegal payments at direction of candidate to influence election in his plea deal. It's raining good news today.

Source

Details are incoming, but I think we all know what this is pertaining to.


Big day for the career criminals Trump chooses to surround himself with. Interesting that Cohen pleaded guilty to a crime that necessarily means Trump committed the same crime (assuming you accept the legitimacy of the charge and the truth of Cohen's plea).


Edit: It appears there is no plea agreement to assist prosecutors, he is just pleading guilty. His master plan escapes me, beyond taking a shot at Trump on his way down.


It would seem that the campaign finance charge against Cohen is equally valid against Trump. I'm not sure what it means for trump though.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 21 2018 21:26 GMT
#12618
On August 22 2018 06:21 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 22 2018 06:17 Plansix wrote:
On August 22 2018 06:13 zlefin wrote:
Is 4 days enough deliberation time? for a case of this magnitude; it seems odd to declare a mistrial on some of the counts after only 4 days; rather than trying to deliberate longer.

If the jury is dead locked on the charges, there isn't much the judge can do. They need a unanimous verdict, so there isn't much point to prolonging the deliberation if a set of jurors has already decided the evidence isn't sufficient.

the judge doesn't often insist the jurors take some more time to discuss it? (especially when it seems like they haven't been out that long; to me 4 days doesn't seem long given the complexity of the case and the numerous different charges).

will we get details on what how many jurors went each way on each of the disputed verdicts?

I would need to check, but I believe we get the split, but no details on how specific jurors decided on each count. We don't get to know who the jurors are either, as they are entitled to privacy.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10856 Posts
August 21 2018 21:30 GMT
#12619
Why is your president doing rallies?

WHY?

seriously... is america just one big reality tv show or what is wrong with you?
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-08-21 21:32:19
August 21 2018 21:32 GMT
#12620
On August 22 2018 06:24 Doodsmack wrote:
Trump is currently en route to a rally in West Virginia. Looking forward to the verbal dysentery that will be coming out of Trumps rally tonight. I might even watch it live, despite the brain cells I will be sacrificing. Hes got to be very mad.


No doubt Mueller and Co. will be taping the rally tonight. Given the emotions surrounding this issue for Trump there is a high likelihood he says something horrible. Wouldn't be surprised if he asks the crowd if he should pardon Manafort. Hell, I wouldnt be surprised if he pardons him mid-speech. He is nothing if not rash.

Also some specifics on Manafort. Found guilty on 5 charges of tax fraud, 2 charges of bank fraud, and 1 of hiding a foreign bank account. He could get up to 80 years on these charges alone!
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