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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 517

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Grumbels
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Netherlands7032 Posts
July 21 2018 17:54 GMT
#10321
On July 21 2018 15:54 RvB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 21 2018 06:16 Grumbels wrote:
On July 21 2018 02:34 ticklishmusic wrote:
On July 21 2018 02:12 Plansix wrote:
On July 21 2018 01:51 mikedebo wrote:
On July 21 2018 00:35 Plansix wrote:
On July 21 2018 00:32 kollin wrote:
On July 21 2018 00:30 Plansix wrote:
On July 21 2018 00:25 kollin wrote:
On July 21 2018 00:16 Plansix wrote:
[quote]
States have a primary process that people are free to engage with to select a candidate for either party. We don’t have a parliamentary system in any state, so we are limited in how many candidates our elections can support. And frankly, seeing how productive some parliamentary systems are, I am not sure it’s the silver bullet to this problem.

That there's allowed to be some diversity within the parties doesn't change the fact that the US is a two party state where people are forced to choose between those options - it's facile to think either party, established as they are, could morph overnight into something else. And by criticising proportional systems for not being effective at problem solving, you're only highlighting a problem with democracy in general, which has two very important functions in the form of giving dignity to the populace through expression, and providing effective problem solving. The former is denied by FPTP, the latter seems to be made harder to achieve in proportional systems but, if we look at the real problems facing everyone - climate change, nuclear states, inequality etc - all democratic states appear unlikely of reaching solutions, and the problem solving process seems increasingly extra-democratic through tech companies and the like. Denying any form of a more proportional representation - even in the form of a presidential election system with rounds, like France - reduces the efficacy of the democratic process because people only vote for 'their side', even while that side is captured by extremists because most people don't have the time/energy to go out and vote in primaries. The idea that FPTP can be just as democratic as PR systems within a capitalist society in which people hold jobs is ridiculous - the system adopted by any country must fit the realities within that country, rather than reach for a hopeless idealism that engenders the breakdown of democratic norms.

I don’t disagree with any of these critiques, but what you are requesting would require a lot of work. Each of our states control their own voting system and how they put candidates on the ballot, so each would need to be separately lobbied to change their voting systems. Changing the current system would require a lifetime of work.

Absolutely haha, the problem with America being the cradle of democracy is that the institutions it's established - including the right to shoot politicians in the face should it come to it - are really really entrenched.

Part of the problem is people searching for the perfect system of democracy to counteract the pitfalls of democracy, rather than accept that it has always been broken. There is no system that will prevent voters from shooting themselves in the foot except smarter, better engaged voters. And it is really hard to make smarter, bettering engaged voters.


zlefin has a really good book linked in their sig that mostly debunks this argument and which I wish more people would read.

I am aware of Democracy for Realists(a truly terrible title, IMO), though I have not read it. I dislike the term "debunks" in political discussions because this is not a science. We cannot even use the scientific method when it comes to elections. So the findings of a book like Democracy for Realists and the theoretical merits of an educated and engaged voting population can co-exist as fact at the same time.

On July 21 2018 02:08 TheTenthDoc wrote:
I will say the combination of FPTP and the electoral college create an unholy gestalt of badness. Basically trivializes the votes of Republicans and Democrats in equal measure throughout heavy red and heavy blue states.

It's also weird how to me how post-2016 everyone seemed to take up arms about how we need (or don't need) the EC to give some advantage to rural communities when the college itself just favors small population states (which are somewhat predisposed to being rural, but that's a state connection not a rural community connection). States allocating EC votes proportionally would maintain this small population advantage, but it seems to never be on the table.

Changing/removing the electoral college would require an entire political party to run on the platform of changing the electoral college. Amendments to the foundation of our government are the acts of entire generations, not something that we do because one bad election.

That being said, I think that a shakeup of the way political power in distributed in the US is in order, if only to remind the political parties and population that the systems of power are not fixed.


An amendment requires 2/3 of of states to ratify it. Nuking the EC would shift a lot of power away from small states, so it seems extremely unlikely they'd go for it. That's beyond a political party making it their platform anyways.

There is some author who thinks California should divide itself into 6 states in order to game the senate. He says it is theoretically easier than changing the constitution. And he said that Washington and Puerto Rico should be given statehood. This would create way more states that vote blue. Similarly, the courts should be packed in order to dillute the power of conservative judges.

That's just rigging the game in the democrats favour and hardly a solution to the underlying problem of the US electoral system.

I don’t see how giving the most populous state more senators is rigging the system and therefore useless. All these proposals can be defended based on simple democratic grounds, the reason they all happen to benefit Democrats is because the GOP’s electoral success is based on gaming the electoral college, gerrymandering, suppressing and depressing turnout etc.
Well, now I tell you, I never seen good come o' goodness yet. Him as strikes first is my fancy; dead men don't bite; them's my views--amen, so be it.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-21 18:00:35
July 21 2018 17:55 GMT
#10322
I'll note that there's not a single third party voter I've met who convinced me that he/she made an actually informed decision before doing so. Non-third party voters could be equally uninformed (I haven't really bothered pursuing that line of inquiry), but at least they don't come at you with what seems to be an unjustifiable attitude of moral superiority.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Kyadytim
Profile Joined March 2009
United States886 Posts
July 21 2018 18:00 GMT
#10323
On July 22 2018 02:47 Grumbels wrote:
Spending a lot of energy on blaming third party voters or non-voters seems like not a great way to promote engagement with politics. You should ask yourselves why the USA has such low voter turnout to begin with.

There's two answers here. The first is that for probably a majority of Americans, their vote doesn't matter for state and federal government positions. They live in a district and state where one party wins every election. If all of the people who felt their vote didn't matter voted, their votes would matter, but it's hard to convince people to go out and vote without assurance that their vote will matter.

This sort of ties into a second and third point. The second point is that voting in America is a pain in the ass. I live in an area where it takes me about 40 minutes to vote, and I'd consider that probably in the top percentile of ease of voting. A lot of people have to spend most of their day to get to the polls and wait in line. Which leads us into the third point. Low voter turnout is good for Republicans, so they've been doing stuff to reduce voter turnout. Some of that is via government action such as reducing the number of polling places or the number of staff at those polling places, reducing early voting periods, or adding additional roadblocks such as voter ID or removing same day registration. That leads to more people deciding that their individual vote matters less to the country than 12 hours matters to them personally, or they are obstructed by the additional hurdles, but regardless, they don't vote.


Somewhat related, for people who think that Trump beating Clinton is going to result in a left wing surge - expect Republicans to spend the next two years trying to head off that surge by pushing a raft of new voter disenfranchisement stuff that will be upheld by the new Supreme Court.



Also, local elections take more time and energy to figure out who to vote for than state and national elections, because it's harder to find information on the candidates - they don't get plastered all over the place.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-21 19:58:05
July 21 2018 19:57 GMT
#10324
On July 22 2018 02:55 ticklishmusic wrote:
I'll note that there's not a single third party voter I've met who convinced me that he/she made an actually informed decision before doing so. Non-third party voters could be equally uninformed (I haven't really bothered pursuing that line of inquiry), but at least they don't come at you with what seems to be an unjustifiable attitude of moral superiority.

there's a bunch of research which shows voters in general are poorly informed. it just tends to be less obvious that they are for more centrist ones; people tend to parrot their own sides talking points, regardless of accuracy/validity; so if their sides talking points are decent, the people will sound decent.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24130 Posts
July 21 2018 20:07 GMT
#10325
On July 22 2018 02:55 ticklishmusic wrote:
I'll note that there's not a single third party voter I've met who convinced me that he/she made an actually informed decision before doing so. Non-third party voters could be equally uninformed (I haven't really bothered pursuing that line of inquiry), but at least they don't come at you with what seems to be an unjustifiable attitude of moral superiority.


I feel the same way about Clinton voters. Except I see a bunch of pages of people making that moral superiority argument by way of blaming progressives for liberals voting Trump.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Paljas
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany6926 Posts
July 21 2018 20:07 GMT
#10326
I am entirely unconvinced that the problems described here are exclusive to a two party system
TL+ Member
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24130 Posts
July 21 2018 20:10 GMT
#10327
On July 22 2018 05:07 Paljas wrote:
I am entirely unconvinced that the problems described here are exclusive to a two party system


Entrenched elites have made a home in near every system, but they are pretty much always the problem.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22454 Posts
July 21 2018 20:24 GMT
#10328
On July 22 2018 05:07 Paljas wrote:
I am entirely unconvinced that the problems described here are exclusive to a two party system
In a proportional system a vote for left Party A instead of B does not reduce the chance for the 'the left' to get a majority so there is much less need to vote for the lesser of evils and a bigger chance one of the available parties to align with your political preference.

It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14155 Posts
July 21 2018 22:25 GMT
#10329
I have never waited in line and I've never taken more then 5 minutes to fill out a ballot. If your voteing experience is bad thats a reflection on your state not the nation as a whole.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Chewbacca.
Profile Joined January 2011
United States3634 Posts
July 22 2018 00:31 GMT
#10330
On July 22 2018 07:25 Sermokala wrote:
I have never waited in line and I've never taken more then 5 minutes to fill out a ballot. If your voteing experience is bad thats a reflection on your state not the nation as a whole.

Yep. I've voted in three different states in areas of varying populations, ranging from 10k to about 250k, and I don't think I've ever waited more than ten minutes to vote. Admittedly, this means I haven't voted in a place like Chicago, NYC, or Atlanta, but still, I imagine most places in the country don't require 45 minutes to a day in order to vote.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24130 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-22 00:45:10
July 22 2018 00:40 GMT
#10331
On July 22 2018 09:31 Chewbacca. wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 22 2018 07:25 Sermokala wrote:
I have never waited in line and I've never taken more then 5 minutes to fill out a ballot. If your voteing experience is bad thats a reflection on your state not the nation as a whole.

Yep. I've voted in three different states in areas of varying populations, ranging from 10k to about 250k, and I don't think I've ever waited more than ten minutes to vote. Admittedly, this means I haven't voted in a place like Chicago, NYC, or Atlanta, but still, I imagine most places in the country don't require 45 minutes to a day in order to vote.


You're right that most places don't require 45 minutes, and Serm's right that it's usually more of a reflection on the state/county. However, there are some national trends that can be pulled from the data.

IN THE NOVEMBER 2012 GENERAL ELECTION, 1 in 10 voters waited in line for more than 30 minutes to cast a ballot. About 3.5 million voters waited in excess of an hour, with some standing in line for longer than five hours. Long lines at the polls became such a hot topic in the media that President Barack Obama acknowledged in his victory speech that the issue
was one that needed to be fixed.

Despite the growing media attention given to the problem of lengthy lines at precincts little political science work has investigated the determinants of long waiting times. In this article, I demonstrate that a voter in a predominantly minority precinct experiences a line that is twice as long, on average, than a voter in a predominantly white precinct. Additionally, minorities are three times as likely to wait longer than 30 minutes and six times as likely to wait more than 60 minutes.


www.stephenpettigrew.com
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14155 Posts
July 22 2018 01:07 GMT
#10332
Adressing something like that seems like a great issue to fire up the base and drive turnout. Something that republicans literally can't disagree with and their voters would totaly understand.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11921 Posts
July 22 2018 02:12 GMT
#10333
On July 22 2018 10:07 Sermokala wrote:
Adressing something like that seems like a great issue to fire up the base and drive turnout. Something that republicans literally can't disagree with and their voters would totaly understand.


Republicans can and will disagree with anything that would hurt them. I already hear the arguments "Too expensive, also, not actually happening, and even if it were happening, it is not because of racism, there are totally legitimate reasons why it is harder in those regions which have absolutely nothing to do with there being a bunch of black people which we think will vote democrat there. The reasons is because the areas are too densely populated or whatever other bullshit i can come up with."

I would like to seperate the voting debate into two seperate ones. The first, on which i think pretty much everyone agrees, is that the US voting system is shit and should be changed.

The second debate is what to do if you are in a situation with a shitty voting system and two choices, none of which appeal to you too much. In my opinion, you should choose the smaller of two evils. You have a choice, and anything but using your vote in your own best interest is stupid. Meanwhile, you should also rally your fellow people who think that the choices suck to try to make the choices better the next time. Have massive protests and shit like that.

I know that a two-party system sucks. Having to vote for something you don't really like is bad. But the other choice is not voting at all (Or voting for something that might as well be not voting at all) It sucks, and you shouldn't be in that situation. But you are. If the choice is between having one of your fingers broken, and having all fingers broken, it is a shitty choice. But you should still choose one finger. And then prevent that situation from happening again.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46206 Posts
July 22 2018 02:53 GMT
#10334
On July 22 2018 02:55 ticklishmusic wrote:
I'll note that there's not a single third party voter I've met who convinced me that he/she made an actually informed decision before doing so. Non-third party voters could be equally uninformed (I haven't really bothered pursuing that line of inquiry), but at least they don't come at you with what seems to be an unjustifiable attitude of moral superiority.


I had a few friends who were either third-party voters or Bernie Or Bust voters who told me they disliked both Trump and Clinton but wanted to demonstrate that they were still willing to vote, so they voted for someone else in the general election. For them, it seemed less about actually caring about Gary Johnson or Jill Stein and more about them hoping that if enough people voted for neither D nor R candidate, one party might one day move the needle to accommodate that outgroup and be rewarded with those potential votes.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
screamingpalm
Profile Joined October 2011
United States1527 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-22 03:05:20
July 22 2018 03:02 GMT
#10335
I wonder if Lincoln faced these same propaganda tactics back in the day...

I don't do lesser evils, but I won't patronize and tell you who to support either. If that's considered a moral high horse, I'm cool with that.
MMT University is coming! http://www.mmtuniversity.org/
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14155 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-22 03:28:27
July 22 2018 03:27 GMT
#10336
Smugly making yourself ilrelevent politically is the worst evil.

I believe you have value and I want you to believe you have value as well.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
July 22 2018 03:48 GMT
#10337
On July 22 2018 02:08 screamingpalm wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 22 2018 02:01 micronesia wrote:
On July 22 2018 01:52 screamingpalm wrote:
On July 22 2018 01:44 micronesia wrote:
On July 22 2018 01:34 screamingpalm wrote:
I respect your opinion that you think warmonger Clinton would not be as bad, I just do not agree.
I'm surprised people still genuinely feel this way, aside from die-hard trump supporters. What would Trump have to do before you are like, "hm, maybe Clinton would have been better"?

Why can't progressives try to build a third party instead of being forced to choose a Blue Dog or moderate?

You can, but unless you have enough influence such that you are able to get your preferred candidate to the general election, you won't have enough influence to change the system in order to make a third party relevant. As I acknowledged this is a big problem.


For me Clinton-Trump is six one, half dozen the other. Clinton wouldn't have started a trade war, but an actual war. Zero sum game.

I don't really disagree with the rest of your post but I'll address this portion. It seems like, by far, the most major problem you see with President Trump is his trade war(s). I'm not sure I agree but it's certainly up there. You then seem to claim that Clinton would have started a war, equally bad as the trade war. Who would Clinton have started a war with? Why? The same countries as Trump has sucked into a trade war?

None of this addresses the non-economical damage that Trump is doing so far.


Well, I was trying to think of an issue where they differ. Clinton's no-fly zone stance on Syria during the primaries would most likely have seen us at war had she won (just for one example). Most areas that I see liberals complain about with Trump are no different than past Democratic presidents' stances.

This is why Trump won. Morons were willing to invent narratives in their head where extreme tail risks like a no-fly zone proposal leading to WW3 were a given, and the opposite for Trump; he was somehow the 'moderate' candidate.
screamingpalm
Profile Joined October 2011
United States1527 Posts
July 22 2018 04:05 GMT
#10338
Trump hasn't sent us to war (yet). Hillary has a long history of hawkish stances and rhetoric. It's not like this is anything new. Why do liberals talk about ruined lives under Trump, but have no qualms about sending more poor people off to die in their wars? They ruin lives just the same, it's just a difference of the delivery of the rhetoric. Honesty or backstabbing, pick your poison.
MMT University is coming! http://www.mmtuniversity.org/
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8267 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-07-22 04:13:56
July 22 2018 04:12 GMT
#10339
On July 22 2018 13:05 screamingpalm wrote:
Trump hasn't sent us to war (yet). Hillary has a long history of hawkish stances and rhetoric. It's not like this is anything new. Why do liberals talk about ruined lives under Trump, but have no qualms about sending more poor people off to die in their wars? They ruin lives just the same, it's just a difference of the delivery of the rhetoric. Honesty or backstabbing, pick your poison.


Hillary is not president, Trump is. We talk about ruined lives under Trump because he has ruined lives, as opposed to maybe hypothetical ruined lives by Hillary if she had been president (At which point I would have been right there with you denouncing her. But since she's not, I'm not). Also, while this is completely irrelevant, a lot of the "Hillary would have started a war" propaganda is just that, propaganda. Most of it is easily debunked.
screamingpalm
Profile Joined October 2011
United States1527 Posts
July 22 2018 04:19 GMT
#10340
So you're point is that we don't know for sure what kind of president she would have been. Yet, many on here seem convinced that she would have been better than Trump? I'm simply pointing out that there is a discernable pattern as far as her hawkish foreign policy.
MMT University is coming! http://www.mmtuniversity.org/
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