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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5146

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-08 20:39:44
August 08 2025 20:21 GMT
#102901
On August 09 2025 04:53 LightSpectra wrote:
Percentage of the population that's trans: <1%

Things that are a higher percentage of the population: Holocaust denialism (15% in the Americas), functional illiteracy of adults (21%), children without health insurance (5% as of 2021, is projected to skyrocket after the BBB Medicaid cuts are enacted), hungry children (17.9%), police officers who have admitted to domestic abuse ("actually 28%").

But sure, it's the first thing here that's a national crisis.

Show nested quote +
On August 09 2025 04:51 BlackJack wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:34 LightSpectra wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:13 BlackJack wrote:
Right... conservatives are wildly obsessed with gender... Not the non-binary gender-fluid transmasculine person with they/them pronouns that sometimes uses the neopronouns of ze/zir or fae/faer depending on when they feel more masculine vs when zir feel more femme. It's definitely the conservatives obsessed with gender.


Yeah, so how many of those people have you ever actually met?


I've met dozens. Not sure why that's particularly relevant.


That's actually amazing, I participate in local queer rights organizations and protests and I don't know that many. Statistically speaking if you know 100 random people then between zero to one of them is likely to be transgender (see above). Are you stalking nonbinary people or something?


That's really a dumb way to look at things. Diabetes kills more black people than the police by a factor of 100(?). I guess the BLM movement is inordinately obsessed over the wrong things?

Also your number is completely off. "About 5% of young adults in the U.S. say their gender is different from their sex assigned at birth"

The share of U.S. adults who are transgender is particularly high among adults younger than 25. In this age group, 3.1% are a trans man or a trans woman. Can you explain the discrepancy in your belief that <1% are trans although 3.1% identify as trans and another 2% as non-binary? By your number and some quick maths, the majority of them are not actually trans, which would be an incredibly offensive claim.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1879 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-08 20:34:32
August 08 2025 20:33 GMT
#102902
So you're really not gonna attempt to explain how you know "dozens" of nonbinary people with exotic pronouns, huh? Did you become obsessed with talking shit about trans people because you're a chaser and ashamed of it? Or you're bitter for being turned down by a trans person? It's really fucking weird and I wanna hear why, don't leave us hanging!
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11630 Posts
August 08 2025 20:47 GMT
#102903
On August 09 2025 05:17 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2025 05:06 Sadist wrote:
Id say the dont be a dick policy is the way the democrats should handle the whole trans policy. Continuously calling people outside of their name or preferred gender, stop being a dick. Hating immigrants and minorities, stop being a dick. Forcing your religion on someone. Dont be a dick. Etc.

Dont be specific or get into the weeds on scientific names, policy, whatever etc, everyone knows what you mean when you tell them not to be a dick. And guess what? Its broad enough people cant box you into nonsense, just tell them to stop being a dick.



In before Republican headlines read: "Democrats insist on nobody being a Dick... or a Richard... in fact, Democrats think all men's names should be replaced with women's names!"


"Democrats say that you should remove your Penis!"
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28709 Posts
August 08 2025 21:05 GMT
#102904
On August 09 2025 05:21 BlackJack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2025 04:53 LightSpectra wrote:
Percentage of the population that's trans: <1%

Things that are a higher percentage of the population: Holocaust denialism (15% in the Americas), functional illiteracy of adults (21%), children without health insurance (5% as of 2021, is projected to skyrocket after the BBB Medicaid cuts are enacted), hungry children (17.9%), police officers who have admitted to domestic abuse ("actually 28%").

But sure, it's the first thing here that's a national crisis.

On August 09 2025 04:51 BlackJack wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:34 LightSpectra wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:13 BlackJack wrote:
Right... conservatives are wildly obsessed with gender... Not the non-binary gender-fluid transmasculine person with they/them pronouns that sometimes uses the neopronouns of ze/zir or fae/faer depending on when they feel more masculine vs when zir feel more femme. It's definitely the conservatives obsessed with gender.


Yeah, so how many of those people have you ever actually met?


I've met dozens. Not sure why that's particularly relevant.


That's actually amazing, I participate in local queer rights organizations and protests and I don't know that many. Statistically speaking if you know 100 random people then between zero to one of them is likely to be transgender (see above). Are you stalking nonbinary people or something?


That's really a dumb way to look at things. Diabetes kills more black people than the police by a factor of 100(?). I guess the BLM movement is inordinately obsessed over the wrong things?

Also your number is completely off. "About 5% of young adults in the U.S. say their gender is different from their sex assigned at birth"

The share of U.S. adults who are transgender is particularly high among adults younger than 25. In this age group, 3.1% are a trans man or a trans woman. Can you explain the discrepancy in your belief that <1% are trans although 3.1% identify as trans and another 2% as non-binary? By your number and some quick maths, the majority of them are not actually trans, which would be an incredibly offensive claim.


He didnt say young adults, he said population, and your own link says 0.6%
Moderator
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9137 Posts
August 08 2025 21:06 GMT
#102905
On August 09 2025 05:21 BlackJack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2025 04:53 LightSpectra wrote:
Percentage of the population that's trans: <1%

Things that are a higher percentage of the population: Holocaust denialism (15% in the Americas), functional illiteracy of adults (21%), children without health insurance (5% as of 2021, is projected to skyrocket after the BBB Medicaid cuts are enacted), hungry children (17.9%), police officers who have admitted to domestic abuse ("actually 28%").

But sure, it's the first thing here that's a national crisis.

On August 09 2025 04:51 BlackJack wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:34 LightSpectra wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:13 BlackJack wrote:
Right... conservatives are wildly obsessed with gender... Not the non-binary gender-fluid transmasculine person with they/them pronouns that sometimes uses the neopronouns of ze/zir or fae/faer depending on when they feel more masculine vs when zir feel more femme. It's definitely the conservatives obsessed with gender.


Yeah, so how many of those people have you ever actually met?


I've met dozens. Not sure why that's particularly relevant.


That's actually amazing, I participate in local queer rights organizations and protests and I don't know that many. Statistically speaking if you know 100 random people then between zero to one of them is likely to be transgender (see above). Are you stalking nonbinary people or something?


That's really a dumb way to look at things. Diabetes kills more black people than the police by a factor of 100(?). I guess the BLM movement is inordinately obsessed over the wrong things?

Also your number is completely off. "About 5% of young adults in the U.S. say their gender is different from their sex assigned at birth"

The share of U.S. adults who are transgender is particularly high among adults younger than 25. In this age group, 3.1% are a trans man or a trans woman. Can you explain the discrepancy in your belief that <1% are trans although 3.1% identify as trans and another 2% as non-binary? By your number and some quick maths, the majority of them are not actually trans, which would be an incredibly offensive claim.

There's no discrepancy, he cited population overall, you cited the under 25 segment of it. You wouldn't be wrong in thinking it's the most relevant segment but the way you framed that entire post is just weird.

Also get real, you haven't met dozens of people that asked you to call them ze/zir, you're confusing the outrage porn you doomscroll with reality.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26036 Posts
August 08 2025 21:10 GMT
#102906
On August 09 2025 01:24 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2025 00:11 WombaT wrote:
On August 08 2025 22:56 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On August 08 2025 22:40 LightSpectra wrote:
On August 08 2025 11:49 BlackJack wrote:
The good news is that Trump's policies are equally unpopular. They are picking the 20 side on the 80-20 issues of prosecuting women who seek abortion, deporting law-abiding people who have been in the country for years, etc. Meanwhile prominent Dems are signialing that they are turning away from woke, e.g. Gavin Newsom saying men in women's sports is unfair, Rahm Emanuel saying a man can't become a women, etc. i.e. things that would have gotten you excommunicated a year ago. So I predict a Dem win in 2028 and I wouldn't be surprised if we continue to have stints of 4-year Presidents for the time being.


What did trans people ever do to you dude lmao? I will never understand* why conservatives are so wildly obsessed with gender. Is it because it gives you an excuse to assault people trying to go to the bathroom, or are you just giddy about mandatory genitalia inspections of children that Republicans tried to implement in Kansas?

+ Show Spoiler +
*I lied, I do understand, it's because trans people were one of the first minorities the actual German Nazis attacked and conservatives can't help themselves but steal from their playbook.


Clearly, politicians and investment bankers like Rahm Emanuel are the authorities on sex and gender studies.

They don’t have to be to be fair, they are however expected to be good at politics. It’s unpalatable but it doesn’t really matter what academics or science says if a giant chunk of the population currently just think trans people are weird.

Which I dunno if they are, at least currently time will tell.

Their prescription is basically the same as Blackjack’s, Dems are too woke, if we cut out the ‘woke nonsense’ we’ll win’, and they’re clearly banking on that as a component of their platform moving forwards.

The problem with that is you have to exactly find the Goldilocks zone. Which is fucking hard. You need to grab more of the ‘I’m OK with x, but some wokeness is too far’ group, while not being seen to throw groups under the bus and lose support elsewhere that wipes out those gains. You’ll also struggle to flip any actual bigots without going extreme enough to lose the aforementioned groups.

You also, IMO need some other big wins to run in parallel.

I’m actually seeing such a process play out over here in real-time and it ain’t especially pretty reading for Labour, our Dem equivalent (especially now they pivoted centre).

They don’t have the big popular policy wins to offset doing things that are unpopular with a lot of the left thru centre left in terms of being ‘anti-woke’.

But they’ll also never be anti-woke enough for the right of the country. Because they’ve got a similar problem to the US Dems, in that any random Twitter user is evidence of ‘this is woke Labour Britain’ even if the party itself is pushing in the opposite direction.


I don't even know if there is a Goldilocks zone anymore, because the goalposts move so frequently and because the most extreme "woke" takes are generally fabricated by Republicans anyway. For example, BlackJack just made up a ridiculous list of things and projected them onto Democrats, and apparently also found some Reddit users who are mad at Sydney Sweeney. Neat. On the other hand, there are actual conservative talking heads with millions of followers, like Ben Shapiro, flipping out about how woke Superman is. Extremely-devoutly-Jewish Ben Shapiro is flipping out about the Nazi-fighting superhero. I don't know if there is room for a Goldilocks zone or a sweet-spot or a "middle" in between being for or against Nazis, or being for or against fighting for people's rights. Even if you found some non-committal non-opinion on something that's worth taking a stance for, the opposition will just make up a stance for you. And when all else fails, they'll just paint/photoshop "MS13" on your knuckles or claim that immigrants are eating your dogs, so it's not like trying to take a measured stance on "being woke" is even possible*.

*I also still maintain the fact that being woke means being aware, educated, and compassionate, and Republicans who mock people for being woke are actually conceding their own shortcomings.

I think charismatic and believable platforming that appeals to both the left-wing progressives and the moderate Democrats needs to happen, and not all issues will necessarily be as important in courting those votes or finding useful overlap. For example, I think economic issues and taxes are relatively universal to discuss, and some strong platforms that help the working and middle classes could resonate with a large number of voters. On the other hand, I don't think that Kamala Harris would have magically won the popular vote if she had talked about trans issues even 1% as much as Trump did. (Hating trans people may have mobilized some MAGA voters, so demonizing trans people might have been a good move for Trump, but I don't know how galvanizing or tie-breaking of an issue being pro-trans is for non-voters who lean Democrat, so I think it was a fine decision for Harris to stay pretty quiet on that issue too.)

Yeah I’d broadly concur with basically all of that.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11630 Posts
August 08 2025 21:18 GMT
#102907
On August 09 2025 06:06 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2025 05:21 BlackJack wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:53 LightSpectra wrote:
Percentage of the population that's trans: <1%

Things that are a higher percentage of the population: Holocaust denialism (15% in the Americas), functional illiteracy of adults (21%), children without health insurance (5% as of 2021, is projected to skyrocket after the BBB Medicaid cuts are enacted), hungry children (17.9%), police officers who have admitted to domestic abuse ("actually 28%").

But sure, it's the first thing here that's a national crisis.

On August 09 2025 04:51 BlackJack wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:34 LightSpectra wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:13 BlackJack wrote:
Right... conservatives are wildly obsessed with gender... Not the non-binary gender-fluid transmasculine person with they/them pronouns that sometimes uses the neopronouns of ze/zir or fae/faer depending on when they feel more masculine vs when zir feel more femme. It's definitely the conservatives obsessed with gender.


Yeah, so how many of those people have you ever actually met?



I've met dozens. Not sure why that's particularly relevant.


That's actually amazing, I participate in local queer rights organizations and protests and I don't know that many. Statistically speaking if you know 100 random people then between zero to one of them is likely to be transgender (see above). Are you stalking nonbinary people or something?


That's really a dumb way to look at things. Diabetes kills more black people than the police by a factor of 100(?). I guess the BLM movement is inordinately obsessed over the wrong things?

Also your number is completely off. "About 5% of young adults in the U.S. say their gender is different from their sex assigned at birth"

The share of U.S. adults who are transgender is particularly high among adults younger than 25. In this age group, 3.1% are a trans man or a trans woman. Can you explain the discrepancy in your belief that <1% are trans although 3.1% identify as trans and another 2% as non-binary? By your number and some quick maths, the majority of them are not actually trans, which would be an incredibly offensive claim.

There's no discrepancy, he cited population overall, you cited the under 25 segment of it. You wouldn't be wrong in thinking it's the most relevant segment but the way you framed that entire post is just weird.

Also get real, you haven't met dozens of people that asked you to call them ze/zir, you're confusing the outrage porn you doomscroll with reality.


Agreed. In my whole life so far, i have met exactly one trans person (a student), one nonbinary person (very briefly, friend of a friend) and a guy that apparently sometimes crossdresses at parties (A neighbour/friend of my parents. I was never present, but my parents later told me about that).

And being a teacher, i meet quite a lot of people. All of them were very reasonable people, and none of them expected anything special, any "weird" pronouns, or anything like that.

I also call shenanigans on BJs claim that he met "dozens" of people using neopronouns. But maybe we should clarify what "met" means. To me, "meeting" means seeing in person and usually also talking a few words with them. "Reading a post by someone" or "reading a post about someone" does not count as "meeting" to me. Neither does "watching a video by ...".
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26036 Posts
August 08 2025 21:22 GMT
#102908
On August 09 2025 05:33 LightSpectra wrote:
So you're really not gonna attempt to explain how you know "dozens" of nonbinary people with exotic pronouns, huh? Did you become obsessed with talking shit about trans people because you're a chaser and ashamed of it? Or you're bitter for being turned down by a trans person? It's really fucking weird and I wanna hear why, don't leave us hanging!

If Blackjack stuck his electron microscope he uses to find hypocrisy or flaws in the arguments of others, often correctly to be fair, away for a minute, and spent like any time pondering if his information pipeline is particularly representative, are these really pressing problems and why he cares so, so much, it may be a beneficial process.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
August 08 2025 21:25 GMT
#102909
On August 09 2025 06:06 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2025 05:21 BlackJack wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:53 LightSpectra wrote:
Percentage of the population that's trans: <1%

Things that are a higher percentage of the population: Holocaust denialism (15% in the Americas), functional illiteracy of adults (21%), children without health insurance (5% as of 2021, is projected to skyrocket after the BBB Medicaid cuts are enacted), hungry children (17.9%), police officers who have admitted to domestic abuse ("actually 28%").

But sure, it's the first thing here that's a national crisis.

On August 09 2025 04:51 BlackJack wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:34 LightSpectra wrote:
On August 09 2025 04:13 BlackJack wrote:
Right... conservatives are wildly obsessed with gender... Not the non-binary gender-fluid transmasculine person with they/them pronouns that sometimes uses the neopronouns of ze/zir or fae/faer depending on when they feel more masculine vs when zir feel more femme. It's definitely the conservatives obsessed with gender.


Yeah, so how many of those people have you ever actually met?


I've met dozens. Not sure why that's particularly relevant.


That's actually amazing, I participate in local queer rights organizations and protests and I don't know that many. Statistically speaking if you know 100 random people then between zero to one of them is likely to be transgender (see above). Are you stalking nonbinary people or something?


That's really a dumb way to look at things. Diabetes kills more black people than the police by a factor of 100(?). I guess the BLM movement is inordinately obsessed over the wrong things?

Also your number is completely off. "About 5% of young adults in the U.S. say their gender is different from their sex assigned at birth"

The share of U.S. adults who are transgender is particularly high among adults younger than 25. In this age group, 3.1% are a trans man or a trans woman. Can you explain the discrepancy in your belief that <1% are trans although 3.1% identify as trans and another 2% as non-binary? By your number and some quick maths, the majority of them are not actually trans, which would be an incredibly offensive claim.

There's no discrepancy, he cited population overall, you cited the under 25 segment of it. You wouldn't be wrong in thinking it's the most relevant segment but the way you framed that entire post is just weird.


Ok but you still need some explanation for the discrepancy in the 2 figures between younger and older adults. The often touted one is the "left-handed theory" where the rate of left-handedness increased after we stopped repressing them. If that's the case then 0.6% is the repressed rate and 3.1% is closer to the true rate. Or 0.6% is the true rate which would mean a lot of young adults are mistaken about their identity.


Also get real, you haven't met dozens of people that asked you to call them ze/zir, you're confusing the outrage porn you doomscroll with reality.


Okay... whatever you say
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43232 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-08 22:09:22
August 08 2025 21:36 GMT
#102910
I've also spent a fair amount of time in extremely fringe gender/sex circles. The kind of places where everyone gets in a circle and introduces themselves with their pronouns and where consent is asked for before giving a friend a hug. Neopronouns never came up, had a few they/thems but no zirs.

On the one hand I don't want to call BlackJack a liar. On the other, if he stopped lying I wouldn't have to.

Also nobody but conservatives really gets upset over pronouns in real life. Cis people who have a preferred gender identity will typically signify that preferred gender identify with all of the traditional markers you'd expect whereas nonbinary people who have a preferred gender identity will typically signify that preferred gender identify with all of the traditional markers you'd expect.

If you see a stranger with long hair wearing a dress you default to she and her. If you meet a trans nonbinary genderfluid person and they're wearing a dress today then you default to she and her. Out and about with strangers you know what to use because of all of the gender identifiers they're using. In the community with nonbinary folks you still know what to use because of all of the gender identifiers they're using. Strangers don't walk up to you and declare their pronouns, you know what to use because it's obvious, you have to work to get it wrong. Conservatives are the only ones putting in that work.

The only people getting it wrong are people who are getting it wrong on purpose because they're weirdly obsessed with genitals. To get it wrong you have to go "they're using traditional gender markers but what does their junk look like", to get it right you just trust the markers.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Hat Trick of Today
Profile Joined February 2025
142 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-08 22:03:25
August 08 2025 22:01 GMT
#102911
I’ve played Magic the Gathering and Dungeons and Dragons, both hobbies with a larger than usual player population of queer and trans individuals.

I can assure you that trans people don’t give a fuck if you accidentally misgender them and I have literally never seen anyone use any pronoun more unusual than they/them. They do fuck around with people who are openly malicious towards them.

Maybe Blackjack needs to hang with people who aren’t yanking his chain or hide his disgust for trans people better because it sounds like they're giving him shit.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-08-08 22:45:38
August 08 2025 22:25 GMT
#102912
I have people I would consider close friends that use they/them pronouns. My best friend's partner uses they/them pronouns. I recently went to Tokyo with them as part of a foursome. It was a great time. I have another acquaintance that used they they/them pronouns but they've recently confided in me that they will be transitioning to she/her.

I guess I am supposed to hate them...? Or maybe that's the boogeyman you've built up in your head. I'm nothing but respectful to any trans or non-binary person and I always use any preferred names/pronouns they choose. I generally don't use neopronouns like ze/zir and will instead use their preferred name simply because ze/zir doesn't flow off my tongue and not because I have some moral stance against neopronouns. As someone that leans libertarian I also don't really give a shit if any adult chooses to be whatever they want to be. But if I'm not 100% all in on whatever ideas you have then the only conclusion must be that I hate trans people and they disgust me.

It's sort of the status quo for predominantly left-wing social media forums. As Mark Cuban explains of Bluesky:

“Engagement went from great convos on many topics, to agree with me or you are a nazi fascist,” Cuban wrote. “We are forcing posts to X.”

“Even if you agree with 95% of what a person is saying on a topic, if there is one point that you might call out as being more of a gray area, they will call you a fascist etc.,” said Cuban


Or as Gavin Newsom explained of the backlash after saying biological males in women's sports is unfair"

"I lost some good friends, like, I mean, they're just, they won't talk to me,"

"They're done and, you know, I appreciate they felt hurt. They felt that point of view was, you know, somehow diminishing," Newsom added.


This is a guy that literally helped pave the way for the legalization of gay marriage in the USA when he ordered San Francisco to start issuing marriage licenses in 2004. Not. Good. Enough.



Also so everyone can stop being triggered just because I've met more non-binary people: keep in mind that I have a huge advantage in that regard because I reside in the San Francisco Bay Area. But just so you know, the fact that the only explanation any of you can fathom about me having met dozens of people with neo-pronouns is that I'm lying is a display of ignorance. Some of you really seem to believe these people don't exist simply because you haven't met any. Remarkable.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26036 Posts
August 08 2025 22:44 GMT
#102913
I dunno if I believe Newsom’s framing on this, although I don’t necessarily not believe him either. Just seems quite convenient with his ‘hey I’m trying to pivot away from the crazies’ to have anecdotes that perfectly fit that rebrand.

I’ve pretty conflicted views on trans people and sport myself, I’ve never really got much pushback on it. I think it’s basically the only trans-adjacent area that doesn’t really have a good solution.

If I were a betting man (and luckily for my bank balance, I’m not) , I’d say the truth is somewhere in the middle here. Newsom has lost some friends, but it’s not because of him interjecting on that specific topic, it’s actually due to him being OK to platform transphobic people in the process of doing his wee rebrand, and other such things.

Hey it’s pure speculation. There are people who would end a friendship over such a matter, but they’d tend to be at the absolute fringes. Newsom doesn’t strike me as the type to have a load of Tumblr activists as mates
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28709 Posts
August 08 2025 22:45 GMT
#102914
I teach at a high school with 1250 students. While I didn't know all of them last year, I have a pretty good overview, and I knew of 2 trans and 1 non-binary. I imagine the number could be twice as high but there are definitely fewer than 10 trans+non binary. The non-binary didn't care what pronouns you use, one trans cared but wasn't upset by accidental mishaps and the other I saw give off a resigned sigh when an older teacher called her him (not conscious).

When I google 'how many norwegians are trans' (in Norwegian), I get wildly different results. A trustworthy source near the top says 'between 20000 and 260000' - or between 0.4% and 5% of the population. International studies from different countries seem to land at 'between 0.1% and 2.7%'. The biggest study, from England and Wales from 2021, saw 0.5% of 45 million respondents say that their gender identity differed from the gender they were assigned at birth.

Anyway - it seems like different countries and different age groups give wildly different answers to the question of gender incongruity. I'm going to assume that biologically, it's probably about the same everywhere (or epigenetics? I have no idea) - so the answer is probably something else.

Then, possible explanations I've heard are -
increased acceptance makes people who previously hid their gender dysphoria be willing to be open about it
This one to me, seems like it's pretty obviously true - and it works to explain why younger generations report significantly higher prevalence than older generations. However, it does not explain why American young adults in particular seem to report more gender dysphoria than young adults in other western countries. I really don't have the impression that the US - as a whole - is more accepting than Norway - as a whole - (although, there also seem to be pockets in the US that are more accepting than any similar pockets in European countries).

'Social contagion' - who knows, maybe it's a factor. I think perhaps it is for people who first report feelings of gender dysphoria during puberty but not during childhood. This could explain regional differences, but then maybe not, with how the young adults in all western countries live their lives on the internet and are thus subject to much the same social media influence anyway.

The questions are phrased differently in different studies - yeah, seems like this is most certainly the case, and if gender dysphoria exists on a spectrum rather than being a binary thing (which I believe is also the case), you could get very different results based on where you place the cutoff.

Additionally, I'm fond of the idea that it's also influenced by how rigid the existing gender roles are. In a country with more rigid norms for how a boy/man/girl/woman should act, more people will experience dysphoria than in a country where the gender roles are more fluid and accepting in the first place. This one- I believe - can explain why it seems like more americans are experiencing gender dysphoria than citizens of European countries that are actually more accepting of trans people, because it's also my impression that being a feminine boy or masculine girl are more accepted here.

Anyway not to detract from the whole are neopronouns real discussion but I don't really care about that one. I am, however, genuinely curious about how many people are actually trans. Is it somewhere around 0.5%, or will complete acceptance result in 3-5% of the population not identifying as the gender they were assigned at birth? (For the record, I'd be totally fine with that, obviously).
Moderator
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26036 Posts
August 08 2025 22:48 GMT
#102915
On August 09 2025 07:01 Hat Trick of Today wrote:
I’ve played Magic the Gathering and Dungeons and Dragons, both hobbies with a larger than usual player population of queer and trans individuals.

I can assure you that trans people don’t give a fuck if you accidentally misgender them and I have literally never seen anyone use any pronoun more unusual than they/them. They do fuck around with people who are openly malicious towards them.

Maybe Blackjack needs to hang with people who aren’t yanking his chain or hide his disgust for trans people better because it sounds like they're giving him shit.

Warhammer 40K too for, some reason. Disproportionate numbers of both trans folks, as well as mask off Neo-Fascists, ah well you win some you lose some.

I’ve always wondered about the former, there doesn’t seem any obvious reason for it. The latter makes a ton of sense, such types tend to gravitate to such media and completely miss the ‘it’s not supposed to be aspirational’ aspect. See also - Judge Dredd, the Punisher
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26036 Posts
August 08 2025 23:03 GMT
#102916
On August 09 2025 07:45 Liquid`Drone wrote:
I teach at a high school with 1250 students. While I didn't know all of them last year, I have a pretty good overview, and I knew of 2 trans and 1 non-binary. I imagine the number could be twice as high but there are definitely fewer than 10 trans+non binary. The non-binary didn't care what pronouns you use, one trans cared but wasn't upset by accidental mishaps and the other I saw give off a resigned sigh when an older teacher called her him (not conscious).

When I google 'how many norwegians are trans' (in Norwegian), I get wildly different results. A trustworthy source near the top says 'between 20000 and 260000' - or between 0.4% and 5% of the population. International studies from different countries seem to land at 'between 0.1% and 2.7%'. The biggest study, from England and Wales from 2021, saw 0.5% of 45 million respondents say that their gender identity differed from the gender they were assigned at birth.

Anyway - it seems like different countries and different age groups give wildly different answers to the question of gender incongruity. I'm going to assume that biologically, it's probably about the same everywhere (or epigenetics? I have no idea) - so the answer is probably something else.

Then, possible explanations I've heard are -
increased acceptance makes people who previously hid their gender dysphoria be willing to be open about it
This one to me, seems like it's pretty obviously true - and it works to explain why younger generations report significantly higher prevalence than older generations. However, it does not explain why American young adults in particular seem to report more gender dysphoria than young adults in other western countries. I really don't have the impression that the US - as a whole - is more accepting than Norway - as a whole - (although, there also seem to be pockets in the US that are more accepting than any similar pockets in European countries).

'Social contagion' - who knows, maybe it's a factor. I think perhaps it is for people who first report feelings of gender dysphoria during puberty but not during childhood. This could explain regional differences, but then maybe not, with how the young adults in all western countries live their lives on the internet and are thus subject to much the same social media influence anyway.

The questions are phrased differently in different studies - yeah, seems like this is most certainly the case, and if gender dysphoria exists on a spectrum rather than being a binary thing (which I believe is also the case), you could get very different results based on where you place the cutoff.

Additionally, I'm fond of the idea that it's also influenced by how rigid the existing gender roles are. In a country with more rigid norms for how a boy/man/girl/woman should act, more people will experience dysphoria than in a country where the gender roles are more fluid and accepting in the first place. This one- I believe - can explain why it seems like more americans are experiencing gender dysphoria than citizens of European countries that are actually more accepting of trans people, because it's also my impression that being a feminine boy or masculine girl are more accepted here.

Anyway not to detract from the whole are neopronouns real discussion but I don't really care about that one. I am, however, genuinely curious about how many people are actually trans. Is it somewhere around 0.5%, or will complete acceptance result in 3-5% of the population not identifying as the gender they were assigned at birth? (For the record, I'd be totally fine with that, obviously).

Good post as ever, and covers a lot of interesting angles. Basically all of them! The only one I can think of you haven’t really touched on is the seeming link between autism and a feeling of gender disconnection.

At least as per a survey question, trans can be quite a broad category as well.

Someone may feel their gender identity doesn’t match their biological sex, but that may merely manifest in being a feminine dude, or a masculine lass, what we would call a ‘tomboy’ where I’m from. Such an individual may, when questioned consider themselves in the trans category, but to me they wouldn’t really be all that similar to an individual with crippling gender dysphoria who has transitioned, or intends to.

So say, we were to split those who generally identify with the trans umbrella on such a basis, I think whatever the total % of the populace that initially identifies as such, the number of people who’d transitioned or have aspirations as such might be a minority within that cohort.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Razyda
Profile Joined March 2013
888 Posts
August 08 2025 23:04 GMT
#102917
This is massive win for Trump:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/08/guaranteeing-fair-banking-for-all-americans/

"Within 180 days of the date of this order, each appropriate Federal banking regulator shall, to the greatest extent permitted by law, remove the use of reputation risk or equivalent concepts that could result in politicized or unlawful debanking, as well as any other considerations that could be used to engage in such debanking, from their guidance documents, manuals, and other materials (other than existing regulations or other materials requiring notice-and-comment rulemaking) used to regulate or examine financial institutions over which they have jurisdiction."

Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18117 Posts
August 08 2025 23:11 GMT
#102918
On August 09 2025 08:04 Razyda wrote:
This is massive win for Trump:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/08/guaranteeing-fair-banking-for-all-americans/

"Within 180 days of the date of this order, each appropriate Federal banking regulator shall, to the greatest extent permitted by law, remove the use of reputation risk or equivalent concepts that could result in politicized or unlawful debanking, as well as any other considerations that could be used to engage in such debanking, from their guidance documents, manuals, and other materials (other than existing regulations or other materials requiring notice-and-comment rulemaking) used to regulate or examine financial institutions over which they have jurisdiction."


It's an executive order. How is the president signing an executive order a massive win for himself? I mean... didn't the massive win happen last year when he won the election to become president and do this kinda thing?

In addition, it just doesn't seem like a big deal. But I'm sure Nigel Farage will be delighted.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1261 Posts
August 08 2025 23:32 GMT
#102919
On August 08 2025 10:47 WombaT wrote:
Why does Zambrah have to do necessarily do anything?

Trump didn’t ascend to his throne in the aftermath of some abortive attempt at socialism, he did so versus status quo, centrist politics as usual.

If one has faith in those said same institutions to redress this state of affairs, after some demonstrable failures, shouldn’t there be as much onus on one to have a detailed plan of what’ll be different this time?

Like I’d maybe hold the Mayor from Jaws to a higher degree of scrutiny on his ‘shark attack’ policies after a bunch of shark attacks, than x concerned citizen who warned about sharks incessantly (deleted scene I presume). They mightn’t have any kind of plan whatsoever, but they were kinda right on the shark bit

Why would you think I thought he had to? That is partially why I left both practical and theoretical questions. I mean if he is not doing anything and not going to do anything, which is obviously fine, I would likely change my assumptions on how important he thought it was and how dire. I would also ask him to not be so aggressive to others, who think electoralism can work and are doing something towards that.
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35162 Posts
August 08 2025 23:34 GMT
#102920
On August 09 2025 07:48 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2025 07:01 Hat Trick of Today wrote:
I’ve played Magic the Gathering and Dungeons and Dragons, both hobbies with a larger than usual player population of queer and trans individuals.

I can assure you that trans people don’t give a fuck if you accidentally misgender them and I have literally never seen anyone use any pronoun more unusual than they/them. They do fuck around with people who are openly malicious towards them.

Maybe Blackjack needs to hang with people who aren’t yanking his chain or hide his disgust for trans people better because it sounds like they're giving him shit.

Warhammer 40K too for, some reason. Disproportionate numbers of both trans folks, as well as mask off Neo-Fascists, ah well you win some you lose some.

I’ve always wondered about the former, there doesn’t seem any obvious reason for it. The latter makes a ton of sense, such types tend to gravitate to such media and completely miss the ‘it’s not supposed to be aspirational’ aspect. See also - Judge Dredd, the Punisher

Being an outcast tends to steer you in the direction of what other outcasts are doing. There's less reason to gatekeep in those communities, especially when it's something that requires other people to take part in it, because overly gatekeeping means there isn't one. It's really that simple.
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