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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2484

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
July 05 2020 22:12 GMT
#49661
People are also way less interested in third parties. Both Trump(then) and Clinton were way less popular than Trump (now) and Biden are. Lower favorables ever for candidates, iirc. I think Trump (now) is in third place in that competition.
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
July 06 2020 05:23 GMT
#49662
On July 06 2020 06:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Think there's an argument for Kanye to be the lesser of 3 evils. He's certainly been responsible for less harm than either Trump or Biden.

Most of what could make Kanye not the lesser evil is based on the idea he's inexperienced. He's probably the least likely to die in office, and the only Black candidate during a national uprising about race and policing. That said, it's most definitely a publicity stunt. Worth remembering Trump did this a few times before he finally actually ran. 2024 might be his run.

Sure, lets replace one inexperienced idiot with another one. What could go wrong ?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23714 Posts
July 06 2020 05:34 GMT
#49663
On July 06 2020 14:23 Erasme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2020 06:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Think there's an argument for Kanye to be the lesser of 3 evils. He's certainly been responsible for less harm than either Trump or Biden.

Most of what could make Kanye not the lesser evil is based on the idea he's inexperienced. He's probably the least likely to die in office, and the only Black candidate during a national uprising about race and policing. That said, it's most definitely a publicity stunt. Worth remembering Trump did this a few times before he finally actually ran. 2024 might be his run.

Sure, lets replace one inexperienced idiot with another one. What could go wrong ?


Experience isn't all it's cracked up to be imo but I won't be voting for Kanye now or in 2024 (I hope he isn't the best choice then anyway)
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
July 06 2020 08:03 GMT
#49664
On July 06 2020 07:03 Blitzkrieg0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2020 06:50 Sent. wrote:
Speaking about third party candidates, I remember a significant amount of attention being given to Gary "What is Aleppo" Johnson and Jill Stein in 2016, but this year I don't think I saw anything about Libertarians or Greens. Did I miss something, or it's just people being less interested in alternative candidates than they were four years ago?


Third party candidates can't afford to campaign for two years. What is Aleppo happened in September so give it a couple more months.


Jo Jorgenson is an infinitely better candidate than Gary Johnson and that asswipe Weld. That said, even getting on the ballot is tremendously difficult. The Democrats and Republicans do everything they can to make sure its just them at the dinner table.
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18855 Posts
July 06 2020 11:07 GMT
#49665
Jorgenson's platform is as cookie cutter Libertarian fantasy as any other. Take a look, there's nothing new there at all.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Sapaio
Profile Joined October 2017
Denmark2037 Posts
July 06 2020 11:44 GMT
#49666
US politics from an outside view seem like a comedy tv show. I almost expect Lena Headye to run for president saying she has more experience governing a country then West.
GO OG
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
July 06 2020 12:25 GMT
#49667
On July 06 2020 06:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Think there's an argument for Kanye to be the lesser of 3 evils. He's certainly been responsible for less harm than either Trump or Biden.

Most of what could make Kanye not the lesser evil is based on the idea he's inexperienced. He's probably the least likely to die in office, and the only Black candidate during a national uprising about race and policing. That said, it's most definitely a publicity stunt. Worth remembering Trump did this a few times before he finally actually ran. 2024 might be his run.


He's also said that 'slavery was a choice'.

If you think a black man with that mentality is going to do good work for African Americans I think you'd be in for a very rude awakening. Kanye's also nearly as problematic as Trump when it comes to dodgy behaviour.

Genuinely surprised to see you post something like this, GH. At absolute best Kanye would be a political puppet. The guy's demonstrated that he's a first rate idiot multiple times.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
July 06 2020 12:49 GMT
#49668
On July 06 2020 21:25 iamthedave wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2020 06:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Think there's an argument for Kanye to be the lesser of 3 evils. He's certainly been responsible for less harm than either Trump or Biden.

Most of what could make Kanye not the lesser evil is based on the idea he's inexperienced. He's probably the least likely to die in office, and the only Black candidate during a national uprising about race and policing. That said, it's most definitely a publicity stunt. Worth remembering Trump did this a few times before he finally actually ran. 2024 might be his run.


He's also said that 'slavery was a choice'.

If you think a black man with that mentality is going to do good work for African Americans I think you'd be in for a very rude awakening. Kanye's also nearly as problematic as Trump when it comes to dodgy behaviour.

Genuinely surprised to see you post something like this, GH. At absolute best Kanye would be a political puppet. The guy's demonstrated that he's a first rate idiot multiple times.


You are really surprised GH doesn't leave out an opportunity to spin something to tell everyone how the democrats suck?
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7992 Posts
July 06 2020 13:10 GMT
#49669
On July 06 2020 20:44 Sapaio wrote:
US politics from an outside view seem like a comedy tv show. I almost expect Lena Headye to run for president saying she has more experience governing a country then West.

Yeah, it's like saying: "I don't like where this pilot is taking us so I'd rather have someone who has never flown a plane to take the commands. At least we won't go to that awful place".
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18855 Posts
July 06 2020 13:12 GMT
#49670
Kanye is one of the few people whose belligerence could pose a greater threat than Trump’s lol
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15742 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-06 14:13:00
July 06 2020 14:12 GMT
#49671
On July 06 2020 22:12 farvacola wrote:
Kanye is one of the few people whose belligerence could pose a greater threat than Trump’s lol


I think some people have a cult-like perception of Kanye West. They aren't capable of thinking of him without considering his music at all. Their brain just autofills "HE'S A CRAZY GENIUS!!!" and ignores the fact that he's an incredibly terrible guy. For the weirdo activism part of Twitter, they are foaming at the mouth just waiting for someone that lets them say "heh, and probably still better than BIDDDDEEENNNNN" while sticking their tongues out.
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
July 06 2020 14:37 GMT
#49672
An interesting longer term development in the US I found a wonderful article (in German, referencing the book [Case, Anne, Deaton, Angus] Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism) about:

The US has lagged behind by a bit in life expectancy of other developed nations, but in the last decades this gap has increased quite a bit. In fact, in the last 10 years, while the rest of the world was steadily increasing its life expectancy, the US has completely stalled:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.LE00.IN?end=2018&locations=US-CA-SE-GB

The reasoning behind is mostly seen in the low education white working class in the age group of 45-54.
E.g. in Kentucky the number of yearly deaths in this population group due to alcohol, drugs and suicide has more than tripled over the last 20 years.

Or in a global comparison:

Annual deaths per 100k of white non hispanics aged 45-54.
Country 1998 -> 2017 +-%
France 409 -> 280 -32%
Sweden 282 ->187 -34%
UK 344 -> 270 -22% (The UK lagging behind the other is mostly a development since ~2013)
US 382 -> 405 +6%

This alone accumulates to about 600k additional deaths over those years compared to assuming a similar decline as the other nations had.
The very same development is also shown in numbers of pain injuries, general happiness etc.

As the main reasoning the authors (of the above mentioned book) see the wage development, where especially in this lower/middle class the real wages have not risen and in some parts even shrunk for decades. Unlike in other parts of the developed world, the US do not have the social systems to compensate for those losses leading to way more drastic effects.
And then they are also singling out the US health care system, which takes >17% of the GDP for abysmal effects. Compare this for example to the 11% GDP the German health care system costs for way more public good.

HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
July 06 2020 14:41 GMT
#49673
Supreme Court is really building up the suspense for Trump rulings....
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15742 Posts
July 06 2020 14:49 GMT
#49674
On July 06 2020 23:37 mahrgell wrote:
An interesting longer term development in the US I found a wonderful article (in German, referencing the book [Case, Anne, Deaton, Angus] Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism) about:

The US has lagged behind by a bit in life expectancy of other developed nations, but in the last decades this gap has increased quite a bit. In fact, in the last 10 years, while the rest of the world was steadily increasing its life expectancy, the US has completely stalled:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.LE00.IN?end=2018&locations=US-CA-SE-GB

The reasoning behind is mostly seen in the low education white working class in the age group of 45-54.
E.g. in Kentucky the number of yearly deaths in this population group due to alcohol, drugs and suicide has more than tripled over the last 20 years.

Or in a global comparison:

Annual deaths per 100k of white non hispanics aged 45-54.
Country 1998 -> 2017 +-%
France 409 -> 280 -32%
Sweden 282 ->187 -34%
UK 344 -> 270 -22% (The UK lagging behind the other is mostly a development since ~2013)
US 382 -> 405 +6%

This alone accumulates to about 600k additional deaths over those years compared to assuming a similar decline as the other nations had.
The very same development is also shown in numbers of pain injuries, general happiness etc.

As the main reasoning the authors (of the above mentioned book) see the wage development, where especially in this lower/middle class the real wages have not risen and in some parts even shrunk for decades. Unlike in other parts of the developed world, the US do not have the social systems to compensate for those losses leading to way more drastic effects.
And then they are also singling out the US health care system, which takes >17% of the GDP for abysmal effects. Compare this for example to the 11% GDP the German health care system costs for way more public good.



In many ways, the writing is on the wall. My wife and I, with our education and whatnot, have very little incentive to stay in the US. We get a lot of "points" on immigration scoring sheets for lots of countries and we'd have a relatively easy time finding employment in Europe. I don't think the US is hopeless. I think we can still surge back up, but it will require some pretty drastic changes. But it can be done.

If Trump wins a second term, I can't see the US recovering the way it needs to. Since my wife and I intend to have kids soon, there is a pretty clear reality that our children would live better lives in Europe. It feels like it would be negligent to let us raise kids in the US when we could give them a better life elsewhere.

That being said, there are huge regional differences for what you are describing. Kentucky is a clearly terrible place to live, but there are areas of the US that are really nice and have robust social support systems. There are places in the US that look more like Europe than Kentucky. It is difficult to answer the question of "where ought I raise kids?"
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7992 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-06 15:06:21
July 06 2020 15:05 GMT
#49675
On July 06 2020 23:49 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2020 23:37 mahrgell wrote:
An interesting longer term development in the US I found a wonderful article (in German, referencing the book [Case, Anne, Deaton, Angus] Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism) about:

The US has lagged behind by a bit in life expectancy of other developed nations, but in the last decades this gap has increased quite a bit. In fact, in the last 10 years, while the rest of the world was steadily increasing its life expectancy, the US has completely stalled:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.LE00.IN?end=2018&locations=US-CA-SE-GB

The reasoning behind is mostly seen in the low education white working class in the age group of 45-54.
E.g. in Kentucky the number of yearly deaths in this population group due to alcohol, drugs and suicide has more than tripled over the last 20 years.

Or in a global comparison:

Annual deaths per 100k of white non hispanics aged 45-54.
Country 1998 -> 2017 +-%
France 409 -> 280 -32%
Sweden 282 ->187 -34%
UK 344 -> 270 -22% (The UK lagging behind the other is mostly a development since ~2013)
US 382 -> 405 +6%

This alone accumulates to about 600k additional deaths over those years compared to assuming a similar decline as the other nations had.
The very same development is also shown in numbers of pain injuries, general happiness etc.

As the main reasoning the authors (of the above mentioned book) see the wage development, where especially in this lower/middle class the real wages have not risen and in some parts even shrunk for decades. Unlike in other parts of the developed world, the US do not have the social systems to compensate for those losses leading to way more drastic effects.
And then they are also singling out the US health care system, which takes >17% of the GDP for abysmal effects. Compare this for example to the 11% GDP the German health care system costs for way more public good.



In many ways, the writing is on the wall. My wife and I, with our education and whatnot, have very little incentive to stay in the US. We get a lot of "points" on immigration scoring sheets for lots of countries and we'd have a relatively easy time finding employment in Europe. I don't think the US is hopeless. I think we can still surge back up, but it will require some pretty drastic changes. But it can be done.

If Trump wins a second term, I can't see the US recovering the way it needs to. Since my wife and I intend to have kids soon, there is a pretty clear reality that our children would live better lives in Europe. It feels like it would be negligent to let us raise kids in the US when we could give them a better life elsewhere.

That being said, there are huge regional differences for what you are describing. Kentucky is a clearly terrible place to live, but there are areas of the US that are really nice and have robust social support systems. There are places in the US that look more like Europe than Kentucky. It is difficult to answer the question of "where ought I raise kids?"

We've established earlier in the thread that you should all come to Norway. Typing is tiring, we will all continue this discussion around a (ten dollars) beer 😁
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18855 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-06 15:17:34
July 06 2020 15:17 GMT
#49676
I can definitely see the merits of moving away from the US, but the fiancée and I feel strongly indebted to our surroundings in the figurative sense such that we’d like to stick around and pay it forward.

We are also literally indebted to DoE and have bar licensures that are mostly useless abroad, so there’s that too :D
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
July 06 2020 15:42 GMT
#49677
--- Nuked ---
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
July 06 2020 15:45 GMT
#49678
My wife has too much family to move away or I'd consider it very strongly. We both have very easily transferable jobs. Also, I don't think anyone from the US is moving to any first world country for at least a year due to borders being closed to the US everywhere.
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9037 Posts
July 06 2020 16:13 GMT
#49679
I fall into Nevuk's category minus the wife. This year is lost but at the first available opportunity, I'm ghosting. In other news, SCOTUS has ruled EC delegates must vote for the person they pledged to vote for in the states that have "faithless elector" laws.

The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday upheld state laws that remove or fine Electoral College delegates who refuse to cast their votes for the presidential candidate they were pledged to support. The vote was unanimous.

"The Constitution's text and the nation's history both support allowing a state to enforce an elector's pledge to support his party's nominee — and the state voters' choice — for President," Justice Elena Kagan wrote for the court. Laws that remove or penalize delegates reflect "a longstanding tradition in which electors are not free agents; they are to vote for the candidate whom the State's voters have chosen."

Although many Americans think that they elect the president and vice president, in fact, it is the Electoral College, an arcane intermediary mechanism dreamed up by the Founders, that formally determines who wins the election.

The system has been considered a formality because usually the winner of the popular vote also wins the Electoral College vote.

But twice in the past two decades, the unexpected took place: the winner of the popular vote did not become president; instead, the winner in the Electoral College prevailed. Thus, Donald Trump, who got nearly 3 million fewer votes overall than Hillary Clinton, won the state-by-state allotment of Electoral College votes in 2016 and became president. And in 2000, George W. Bush became president, winning five more Electoral College votes than Al Gore, though Gore won roughly half a million more popular votes.

Source
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
July 06 2020 16:15 GMT
#49680
--- Nuked ---
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