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Canadian Politics Mega-thread - Page 78

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 09 2020 20:56 GMT
#1541
--- Nuked ---
Rebs
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Pakistan10726 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-09 21:11:56
January 09 2020 21:07 GMT
#1542
On January 10 2020 05:56 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2020 05:33 Rebs wrote:
On January 10 2020 05:12 JimmiC wrote:
On January 10 2020 03:26 Rebs wrote:
On January 10 2020 03:18 JimmiC wrote:
Speculating is what you do until you know the answers. It only becomes a problem if you treat your speculation like fact which I have not done.


Its also a problem if your specualation is based on stupid.+ Show Spoiler +
("it looks likely because they havent released black box" to paraphase.. like wtf? Its been a couple days. How often does black evidence every show up this quickly?)


I can speculate that the moon is made of cheese, because I read it in a story book somewhere..

There is little value in discussing things just for the sake of discussion.

Because they had already located the black box? It would be stupid if they hadn't found it, but they had. Perhaps it would be valuable for you to read the sources and be up to date on the stories before you called others stupid, otherwise you just end up looking, well, stupid.



Dont be a muppet, I know they found the black box. Its It's literally the first thing that's recovered. I was clearly implying that no one releases the information this quickly without first making sure they can cover their asses to the max. This is not a controversial action in itself without precedent. That's just the possessor party being diligent.

So not giving out black box data yet isn't particularly alarming.

There are plenty of other alarming things which point to a mistake but none of them are actually evidence ...


Trudeau just came on and said there does appear to be evidence but nothing has actually been revealed yet. Although it seems like the consensus outside of Iran is building that it was shot down. Again that is an extraordinarily egregious mistake so I'm not hanging my hat on any speculation yet.

Inspectors are already there. Its whether they are able to make the investigation in an unfettered manner is the question. Including access to they box. Stopping or hindering them is an automatic admission of guilt to a significant degree. Thats the kind of speculation I'd agree is legitimate

On January 10 2020 05:27 Nakajin wrote:
On January 10 2020 03:50 Rebs wrote:
On January 10 2020 03:36 Lmui wrote:
https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/ukraine-missile-iran-1.5420736


Reuters reported that one U.S. official said U.S. satellites had detected the launch of two missiles shortly before the plane crashed, followed by an explosion. Two officials said Washington believed the downing of the plane was accidental.


Is that enough that it moves from speculation to discussion? On the balance of probabilities, a near new plane, in a nation that has just launched an offensive strike and is expecting a retaliatory response crashing unexpectedly was likely shot down.

Edit:
Link to Trudeau's address, live in ~15 min
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/champagne-iran-plane-crash-1.5420398


Anything coming from US officials and Ukrainians not on the ground is extremely suspect. There is little reason to take things from US Officials representing Govt Departments at face value at the moment. I mean really? Are we really accepting anything from this administration as truth at face value ? I guess then everything thats happened is justified then because the imminent threat bullshit was probably true aswell.

This is the same US that sent a letter indicating the withdrawl of troops from Iraq and retracted it right after. What you just linked, "reuters knows a guy who knows a guy who said".... There is literally no reason for believing anything or speculating shit until they have something more concrete.

So no not really.. but I mean sure you can balance your probabilities that way, none of those things are evidence, its still just uninformed speculation by trying to create your own 2 and 2 and add them up. Even if that ends up being correct which is well and truly possible, you are still just speculating based on zero evidence and a set of circumstances.

This is whodunit failure 101..

The article you linked has Trudeau literally saying the words "its too early to speculate".





Nah it say yesterday Trudeau said it was too early to speculate, today he said the evidence demonstrate it was an Iranian missile but he called for an investigation to make light of the situation.
Seriously if it's true it's a major fucking fuck up, I can't imagine the Iranian government agreeing to an international investigation tho, no government want to admit they just killed over 200 of their citizen by accident.



Ukraine did it, but for them it was an easy out because the rebel elements were held responsible. That one even though the Ukrainians weren't at fault took a while to actually develop any real info to the public.

Nor was I hanging my hat on the speculation. Basically you have said "guys don't speculate" "Now I think its ok to speculate, but I'm not hanging my hat".

I'm not sure why you decided to be so aggressively dickish, but if you don't like to speculate that is fine. But don't be an ass and then do the same thing hours later because now the bar you made up in your head has been met.


Wo slow down sensitive sam.

Your opening post was literally didn't give out black box yet - probably guilty - what do we do.. and it took of all people Raynor to point out that wasn't a position worth discussing yet.

And I'm not speculating I'm just sharing whatever information had been put out. And what has been shared by parties who are not speculating because they purportedly have evidence..
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
January 09 2020 21:09 GMT
#1543
Rebs, this is looking more like stubbornly holding ground rather than having a discussion. IR sensing is pretty clear, which it sounds like is what made it obvious. It's not particularly fancy technology and in all likelihood other countries happened to see it as well.
Rebs
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Pakistan10726 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-09 21:14:51
January 09 2020 21:10 GMT
#1544
On January 10 2020 06:09 Mohdoo wrote:
Rebs, this is looking more like stubbornly holding ground rather than having a discussion. IR sensing is pretty clear, which it sounds like is what made it obvious. It's not particularly fancy technology and in all likelihood other countries happened to see it as well.


Sorry, do I know you?

I'm not sure you are addressing the ground I'm holding either.

Here .. evidence

Speculate away..

Video appears to show missile hitting object in sky over Tehran

https://www.cnn.com/webview/middleeast/live-news/iran-plane-crash-investigation/h_5886ad4e17ba16f3bf4052e0037e79ff

User was temp banned for this post.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 09 2020 21:15 GMT
#1545
--- Nuked ---
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-09 22:41:55
January 09 2020 21:29 GMT
#1546
On January 10 2020 06:10 Rebs wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2020 06:09 Mohdoo wrote:
Rebs, this is looking more like stubbornly holding ground rather than having a discussion. IR sensing is pretty clear, which it sounds like is what made it obvious. It's not particularly fancy technology and in all likelihood other countries happened to see it as well.


Sorry, do I know you?


This seems like a weird way to respond to someone. Do you need to know me..? This is an internet forum lol

Edit: while I understand the serial number of the missile is not visible in this video, I have an easy time counting this as evidence a missile came out of Iran:



I am hopeful we will eventually get the serial number of the missile, but I of course understand how someone could be skeptical after something as flimsy as video evidence
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17486 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-10 18:04:03
January 10 2020 17:49 GMT
#1547
I've met dozens of Iranians over the past 20 years. None of them hate or even dislike Canada or Canadians. I don't think they're all engaged in some massive cover up and that a bunch of them secretly hate Canada. I've seen a mild disdain amongst Iranians for the most brutal hockey fights. But then.. we got lots of Canadians that also think bench clearing hockey brawls are bordering on criminal acts.

My #1 employee is Iranian. We talk a lot and he expressed how your average Iranian thinks about Canada in this way.

Q : "what do you think of Hawaii?" A : " ummm not much , nice weather "

Q : " what do you think of Hawaiians. Do you hate or love them." A : " not much really .. i have no emotion towards Hawaiians"

He says the strongest thought Iranians have about Canada is the place is cold with bad weather. Iranians think about Canadians about as much as Canadians think about Hawaiians. Not much at all.

So I don't know what shooting down a plane with 80+ Iranians and 60-odd Canadians accomplishes in Iran's dispute with the USA.

40 years ago when Ken Taylor/Canada fished 6 American hostages out of Iran they were fucking over a group of Iranian students more than they were fucking over the Iranian government.This 40 year old event is probably the "worst thing" Canada has ever done against Iran.

Iran has been waiting 40 years to get back at Canada for that? I just don't buy that.

So I dunno , IF Iran intentionally shot down this plane.... I just don't get it. I think something got FUBAR-ed. Because Iran is embroiled in a big stand off with the USA Iran is being very secretive. Who can blame them? We might never find out the truth behind what happened.

If it was intentional I think it might be some religious terrorism that we have yet to uncover. An act similar to the Air India disaster of June 1985. Which is to say, if it was intentional it was not about Canada at all.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12084 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-10 19:07:26
January 10 2020 19:06 GMT
#1548
On January 11 2020 02:49 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
I've met dozens of Iranians over the past 20 years. None of them hate or even dislike Canada or Canadians. I don't think they're all engaged in some massive cover up and that a bunch of them secretly hate Canada. I've seen a mild disdain amongst Iranians for the most brutal hockey fights. But then.. we got lots of Canadians that also think bench clearing hockey brawls are bordering on criminal acts.

My #1 employee is Iranian. We talk a lot and he expressed how your average Iranian thinks about Canada in this way.

Q : "what do you think of Hawaii?" A : " ummm not much , nice weather "

Q : " what do you think of Hawaiians. Do you hate or love them." A : " not much really .. i have no emotion towards Hawaiians"

He says the strongest thought Iranians have about Canada is the place is cold with bad weather. Iranians think about Canadians about as much as Canadians think about Hawaiians. Not much at all.

So I don't know what shooting down a plane with 80+ Iranians and 60-odd Canadians accomplishes in Iran's dispute with the USA.

40 years ago when Ken Taylor/Canada fished 6 American hostages out of Iran they were fucking over a group of Iranian students more than they were fucking over the Iranian government.This 40 year old event is probably the "worst thing" Canada has ever done against Iran.

Iran has been waiting 40 years to get back at Canada for that? I just don't buy that.

So I dunno , IF Iran intentionally shot down this plane.... I just don't get it. I think something got FUBAR-ed. Because Iran is embroiled in a big stand off with the USA Iran is being very secretive. Who can blame them? We might never find out the truth behind what happened.

If it was intentional I think it might be some religious terrorism that we have yet to uncover. An act similar to the Air India disaster of June 1985. Which is to say, if it was intentional it was not about Canada at all.


Another angle on doing it on purpose (which I don't think they did) is that a country has multiple power blocks. It doesn't have to be ordered from the top to be on purpose. Some colonel or similar could decide it. Even lower levels than that can pull it off if they have reason and opportunity. Opportunity probably being easier than normal since I assume their military is at high alert after the previous week.

Could be a block that wants the government down, to then take it over themselves. Doing it on purpose to promote their cause makes sense then.

Could also be the most radical war hawks that want to escalate it. Or any other block that think it promotes their cause over the government one.
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17486 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-10 22:36:53
January 10 2020 20:12 GMT
#1549
On a lighter note. Here is a different perspective on how Canadians viewed Hero Key Taylor. This was extremely popular.
I think even back in 1981 when the tensions between Canada and Iran were very high ...Canada and Canadians didn't really view Iran as some kind of big evil threat.


On January 11 2020 04:06 Yurie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2020 02:49 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
I've met dozens of Iranians over the past 20 years. None of them hate or even dislike Canada or Canadians. I don't think they're all engaged in some massive cover up and that a bunch of them secretly hate Canada. I've seen a mild disdain amongst Iranians for the most brutal hockey fights. But then.. we got lots of Canadians that also think bench clearing hockey brawls are bordering on criminal acts.

My #1 employee is Iranian. We talk a lot and he expressed how your average Iranian thinks about Canada in this way.

Q : "what do you think of Hawaii?" A : " ummm not much , nice weather "

Q : " what do you think of Hawaiians. Do you hate or love them." A : " not much really .. i have no emotion towards Hawaiians"

He says the strongest thought Iranians have about Canada is the place is cold with bad weather. Iranians think about Canadians about as much as Canadians think about Hawaiians. Not much at all.

So I don't know what shooting down a plane with 80+ Iranians and 60-odd Canadians accomplishes in Iran's dispute with the USA.

40 years ago when Ken Taylor/Canada fished 6 American hostages out of Iran they were fucking over a group of Iranian students more than they were fucking over the Iranian government.This 40 year old event is probably the "worst thing" Canada has ever done against Iran.

Iran has been waiting 40 years to get back at Canada for that? I just don't buy that.

So I dunno , IF Iran intentionally shot down this plane.... I just don't get it. I think something got FUBAR-ed. Because Iran is embroiled in a big stand off with the USA Iran is being very secretive. Who can blame them? We might never find out the truth behind what happened.

If it was intentional I think it might be some religious terrorism that we have yet to uncover. An act similar to the Air India disaster of June 1985. Which is to say, if it was intentional it was not about Canada at all.


Another angle on doing it on purpose (which I don't think they did) is that a country has multiple power blocks. It doesn't have to be ordered from the top to be on purpose. Some colonel or similar could decide it. Even lower levels than that can pull it off if they have reason and opportunity. Opportunity probably being easier than normal since I assume their military is at high alert after the previous week.

Could be a block that wants the government down, to then take it over themselves. Doing it on purpose to promote their cause makes sense then.

Could also be the most radical war hawks that want to escalate it. Or any other block that think it promotes their cause over the government one.

yep , that makes some sense.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17486 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-11 18:08:54
January 11 2020 17:18 GMT
#1550
57 dead... not 63.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/champagne-clarifies-57-canadians-killed-in-iran-crash-not-63-1.4762659

Iran says its an accident. Full mea culpa by Iran.
https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2020/01/11/iran-admits-firing-more-than-one-missile-at-ukrainian-jet-due-to-human-error.html

How is it multiple missiles though?

There is probably some degree of fluff/BS/spin in Iran's explanation. It is probably not 100% gospel truth. However, over all, the "accident" explanation makes the most sense.

More bad news for Canadians. A guy with some very controversial views, Neil Peart, is dead. Rush introduced me to the writings of Ayn Rand.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
BabelFish1
Profile Joined September 2015
186 Posts
January 12 2020 23:15 GMT
#1551
Yeah, probably an accident. They're probably at their equivalent of a defcon 1 and someone probably made a serious error, probably due to miscommunication.

Someone is going to jail or worse for this and the Iranian government is likely to pay out the surviving families. Not else can be done nor should anything else be done. This wasn't an act of war, it was a mistake caused by error. What that error is, we will never know...but Iran has next to no reason for making an enemy out of Canada.
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17486 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-13 05:58:13
January 13 2020 05:00 GMT
#1552
That said, Canadians are not exactly united on their views of that top Iranian General getting killed.

https://edmonton.ctvnews.ca/assassinated-iranian-general-honoured-at-tense-edmonton-vigil-1.4754217
https://torontosun.com/news/local-news/protesters-square-off-in-toronto-over-u-s-killing-of-irans-top-general

I'm pretty sad that Neil Peart is dead... here is a memory of a happier time...



While many rock stars baked their brains on drugs during the many boring hours touring brings Peart spent his time enriching his mind. He ended up writing seven books between the years 1996 and 2016. When Peart spoke, which wasn't often, I listened.

I thought he was a top notch drummer. Rolling Stone has him as #4 in their top 100 drummers of all time. John Bonham is listed as #1. I'd say that is about right.

Neil Peart interviewed Jean Chretien in 1993 before the 1993 election. Peart doesn't pull any punches.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
CorsairHero
Profile Joined December 2008
Canada9491 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-13 22:53:02
January 13 2020 22:49 GMT
#1553
T2 says we're paying for Harry and Meghans security but the Finance Minister says its undecided
yay or nay?

e: its 1.7 mill a year
© Current year.
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
January 14 2020 00:51 GMT
#1554
I'd say nay.

They don't contribute anything other than being celebrities.
If the Royals want to pay for security etc on their own dime sure.

We'd say no to any celebrity that wanted to live in Canada and have taxpayers fund their personal expenses, so why not do the same for the Royal family outside of official visits?
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 14 2020 00:55 GMT
#1555
--- Nuked ---
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17486 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-14 13:06:56
January 14 2020 12:57 GMT
#1556
Trudeau should've kept his mouth shut until Iran finishes with their process of dealing with the plane getting accidentally shot down.
https://globalnews.ca/news/6404191/justin-trudeau-iran-plane-crash-2020/

If the Iranians want to do a full mea culpa... let them.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-51104687

I do think Canadians have a right to feel angry about this, however, the Toronto Sun's sensationalist way of dealing with Iran's contradictory initial statements is rather incendiary.

https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/furey-canadians-eyes-are-now-opened-wide-to-irans-wretchedness
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
BabelFish1
Profile Joined September 2015
186 Posts
January 14 2020 19:37 GMT
#1557
I'm in the no camp as well. The royals can pay for their own security unless Harry ends up as Gov General and has security as a perk of the job. Canada's economy is doing terrible right now...we don't need to be wasting money on inefficient government contracts that cost a good 30-40% more than they should.
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17486 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-14 20:48:32
January 14 2020 19:52 GMT
#1558
Yesterday I said Trudeau should've kept his mouth shut about the Iran thing. Welp, look what happened ...sigh.
https://globalnews.ca/news/6409316/mccarthy-blame-iran-trudeau/

Hopefully, a war of words does not begin between Trudeau and US Politicians. I hope Trudeau just stops talking until Iran is done with their process.


On January 15 2020 04:37 BabelFish1 wrote:
Canada's economy is doing terrible right now...we don't need to be wasting money on inefficient government contracts that cost a good 30-40% more than they should.

From what I've seen its only been 1 quarter that the economy is doing poorly. If another set of quarterly stats indicate a tanking economy that's a very bad sign for Canada. When the US economy is doing well the Canadian economy should be doing well as well.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
gotchaman
Profile Joined May 2019
18 Posts
January 14 2020 23:29 GMT
#1559
Will it be legal for Harry and Meghan to have armed security in Canada?

https://globalnews.ca/news/1765700/some-security-guards-can-carry-guns-but-can-be-charged-for-shooting/
Some security guards in Canada are allowed to carry and use guns, but only if they are guarding cash or precious metals.

They also have to apply for a Possession and Acquisition License and work with a security firm approved by the Ontario government.

“It’s most common in jewellery stores. Bodyguards are not allowed to carry guns in Canada. It has to be a precious metal or a cash value,” security expert Chris Menary said in an interview.
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8990 Posts
January 15 2020 13:48 GMT
#1560
On January 15 2020 08:29 gotchaman wrote:
Will it be legal for Harry and Meghan to have armed security in Canada?

https://globalnews.ca/news/1765700/some-security-guards-can-carry-guns-but-can-be-charged-for-shooting/
Some security guards in Canada are allowed to carry and use guns, but only if they are guarding cash or precious metals.

They also have to apply for a Possession and Acquisition License and work with a security firm approved by the Ontario government.

“It’s most common in jewellery stores. Bodyguards are not allowed to carry guns in Canada. It has to be a precious metal or a cash value,” security expert Chris Menary said in an interview.


It's their problems, everyone else seems to be doing fine without armed security anyway. They just have to go play tourist somewhere else in their empire if they want.

Also: https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/a-majority-of-canadians-want-prince-harry-to-become-governor-general

More than 60 per cent of Canadians said they support the appointment of Prince Harry to governor general, found a Postmedia poll conducted by Dart and Maru/Blue Voice Canada.

What the hell, it's not enough that we are stuck bowing to our great majesty representative, can we at least chose people who actually did something great in their life?
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
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